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FLA

Florida 24 at South Carolina 14

SC
2015 · Week 11 · Nov 14, 2015 · Williams-Brice Stadium
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Win probability · SC
modelSC aheadFLA aheadconfidence bandkey playSC scoreFLA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 13:00 · Johnny Townsend punt for 37 yds , Pharoh Cooper returns for 4 yds to the SCaro 28
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+37.5+18.80−18.8−37.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 7Home team on offense−0.1Pregame prior−23.1Score differential−0.1Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 8:17: Treon Harris pass complete to Jordan Cronkrite for 41 yds for a TD, (Austin Hardin KICK) — FLA win probability +6.6 pts (now 80%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 8:59: Pharoh Cooper pass complete to Perry Orth for 17 yds for a TD, (Elliott Fry KICK) — SC win probability +11.0 pts (now 17%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 4:49: Perry Orth pass complete to Pharoh Cooper for 38 yds for a TD, (Elliott Fry KICK) — SC win probability +27.6 pts (now 39%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 4:43: Jordan Cronkrite run for 1 yd to the Fla 26 — FLA win probability +8.7 pts (now 76%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 2:01: Kelvin Taylor run for 1 yd for a TD, (Austin Hardin KICK) — FLA win probability +11.9 pts (now 94%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SC made the numbers' call on 6 of 6FLA made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 13:00FLA 4th & 7 at FLA 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.0%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:28SC 4th & 8 at FLA 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.9%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    32.8%−0.2
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    33.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:10FLA 4th & 1 at SC 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 65.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    65.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    64.9%−0.9
    32% to make
    Punt
    65.0%−0.7
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:28SC 4th & 12 at SC 23, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.7%−1.3
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.9%
    average punt
  5. Q2 5:23SC 4th & 7 at SC 40, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.2%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.4%
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:40FLA 4th & 5 at FLA 20, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.1%−0.6
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.7%
    average punt
  7. Q3 13:46SC 4th & 14 at SC 21, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.5%−2.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.7%
    average punt
  8. Q3 11:10SC 4th & 11 at FLA 44, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.3%−0.6
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    18.9%−1.0
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    19.9%
    average punt
  9. Q3 4:50FLA 4th & 5 at SC 21, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 86.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.8%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    86.1%
    74% to make
    Punt
    79.6%−6.4
    average punt
  10. Q3 3:19SC 4th & 14 at SC 31, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.8%−2.8
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.6%
    average punt
  11. Q4 12:16FLA 4th & 1 at SC 32, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 93.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    93.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    91.7%−1.7
    51% to make
    Punt
    91.1%−2.2
    average punt
  12. Q4 6:47FLA 4th & 8 at FLA 29, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.8%−1.2
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.0%
    average punt
  13. Q4 0:03FLA 4th & 16 at FLA 45, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.3%−0.7
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SC made the numbers' call on 2 of 2FLA made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 1:50FLA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 8:17FLA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 8:59SC Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    13.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    13.3%−0.4
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 4:49SC Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    26.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    26.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 2:01FLA Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.7%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FLADrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 1:5374% → 73%
