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UGA

Georgia 3 at Florida 27

FLA
2015 · Week 9 · Oct 31, 2015 · EverBank Stadium
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Win probability · FLA
modelFLA aheadUGA aheadconfidence bandkey playFLA scoreUGA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 13:30 · Sony Michel run for a loss of 3 yards to the Fla 39
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsPregame priorScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+35.0+17.50−17.5−35.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 47Home team on offense+1.5Score differential−0.1Garbage-time factor+0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.1Pregame prior+4.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 5:06: Antonio Callaway 66 Yd TD pass from Treon Harris (Austin Hardin Kick) — FLA win probability +9.3 pts (now 75%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q2 3:29: Timeout GEORGIA, clock 03:29 — FLA win probability +4.8 pts (now 81%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 2:39: Kelvin Taylor 3 Yd TD Run (Austin Hardin Kick) — FLA win probability +10.7 pts (now 91%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 10:21: Marshall Morgan 27 yd FG GOOD — UGA win probability +7.0 pts (now 15%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 10:11: Treon Harris pass complete to Jake McGee for 8 yds to the Fla 28 — FLA win probability +3.7 pts (now 98%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FLA made the numbers' call on 4 of 7UGA made the numbers' call on 5 of 8
  1. Q1 11:09FLA 4th & 10 at UGA 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 58.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.4%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    58.4%
    60% to make
    Punt
    58.0%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:58UGA 4th & 13 at UGA 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.1%−0.4
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.4%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:11FLA 4th & 5 at FLA 49, tied
    Close callPunted · 58.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.5%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:09UGA 4th & 1 at UGA 31, tied
    Close callPunted · 41.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.5%−0.4
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:26FLA 4th & 7 at FLA 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.6%−0.5
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.1%
    average punt
  6. Q1 0:00FLA 4th & 8 at UGA 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.5%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.6%
    average punt
  7. Q2 13:30UGA 4th & 1 at FLA 36, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 38.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    38.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    36.8%−1.8
    42% to make
    Punt
    36.5%−2.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 11:18FLA 4th & 5 at UGA 45, up 6
    Close callPunted · 64.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.7%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    63.6%−1.0
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    64.4%−0.3
    average punt
  9. Q2 7:45UGA 4th & 15 at UGA 35, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.1%−2.0
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.1%
    average punt
  10. Q2 1:20UGA 4th & 1 at UGA 34, down 20
    Close callPunted · 10.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.4%−0.7
    average punt
  11. Q3 14:01UGA 4th & 3 at UGA 32, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.3%−0.3
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.6%
    average punt
  12. Q3 10:21UGA 4th & 4 at FLA 9, down 20
    Close callKicked a field goal · 7.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.2%
    43% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    6.9%−0.3
    89% to make
    Punt
