Try the model
FLA

Florida 38 at Georgia 20

UGA
2014 · Week 10 · Nov 1, 2014 · EverBank Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · UGA
modelUGA aheadFLA aheadconfidence bandkey playUGA scoreFLA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 11:22 · Collin Barber punt for 32 yds , Andre Debose returns for no gain to the Fla 40 Andre Debose fumbled, recovered by Fla Andre Debose
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+56.5+28.30−28.3−56.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 97Home team on offense−15.0Pregame prior+11.6Score differential−7.7Garbage-time factor−4.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 8:25: Michael McNeely run for 21 yds for a TD, (Francisco Velez KICK) — FLA win probability +7.7 pts (now 32%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 5:06: Kelvin Taylor run for 2 yds for a TD, (Francisco Velez KICK) — FLA win probability +8.7 pts (now 45%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 12:07: Matt Jones run for 44 yds for a TD, (Francisco Velez KICK) — FLA win probability +13.6 pts (now 67%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 13:49: Matt Jones run for 1 yd for a TD, (Austin Hardin KICK) — FLA win probability +6.4 pts (now 97%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 11:06: Hutson Mason pass complete to Nick Chubb for 10 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — UGA win probability +4.1 pts (now 8%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UGA made the numbers' call on 3 of 8FLA made the numbers' call on 2 of 7
  1. Q1 12:51UGA 4th & 2 at FLA 49, tied
    Close callPunted · 75.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.3%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.2%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:45FLA 4th & 2 at FLA 26, tied
    Close callPunted · 24.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:07FLA 4th & 5 at FLA 30, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.7%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.7%
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:55UGA 4th & 1 at UGA 48, up 7
    Close callPunted · 76.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.9%−0.5
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:00UGA 4th & 3 at FLA 22, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 76.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    76.3%−0.2
    72% to make
    Punt
    74.1%−2.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:25FLA 4th & 9 at UGA 21, down 7
    Close callWent for it · 24.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    23.2%−0.7
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    23.9%
    74% to make
    Punt
    19.8%−4.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:03UGA 4th & 2 at UGA 29, tied
    Close callPunted · 69.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.0%−0.6
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:50UGA 4th & 3 at UGA 35, down 7
    Close callPunted · 55.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.4%−0.6
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:00FLA 4th & 2 at FLA 45, up 7
    Close callPunted · 48.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.8%−0.5
    average punt
  10. Q3 11:22UGA 4th & 7 at UGA 28, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.1%−1.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.2%
    average punt
  11. Q3 5:09FLA 4th & 4 at UGA 4, up 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 76.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    76.0%−0.9
    93% to make
    Punt
    65.0%−11.9
    average punt
  12. Q3 2:25FLA 4th & 2 at FLA 39, up 17
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsPunted · 85.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.5%−1.3
    average punt
  13. Q3 0:46UGA 4th & 13 at UGA 25, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.2%−3.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.3%
    average punt
  14. Q4 9:09FLA 4th & 7 at FLA 28, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.2%−0.5
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.7%
    average punt
  15. Q4 5:17UGA 4th & 2 at FLA 2, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    3.9%−1.6
    94% to make
    Punt
