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VAN

Vanderbilt 7 at Florida 9

FLA
2015 · Week 10 · Nov 7, 2015 · Ben Hill Griffin Stadium
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Win probability · FLA
modelFLA aheadVAN aheadconfidence bandkey playFLA scoreVAN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 12:35 · Tommy Openshaw punt for 45 yds , Antonio Callaway returns for 11 yds to the Vandy 46
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+38.0+19.00−19.0−38.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 83Pregame prior+19.7Home team on offense−2.4Score differential−2.4Garbage-time factor−0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:48: Ralph Webb run for 74 yds for a TD, (Hayden Lekacz KICK) — VAN win probability +11.6 pts (now 28%) (top driver: VAN has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q4 10:57: Ralph Webb run for no gain to the Vandy 12 — VAN win probability +9.3 pts (now 45%) (top driver: VAN has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q4 5:27: Kelvin Taylor run for 3 yds to the Vandy 42 — FLA win probability +11.7 pts (now 61%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 2:22: Austin Hardin 43 yd FG GOOD — FLA win probability +25.8 pts (now 78%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 0:34: TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Vandy 46 — FLA win probability +11.5 pts (now 93%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FLA made the numbers' call on 7 of 8VAN made the numbers' call on 10 of 12
  1. Q1 13:12FLA 4th & 5 at VAN 5, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 88.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    88.6%
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    88.6%−<0.1
    92% to make
    Punt
    88.1%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:45VAN 4th & 11 at VAN 17, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.6%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.7%
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:10VAN 4th & 4 at FLA 37, down 6
    Close callPunted · 13.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    13.3%−0.3
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    13.2%−0.3
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:11FLA 4th & 3 at VAN 26, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 86.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    86.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    86.2%−0.2
    64% to make
    Punt
    84.9%−1.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:48VAN 4th & 20 at VAN 9, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.0%−0.9
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.9%
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:29VAN 4th & 15 at VAN 24, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.6%−1.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.9%
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:15FLA 4th & 2 at VAN 49, up 6
    Close callPunted · 85.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.5%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.9%−0.6
    average punt
  8. Q2 3:27VAN 4th & 12 at VAN 13, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.3%−1.5
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.8%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:59FLA 4th & 1 at VAN 43, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 84.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    84.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    83.8%−1.0
    28% to make
    Punt
    83.7%−1.1
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:14FLA 4th & 10 at FLA 38, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.4%−0.8
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.2%
    average punt
  11. Q3 12:35VAN 4th & 10 at VAN 12, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.6%−2.0
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.6%
    average punt
  12. Q3 10:54FLA 4th & 10 at VAN 46, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.9%−0.8
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    69.8%−1.9
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    71.7%
    average punt
  13. Q3 7:43VAN 4th & 14 at VAN 33, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.9%−3.6