    1.0%−6.3
    average punt
  13. Q3 6:58FLA 4th & 10 at FLA 35, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.0%−1.4
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.4%
    average punt
  14. Q3 4:04UGA 4th & 5 at UGA 48, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 8.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.8%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    8.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 12:57FLA 4th & 9 at UGA 11, up 17
    Close callWent for it · 95.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    94.6%−0.5
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    95.1%
    87% to make
    Punt
    91.2%−3.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FLA made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q2 5:06FLA Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 2:39FLA Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 7:10FLA Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FLADrive 1MISSED FG
11 plays · 55 yds · 3:2156% → 56%
Q1 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+3
55.6%
Kelvin Taylor run for 3 yds to the Fla 20Similar
Q1 14:10
2ND & 7
OWN 20
+8
55.6%
Treon Harris run for 8 yds to the Fla 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:44
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+12
55.7%
Kelvin Taylor run for 12 yds to the Fla 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
55.8%
Treon Harris pass complete to Jake McGee for 6 yds to the Fla 46Similar
Q1 12:45
2ND & 4
OWN 46
+1
56.0%
Brandon Powell run for 1 yd to the Fla 47Similar
Q1 11:30
3RD & 3
OWN 47
+25
56.2%
Treon Harris pass complete to C'yontai Lewis for 25 yds to the Geo 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:25
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
56.4%
Treon Harris pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:19
2ND & 10
OPP 28
0
56.4%
Treon Harris pass incomplete to Jake McGee, broken up by Tim KimbroughSimilar
Q1 11:15
3RD & 10
OPP 28
0
56.3%
Treon Harris pass incomplete to Antonio CallawaySimilar
Q1 11:09
4TH & 10
OPP 28
+45
56.0%
Austin Hardin 45 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 2PUNT
6 plays · -3 yds · 2:0144% → 44%
Q1 10:59
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-10
55.8%
Michel, Sony rush left for 29 yards to the FLORIDA43, PENALTY GEORGIA holding (Hicks, Quayvon) 10 yards to the GEORGIA18, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:45
1ST & 20
OWN 18
+8
55.9%
Faton Bauta pass complete to Sony Michel for 8 yds to the Geo 26Similar
Q1 10:07
2ND & 12
OWN 26
-5
55.9%
GEORGIA Penalty, False Start (Kolton Houston) to the Geo 21Similar
Q1 9:45
2ND & 17
OWN 21
0
56.0%
Faton Bauta pass incomplete to Terry GodwinSimilar
Q1 9:30
3RD & 17
OWN 21
+4
56.2%
Brendan Douglas run for 4 yds to the Geo 25Similar
Q1 8:58
4TH & 13
OWN 25
0
56.4%
Brice Ramsey punt for 50 yds, downed at the Fla 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 24 yds · 3:1956% → 56%
Q1 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
56.0%
Kelvin Taylor run for 2 yds to the Fla 27Similar
Q1 8:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+4
56.1%
Treon Harris run for 4 yds to the Fla 31Similar
Q1 7:20
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+13
55.8%
Treon Harris run for 13 yds to the Fla 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
56.8%
Treon Harris run for no gain to the Fla 44Similar
Q1 6:00
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+5
56.6%
Kelvin Taylor run for 5 yds to the Fla 49Similar
Q1 5:19
3RD & 5
OWN 49
0
56.8%
Treon Harris pass incomplete to Demarcus RobinsonSimilar
Q1 5:11
4TH & 5
OWN 49
0
56.2%
Johnny Townsend punt for 29 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Geo 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:5144% → 44%
Q1 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+9
56.0%
Faton Bauta pass complete to Terry Godwin for 9 yds to the Geo 31Similar
Q1 4:30
2ND & 1
OWN 31
0
55.4%
