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MIZ

Missouri 42 at Florida 13

FLA
2014 · Week 8 · Oct 18, 2014 · Ben Hill Griffin Stadium
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Win probability · FLA
modelFLA aheadMIZ aheadconfidence bandkey playFLA scoreMIZ score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:01 · TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Misso 23
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+57.0+28.50−28.5−57.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 3:50: Marcus Murphy run for 5 yds for a TD, (Andrew Baggett KICK) — MIZ win probability +4.5 pts (now 47%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 8:38: Andrew Baggett 25 yd FG GOOD — MIZ win probability +4.6 pts (now 64%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 4:21: Andrew Baggett 34 yd FG GOOD — FLA win probability +3.7 pts (now 42%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 13:01: Marcus Murphy 82 Yd Punt Return (Maty Mauk Pass to Bud Sasser for Two-Point Conversion) — MIZ win probability +17.1 pts (now 89%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 5:57: Darvin Ruise 46 Yd Interception Return (Andrew Baggett Kick) — MIZ win probability +1.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FLA made the numbers' call on 3 of 6MIZ made the numbers' call on 4 of 7
  1. Q1 9:19FLA 4th & 10 at MIZ 34, down 7
    Close callWent for it · 57.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    57.4%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    57.4%
    47% to make
    Punt
    57.3%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:39MIZ 4th & 2 at MIZ 43, up 7
    Close callPunted · 43.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.8%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:08FLA 4th & 6 at FLA 29, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.1%−0.3
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.4%
    average punt
  4. Q2 8:38MIZ 4th & 7 at FLA 7, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 60.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.1%−0.5
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    59.7%
    91% to make
    Punt
    51.2%−8.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 6:40FLA 4th & 1 at FLA 35, down 17
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsPunted · 36.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.4%−1.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:36MIZ 4th & 6 at MIZ 38, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.1%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.4%
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:57FLA 4th & 17 at FLA 10, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.9%−2.0
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.9%
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:09MIZ 4th & 3 at FLA 45, up 20
    Close callPunted · 81.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    79.8%−1.2
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    80.3%−0.7
    average punt
  9. Q3 13:01FLA 4th & 1 at FLA 41, down 20
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.4 ptsPunted · 24.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.0%−1.4
    average punt
  10. Q3 10:50FLA 4th & 8 at FLA 45, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.3%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.4%
    average punt
  11. Q3 8:26MIZ 4th & 17 at MIZ 24, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.3%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.5%
    average punt
  12. Q4 13:59MIZ 4th & 6 at MIZ 49, up 35
    Close callPunted · 99.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.1%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 7:02MIZ 4th & 15 at MIZ 26, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.7%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FLA made the numbers' call on 1 of 1MIZ made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 14:49MIZ Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:50MIZ Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 13:01MIZ Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    96.6%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    96.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 5:57MIZ Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 1:43FLA Touchdown, down 36 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FLADrive 1FUMBLE
8 plays · 26 yds · 1:5763% → 63%
Q1 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
63.2%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Demarcus Robinson for 11 yds to the Fla 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
63.2%
Jeff Driskel pass incomplete to Ahmad FulwoodSimilar
Q1 14:00