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.5%
    average punt
  14. Q3 6:12FLA 4th & 12 at VAN 49, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.9%−2.3
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.1%
    average punt
  15. Q3 4:12VAN 4th & 1 at VAN 27, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 33.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    35.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    32.3%−3.3
    average punt
  16. Q3 2:09VAN 4th & 4 at VAN 35, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.3%−0.4
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.7%
    average punt
  17. Q4 14:39VAN 4th & 9 at VAN 22, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.6%−4.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.8%
    average punt
  18. Q4 5:37VAN 4th & 17 at VAN 33, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.0%−12.3
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.4%
    average punt
  19. Q4 2:22FLA 4th & 1 at VAN 25, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 53.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.2%−3.9
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    57.1%
    66% to make
    Punt
    33.6%−23.5
    average punt
  20. Q4 0:36VAN 4th & 25 at VAN 24, down 2
    Numbers favored punt by 1.7 ptsWent for it · 18.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.2%−1.7
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    11.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FLA made the numbers' call on 1 of 1VAN made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 6:16FLA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    87.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:48VAN Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    23.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    23.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FLADrive 1DOWNS
6 plays · 20 yds · 1:2488% → 87%
Q1 14:36
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+20
87.5%
Jordan Scarlett run for 20 yds to the Vandy 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-2
87.4%
Kelvin Taylor run for a loss of 2 yards to the Vandy 5Similar
Q1 13:24
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
87.3%
Treon Harris pass incomplete to Brandon PowellSimilar
Q1 13:19
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
87.3%
Treon Harris pass incomplete to Valdez ShowersSimilar
Q1 13:12
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
87.2%
Brandon Powell run for 2 yds to the Vandy 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 4:1713% → 14%
Q1 13:02
1ST & 10
OWN 3
-2
87.1%
Ralph Webb run for a loss of 2 yards to the Vandy 1Similar
Q1 12:22
2ND & 12
OWN 1
+2
87.0%
Ralph Webb run for 2 yds to the Vandy 3Similar
Q1 11:36
3RD & 10
OWN 3
+15
86.8%
Ralph Webb run for 15 yds to the Vandy 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-10
86.3%
Darrius Sims run for a loss of 10 yards to the Vandy 8 Darrius Sims fumbled, recovered by Vandy Darrius SimsSimilar
Q1 10:10
2ND & 20
OWN 8
+7
86.2%
Ralph Webb run for 7 yds to the Vandy 15Similar
Q1 9:29
3RD & 13
OWN 15
+2
86.1%
Ralph Webb run for 2 yds to the Vandy 17Similar
Q1 8:45
4TH & 11
OWN 17
+27
85.9%
Tommy Openshaw punt for 51 yds , Antonio Callaway returns for 27 yds to the Vandy 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 3TD
6 plays · 41 yds · 2:2286% → 87%
Q1 8:38
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
86.0%
Treon Harris pass incomplete to Chris ThompsonSimilar
Q1 8:29
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+24
86.0%
Treon Harris pass complete to DeAndre Goolsby for 24 yds to the Vandy 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:57
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+3
86.0%
Jordan Scarlett run for 3 yds to the Vandy 14Similar
Q1 7:28
2ND & 7
OPP 14
+1
85.8%
Brandon Powell run for 1 yd to the Vandy 13Similar
Q1 6:51
3RD & 6
OPP 13
+10
85.5%
Treon Harris run for 10 yds to the Vandy 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
86.7%
Kelvin Taylor run for 3 yds for a TD, (Neil MacInnes PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 4PUNT
9 plays · 38 yds · 2:5114% → 15%
Q1 6:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