Brendan Douglas run for no gain to the Geo 31Similar
Q1 3:30
3RD & 1
OWN 31
0
55.7%
Brendan Douglas run for no gain to the Geo 31Similar
Q1 3:09
4TH & 1
OWN 31
0
56.3%
Brice Ramsey punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Vernon Hargreaves III at the Fla 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:3456% → 55%
Q1 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
56.4%
Treon Harris pass incomplete to Jordan CronkriteSimilar
Q1 2:30
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+5
56.5%
Kelvin Taylor run for 5 yds to the Fla 34Similar
Q1 2:00
3RD & 5
OWN 34
-2
56.0%
Treon Harris sacked by Davin Bellamy and James DeLoach for a loss of 2 yards to the Fla 32Similar
Q1 1:26
4TH & 7
OWN 32
0
55.3%
Johnny Townsend punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Reggie Davis at the Geo 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 6INT
2 plays · 5 yds · 0:0045% → 45%
Q1 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
55.0%
Faton Bauta pass complete to Jeb Blazevich for 5 yds to the Geo 35Similar
Q1 1:00
2ND & 5
OWN 35
0
54.6%
Faton Bauta pass intercepted by Marcus Maye, returned for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 7TD
6 plays · 2 yds · 0:3058% → 61%
Q1 0:30
1ST & 10
50
+2
58.1%
Kelvin Taylor run for 2 yds to the Geo 48Similar
Q1 0:15
2ND & 8
OPP 48
0
58.2%
Treon Harris pass incomplete, broken up by Chris MayesSimilar
Q1 0:05
3RD & 8
OPP 48
0
57.6%
Treon Harris pass incomplete to Demarcus RobinsonSimilar
Q1 0:00
4TH & 8
OPP 48
0
60.8%
Johnny Townsend punt for 43 yds , Reggie Davis returns for a loss of 5 yards, fumbled, recovered by Fla Nick Washington for a TD, (Austin Hardin PAT BLOCKED)Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-15
61.3%
FLORIDA Penalty, Personal Foul (Taven Bryan) to the Fla 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 8DOWNS
6 plays · 19 yds · 1:0040% → 39%
Q2 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+13
60.5%
Faton Bauta pass complete to Malcolm Mitchell for 13 yds to the Fla 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:14
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-2
59.8%
Faton Bauta run for a loss of 2 yards to the Fla 47Similar
Q2 14:00
2ND & 12
OPP 47
+11
60.7%
Faton Bauta pass complete to Sony Michel for 11 yds to the Fla 36Similar
Q2 13:45
3RD & 1
OPP 36
0
59.8%
Faton Bauta pass incomplete to Jay RomeSimilar
Q2 13:30
4TH & 1
OPP 36
-3
60.8%
Sony Michel run for a loss of 3 yards to the Fla 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 16 yds · 1:4263% → 63%
Q2 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+11
63.1%
Kelvin Taylor run for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:30
1ST & 10
50
+1
63.9%
Kelvin Taylor run for 1 yd to the Geo 49Similar
Q2 12:12
2ND & 9
OPP 49
+4
64.0%
Kelvin Taylor run for 4 yds to the Geo 45Similar
Q2 11:30
3RD & 5
OPP 45
0
63.9%
Treon Harris pass incomplete to Brandon PowellSimilar
Q2 11:18
4TH & 5
OPP 45
0
63.0%
Johnny Townsend punt for 42 yds, downed at the Geo 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 10PUNT
11 plays · 32 yds · 3:1537% → 34%
Q2 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+1
63.2%
Sony Michel run for 1 yd to the Geo 4Similar
Q2 10:30
2ND & 9
OWN 4
+2
63.6%
Faton Bauta pass complete to Christian Payne for 2 yds to the Geo 6 GEORGIA Penalty, Illegal Formation ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 9:58
3RD & 7
OWN 6
+9
64.2%
Faton Bauta pass complete to Malcolm Mitchell for 9 yds to the Geo 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:29
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+13
63.2%
Faton Bauta pass complete to Jay Rome for 13 yds to the Geo 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
62.8%
Sony Michel run for 3 yds to the Geo 31Similar
Q2 8:40
2ND & 7
OWN 31
+9
63.3%
Faton Bauta pass complete to Malcolm Mitchell for 9 yds to the Geo 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
62.7%
Faton Bauta pass incomplete to Reggie Davis, broken up by Vernon Hargreaves IIISimilar
Q2 8:02