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+6
63.0%
Matt Jones run for 6 yds to the Fla 42Similar
Q1 13:55
3RD & 4
OWN 42
+6
63.0%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Clay Burton for 6 yds to the Fla 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+6
62.8%
Matt Jones run for 6 yds to the Misso 46Similar
Q1 12:51
2ND & 4
OPP 46
-3
62.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the Misso 49 TEAM fumbled, recovered by MissoSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 2INT
4 plays · -3 yds · 1:4738% → 38%
Q1 12:51
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
62.3%
Maty Mauk run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 12:30
2ND & 9
50
+1
62.1%
Maty Mauk pass complete to Darius White for 1 yd to the Fla 49Similar
Q1 12:00
3RD & 8
OPP 49
-5
61.9%
MISSOURI Penalty, False Start (Taylor Chappell) to the Misso 46Similar
Q1 11:04
3RD & 13
OWN 46
+1
61.6%
Maty Mauk pass intercepted Marcus Maye return for 1 yd to the Misso 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 3DOWNS
7 plays · 11 yds · 1:4162% → 61%
Q1 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
62.2%
Kelvin Taylor run for 1 yd to the Misso 44Similar
Q1 10:45
2ND & 9
OPP 44
+5
62.1%
Driskel, Jeff pass incomplete, PENALTY MISSOURI offside 5 yards to the MISSOURI39, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:30
2ND & 4
OPP 39
+5
62.0%
Kelvin Taylor run for 5 yds to the Misso 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
62.0%
Kelvin Taylor run for no gain to the Misso 34Similar
Q1 9:30
2ND & 10
OPP 34
0
61.9%
Jeff Driskel pass incomplete to Clay BurtonSimilar
Q1 9:25
3RD & 10
OPP 34
0
61.5%
Jeff Driskel pass incomplete to Demarcus RobinsonSimilar
Q1 9:19
4TH & 10
OPP 34
0
61.0%
Jeff Driskel pass incomplete to Demarcus RobinsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:4039% → 40%
Q1 9:19
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
60.8%
Russell Hansbrough run for 5 yds to the Misso 40Similar
Q1 9:00
2ND & 5
OWN 40
-2
60.2%
Russell Hansbrough run for a loss of 2 yards to the Misso 38Similar
Q1 8:05
3RD & 7
OWN 38
+5
59.9%
Maty Mauk run for 5 yds to the Misso 43Similar
Q1 7:39
4TH & 2
OWN 43
0
59.7%
Christian Brinser punt for 47 yds, downed at the Fla 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 5FUMBLE
5 plays · 9 yds · 2:1460% → 59%
Q1 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+6
60.0%
Matt Jones run for 6 yds to the Fla 16Similar
Q1 7:00
2ND & 4
OWN 16
+8
59.8%
Matt Jones run for 8 yds to the Fla 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+1
59.5%
Treon Harris pass complete to Matt Jones for 1 yd to the Fla 25Similar
Q1 5:45
2ND & 9
OWN 25
-1
59.2%
Matt Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the Fla 24Similar
Q1 5:11
3RD & 10
OWN 24
-5
58.6%
Treon Harris sacked by Kentrell Brothers for a loss of 5 yards to the Fla 19 Treon Harris fumbled, forced by Kentrell Brothers, recovered by Misso Michael Scherer , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 6TD
4 plays · 19 yds · 1:1542% → 47%
Q1 5:05
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+9
57.7%
Marcus Murphy run for 9 yds to the Fla 10Similar
Q1 4:40
2ND & 1
OPP 10
+5
57.4%
Marcus Murphy run for 5 yds to the Fla 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
57.2%
Maty Mauk pass incomplete to Jimmie Hunt, broken up by Vernon HargreavesSimilar
Q1 3:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
52.7%
Marcus Murphy run for 5 yds for a TD, (Andrew Baggett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 1:0053% → 52%
Q1 3:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
53.0%
Kelvin Taylor run for 11 yds to the Fla 36 FLORIDA Penalty, Offensive Holding (NA) to the Fla 26Similar
Q1 3:00
1ST & 9
OWN 26
-1
53.0%
Kelvin Taylor run for a loss of 1 yard to the Fla 25Similar
Q1 2:51
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
52.7%
Treon Harris pass incomplete to Kelvin TaylorSimilar
Q1 2:40
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+4
52.4%
Treon Harris run for 4 yds to the Fla 29Similar
Q1 2:08
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+5
52.1%
Kyle Christy punt for 38 yds , Marcus Murphy returns for 5 yds to the Misso 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 8FG
19 plays · 55 yds · 8:2249% → 64%
Q1 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-7
51.0%
Maty Mauk sacked by Michael Taylor for a loss of 7 yards to the Misso 31 MISSOURI Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Maty Mauk) to the Misso 31Similar
Q1 1:50
2ND & 17
OWN 31
0
51.5%
Maty Mauk pass incomplete to J'Mon MooreSimilar
Q1 1:40
3RD & 17
OWN 31
+19
51.7%
Maty Mauk run for 19 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:00
1ST & 10
50
+7
49.9%
Russell Hansbrough run for 7 yds to the Fla 43Similar
Q1 0:15
