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UK

Kentucky 30 at Florida 36

FLA
2014 · Week 3 · Sep 13, 2014 · Ben Hill Griffin Stadium
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Win probability · FLA
modelFLA aheadUK aheadconfidence bandkey playFLA scoreUK score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4OTOT2OT3FGFGFGTDTDTDTDFGTDTDFGFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 1:04 · Landon Foster punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Vernon Hargreaves at the Fla 7
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseTime remainingDefense timeoutsOffense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+38.5+19.30−19.3−38.5Q1Q2Q3Q4OTOT2OT3Play 46Pregame prior+31.2Home team on offense−0.8Time remaining+0.3Defense timeouts+0.0Offense timeouts+0.0Garbage-time factor+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 3:21: Patrick Towles pass complete to Garrett Johnson for 33 yds for a TD, (Austin MacGinnis KICK) — UK win probability +27.3 pts (now 52%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
  2. TD · OT 0:00: Patrick Towles pass complete to Stanley Williams for 25 yds for a TD, (Austin MacGinnis KICK) — UK win probability +42.2 pts (now 79%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
  3. TD · OT 0:00: Jeff Driskel pass complete to Demarcus Robinson for 9 yds for a TD, (Francisco Velez KICK) — FLA win probability +32.8 pts (now 59%) (top driver: defense timeouts not recorded for this play).
  4. FG · OT2 0:00: Austin MacGinnis 26 yd FG GOOD — UK win probability +26.7 pts (now 50%) (top driver: defense timeouts not recorded for this play).
  5. TD · OT3 0:00: Matt Jones 1 Yd Run — FLA win probability +21.9 pts (now 87%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FLA made the numbers' call on 6 of 9UK made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 13:05FLA 4th & 8 at UK 42, tied
    Close callPunted · 86.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.3%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    86.2%−0.1
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    86.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:44UK 4th & 3 at FLA 47, tied
    Close callPunted · 14.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.6%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:23FLA 4th & 5 at FLA 15, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.9%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.9%
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:39UK 4th & 13 at UK 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.2%−0.3
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.5%
    average punt
  5. Q1 6:13FLA 4th & 13 at FLA 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.5%−0.3
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.8%
    average punt
  6. Q1 4:38UK 4th & 7 at UK 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.6%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.6%
    average punt
  7. Q1 1:04UK 4th & 7 at FLA 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.3%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.3%
    average punt
  8. Q2 14:14FLA 4th & 7 at FLA 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.9%−0.2
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.1%
    average punt
  9. Q2 12:25UK 4th & 9 at UK 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.4%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.5%
    average punt
  10. Q2 7:47FLA 4th & 5 at UK 18, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 79.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.3%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    79.5%
    79% to make
    Punt
    76.3%−3.2
    average punt
  11. Q2 5:31UK 4th & 9 at UK 40, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.9%−0.5
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.4%
    average punt
  12. Q2 2:16FLA 4th & 8 at midfield, up 3
    Close callPunted · 78.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.9%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.8%−0.2
    average punt
  13. Q3 7:32FLA 4th & 5 at UK 5, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 72.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.1%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    72.2%
    92% to make
    Punt
    63.1%−9.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 9:02FLA 4th & 4 at UK 22, up 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 77.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.5%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    75.8%−0.8
    72% to make
    Punt
    61.5%−15.0
    average punt
  15. Q4 3:52UK 4th & 13 at FLA 33, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 27.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.3%−5.4
    21% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    28.7%
    49% to make
