Try the model
SC

South Carolina 23 at Florida 20

FLA
2014 · Week 12 · Nov 15, 2014 · Ben Hill Griffin Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · FLA
modelFLA aheadSC aheadconfidence bandkey playFLA scoreSC score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTDFGFGTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 2:18 · Tyler Hull punt for 47 yds , Andre Debose returns for 4 yds to the 50 yard line
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+27.0+13.50−13.5−27.0Q1Q2Q3Q4OTPlay 69Home team on offense−6.1Pregame prior+5.3Garbage-time factor−2.7Score differential−2.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.7Time remaining−0.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:24: Treon Harris pass complete to Demarcus Robinson for 11 yds for a TD, (Francisco Velez KICK) — FLA win probability +14.0 pts (now 63%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 1:56: Matt Jones run for 1 yd for a TD, (Francisco Velez KICK) — FLA win probability +17.8 pts (now 82%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 0:12: Mike Davis 0 Yd Fumble Return (Elliott Fry Kick) — SC win probability +29.1 pts (now 45%) (top driver: FLA +2 timeouts on the defense).
  4. FG · OT 0:00: Austin Hardin 35 Yd Field Goal — FLA win probability +16.1 pts (now 78%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
  5. TD · OT 0:00: Dylan Thompson 4 Yd Run — SC win probability +62.8 pts (now 88%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FLA made the numbers' call on 5 of 9SC made the numbers' call on 8 of 10
  1. Q1 12:00FLA 4th & 4 at FLA 42, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.7%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:37SC 4th & 1 at SC 41, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 41.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    41.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    41.0%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:15SC 4th & 2 at FLA 14, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 45.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.4%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    45.0%−0.4
    84% to make
    Punt
    42.1%−3.3
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00FLA 4th & 5 at SC 44, down 10
    Close callPunted · 52.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.4%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    51.7%−0.6
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    52.2%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:53SC 4th & 3 at SC 43, up 10
    Close callPunted · 47.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.4%−0.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:37FLA 4th & 2 at SC 17, down 10
    Close callKicked a field goal · 46.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.0%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    45.2%−0.8
    80% to make
    Punt
    41.2%−4.8
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:37SC 4th & 8 at SC 27, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.5%−1.0
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.5%
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:49FLA 4th & 3 at SC 44, down 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.5 ptsPunted · 49.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    47.0%−2.4
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    47.8%−1.5
    average punt
  9. Q2 2:18SC 4th & 9 at SC 7, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.9%−2.0
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.8%
    average punt
  10. Q3 15:00FLA 4th & 2 at FLA 28, tied
    Close callPunted · 58.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.7%−0.9
    average punt
  11. Q3 12:52SC 4th & 22 at SC 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.4%−4.4
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.7%
    average punt
  12. Q3 10:58FLA 4th & 8 at FLA 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.2%−1.7
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.9%
    average punt
  13. Q3 6:37SC 4th & 10 at FLA 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 44.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.4%−1.4
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    43.8%
    58% to make
    Punt
    35.4%−8.3
    average punt
  14. Q4 14:11SC 4th & 2 at midfield, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 24.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    25.0%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    22.4%−2.6
    average punt
  15. Q4 11:29FLA 4th & 8 at SC 47, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.3%−0.4
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.6%
    average punt
  16. Q4 9:25SC 4th & 15 at SC 8, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.8%−2.7
