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FAU

Florida Atlantic 14 at Florida 20

FLA
2015 · Week 12 · Nov 21, 2015 · Ben Hill Griffin Stadium
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Win probability · FLA
modelFLA aheadFAU aheadconfidence bandkey playFLA scoreFAU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 3:54 · Johnny Townsend punt for 31 yds, downed at the FlAtl 10
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remainingGarbage-time factor
+47.0+23.50−23.5−47.0Q1Q2Q3Q4OTPlay 28Pregame prior+42.5Home team on offense+0.2Score differential−0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.1Time remaining+0.2Garbage-time factor−0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q4 8:03: Ocie Rose 0 Yd Fumble Return (Greg Joseph Kick) — FAU win probability +22.9 pts (now 32%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q4 5:12: Kelvin Taylor run for 5 yds to the FlAtl 48 — FLA win probability +15.6 pts (now 70%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · OT 0:00: Treon Harris run for 9 yds to the FlAtl 16 — FLA win probability +12.1 pts (now 65%) (top driver: defense timeouts not recorded for this play).
  4. TD · OT 0:00: Jake McGee 13 Yd pass from Treon Harris (Austin Hardin PAT blocked) — FLA win probability +21.2 pts (now 86%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · OT 0:00: Jaquez Johnson pass complete to Jenson Stoshak for 5 yds to the Fla 20 — FAU win probability +10.1 pts (now 24%) (top driver: defense timeouts not recorded for this play).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FLA made the numbers' call on 6 of 11FAU made the numbers' call on 6 of 9
  1. Q1 11:48FLA 4th & 19 at FLA 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.0%−0.2
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:47FAU 4th & 23 at FAU 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.4%−0.3
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.7%
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:54FLA 4th & 12 at FAU 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.3%−<0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    94.3%−<0.1
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    94.3%
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:13FAU 4th & 6 at FAU 29, tied
    Close callWent for it · 6.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.0%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    6.1%
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:16FLA 4th & 1 at FLA 39, tied
    Close callPunted · 92.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.6%−0.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:55FAU 4th & 1 at FAU 13, tied
    Close callPunted · 7.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.6%−0.3
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:18FLA 4th & 7 at FAU 15, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 91.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.7%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    91.8%
    83% to make
    Punt
    90.9%−0.9
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:47FAU 4th & 6 at FLA 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 11.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.6%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    11.6%
    58% to make
    Punt
    10.0%−1.5
    average punt
  9. Q2 3:46FLA 4th & 1 at FLA 38, tied
    Close callPunted · 88.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.5%−0.6
    average punt
  10. Q2 1:44FAU 4th & 5 at midfield, tied
    Close callPunted · 14.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.0%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.7%−0.3
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:06FLA 4th & 4 at FLA 12, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.7%−0.7
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.4%
    average punt
  12. Q3 13:23FAU 4th & 16 at FAU 19, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.7%−1.6
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.4%
    average punt
  13. Q3 11:41FLA 4th & 10 at FLA 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.6%−1.2
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.9%
    average punt
  14. Q3 7:47FAU 4th & 16 at FAU 45, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.5%−1.4
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.9%
    average punt
  15. Q4 10:33FLA 4th & 4 at FAU 15, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 91.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.4%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    90.2%−0.2
    83% to make
    Punt
    83.3%−7.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 8:52FAU 4th & 9 at FAU 31, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.9%−1.5
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.4%
    average punt
  17. Q4 6:32FLA 4th & 7 at FLA 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.9%−2.5
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.4%