    1.3%−4.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UGA made the numbers' call on 1 of 3FLA made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 9:02UGA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 8:25FLA Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    28.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    28.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 5:06FLA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 12:07FLA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 13:49FLA Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.5%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.5%
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 11:06UGA Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    7.0%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    6.6%−0.3
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 2:11FLA Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 0:03UGA Touchdown, down 19 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.1%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.3%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UGADrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 32 yds · 1:4976% → 75%
Q1 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+5
75.5%
Nick Chubb run for 5 yds to the Geo 24Similar
Q1 14:20
2ND & 5
OWN 24
+7
75.5%
Nick Chubb run for 7 yds to the Geo 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+12
75.4%
Hutson Mason pass complete to Malcolm Mitchell for 12 yds to the Geo 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:39
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
75.4%
Nick Chubb run for 6 yds to the Geo 49Similar
Q1 13:20
2ND & 4
OWN 49
+2
75.4%
Nick Chubb run for 2 yds to the Fla 49Similar
Q1 12:58
3RD & 2
OPP 49
0
75.3%
Hutson Mason pass incomplete to Quayvon HicksSimilar
Q1 12:51
4TH & 2
OPP 49
0
75.2%
Adam Erickson punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Vernon Hargreaves at the Fla 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:5525% → 25%
Q1 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+4
75.1%
Matt Jones run for 4 yds to the Fla 22Similar
Q1 12:10
2ND & 6
OWN 22
+4
75.0%
Matt Jones run for 4 yds to the Fla 26Similar
Q1 11:58
3RD & 2
OWN 26
0
74.9%
Treon Harris pass incomplete to Demarcus RobinsonSimilar
Q1 11:45
4TH & 2
OWN 26
0
75.1%
Kyle Christy punt for 59 yds, downed at the Geo 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 3TD
9 plays · 85 yds · 2:3375% → 77%
Q1 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+9
74.9%
Nick Chubb run for 9 yds to the Geo 24Similar
Q1 11:25
2ND & 1
OWN 24
+4
74.9%
Nick Chubb run for 4 yds to the Geo 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
74.8%
Hutson Mason pass incomplete to Nick ChubbSimilar
Q1 11:00
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+4
74.7%
Nick Chubb run for 4 yds to the Geo 32Similar
Q1 10:25
3RD & 6
OWN 32
+18
74.5%
Hutson Mason pass complete to Nick Chubb for 18 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:11
1ST & 10
50
-1
75.0%
Brendan Douglas run for a loss of 1 yard to the Geo 49Similar
Q1 9:40
2ND & 11
OWN 49
+10
74.7%
Hutson Mason pass complete to Jeb Blazevich for 10 yds to the Fla 41Similar
Q1 9:28
3RD & 1
OPP 41
+2
74.9%
Brendan Douglas run for 2 yds to the Fla 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:02
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+39
76.5%
Nick Chubb run for 39 yds for a TD, (Marshall Morgan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:4924% → 24%
Q1 8:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
75.9%
Treon Harris pass incomplete to Ahmad FulwoodSimilar
Q1 8:45
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
75.9%
Kelvin Taylor run for 5 yds to the Fla 30Similar
Q1 8:20
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
76.0%
Treon Harris pass incomplete to Demarcus RobinsonSimilar
Q1 8:07
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
76.3%
Kyle Christy punt for 46 yds , Isaiah McKenzie returns for no gain to the Geo 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 24 yds · 3:0376% → 76%
Q1 7:58
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+9
76.1%
Nick Chubb run for 9 yds to the Geo 33Similar
Q1 7:35
2ND & 1
OWN 33
0
76.3%
Nick Chubb run for no gain to the Geo 33Similar
Q1 7:00
3RD & 1
OWN 33
+6
76.1%
Nick Chubb run for 6 yds to the Geo 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
76.5%
Nick Chubb run for 3 yds to the Geo 42Similar
Q1 6:05
2ND & 7
OWN 42
+5
76.7%
