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LSU

LSU 30 at Florida 27

FLA
2014 · Week 7 · Oct 11, 2014 · Ben Hill Griffin Stadium
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Win probability · FLA
modelFLA aheadLSU aheadconfidence bandkey playFLA scoreLSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDTDFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 13:24 · Jamie Keehn punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Andre Debose at the Fla 24
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remainingPregame prior
+36.0+18.00−18.0−36.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 85Home team on offense+1.7Garbage-time factor−0.3Score differential+0.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.4Pregame prior−1.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 3:42: Leonard Fournette run for 2 yds for a TD, (Colby Delahoussaye MISSED) — LSU win probability +19.0 pts (now 63%) (top driver: LSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 6:10: Jeff Driskel pass complete to Demarcus Robinson for 11 yds for a TD, (Francisco Velez KICK) — FLA win probability +35.3 pts (now 82%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 2:40: Anthony Jennings pass complete to Travin Dural for 11 yds for a TD, (Colby Delahoussaye KICK) — LSU win probability +51.2 pts (now 84%) (top driver: LSU has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 1:49: Francisco Velez 18 yd FG GOOD — FLA win probability +21.3 pts (now 60%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 0:03: Colby Delahoussaye 50 yd FG GOOD — LSU win probability +31.7 pts (now 95%) (top driver: LSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FLA made the numbers' call on 5 of 8LSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 12:40FLA 4th & 4 at FLA 38, tied
    Close callPunted · 49.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:01LSU 4th & 5 at LSU 24, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.1%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:15FLA 4th & 1 at LSU 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 51.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    51.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    50.7%−0.7
    54% to make
    Punt
    50.3%−1.0
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:47LSU 4th & 11 at LSU 33, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.9%−1.0
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.9%
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:07FLA 4th & 9 at LSU 17, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 59.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.3%−0.7
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    58.9%
    80% to make
    Punt
    54.8%−4.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:12LSU 4th & 1 at FLA 1, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 35.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    34.9%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    32.3%−2.6
    94% to make
    Punt
    25.9%−9.0
    average punt
  7. Q3 13:24LSU 4th & 1 at LSU 34, down 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.5 ptsPunted · 41.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.7%−1.5
    average punt
  8. Q3 11:58FLA 4th & 6 at FLA 28, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.6%−0.8
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.4%
    average punt
  9. Q3 2:15FLA 4th & 1 at FLA 34, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 44.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    46.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    44.1%−2.2
    average punt
  10. Q3 0:50FLA 4th & 9 at FLA 37, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.9%−2.0
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.9%
    average punt
  11. Q4 12:30LSU 4th & 15 at LSU 42, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.6%−5.9
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.5%
    average punt
  12. Q4 8:42FLA 4th & 4 at LSU 39, down 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 4.3 ptsPunted · 43.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    39.2%−2.7
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    37.5%−4.3
    average punt
  13. Q4 6:48LSU 4th & 10 at LSU 11, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.2%−6.4
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.5%
    average punt
  14. Q4 1:49FLA 4th & 1 at LSU 1, down 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 4.5 ptsKicked a field goal · 38.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.3%
    59% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    45.8%−4.5
    94% to make
    Punt
    12.1%−38.2
    average punt
  15. Q4 0:54LSU 4th & 14 at LSU 14, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.9%−25.4
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.3%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FLA made the numbers' call on 1 of 2LSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 6:21LSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:32FLA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    54.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 4:12LSU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    43.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    43.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 6:10FLA Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.2%−0.7
