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ECU

East Carolina 24 at Florida 31

FLA
2015 · Week 2 · Sep 12, 2015 · Ben Hill Griffin Stadium
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Win probability · FLA
modelFLA aheadECU aheadconfidence bandkey playFLA scoreECU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 13:44 · Johnny Townsend punt for 50 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ECaro 27 , Quay Johnson returns for 9 yds to the ECaro 27
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+37.5+18.80−18.8−37.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 52Pregame prior+29.0Home team on offense+1.0Garbage-time factor+0.1Score differential−0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.2Blowout margin−0.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 10:43: Blake Kemp pass complete to Isaiah Jones for 27 yds for a TD, (Davis Plowman KICK) — ECU win probability +17.3 pts (now 40%) (top driver: ECU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 7:11: Will Grier pass complete to Demarcus Robinson for 6 yds for a TD, (Austin Hardin KICK) — FLA win probability +8.2 pts (now 79%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 3:32: Blake Kemp pass intercepted for a TD Jalen Tabor return for 39 yds for a TD, (Austin Hardin KICK) — FLA win probability +15.3 pts (now 88%) (top driver: ECU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 6:57: Kelvin Taylor run for 7 yds for a TD, (Austin Hardin KICK) — FLA win probability +7.1 pts (now 97%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 3:04: Blake Kemp pass complete to Bryce Williams for 7 yds for a TD, (Davis Plowman KICK) — ECU win probability +10.9 pts (now 18%) (top driver: ECU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FLA made the numbers' call on 8 of 8ECU made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 11:26FLA 4th & 9 at FLA 18, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.0%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:58ECU 4th & 4 at ECU 26, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.2%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:08ECU 4th & 2 at ECU 33, up 4
    Close callPunted · 23.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00ECU 4th & 12 at ECU 38, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.5%−0.5
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.0%
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:44FLA 4th & 6 at FLA 32, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.4%−0.5
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.9%
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:11FLA 4th & 8 at ECU 17, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 76.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.1%−0.4
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    76.5%
    80% to make
    Punt
    73.0%−3.5
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:11ECU 4th & 20 at ECU 20, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.5%−1.9
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.4%
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:05FLA 4th & 4 at ECU 17, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 75.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.5%−0.2
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    74.7%
    80% to make
    Punt
    70.4%−4.3
    average punt
  9. Q3 15:00FLA 4th & 5 at ECU 47, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.9%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.1%
    average punt
  10. Q3 12:15ECU 4th & 10 at ECU 22, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.3%−2.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.3%
    average punt
  11. Q3 7:11ECU 4th & 8 at ECU 27, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.5%−1.6
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.1%
    average punt
  12. Q3 5:32FLA 4th & 9 at FLA 37, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.9%−1.4
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.3%
    average punt
  13. Q4 15:00ECU 4th & 30 at FLA 39, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.7%−1.7
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    12.4%−0.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    12.4%
    average punt
  14. Q4 12:25ECU 4th & 6 at FLA 13, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 13.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.0%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    13.1%