86.1%
Trent Sherfield run for 17 yds to the Vandy 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:37
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+6
85.7%
Ralph Webb run for 6 yds to the Vandy 48Similar
Q1 5:25
2ND & 4
OWN 48
+2
85.5%
Ralph Webb run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 4:54
3RD & 2
50
+7
85.4%
Ralph Webb run for 7 yds to the Fla 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:35
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
85.2%
Josh Crawford run for no gain to the Fla 43Similar
Q1 4:24
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+6
85.2%
Johnny McCrary pass complete to Dallas Rivers for 6 yds to the Fla 37Similar
Q1 3:53
3RD & 4
OPP 37
0
85.0%
Dallas Rivers run for no gain to the Fla 37Similar
Q1 3:10
4TH & 4
OPP 37
0
85.2%
Tommy Openshaw punt for 22 yds, fair catch by Vernon Hargreaves III at the Fla 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 5FUMBLE
8 plays · 66 yds · 3:4686% → 85%
Q1 2:57
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+9
85.8%
Treon Harris pass complete to Demarcus Robinson for 9 yds to the Fla 24Similar
Q1 2:29
2ND & 1
OWN 24
0
85.7%
Jordan Scarlett run for no gain to the Fla 24Similar
Q1 1:40
3RD & 1
OWN 24
+7
85.3%
Kelvin Taylor run for 7 yds to the Fla 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+36
85.5%
Treon Harris pass complete to Demarcus Robinson for 36 yds to the Vandy 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:38
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
86.0%
Treon Harris pass incomplete to Antonio CallawaySimilar
Q1 0:30
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+3
85.9%
Brandon Powell run for 3 yds to the Vandy 30Similar
Q2 14:50
3RD & 7
OPP 30
+4
85.6%
Treon Harris run for 4 yds to the Vandy 26Similar
Q2 14:11
4TH & 3
OPP 26
+7
85.0%
Johnny Townsend pass complete to Cece Jefferson for 7 yds Cece Jefferson fumbled, forced by Caleb Azubike, recovered by Vandy Caleb AzubikeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · -10 yds · 1:1816% → 15%
Q2 14:06
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
84.4%
Johnny McCrary pass incomplete to Latevius RayfordSimilar
Q2 13:45
2ND & 10
OWN 19
-5
84.4%
Darrius Sims run for a loss of 5 yards to the Vandy 14Similar
Q2 13:29
3RD & 15
OWN 14
-5
84.7%
VANDERBILT Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Vandy 9Similar
Q2 12:58
3RD & 20
OWN 9
0
84.7%
Johnny McCrary pass incomplete to Latevius RayfordSimilar
Q2 12:48
4TH & 20
OWN 9
+8
84.9%
Tommy Openshaw punt for 44 yds , Antonio Callaway returns for 8 yds to the Vandy 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 7FUMBLE
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:4986% → 85%
Q2 12:34
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+11
85.7%
Treon Harris pass complete to Antonio Callaway for 11 yds to the Vandy 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:01
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+2
85.7%
Kelvin Taylor run for 2 yds to the Vandy 32Similar
Q2 11:23
2ND & 8
OPP 32
-5
85.7%
FLORIDA Penalty, False Start (Trip Thurman) to the Vandy 37Similar
Q2 10:57
2ND & 13
OPP 37
0
85.2%
Treon Harris pass incomplete to Brandon PowellSimilar
Q2 10:45
3RD & 13
OPP 37
+19
84.7%
Treon Harris run for 19 yds to the Vandy 18 Treon Harris fumbled, forced by Landon Stokes, recovered by Vandy Zach CunninghamSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 5 yds · 3:0016% → 16%
Q2 10:29
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+3
83.6%
Johnny McCrary run for 3 yds to the Vandy 22Similar
Q2 9:59
2ND & 7
OWN 22
0
83.3%
Johnny McCrary pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:42
3RD & 7
OWN 22
+7
83.7%
Johnny McCrary run for 7 yds to the Vandy 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-4
83.0%
Ralph Webb run for a loss of 4 yards to the Vandy 25Similar
Q2 9:10
2ND & 14
OWN 25
+1
83.3%
Darrius Sims run for 1 yd to the Vandy 26Similar
Q2 9:00
3RD & 13
OWN 26
-2
83.7%
Johnny McCrary sacked by Jalen Tabor for a loss of 2 yards to the Vandy 24Similar
Q2 7:29
4TH & 15
OWN 24
+16
84.2%
Tommy Openshaw punt for 49 yds , Antonio Callaway returns for 16 yds to the Fla 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:5385% → 84%
Q2 7:08
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
85.4%
