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FLA

Florida 34 at Vanderbilt 10

VAN
2014 · Week 11 · Nov 8, 2014 · FirstBank Stadium
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Win probability · VAN
modelVAN aheadFLA aheadconfidence bandkey playVAN scoreFLA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDFGTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 12:00 · Kyle Christy punt for 46 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Vandy 14
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+53.5+26.80−26.8−53.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 11Pregame prior−34.7Home team on offense−0.1Score differential−0.2Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 3:34: Kelvin Taylor run for 13 yds for a TD, (Francisco Velez KICK) — FLA win probability +2.9 pts (now 81%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 8:38: Jeff Driskel run for 1 yd for a TD, (Francisco Velez KICK) — FLA win probability +4.8 pts (now 81%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 14:51: Treon Harris run for 7 yds for a TD, (Francisco Velez KICK) — FLA win probability +9.0 pts (now 95%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 13:17: Tommy Openshaw 48 yd FG GOOD — VAN win probability +3.3 pts (now 11%) (top driver: VAN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 10:41: Treon Harris run for 33 yds for a TD, (Francisco Velez KICK) — FLA win probability +4.2 pts (now 99%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
VAN made the numbers' call on 11 of 12FLA made the numbers' call on 5 of 9
  1. Q1 13:16VAN 4th & 15 at VAN 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.8%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:00FLA 4th & 3 at FLA 40, tied
    Close callPunted · 78.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:41VAN 4th & 1 at VAN 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 27.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    27.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    27.3%−0.5
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:40VAN 4th & 8 at VAN 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.8%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.0%
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:02FLA 4th & 1 at VAN 1, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 71.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    70.9%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    69.7%−1.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    66.6%−4.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:38FLA 4th & 1 at VAN 1, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 70.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    70.0%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    68.6%−1.4
    94% to make
    Punt
    65.1%−4.9
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:02FLA 4th & 15 at VAN 23, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 75.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.3%−1.5
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    75.8%
    70% to make
    Punt
    71.5%−4.3
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:27VAN 4th & 16 at VAN 4, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.0%−2.1
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.1%
    average punt
  9. Q2 2:03FLA 4th & 10 at VAN 43, up 10
    Close callPunted · 78.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.0%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    77.7%−0.2
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    77.9%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q2 1:36VAN 4th & 6 at VAN 18, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.0%−0.6
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.6%
    average punt
  11. Q3 10:14FLA 4th & 13 at VAN 43, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.0%−0.9
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    78.1%−0.9
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    79.0%
    average punt
  12. Q3 6:43VAN 4th & 4 at VAN 42, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.7%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.7%
    average punt
  13. Q3 4:48FLA 4th & 1 at FLA 20, up 10
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.6 ptsPunted · 79.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.4%−2.6
    average punt
  14. Q3 3:29VAN 4th & 1 at VAN 38, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 18.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    19.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    17.7%−1.9
    average punt
  15. Q3 1:53VAN 4th & 5 at VAN 47, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.8%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.8%
