Try the model
GAST

Georgia State 31 at Louisiana 34

UL
2014 · Week 6 · Oct 4, 2014 · Cajun Field
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · UL
modelUL aheadGAST aheadconfidence bandkey playUL scoreGAST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 12:57 · Daniel Cadona punt for 46 yds, downed at the GeoSt 4
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+35.5+17.80−17.8−35.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 57Pregame prior+26.7Home team on offense+0.7Score differential−0.4Garbage-time factor−0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.2Blowout margin−0.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 5:08: Marcus Caffey run for 12 yds for a TD, (Wil Lutz KICK) — GAST win probability +13.6 pts (now 38%) (top driver: GAST has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 2:03: Marcus Caffey run for 1 yd for a TD, (Wil Lutz KICK) — GAST win probability +20.2 pts (now 49%) (top driver: GAST has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 11:13: Alonzo Harris run for 1 yd for a TD, (Hunter Stover KICK) — UL win probability +19.4 pts (now 80%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 6:35: Marcus Caffey run for 2 yds for a TD, (Wil Lutz KICK) — GAST win probability +39.2 pts (now 74%) (top driver: GAST has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 3:34: Terrance Broadway pass complete to Jamal Robinson for 21 yds for a TD GEORGIA ST Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined, (Hunter Stover MISSED) — UL win probability +39.2 pts (now 85%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UL made the numbers' call on 2 of 4GAST made the numbers' call on 2 of 5
  1. Q1 15:00GAST 4th & 17 at UL 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.4%−0.1
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    14.5%−<0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    14.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:57GAST 4th & 11 at GAST 19, down 7
    Close callWent for it · 14.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.8%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    14.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:19UL 4th & 1 at UL 34, tied
    Close callPunted · 81.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.2%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00GAST 4th & 1 at GAST 42, tied
    Close callPunted · 20.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.8%−0.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:57UL 4th & 3 at midfield, tied
    Close callPunted · 80.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.2%−0.3
    average punt
  6. Q3 9:43UL 4th & 1 at GAST 1, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 66.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    65.7%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    62.1%−3.6
    94% to make
    Punt
    52.5%−13.2
    average punt
  7. Q3 9:43GAST 4th & 1 at GAST 29, down 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.5 ptsPunted · 21.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.9%−1.5
    average punt
  8. Q3 7:38UL 4th & 11 at GAST 46, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.6%−1.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    76.9%−1.8
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    78.7%
    average punt
  9. Q4 1:14GAST 4th & 6 at GAST 29, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 19.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.9%
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    10.2%−3.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UL made the numbers' call on 4 of 4GAST made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 8:57UL Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:19GAST Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    18.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    18.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 5:08GAST Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    32.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    32.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:13UL Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 9:43UL Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 2:03GAST Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    42.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    42.3%−0.3
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 11:13UL Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.2%−0.3
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 6:35GAST Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    54.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.6%−2.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
GASTDrive 1PUNT
12 plays · 35 yds · 0:0015% → 15%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
85.3%
Ronnie Bell run for 9 yds to the GeoSt 34Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+6
85.3%
Marcus Caffey run for 6 yds to the GeoSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
85.3%
Ronnie Bell pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 40
-5
85.3%
Marcus Caffey run for a loss of 5 yards to the GeoSt 39 Marcus Caffey fumbled, recovered by GeoSt N/ASimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 39
+11
85.3%
Ronnie Bell pass complete to Marcus Caffey for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