Hutson Mason pass complete to Michael Bennett for 5 yds to the Geo 47Similar
Q1 5:40
3RD & 2
OWN 47
+1
76.5%
Nick Chubb run for 1 yd to the Geo 48Similar
Q1 4:55
4TH & 1
OWN 48
0
76.3%
Adam Erickson punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Fla 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 6FUMBLE
5 plays · 29 yds · 1:5024% → 25%
Q1 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+6
76.1%
Matt Jones run for 6 yds to the Fla 25Similar
Q1 4:05
2ND & 4
OWN 25
+1
75.9%
Matt Jones run for 1 yd to the Fla 26Similar
Q1 3:28
3RD & 3
OWN 26
+12
76.2%
Treon Harris run for 12 yds to the Fla 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:12
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+10
75.8%
Matt Jones run for 10 yds to the Fla 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
75.3%
Treon Harris run for no gain to the Fla 48 Treon Harris fumbled, recovered by Geo Jordan JenkinsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 7MISSED FG
7 plays · 26 yds · 2:4577% → 76%
Q1 2:45
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
77.2%
Hutson Mason run for 2 yds to the Fla 46Similar
Q1 2:10
2ND & 8
OPP 46
-1
77.0%
Brendan Douglas run for a loss of 1 yard to the Fla 47Similar
Q1 1:35
3RD & 9
OPP 47
+18
76.6%
Hutson Mason pass complete to Reggie Davis for 18 yds to the Fla 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:05
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+6
77.2%
Nick Chubb run for 6 yds to the Fla 23Similar
Q1 0:44
2ND & 4
OPP 23
0
77.3%
Hutson Mason pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:30
3RD & 4
OPP 23
+1
76.9%
Hutson Mason pass complete to Michael Bennett for 1 yd to the Fla 22Similar
Q1 0:00
4TH & 3
OPP 22
+39
76.3%
Marshall Morgan 39 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 8TD
15 plays · 78 yds · 6:2224% → 32%
Q2 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+15
75.9%
Kelvin Taylor run for 15 yds to the Fla 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:25
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
75.5%
Kelvin Taylor run for 5 yds to the Fla 42Similar
Q2 13:55
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+4
74.9%
Kelvin Taylor run for 4 yds to the Fla 46Similar
Q2 13:39
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+3
75.0%
Kelvin Taylor run for 3 yds to the Fla 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
74.8%
Kelvin Taylor run for 4 yds to the Geo 47Similar
Q2 12:35
2ND & 6
OPP 47
-1
74.6%
Kelvin Taylor run for a loss of 1 yard to the Geo 48Similar
Q2 12:00
3RD & 7
OPP 48
+12
74.8%
Treon Harris pass complete to Matt Jones for 12 yds to the Geo 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:45
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+1
74.5%
Matt Jones run for 1 yd to the Geo 35Similar
Q2 11:17
2ND & 9
OPP 35
+5
73.8%
GEORGIA Penalty, Defensive Offside (Leonard Floyd) to the Geo 30Similar
Q2 11:05
2ND & 4
OPP 30
+3
73.6%
Matt Jones run for 3 yds to the Geo 27Similar
Q2 10:30
3RD & 1
OPP 27
+5
74.4%
Matt Jones run for 5 yds to the Geo 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+6
73.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 18 yards to the Geo 34 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Fla Treon Harris Treon Harris run for 6 yds to the Geo 34Similar
Q2 9:15
2ND & 22
OPP 34
+2
74.7%
Treon Harris run for 2 yds to the Geo 32Similar
Q2 8:45
3RD & 20
OPP 32
+11
75.9%
Matt Jones run for 11 yds to the Geo 21Similar
Q2 8:25
4TH & 9
OPP 21
+21
68.2%
Michael McNeely run for 21 yds for a TD, (Francisco Velez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 1:1471% → 69%
Q2 8:17
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
70.5%
Hutson Mason pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:17
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+5
70.4%
FLORIDA Penalty, Defensive Offside (Darious Cummings) to the Geo 26Similar
Q2 8:05
2ND & 5
OWN 26
+4
70.6%
Nick Chubb run for 4 yds to the Geo 30Similar
Q2 7:45
3RD & 1
OWN 30
-1
70.2%
Nick Chubb run for a loss of 1 yard to the Geo 29Similar
Q2 7:03
4TH & 2
OWN 29
0
69.0%
Adam Erickson punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Fla 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 10TD
5 plays · 64 yds · 1:4433% → 45%
Q2 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
66.7%
Kelvin Taylor run for 5 yds to the Fla 41Similar
Q2 6:16
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+44