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
26.3%
Treon Harris pass complete to Antonio Callaway for 9 yds to the Fla 34Similar
Q1 14:21
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+2
26.6%
Kelvin Taylor run for 2 yds to the Fla 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:54
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
26.8%
Treon Harris pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:50
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+3
26.8%
Kelvin Taylor run for 3 yds to the Fla 39Similar
Q1 13:09
3RD & 7
OWN 39
0
27.1%
Treon Harris pass incomplete to Demarcus RobinsonSimilar
Q1 13:00
4TH & 7
OWN 39
+4
27.3%
Johnny Townsend punt for 37 yds , Pharoh Cooper returns for 4 yds to the SCaro 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 2PUNT
11 plays · 27 yds · 4:3227% → 29%
Q1 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-5
27.3%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, False Start (Mike Matulis) to the SCaro 23Similar
Q1 12:54
1ST & 15
OWN 23
0
27.3%
Perry Orth pass incomplete to Hayden HurstSimilar
Q1 12:45
2ND & 15
OWN 23
+13
27.4%
Pharoh Cooper run for 13 yds to the SCaro 36Similar
Q1 12:26
3RD & 2
OWN 36
+5
27.6%
FLORIDA Penalty, Defensive Offside (Bryan Cox) to the SCaro 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:59
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
27.9%
Brandon Wilds run for 1 yd to the SCaro 42Similar
Q1 11:28
2ND & 9
OWN 42
+3
28.1%
Perry Orth run for 3 yds to the SCaro 45Similar
Q1 11:02
3RD & 6
OWN 45
+8
28.4%
Perry Orth pass complete to Hayden Hurst for 8 yds to the Fla 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:35
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-6
28.9%
Lorenzo Nunez run for a loss of 6 yards to the SCaro 47Similar
Q1 9:40
2ND & 16
OWN 47
+8
29.0%
Perry Orth pass complete to Matrick Belton for 8 yds to the Fla 45Similar
Q1 9:09
3RD & 8
OPP 45
0
29.5%
Perry Orth run for no gain to the Fla 45Similar
Q1 8:28
4TH & 8
OPP 45
0
29.4%
Sean Kelly punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Vernon Hargreaves III at the Fla 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 3TD
15 plays · 87 yds · 6:3271% → 73%
Q1 8:22
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
29.4%
Treon Harris pass incomplete to Antonio CallawaySimilar
Q1 8:17
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+7
29.5%
Kelvin Taylor run for 7 yds to the Fla 20Similar
Q1 7:33
3RD & 3
OWN 20
+16
29.9%
Treon Harris pass complete to Brandon Powell for 16 yds to the Fla 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
29.7%
Treon Harris pass incomplete to Brandon PowellSimilar
Q1 6:44
2ND & 10
OWN 36
-1
30.0%
Jordan Scarlett run for a loss of 1 yard to the Fla 35Similar
Q1 6:07
3RD & 11
OWN 35
+15
30.6%
Treon Harris pass complete to Kelvin Taylor for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:35
1ST & 10
50
+2
29.8%
Kelvin Taylor run for 2 yds to the SCaro 48Similar
Q1 4:51
2ND & 8
OPP 48
0
30.1%
Treon Harris pass incomplete to Demarcus RobinsonSimilar
Q1 4:43
3RD & 8
OPP 48
+7
30.4%
Treon Harris pass complete to Jake McGee for 7 yds to the SCaro 41Similar
Q1 4:10
4TH & 1
OPP 41
+1
30.9%
Kelvin Taylor run for 1 yd to the SCaro 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:44
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+26
30.4%
Treon Harris pass complete to Antonio Callaway for 26 yds to the SCaro 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:09
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
30.3%
Treon Harris pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:03
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+2
30.3%
Kelvin Taylor run for 2 yds to the SCaro 12Similar
Q1 2:16
3RD & 8
OPP 12
+9
30.7%
Treon Harris pass complete to Brandon Powell for 9 yds to the SCaro 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
26.6%
Jordan Cronkrite run for 3 yds for a TD, (Austin Hardin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 1:1828% → 27%
Q1 1:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
28.0%
Brandon Wilds run for 1 yd to the SCaro 26Similar
Q1 1:14
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
28.1%
Perry Orth pass incomplete to Matrick BeltonSimilar
Q1 1:07
3RD & 9
OWN 26
-3
27.6%
Perry Orth sacked by Caleb Brantley for a loss of 3 yards to the SCaro 23Similar
Q1 0:28
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
27.4%
Sean Kelly punt for 53 yds, fair catch by Antonio Callaway at the Fla 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 5TD
13 plays · 76 yds · 6:4372% → 80%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+6
27.9%
Kelvin Taylor run for 6 yds to the Fla 30Similar
Q2 14:56
2ND & 4
OWN 30
+3
27.4%
Treon Harris pass complete to Antonio Callaway for 3 yds to the Fla 33Similar
Q2 14:15
3RD & 1
OWN 33
+2
27.6%
Kelvin Taylor run for 2 yds to the Fla 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:37