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.6%
    average punt
  17. Q4 3:31FLA 4th & 6 at SC 15, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 92.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.6%−0.3
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    91.8%
    83% to make
    Punt
    87.1%−4.7
    average punt
  18. Q4 2:32SC 4th & 10 at FLA 41, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 13.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.6%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    8.3%−1.3
    32% to make
    Punt
    7.3%−2.3
    average punt
  19. Q4 1:32FLA 4th & 13 at FLA 38, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.5%−0.9
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.4%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FLA made the numbers' call on 2 of 2SC made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 12:00SC Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:24FLA Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 1:56FLA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 0:12SC Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    41.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.2%−1.9
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SCDrive 1TD
9 plays · 85 yds · 3:0040% → 41%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
60.0%
Mike Davis run for 2 yds to the SCaro 17Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 17
+30
60.0%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Pharoh Cooper for 30 yds to the SCaro 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
60.0%
Dylan Thompson run for 5 yds to the Fla 48Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 48
0
60.0%
Dylan Thompson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 48
+20
60.0%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Rory Anderson for 20 yds to the Fla 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
60.0%
Pharoh Cooper run for 3 yds to the Fla 25Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 25
+5
60.0%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Pharoh Cooper for 5 yds to the Fla 20Similar
Q1 12:00
3RD & 2
OPP 20
+20
58.6%
Brandon Wilds run for 20 yds for a TD, (Elliott Fry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0059% → 59%
Q1 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
59.0%
Matt Jones run for 2 yds to the Fla 38Similar
Q1 12:00
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+4
59.1%
Treon Harris run for 4 yds to the Fla 42Similar
Q1 12:00
3RD & 4
OWN 42
0
59.1%
Treon Harris pass incomplete to Matt JonesSimilar
Q1 12:00
4TH & 4
OWN 42
0
58.9%
Kyle Christy punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Pharoh Cooper at the SCaro 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 3FG
15 plays · 66 yds · 8:2242% → 47%
Q1 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
58.4%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Brandon Wilds for 6 yds to the SCaro 26Similar
Q1 10:37
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+6
58.2%
Brandon Wilds run for 6 yds to the SCaro 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
58.2%
Brandon Wilds run for 1 yd to the SCaro 33Similar
Q1 10:37
2ND & 9
OWN 33
+7
58.3%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Rory Anderson for 7 yds to the SCaro 40Similar
Q1 10:37
3RD & 2
OWN 40
+1
58.1%
Brandon Wilds run for 1 yd to the SCaro 41Similar
Q1 10:37
4TH & 1
OWN 41
+14
58.2%
Brandon Wilds run for a loss of 1 yard to the Fla 40 for a 1ST down FLORIDA Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Dante Fowler) to the Fla 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:37
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+6
57.9%
Pharoh Cooper run for 6 yds to the Fla 39Similar
Q1 10:37
2ND & 4
OPP 39
+6
57.9%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Nick Jones for 6 yds to the Fla 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:37
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+5
57.9%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Nick Jones for 5 yds to the Fla 28Similar
Q1 10:37
2ND & 5
OPP 28
+3
57.9%
David Williams run for 3 yds to the Fla 25Similar
Q1 10:37
3RD & 2
OPP 25
+3
58.0%
David Williams run for 3 yds to the Fla 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:37
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
57.9%
Brandon Wilds run for 2 yds to the Fla 20Similar
Q1 10:37
2ND & 8
OPP 20
0
57.9%
Dylan Thompson pass incomplete to Rory AndersonSimilar
Q1 10:37
3RD & 8
OPP 20
+6
58.0%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Jerell Adams for 6 yds to the Fla 14Similar
Q1 2:15
4TH & 2
OPP 14
+31
53.3%
Elliott Fry 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 34 yds · 2:1553% → 52%
Q1 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+6