Treon Harris pass complete to Demarcus Robinson for 4 yds to the Fla 47Similar
Q2 6:39
2ND & 6
OWN 47
+5
85.5%
Kelvin Taylor run for 5 yds to the Vandy 48Similar
Q2 5:50
3RD & 1
OPP 48
-1
85.0%
Kelvin Taylor run for a loss of 1 yard to the Vandy 49Similar
Q2 5:15
4TH & 2
OPP 49
+1
84.3%
Johnny Townsend punt for 35 yds , Ryan White returns for 1 yd to the Vandy 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 1:3917% → 16%
Q2 5:06
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+6
82.9%
Johnny McCrary run for 6 yds to the Vandy 21Similar
Q2 4:29
2ND & 4
OWN 21
-3
82.5%
Ralph Webb run for a loss of 3 yards to the Vandy 18Similar
Q2 3:52
3RD & 7
OWN 18
-5
83.2%
Johnny McCrary sacked by Alex McCalister for a loss of 5 yards to the Vandy 13Similar
Q2 3:27
4TH & 12
OWN 13
+2
83.6%
Tommy Openshaw punt for 53 yds , Antonio Callaway returns for 2 yds to the Fla 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 11INT
7 plays · 21 yds · 2:1885% → 84%
Q2 3:17
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
84.5%
Treon Harris pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:09
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+9
84.2%
Kelvin Taylor run for 9 yds to the Fla 45Similar
Q2 2:22
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+3
84.4%
Kelvin Taylor run for 3 yds to the Fla 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
84.8%
Demarcus Robinson pass incomplete to Treon HarrisSimilar
Q2 1:51
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+5
84.6%
Kelvin Taylor run for 5 yds to the Vandy 47Similar
Q2 1:35
3RD & 5
OPP 47
+4
84.4%
Treon Harris pass complete to Demarcus Robinson for 4 yds to the Vandy 43Similar
Q2 0:59
4TH & 1
OPP 43
0
83.6%
Treon Harris pass intercepted Ryan White return for no gain to the Vandy 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 12TD
1 play · 74 yds · 0:0028% → 28%
Q2 0:48
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+74
72.0%
Ralph Webb run for 74 yds for a TD, (Hayden Lekacz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 0:3074% → 71%
Q2 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
73.6%
Treon Harris pass complete to Demarcus Robinson for 13 yds to the Fla 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
74.5%
Treon Harris run for 2 yds to the Fla 40Similar
Q2 0:31
2ND & 8
OWN 40
-2
75.3%
Treon Harris sacked by Torey Agee for a loss of 2 yards to the Fla 38Similar
Q2 0:23
3RD & 10
OWN 38
0
72.6%
Treon Harris pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:14
4TH & 10
OWN 38
0
71.4%
Johnny Townsend punt for 56 yds, fair catch by Ryan White at the Vandy 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 14END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0029% → 29%
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 6
-1
71.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Vandy 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 2:1428% → 28%
Q3 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+1
71.6%
Darrius Sims run for 1 yd to the Vandy 13Similar
Q3 14:05
2ND & 9
OWN 13
-2
71.3%
Ralph Webb run for a loss of 2 yards to the Vandy 11Similar
Q3 13:19
3RD & 11
OWN 11
-4
71.7%
Johnny McCrary sacked by Alex McCalister for a loss of 4 yards to the Vandy 7Similar
Q3 12:49
4TH & 15
OWN 7
+5
72.7%
FLORIDA Penalty, Running Into Kicker (C.J. Worton) to the Vandy 12Similar
Q3 12:35
4TH & 10
OWN 12
+11
72.1%
Tommy Openshaw punt for 45 yds , Antonio Callaway returns for 11 yds to the Vandy 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:3375% → 70%
Q3 12:27
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
74.6%
Kelvin Taylor run for no gain to the Vandy 46Similar
Q3 11:49
2ND & 10
OPP 46
0
74.1%
Treon Harris pass incomplete to Valdez ShowersSimilar
Q3 11:10
3RD & 10
OPP 46
-5
71.6%
Treon Harris sacked by Nehemiah Mitchell for a loss of 5 yards to the Fla 49Similar
Q3 11:09
4TH & 15
OWN 49
+5
69.2%
VANDERBILT Penalty, 12 Men on the Field (5 Yards) to the Vandy 46Similar
Q3 10:54
4TH & 10
OPP 46
0
69.7%
Johnny Townsend punt for 46 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 3:0331% → 31%
Q3 10:46
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
68.9%
Ralph Webb run for 6 yds to the Vandy 26Similar
Q3 10:06
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+1
67.8%
Ralph Webb run for 1 yd to the Vandy 27Similar