    average punt
  18. Q4 2:15FLA 4th & 7 at FAU 40, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 4.7 ptsPunted · 61.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.5%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    56.8%−3.7
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    55.8%−4.7
    average punt
  19. Q4 1:50FAU 4th & 6 at FAU 7, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.8%−8.6
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.4%
    average punt
  20. Q4 1:02FLA 4th & 9 at FAU 40, tied
    Numbers favored field goal by 3.9 ptsPunted · 58.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.3%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    57.5%
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    53.6%−3.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FLA made the numbers' call on 2 of 2FAU made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q3 9:44FLA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 5:34FLA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 2:06FAU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    9.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    9.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 8:03FAU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    31.3%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    31.4%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FLADrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 19 yds · 3:0797% → 96%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
96.9%
Kelvin Taylor run for 5 yds to the Fla 30Similar
Q1 14:20
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+12
96.8%
Treon Harris pass complete to Kelvin Taylor for 12 yds to the Fla 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+11
96.8%
Treon Harris pass complete to Jake McGee for 11 yds to the FlAtl 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:30
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
96.7%
Jordan Scarlett run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 45Similar
Q1 12:50
2ND & 8
OPP 45
-6
96.6%
Treon Harris sacked by Brandin Bryant for a loss of 6 yards to the Fla 49Similar
Q1 12:10
3RD & 14
OWN 49
-5
96.4%
Treon Harris sacked by Trey Hendrickson for a loss of 5 yards to the Fla 44Similar
Q1 11:48
4TH & 19
OWN 44
0
96.3%
Johnny Townsend punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Jenson Stoshak at the FlAtl 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 2PUNT
12 plays · 14 yds · 3:534% → 4%
Q1 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+2
96.4%
Jaquez Johnson run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 9Similar
Q1 11:05
2ND & 8
OWN 9
+9
96.2%
Jaquez Johnson pass complete to Jenson Stoshak for 9 yds to the FlAtl 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+9
96.2%
Jaquez Johnson pass complete to Henry Bussey for 9 yds to the FlAtl 27Similar
Q1 10:39
2ND & 1
OWN 27
-5
96.1%
FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, False Start (Greg Howell) to the FlAtl 22Similar
Q1 10:20
2ND & 6
OWN 22
+12
96.1%
Jaquez Johnson pass complete to Jenson Stoshak for 12 yds to the FlAtl 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
95.9%
Jaquez Johnson pass complete to Marcus Clark for no gain to the FlAtl 34Similar
Q1 9:26
2ND & 10
OWN 34
-15
95.9%
FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, Personal Foul (Winston Chastang) to the FlAtl 19Similar
Q1 9:26
2ND & 25
OWN 19
-5
95.9%
FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, False Start (Reggie Bain) to the FlAtl 14Similar
Q1 9:05
2ND & 30
OWN 14
+5
95.9%
Marcus Clark run for 5 yds to the FlAtl 19Similar
Q1 8:52
3RD & 25
OWN 19
-5
95.8%
FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, False Start (Reggie Bain) to the FlAtl 14Similar
Q1 8:25
3RD & 30
OWN 14
+7
95.7%
Marcus Clark run for 7 yds to the FlAtl 21Similar
Q1 7:47
4TH & 23
OWN 21
+2
95.6%
Dalton Schomp punt for 45 yds , Antonio Callaway returns for 2 yds to the Fla 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 23 yds · 3:4696% → 95%
Q1 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
95.6%
Jordan Cronkrite run for no gain to the Fla 36Similar
Q1 7:00
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+12
95.4%
Treon Harris pass complete to Jake McGee for 12 yds to the Fla 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+7
95.4%
Kelvin Taylor run for 7 yds to the FlAtl 45Similar
Q1 5:55
2ND & 3
OPP 45
+6
95.3%
Kelvin Taylor run for 6 yds to the FlAtl 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:21
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
95.2%
Treon Harris pass incomplete to Demarcus RobinsonSimilar
Q1 5:15
2ND & 10
OPP 39
-1
95.2%
Kelvin Taylor run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlAtl 40Similar
Q1 4:35
3RD & 11
OPP 40
-1
94.9%
Treon Harris pass complete to Antonio Callaway for a loss of 1 yard to the FlAtl 41Similar
Q1 3:54
4TH & 12
OPP 41
0
94.6%
Johnny Townsend punt for 31 yds, downed at the FlAtl 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 4PUNT