    Punt
    20.8%−7.8
    average punt
  16. Q4 1:47FLA 4th & 6 at FLA 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.3%−2.4
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.7%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FLA made the numbers' call on 2 of 2UK made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q3 5:32UK Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 4:27FLA Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 3:21UK Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    42.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    42.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 0:25FLA Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FLADrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 23 yds · 1:3988% → 88%
Q1 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-2
88.1%
Matt Jones run for a loss of 2 yards to the Fla 33Similar
Q1 14:18
2ND & 12
OWN 33
+23
88.0%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Demarcus Robinson for 23 yds to the Kent 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:53
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
88.0%
Matt Jones run for 2 yds to the Kent 42Similar
Q1 13:23
2ND & 8
OPP 42
0
87.8%
Jeff Driskel pass incomplete to Demarcus RobinsonSimilar
Q1 13:17
3RD & 8
OPP 42
0
87.8%
Jeff Driskel pass incomplete to Latroy PittmanSimilar
Q1 13:05
4TH & 8
OPP 42
0
87.7%
Kyle Christy punt for 38 yds, downed at the Kent 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 49 yds · 2:1612% → 13%
Q1 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+3
87.7%
Braylon Heard run for 3 yds to the Kent 7Similar
Q1 12:26
2ND & 7
OWN 7
+15
87.5%
Towles, Patrick pass incomplete to Blue, Javess, PENALTY FLORIDA pass interference (Hargreaves, III, Vernon) 15 yards to the KENTUCKY22, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN KENTUCKY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:18
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+24
87.4%
Patrick Towles run for 24 yds to the Kent 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:07
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
87.2%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Braylon Heard for 2 yds to the Kent 48Similar
Q1 11:32
2ND & 8
OWN 48
+4
87.0%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Ryan Timmons for 4 yds to the Fla 48Similar
Q1 11:11
3RD & 4
OPP 48
+1
86.9%
Stanley Williams run for 1 yd to the Fla 47Similar
Q1 10:44
4TH & 3
OPP 47
0
86.8%
Landon Foster punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Vernon Hargreaves at the Fla 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:1787% → 86%
Q1 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+1
86.9%
Kelvin Taylor run for 1 yd to the Fla 11Similar
Q1 10:24
2ND & 9
OWN 11
-5
86.8%
FLORIDA Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Roderick Johnson) to the Fla 6Similar
Q1 10:16
2ND & 14
OWN 6
0
86.8%
Jeff Driskel pass incomplete to Clay BurtonSimilar
Q1 10:08
3RD & 14
OWN 6
+9
86.6%
Kelvin Taylor run for 9 yds to the Fla 15Similar
Q1 9:23
4TH & 5
OWN 15
0
86.3%
Kyle Christy punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Demarco Robinson at the Kent 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 1:3514% → 14%
Q1 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
86.4%
Patrick Towles run for 4 yds to the Kent 39Similar
Q1 8:40
2ND & 6
OWN 39
-2
86.0%
Braylon Heard run for a loss of 2 yards to the Kent 37Similar
Q1 8:20
3RD & 8
OWN 37
-5
86.1%
KENTUCKY Penalty, False Start (Jordan Swindle) to the Kent 32Similar
Q1 7:48
3RD & 13
OWN 32
0
86.1%
Patrick Towles pass incomplete to Rashad CunninghamSimilar
Q1 7:39
4TH & 13
OWN 32
+54
86.1%
Landon Foster punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Andre Debose at the FLORIDA 27 FLORIDA Penalty, Illegal Block (Duke Dawson) to the Fla 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:1786% → 85%
Q1 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+10
85.8%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Demarcus Robinson for 10 yds to the Fla 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:11
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
85.8%
Jeff Driskel pass incomplete to Quinton DunbarSimilar
Q1 6:40
2ND & 10
OWN 24
-3
85.6%
Jeff Driskel sacked by Za'Darius Smith and Melvin Lewis for a loss of 3 yards to the Fla 21Similar
Q1 6:25
3RD & 13
OWN 21
0
85.3%
Jeff Driskel pass incomplete to Quinton DunbarSimilar
Q1 6:13
4TH & 13
OWN 21
+17
85.1%
Kyle Christy punt for 50 yds , Demarco Robinson returns for 17 yds to the Kent 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:2615% → 15%
Q1 6:04
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
84.9%
Jojo Kemp run for no gain to the Kent 46Similar
Q1 5:00
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+3
84.6%
Jojo Kemp run for 3 yds to the Kent 49Similar
Q1 4:46
3RD & 7
OWN 49
0
84.5%