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
27.7%
Treon Harris pass complete to Jordan Cronkrite for 8 yds to the Fla 43Similar
Q2 13:04
2ND & 2
OWN 43
0
27.1%
Jordan Cronkrite run for no gain to the Fla 43Similar
Q2 12:21
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+6
27.4%
Treon Harris run for 6 yds to the Fla 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:46
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
27.1%
Treon Harris pass incomplete to Antonio CallawaySimilar
Q2 11:39
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+7
27.1%
Treon Harris pass complete to Jake McGee for 7 yds to the SCaro 44Similar
Q2 10:57
3RD & 3
OPP 44
+4
27.2%
Kelvin Taylor run for 4 yds to the SCaro 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:06
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-5
27.0%
FLORIDA Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (DeAndre Goolsby) to the SCaro 45Similar
Q2 9:48
1ST & 15
OPP 45
+9
27.1%
Treon Harris run for 9 yds to the SCaro 36Similar
Q2 9:06
2ND & 6
OPP 36
-5
26.7%
Treon Harris sacked by Gerald Dixon for a loss of 5 yards to the SCaro 41Similar
Q2 8:17
3RD & 11
OPP 41
+41
20.1%
Treon Harris pass complete to Jordan Cronkrite for 41 yds for a TD, (Austin Hardin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 6PUNT
8 plays · 25 yds · 2:4121% → 21%
Q2 8:04
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
21.1%
David Williams run for 2 yds to the SCaro 17Similar
Q2 7:33
2ND & 8
OWN 17
+4
21.0%
Perry Orth pass complete to Pharoh Cooper for 4 yds to the SCaro 21Similar
Q2 6:59
3RD & 4
OWN 21
+16
20.7%
Perry Orth pass complete to Brandon Wilds for 16 yds to the SCaro 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:48
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
21.4%
Perry Orth pass incomplete to Shamier JefferySimilar
Q2 6:41
2ND & 10
OWN 37
-2
21.1%
Pharoh Cooper run for a loss of 2 yards to the SCaro 35Similar
Q2 6:05
3RD & 12
OWN 35
+5
20.4%
Perry Orth pass complete to Jerell Adams for 5 yds to the SCaro 40Similar
Q2 5:23
4TH & 7
OWN 40
0
20.8%
Sean Kelly punt for 45 yds, downed at the Fla 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:3880% → 79%
Q2 5:18
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
20.5%
Kelvin Taylor run for 2 yds to the Fla 17Similar
Q2 4:39
2ND & 8
OWN 17
+3
20.3%
Treon Harris run for 3 yds to the Fla 20Similar
Q2 3:55
3RD & 5
OWN 20
0
20.4%
Treon Harris pass incomplete to Demarcus RobinsonSimilar
Q2 3:40
4TH & 5
OWN 20
+3
20.8%
Johnny Townsend punt for 57 yds , Pharoh Cooper returns for 3 yds to the SCaro 23 SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Illegal Block (Matrick Belton) to the SCaro 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 8INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0620% → 20%
Q2 3:33
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
20.1%
Perry Orth pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:27
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+3
20.0%
Perry Orth pass intercepted Jalen Tabor return for 3 yds to the SCaro 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 9INT
6 plays · 13 yds · 2:1981% → 83%
Q2 3:20
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-9
18.7%
Treon Harris sacked by Darius English for a loss of 9 yards to the SCaro 27Similar
Q2 2:29
2ND & 19
OPP 27
+23
18.8%
Treon Harris pass complete to DeAndre Goolsby for 23 yds to the SCaro 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-1
17.4%
Jordan Cronkrite run for a loss of 1 yard to the SCaro 5Similar
Q2 1:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
17.1%
Treon Harris pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:01
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
17.2%
Treon Harris pass intercepted T.J. Gurley return for 3 yds to the SCaro 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 10END OF HALF
2 plays · 3 yds · 0:5419% → 19%
Q2 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 3
0
19.1%
Brandon Wilds run for no gain to the SCaro 3Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 3
+3
18.5%
Brandon Wilds run for 3 yds to the SCaro 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 1:0919% → 18%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
18.7%
Brandon Wilds run for 2 yds to the SCaro 27Similar
Q3 14:24
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-6
18.7%
Perry Orth sacked by Bryan Cox for a loss of 6 yards to the SCaro 21Similar
Q3 13:55
3RD & 14
OWN 21
0
18.0%
Perry Orth pass incomplete to Hayden HurstSimilar
Q3 13:46
4TH & 14
OWN 21
0
18.0%
Sean Kelly punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Antonio Callaway at the Fla 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 12INT
3 plays · 12 yds · 1:1483% → 84%
Q3 13:42
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
17.4%
Kelvin Taylor run for 3 yds to the Fla 36Similar
Q3 13:02
2ND & 7
OWN 36
+9
16.6%