    average punt
  16. Q4 13:17VAN 4th & 13 at FLA 31, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 7.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.4%−1.2
    21% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    7.6%
    54% to make
    Punt
    6.4%−1.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 8:29FLA 4th & 4 at VAN 8, up 21
    Close callKicked a field goal · 98.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.4%
    42% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.3%−0.1
    90% to make
    Punt
    97.0%−1.4
    average punt
  18. Q4 7:00VAN 4th & 6 at VAN 48, down 24
    Close callWent for it · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.2%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.2%
    average punt
  19. Q4 6:19VAN 4th & 10 at FLA 42, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.1%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    1.0%−0.1
    30% to make
    Punt
    1.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  20. Q4 3:47FLA 4th & 6 at FLA 24, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.0%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.1%
    average punt
  21. Q4 1:36VAN 4th & 2 at FLA 4, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.8%
    50% to convert
    Field goal
    0.6%−0.2
    93% to make
    Punt
    0.5%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
VAN made the numbers' call on 1 of 1FLA made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 7:41VAN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    25.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    25.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:34FLA Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 8:38FLA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 14:51FLA Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 10:41FLA Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
VANDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 1:1715% → 15%
Q1 14:33
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+21
14.7%
Ralph Webb run for 21 yds to the Vandy 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
14.9%
Johnny McCrary pass incomplete to C.J. DuncanSimilar
Q1 13:55
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
15.0%
Ralph Webb run for no gain to the Vandy 37Similar
Q1 13:52
3RD & 10
OWN 37
0
15.0%
Johnny McCrary pass incomplete to C.J. DuncanSimilar
Q1 13:33
4TH & 10
OWN 37
-5
15.1%
VANDERBILT Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Vandy 32Similar
Q1 13:16
4TH & 15
OWN 32
0
15.2%
Colby Cooke punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Fla 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:0685% → 84%
Q1 13:06
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
15.3%
Treon Harris pass complete to Matt Jones for 4 yds Matt Jones fumbled, recovered by Fla Matt JonesSimilar
Q1 13:00
2ND & 6
OWN 37
+2
15.3%
Matt Jones run for 2 yds to the Fla 39Similar
Q1 12:44
3RD & 4
OWN 39
+1
15.4%
Treon Harris run for 1 yd to the Fla 40Similar
Q1 12:00
4TH & 3
OWN 40
0
15.9%
Kyle Christy punt for 46 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Vandy 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 3TD
9 plays · 85 yds · 3:5216% → 20%
Q1 11:33
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+5
16.1%
FLORIDA Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Vandy 19Similar
Q1 11:00
1ST & 5
OWN 19
+1
16.4%
Ralph Webb run for 1 yd to the Vandy 20Similar
Q1 10:44
2ND & 4
OWN 20
+2
16.5%
Ralph Webb run for 2 yds to the Vandy 22Similar
Q1 10:00
3RD & 2
OWN 22
+6
16.8%
Johnny McCrary pass complete to Davis Dudchock for 6 yds to the Vandy 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:21
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+14
17.3%
Johnny McCrary pass complete to Steven Scheu for 14 yds to the Vandy 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:52
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+6
17.7%
Ralph Webb run for 6 yds to the Vandy 48Similar
Q1 8:07
2ND & 4
OWN 48
+3
18.2%
Ralph Webb run for 3 yds to the Fla 49Similar
Q1 8:00
3RD & 1
OPP 49
+15
18.2%
FLORIDA Penalty, Personal Foul (Antonio Morrison) to the Fla 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:41
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+33
20.3%
Johnny McCrary pass complete to Steven Scheu for 33 yds for a TD, (Tommy Openshaw KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 4TD
12 plays · 65 yds · 3:5680% → 81%
Q1 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-5
19.8%
FLORIDA Penalty, Offensive Offside (-5 Yards) to the Fla 30Similar
Q1 7:10
1ST & 5
OWN 30
+24
19.9%
Treon Harris pass complete to Ahmad Fulwood for 24 yds to the Vandy 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:55
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+6