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.9%
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 2:40LSU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.0%−2.7
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FLADrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 19 yds · 2:2048% → 48%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+2
47.8%
Kelvin Taylor run for 2 yds to the Fla 21Similar
Q1 14:30
2ND & 8
OWN 21
+7
47.9%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Brandon Powell for 7 yds to the Fla 28Similar
Q1 14:00
3RD & 1
OWN 28
+4
48.0%
Jeff Driskel run for 4 yds to the Fla 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
48.2%
Jeff Driskel pass incomplete to Quinton DunbarSimilar
Q1 13:10
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+6
48.3%
Jeff Driskel run for 6 yds to the Fla 38Similar
Q1 12:55
3RD & 4
OWN 38
0
48.3%
Jeff Driskel pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:40
4TH & 4
OWN 38
0
48.3%
Kyle Christy punt for 62 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 2PUNT RETURN TD
8 plays · -10 yds · 3:4852% → 48%
Q1 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
48.3%
Leonard Fournette run for 2 yds to the LSU 22Similar
Q1 12:01
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+2
48.4%
Leonard Fournette run for 2 yds to the LSU 24Similar
Q1 11:31
3RD & 6
OWN 24
+8
48.7%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Trey Quinn for 8 yds to the LSU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:01
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
48.5%
Terrence Magee run for 5 yds to the LSU 37Similar
Q1 10:45
2ND & 5
OWN 37
-15
48.3%
LSU Penalty, Personal Foul (Dillon Gordon) to the LSU 22Similar
Q1 10:15
2ND & 20
OWN 22
-6
48.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 6 yards to the LSU 16 TEAM fumbled, recovered by LSU Terrence MageeSimilar
Q1 9:40
3RD & 26
OWN 16
-6
49.1%
Anthony Jennings sacked by Alex McCalister for a loss of 6 yards to the LSU 10Similar
Q1 8:52
4TH & 32
OWN 10
+62
51.8%
Jamie Keehn punt for 52 yds , Andre Debose returns for 62 yds for a TD, (Francisco Velez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 1:3949% → 47%
Q1 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+2
51.4%
Leonard Fournette run for 2 yds to the LSU 21Similar
Q1 7:56
2ND & 8
OWN 21
+3
52.2%
Leonard Fournette run for 3 yds to the LSU 24Similar
Q1 7:15
3RD & 5
OWN 24
0
52.6%
Anthony Jennings pass incomplete to Travin DuralSimilar
Q1 7:01
4TH & 5
OWN 24
0
53.0%
Jamie Keehn punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Andre Debose at the Fla 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 4FUMBLE
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0053% → 53%
Q1 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
53.1%
Jeff Driskel run for 2 yds to the Fla 32 Jeff Driskel fumbled, forced by Kwon Alexander, recovered by LSU Jermauria Rasco , return for 4 yds to the Fla 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 5TD
2 plays · 28 yds · 0:3349% → 52%
Q1 6:54
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+16
51.3%
Leonard Fournette run for 16 yds to the Fla 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:21
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
48.3%
Leonard Fournette run for 12 yds for a TD, (Colby Delahoussaye KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 6TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:4950% → 57%
Q1 6:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+35
49.8%
Andre Debose run for 35 yds to the LSU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:45
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
51.1%
Mack Brown run for no gain to the LSU 40Similar
Q1 5:15
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+7
51.2%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Mack Brown for 7 yds to the LSU 33Similar
Q1 4:45
3RD & 3
OPP 33
+2
51.3%
Jeff Driskel run for 2 yds to the LSU 31Similar
Q1 4:15
4TH & 1
OPP 31
+7
51.0%
Jeff Driskel run for 7 yds to the LSU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:30
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+6
52.2%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Demarcus Robinson for 6 yds to the LSU 18Similar
Q1 3:10
2ND & 4
OPP 18
+9
52.4%
Jeff Driskel run for 9 yds to the LSU 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
56.9%
Jeff Driskel run for 9 yds for a TD, (Francisco Velez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 7PUNT
9 plays · 19 yds · 2:1544% → 42%
Q1 2:02
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+5
55.6%
Leonard Fournette run for 5 yds to the LSU 19Similar
Q1 1:45
2ND & 5
OWN 19
+2
55.7%
Leonard Fournette run for 2 yds to the LSU 21Similar
Q1 1:15
3RD & 3
OWN 21
+13
56.4%
Anthony Jennings run for 13 yds to the LSU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
56.1%
Anthony Jennings pass incomplete to Travin DuralSimilar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+4
56.6%
Darrel Williams run for 4 yds to the LSU 38Similar
Q2 14:56
3RD & 6
OWN 38
0
56.4%
Anthony Jennings pass incomplete to Travin DuralSimilar
Q2 14:52
4TH & 6
OWN 38
-5
57.2%
LSU Penalty, False Start (Rashard Robinson) to the LSU 33Similar