2ND & 3
OPP 43
+2
49.0%
Maty Mauk pass complete to Jimmie Hunt for 2 yds to the Fla 41Similar
Q2 14:55
3RD & 1
OPP 41
+2
48.8%
Russell Hansbrough run for 2 yds to the Fla 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:15
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
48.0%
Maty Mauk pass complete to Bud Sasser for 2 yds to the Fla 37Similar
Q2 14:00
2ND & 8
OPP 37
+7
47.4%
Maty Mauk pass complete to Bud Sasser for 7 yds to the Fla 30Similar
Q2 13:25
3RD & 1
OPP 30
+5
47.0%
Russell Hansbrough run for 5 yds to the Fla 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:45
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+6
46.0%
Russell Hansbrough run for 6 yds to the Fla 19Similar
Q2 12:05
2ND & 4
OPP 19
0
45.3%
Maty Mauk pass incomplete to Darius WhiteSimilar
Q2 12:00
3RD & 4
OPP 19
+8
45.5%
Maty Mauk pass complete to Darius White for 8 yds to the Fla 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:20
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+7
44.1%
Marcus Murphy run for 7 yds to the Fla 4Similar
Q2 11:00
2ND & 3
OPP 4
+3
43.7%
Marcus Murphy run for 3 yds to the Fla 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-10
42.5%
Mauk, Maty rush for no gain to the FLORIDA1, PENALTY MISSOURI illegal block 10 yards to the FLORIDA11, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 11
+4
41.6%
Marcus Murphy run for 4 yds to the Fla 7Similar
Q2 8:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
40.9%
Maty Mauk pass incomplete to Bud SasserSimilar
Q2 8:44
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
41.0%
Maty Mauk pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:38
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+25
36.5%
Andrew Baggett 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:3540% → 39%
Q2 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+1
39.8%
Matt Jones run for 1 yd to the Fla 27Similar
Q2 7:45
2ND & 9
OWN 27
+4
40.0%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to C.J. Worton for 4 yds to the Fla 31Similar
Q2 7:00
3RD & 5
OWN 31
+4
39.0%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Clay Burton for 4 yds Clay Burton fumbled, recovered by Fla Clay BurtonSimilar
Q2 6:40
4TH & 1
OWN 35
+4
39.0%
Kyle Christy punt for 35 yds , Marcus Murphy returns for 4 yds to the Misso 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:0065% → 65%
Q2 6:36
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
34.8%
Maty Mauk pass incomplete to Darius White, broken up by Antonio MorrisonSimilar
Q2 6:25
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+4
34.6%
Russell Hansbrough run for 4 yds to the Misso 38Similar
Q2 5:45
3RD & 6
OWN 38
0
34.0%
Maty Mauk pass incomplete to Sean Culkin, broken up by Keanu NealSimilar
Q2 5:36
4TH & 6
OWN 38
0
34.7%
Christian Brinser punt for 44 yds , Andre Debose returns for no gain to the Fla 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 11INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0038% → 38%
Q2 5:22
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+37
37.6%
Jeff Driskel pass intercepted Braylon Webb return for 37 yds to the Fla 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 12FG
6 plays · -11 yds · 0:4468% → 58%
Q2 5:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-6
32.3%
Russell Hansbrough run for a loss of 6 yards to the Fla 11Similar
Q2 4:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
0
31.6%
Maty Mauk pass incomplete to Darius White, broken up by Jalen TaborSimilar
Q2 4:31
3RD & GOAL
OPP 11
-5
39.2%
MISSOURI Penalty, Delay of Game (Maty Mauk) to the Fla 16Similar
Q2 4:27
3RD & GOAL
OPP 16
0
38.4%
Maty Mauk pass incomplete to Jimmie HuntSimilar
Q2 4:21
4TH & 0
OPP 16
+34
42.0%
Andrew Baggett 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 13PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 1:1234% → 32%
Q2 4:09
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
33.8%
Jeff Driskel pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:51
2ND & 10
OWN 17
-9
33.1%
Jeff Driskel sacked by Harold Brantley for a loss of 9 yards to the Fla 8Similar
Q2 3:35
3RD & 19
OWN 8
+2
32.4%
Matt Jones run for 2 yds to the Fla 10Similar
Q2 2:57
4TH & 17
OWN 10
+10
32.1%
Kyle Christy punt for 52 yds , Marcus Murphy returns for 10 yds to the Misso 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:3662% → 74%
Q2 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
37.6%
Russell Hansbrough run for no gain to the Misso 48Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+7
32.6%
Russell Hansbrough run for 7 yds to the Fla 45Similar
Q2 1:20
3RD & 3
OPP 45
0
28.6%
Maty Mauk pass complete to Bud Sasser for no gain to the Fla 45Similar
Q2 1:09
4TH & 3
OPP 45
+3
26.2%
Christian Brinser punt for 40 yds , Andre Debose returns for 3 yds to the Fla 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 15END OF HALF