Treon Harris pass complete to Jake McGee for 9 yds to the Fla 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:28
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-1
15.7%
Treon Harris pass intercepted Gerald Dixon return for a loss of 1 yard to the Fla 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:1319% → 17%
Q3 12:23
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
19.4%
Pharoh Cooper run for 5 yds to the Fla 38Similar
Q3 11:56
2ND & 5
OPP 38
0
19.6%
Perry Orth pass incomplete to Pharoh CooperSimilar
Q3 11:40
3RD & 5
OPP 38
-6
19.0%
Perry Orth sacked by Jonathan Bullard and Jordan Sherit for a loss of 6 yards to the Fla 44Similar
Q3 11:10
4TH & 11
OPP 44
0
17.2%
Sean Kelly punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Vernon Hargreaves III at the Fla 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 14FG
12 plays · 70 yds · 6:1484% → 90%
Q3 11:04
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+2
16.0%
Jordan Scarlett run for 2 yds to the Fla 11Similar
Q3 10:37
2ND & 8
OWN 11
+21
15.9%
Brandon Powell run for 6 yds to the Fla 17 for a 1ST down SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Personal Foul (Skai Moore) to the Fla 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:58
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+6
14.2%
Treon Harris run for 6 yds to the Fla 38Similar
Q3 9:29
2ND & 4
OWN 38
+1
13.4%
Kelvin Taylor run for 1 yd to the Fla 39Similar
Q3 8:40
3RD & 3
OWN 39
+10
13.4%
Treon Harris pass complete to Demarcus Robinson for 10 yds to the Fla 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+11
12.6%
Treon Harris pass complete to Brandon Powell for 11 yds to the SCaro 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:36
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-2
12.4%
Kelvin Taylor run for a loss of 2 yards to the SCaro 42Similar
Q3 6:49
2ND & 12
OPP 42
+16
11.7%
Treon Harris pass complete to Jake McGee for 16 yds to the SCaro 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:19
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
11.1%
Treon Harris pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:15
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+1
11.4%
Brandon Powell run for 1 yd to the SCaro 25Similar
Q3 5:31
3RD & 9
OPP 25
+4
11.3%
Treon Harris run for 4 yds to the SCaro 21Similar
Q3 4:50
4TH & 5
OPP 21
+39
10.4%
Austin Hardin 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 1:1512% → 11%
Q3 4:34
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
12.3%
Brandon Wilds run for 1 yd to the SCaro 36Similar
Q3 4:00
2ND & 9
OWN 36
-5
12.0%
Perry Orth sacked by Jordan Sherit for a loss of 5 yards to the SCaro 31Similar
Q3 3:28
3RD & 14
OWN 31
0
11.5%
Perry Orth pass incomplete to Jerell AdamsSimilar
Q3 3:19
4TH & 14
OWN 31
0
11.4%
Sean Kelly punt for 69 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 16DOWNS
12 plays · 34 yds · 5:5891% → 94%
Q3 3:14
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
9.4%
Jordan Cronkrite run for 5 yds to the Fla 25Similar
Q3 2:35
2ND & 5
OWN 25
0
7.7%
Treon Harris pass incomplete to Antonio CallawaySimilar
Q3 2:15
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+16
7.8%
Jordan Cronkrite run for 16 yds to the Fla 41 Jordan Cronkrite fumbled, recovered by FlaSimilar
Q3 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
7.1%
Brandon Powell run for 2 yds to the Fla 43Similar
Q3 1:16
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+6
7.0%
Treon Harris pass complete to Jake McGee for 6 yds to the Fla 49Similar
Q3 0:24
3RD & 2
OWN 49
+10
6.8%
Treon Harris pass complete to Antonio Callaway for 10 yds to the SCaro 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-5
6.4%
FLORIDA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SCaro 46Similar
Q4 14:52
1ST & 15
OPP 46
-10
6.4%
FLORIDA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Martez Ivey) to the Fla 44Similar
Q4 14:25
1ST & 25
OWN 44
+16
6.1%
Kelvin Taylor run for 16 yds to the SCaro 40Similar
Q4 13:43
2ND & 9
OPP 40
+4
5.6%
Treon Harris run for 4 yds to the SCaro 36Similar
Q4 12:58
3RD & 5
OPP 36
+4
5.5%
Treon Harris run for 4 yds to the SCaro 32Similar
Q4 12:16
4TH & 1
OPP 32
-4
5.8%
Jordan Scarlett run for a loss of 4 yards to the SCaro 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 17TD
10 plays · 64 yds · 3:087% → 13%
Q4 12:07
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+18
6.7%
Perry Orth pass complete to Jerell Adams for 18 yds to the Fla 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:50
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
7.1%
Perry Orth pass complete to Hayden Hurst for 4 yds to the Fla 42Similar
Q4 11:28
2ND & 6
OPP 42
+2
7.3%
Perry Orth pass complete to Pharoh Cooper for 2 yds to the Fla 40Similar
Q4 11:02
3RD & 4
OPP 40
+3
7.2%
David Williams run for 3 yds to the Fla 37Similar
Q4 10:27
4TH & 1
OPP 37
+5
6.0%
FLORIDA Penalty, Defensive Offside (Caleb Brantley) to the Fla 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:55