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
63.7%
Faton Bauta pass incomplete to Malcolm MitchellSimilar
Q2 8:02
3RD & 10
OWN 40
-5
64.5%
GEORGIA Penalty, Illegal Substitution (-5 Yards) to the Geo 35Similar
Q2 7:56
3RD & 15
OWN 35
0
65.7%
Faton Bauta pass incomplete to Terry Godwin, broken up by Keanu NealSimilar
Q2 7:45
4TH & 15
OWN 35
0
66.0%
Brice Ramsey punt for 44 yds, downed at the Fla 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 11TD
6 plays · 79 yds · 2:3365% → 75%
Q2 7:39
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
65.2%
Treon Harris pass incomplete to Brandon PowellSimilar
Q2 7:00
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+7
65.3%
Kelvin Taylor run for 7 yds to the Fla 28Similar
Q2 6:30
3RD & 3
OWN 28
+6
65.1%
Kelvin Taylor run for 6 yds to the Fla 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-5
66.0%
FLORIDA Penalty, False Start (C'yontai Lewis) to the Fla 29Similar
Q2 5:30
1ST & 15
OWN 29
+5
66.1%
Jordan Scarlett run for 5 yds to the Fla 34Similar
Q2 5:06
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+66
75.4%
Antonio Callaway 66 Yd TD pass from Treon Harris (Austin Hardin Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 12INT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:1525% → 24%
Q2 4:44
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
75.1%
Sony Michel run for 1 yd to the Geo 21Similar
Q2 4:00
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+2
75.8%
Sony Michel run for 2 yds to the Geo 23Similar
Q2 3:29
3RD & 7
OWN 23
+20
76.3%
Faton Bauta pass intercepted Vernon Hargreaves III return for 20 yds to the Geo 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 13TD
3 plays · 5 yds · 0:2180% → 91%
Q2 3:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
80.1%
Kelvin Taylor run for 2 yds to the Geo 3Similar
Q2 2:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
90.8%
Kelvin Taylor 3 Yd TD Run (Austin Hardin Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:0011% → 11%
Q2 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
88.6%
Faton Bauta run for 9 yds to the Geo 34Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
0
87.5%
Sony Michel run for no gain to the Geo 34Similar
Q2 1:28
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
88.4%
Faton Bauta pass incomplete to Terry GodwinSimilar
Q2 1:20
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
88.7%
Brice Ramsey punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Vernon Hargreaves III at the Fla 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 15END OF HALF
4 plays · 23 yds · 1:0092% → 93%
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+23
92.0%
Kelvin Taylor run for 23 yds to the Geo 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:50
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
92.6%
Kelvin Taylor run for 3 yds to the Geo 44Similar
Q2 0:39
2ND & 7
OPP 44
+2
92.6%
Kelvin Taylor run for 2 yds to the Geo 42Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 5
OPP 42
-5
92.7%
Treon Harris sacked by Davin Bellamy for a loss of 5 yards to the Geo 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:499% → 9%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
90.7%
Faton Bauta pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:30
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
91.0%
Faton Bauta pass complete to Jeb Blazevich for 7 yds to the Geo 32Similar
Q3 14:11
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
91.2%
Faton Bauta pass incomplete to Reggie DavisSimilar
Q3 14:01
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+1
91.5%
Brice Ramsey punt for 47 yds , Antonio Callaway returns for 1 yd to the Fla 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 17FUMBLE
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:2093% → 93%
Q3 13:47
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-10
92.7%
Taylor, Kelvin rush over left end for 8 yards to the FLORIDA30, PENALTY FLORIDA holding (Ivey, Martez) 10 yards to the FLORIDA12, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 13:00