Q2 14:47
4TH & 11
OWN 33
0
57.6%
Jamie Keehn punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Andre Debose at the Fla 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 8FG
9 plays · 54 yds · 3:2358% → 61%
Q2 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
57.6%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Brandon Powell for 5 yds to the Fla 34Similar
Q2 14:10
2ND & 5
OWN 34
+21
58.2%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Brandon Powell for 21 yds to the LSU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:45
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+9
59.3%
Matt Jones run for 9 yds to the LSU 36Similar
Q2 13:25
2ND & 1
OPP 36
+3
59.5%
Jeff Driskel run for 3 yds to the LSU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:55
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+15
60.1%
LSU Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Jalen Collins) to the LSU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:45
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+2
60.2%
Jeff Driskel run for 2 yds to the LSU 16Similar
Q2 12:20
2ND & 8
OPP 16
+1
60.5%
Matt Jones run for 1 yd to the LSU 15Similar
Q2 11:40
3RD & 7
OPP 15
-2
60.4%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Latroy Pittman for a loss of 2 yards to the LSU 17Similar
Q2 11:07
4TH & 9
OPP 17
+34
61.1%
Francisco Velez 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 9TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 6:3939% → 43%
Q2 10:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
61.4%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Melvin Jones for 5 yds to the LSU 30Similar
Q2 10:25
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+2
61.2%
Kenny Hilliard run for 2 yds to the LSU 32Similar
Q2 9:30
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+16
62.5%
Terrence Magee run for 16 yds to the LSU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+11
61.6%
Terrence Magee run for 11 yds to the Fla 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:40
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-1
61.4%
Anthony Jennings run for a loss of 1 yard to the Fla 42Similar
Q2 8:00
2ND & 11
OPP 42
+20
62.5%
Leonard Fournette run for 20 yds to the Fla 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:25
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+4
61.4%
Leonard Fournette run for 4 yds to the Fla 18Similar
Q2 6:41
2ND & 6
OPP 18
+15
61.9%
Leonard Fournette run for 15 yds to the Fla 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
62.2%
Leonard Fournette run for no gain to the Fla 3Similar
Q2 5:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
62.5%
Leonard Fournette run for 1 yd to the Fla 2Similar
Q2 4:50
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
63.9%
Leonard Fournette run for 1 yd to the Fla 1Similar
Q2 4:12
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
56.9%
Kenny Hilliard 1 Yd Run (Colby Delahoussaye Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 10INT
6 plays · 13 yds · 1:3858% → 57%
Q2 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
57.5%
Jeff Driskel pass incomplete to Demarcus RobinsonSimilar
Q2 3:46
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+10
57.4%
Jeff Driskel run for 10 yds to the Fla 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
57.9%
Jeff Driskel run for 5 yds to the Fla 30Similar
Q2 3:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-2
58.6%
Kelvin Taylor run for a loss of 2 yards to the Fla 28Similar
Q2 2:17
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
57.1%
Jeff Driskel pass intercepted Tre'Davious White return for no gain to the LSU 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 11PUNT
3 plays · 3 yds · 0:4041% → 41%
Q2 2:11
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
58.7%
Anthony Jennings run for 3 yds to the LSU 33Similar
Q2 1:38
2ND & 7
OWN 33
0
58.3%
Anthony Jennings pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:31
3RD & 7
OWN 33
0
59.4%
Anthony Jennings pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 12END OF HALF
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:4658% → 56%
Q2 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-1
57.5%
Matt Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the Fla 9Similar
Q2 0:31
2ND & 11
OWN 9
0
57.2%
Jeff Driskel run for no gain to the Fla 9Similar
Q2 0:24
3RD & 11
OWN 9
+2
56.4%
Matt Jones run for 2 yds to the Fla 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:3143% → 42%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
56.8%
Leonard Fournette run for 5 yds to the LSU 30Similar
Q3 14:17
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
56.1%
Anthony Jennings pass incomplete to Trey QuinnSimilar
Q3 14:07
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+4
57.3%
Anthony Jennings run for 4 yds to the LSU 34Similar
Q3 13:24
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
58.0%
Jamie Keehn punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Andre Debose at the Fla 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:1759% → 57%
Q3 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-4
59.0%
Jeff Driskel run for a loss of 4 yards to the Fla 20Similar
Q3 12:40
2ND & 14
OWN 20
+8
58.4%
Jeff Driskel run for 8 yds to the Fla 28Similar
Q3 12:05
3RD & 6
OWN 28
0
57.6%