Patrick Towles pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:38
4TH & 7
OWN 49
0
84.9%
Landon Foster punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Vernon Hargreaves at the Fla 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 7INT
8 plays · 65 yds · 2:3885% → 85%
Q1 4:31
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+7
84.8%
Kelvin Taylor run for 7 yds to the Fla 17Similar
Q1 3:59
2ND & 3
OWN 17
+4
84.6%
Kelvin Taylor run for 4 yds to the Fla 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:39
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
84.5%
Jeff Driskel pass incomplete to Demarcus RobinsonSimilar
Q1 3:28
2ND & 10
OWN 21
-1
84.4%
Kelvin Taylor run for a loss of 1 yard to the Fla 20Similar
Q1 2:58
3RD & 11
OWN 20
+51
83.9%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Demarcus Robinson for 51 yds to the Kent 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:34
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+4
85.1%
Matt Jones run for 4 yds to the Kent 25Similar
Q1 2:02
2ND & 6
OPP 25
0
85.0%
Jeff Driskel pass incomplete to Ahmad FulwoodSimilar
Q1 1:53
3RD & 6
OPP 25
+27
84.7%
Jeff Driskel pass intercepted Nate Willis return for 27 yds to the Kent 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:3617% → 17%
Q1 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
82.7%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Ryan Timmons for 3 yds to the Fla 49Similar
Q1 1:15
2ND & 7
OPP 49
0
82.4%
Patrick Towles pass incomplete to Ryan TimmonsSimilar
Q1 1:11
3RD & 7
OPP 49
0
82.7%
Patrick Towles pass incomplete to Demarco RobinsonSimilar
Q1 1:04
4TH & 7
OPP 49
0
83.4%
Landon Foster punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Vernon Hargreaves at the Fla 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 23 yds · 1:4284% → 83%
Q1 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+20
83.9%
Matt Jones run for 20 yds to the Fla 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+6
83.9%
Matt Jones run for 6 yds to the Fla 33Similar
Q2 14:53
2ND & 4
OWN 33
+2
84.1%
Matt Jones run for 2 yds to the Fla 35Similar
Q2 14:22
3RD & 2
OWN 35
0
83.7%
Jeff Driskel pass incomplete to Quinton DunbarSimilar
Q2 14:22
4TH & 2
OWN 35
-5
83.2%
FLORIDA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Fla 30Similar
Q2 14:14
4TH & 7
OWN 30
0
82.8%
Kyle Christy punt for 53 yds, fair catch by Demarco Robinson at the Kent 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 32 yds · 1:4117% → 18%
Q2 14:06
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+4
82.6%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Demarco Robinson for 4 yds to the Kent 21Similar
Q2 13:20
2ND & 6
OWN 21
+27
82.6%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Demarco Robinson for 27 yds to the Kent 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
81.4%
Braylon Heard run for 1 yd to the Kent 49Similar
Q2 12:38
2ND & 9
OWN 49
0
81.3%
Patrick Towles pass incomplete to Javess BlueSimilar
Q2 12:32
3RD & 9
OWN 49
0
81.7%
Patrick Towles pass incomplete to Garrett JohnsonSimilar
Q2 12:25
4TH & 9
OWN 49
0
82.4%
Landon Foster punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Andre Debose at the Fla 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 11FG
11 plays · 68 yds · 4:3383% → 84%
Q2 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+6
83.0%
Kelvin Taylor run for 6 yds to the Fla 20Similar
Q2 11:59
2ND & 4
OWN 20
+14
83.1%
Kelvin Taylor run for 14 yds to the Fla 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+8
83.0%
Kelvin Taylor run for 8 yds to the Fla 42Similar
Q2 11:00
2ND & 2
OWN 42
+1
83.5%
Kelvin Taylor run for 1 yd to the Fla 43Similar
Q2 10:26
3RD & 1
OWN 43
+4
83.1%
Kelvin Taylor run for 4 yds to the Fla 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:57
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+13
83.3%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Demarcus Robinson for 13 yds to the Kent 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:32
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+17
83.4%
Matt Jones run for 17 yds to the Kent 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:08
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
83.8%
Jeff Driskel run for 3 yds to the Kent 20Similar
Q2 8:29
2ND & 7
OPP 20
+2
83.6%
Matt Jones run for 2 yds to the Kent 18Similar
Q2 7:52
3RD & 5
OPP 18
0
82.8%
Jeff Driskel pass incomplete to Demarcus RobinsonSimilar
Q2 7:47
4TH & 5
OPP 18
+35
83.5%
Francisco Velez 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 2:0917% → 17%
Q2 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
83.2%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Dorian Baker for 14 yds to the Kent 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:28
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
82.3%
Jojo Kemp run for 2 yds to the Kent 41Similar
Q2 6:52
2ND & 8
OWN 41
+4
82.1%
Jojo Kemp run for 4 yds to the Kent 45Similar
Q2 6:45