52.7%
Treon Harris run for 6 yds to the Fla 28Similar
Q1 2:15
2ND & 4
OWN 28
+23
53.0%
Treon Harris run for 8 yds to the SCaro 36 for a 1ST down SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, personal foul (Jonathan Walton) to the SCaro 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:15
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
53.9%
Kelvin Taylor run for 5 yds to the SCaro 44Similar
Q1 2:15
2ND & 5
OPP 44
0
54.0%
Kelvin Taylor run for no gain to the SCaro 44Similar
Q1 2:15
3RD & 5
OPP 44
0
53.8%
Treon Harris pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 5
OPP 44
0
51.7%
Kyle Christy punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Pharoh Cooper at the SCaro 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 29 yds · 0:0048% → 48%
Q2 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+10
52.4%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Damiere Byrd for 10 yds to the SCaro 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
52.3%
Brandon Wilds run for 2 yds to the SCaro 26Similar
Q2 14:53
2ND & 8
OWN 26
+10
52.2%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Brandon Wilds for 10 yds to the SCaro 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
51.6%
Mike Davis run for 4 yds to the SCaro 40Similar
Q2 14:53
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+4
51.4%
Mike Davis run for 4 yds to the SCaro 44Similar
Q2 14:53
3RD & 2
OWN 44
-1
51.7%
Brandon Wilds run for a loss of 1 yard to the SCaro 43Similar
Q2 14:53
4TH & 3
OWN 43
0
52.1%
Tyler Hull punt for 20 yds, downed at the Fla 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 6FG
10 plays · 46 yds · 4:5749% → 50%
Q2 11:34
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
49.4%
Matt Jones run for 6 yds to the Fla 43Similar
Q2 11:34
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+3
50.1%
Matt Jones run for 3 yds to the Fla 46Similar
Q2 11:34
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+2
49.8%
Matt Jones run for 2 yds to the Fla 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:34
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+16
50.2%
Treon Harris run for 16 yds to the SCaro 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:34
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+11
50.6%
Matt Jones run for 11 yds to the SCaro 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:34
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
51.4%
Matt Jones run for 1 yd to the SCaro 24Similar
Q2 11:34
2ND & 9
OPP 24
+4
51.4%
Kelvin Taylor run for 4 yds to the SCaro 20Similar
Q2 11:34
3RD & 5
OPP 20
-5
50.5%
FLORIDA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SCaro 25Similar
Q2 11:34
3RD & 10
OPP 25
+8
50.3%
Treon Harris run for 8 yds to the SCaro 17Similar
Q2 6:37
4TH & 2
OPP 17
+34
49.9%
Francisco Velez 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 2 yds · 0:0053% → 51%
Q2 6:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
47.5%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Damiere Byrd for 2 yds to the SCaro 27Similar
Q2 6:37
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+5
47.4%
FLORIDA Penalty, substitution infraction (5 Yards) to the SCaro 32Similar
Q2 6:37
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
46.6%
Brandon Wilds run for no gain to the SCaro 32Similar
Q2 6:37
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
47.3%
Dylan Thompson pass incomplete to Brandon WildsSimilar
Q2 6:37
4TH & 3
OWN 32
-5
48.4%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the SCaro 27Similar
Q2 6:37
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
49.2%
Tyler Hull punt for 54 yds , Andre Debose returns for no gain to the Fla 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 37 yds · 0:0047% → 49%
Q2 4:49
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+30
47.4%
Kelvin Taylor run for 30 yds to the Fla 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:49
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
49.9%
Kelvin Taylor run for 4 yds to the SCaro 47Similar
Q2 4:49
2ND & 6
OPP 47
-5
50.5%
Kelvin Taylor run for a loss of 5 yards to the Fla 48Similar
Q2 4:49
3RD & 11
OWN 48
+8
47.9%
Treon Harris pass complete to Tevin Westbrook for 8 yds to the SCaro 44Similar
Q2 4:49
4TH & 3
OPP 44
0
48.9%
Kyle Christy punt for 38 yds, downed at the SCaro 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0056% → 54%
Q2 2:18
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+1
44.5%
Brandon Wilds run for 1 yd to the SCaro 7Similar
Q2 2:18
2ND & 9
OWN 7
0
44.7%
Dylan Thompson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:18
3RD & 9
OWN 7
0
45.5%
Dylan Thompson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:18
4TH & 9
OWN 7
+4
46.3%
Tyler Hull punt for 47 yds , Andre Debose returns for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 10TD
7 plays · 50 yds · 1:0149% → 63%