Jeff Driskel pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:58
4TH & 6
OWN 28
0
56.6%
Kyle Christy punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LSU 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 15TD
16 plays · 65 yds · 8:0743% → 63%
Q3 11:49
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+20
56.7%
Leonard Fournette run for 20 yds to the Fla 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:15
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
54.1%
Leonard Fournette run for 5 yds to the Fla 40Similar
Q3 10:40
2ND & 5
OPP 40
+2
53.8%
Leonard Fournette run for 2 yds to the Fla 38Similar
Q3 9:55
3RD & 3
OPP 38
+5
54.4%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Melvin Jones for 5 yds to the Fla 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:20
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+10
53.3%
Kenny Hilliard run for 10 yds to the Fla 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:40
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-7
53.0%
Anthony Jennings sacked by Jalen Tabor for a loss of 7 yards to the Fla 30Similar
Q3 8:00
2ND & 17
OPP 30
0
55.1%
Darrel Williams run for no gain to the Fla 30Similar
Q3 7:09
3RD & 17
OPP 30
+10
57.5%
FLORIDA Penalty, Defensive Holding (Brian Poole) to the Fla 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:03
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
53.1%
Leonard Fournette run for no gain to the Fla 20Similar
Q3 6:30
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+5
53.5%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Melvin Jones for 5 yds to the Fla 15Similar
Q3 5:45
3RD & 5
OPP 15
-5
54.9%
LSU Penalty, Delay of Game (Anthony Jennings) to the Fla 20Similar
Q3 5:20
3RD & 10
OPP 20
+10
55.6%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Trey Quinn for 10 yds to the Fla 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
53.0%
Leonard Fournette run for 2 yds to the Fla 8Similar
Q3 4:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
54.1%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Melvin Jones for 4 yds to the Fla 4Similar
Q3 3:48
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
55.9%
FLORIDA Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Bryan Cox) to the Fla 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
36.9%
Leonard Fournette run for 2 yds for a TD, (Colby Delahoussaye MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 16PUNT
9 plays · 12 yds · 2:4545% → 42%
Q3 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
44.7%
Jeff Driskel run for 1 yd to the Fla 26Similar
Q3 2:58
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
44.6%
Jeff Driskel pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:45
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+8
42.8%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Tevin Westbrook for 8 yds to the Fla 34Similar
Q3 2:15
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+2
43.3%
Jeff Driskel run for 2 yds to the Fla 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
45.5%
Jeff Driskel pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:25
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+1
45.0%
Brandon Powell run for 1 yd to the Fla 37Similar
Q3 0:59
3RD & 9
OWN 37
0
43.8%
Jeff Driskel pass incomplete to Latroy PittmanSimilar
Q3 0:50
4TH & 9
OWN 37
0
41.7%
Kyle Christy punt for 63 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 17PUNT
9 plays · 22 yds · 3:1258% → 59%
Q3 0:42
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
41.7%
Leonard Fournette run for 5 yds to the LSU 25Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+6
40.6%
Leonard Fournette run for 6 yds to the LSU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
40.7%
Leonard Fournette run for 3 yds to the LSU 34Similar
Q4 14:30
2ND & 7
OWN 34
+13
40.2%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Trey Quinn for 13 yds to the LSU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:55
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-10
37.9%
LSU Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the LSU 37Similar
Q4 13:25
1ST & 20
OWN 37
0
41.0%
Anthony Jennings pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:15
2ND & 20
OWN 37
+5
41.2%
Anthony Jennings run for 5 yds to the LSU 42Similar
Q4 12:38
3RD & 15
OWN 42
0
39.1%
Anthony Jennings pass incomplete to Travin DuralSimilar
Q4 12:30
4TH & 15
OWN 42
0
41.4%
Jamie Keehn punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Andre Debose at the Fla 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 18PUNT
9 plays · 45 yds · 3:3342% → 42%
Q4 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+9
42.3%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Demarcus Robinson for 9 yds to the Fla 25Similar
Q4 12:00
2ND & 1
OWN 25
+4
45.1%
Brandon Powell run for 4 yds to the Fla 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
42.7%
Jeff Driskel run for 5 yds to the Fla 34Similar
Q4 11:10
2ND & 5
OWN 34
+1
44.2%
Jeff Driskel run for 1 yd to the Fla 35Similar
Q4 10:40
3RD & 4
OWN 35
+20
40.9%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Brandon Powell for 20 yds to the LSU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:13
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
45.2%
Jeff Driskel pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:40