3RD & 4
OWN 45
-5
81.9%
Ryan Timmons run for a loss of 5 yards to the Kent 40Similar
Q2 5:31
4TH & 9
OWN 40
0
83.2%
Landon Foster punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Andre Debose at the Fla 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 13PUNT
9 plays · 31 yds · 3:0882% → 81%
Q2 5:24
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
82.2%
Jeff Driskel pass incomplete to Demarcus RobinsonSimilar
Q2 5:12
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+9
82.0%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Ahmad Fulwood for 9 yds to the Fla 28Similar
Q2 5:00
3RD & 1
OWN 28
+5
82.0%
Matt Jones run for 5 yds to the Fla 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:16
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+7
82.1%
Matt Jones run for 7 yds to the Fla 40Similar
Q2 3:45
2ND & 3
OWN 40
+8
82.9%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Demarcus Robinson for 8 yds to the Fla 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:24
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
82.8%
Jeff Driskel pass incomplete to Kelvin TaylorSimilar
Q2 3:20
2ND & 10
OWN 48
0
82.5%
Jeff Driskel pass incomplete to Demarcus RobinsonSimilar
Q2 3:10
3RD & 10
OWN 48
+2
81.6%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Demarcus Robinson for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 2:16
4TH & 8
50
0
80.8%
Kyle Christy punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Demarco Robinson at the Kent 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 14END OF HALF
9 plays · 72 yds · 2:0718% → 29%
Q2 2:07
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+13
81.8%
Braylon Heard run for 13 yds to the Kent 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-1
81.3%
Braylon Heard run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kent 22Similar
Q2 1:21
2ND & 11
OWN 22
+12
81.3%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Demarco Robinson for 12 yds to the Kent 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:09
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+26
80.8%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Ryan Timmons for 26 yds to the Fla 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:01
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+1
78.5%
Patrick Towles run for 1 yd to the Fla 39Similar
Q2 0:45
2ND & 9
OPP 39
-6
78.4%
Patrick Towles sacked by Dante Fowler for a loss of 6 yards to the Fla 45 Patrick Towles fumbled, forced by Dante Fowler, recovered by Kent Braylon Heard , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 0:13
3RD & 15
OPP 45
+27
80.1%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Blake Bone for 27 yds to the Fla 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:02
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
77.1%
Patrick Towles pass incomplete to Blake BoneSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+35
70.6%
Austin MacGinnis 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 15INT
9 plays · 22 yds · 2:1326% → 28%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
73.8%
Braylon Heard run for 2 yds to the Kent 27Similar
Q3 14:22
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+9
73.3%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Ryan Timmons for 9 yds to the Kent 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
72.2%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Demarco Robinson for 8 yds to the Kent 44Similar
Q3 13:19
2ND & 2
OWN 44
+8
70.4%
Braylon Heard run for 8 yds to the Fla 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:57
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
69.9%
Patrick Towles pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:50
2ND & 10
OPP 48
0
70.1%
Patrick Towles pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:50
3RD & 10
OPP 48
-5
71.3%
KENTUCKY Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Kent 47Similar
Q3 12:41
3RD & 15
OWN 47
+30
72.5%
Patrick Towles pass intercepted Brian Poole return for 30 yds to the Kent 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 16FG
13 plays · 34 yds · 4:5378% → 78%
Q3 12:25
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
77.8%
Kelvin Taylor run for 3 yds to the Kent 36Similar
Q3 11:59
2ND & 7
OPP 36
+6
77.5%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Clay Burton for 6 yds to the Kent 30Similar
Q3 11:30
3RD & 1
OPP 30
+2
77.0%
Kelvin Taylor run for 2 yds to the Kent 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:04
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
77.8%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Demarcus Robinson for 3 yds to the Kent 25Similar
Q3 10:40
2ND & 7
OPP 25
-5
77.7%
FLORIDA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Kent 30Similar
Q3 10:16
2ND & 12
OPP 30
+8
77.2%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Demarcus Robinson for 8 yds to the Kent 22Similar
Q3 9:39
3RD & 4
OPP 22