9 plays · 18 yds · 3:255% → 6%
Q1 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+8
94.6%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Kalib Woods for 8 yds to the FlAtl 18Similar
Q1 3:20
2ND & 2
OWN 18
+7
94.4%
Marcus Clark run for 7 yds to the FlAtl 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
94.4%
Jason Driskel pass incomplete to Kalib WoodsSimilar
Q1 3:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
94.4%
Marcus Clark run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 29Similar
Q1 2:22
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
94.1%
Jason Driskel pass incomplete to Tyler CameronSimilar
Q1 2:13
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+12
94.2%
Dalton Schomp run for 12 yds to the FlAtl 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
93.6%
Henry Bussey run for no gain to the FlAtl 41Similar
Q1 1:00
2ND & 10
OWN 41
-6
93.5%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Jenson Stoshak for a loss of 6 yards to the FlAtl 35Similar
Q1 0:20
3RD & 16
OWN 35
-7
93.6%
Jason Driskel sacked by Jarrad Davis for a loss of 7 yards to the FlAtl 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 5PUNT
3 plays · 9 yds · 1:2594% → 93%
Q2 14:41
2ND & 10
OWN 30
-5
93.5%
Kelvin Taylor run for a loss of 5 yards to the Fla 25Similar
Q2 14:00
3RD & 15
OWN 25
+14
93.0%
Treon Harris run for 14 yds to the Fla 39Similar
Q2 13:16
4TH & 1
OWN 39
0
93.0%
Johnny Townsend punt for 57 yds, downed at the FlAtl 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:157% → 7%
Q2 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+1
92.8%
Greg Howell run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 5Similar
Q2 12:52
2ND & 9
OWN 5
0
92.7%
Jaquez Johnson pass incomplete to Calvain HolmesSimilar
Q2 12:43
3RD & 9
OWN 5
+8
92.8%
Greg Howell run for 8 yds to the FlAtl 13Similar
Q2 11:55
4TH & 1
OWN 13
+52
92.6%
Dalton Schomp punt for 57 yds , Antonio Callaway returns for 52 yds to the FlAtl 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 7MISSED FG
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:3293% → 92%
Q2 11:50
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+1
93.2%
Kelvin Taylor run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 17Similar
Q2 11:10
2ND & 9
OPP 17
+2
93.0%
Kelvin Taylor run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 15Similar
Q2 10:23
3RD & 7
OPP 15
0
92.6%
Treon Harris pass incomplete to Jake McGeeSimilar
Q2 10:18
4TH & 7
OPP 15
+33
92.2%
Austin Hardin 33 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 8MISSED FG
12 plays · 51 yds · 4:239% → 11%
Q2 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
91.5%
Jaquez Johnson run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 23Similar
Q2 9:37
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+5
91.2%
FLORIDA Penalty, Defensive Offside (Taven Bryan) to the FlAtl 28Similar
Q2 9:20
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+7
90.8%
Jay Warren run for 7 yds to the FlAtl 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:08
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+11
90.8%
Jay Warren run for 11 yds to the FlAtl 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-2
90.2%
Jaquez Johnson pass complete to Henry Bussey for a loss of 2 yards to the FlAtl 44Similar
Q2 8:20
2ND & 12
OWN 44
+11
90.3%
Jaquez Johnson pass complete to Tyler Cameron for 11 yds to the Fla 45Similar
Q2 7:55
3RD & 1
OPP 45
+12
89.2%
Jaquez Johnson pass complete to Henry Bussey for 12 yds to the Fla 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:40
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+2
88.8%
Jay Warren run for 2 yds to the Fla 31Similar
Q2 7:00
2ND & 8
OPP 31
+3
88.4%
Jaquez Johnson pass complete to Tyler Cameron for 3 yds to the Fla 28Similar
Q2 6:25
3RD & 5
OPP 28
-10
88.3%
FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, Offensive Holding (Antonyo Woods) to the Fla 38Similar
Q2 5:58
3RD & 15
OPP 38
+9
88.9%
Jaquez Johnson pass complete to Marcus Clark for 9 yds to the Fla 29Similar
Q2 5:47
4TH & 6
OPP 29
+45
88.6%
Greg Joseph 45 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:5490% → 89%
Q2 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-11
90.2%
Treon Harris sacked by Hunter Snyder for a loss of 11 yards to the Fla 18Similar
Q2 5:10
2ND & 21
OWN 18
+14
89.7%
Treon Harris run for 14 yds to the Fla 32Similar
Q2 4:30
3RD & 7
OWN 32
+6
89.3%
Treon Harris pass complete to Alvin Bailey for 6 yds to the Fla 38Similar
Q2 3:46
4TH & 1
OWN 38
0
89.1%
Johnny Townsend punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Jenson Stoshak at the FlAtl 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 10PUNT
9 plays · 37 yds · 1:5612% → 14%
Q2 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+7
87.8%
Jaquez Johnson pass complete to Kalib Woods for 7 yds to the FlAtl 20Similar
Q2 3:13
2ND & 3
OWN 20
+4
87.3%
Greg Howell run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+6
87.2%
Greg Howell run for 6 yds to the FlAtl 30Similar
Q2 2:43
2ND & 4
OWN 30