50
+17
85.3%
Marcus Caffey run for 2 yds to the ULLAFAYTTE 48 for a 1ST down UL LAFAYETTE Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Jake Molbert) to the LaLaf 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
85.3%
Ronnie Bell pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 33
-2
85.3%
Duvall Smith run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaLaf 35Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 12
OPP 35
-5
85.3%
GEORGIA ST Penalty, false start (N/A) to the LaLaf 40Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 17
OPP 40
0
85.3%
Ronnie Bell pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 17
OPP 40
0
85.3%
Wil Lutz punt for 40 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 2TD
6 plays · 80 yds · 2:1684% → 85%
Q1 11:13
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
84.2%
Terrance Broadway pass complete to Al Riles for a loss of 2 yards to the LaLaf 18Similar
Q1 11:13
2ND & 12
OWN 18
+6
84.2%
Alonzo Harris run for 6 yds to the LaLaf 24Similar
Q1 11:13
3RD & 6
OWN 24
+14
84.1%
Terrance Broadway pass complete to Jamal Robinson for 14 yds to the LaLaf 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:13
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
84.3%
Terrance Broadway pass incomplete to Jamal RobinsonSimilar
Q1 11:13
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+8
84.3%
Terrance Broadway pass complete to Al Riles for 8 yds to the LaLaf 46Similar
Q1 8:57
3RD & 2
OWN 46
+54
84.9%
Elijah McGuire run for 54 yds for a TD, (Hunter Stover KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 3TD
21 plays · 91 yds · 6:3815% → 21%
Q1 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+11
84.7%
Marcus Caffey run for 11 yds to the GeoSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
84.7%
Marcus Caffey run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 23Similar
Q1 8:57
2ND & 7
OWN 23
-4
84.7%
Nick Arbuckle sacked by Christian Ringo for a loss of 4 yards to the GeoSt 19Similar
Q1 8:57
3RD & 11
OWN 19
0
84.8%
Nick Arbuckle pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 8:57
4TH & 11
OWN 19
+26
84.9%
Wil Lutz run for 26 yds to the GeoSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+15
84.5%
UL LAFAYETTE Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (15 Yards) to the LaLaf 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:34
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
83.8%
Nick Arbuckle pass incomplete to Lynquez BlairSimilar
Q1 6:34
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+12
83.9%
Nick Arbuckle pass complete to Lynquez Blair for 12 yds to the LaLaf 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:34
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+1
83.5%
Marcus Caffey run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 27Similar
Q1 6:34
2ND & 9
OPP 27
0
83.6%
Nick Arbuckle pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 6:34
3RD & 9
OPP 27
+13
83.9%
Nick Arbuckle pass complete to Robert Davis for 13 yds to the LaLaf 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:34
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-5
83.5%
Marcus Caffey run for a loss of 5 yards to the LaLaf 19Similar
Q1 6:34
2ND & 15
OPP 19
+10
83.8%
Nick Arbuckle pass incomplete to Robert Davis, broken up by Trevence Patt for a 1ST down UL LAFAYETTE Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (10 Yards) to the LaLaf 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
83.5%
Marcus Caffey run for no gain to the LaLaf 9Similar
Q1 6:34
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
83.5%
Arbuckle, Nick right side pass incomplete to Davis, Robert, PENALTY UL pass interference (Watson,Jevante) 3 yards to the UL6, 1ST DOWN GSU, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
82.7%
Marcus Caffey run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 4Similar
Q1 3:36
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
82.7%
Marcus Caffey run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 1Similar
Q1 2:19
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
79.5%
Duvall Smith run for 1 yd for a TD, (Wil Lutz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0081% → 81%
Q1 2:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
81.2%
Terrance Broadway run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaLaf 25 Terrance Broadway fumbled, recovered by LaLaf Terrance Broadway , return for 2 yds to the LaLaf 25Similar
Q1 2:19
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
81.1%
Terrance Broadway pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 2:19
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+9
80.7%
Terrance Broadway pass complete to Elijah McGuire for 9 yds to the LaLaf 34Similar
Q1 2:19
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
80.8%
Daniel Cadona punt for 47 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 23 yds · 2:1920% → 21%
Q1 2:19
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+3
80.5%
Marcus Caffey run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 22Similar
Q1 2:19
2ND & 7
OWN 22
+3
80.6%
Marcus Caffey run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 25Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 25
+8
79.7%
Nick Arbuckle pass complete to Joel Ruiz for 8 yds to the GeoSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
79.2%