65.3%
Kelvin Taylor run for 44 yds to the Geo 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
63.9%
Matt Jones run for no gain to the Geo 15Similar
Q2 5:15
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+13
63.5%
Treon Harris pass complete to Latroy Pittman for 13 yds to the Geo 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
54.8%
Kelvin Taylor run for 2 yds for a TD, (Francisco Velez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 2:0358% → 57%
Q2 4:53
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+10
57.9%
Hutson Mason pass complete to Chris Conley for 10 yds to the Geo 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
58.1%
Nick Chubb run for 4 yds to the Geo 32Similar
Q2 4:35
2ND & 6
OWN 32
-10
58.3%
Hutson Mason sacked by Bryan Cox for a loss of 10 yards to the Geo 22Similar
Q2 3:25
3RD & 16
OWN 22
+13
56.7%
Hutson Mason pass complete to Nick Chubb for 13 yds to the Geo 35Similar
Q2 2:50
4TH & 3
OWN 35
0
56.7%
Adam Erickson punt for 28 yds, downed at the Fla 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:3546% → 48%
Q2 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
53.9%
Kelvin Taylor run for 3 yds to the Fla 40Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+4
52.2%
Kelvin Taylor run for 4 yds to the Fla 44Similar
Q2 1:09
3RD & 3
OWN 44
+1
51.3%
Matt Jones run for 1 yd to the Fla 45Similar
Q2 1:00
4TH & 2
OWN 45
0
51.6%
Kyle Christy punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Reggie Davis at the Geo 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 13END OF HALF
2 plays · 4 yds · 0:4553% → 52%
Q2 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
53.3%
Hutson Mason pass complete to Malcolm Mitchell for no gain to the Geo 18Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+4
51.8%
Hutson Mason run for 4 yds to the Geo 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 14TD
7 plays · 73 yds · 2:4149% → 67%
Q3 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+8
50.9%
Kelvin Taylor run for 8 yds to the Fla 35Similar
Q3 14:25
2ND & 2
OWN 35
+1
49.6%
Kelvin Taylor run for 1 yd to the Fla 36Similar
Q3 13:52
3RD & 1
OWN 36
+6
49.2%
Kelvin Taylor run for 6 yds to the Fla 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:17
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+12
47.5%
Kelvin Taylor run for 12 yds to the Geo 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:45
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
46.6%
Treon Harris pass complete to Brandon Powell for 2 yds to the Geo 44Similar
Q3 12:07
2ND & 8
OPP 44
+44
33.0%
Matt Jones run for 44 yds for a TD, (Francisco Velez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 15FUMBLE
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:4036% → 35%
Q3 12:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
36.2%
Hutson Mason pass incomplete to Malcolm Mitchell, broken up by Jabari GormanSimilar
Q3 11:55
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
35.8%
Hutson Mason pass complete to Malcolm Mitchell for 3 yds to the Geo 28Similar
Q3 11:32
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
35.0%
Hutson Mason pass incomplete to Jeb BlazevichSimilar
Q3 11:22
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
34.5%
Collin Barber punt for 32 yds , Andre Debose returns for no gain to the Fla 40 Andre Debose fumbled, recovered by Fla Andre DeboseSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 16FG
12 plays · 56 yds · 6:0169% → 80%
Q3 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
31.3%
Kelvin Taylor run for 1 yd to the Fla 41Similar
Q3 10:45
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+12
31.0%
Treon Harris run for 12 yds to the Geo 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
29.8%
Kelvin Taylor run for no gain to the Geo 47Similar
Q3 9:35
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+25
27.5%
Matt Jones run for 25 yds to the Geo 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:55
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+7
26.2%
Matt Jones run for 7 yds to the Geo 15Similar
Q3 8:20
2ND & 3
OPP 15
+2
25.3%
Matt Jones run for 2 yds to the Geo 13Similar
Q3 7:46
3RD & 1
OPP 13
+5
25.1%
GEORGIA Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Geo 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-5
24.1%
Andre Debose run for a loss of 5 yards to the Geo 13Similar
Q3 6:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 13