19.8%
Jeff Driskel run for 6 yds to the Vandy 40Similar
Q1 6:22
2ND & 4
OPP 40
+3
20.1%
Kelvin Taylor run for 3 yds to the Vandy 37Similar
Q1 6:15
3RD & 1
OPP 37
+2
20.3%
Kelvin Taylor run for 2 yds to the Vandy 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:46
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
20.4%
Treon Harris pass incomplete to Brandon PowellSimilar
Q1 5:41
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+11
20.4%
Kelvin Taylor run for 11 yds to the Vandy 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:12
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+4
20.7%
Kelvin Taylor run for 4 yds to the Vandy 20Similar
Q1 4:40
2ND & 6
OPP 20
+1
21.1%
Kelvin Taylor run for 1 yd to the Vandy 19Similar
Q1 4:00
3RD & 5
OPP 19
+6
22.0%
Treon Harris pass complete to Latroy Pittman for 6 yds to the Vandy 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:34
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
19.1%
Kelvin Taylor run for 13 yds for a TD, (Francisco Velez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 5PUNT
11 plays · 27 yds · 3:2920% → 22%
Q1 3:09
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+8
20.4%
Ralph Webb run for 8 yds to the Vandy 21Similar
Q1 2:39
2ND & 4
OWN 21
+6
20.9%
Ralph Webb run for 6 yds to the Vandy 27 for a 1ST down VANDERBILT Penalty, Offensive Holding ( Yards) to the Vandy 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:09
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+9
21.3%
Ralph Webb run for 9 yds to the Vandy 36Similar
Q1 1:41
2ND & 1
OWN 36
0
22.2%
Ralph Webb run for no gain to the Vandy 36Similar
Q1 0:59
3RD & 1
OWN 36
0
22.3%
Ralph Webb run for no gain to the Vandy 36Similar
Q1 0:41
4TH & 1
OWN 36
+2
21.9%
Johnny McCrary run for 2 yds to the Vandy 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:14
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
22.9%
Patton Robinette run for 2 yds to the Vandy 40Similar
Q2 14:53
2ND & 8
OWN 40
0
23.3%
Johnny McCrary pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:47
3RD & 8
OWN 40
0
22.7%
Johnny McCrary pass incomplete to Steven ScheuSimilar
Q2 14:40
4TH & 8
OWN 40
0
22.3%
Colby Cooke punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Fla 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 6DOWNS
8 plays · 72 yds · 3:2078% → 77%
Q2 14:22
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+5
22.1%
Treon Harris run for 5 yds to the Fla 32Similar
Q2 14:03
2ND & 5
OWN 32
+13
21.9%
Matt Jones run for 13 yds to the Fla 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:39
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+48
21.7%
Treon Harris pass complete to Ahmad Fulwood for 48 yds to the Vandy 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
21.1%
VANDERBILT Penalty, Substitution Infraction (4 Yards) to the Vandy 3Similar
Q2 12:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
21.4%
Matt Jones run for 2 yds to the Vandy 1Similar
Q2 12:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
21.6%
Matt Jones run for no gain to the Vandy 1Similar
Q2 11:32
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
22.4%
Jeff Driskel run for no gain to the Vandy 1Similar
Q2 11:02
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
0
23.4%
Matt Jones run for no gain to the Vandy 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 7FUMBLE
2 plays · 4 yds · 0:4325% → 25%
Q2 10:58
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+1
25.0%
Ralph Webb run for 1 yd to the Vandy 2Similar
Q2 10:15
2ND & 9
OWN 2
+3
25.4%
Ralph Webb run for 3 yds to the Vandy 9 Ralph Webb fumbled, recovered by FlaSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 8TD
6 plays · 9 yds · 1:2277% → 81%
Q2 10:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-1
22.7%
Treon Harris sacked by Zach Cunningham for a loss of 1 yard to the Vandy 10Similar
Q2 9:36
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
0
22.7%
Treon Harris run for no gain to the Vandy 10Similar
Q2 8:56
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
+9
23.9%
Treon Harris pass complete to Quinton Dunbar for 9 yds to the Vandy 1Similar
Q2 8:38
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
19.1%
Jeff Driskel run for 1 yd for a TD, (Francisco Velez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 9FUMBLE
2 plays · 9 yds · 0:0020% → 20%
Q2 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+9
19.8%
Ralph Webb run for 9 yds to the Vandy 43 Ralph Webb fumbled, forced by Antonio Morrison, recovered by Fla Vernon HargreavesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 10FG
10 plays · 20 yds · 4:1482% → 81%
Q2 8:16
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+1
18.5%
Matt Jones run for 1 yd to the Vandy 42Similar
Q2 7:55
2ND & 9
OPP 42
+10
17.8%