1ST & 20
OWN 12
+3
93.2%
Jordan Scarlett run for 3 yds to the Fla 15Similar
Q3 12:30
2ND & 17
OWN 15
+11
93.5%
Treon Harris pass complete to Antonio Callaway for 11 yds to the Fla 26Similar
Q3 12:27
3RD & 6
OWN 26
-1
93.4%
Treon Harris run for a loss of 1 yard to the Fla 25 Treon Harris fumbled, forced by Davin Bellamy, recovered by Geo Davin BellamySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 18FG
6 plays · 16 yds · 1:3910% → 15%
Q3 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
90.0%
Sony Michel run for 2 yds to the Fla 23Similar
Q3 11:30
2ND & 8
OPP 23
+8
89.5%
Faton Bauta pass complete to Terry Godwin for 8 yds to the Fla 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:13
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
89.6%
Faton Bauta pass incomplete to Christian PayneSimilar
Q3 10:30
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+6
91.0%
Sony Michel run for 6 yds to the Fla 9Similar
Q3 10:26
3RD & 4
OPP 9
0
91.6%
Faton Bauta pass incomplete to Sony MichelSimilar
Q3 10:21
4TH & 4
OPP 9
+27
84.6%
Marshall Morgan 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 19PUNT
8 plays · 15 yds · 3:0288% → 90%
Q3 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
88.3%
Kelvin Taylor run for 3 yds to the Fla 23Similar
Q3 9:30
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+3
89.0%
Treon Harris run for 3 yds to the Fla 26Similar
Q3 8:50
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+9
89.3%
Treon Harris pass complete to Jake McGee for 9 yds to the Fla 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
90.3%
Kelvin Taylor run for 2 yds to the Fla 37Similar
Q3 7:30
2ND & 8
OWN 37
-2
90.5%
Jordan Cronkrite run for a loss of 2 yards to the Fla 35Similar
Q3 7:08
3RD & 10
OWN 35
0
90.2%
Treon Harris pass incomplete to Antonio CallawaySimilar
Q3 6:58
4TH & 10
OWN 35
+1
89.7%
Johnny Townsend punt for 37 yds , Reggie Davis returns for 1 yd to the Geo 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 20DOWNS
6 plays · 19 yds · 2:2611% → 9%
Q3 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+9
89.3%
Keith Marshall run for 9 yds to the Geo 38Similar
Q3 6:19
2ND & 1
OWN 38
+5
88.9%
Keith Marshall run for 5 yds to the Geo 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
89.2%
Faton Bauta pass complete to Keith Marshall for 6 yds to the Geo 49Similar
Q3 5:15
2ND & 4
OWN 49
+2
89.1%
Keith Marshall run for 2 yds to the Fla 49Similar
Q3 4:30
3RD & 2
OPP 49
-3
90.5%
Faton Bauta sacked by Brian Poole for a loss of 3 yards to the Geo 48Similar
Q3 4:04
4TH & 5
OWN 48
0
91.0%
Brice Ramsey pass incomplete to Roquan SmithSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 21DOWNS
14 plays · 37 yds · 5:5493% → 98%
Q3 3:51
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-14
92.6%
Demarcus Robinson run for 1 yd to the Fla 47 FLORIDA Penalty, Player Disqualification (Jordan Cronkrite) to the Fla 38Similar
Q3 3:05
1ST & 24
OWN 38
0
92.5%
Treon Harris run for no gain to the Fla 38 FLORIDA Penalty, Offensive Holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 2:51
2ND & 24
OWN 38
+33
92.6%
Treon Harris pass complete to Antonio Callaway for 33 yds to the Geo 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:20
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-3
94.1%
Treon Harris pass complete to Brandon Powell for a loss of 3 yards to the Geo 32Similar
Q3 1:45
2ND & 13
OPP 32
+1
94.2%
Kelvin Taylor run for 1 yd to the Geo 31Similar
Q3 1:00
3RD & 12
OPP 31
+19
94.3%
Treon Harris run for 19 yds to the Geo 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+7
95.0%
Jordan Scarlett run for 7 yds to the Geo 5Similar
Q4 14:50
2ND & 3
OPP 5
+2
95.1%
Jordan Scarlett run for 2 yds to the Geo 3Similar
Q4 14:26
3RD & 1
OPP 3
-4
95.4%
FLORIDA Penalty, False Start (Bryan Cox) to the Geo 7Similar
Q4 13:50
3RD & 5
OPP 7
-4
95.9%
Kelvin Taylor run for a loss of 4 yards to the Geo 11Similar
Q4 12:57
4TH & 9
OPP 11
0
97.8%
Treon Harris pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 22INT