+4
22.7%
Treon Harris run for 4 yds to the Geo 9Similar
Q3 6:03
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
-5
22.3%
FLORIDA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Geo 14Similar
Q3 5:20
3RD & GOAL
OPP 14
+10
21.7%
Matt Jones run for 10 yds to the Geo 4Similar
Q3 5:09
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+21
20.0%
Francisco Velez 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 17FUMBLE
3 plays · 54 yds · 0:2122% → 22%
Q3 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+11
21.7%
Hutson Mason pass complete to Malcolm Mitchell for 11 yds to the Geo 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:34
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+43
21.7%
Nick Chubb run for 43 yds to the Fla 31 Nick Chubb fumbled, forced by Brian Poole, recovered by Fla Darious CummingsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 2:0081% → 85%
Q3 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
18.7%
Kelvin Taylor run for 4 yds to the Fla 35Similar
Q3 3:45
2ND & 6
OWN 35
0
17.6%
Kelvin Taylor run for no gain to the Fla 35Similar
Q3 3:05
3RD & 6
OWN 35
+4
17.4%
Kelvin Taylor run for 4 yds to the Fla 39Similar
Q3 2:25
4TH & 2
OWN 39
0
14.7%
Kyle Christy punt for 33 yds, downed at the Geo 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 19PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 1:1419% → 16%
Q3 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
19.2%
Hutson Mason pass complete to Nick Chubb for 3 yds Nick Chubb fumbled, forced by Quincy Wilson, recovered by Geo Greg PykeSimilar
Q3 1:35
2ND & 7
OWN 31
0
18.8%
Hutson Mason pass incomplete to Malcolm MitchellSimilar
Q3 1:15
3RD & 7
OWN 31
-6
18.0%
Hutson Mason sacked by Dante Fowler for a loss of 6 yards to the Geo 25Similar
Q3 0:46
4TH & 13
OWN 25
+38
15.8%
Collin Barber punt for 39 yds , Andre Debose returns for 38 yds to the Geo 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 20TD
5 plays · 26 yds · 1:5089% → 97%
Q3 0:39
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+1
11.3%
Treon Harris run for 1 yd to the Geo 25Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 9
OPP 25
+8
11.0%
Matt Jones run for 8 yds to the Geo 17Similar
Q4 14:54
3RD & 1
OPP 17
+7
10.9%
Matt Jones run for 7 yds to the Geo 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+9
9.6%
Matt Jones run for 9 yds to the Geo 1Similar
Q4 13:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
3.2%
Matt Jones run for 1 yd for a TD, (Austin Hardin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 21TD
10 plays · 68 yds · 2:094% → 8%
Q4 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
3.9%
Nick Chubb run for 4 yds to the Geo 36Similar
Q4 13:00
2ND & 6
OWN 36
+12
4.0%
Hutson Mason pass complete to Michael Bennett for 12 yds to the Geo 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
4.0%
Hutson Mason pass incomplete to Michael BennettSimilar
Q4 12:42
2ND & 10
OWN 48
0
4.0%
Hutson Mason pass incomplete to Chris ConleySimilar
Q4 12:31
3RD & 10
OWN 48
+15
3.8%
Hutson Mason pass complete to Nick Chubb for 15 yds to the Fla 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:16
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+16
4.0%
FLORIDA Penalty, Roughing Passer (Joey Ivie) to the Fla 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:45
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+15
4.2%
Hutson Mason pass complete to Malcolm Mitchell for 15 yds to the Fla 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-4
4.1%
Nick Chubb run for a loss of 4 yards to the Fla 10Similar
Q4 11:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
8.2%
Hutson Mason pass complete to Nick Chubb for 10 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 22PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 1:4195% → 96%
Q4 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
5.5%
Kelvin Taylor run for a loss of 2 yards to the Fla 23Similar
Q4 9:45
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+5
4.9%
Kelvin Taylor run for 5 yds to the Fla 28Similar
Q4 9:23
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
4.8%
Kelvin Taylor run for no gain to the Fla 28Similar
Q4 9:09
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+13
4.3%
Kyle Christy punt for 55 yds , Isaiah McKenzie returns for 13 yds to the Geo 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 23DOWNS
14 plays · 68 yds · 3:436% → 3%