Q2 1:25
1ST & 10
50
+7
48.6%
Matt Jones run for 7 yds to the SCaro 43Similar
Q2 1:25
2ND & 3
OPP 43
+4
48.9%
Matt Jones run for 4 yds to the SCaro 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:25
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+15
48.9%
Harris,T. post pass incomplete to Robinson,D., PENALTY SC pass interference (Chris Lammons) 15 yards to the SC24, 1ST DOWN UF, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:25
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+8
50.4%
Treon Harris run for 8 yds to the SCaro 16Similar
Q2 0:39
2ND & 2
OPP 16
+5
49.2%
Matt Jones run for 5 yds to the SCaro 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:24
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
63.2%
Treon Harris pass complete to Demarcus Robinson for 11 yds for a TD, (Francisco Velez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 11END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0045% → 45%
Q2 0:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
55.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the SCaro 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0060% → 58%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
59.5%
Kelvin Taylor run for a loss of 2 yards to the Fla 18Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 18
+1
59.2%
Treon Harris run for 1 yd to the Fla 19Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 19
+9
57.9%
Treon Harris pass complete to Demarcus Robinson for 9 yds to the Fla 28Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 2
OWN 28
+5
57.8%
Kyle Christy punt for 39 yds , Pharoh Cooper returns for 5 yds to the SCaro 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · -12 yds · 0:0046% → 42%
Q3 12:52
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-8
54.1%
Dylan Thompson sacked by Jonathan Bullard for a loss of 8 yards to the SCaro 30Similar
Q3 12:52
2ND & 18
OWN 30
0
56.0%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Pharoh Cooper for no gain to the SCaro 30Similar
Q3 12:52
3RD & 18
OWN 30
-4
57.3%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Mike Davis for a loss of 4 yards to the SCaro 26Similar
Q3 12:52
4TH & 22
OWN 26
0
58.3%
Tyler Hull punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Andre Debose at the Fla 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0059% → 57%
Q3 10:58
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
59.3%
Treon Harris pass incomplete to Quinton DunbarSimilar
Q3 10:58
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+2
59.1%
Brandon Powell run for 2 yds to the Fla 35Similar
Q3 10:58
3RD & 8
OWN 35
0
58.1%
Treon Harris pass incomplete to Demarcus RobinsonSimilar
Q3 10:58
4TH & 8
OWN 35
0
56.9%
Kyle Christy punt for 28 yds, downed at the SCaro 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 15MISSED FG
11 plays · 34 yds · 3:1045% → 45%
Q3 9:47
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+9
54.6%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Nick Jones for 9 yds to the SCaro 46Similar
Q3 9:47
2ND & 1
OWN 46
0
52.3%
Dylan Thompson pass incomplete to Shaq RolandSimilar
Q3 9:47
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+2
53.0%
Mike Davis run for 2 yds to the SCaro 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:47
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
52.5%
FLORIDA Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the Fla 47Similar
Q3 9:47
1ST & 5
OPP 47
+6
51.7%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Jerell Adams for 6 yds to the Fla 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:47
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+3
52.1%
Mike Davis run for 3 yds to the Fla 38Similar
Q3 9:47
2ND & 7
OPP 38
+9
52.0%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Shaq Roland for 9 yds to the Fla 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:47
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
50.6%
Dylan Thompson pass incomplete to Shaq RolandSimilar
Q3 9:47
2ND & 10
OPP 29
0
51.0%
Dylan Thompson pass incomplete to Brandon WildsSimilar
Q3 9:47
3RD & 10
OPP 29
0
52.6%
Dylan Thompson pass incomplete to Rory AndersonSimilar
Q3 6:37
4TH & 10
OPP 29
+47
55.3%
Elliott Fry 47 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 16TD
10 plays · 71 yds · 4:4159% → 82%
Q3 6:37
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+7
59.2%
Treon Harris run for 7 yds to the Fla 36Similar
Q3 6:37
2ND & 3
OWN 36
+9
61.5%
Kelvin Taylor run for 9 yds to the Fla 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:37
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-5
62.0%
Treon Harris sacked by Bryson Allen-Williams and Sharrod Golightly for a loss of 5 yards to the Fla 35 Treon Harris fumbled, recovered by Fla Tevin Westbrook , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q3 6:37
2ND & 20
OWN 35
+8
58.6%