Nick Arbuckle pass incomplete to Robert DavisSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+3
79.4%
Marcus Caffey run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 36Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 36
+6
79.4%
Nick Arbuckle pass complete to Donovan Harden for 6 yds to the GeoSt 42Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 42
0
79.3%
Wil Lutz punt for 37 yds , Elijah McGuire returns for no gain to the LaLaf 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 29 yds · 0:0080% → 80%
Q2 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+1
79.5%
Elijah McGuire run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 22Similar
Q2 12:57
2ND & 9
OWN 22
+21
79.4%
Terrance Broadway pass complete to Al Riles for 21 yds to the LaLaf 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
80.5%
Terrance Broadway pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:57
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+4
80.2%
Alonzo Harris run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 47Similar
Q2 12:57
3RD & 6
OWN 47
+3
80.1%
Terrance Broadway pass complete to Al Riles for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 12:57
4TH & 3
50
0
79.8%
Daniel Cadona punt for 46 yds, downed at the GeoSt 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 7TD
10 plays · 96 yds · 4:5223% → 38%
Q2 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+5
77.5%
Marcus Caffey run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 9Similar
Q2 10:00
2ND & 5
OWN 9
+1
77.7%
Marcus Caffey run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 10Similar
Q2 10:00
3RD & 4
OWN 10
+15
78.0%
Nick Arbuckle pass complete to Robert Davis for 15 yds to the GeoSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
77.2%
Marcus Caffey run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 27Similar
Q2 10:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+3
77.2%
Nick Arbuckle pass complete to Marcus Caffey for 3 yds to the GeoSt 30Similar
Q2 10:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+29
77.3%
Nick Arbuckle pass complete to Lynquez Blair for 29 yds to the LaLaf 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+2
75.5%
Duvall Smith run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 39Similar
Q2 10:00
2ND & 8
OPP 39
+3
75.6%
Duvall Smith run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 36Similar
Q2 10:00
3RD & 5
OPP 36
+24
75.7%
Nick Arbuckle pass complete to Joel Ruiz for 24 yds to the LaLaf 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:08
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
62.1%
Marcus Caffey run for 12 yds for a TD, (Wil Lutz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 8TD
11 plays · 84 yds · 3:5566% → 77%
Q2 5:08
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+3
65.9%
Terrance Broadway run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 19Similar
Q2 5:08
2ND & 7
OWN 19
+16
65.8%
Terrance Broadway pass complete to Jamal Robinson for 16 yds to the LaLaf 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:08
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-10
66.4%
Broadway, Terrance C pass complete to Butler,James for 11 yards to the UL46, PENALTY UL holding (Anderson, Octravian) 10 yards to the UL25, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:08
1ST & 20
OWN 25
+4
65.7%
Alonzo Harris run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 29Similar
Q2 5:08
2ND & 16
OWN 29
+11
65.6%
Terrance Broadway pass complete to Gabe Fuselier for 11 yds to the LaLaf 40Similar
Q2 5:08
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+16
67.1%
Terrance Broadway pass complete to Al Riles for 16 yds to the GeoSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:08
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+9
68.8%
Torrey Pierce run for 9 yds to the GeoSt 35Similar
Q2 5:08
2ND & 1
OPP 35
+11
69.7%
Elijah McGuire run for 11 yds to the GeoSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:08
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+5
69.7%
Alonzo Harris run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 19Similar
Q2 1:13
2ND & 5
OPP 19
+19
77.4%
Jamal Robinson 19 Yd pass from Terrance Broadway (Hunter Stover Kick), (Hunter Stover KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 9FG
10 plays · 25 yds · 1:1331% → 37%
Q2 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+22
69.3%
Nick Arbuckle pass complete to Joel Ruiz for 7 yds to the ULLAFAYTTE 49 for a 1ST down UL LAFAYETTE Penalty, targeting (Justin Hamilton) to the LaLaf 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:13
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-5
67.1%
GEORGIA ST Penalty, false start (N/A) to the LaLaf 39Similar
Q2 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
69.3%
UL LAFAYETTE Penalty, personal foul ( Yards) to the GeoSt 44Similar
Q2 0:44
1ST & 15
OPP 39
0
68.6%
Nick Arbuckle pass incomplete to Robert DavisSimilar
Q2 0:44
2ND & 15
OPP 39
+8
68.9%
Nick Arbuckle pass complete to Robert Davis for 8 yds to the LaLaf 31Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 7
OPP 31
+48
62.8%
Wil Lutz 48 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 10TD
14 plays · 73 yds · 5:1769% → 79%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+9
69.1%
Terrance Broadway pass complete to Jamal Robinson for 9 yds to the LaLaf 36Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 36
+3
71.1%