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:5427% → 27%
Q2 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 8
0
26.8%
Treon Harris run for no gain to the Fla 8Similar
Q2 0:28
2ND & 10
OWN 8
+7
26.0%
Treon Harris pass complete to Ahmad Fulwood for 7 yds to the Fla 15Similar
Q2 0:01
3RD & 3
OWN 15
+2
26.6%
Matt Jones run for 2 yds to the Fla 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 16PUNT TD
9 plays · 27 yds · 1:5426% → 11%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+10
25.6%
Driskel, Jeff pass incomplete, PENALTY MISSOURI holding 10 yards to the FLORIDA24, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN FLORIDA. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
25.7%
Kelvin Taylor run for 4 yds to the Fla 28Similar
Q3 14:20
2ND & 6
OWN 28
0
25.4%
Jeff Driskel pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:15
3RD & 6
OWN 28
+4
25.0%
MISSOURI Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (NA) to the Fla 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+9
26.2%
Kelvin Taylor run for 9 yds to the Fla 41Similar
Q3 13:55
2ND & 1
OWN 41
0
28.4%
Jeff Driskel pass incomplete to Ahmad FulwoodSimilar
Q3 13:30
3RD & 1
OWN 41
0
28.0%
Jeff Driskel pass incomplete to Ahmad FulwoodSimilar
Q3 13:01
4TH & 1
OWN 41
+82
10.9%
Marcus Murphy 82 Yd Punt Return (Maty Mauk Pass to Bud Sasser for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 17PUNT
8 plays · 15 yds · 2:1112% → 10%
Q3 13:01
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
11.9%
Jeff Driskel run for 4 yds to the Fla 34Similar
Q3 12:40
2ND & 6
OWN 34
-8
10.7%
Jeff Driskel sacked by Shane Ray and Matt Hoch for a loss of 8 yards to the Fla 26Similar
Q3 12:35
3RD & 14
OWN 26
+17
10.7%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Demarcus Robinson for 17 yds to the Fla 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
11.6%
Matt Jones run for 2 yds to the Fla 45Similar
Q3 12:00
2ND & 8
OWN 45
0
10.7%
Jeff Driskel pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:30
3RD & 8
OWN 45
0
10.1%
Jeff Driskel pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:50
4TH & 8
OWN 45
0
9.5%
Kyle Christy punt for 24 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Misso 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 2:1992% → 94%
Q3 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-3
8.2%
Marcus Murphy run for a loss of 3 yards to the Misso 28Similar
Q3 10:05
2ND & 13
OWN 28
-3
7.7%
Marcus Murphy run for a loss of 3 yards to the Misso 25Similar
Q3 9:30
3RD & 16
OWN 25
-5
7.5%
MISSOURI Penalty, Delay of Game (Maty Mauk) to the Misso 20Similar
Q3 9:00
3RD & 21
OWN 20
+4
6.3%
Russell Hansbrough run for 4 yds to the Misso 24Similar
Q3 8:26
4TH & 17
OWN 24
0
6.4%
Christian Brinser punt for 44 yds , Andre Debose returns for no gain to the Fla 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 19FUMBLE TD
3 plays · -7 yds · 0:508% → 3%
Q3 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-4
8.3%
Jeff Driskel sacked by Duron Singleton for a loss of 4 yards to the Fla 28Similar
Q3 7:55
2ND & 14
OWN 28
+5
7.6%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Demarcus Robinson for 5 yds to the Fla 33Similar
Q3 7:25
3RD & 9
OWN 33
+21
2.7%
Markus Golden 21 Yd Fumble Return (Andrew Baggett Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 20INT TD
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:033% → 1%
Q3 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
2.6%
Mack Brown run for 3 yds to the Fla 38Similar
Q3 6:20
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+3
2.5%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Ahmad Fulwood for 3 yds to the Fla 41Similar
Q3 5:57
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+46
1.4%
Darvin Ruise 46 Yd Interception Return (Andrew Baggett Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 21TD
10 plays · 63 yds · 3:471% → 1%
Q3 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+7
1.4%
Kelvin Taylor run for 7 yds to the Fla 44Similar
Q3 5:13
2ND & 3
OWN 44
+1
1.3%
Kelvin Taylor run for 1 yd to the Fla 45Similar
Q3 4:25
3RD & 2
OWN 45
+11
1.2%
Treon Harris pass complete to Tevin Westbrook for 11 yds to the Misso 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:10
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+15
1.2%
Treon Harris pass complete to Demarcus Robinson for 15 yds to the Misso 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+10
1.3%
Kelvin Taylor run for 10 yds to the Misso 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+3
1.1%
Kelvin Taylor run for 3 yds to the Misso 16Similar
Q3 2:45
2ND & 7
OPP 16
+6
1.0%
Kelvin Taylor run for 6 yds to the Misso 10Similar
Q3 1:50
3RD & 1
OPP 10
+5
0.8%
Treon Harris run for 5 yds to the Misso 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