Q3 9:29
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+10
68.1%
Dallas Rivers run for 10 yds to the Vandy 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:54
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
66.6%
Dallas Rivers run for 1 yd to the Vandy 38Similar
Q3 8:38
2ND & 9
OWN 38
+1
65.9%
Dallas Rivers run for 1 yd to the Vandy 39Similar
Q3 8:00
3RD & 8
OWN 39
-6
66.0%
Johnny McCrary sacked by Bryan Cox for a loss of 6 yards to the Vandy 33Similar
Q3 7:43
4TH & 14
OWN 33
+28
69.0%
Tommy Openshaw punt for 47 yds , Antonio Callaway returns for 28 yds to the FLORIDA 39 VANDERBILT Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the Vandy 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 18PUNT
6 plays · -2 yds · 1:3172% → 66%
Q3 7:43
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-5
72.0%
FLORIDA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Fla 48Similar
Q3 7:30
1ST & 15
OWN 48
+4
69.3%
Kelvin Taylor run for 4 yds to the Vandy 48Similar
Q3 7:06
2ND & 11
OPP 48
+4
71.3%
Kelvin Taylor run for 4 yds to the Vandy 44Similar
Q3 6:19
3RD & 7
OPP 44
0
70.6%
Treon Harris pass incomplete to Antonio CallawaySimilar
Q3 6:19
4TH & 7
OPP 44
-5
68.4%
FLORIDA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Vandy 49Similar
Q3 6:12
4TH & 12
OPP 49
0
65.5%
Johnny Townsend punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Ryan White at the Vandy 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 19PUNT
8 plays · 17 yds · 3:4135% → 37%
Q3 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+6
65.3%
Darrius Sims run for 6 yds to the Vandy 24Similar
Q3 5:29
2ND & 4
OWN 24
+3
64.2%
Ralph Webb run for 3 yds to the Vandy 27Similar
Q3 4:50
3RD & 1
OWN 27
0
64.1%
Ralph Webb run for no gain to the Vandy 27Similar
Q3 4:12
4TH & 1
OWN 27
+2
65.6%
Ralph Webb run for 2 yds to the Vandy 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:32
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
62.7%
Ralph Webb run for 1 yd to the Vandy 30Similar
Q3 2:58
2ND & 9
OWN 30
+5
62.3%
Dallas Rivers run for 5 yds to the Vandy 35Similar
Q3 2:24
3RD & 4
OWN 35
0
61.5%
Johnny McCrary pass incomplete to Kris KenteraSimilar
Q3 2:09
4TH & 4
OWN 35
+18
63.5%
Tommy Openshaw punt for 52 yds , Antonio Callaway returns for 18 yds to the Fla 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 20PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 1:4764% → 57%
Q3 2:09
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+15
64.2%
VANDERBILT Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the Fla 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:32
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-6
65.9%
Treon Harris sacked by Zach Cunningham for a loss of 6 yards to the Fla 40Similar
Q3 0:55
2ND & 16
OWN 40
-15
61.8%
Jordan Scarlett run for a loss of 15 yards to the Fla 25Similar
Q3 0:30
3RD & 31
OWN 25
0
58.5%
Treon Harris pass incomplete to Antonio CallawaySimilar
Q3 0:22
4TH & 31
OWN 25
0
57.3%
Johnny Townsend punt for 54 yds, fair catch by Darrius Sims at the Vandy 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:3640% → 38%
Q3 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
60.4%
Johnny McCrary pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:01
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+1
60.6%
Ralph Webb run for 1 yd to the Vandy 22Similar
Q4 14:52
3RD & 9
OWN 22
0
60.7%
Johnny McCrary pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:39
4TH & 9
OWN 22
0
62.3%
Tommy Openshaw punt for 47 yds , Vernon Hargreaves III returns for no gain to the Fla 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 22FUMBLE
7 plays · 57 yds · 3:2661% → 65%
Q4 14:32
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
60.7%
Kelvin Taylor run for 1 yd to the Fla 32Similar
Q4 13:44
2ND & 9
OWN 32
+18
59.7%
Treon Harris pass complete to Demarcus Robinson for 18 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:00
1ST & 10
50
+2
63.8%
Kelvin Taylor run for 2 yds to the Vandy 48Similar
Q4 12:30
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+12
63.6%
Treon Harris run for 12 yds to the Vandy 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:46
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+17
63.3%
Treon Harris pass complete to Brandon Powell for 17 yds to the Vandy 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:14