+9
76.3%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Demarcus Robinson for 9 yds to the Kent 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:15
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+4
77.2%
Matt Jones run for 4 yds to the Kent 9Similar
Q3 8:35
2ND & 6
OPP 9
+6
76.9%
Matt Jones run for 6 yds to the Kent 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-2
76.8%
Matt Jones run for a loss of 2 yards to the Kent 5Similar
Q3 7:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
76.6%
Jeff Driskel pass incomplete to Matt JonesSimilar
Q3 7:35
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
75.4%
Jeff Driskel pass incomplete to Matt JonesSimilar
Q3 7:32
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+22
78.2%
Francisco Velez 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 17TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:4824% → 43%
Q3 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
75.8%
Patrick Towles run for 4 yds to the Kent 29Similar
Q3 6:42
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
74.8%
Braylon Heard run for 5 yds to the Kent 34Similar
Q3 6:07
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+6
74.4%
Jojo Kemp run for 6 yds to the Kent 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
73.1%
Patrick Towles pass incomplete to Blake BoneSimilar
Q3 5:32
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+60
56.9%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Garrett Johnson for 60 yds for a TD, (Austin MacGinnis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 18TD
4 plays · 44 yds · 0:4865% → 80%
Q3 5:15
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
64.8%
Matt Jones run for 1 yd to the Kent 43Similar
Q3 4:43
2ND & 9
OPP 43
+33
62.9%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Demarcus Robinson for 33 yds to the Kent 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
79.6%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Tevin Westbrook for 10 yds for a TD, (Francisco Velez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 19TD
6 plays · 74 yds · 0:4725% → 52%
Q3 4:08
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+11
74.8%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Stanley Williams for 11 yds to the Kent 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:43
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
73.6%
Patrick Towles pass incomplete to Ryan TimmonsSimilar
Q3 3:38
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
74.0%
Patrick Towles pass incomplete to Dorian BakerSimilar
Q3 3:30
3RD & 10
OWN 37
+30
75.5%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Garrett Johnson for 30 yds to the Fla 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:21
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+33
48.2%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Garrett Johnson for 33 yds for a TD, (Austin MacGinnis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 20TD
9 plays · 62 yds · 2:3257% → 79%
Q3 2:57
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
56.8%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Quinton Dunbar for 3 yds to the Fla 41Similar
Q3 2:39
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+7
58.1%
Jeff Driskel run for 7 yds to the Fla 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+22
58.4%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Demarcus Robinson for 22 yds to the Kent 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:53
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+11
60.8%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Demarcus Robinson for 11 yds to the Kent 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:23
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+7
60.4%
Kelvin Taylor run for 7 yds to the Kent 12Similar
Q3 0:48
2ND & 3
OPP 12
+3
59.9%
Kelvin Taylor run for 3 yds to the Kent 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
59.6%
Jeff Driskel pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
78.5%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Demarcus Robinson for 9 yds for a TD, (Francisco Velez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 21INT
6 plays · 14 yds · 1:3226% → 28%
Q3 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
74.1%
Ryan Timmons run for no gain to the Kent 25Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
74.2%
Braylon Heard run for no gain to the Kent 25Similar
Q4 14:54
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+12
75.4%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Demarco Robinson for 12 yds to the Kent 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:34
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
73.5%
Braylon Heard run for 2 yds to the Kent 39Similar
Q4 13:48
2ND & 8
OWN 39
-5
72.4%
Patrick Towles pass intercepted Keanu Neal return for a loss of 5 yards to the Fla 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 22MISSED FG