1.0%
Treon Harris pass complete to Tevin Westbrook for 5 yds for a TD, (Francisco Velez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 22PUNT
8 plays · 24 yds · 2:3299% → 99%
Q3 1:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
1.2%
Maty Mauk pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:20
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
1.1%
Russell Hansbrough run for 6 yds to the Misso 31Similar
Q3 0:45
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+14
1.1%
Maty Mauk run for 14 yds to the Misso 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:05
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
0.9%
Ish Witter run for no gain to the Misso 45Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+4
0.9%
Maty Mauk run for 4 yds to the Misso 49Similar
Q4 14:15
3RD & 6
OWN 49
0
0.8%
Maty Mauk pass incomplete to Bud SasserSimilar
Q4 13:59
4TH & 6
OWN 49
0
0.9%
Christian Brinser punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Fla 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 23INT
7 plays · 34 yds · 3:481% → 0%
Q4 13:55
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+1
0.5%
Matt Jones run for 1 yd to the Fla 8Similar
Q4 12:45
2ND & 9
OWN 8
+3
0.4%
Matt Jones run for 3 yds to the Fla 11Similar
Q4 12:15
3RD & 6
OWN 11
+34
0.4%
Treon Harris pass complete to Latroy Pittman for 34 yds to the Fla 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-10
0.4%
Matt Jones run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line FLORIDA Penalty, Personal Foul (NA) to the Fla 35Similar
Q4 11:30
1ST & 20
OWN 35
+6
0.4%
Treon Harris pass complete to Matt Jones for 6 yds to the Fla 41Similar
Q4 10:45
2ND & 14
OWN 41
0
0.3%
Treon Harris sacked by Shane Ray for 0 yards to the Fla 41Similar
Q4 10:07
3RD & 14
OPP 41
+30
0.3%
Treon Harris pass intercepted Braylon Webb return for 20 yds to the FLORIDA 39 MISSOURI Penalty, Illegal Block (NA) to the Misso 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 2:58100% → 100%
Q4 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-3
0.5%
Russell Hansbrough run for a loss of 3 yards to the Misso 28Similar
Q4 9:08
2ND & 13
OWN 28
+1
0.4%
Ish Witter run for 1 yd to the Misso 29Similar
Q4 8:30
3RD & 12
OWN 29
-5
0.3%
MISSOURI Penalty, Delay of Game (Maty Mauk) to the Misso 24Similar
Q4 7:55
3RD & 17
OWN 24
+2
0.3%
Maty Mauk run for 2 yds to the Misso 26Similar
Q4 7:02
4TH & 15
OWN 26
+3
0.3%
Christian Brinser punt for 59 yds , Andre Debose returns for 3 yds to the Fla 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 25TD
15 plays · 82 yds · 6:260% → 0%
Q4 6:52
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
0.2%
Treon Harris pass incomplete to Brandon PowellSimilar
Q4 6:40
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+13
0.2%
Brandon Powell run for 13 yds to the Fla 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+9
0.2%
Brandon Powell run for 9 yds to the Fla 40Similar
Q4 5:35
2ND & 1
OWN 40
+5
0.2%
Brandon Powell run for 5 yds to the Fla 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
0.2%
Treon Harris pass incomplete to Demarcus RobinsonSimilar
Q4 5:05
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+10
0.2%
Treon Harris run for 10 yds to the Misso 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:20
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
0.2%
Brandon Powell run for 4 yds to the Misso 41Similar
Q4 4:00
2ND & 6
OPP 41
+2
0.1%
Brandon Powell run for 2 yds to the Misso 39Similar
Q4 3:30
3RD & 4
OPP 39
+19
0.1%
Treon Harris pass complete to Tevin Westbrook for 19 yds to the Misso 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:45
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+9
0.1%
Treon Harris run for 9 yds to the Misso 11Similar
Q4 2:05
2ND & 1
OPP 11
0
0.1%
Brandon Powell run for no gain to the Misso 11Similar
Q4 1:40
3RD & 1
OPP 11
+4
0.1%
Brandon Powell run for 4 yds to the Misso 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
0.1%
Mack Brown run for 2 yds to the Misso 5Similar
Q4 1:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
0.1%
Mack Brown run for 2 yds to the Misso 3Similar
Q4 0:26
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
0.1%
Treon Harris run for 3 yds for a TD, (Francisco Velez BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 26END OF GAME
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
0.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Misso 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 13:01
Marcus Murphy 82 Yd Punt Return (Maty Mauk Pass to Bud Sasser for Two-Point Conversion)
-17.1
FG · Q2 8:38
Andrew Baggett 25 yd FG GOOD
-4.6
TD · Q1 3:50
Marcus Murphy run for 5 yds for a TD, (Andrew Baggett KICK)
-4.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com