Treon Harris pass complete to Demarcus Robinson for 10 yds to the Vandy 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:29
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
17.7%
Matt Jones run for 2 yds to the Vandy 30Similar
Q2 6:55
2ND & 8
OPP 30
+12
17.7%
Treon Harris pass complete to Chris Thompson for 12 yds to the Vandy 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:29
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-3
17.8%
Matt Jones run for a loss of 3 yards to the Vandy 21Similar
Q2 5:49
2ND & 13
OPP 21
-9
18.0%
Treon Harris run for 1 yd to the Vandy 20 FLORIDA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Clay Burton) to the Vandy 30Similar
Q2 5:22
2ND & 22
OPP 30
+12
19.1%
Treon Harris run for 12 yds to the Vandy 18Similar
Q2 4:28
3RD & 10
OPP 18
-5
18.7%
Treon Harris sacked by Stephen Weatherly for a loss of 5 yards to the Vandy 23Similar
Q2 4:02
4TH & 15
OPP 23
+40
19.0%
Francisco Velez 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 1:1719% → 18%
Q2 3:44
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-3
18.8%
Dallas Rivers run for a loss of 3 yards to the Vandy 7Similar
Q2 3:11
2ND & 13
OWN 7
0
18.7%
Johnny McCrary pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:49
3RD & 13
OWN 7
-3
18.2%
Dallas Rivers run for a loss of 3 yards to the Vandy 4Similar
Q2 2:27
4TH & 16
OWN 4
+6
18.1%
Colby Cooke punt for 45 yds , Andre Debose returns for 6 yds to the Vandy 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:1983% → 82%
Q2 2:22
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
17.5%
Treon Harris pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:13
2ND & 10
OPP 43
0
17.7%
Treon Harris pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:09
3RD & 10
OPP 43
0
17.8%
Treon Harris pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:03
4TH & 10
OPP 43
0
18.5%
Kyle Christy punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Trey Ellis at the Vandy 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:2319% → 17%
Q2 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
18.5%
Johnny McCrary pass incomplete to Latevius RayfordSimilar
Q2 1:55
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+4
18.5%
Johnny McCrary pass complete to Latevius Rayford for 4 yds to the Vandy 18 VANDERBILT Penalty, Illegal Formation ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 1:49
3RD & 6
OWN 18
0
18.1%
Johnny McCrary pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:36
4TH & 6
OWN 18
-8
17.3%
Colby Cooke punt for 52 yds , Andre Debose returns for a loss of 8 yards to the Fla 10 FLORIDA Penalty, Clipping (10 Yards) to the Fla 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 14END OF HALF
5 plays · 16 yds · 1:2581% → 82%
Q2 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 12
-5
19.2%
Matt Jones run for 2 yds to the Fla 14 FLORIDA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-7 Yards) to the Fla 7Similar
Q2 1:00
1ST & 15
OWN 7
+7
19.1%
Matt Jones run for 7 yds to the Fla 14Similar
Q2 0:48
2ND & 8
OWN 14
+19
18.8%
Matt Jones run for 19 yds to the Fla 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:19
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-5
17.7%
Matt Jones run for no gain to the Fla 33 FLORIDA Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the Fla 28Similar
Q2 0:04
1ST & 15
OWN 28
0
18.2%
Treon Harris pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 15PUNT
10 plays · 34 yds · 4:2682% → 81%
Q3 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-1
17.9%
Kelvin Taylor run for a loss of 1 yard to the Fla 32Similar
Q3 14:00
2ND & 11
OWN 32
+16
18.4%
Treon Harris pass complete to Quinton Dunbar for 16 yds to the Fla 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-6
17.2%
Treon Harris pass complete to Kelvin Taylor for a loss of 6 yards to the Fla 42Similar
Q3 13:02
2ND & 16
OWN 42
+18
17.7%
Treon Harris pass complete to Brandon Powell for 18 yds to the Vandy 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:48
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-1
16.8%
Kelvin Taylor run for a loss of 1 yard to the Vandy 41Similar
Q3 12:00
2ND & 11
OPP 41
-2
17.0%
Brandon Powell run for a loss of 2 yards to the Vandy 43Similar
Q3 11:33
3RD & 13
OPP 43
-5
17.7%
FLORIDA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Vandy 48Similar
Q3 10:58
3RD & 18
OPP 48
+10
18.1%
Matt Jones run for 10 yds to the Vandy 38Similar
Q3 10:36
4TH & 8
OPP 38
-5
18.0%
FLORIDA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Vandy 43Similar
Q3 10:14
4TH & 13
OPP 43
0
18.8%
Kyle Christy punt for 43 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 22 yds · 3:0818% → 18%
Q3 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
17.5%
Ralph Webb run for 1 yd to the Vandy 21Similar
Q3 9:26
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+6
17.5%