11 plays · 63 yds · 4:3877% → 77%
Q4 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+14
76.6%
Matt Jones run for 14 yds to the Fla 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
77.0%
Matt Jones run for 5 yds to the Fla 34Similar
Q4 12:42
2ND & 5
OWN 34
+6
77.9%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Ahmad Fulwood for 6 yds to the Fla 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:17
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
78.6%
Matt Jones run for 3 yds to the Fla 43Similar
Q4 11:44
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+15
78.7%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Tevin Westbrook for 15 yds to the Kent 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:17
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+5
79.5%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Demarcus Robinson for 5 yds to the Kent 37Similar
Q4 10:52
2ND & 5
OPP 37
+9
80.1%
Matt Jones run for 9 yds to the Kent 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
80.8%
Matt Jones run for 3 yds to the Kent 25Similar
Q4 9:37
2ND & 7
OPP 25
+3
80.6%
Matt Jones run for 3 yds to the Kent 22Similar
Q4 9:07
3RD & 4
OPP 22
0
79.1%
Jeff Driskel pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:02
4TH & 4
OPP 22
+39
76.9%
Francisco Velez 39 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 23FG
15 plays · 44 yds · 4:5328% → 44%
Q4 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+8
72.0%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Blake Bone for 8 yds to the Kent 31Similar
Q4 8:04
2ND & 2
OWN 31
0
68.6%
Patrick Towles run for no gain to the Kent 31Similar
Q4 7:51
3RD & 2
OWN 31
+4
71.0%
Jojo Kemp run for 4 yds to the Kent 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:19
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+10
69.2%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Dorian Baker for 10 yds to the Kent 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:06
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
66.6%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Garrett Johnson for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 6:28
2ND & 5
50
+6
65.4%
Braylon Heard run for 6 yds to the Fla 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:47
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-1
65.0%
Jojo Kemp run for a loss of 1 yard to the Fla 45Similar
Q4 5:26
2ND & 11
OPP 45
+15
68.2%
Towles, Patrick pass incomplete to Timmons, Ryan, PENALTY FLORIDA pass interference (Maye, Marcus) 15 yards to the FLORIDA30, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN KENTUCKY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:17
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
64.9%
Jojo Kemp run for 5 yds to the Fla 25Similar
Q4 5:17
2ND & 5
OPP 25
-9
64.4%
Stanley Williams run for 1 yd to the Fla 24 KENTUCKY Penalty, Offensive Holding (Ronnie Shields) to the Fla 34Similar
Q4 4:45
2ND & 14
OPP 34
+6
67.7%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Dorian Baker for 6 yds to the Fla 28Similar
Q4 3:57
3RD & 8
OPP 28
0
66.5%
Patrick Towles pass incomplete to Blake BoneSimilar
Q4 3:56
4TH & 8
OPP 28
-5
69.5%
KENTUCKY Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Fla 33Similar
Q4 3:52
4TH & 13
OPP 33
+51
56.3%
Austin MacGinnis 51 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 24PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 1:5262% → 58%
Q4 3:39
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+7
62.1%
Jeff Driskel run for 7 yds to the Fla 37Similar
Q4 3:05
2ND & 3
OWN 37
-2
64.8%
Jeff Driskel sacked by Jason Hatcher for a loss of 2 yards to the Fla 35Similar
Q4 2:14
3RD & 5
OWN 35
+4
59.7%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Latroy Pittman for 4 yds to the Fla 39Similar
Q4 1:57
4TH & 1
OWN 39
-5
60.4%
FLORIDA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Fla 34Similar
Q4 1:47
4TH & 6
OWN 34
+2
57.8%
Kyle Christy punt for 61 yds , Demarco Robinson returns for 2 yds to the Kent 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 25INT
6 plays · 23 yds · 1:1246% → 54%
Q4 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+6
54.4%
Patrick Towles run for 6 yds to the Kent 13Similar
Q4 1:13
2ND & 4
OWN 13
-12
52.4%
Patrick Towles sacked by TEAM for a loss of 12 yards to the Kent 1 KENTUCKY Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Patrick Towles) to the Kent 1Similar
Q4 1:03
3RD & 16
OWN 1
+22
53.4%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Garrett Johnson for 22 yds to the Kent 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:42
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+7
49.4%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Dorian Baker for 7 yds to the Kent 30Similar
Q4 0:28
2ND & 3
OWN 30
0
46.4%
Patrick Towles pass intercepted Keanu Neal return for no gain to the Fla 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 26DOWNS