    85% to make
    Punt
    7.1%−6.0
    average punt
  15. Q4 12:25FLA 4th & 1 at ECU 25, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 87.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    87.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    85.0%−2.6
    66% to make
    Punt
    77.6%−10.0
    average punt
  16. Q4 2:02FLA 4th & 5 at FLA 30, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.2%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.3%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FLA made the numbers' call on 3 of 4ECU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 11:26ECU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    20.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    20.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:49FLA Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 10:43ECU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 7:11FLA Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 3:32FLA Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 6:57FLA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.4%−0.3
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.6%
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 3:04ECU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    6.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    6.1%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ECUDrive 1TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:3413% → 15%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
87.3%
Blake Kemp pass complete to Isaiah Jones for 2 yds to the ECaro 27Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-5
87.3%
EAST CAROLINA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the ECaro 22Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+7
87.3%
Chris Hairston run for 7 yds to the ECaro 29Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+12
87.3%
Blake Kemp pass complete to Jimmy Williams for 12 yds to the ECaro 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
87.3%
Chris Hairston run for 2 yds to the ECaro 43Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+21
87.3%
Blake Kemp pass complete to Davon Grayson for 21 yds to the Fla 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-5
87.3%
EAST CAROLINA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Fla 41Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 15
OPP 41
+3
87.3%
Chris Hairston run for 3 yds to the Fla 38Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 12
OPP 38
+7
87.3%
Blake Kemp pass complete to Brandon Bishop for 7 yds to the Fla 31Similar
Q1 11:26
3RD & 5
OPP 31
+31
85.4%
Blake Kemp pass complete to Davon Grayson for 31 yds for a TD, (Davis Plowman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0086% → 86%
Q1 11:26
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+4
85.6%
Kelvin Taylor run for 4 yds to the Fla 21Similar
Q1 11:26
2ND & 6
OWN 21
-9
85.6%
Will Grier sacked by Jordan Williams for a loss of 9 yards to the Fla 12Similar
Q1 11:26
3RD & 15
OWN 12
+6
85.6%
Will Grier pass complete to Kelvin Taylor for 6 yds to the Fla 18Similar
Q1 11:26
4TH & 9
OWN 18
+6
85.5%
Johnny Townsend punt for 58 yds , Quay Johnson returns for 6 yds to the ECaro 24 EAST CAROLINA Penalty, illegal block (Anthony Scott) to the ECaro 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0016% → 16%
Q1 8:58
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
84.2%
Chris Hairston run for no gain to the ECaro 20Similar
Q1 8:58
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
84.2%
Blake Kemp pass incomplete to Isaiah Jones, broken up by Brian PooleSimilar
Q1 8:58
3RD & 10
OWN 20
+6
84.4%
Blake Kemp pass complete to Chris Hairston for 6 yds to the ECaro 26Similar
Q1 8:58
4TH & 4
OWN 26
0
84.4%
Worth Gregory punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Fla 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 4FG
10 plays · 38 yds · 3:4184% → 83%
Q1 7:49
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-5
83.9%
FLORIDA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Fla 37Similar
Q1 7:49
1ST & 15
OWN 37
+11
83.7%
Jordan Cronkrite run for 11 yds to the Fla 48Similar
Q1 7:49
2ND & 4
OWN 48
+4
84.1%
Jordan Cronkrite run for 4 yds to the ECaro 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:49
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+26
84.1%