Johnny McCrary pass complete to C.J. Duncan for 6 yds to the Vandy 27Similar
Q3 8:55
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+9
17.4%
Johnny McCrary pass complete to Latevius Rayford for 9 yds to the Vandy 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
18.3%
Johnny McCrary pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:59
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+3
18.1%
Johnny McCrary pass complete to Ralph Webb for 3 yds to the Vandy 39Similar
Q3 7:19
3RD & 7
OWN 39
+3
17.9%
Patton Robinette run for 3 yds to the Vandy 42Similar
Q3 6:43
4TH & 4
OWN 42
0
17.6%
Colby Cooke punt for 47 yds, downed at the Fla 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:4682% → 82%
Q3 6:34
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+7
18.4%
Matt Jones run for 7 yds to the Fla 18Similar
Q3 6:00
2ND & 3
OWN 18
+2
17.5%
Matt Jones run for 2 yds to the Fla 20Similar
Q3 5:33
3RD & 1
OWN 20
0
18.2%
Matt Jones run for no gain to the Fla 20Similar
Q3 4:48
4TH & 1
OWN 20
+7
18.1%
Kyle Christy punt for 58 yds , Darrius Sims returns for 7 yds to the Vandy 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 18PUNT
8 plays · 18 yds · 2:4917% → 17%
Q3 4:42
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
17.1%
Johnny McCrary pass incomplete to C.J. DuncanSimilar
Q3 4:28
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+9
16.7%
Johnny McCrary pass complete to Latevius Rayford for 9 yds to the Vandy 38Similar
Q3 3:58
3RD & 1
OWN 38
0
17.7%
Ralph Webb run for no gain to the Vandy 38Similar
Q3 3:29
4TH & 1
OWN 38
+4
16.7%
Johnny McCrary pass complete to Davis Dudchock for 4 yds to the Vandy 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
17.7%
Johnny McCrary pass incomplete to Davis DudchockSimilar
Q3 2:19
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+5
17.5%
Dallas Rivers run for 5 yds to the Vandy 47Similar
Q3 2:00
3RD & 5
OWN 47
0
17.7%
Johnny McCrary pass incomplete to C.J. DuncanSimilar
Q3 1:53
4TH & 5
OWN 47
0
16.5%
Colby Cooke punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Fla 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 19TD
7 plays · 84 yds · 1:5883% → 95%
Q3 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
17.1%
Treon Harris pass incomplete to Quinton DunbarSimilar
Q3 1:34
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+3
17.5%
Kelvin Taylor run for 3 yds to the Fla 19Similar
Q3 1:03
3RD & 7
OWN 19
+12
18.0%
Treon Harris pass complete to Quinton Dunbar for 12 yds to the Fla 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+60
16.7%
Treon Harris pass complete to Quinton Dunbar for 60 yds to the Vandy 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
14.6%
Kelvin Taylor run for 2 yds to the Vandy 7Similar
Q4 14:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
14.6%
Treon Harris pass incomplete to Clay BurtonSimilar
Q4 14:51
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
5.5%
Treon Harris run for 7 yds for a TD, (Francisco Velez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 20FG
6 plays · 38 yds · 1:098% → 11%
Q4 14:26
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+41
8.2%
Johnny McCrary pass complete to Davis Dudchock for 41 yds to the Fla 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:06
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-3
9.3%
Dallas Rivers run for a loss of 3 yards to the Fla 31Similar
Q4 13:51
2ND & 13
OPP 31
0
8.0%
Johnny McCrary pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:22
3RD & 13
OPP 31
0
7.3%
Johnny McCrary pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:17
4TH & 13
OPP 31
+48
10.5%
Tommy Openshaw 48 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 21TD
7 plays · 66 yds · 2:1093% → 99%
Q4 12:51
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+16
7.2%
Matt Jones run for 16 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:25
1ST & 10
50
+3
6.5%
Jeff Driskel run for 3 yds to the Vandy 47Similar
Q4 12:00
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+2
6.3%
Matt Jones run for 2 yds to the Vandy 45Similar
Q4 11:33
3RD & 5
OPP 45
+12
6.1%
Treon Harris pass complete to Demarcus Robinson for 12 yds to the Vandy 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:49
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
5.6%
Jeff Driskel pass incomplete to Matt JonesSimilar
Q4 10:41
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+33
1.4%
Treon Harris run for 33 yds for a TD, (Francisco Velez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 22INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q4 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
2.1%
Johnny McCrary pass intercepted Vernon Hargreaves return for no gain to the Vandy 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 23FG
5 plays · 18 yds · 2:0099% → 99%
Q4 10:29
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+12