Treon Harris run for 8 yds to the Fla 43Similar
Q3 6:37
3RD & 12
OWN 43
+32
58.5%
Treon Harris pass complete to Latroy Pittman for 32 yds to the SCaro 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:37
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
64.2%
Matt Jones run for 2 yds to the SCaro 23Similar
Q3 6:37
2ND & 8
OPP 23
0
64.2%
Treon Harris pass incomplete to Matt JonesSimilar
Q3 6:37
3RD & 8
OPP 23
+22
62.6%
Treon Harris run for 22 yds to the SCaro 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
64.2%
Matt Jones run for no gain to the SCaro 1Similar
Q3 1:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
82.0%
Matt Jones run for 1 yd for a TD, (Francisco Velez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 17FUMBLE
3 plays · 25 yds · 0:0026% → 26%
Q3 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+4
74.2%
Brandon Wilds run for 4 yds to the SCaro 21Similar
Q3 1:56
2ND & 6
OWN 21
+21
74.3%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Shaq Roland for 21 yds Shaq Roland fumbled, forced by Jabari Gorman, recovered by Fla Jabari GormanSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 18FUMBLE
3 plays · 10 yds · 1:0484% → 84%
Q3 1:04
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+6
83.7%
Matt Jones run for 6 yds to the SCaro 36Similar
Q3 1:04
2ND & 4
OPP 36
+2
83.7%
Matt Jones run for 2 yds to the SCaro 34Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 34
+3
84.2%
Treon Harris run for 3 yds to the SCaro 32 Treon Harris fumbled, forced by Jordan Diggs, recovered by SCaro Jordan DiggsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 19DOWNS
9 plays · 17 yds · 0:4924% → 23%
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
75.7%
Pharoh Cooper pass incomplete to Damiere ByrdSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+8
76.3%
Mike Davis run for 8 yds to the SCaro 40Similar
Q4 14:11
3RD & 2
OWN 40
0
76.3%
Mike Davis run for 10 yds to the 50 yard line SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, illegal block (Shaq Roland) to the SCaro 40Similar
Q4 14:11
3RD & 2
OWN 40
+2
76.3%
Mike Davis run for 2 yds to the SCaro 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:11
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-5
77.0%
Dylan Thompson run for a loss of 5 yards to the SCaro 37 Dylan Thompson fumbled, recovered by SCaro Dylan ThompsonSimilar
Q4 14:11
2ND & 15
OWN 37
-7
78.8%
Dylan Thompson sacked by Dante Fowler for a loss of 7 yards to the SCaro 30Similar
Q4 14:11
3RD & 22
OWN 30
+20
80.1%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Brandon Wilds for 15 yds to the SCaro 45 FLORIDA Penalty, sideline interference (5 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 14:11
4TH & 2
50
-1
77.0%
Brandon Wilds run for a loss of 1 yard to the SCaro 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0088% → 86%
Q4 11:29
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-5
87.7%
Harris,T. rush quarterback draw for 4 yards to the SC45 (Jordan Diggs), PENALTY UF illegal formation 5 yards to the UF46, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:29
1ST & 15
OWN 46
+5
86.9%
Treon Harris run for 5 yds to the SCaro 49Similar
Q4 11:29
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+2
87.4%
Kelvin Taylor run for 2 yds to the SCaro 47Similar
Q4 11:29
3RD & 8
OPP 47
0
86.7%
Treon Harris pass incomplete to Demarcus RobinsonSimilar
Q4 11:29
4TH & 8
OPP 47
0
85.5%
Kyle Christy punt for 45 yds, downed at the SCaro 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 21PUNT
8 plays · 6 yds · 0:0016% → 15%
Q4 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 2
0
83.6%
Dylan Thompson pass incomplete to Rory AndersonSimilar
Q4 9:25
2ND & 10
OWN 2
+9
83.8%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Jerell Adams for 9 yds to the SCaro 11Similar
Q4 9:25
3RD & 1
OWN 11
+2
83.9%
Mike Davis run for 2 yds to the SCaro 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+2
82.9%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Jerell Adams for 2 yds to the SCaro 15Similar
Q4 9:25
2ND & 8
OWN 15
-7
82.8%
Dylan Thompson middle pass complete to Nick Jones for 7 yards to the SC22 (Morrison,A.), PENALTY SC pass interference (Rory Anderson) 7 yards to the SC8, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:25
2ND & 15
OWN 8
0
83.8%
Dylan Thompson pass incomplete to Nick JonesSimilar
Q4 9:25
3RD & 15
OWN 8
0
84.7%
Dylan Thompson pass incomplete to Mike Davis, broken up by Jonathan BullardSimilar
Q4 9:25
4TH & 15
OWN 8
0
85.3%
Tyler Hull punt for 40 yds , Roger Dixon returns for no gain to the SCaro 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 22MISSED FG
8 plays · 33 yds · 3:0891% → 92%
Q4 6:39
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+13
91.0%
Treon Harris run for 13 yds to the SCaro 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:39