Will Grier pass complete to Brandon Powell for 26 yds to the ECaro 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:49
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+4
84.3%
Kelvin Taylor run for 4 yds to the ECaro 18Similar
Q1 7:49
2ND & 6
OPP 18
+15
84.3%
Grier,W. slant pass incomplete to Showers,V. (SCARFONE, Rocco), PENALTY ECU pass interference (SCARFONE, Rocco) 15 yards to the ECU3, 1ST DOWN UF, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-2
84.3%
Kelvin Taylor run for a loss of 2 yards to the ECaro 5Similar
Q1 7:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
84.3%
Will Grier pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:03
3RD & GOAL
OPP 20
0
82.3%
Will Grier run for no gain to the ECaro 20Similar
Q1 4:08
4TH & 0
OPP 20
+37
83.0%
Austin Hardin 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0017% → 17%
Q1 4:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
82.7%
Chris Hairston run for 2 yds to the ECaro 27Similar
Q1 4:08
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+5
82.7%
Chris Hairston run for 5 yds to the ECaro 32Similar
Q1 4:08
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+1
82.7%
Chris Hairston run for 1 yd to the ECaro 33Similar
Q1 4:08
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
82.9%
Worth Gregory punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Fla 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 6TD
4 plays · 74 yds · 1:2382% → 84%
Q1 2:12
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+34
81.7%
Will Grier pass complete to DeAndre Goolsby for 34 yds to the ECaro 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:12
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
82.6%
Jordan Scarlett run for 2 yds to the ECaro 38Similar
Q1 2:12
2ND & 8
OPP 38
+6
82.6%
Jordan Cronkrite run for 6 yds to the ECaro 32Similar
Q1 0:49
3RD & 2
OPP 32
+32
84.0%
Will Grier pass complete to DeAndre Goolsby for 32 yds for a TD, (Austin Hardin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 7PUNT
8 plays · 13 yds · 0:4917% → 16%
Q1 0:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
83.5%
Chris Hairston run for no gain to the ECaro 25Similar
Q1 0:49
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
83.5%
Blake Kemp pass complete to Davon Grayson for 5 yds to the ECaro 30Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+10
83.3%
Blake Kemp pass complete to Bryce Williams for 10 yds to the ECaro 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
82.7%
Blake Kemp pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 40
-2
82.8%
Anthony Scott run for a loss of 2 yards to the ECaro 38Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 38
0
83.3%
Blake Kemp pass incomplete to Jimmy WilliamsSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 12
OWN 38
+6
83.6%
Worth Gregory punt for 40 yds , Antonio Callaway returns for 6 yds to the Fla 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0083% → 82%
Q2 13:44
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
82.7%
Jordan Cronkrite run for no gain to the Fla 28Similar
Q2 13:44
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+6
82.6%
Will Grier pass complete to C'yontai Lewis for 6 yds to the Fla 34Similar
Q2 13:44
3RD & 4
OWN 34
+3
82.5%
Will Grier pass complete to Brandon Powell for 3 yds to the Fla 37Similar
Q2 13:44
4TH & 1
OWN 37
-5
82.3%
FLORIDA Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Fla 32Similar
Q2 13:44
4TH & 6
OWN 32
+9
82.0%
Johnny Townsend punt for 50 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ECaro 27 , Quay Johnson returns for 9 yds to the ECaro 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 9FUMBLE
2 plays · -8 yds · 0:0018% → 18%
Q2 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-7
81.9%
Chris Hairston run for a loss of 7 yards to the ECaro 20 EAST CAROLINA Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 11:15
2ND & 17
OWN 20
+2
82.2%
James Summers pass complete to Davon Grayson for 2 yds Davon Grayson fumbled, forced by Marcus Maye, recovered by Fla Brian PooleSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 10MISSED FG
5 plays · 2 yds · 2:2883% → 82%
Q2 10:39
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+4
83.1%
Kelvin Taylor run for 4 yds to the ECaro 15Similar
Q2 10:39
2ND & 6
OPP 15
-5
83.1%
FLORIDA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the ECaro 20Similar
Q2 10:39
2ND & 11
OPP 20
+7
83.0%
Treon Harris pass complete to Ahmad Fulwood for 7 yds to the ECaro 13Similar