Terrance Broadway run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+12
70.1%
Terrance Broadway pass complete to Jamal Robinson for 12 yds to the GeoSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
71.8%
Elijah McGuire pass incomplete to Jamal RobinsonSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+15
71.5%
Terrance Broadway run for 25 yds to the GeoSt 24 for a 1ST down UL LAFAYETTE Penalty, Offensive holding (N/A) to the GeoSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+9
72.9%
Alonzo Harris run for 9 yds to the GeoSt 25Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 25
+3
72.9%
Alonzo Harris run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+8
72.9%
Terrance Broadway pass complete to Torrey Pierce for 8 yds to the GeoSt 14Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 14
+5
72.9%
Elijah McGuire run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
72.9%
Terrance Broadway run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 5Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
72.9%
Alonzo Harris run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 1Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
71.7%
Alonzo Harris run for no gain to the GeoSt 1Similar
Q3 9:43
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
79.4%
Alonzo Harris run for 1 yd for a TD, (Hunter Stover KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0023% → 22%
Q3 9:43
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
77.5%
Marcus Caffey run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 25Similar
Q3 9:43
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+4
76.9%
Marcus Caffey run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 29Similar
Q3 9:43
3RD & 1
OWN 29
0
77.4%
Marcus Caffey run for no gain to the GeoSt 29Similar
Q3 9:43
4TH & 1
OWN 29
0
78.4%
Wil Lutz punt for 37 yds , Elijah McGuire returns for no gain to the LaLaf 41 Elijah McGuire fumbled, recovered by LaLaf Elijah McGuire , return for 9 yds to the LaLaf 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 0:0080% → 77%
Q3 7:38
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
79.8%
Terrance Broadway pass complete to Elijah McGuire for 5 yds to the LaLaf 46Similar
Q3 7:38
2ND & 5
OWN 46
0
80.1%
Terrance Broadway pass incomplete to Jamal Robinson, broken up by Bruce DukesSimilar
Q3 7:38
3RD & 5
OWN 46
+9
79.1%
Terrance Broadway pass complete to James Butler for 9 yds to the GeoSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:38
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
80.7%
Terrance Broadway pass incomplete to James ButlerSimilar
Q3 7:38
2ND & 10
OPP 45
-1
80.4%
Elijah McGuire run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSt 46Similar
Q3 7:38
3RD & 11
OPP 46
0
78.8%
Terrance Broadway pass incomplete to Elijah McGuireSimilar
Q3 7:38
4TH & 11
OPP 46
0
77.3%
Daniel Cadona punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Donovan Harden at the GeoSt 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 13TD
7 plays · 88 yds · 3:2224% → 49%
Q3 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 12
-5
76.5%
Marcus Caffey run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 14 GEORGIA ST Penalty, Offensive holding (Lynquez Blair) to the GeoSt 7Similar
Q3 5:25
1ST & 15
OWN 7
+17
76.9%
Nick Arbuckle pass complete to Robert Davis for 17 yds to the GeoSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+13
76.3%
Nick Arbuckle run for 13 yds to the GeoSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+62
75.2%
Nick Arbuckle pass complete to Donovan Harden for 62 yds to the LaLaf 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
71.2%
Nick Arbuckle run for no gain to the LaLaf 1Similar
Q3 5:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
71.1%
Jonathan Lytle run for no gain to the LaLaf 1Similar
Q3 2:03
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
51.0%
Marcus Caffey run for 1 yd for a TD, (Wil Lutz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 14TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 5:5058% → 80%
Q3 2:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
57.7%
Terrance Broadway pass complete to Jamal Robinson for 16 yds to the LaLaf 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:03
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
61.0%
Terrance Broadway pass complete to Al Riles for 5 yds to the LaLaf 46Similar
Q3 2:03
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+20
61.6%
Elijah McGuire run for 20 yds to the GeoSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:03
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
64.7%
Alonzo Harris run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 30Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 30
+7
63.3%
Alonzo Harris run for 7 yds to the GeoSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-6
63.3%
UL LAFAYETTE Penalty, false start (N/A) to the GeoSt 29Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 16
OPP 29
+4
62.4%
Terrance Broadway pass complete to Torrey Pierce for 4 yds to the GeoSt 25Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 12
OPP 25
+12
63.1%
Terrance Broadway pass complete to Jamal Robinson for 12 yds to the GeoSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:26
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+5
60.5%
Alonzo Harris run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 8Similar
Q4 13:26
2ND & 5
OPP 8
+3
60.5%