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+16
91.4%
Matt Jones run for 1 yd to the SCaro 34 for a 1ST down SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Chris Lammons) to the SCaro 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:39
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+3
91.6%
Treon Harris run for 13 yds to the SCaro 6 FLORIDA Penalty, Offensive holding (Quinton Dunbar) to the SCaro 16Similar
Q4 6:39
1ST & 7
OPP 16
+2
91.6%
Treon Harris run for 2 yds to the SCaro 14Similar
Q4 6:39
2ND & 5
OPP 14
-4
91.6%
Treon Harris run for a loss of 4 yards to the SCaro 18Similar
Q4 6:39
3RD & 9
OPP 18
+3
90.8%
Matt Jones run for 3 yds to the SCaro 15Similar
Q4 3:31
4TH & 6
OPP 15
+32
92.1%
Francisco Velez 32 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Brison WilliamsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 23DOWNS
8 plays · 18 yds · 0:5914% → 10%
Q4 3:31
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
86.2%
Mike Davis run for 3 yds to the SCaro 44Similar
Q4 3:31
2ND & 7
OWN 44
0
85.8%
Dylan Thompson pass incomplete to Pharoh CooperSimilar
Q4 3:31
3RD & 7
OWN 44
+15
86.6%
Dylan Thompson sideline pass incomplete to Jerell Adams, PENALTY UF pass interference (Maye,M.) 15 yards to the UF41, 1ST DOWN SC, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:31
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
84.7%
Dylan Thompson pass incomplete to Pharoh CooperSimilar
Q4 3:31
2ND & 10
OPP 41
0
85.1%
Dylan Thompson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:31
3RD & 10
OPP 41
0
86.0%
Dylan Thompson pass incomplete to Rory Anderson, broken up by Marcus MayeSimilar
Q4 2:32
4TH & 10
OPP 41
0
89.8%
Dylan Thompson pass incomplete to Pharoh Cooper, broken up by Jabari GormanSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 24PUNT
6 plays · -3 yds · 0:5095% → 94%
Q4 2:22
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
95.3%
Matt Jones run for 5 yds to the Fla 46Similar
Q4 2:22
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+2
95.4%
Matt Jones run for 2 yds to the Fla 48Similar
Q4 1:32
3RD & 3
OWN 48
-5
95.7%
Treon Harris run for a loss of 5 yards to the Fla 43Similar
Q4 1:32
4TH & 8
OWN 43
-5
94.9%
FLORIDA Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Fla 38Similar
Q4 1:32
4TH & 13
OWN 38
0
94.4%
Kyle Christy punt blocked by Carlton Heard blocked by Carlton HeardSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 25FUMBLE RETURN TD
5 plays · 34 yds · 0:2714% → 45%
Q4 0:39
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+27
86.3%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Mike Davis for 27 yds to the Fla 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
83.8%
Dylan Thompson pass incomplete, broken up by Jalen TaborSimilar
Q4 0:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
83.8%
Dylan Thompson post pass incomplete to Pharoh Cooper, PENALTY UF pass interference (Poole,B.) 5 yards to the UF2, 1ST DOWN SC, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
83.8%
Dylan Thompson pass incomplete to Nick JonesSimilar
Q4 0:12
2ND & 0
OWN 2
0
54.7%
Mike Davis 0 Yd Fumble Return (Elliott Fry Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 26END OF GAME
14 plays · 0 yds · 15:1242% → 88%
Q4 0:12
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-5
58.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the Fla 19Similar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+8
64.7%
Treon Harris run for 8 yds to the SCaro 17Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 2
OPP 17
-1
64.7%
Treon Harris run for a loss of 1 yard to the SCaro 18Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 3
OPP 18
0
62.3%
Treon Harris pass complete to Demarcus Robinson for no gain to the SCaro 18Similar
OT 0:00
4TH & 3
OPP 18
+35
78.3%
Austin Hardin 35 Yd Field Goal Similar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
70.9%
Mike Davis run for 2 yds to the Fla 23Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 8
OPP 23
+5
70.9%
Mike Davis run for 5 yds to the Fla 18Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 3
OPP 18
+4
76.2%
Mike Davis run for 4 yds to the Fla 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+3
70.9%
Mike Davis run for 3 yds to the Fla 11Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 7
OPP 11
+5
70.9%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Pharoh Cooper for 5 yds to the Fla 6Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 2
OPP 6
+2
74.6%
David Williams run for 2 yds to the Fla 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
11.8%
Dylan Thompson 4 Yd Run Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · OT 0:00
Dylan Thompson 4 Yd Run
-62.8
TD · Q4 0:12
Mike Davis 0 Yd Fumble Return (Elliott Fry Kick)
-29.1
TD · Q3 1:56
Matt Jones run for 1 yd for a TD, (Francisco Velez KICK)
+17.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com