10 plays · 86 yds · 2:316% → 6%
Q4 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+14
94.5%
Faton Bauta pass complete to Terry Godwin for 14 yds to the Geo 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+29
94.5%
Faton Bauta pass complete to Malcolm Mitchell for 29 yds to the Fla 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+15
94.1%
Bauta, Faton pass deep right sideline incomplete to Mitchell, Malcolm thrown to the FLORIDA2, PENALTY FLORIDA roughing passer (McMillian, Daniel) 15 yards to the FLORIDA31, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN GEORGIA.Similar
Q4 11:49
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+7
93.5%
Sony Michel run for 7 yds to the Fla 24Similar
Q4 11:24
2ND & 3
OPP 24
0
93.9%
Faton Bauta pass incomplete to Jeb BlazevichSimilar
Q4 11:18
3RD & 3
OPP 24
+11
94.4%
Faton Bauta pass complete to Terry Godwin for 11 yds to the Fla 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:50
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
94.4%
Faton Bauta pass incomplete to Jay RomeSimilar
Q4 10:38
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+10
94.4%
Sony Michel run for 10 yds to the Fla 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
94.3%
Faton Bauta pass incomplete, broken up by Bryan CoxSimilar
Q4 10:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
94.5%
Faton Bauta pass intercepted, touchback. Keanu Neal return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 23TD
6 plays · 80 yds · 3:0198% → 100%
Q4 10:11
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
98.2%
Treon Harris pass complete to Jake McGee for 8 yds to the Fla 28Similar
Q4 9:38
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+3
98.3%
Kelvin Taylor run for 3 yds to the Fla 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
98.4%
Kelvin Taylor run for 3 yds to the Fla 34Similar
Q4 8:04
2ND & 7
OWN 34
+60
98.5%
Jordan Scarlett run for 60 yds to the Geo 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:32
1ST & 0
OPP 6
-10
98.6%
Scarlett, Jordan rush right for 2 yards to the GEORGIA4, out-of-bounds, PENALTY FLORIDA holding (McGee, Jake) 10 yards to the GEORGIA16, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 16
+16
99.6%
Kelvin Taylor 16 Yd TD Run (Austin Hardin Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 24INT
6 plays · 16 yds · 1:331% → 1%
Q4 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+6
99.2%
Sony Michel run for 6 yds to the Geo 24Similar
Q4 6:00
2ND & 4
OWN 24
+8
99.2%
Sony Michel run for 8 yds to the Geo 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
99.2%
Faton Bauta pass incomplete to Malcolm MitchellSimilar
Q4 5:30
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+2
99.3%
Sony Michel run for 2 yds to the Geo 34Similar
Q4 5:17
3RD & 8
OWN 34
0
99.3%
Faton Bauta pass intercepted Jarrad Davis return for no gain to the Geo 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 25END OF HALF
7 plays · 27 yds · 4:30100% → 100%
Q4 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+6
99.7%
Jordan Scarlett run for 6 yds to the Geo 32Similar
Q4 4:00
2ND & 4
OPP 32
+2
99.7%
Jordan Scarlett run for 2 yds to the Geo 30Similar
Q4 3:00
3RD & 2
OPP 30
+5
99.8%
Jordan Scarlett run for 5 yds to the Geo 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:30
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+6
99.8%
Jordan Scarlett run for 6 yds to the Geo 19Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 4
OPP 19
+3
99.8%
Kelvin Taylor run for 3 yds to the Geo 16Similar
Q4 1:20
3RD & 1
OPP 16
+3
99.8%
Kelvin Taylor run for 3 yds to the Geo 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+2
99.8%
Mark Herndon run for 2 yds to the Geo 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 2:39
Kelvin Taylor 3 Yd TD Run (Austin Hardin Kick)
+10.7
TD · Q2 5:06
Antonio Callaway 66 Yd TD pass from Treon Harris (Austin Hardin Kick)
+9.3
FG · Q3 10:21
Marshall Morgan 27 yd FG GOOD
-7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com