1.4%
Kelvin Taylor run for 12 yds to the Vandy 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:56
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+4
1.3%
Kelvin Taylor run for 4 yds to the Vandy 10Similar
Q4 9:09
2ND & 6
OPP 10
+2
1.2%
Kelvin Taylor run for 2 yds to the Vandy 8Similar
Q4 8:34
3RD & 4
OPP 8
0
1.2%
Jeff Driskel pass incomplete to Clay BurtonSimilar
Q4 8:29
4TH & 4
OPP 8
+25
1.2%
Francisco Velez 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 24INT
13 plays · 16 yds · 1:582% → 1%
Q4 8:06
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+6
1.5%
Johnny McCrary pass complete to Latevius Rayford for 6 yds to the Vandy 38Similar
Q4 7:44
2ND & 4
OWN 38
0
1.5%
Johnny McCrary pass incomplete to C.J. DuncanSimilar
Q4 7:38
3RD & 4
OWN 38
+6
1.2%
Johnny McCrary pass complete to Chandler Dorrell for 6 yds to the Vandy 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:29
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
1.2%
Johnny McCrary pass incomplete to Chandler DorrellSimilar
Q4 7:12
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+4
1.2%
Johnny McCrary pass complete to Latevius Rayford for 4 yds to the Vandy 48Similar
Q4 7:00
3RD & 6
OWN 48
0
1.2%
Johnny McCrary pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:00
4TH & 6
OWN 48
+10
1.2%
Johnny McCrary pass intercepted for a 1ST down Alex McCalister return for no gain to the Fla 48 for a 1ST down FLORIDA Penalty, Defensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Fla 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:33
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
1.2%
Johnny McCrary pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:28
2ND & 10
OPP 42
0
1.2%
Johnny McCrary pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:24
3RD & 10
OPP 42
0
1.1%
Johnny McCrary pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:19
4TH & 10
OPP 42
+15
1.1%
Johnny McCrary pass complete to Steven Scheu for 15 yds to the Fla 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:08
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
1.3%
Johnny McCrary pass intercepted, touchback. Jalen Tabor return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 25PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:5799% → 99%
Q4 5:44
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
0.8%
Matt Jones run for 2 yds to the Fla 22Similar
Q4 5:00
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+6
0.8%
Matt Jones run for 6 yds to the Fla 28Similar
Q4 4:36
3RD & 2
OWN 28
-4
0.8%
Treon Harris run for a loss of 4 yards to the Fla 24Similar
Q4 3:47
4TH & 6
OWN 24
+7
0.8%
Kyle Christy punt for 52 yds , Trey Ellis returns for 7 yds to the Vandy 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 26DOWNS
11 plays · 59 yds · 1:531% → 1%
Q4 3:29
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+7
0.9%
Patton Robinette pass complete to Steven Scheu for 7 yds to the Vandy 38Similar
Q4 3:01
2ND & 3
OWN 38
+9
0.9%
Patton Robinette pass complete to Darrius Sims for 9 yds to the Vandy 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:51
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
0.9%
Patton Robinette pass complete to Steven Scheu for 2 yds to the Vandy 49Similar
Q4 2:44
2ND & 8
OWN 49
+21
0.9%
Patton Robinette pass complete to Davis Dudchock for 21 yds to the Fla 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:33
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
1.1%
Patton Robinette pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:15
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+18
1.1%
Patton Robinette pass complete to Davis Dudchock for 18 yds to the Fla 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:07
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
1.1%
Patton Robinette pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+8
1.0%
Patton Robinette pass complete to Latevius Rayford for 8 yds to the Fla 4Similar
Q4 1:41
3RD & 2
OPP 4
0
0.9%
Patton Robinette pass incomplete to Chandler DorrellSimilar
Q4 1:36
4TH & 2
OPP 4
-6
0.8%
Patton Robinette sacked by Duke Dawson for a loss of 6 yards to the Fla 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 27END OF GAME
3 plays · 12 yds · 0:32100% → 100%
Q4 1:19
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+1
0.4%
Adam Lane run for 1 yd to the Fla 11Similar
Q4 1:00
2ND & 9
OWN 11
+8
0.4%
Adam Lane run for 8 yds to the Fla 19Similar
Q4 0:47
3RD & 1
OWN 19
+3
0.4%
Adam Lane run for 3 yds to the Fla 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 14:51
Treon Harris run for 7 yds for a TD, (Francisco Velez KICK)
-9
TD · Q2 8:38
Jeff Driskel run for 1 yd for a TD, (Francisco Velez KICK)
-4.8
TD · Q4 10:41
Treon Harris run for 33 yds for a TD, (Francisco Velez KICK)
-4.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com