Torrey Pierce run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 5Similar
Q4 13:26
3RD & 2
OPP 5
+3
57.6%
Alonzo Harris run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
60.5%
Alonzo Harris run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 1Similar
Q4 11:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
79.9%
Alonzo Harris run for 1 yd for a TD, (Hunter Stover KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 15TD
16 plays · 75 yds · 4:3828% → 74%
Q4 11:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-12
72.5%
Arbuckle, Nick rush up middle for no gain to the GSU25, PENALTY GSU illegal block (Kaplan, A.J.) 12 yards to the GSU13, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:13
1ST & 22
OWN 13
+36
72.8%
Nick Arbuckle pass complete to Joel Ruiz for 36 yds to the GeoSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:13
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
67.6%
Marcus Caffey run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 11:13
2ND & 9
50
+4
67.5%
Nick Arbuckle pass complete to Nathaniel Minor for 4 yds to the LaLaf 46Similar
Q4 9:24
3RD & 5
OPP 46
+8
70.6%
Nick Arbuckle pass complete to Donovan Harden for 8 yds to the LaLaf 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:24
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-1
69.8%
Nick Arbuckle pass complete to Lynquez Blair for a loss of 1 yard to the LaLaf 39Similar
Q4 9:24
2ND & 11
OPP 39
+15
70.3%
Nick Arbuckle pass complete to Donovan Harden for 15 yds to the LaLaf 24 for a 1ST down UL LAFAYETTE Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:24
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+15
67.0%
Marcus Caffey run for 15 yds to the LaLaf 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
67.0%
Nick Arbuckle pass incomplete to Keith RuckerSimilar
Q4 9:24
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
67.0%
Marcus Caffey run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 8Similar
Q4 9:24
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
-5
69.4%
GEORGIA ST Penalty, substitution infraction (-5 Yards) to the LaLaf 13Similar
Q4 6:44
3RD & GOAL
OPP 13
+11
70.8%
Arbuckle, Nick right side pass incomplete to Davis, Robert, PENALTY UL pass interference (Hoggins, Darrius) 11 yards to the UL2, 1ST DOWN GSU, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
26.2%
Marcus Caffey run for 2 yds for a TD, (Wil Lutz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 16TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:0140% → 85%
Q4 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
40.4%
Brooks Haack pass complete to Al Riles for 7 yds to the LaLaf 32Similar
Q4 6:35
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+1
43.6%
Torrey Pierce run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 33Similar
Q4 6:35
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+18
41.7%
Brooks Haack pass complete Brooks Haack pass complete to Larry Pettis for 18 yds to the GeoSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:35
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
46.7%
Alonzo Harris run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 46Similar
Q4 6:35
2ND & 7
OPP 46
+3
46.8%
Brooks Haack pass complete to Alonzo Harris for 3 yds to the GeoSt 43Similar
Q4 6:35
3RD & 4
OPP 43
+22
46.0%
Brooks Haack pass complete to Al Riles for 22 yds to the GeoSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:34
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+21
85.2%
Terrance Broadway pass complete to Jamal Robinson for 21 yds for a TD GEORGIA ST Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined, (Hunter Stover MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 17DOWNS
8 plays · 8 yds · 2:2030% → 17%
Q4 3:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
69.7%
Marcus Caffey run for 8 yds to the GeoSt 33Similar
Q4 3:34
2ND & 2
OWN 33
-5
65.0%
Arbuckle, Nick shovel pass pass complete to Caffey, Marcus for 8 yards to the GSU41 (Worthy,T.J.), PENALTY GSU illegal formation 5 yards to the GSU28, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:34
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-5
68.3%
Arbuckle, Nick deep left pass complete to Blair, Lynquez for 30 yards to the UL42, PENALTY GSU illegal formation 5 yards to the GSU23, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:34
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+6
70.3%
Nick Arbuckle pass complete to Robert Davis for 6 yds to the GeoSt 29Similar
Q4 3:34
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
69.7%
Nick Arbuckle pass incomplete to Robert DavisSimilar
Q4 1:14
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+4
82.9%
Nick Arbuckle pass complete to Robert Davis for 4 yds to the GeoSt 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 18Uncategorized
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q4 1:07
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-1
92.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSt 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 6:35
Marcus Caffey run for 2 yds for a TD, (Wil Lutz KICK)
-39.2
TD · Q4 3:34
Terrance Broadway pass complete to Jamal Robinson for 21 yds for a TD GEORGIA ST Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined, (Hunter Stover MISSED)
+39.2
TD · Q3 2:03
Marcus Caffey run for 1 yd for a TD, (Wil Lutz KICK)
-20.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com