Q2 10:39
3RD & 4
OPP 13
-4
82.6%
Treon Harris sacked by Devaris Brunson for a loss of 4 yards to the ECaro 17Similar
Q2 8:11
4TH & 8
OPP 17
+34
81.7%
Austin Hardin 34 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 11PUNT
9 plays · 0 yds · 0:0019% → 18%
Q2 8:11
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
81.1%
Chris Hairston run for no gain to the ECaro 20Similar
Q2 8:11
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+9
81.2%
James Summers pass complete to Bryce Williams for 9 yds to the ECaro 29Similar
Q2 8:11
3RD & 1
OWN 29
-4
81.1%
Chris Hairston run for a loss of 4 yards to the ECaro 25Similar
Q2 8:11
4TH & 5
OWN 25
+5
82.0%
GREGORY, Worth punt 53 yards to the UF22, fair catch by Callaway,A., PENALTY UF roughing the kicker (McCalister,A.) 5 yards to the ECU30, 1ST DOWN ECU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:11
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
80.9%
James Summers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:11
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+1
81.1%
James Summers run for 1 yd to the ECaro 31Similar
Q2 8:11
3RD & 9
OWN 31
-5
81.6%
EAST CAROLINA Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the ECaro 26Similar
Q2 8:11
3RD & 14
OWN 26
-6
81.8%
Blake Kemp sacked by Joey Ivie for a loss of 6 yards to the ECaro 20 EAST CAROLINA Penalty, intentional grounding (Blake Kemp) to the ECaro 20Similar
Q2 8:11
4TH & 20
OWN 20
0
82.2%
Worth Gregory punt for 48 yds , Antonio Callaway returns for no gain to the Fla 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 12MISSED FG
10 plays · 51 yds · 3:4681% → 80%
Q2 4:51
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+18
80.5%
Jordan Cronkrite run for 18 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:33
1ST & 10
50
+14
82.3%
Treon Harris run for 14 yds to the ECaro 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:33
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+9
82.5%
Jordan Cronkrite run for 9 yds to the ECaro 27Similar
Q2 4:33
2ND & 1
OPP 27
+4
82.9%
Jordan Scarlett run for 4 yds to the ECaro 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:33
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-5
82.9%
Harris,Tr. sideline pass incomplete to Goolsby,D. (SIMMONS, Travon), QB hurry by ALLELY, Joe, PENALTY UF illegal shift (Goolsby,D.) 5 yards to the ECU28, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:33
1ST & 15
OPP 28
+8
82.6%
Treon Harris pass complete to Ahmad Fulwood for 8 yds to the ECaro 20Similar
Q2 4:33
2ND & 7
OPP 20
+3
82.9%
Jordan Scarlett run for 3 yds to the ECaro 17Similar
Q2 4:33
3RD & 4
OPP 17
0
82.4%
Treon Harris pass complete to Brandon Powell for no gain to the ECaro 17Similar
Q2 1:05
4TH & 4
OPP 17
+35
80.3%
Austin Hardin 35 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 13END OF HALF
7 plays · 19 yds · 0:3521% → 19%
Q2 1:05
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
79.2%
Chris Hairston run for a loss of 2 yards to the ECaro 18Similar
Q2 1:05
2ND & 12
OWN 18
+5
79.5%
Blake Kemp pass complete to Isaiah Jones for 5 yds to the ECaro 23Similar
Q2 0:30
3RD & 7
OWN 23
+11
80.9%
Blake Kemp pass complete to Isaiah Jones for 11 yds to the ECaro 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
79.9%
Blake Kemp pass incomplete to Bryce Williams, broken up by Jalen TaborSimilar
Q2 0:30
2ND & 10
OWN 34
0
80.2%
Blake Kemp pass incomplete to Brandon BishopSimilar
Q2 0:30
3RD & 10
OWN 34
+5
80.9%
Chris Hairston run for 5 yds to the ECaro 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 14PUNT
8 plays · 28 yds · 0:0078% → 79%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
78.4%
Kelvin Taylor run for 4 yds to the Fla 29Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
78.6%
Will Grier pass incomplete to Antonio CallawaySimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+19
77.8%
Will Grier run for 19 yds to the Fla 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
80.1%
Will Grier pass incomplete to Demarcus RobinsonSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+9
79.7%
Kelvin Taylor run for 9 yds to the ECaro 43Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 43
-4
80.1%
Kelvin Taylor run for a loss of 4 yards to the ECaro 47Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 5
OPP 47
0
78.6%
Johnny Townsend punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Quay Johnson at the ECaro 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 0:0023% → 21%