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+9
6.5%
David Williams run for 9 yds to the Fla 23 David Williams fumbled, recovered by SCaro Mason ZandiSimilar
Q4 9:28
2ND & 1
OPP 23
0
6.5%
Perry Orth pass incomplete to Pharoh CooperSimilar
Q4 9:23
3RD & 1
OPP 23
+6
6.3%
Brandon Wilds run for 6 yds to the Fla 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:59
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+17
17.3%
Pharoh Cooper pass complete to Perry Orth for 17 yds for a TD, (Elliott Fry KICK)Similar
Q4 8:59
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-15
13.4%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Perry Orth) to the SCaro 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:5988% → 88%
Q4 8:46
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-6
12.5%
Treon Harris sacked by Kelsey Griffin for a loss of 6 yards to the Fla 21Similar
Q4 8:03
2ND & 16
OWN 21
-4
12.9%
Kelvin Taylor run for a loss of 4 yards to the Fla 17Similar
Q4 7:14
3RD & 20
OWN 17
+12
12.8%
Treon Harris pass complete to Antonio Callaway for 12 yds to the Fla 29Similar
Q4 6:47
4TH & 8
OWN 29
0
12.1%
Johnny Townsend punt for 50 yds , Pharoh Cooper returns for no gain to the SCaro 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 19TD
6 plays · 79 yds · 1:4911% → 39%
Q4 6:38
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+25
11.1%
Perry Orth pass complete to Matrick Belton for 25 yds to the SCaro 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:24
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
12.5%
Brandon Wilds run for 1 yd to the SCaro 47Similar
Q4 5:49
2ND & 9
OWN 47
+12
11.4%
Perry Orth pass complete to Jerell Adams for 12 yds to the Fla 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:40
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-2
12.6%
Brandon Wilds run for a loss of 2 yards to the Fla 43Similar
Q4 5:30
2ND & 12
OPP 43
+5
11.4%
FLORIDA Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Fla 38Similar
Q4 4:49
2ND & 7
OPP 38
+38
39.0%
Perry Orth pass complete to Pharoh Cooper for 38 yds for a TD, (Elliott Fry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 20TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:4276% → 94%
Q4 4:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
24.2%
Jordan Cronkrite run for 1 yd to the Fla 26Similar
Q4 4:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+18
23.1%
Treon Harris pass complete to Demarcus Robinson for 18 yds to the Fla 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
18.4%
Kelvin Taylor run for 2 yds to the Fla 46Similar
Q4 2:41
2ND & 8
OWN 46
0
16.6%
Treon Harris pass incomplete to Kelvin TaylorSimilar
Q4 2:30
3RD & 8
OWN 46
+53
17.5%
Kelvin Taylor run for 53 yds to the SCaro 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
5.6%
Kelvin Taylor run for 1 yd for a TD, (Austin Hardin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 21INT
6 plays · 27 yds · 0:375% → 6%
Q4 1:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
5.0%
Perry Orth pass incomplete to Brandon WildsSimilar
Q4 1:51
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+11
4.9%
Perry Orth pass complete to Jerell Adams for 11 yds to the SCaro 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:31
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
5.0%
Perry Orth run for 1 yd to the SCaro 37Similar
Q4 1:26
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+15
5.0%
FLORIDA Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Duke Dawson) to the Fla 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:20
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
5.8%
Perry Orth pass intercepted Quincy Wilson return for 2 yds to the Fla 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 22PUNT
6 plays · -4 yds · 1:1396% → 96%
Q4 1:16
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
4.4%
Kelvin Taylor run for 2 yds to the SCaro 49Similar
Q4 1:04
2ND & 8
OPP 49
-3
4.4%
Jordan Scarlett run for a loss of 3 yards to the Fla 48Similar
Q4 0:57
3RD & 13
OWN 48
+2
5.0%
Kelvin Taylor run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 0:14
4TH & 11
50
-5
4.9%
FLORIDA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Fla 45Similar
Q4 0:03
4TH & 16
OWN 45
0
4.5%
Johnny Townsend punt for 42 yds, downed at the SCaro 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 23END OF GAME
1 play · 12 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+16
3.7%
Perry Orth pass complete to Kyle Markway for 16 yds to the SCaro 25 for a 1ST down lat. to Pharoh Cooper for a loss of 4 yards to the SCaro 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 4:49
Perry Orth pass complete to Pharoh Cooper for 38 yds for a TD, (Elliott Fry KICK)
+27.6
TD · Q4 2:01
Kelvin Taylor run for 1 yd for a TD, (Austin Hardin KICK)
-11.9
TD · Q4 8:59
Pharoh Cooper pass complete to Perry Orth for 17 yds for a TD, (Elliott Fry KICK)
+11
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com