8 plays · 26 yds · 0:2360% → 63%
Q4 0:23
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+8
60.0%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Clay Burton for 8 yds to the Fla 48Similar
Q4 0:15
2ND & 2
OWN 48
+14
61.7%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Matt Jones for 14 yds to the Kent 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:13
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
62.6%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:04
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+4
62.1%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Quinton Dunbar for 4 yds to the Kent 34Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 6
OPP 34
+52
63.0%
Austin Hardin 52 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 27TD
1 play · 25 yds · 0:0079% → 79%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
20.8%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Stanley Williams for 25 yds for a TD, (Austin MacGinnis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 28TD
7 plays · 25 yds · 0:0028% → 59%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+8
28.1%
Matt Jones run for 8 yds to the Kent 17Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 2
OPP 17
+5
28.1%
Matt Jones run for 5 yds to the Kent 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+3
28.1%
Matt Jones run for 3 yds to the Kent 9Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 7
OPP 9
+4
28.1%
Matt Jones run for 4 yds to the Kent 5Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 3
OPP 5
-4
25.8%
Kelvin Taylor run for a loss of 4 yards to the Kent 9Similar
OT 0:00
4TH & 7
OPP 9
+9
58.6%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Demarcus Robinson for 9 yds for a TD, (Francisco Velez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 29FG
6 plays · 22 yds · 0:0065% → 78%
OT2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+15
64.7%
Driskel, Jeff pass incomplete to Dunbar, Quinton, PENALTY KENTUCKY pass interference (Smith, Maxwell) 15 yards to the KENTUCKY10, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN FLORIDA. for a 1ST downSimilar
OT2 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
64.7%
Matt Jones run for 2 yds to the Kent 8Similar
OT2 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
64.7%
Jeff Driskel run for 5 yds to the Kent 3Similar
OT2 0:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
62.3%
Jeff Driskel pass incomplete to Demarcus RobinsonSimilar
OT2 0:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+20
78.3%
Francisco Velez 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 30FG
8 plays · 16 yds · 0:0029% → 50%
OT2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
70.9%
Patrick Towles pass incompleteSimilar
OT2 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 25
-5
72.9%
KENTUCKY Penalty, False Start (Jordan Swindle) to the Fla 30Similar
OT2 0:00
2ND & 15
OPP 30
0
76.2%
Patrick Towles pass incomplete to Garrett JohnsonSimilar
OT2 0:00
3RD & 15
OPP 30
+15
81.6%
FLORIDA Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Darious Cummings) to the Fla 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
70.9%
Braylon Heard run for 2 yds to the Fla 13Similar
OT2 0:00
2ND & 8
OPP 13
0
70.9%
Patrick Towles pass incompleteSimilar
OT2 0:00
3RD & 8
OPP 13
+4
76.4%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Garrett Johnson for 4 yds to the Fla 9Similar
OT2 0:00
4TH & 4
OPP 9
+26
49.6%
Austin MacGinnis 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 31MISSED FG
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0060% → 49%
OT3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
40.5%
Patrick Towles pass incompleteSimilar
OT3 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+1
41.1%
Patrick Towles run for 1 yd to the Fla 24Similar
OT3 0:00
3RD & 9
OPP 24
0
43.7%
Patrick Towles pass incomplete to Dorian BakerSimilar
OT3 0:00
4TH & 9
OPP 24
+41
51.5%
Austin MacGinnis 41 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 32TD
4 plays · 25 yds · 0:0065% → 87%
OT3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
64.7%
Matt Jones run for 3 yds to the Kent 22Similar
OT3 0:00
2ND & 7
OPP 22
+16
64.7%
Matt Jones run for 16 yds to the Kent 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT3 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
64.7%
Matt Jones run for 5 yds to the Kent 1Similar
OT3 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
86.5%
Matt Jones 1 Yd Run Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · OT 0:00
Patrick Towles pass complete to Stanley Williams for 25 yds for a TD, (Austin MacGinnis KICK)
-42.2
TD · OT 0:00
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Demarcus Robinson for 9 yds for a TD, (Francisco Velez KICK)
+32.8
TD · Q3 3:21
Patrick Towles pass complete to Garrett Johnson for 33 yds for a TD, (Austin MacGinnis KICK)
-27.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com