Q4 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
5.7%
Hutson Mason pass incomplete to Michael BennettSimilar
Q4 8:50
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+5
5.5%
Nick Chubb run for 5 yds to the Geo 35Similar
Q4 8:27
3RD & 5
OWN 35
+9
5.5%
Hutson Mason pass complete to Malcolm Mitchell for 9 yds to the Geo 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+34
5.7%
Hutson Mason pass complete to Jeb Blazevich for 34 yds to the Fla 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:53
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-15
6.5%
GEORGIA Penalty, Offensive Pass Interference (Jeb Blazevich) to the Fla 37Similar
Q4 7:29
1ST & 25
OPP 37
+14
5.5%
Hutson Mason pass complete to Chris Conley for 14 yds to the Fla 23Similar
Q4 6:55
2ND & 11
OPP 23
+1
5.8%
Hutson Mason run for 1 yd to the Fla 22Similar
Q4 6:35
3RD & 10
OPP 22
-5
5.5%
GEORGIA Penalty, False Start (John Theus) to the Fla 27Similar
Q4 6:14
3RD & 15
OPP 27
+20
4.4%
Hutson Mason pass complete to Michael Bennett for 20 yds to the Fla 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
3.8%
Hutson Mason pass complete to Michael Bennett for 5 yds to the Fla 2Similar
Q4 5:34
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
3.8%
Hutson Mason pass incomplete to Malcolm Mitchell, broken up by Vernon HargreavesSimilar
Q4 5:23
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
3.8%
TEAM run for no gain to the Fla 2 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Geo Hutson MasonSimilar
Q4 5:17
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
0
3.2%
Hutson Mason pass incomplete to Michael Bennett, broken up by Marcus MayeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 24TD
7 plays · 98 yds · 3:0197% → 100%
Q4 5:12
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+2
2.9%
Matt Jones run for 2 yds to the Fla 4Similar
Q4 5:00
2ND & 8
OWN 4
+5
2.3%
Matt Jones run for 5 yds to the Fla 9Similar
Q4 4:15
3RD & 3
OWN 9
+10
2.1%
Matt Jones run for 10 yds to the Fla 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-1
1.6%
Matt Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the Fla 18Similar
Q4 2:55
2ND & 11
OWN 18
+17
1.6%
Matt Jones run for 17 yds to the Fla 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:11
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+65
0.2%
Kelvin Taylor run for 65 yds for a TD, (Austin Hardin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 25TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 2:040% → 1%
Q4 2:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
0.1%
Hutson Mason pass incomplete to Brendan DouglasSimilar
Q4 1:59
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+17
0.1%
Hutson Mason pass complete to Michael Bennett for 17 yds to the Geo 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
0.1%
Hutson Mason pass incomplete to Malcolm Mitchell, broken up by Vernon HargreavesSimilar
Q4 1:30
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+10
0.1%
Hutson Mason pass complete to Kenneth Towns for 10 yds to the Fla 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:05
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-7
0.1%
Hutson Mason sacked by Darious Cummings for a loss of 7 yards to the Geo 45Similar
Q4 0:44
2ND & 17
OWN 45
+25
0.1%
Hutson Mason pass complete to Chris Conley for 25 yds to the Fla 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:35
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+24
0.1%
Hutson Mason pass complete to Jordan Davis for 24 yds to the Fla 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
0.1%
Hutson Mason pass incomplete to Michael BennettSimilar
Q4 0:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
0.1%
Hutson Mason pass complete to Malcolm Mitchell for 5 yds to the Fla 1Similar
Q4 0:03
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
0.7%
Brendan Douglas run for 1 yd for a TD, (Marshall Morgan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 26END OF GAME
2 plays · -6 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-6
0.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 6 yards to the Fla 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 12:07
Matt Jones run for 44 yds for a TD, (Francisco Velez KICK)
-13.6
TD · Q2 5:06
Kelvin Taylor run for 2 yds for a TD, (Francisco Velez KICK)
-8.7
TD · Q2 8:25
Michael McNeely run for 21 yds for a TD, (Francisco Velez KICK)
-7.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com