0
86.5%
Jaquez Johnson pass incomplete to Henry BusseySimilar
Q2 2:34
3RD & 4
OWN 30
+15
87.0%
FLORIDA Penalty, Roughing Passer (Keanu Neal) to the FlAtl 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
85.7%
Jaquez Johnson pass complete to Jenson Stoshak for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 1:55
2ND & 5
50
0
84.9%
Jaquez Johnson pass incomplete to Jenson StoshakSimilar
Q2 1:51
3RD & 5
50
0
85.1%
Jaquez Johnson pass incomplete to Kamrin SolomonSimilar
Q2 1:44
4TH & 5
50
0
86.1%
Dalton Schomp punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Antonio Callaway at the Fla 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:2988% → 87%
Q2 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+1
87.7%
Jordan Cronkrite run for 1 yd to the Fla 7Similar
Q2 1:00
2ND & 9
OWN 7
+1
87.3%
Jordan Cronkrite run for 1 yd to the Fla 8Similar
Q2 0:17
3RD & 8
OWN 8
+4
86.2%
Treon Harris run for 4 yds to the Fla 12Similar
Q2 0:06
4TH & 4
OWN 12
+5
86.5%
Johnny Townsend punt for 57 yds , Jenson Stoshak returns for 5 yds to the FlAtl 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 12END OF HALF
1 play · 1 yds · 0:0015% → 15%
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
85.2%
Marcus Clark run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 1:2715% → 15%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
85.1%
Jaquez Johnson sacked by Khairi Clark for a loss of 3 yards to the FlAtl 22Similar
Q3 14:15
2ND & 13
OWN 22
0
85.0%
Jaquez Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:05
3RD & 13
OWN 22
-3
85.4%
Jaquez Johnson pass complete to Henry Bussey for a loss of 3 yards to the FlAtl 19Similar
Q3 13:23
4TH & 16
OWN 19
+1
85.5%
Dalton Schomp punt for 60 yds , Antonio Callaway returns for 1 yd to the Fla 22 FLORIDA Penalty, Illegal Block (10 Yards) to the Fla 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 1:4286% → 83%
Q3 13:23
1ST & 10
OWN 12
-5
86.0%
FLORIDA Penalty, False Start (Kelvin Taylor) to the Fla 7Similar
Q3 13:14
1ST & 15
OWN 7
+20
85.8%
Kelvin Taylor run for 20 yds to the Fla 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-1
85.8%
Kelvin Taylor run for a loss of 1 yard to the Fla 26Similar
Q3 12:15
2ND & 11
OWN 26
0
84.9%
Treon Harris pass incomplete to Demarcus RobinsonSimilar
Q3 12:07
3RD & 11
OWN 26
+1
84.1%
Treon Harris run for 1 yd to the Fla 27Similar
Q3 11:41
4TH & 10
OWN 27
0
83.3%
Johnny Townsend punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Jenson Stoshak at the FlAtl 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 15FUMBLE
6 plays · 19 yds · 1:3517% → 21%
Q3 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
82.6%
Jason Driskel pass incomplete to Henry BusseySimilar
Q3 11:28
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+9
82.8%
Jason Driskel run for 9 yds to the FlAtl 40Similar
Q3 11:19
3RD & 1
OWN 40
+2
81.3%
Jason Driskel run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+9
81.0%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Kalib Woods for 9 yds to the Fla 49Similar
Q3 10:40
2ND & 1
OPP 49
+8
79.7%
Jay Warren run for 8 yds to the Fla 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:01
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+48
79.4%
Jason Driskel sacked by Antonio Morrison for a loss of 9 yards to the FlAtl 50, Jason Driskel fumbled, forced by Antonio Morrison, recovered by Fla Taven Bryan , return for 48 yds to the FlAtl 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 16TD
2 plays · 2 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q3 9:44
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
92.9%
Kelvin Taylor 1 Yd Run (Austin Hardin Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 17PUNT
8 plays · 20 yds · 1:4810% → 9%
Q3 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
90.5%
Jaquez Johnson pass incomplete to Jenson StoshakSimilar
Q3 9:30
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
90.5%
Jaquez Johnson pass incomplete to Jenson StoshakSimilar
Q3 9:20
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+26
90.9%
Jaquez Johnson pass complete to Kamrin Solomon for 26 yds to the Fla 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
88.9%
Marcus Clark run for 4 yds to the Fla 45Similar
Q3 8:34
2ND & 6
OPP 45
-5
88.7%
Jaquez Johnson sacked by Cece Jefferson for a loss of 5 yards to the 50 yard line FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, Intentional Grounding ( Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 8:25
3RD & 11
50
-5
89.7%
Jaquez Johnson sacked by Jarrad Davis for a loss of 5 yards to the FlAtl 45Similar
Q3 7:47
4TH & 16
OWN 45
+46
90.6%
Dalton Schomp punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Antonio Callaway at the FLORIDA 17 FLORIDA Penalty, Personal Foul (Anthony Harrell) to the Fla 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 18TD
5 plays · 91 yds · 2:0891% → 96%
Q3 7:42
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+3
91.4%
Kelvin Taylor run for 3 yds to the Fla 12Similar
Q3 6:59
2ND & 7
OWN 12
+15
91.3%
FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Raekwon Williams) to the Fla 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:52
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
91.6%
Kelvin Taylor run for 4 yds to the Fla 31Similar
Q3 6:10
2ND & 6
OWN 31
+16
91.5%
Treon Harris pass complete to Jordan Cronkrite for 16 yds to the Fla 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:34
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+53
96.0%
Antonio Callaway 53 Yd pass from Treon Harris (Austin Hardin Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 19TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:085% → 14%
Q3 5:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
94.8%
Greg Howell run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 29Similar
Q3 4:55
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+28
94.9%
Jaquez Johnson pass complete to Jenson Stoshak for 28 yds to the Fla 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:32
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+12
94.3%
Greg Howell run for 12 yds to the Fla 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:18
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+10
93.8%
Greg Howell run for 10 yds to the Fla 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:35
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+9
94.0%
Greg Howell run for 9 yds to the Fla 12Similar
Q3 3:19
2ND & 1
OPP 12
+2
94.0%
Jaquez Johnson run for 2 yds to the Fla 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
93.9%
Jaquez Johnson pass incomplete to Kalib WoodsSimilar
Q3 2:43
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
0
94.1%
Greg Howell run for no gain to the Fla 10Similar
Q3 2:06
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
86.5%
Kalib Woods 10 Yd pass from Jaquez Johnson (Greg Joseph Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 20INT
7 plays · 47 yds · 3:1991% → 93%
Q3 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-13
90.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 13 yards to the Fla 9 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Fla Treon HarrisSimilar
Q3 1:10
2ND & 23
OWN 9
+9
91.2%
Kelvin Taylor run for 9 yds to the Fla 18Similar
Q3 0:30
3RD & 14
OWN 18
+25
90.9%
Treon Harris run for 25 yds to the Fla 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+7
92.8%
Josh Grady pass complete to Kelvin Taylor for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 14:16
2ND & 3
50
+19
93.0%
Kelvin Taylor run for 19 yds to the FlAtl 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:36
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
93.4%
Treon Harris pass intercepted, Sharrod Neasman return for no gain, touchback Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 21INT
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:4911% → 10%
Q4 13:32
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
89.5%
Jaquez Johnson pass incomplete to Jenson StoshakSimilar
Q4 13:23
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
89.6%
Jaquez Johnson run for no gain to the FlAtl 20Similar
Q4 12:43
3RD & 10
OWN 20
0
90.1%
Jaquez Johnson pass intercepted Jalen Tabor return for no gain to the FlAtl 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 22MISSED FG
4 plays · 6 yds · 2:0293% → 92%
Q4 12:35
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+6
93.4%
Kelvin Taylor run for 6 yds to the FlAtl 15Similar
Q4 12:02
2ND & 4
OPP 15
+1
93.4%
Kelvin Taylor run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 14Similar
Q4 11:15
3RD & 3
OPP 14
-1
92.9%
Kelvin Taylor run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlAtl 15Similar
Q4 10:33
4TH & 4
OPP 15
+34
92.4%
Austin Hardin 34 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 23PUNT
6 plays · 11 yds · 1:3811% → 11%
Q4 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
89.0%
Jay Warren run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 23Similar
Q4 10:00
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+7
88.8%
Jaquez Johnson pass complete to Kamrin Solomon for 7 yds to the FlAtl 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
88.1%
Jaquez Johnson run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 31Similar
Q4 9:08
2ND & 9
OWN 31
0
88.0%
Jaquez Johnson pass incomplete to Marcus ClarkSimilar
Q4 9:03
3RD & 9
OWN 31
0
89.0%
Jaquez Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:52
4TH & 9
OWN 31
0
89.5%
Dalton Schomp punt for 59 yds, downed at the Fla 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 24FUMBLE RETURN TD
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:4291% → 68%
Q4 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+6
91.3%
Jordan Scarlett run for 6 yds to the Fla 16Similar
Q4 8:03
2ND & 4
OWN 16
0
68.4%
Ocie Rose 0 Yd Fumble Return (Greg Joseph Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 25PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:2469% → 63%
Q4 7:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
68.6%
Treon Harris pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:47