Q3 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 8
0
77.5%
Blake Kemp pass incomplete to Davon GraysonSimilar
Q3 12:15
2ND & 10
OWN 8
+9
77.8%
Blake Kemp pass complete to Isaiah Jones for 9 yds to the ECaro 17Similar
Q3 12:15
3RD & 1
OWN 17
+5
78.0%
James Summers pass complete to Isaiah Jones for 5 yds to the ECaro 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
77.1%
Blake Kemp pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:15
2ND & 10
OWN 22
0
77.3%
Blake Kemp pass incomplete to Chris Love, broken up by Jalen TaborSimilar
Q3 12:15
3RD & 10
OWN 22
0
78.2%
Blake Kemp pass incomplete to Isaiah Jones, broken up by Jarrad DavisSimilar
Q3 12:15
4TH & 10
OWN 22
0
79.1%
Worth Gregory punt for 44 yds , Brandon Powell returns for no gain to the Fla 22 FLORIDA Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the Fla 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 16INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0078% → 78%
Q3 10:58
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
77.6%
Will Grier pass intercepted Bobby Fulp return for 2 yds to the Fla 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 17TD
1 play · 27 yds · 0:0040% → 40%
Q3 10:43
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+27
60.2%
Blake Kemp pass complete to Isaiah Jones for 27 yds for a TD, (Davis Plowman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 18TD
9 plays · 57 yds · 3:3268% → 79%
Q3 10:43
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+14
68.0%
Will Grier pass complete to Demarcus Robinson for 14 yds to the ECaro 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:43
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+8
69.3%
Kelvin Taylor run for 8 yds to the ECaro 35Similar
Q3 10:43
2ND & 2
OPP 35
+17
70.8%
Will Grier pass complete to Demarcus Robinson for 17 yds to the ECaro 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:43
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+3
70.8%
Brandon Powell run for 3 yds to the ECaro 15Similar
Q3 10:43
2ND & 7
OPP 15
+12
70.8%
Will Grier pass complete to Demarcus Robinson for 7 yds to the ECaro 8 for a 1ST down EAST CAROLINA Penalty, personal foul (5 Yards) to the ECaro 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
70.8%
Will Grier pass incomplete to Jake McGee, broken up by Travon SimmonsSimilar
Q3 10:43
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-3
70.8%
Jordan Cronkrite run for a loss of 3 yards to the ECaro 6Similar
Q3 7:11
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
79.0%
Will Grier pass complete to Demarcus Robinson for 6 yds for a TD, (Austin Hardin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 0:0025% → 23%
Q3 7:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
75.2%
Blake Kemp pass incomplete to Davon GraysonSimilar
Q3 7:11
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
75.4%
Blake Kemp pass complete to Isaiah Jones for 4 yds to the ECaro 29Similar
Q3 7:11
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+3
75.7%
Blake Kemp pass complete to Isaiah Jones for 3 yds to the ECaro 32Similar
Q3 7:11
4TH & 3
OWN 32
-5
76.4%
EAST CAROLINA Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the ECaro 27Similar
Q3 7:11
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
77.2%
Worth Gregory punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Fla 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0077% → 75%
Q3 5:32
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
77.0%
Jordan Cronkrite run for 1 yd to the Fla 37Similar
Q3 5:32
2ND & 9
OWN 37
0
76.6%
Will Grier pass incomplete to Antonio Callaway, broken up by Rocco ScarfoneSimilar
Q3 5:32
3RD & 9
OWN 37
0
75.7%
Will Grier pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:32
4TH & 9
OWN 37
0
74.5%
Johnny Townsend punt for 29 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ECaro 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 21INT TD
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:0027% → 13%
Q3 4:32
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
72.9%
KEMP, Blake crossing pass incomplete to JONES, Isaiah (Morrison,A.), PENALTY UF pass interference (Morrison,A.) 5 yards to the ECU39, 1ST DOWN ECU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:32
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
71.8%
Blake Kemp pass incomplete to Davon GraysonSimilar
Q3 4:32
2ND & 10
OWN 39
-3
72.2%