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+5
45.4%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Demarcus Robinson for 5 yds to the LSU 40Similar
Q4 9:15
3RD & 5
OPP 40
+1
45.0%
Jeff Driskel run for 1 yd to the LSU 39Similar
Q4 8:42
4TH & 4
OPP 39
0
42.0%
Kyle Christy punt for 28 yds, fair catch by Tre'Davious White at the LSU 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:4766% → 65%
Q4 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 11
-2
33.6%
Leonard Fournette run for a loss of 2 yards to the LSU 9Similar
Q4 8:00
2ND & 12
OWN 9
+2
34.3%
Kenny Hilliard run for 2 yds to the LSU 11Similar
Q4 7:06
3RD & 10
OWN 11
0
34.2%
Anthony Jennings pass incomplete to Trey QuinnSimilar
Q4 6:48
4TH & 10
OWN 11
+53
35.1%
Jamie Keehn punt for 51 yds , Andre Debose returns for 53 yds to the LSU 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 20TD
2 plays · 9 yds · 0:3347% → 82%
Q4 6:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-2
46.5%
Jeff Driskel run for a loss of 2 yards to the LSU 11Similar
Q4 6:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
+11
81.8%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Demarcus Robinson for 11 yds for a TD, (Francisco Velez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 21TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 3:2032% → 84%
Q4 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
68.1%
Leonard Fournette run for 5 yds to the LSU 30Similar
Q4 5:27
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
68.7%
Anthony Jennings pass incomplete to Malachi DupreSimilar
Q4 5:15
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+8
70.5%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Malachi Dupre for 8 yds to the LSU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+10
68.1%
Terrence Magee run for 10 yds to the LSU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-11
67.8%
Anthony Jennings sacked by Dante Fowler for a loss of 11 yards to the LSU 37Similar
Q4 3:46
2ND & 21
OWN 37
+1
72.9%
Anthony Jennings run for 1 yd to the LSU 38Similar
Q4 3:40
3RD & 20
OWN 38
-5
77.1%
LSU Penalty, Substitution Infraction (-5 Yards) to the LSU 33Similar
Q4 3:33
3RD & 25
OPP 33
+54
74.0%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Travin Dural for 41 yds to the FLORIDA 26 for a 1ST down FLORIDA Penalty, Personal Foul (13 Yards) to the Fla 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:20
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+2
66.9%
Leonard Fournette run for 2 yds to the Fla 11Similar
Q4 2:40
2ND & 8
OPP 11
+11
15.8%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Travin Dural for 11 yds for a TD, (Colby Delahoussaye KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 22FG
8 plays · 74 yds · 0:3731% → 60%
Q4 2:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+73
30.7%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Demarcus Robinson for 73 yds to the LSU 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
41.6%
Brandon Powell run for 1 yd to the LSU 1Similar
Q4 1:58
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
44.3%
Jeff Driskel run for no gain to the LSU 1Similar
Q4 1:53
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
39.0%
Jeff Driskel pass incomplete to Tevin WestbrookSimilar
Q4 1:49
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+18
60.2%
Francisco Velez 18 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 23PUNT
6 plays · -4 yds · 0:4650% → 45%
Q4 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+5
50.5%
Terrence Magee run for 5 yds to the LSU 23Similar
Q4 1:08
2ND & 5
OWN 23
0
49.8%
Anthony Jennings pass incomplete to Travin DuralSimilar
Q4 1:01
3RD & 5
OWN 23
-9
52.0%
Anthony Jennings sacked by Jonathan Bullard and Alex McCalister for a loss of 9 yards to the LSU 14Similar
Q4 0:54
4TH & 14
OWN 14
0
54.6%
Jamie Keehn punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Fla 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 24INT
3 plays · 13 yds · 0:2660% → 63%
Q4 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
60.1%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Brandon Powell for 5 yds to the Fla 47Similar
Q4 0:43
2ND & 5
OWN 47
+8
61.3%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Brandon Powell for 8 yds to the LSU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:24
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+23
62.9%
Jeff Driskel pass intercepted Rickey Jefferson return for 23 yds to the Fla 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 25DOWNS
4 plays · -12 yds · 0:1261% → 94%
Q4 0:15
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+3
39.2%
Terrence Magee run for 3 yds to the Fla 33Similar
Q4 0:08
2ND & 7
OPP 33
0
36.3%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:03
3RD & 7
OPP 33
+50
4.6%
Colby Delahoussaye 50 yd FG GOODSimilar
Q4 0:03
3RD & 7
OWN 35
-15
5.8%
LSU Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (John Diarse) to the LSU 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 2:40
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Travin Dural for 11 yds for a TD, (Colby Delahoussaye KICK)
-51.2
TD · Q4 6:10
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Demarcus Robinson for 11 yds for a TD, (Francisco Velez KICK)
+35.3
FG · Q4 0:03
Colby Delahoussaye 50 yd FG GOOD
-31.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com