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
64.7%
Treon Harris pass incomplete to Chris ThompsonSimilar
Q4 11:06
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+7
64.6%
Treon Harris pass complete to Demarcus Robinson for 7 yds Demarcus Robinson fumbled, forced by Jay Woods, recovered by Vandy Zach Cunningham at Vandy 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 23PUNT
12 plays · 21 yds · 5:2045% → 51%
Q4 10:57
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
55.3%
Ralph Webb run for no gain to the Vandy 12Similar
Q4 10:00
2ND & 10
OWN 12
+17
53.8%
Johnny McCrary run for 2 yds to the Vandy 14 for a 1ST down FLORIDA Penalty, Personal Foul (Antonio Morrison) to the Vandy 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
52.0%
Ralph Webb run for no gain to the Vandy 29Similar
Q4 9:00
2ND & 10
OWN 29
-1
52.2%
Dallas Rivers run for a loss of 1 yard to the Vandy 28Similar
Q4 8:15
3RD & 11
OWN 28
+12
51.3%
Johnny McCrary run for 12 yds to the Vandy 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
45.0%
Johnny McCrary pass complete to Ronald Monroe for 3 yds to the Vandy 43Similar
Q4 6:59
2ND & 7
OWN 43
0
42.9%
Darrius Sims run for no gain to the Vandy 43Similar
Q4 6:15
3RD & 7
OWN 43
-5
42.7%
VANDERBILT Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Vandy 38Similar
Q4 5:47
3RD & 12
OWN 38
-5
45.8%
VANDERBILT Penalty, False Start (Bailey Granier) to the Vandy 33Similar
Q4 5:44
3RD & 17
OWN 33
0
48.1%
Ralph Webb run for no gain to the Vandy 33Similar
Q4 5:37
4TH & 17
OWN 33
0
49.2%
Tommy Openshaw punt for 12 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Vandy 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 24FG
7 plays · 20 yds · 3:0561% → 78%
Q4 5:27
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
60.9%
Kelvin Taylor run for 3 yds to the Vandy 42Similar
Q4 4:52
2ND & 7
OPP 42
+8
60.4%
Treon Harris pass complete to Demarcus Robinson for 8 yds to the Vandy 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:14
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+7
62.7%
Treon Harris pass complete to Demarcus Robinson for 7 yds to the Vandy 27Similar
Q4 3:55
2ND & 3
OPP 27
0
62.6%
Kelvin Taylor run for no gain to the Vandy 27Similar
Q4 3:13
3RD & 3
OPP 27
+2
58.2%
Kelvin Taylor run for 2 yds to the Vandy 25Similar
Q4 2:22
4TH & 1
OPP 25
+43
77.7%
Austin Hardin 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 25DOWNS
13 plays · 32 yds · 1:2632% → 19%
Q4 2:02
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
68.5%
Johnny McCrary run for no gain to the Vandy 13Similar
Q4 1:36
2ND & 10
OWN 13
0
69.0%
Johnny McCrary pass incomplete to Kris KenteraSimilar
Q4 1:31
3RD & 10
OWN 13
0
70.8%
Johnny McCrary pass incomplete to Caleb ScottSimilar
Q4 1:24
4TH & 10
OWN 13
+11
72.1%
FLORIDA Penalty, Defensive Holding (11 Yards) to the Vandy 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
71.2%
Johnny McCrary pass incomplete to Steven ScheuSimilar
Q4 1:10
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+15
71.6%
FLORIDA Penalty, Personal Foul (Jordan Sherit) to the Vandy 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:05
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
69.1%
Johnny McCrary pass incomplete to Caleb ScottSimilar
Q4 1:00
2ND & 10
OWN 39
-10
69.9%
Johnny McCrary sacked by Alex McCalister for a loss of 10 yards to the Vandy 29Similar
Q4 0:44
3RD & 20
OWN 29
0
77.2%
Johnny McCrary pass incomplete to Ralph WebbSimilar
Q4 0:44
4TH & 20
OWN 29
-5
78.1%
VANDERBILT Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Vandy 24Similar
Q4 0:36
4TH & 25
OWN 24
+21
81.1%
Johnny McCrary pass complete to Sam Dobbs for 21 yds to the Vandy 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 26END OF GAME
3 plays · -2 yds · 0:3393% → 95%
Q4 0:34
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-1
92.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Vandy 46Similar
Q4 0:01
2ND & 11
OPP 46
-1
95.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Vandy 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q4 2:22
Austin Hardin 43 yd FG GOOD
+25.8
KEY PLAY · Q4 5:27
Kelvin Taylor run for 3 yds to the Vandy 42
+11.7
TD · Q2 0:48
Ralph Webb run for 74 yds for a TD, (Hayden Lekacz KICK)
-11.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com