Blake Kemp pass complete to Isaiah Jones for a loss of 3 yards to the ECaro 36Similar
Q3 3:32
3RD & 13
OWN 36
+39
87.5%
Blake Kemp pass intercepted for a TD Jalen Tabor return for 39 yds for a TD, (Austin Hardin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 22PUNT
13 plays · 33 yds · 3:3214% → 11%
Q3 3:32
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+10
86.5%
KEMP, Blake sideline pass incomplete to WILLIAMS, Jimmy, PENALTY UF holding (Harris,M.) 10 yards to the ECU38, 1ST DOWN ECU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:32
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
86.0%
Blake Kemp pass incomplete to Bryce WilliamsSimilar
Q3 3:32
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+9
86.1%
Blake Kemp pass complete to Jimmy Williams for 9 yds to the ECaro 47Similar
Q3 3:32
3RD & 1
OWN 47
+8
85.5%
Chris Hairston run for 8 yds to the Fla 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:32
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
84.8%
Blake Kemp pass incomplete to Davon GraysonSimilar
Q3 3:32
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+14
85.0%
Blake Kemp pass complete to Bryce Williams for 14 yds to the Fla 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:32
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+5
83.9%
Chris Hairston run for 5 yds to the Fla 26Similar
Q3 3:32
2ND & 5
OPP 26
+7
83.6%
Blake Kemp pass complete to Chris Hairston for 7 yds to the Fla 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:32
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-6
83.6%
Chris Hairston run for a loss of 6 yards to the Fla 25Similar
Q3 3:32
2ND & 16
OPP 25
-19
84.8%
Blake Kemp sacked by Joey Ivie for a loss of 4 yards to the Fla 29 EAST CAROLINA Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the Fla 44Similar
Q3 3:32
3RD & 35
OPP 44
+5
86.7%
Blake Kemp pass complete to Chris Hairston for 5 yds to the Fla 39Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 30
OPP 39
0
88.9%
Worth Gregory punt for 39 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 23FUMBLE
3 plays · 14 yds · 0:0089% → 89%
Q4 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
88.6%
Treon Harris pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:52
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+15
88.4%
Jordan Scarlett run for 15 yds to the Fla 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-3
88.8%
Mark Herndon run for a loss of 3 yards to the Fla 34 Mark Herndon fumbled, recovered by ECaro Demetri McGillSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 24FG
5 plays · 21 yds · 1:4815% → 17%
Q4 14:13
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+17
85.1%
Blake Kemp pass complete to Isaiah Jones for 17 yds to the Fla 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:13
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-4
84.7%
Chris Hairston run for a loss of 4 yards to the Fla 21Similar
Q4 14:13
2ND & 14
OPP 21
+9
85.5%
Blake Kemp pass complete to Isaiah Jones for 9 yds to the Fla 12Similar
Q4 14:13
3RD & 5
OPP 12
-1
85.8%
Blake Kemp pass complete to Bryce Williams for a loss of 1 yard to the Fla 13Similar
Q4 12:25
4TH & 6
OPP 13
+30
83.0%
Davis Plowman 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 25TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 5:2888% → 97%
Q4 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+28
88.1%
Treon Harris pass complete to DeAndre Goolsby for 28 yds to the ECaro 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:25
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
89.6%
Kelvin Taylor run for 2 yds to the ECaro 45Similar
Q4 12:25
2ND & 8
OPP 45
0
89.6%
Treon Harris pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:25
3RD & 8
OPP 45
+11
88.9%
Treon Harris pass complete to Demarcus Robinson for 11 yds to the ECaro 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:25
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
89.9%
Treon Harris pass incomplete to Demarcus RobinsonSimilar
Q4 12:25
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+4
89.9%
Kelvin Taylor run for 4 yds to the ECaro 30Similar
Q4 12:25
3RD & 6
OPP 30
+5
89.2%
Kelvin Taylor run for 5 yds to the ECaro 25Similar
Q4 12:25
4TH & 1
OPP 25
+1
88.3%
Jordan Cronkrite run for 1 yd to the ECaro 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:25
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-10
89.9%
Harris,Tr. sacked for loss of 4 yards to the ECU28 (MYERS, Mike), PENALTY UF holding (Johnson,F.) 10 yards to the ECU34, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:25