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
68.1%
Kelvin Taylor run for 6 yds to the Fla 31Similar
Q4 7:10
3RD & 4
OWN 31
-3
66.5%
Treon Harris sacked by Robinson Eugene and Shalom Ogbonda for a loss of 3 yards to the Fla 28Similar
Q4 6:32
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
63.4%
Johnny Townsend punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Jenson Stoshak at the FlAtl 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 26FUMBLE
3 plays · 8 yds · 1:0442% → 46%
Q4 6:23
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
58.5%
Jaquez Johnson run for 6 yds to the FlAtl 42Similar
Q4 6:00
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+2
54.9%
Greg Howell run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 44Similar
Q4 5:19
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+9
54.2%
Jaquez Johnson run for 7 yds to the Fla 49 Jaquez Johnson fumbled, recovered by Fla Marcus Maye at the Fla 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 27PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 2:5770% → 64%
Q4 5:12
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
69.7%
Kelvin Taylor run for 5 yds to the FlAtl 48Similar
Q4 4:49
2ND & 5
OPP 48
+4
70.3%
Kelvin Taylor run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 44Similar
Q4 4:35
3RD & 1
OPP 44
+1
69.6%
Kelvin Taylor run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:50
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+2
69.3%
Antonio Callaway run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 41Similar
Q4 3:10
2ND & 8
OPP 41
+1
68.6%
Kelvin Taylor run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 40Similar
Q4 2:24
3RD & 7
OPP 40
0
67.1%
Treon Harris pass incomplete to Brandon PowellSimilar
Q4 2:15
4TH & 7
OPP 40
0
63.6%
Johnny Townsend punt for 37 yds, downed at the FlAtl 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 28PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 0:1944% → 44%
Q4 2:09
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+3
55.9%
Greg Howell run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 6Similar
Q4 2:05
2ND & 7
OWN 6
+1
53.6%
Greg Howell run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 7Similar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 6
OWN 7
0
54.5%
Jaquez Johnson pass incomplete to Jenson StoshakSimilar
Q4 1:50
4TH & 6
OWN 7
0
56.3%
Dalton Schomp punt for 34 yds, downed at the FlAtl 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 29PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:4164% → 57%
Q4 1:43
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+1
64.3%
Kelvin Taylor run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 40Similar
Q4 1:17
2ND & 9
OPP 40
0
63.6%
Treon Harris pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:09
3RD & 9
OPP 40
0
61.5%
Treon Harris pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:02
4TH & 9
OPP 40
0
56.6%
Johnny Townsend punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Jenson Stoshak at the FlAtl 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 30END OF GAME
4 plays · -4 yds · 0:3449% → 47%
Q4 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 7
-2
50.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlAtl 5Similar
Q4 0:57
2ND & 12
OWN 5
0
51.5%
TEAM run for no gain to the FlAtl 5Similar
Q4 0:25
3RD & 12
OWN 5
-2
52.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlAtl 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 31TD
3 plays · 25 yds · 0:0065% → 86%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+9
64.7%
Treon Harris run for 9 yds to the FlAtl 16Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 1
OPP 16
+3
64.7%
Kelvin Taylor run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
85.9%
Jake McGee 13 Yd pass from Treon Harris (Austin Hardin PAT blocked)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 32Uncategorized
8 plays · 13 yds · 0:0024% → 11%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
75.8%
Jaquez Johnson pass complete to Jenson Stoshak for 5 yds to the Fla 20Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 5
OPP 20
+3
74.5%
Marcus Clark run for 3 yds to the Fla 17Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 2
OPP 17
+8
79.9%
Jaquez Johnson run for 8 yds to the Fla 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-3
75.8%
Jaquez Johnson run for a loss of 3 yards to the Fla 12Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 12
0
78.1%
Jaquez Johnson pass incomplete to Jenson StoshakSimilar
OT 0:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 12
0
85.1%
Jaquez Johnson pass incomplete to Nate TerrySimilar
OT 0:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 12
0
89.2%
Jaquez Johnson pass incomplete to Jenson StoshakSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 8:03
Ocie Rose 0 Yd Fumble Return (Greg Joseph Kick)
-22.9
TD · OT 0:00
Jake McGee 13 Yd pass from Treon Harris (Austin Hardin PAT blocked)
+21.2
KEY PLAY · Q4 5:12
Kelvin Taylor run for 5 yds to the FlAtl 48
+15.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com