1ST & 20
OPP 34
+5
89.7%
Kelvin Taylor run for 5 yds to the ECaro 29Similar
Q4 12:25
2ND & 15
OPP 29
+22
89.5%
Treon Harris run for 22 yds to the ECaro 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
96.6%
Kelvin Taylor run for 7 yds for a TD, (Austin Hardin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 26TD
11 plays · 66 yds · 3:536% → 18%
Q4 6:57
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+8
94.0%
Blake Kemp pass complete to Bryce Williams for 8 yds to the ECaro 42Similar
Q4 6:57
2ND & 2
OWN 42
+28
93.7%
Blake Kemp pass complete to Isaiah Jones for 28 yds to the Fla 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:57
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
93.0%
Blake Kemp pass complete to Chris Hairston for 2 yds Chris Hairston fumbled, forced by Duke Dawson, recovered by ECaro Chris HairstonSimilar
Q4 6:57
2ND & 6
OPP 26
0
92.7%
Blake Kemp pass incomplete to Davon GraysonSimilar
Q4 6:57
3RD & 6
OPP 26
+9
93.2%
Blake Kemp pass complete to Brandon Bishop for 9 yds to the Fla 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:57
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
92.7%
Blake Kemp pass incomplete to Anthony Scott, broken up by Antonio MorrisonSimilar
Q4 6:57
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+1
92.8%
Blake Kemp pass complete to Anthony Scott for 1 yd to the Fla 16Similar
Q4 6:57
3RD & 9
OPP 16
+9
93.5%
Blake Kemp pass complete to Isaiah Jones for 9 yds to the Fla 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
92.7%
Blake Kemp pass incomplete to Isaiah Jones, broken up by Brian PooleSimilar
Q4 3:04
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
81.8%
Blake Kemp pass complete to Bryce Williams for 7 yds for a TD, (Davis Plowman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 27PUNT
7 plays · 5 yds · 1:0293% → 94%
Q4 3:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
93.2%
Kelvin Taylor run for 3 yds to the Fla 28Similar
Q4 3:04
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-3
93.4%
Kelvin Taylor run for a loss of 3 yards to the Fla 25Similar
Q4 2:10
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+5
94.2%
Kelvin Taylor run for 5 yds to the Fla 30Similar
Q4 2:02
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
93.9%
Johnny Townsend punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Quay Johnson at the ECaro 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 28FUMBLE
9 plays · 40 yds · 0:009% → 14%
Q4 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+16
91.5%
Blake Kemp pass complete to Bryce Williams for 16 yds to the ECaro 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
90.4%
Blake Kemp pass incomplete to Isaiah JonesSimilar
Q4 1:55
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+9
90.7%
Blake Kemp pass complete to Isaiah Jones for 9 yds to the Fla 45Similar
Q4 1:55
3RD & 1
OPP 45
+17
88.6%
Blake Kemp pass complete to Bryce Williams for 17 yds to the Fla 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:55
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
85.9%
Blake Kemp pass complete to Bryce Williams for 3 yds to the Fla 25Similar
Q4 1:55
2ND & 7
OPP 25
0
85.9%
Blake Kemp pass incomplete to Jimmy WilliamsSimilar
Q4 1:55
3RD & 7
OPP 25
+12
88.4%
Blake Kemp pass complete to Chris Hairston for 12 yds to the Fla 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:55
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
85.9%
Blake Kemp pass incomplete to Isaiah JonesSimilar
Q4 1:55
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+11
85.9%
Blake Kemp sacked by Joey Ivie for a loss of 12 yards to the Fla 41 Blake Kemp fumbled, recovered by Fla Alex McCalister , return for 0 yards , return for 11 yds to the Fla 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 29END OF GAME
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q4 0:12
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-2
96.8%
Team run for a loss of 2 yards to the Fla 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 10:43
Blake Kemp pass complete to Isaiah Jones for 27 yds for a TD, (Davis Plowman KICK)
-17.3
TD · Q3 3:32
Blake Kemp pass intercepted for a TD Jalen Tabor return for 39 yds for a TD, (Austin Hardin KICK)
+15.3
TD · Q4 3:04
Blake Kemp pass complete to Bryce Williams for 7 yds for a TD, (Davis Plowman KICK)
-10.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com