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2014 · Week 13 · Nov 22, 2014 · Ben Hill Griffin Stadium
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Win probability · FLA
modelFLA aheadEKU aheadconfidence bandkey playFLA scoreEKU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 11:02 · Jeff Driskel run for 1 yd to the EKent 13 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+48.0+24.00−24.0−48.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 18Pregame prior+46.6Home team on offense+0.4Score differential+0.0Blowout margin−0.1Garbage-time factor+0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 12:08: Austin Hardin 48 yd FG GOOD — EKU win probability +0.2 pts (now 2%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
  2. FG · Q1 0:55: Andrew Lloyd 51 yd FG GOOD — EKU win probability +0.7 pts (now 4%) (top driver: EKU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q1 0:33: Treon Harris pass complete to Quinton Dunbar for 70 yds for a TD, (Austin Hardin KICK) — FLA win probability +1.0 pts (now 97%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 8:29: Treon Harris pass complete to Demarcus Robinson for 19 yds for a TD, (Austin Hardin KICK) — FLA win probability +1.6 pts (now 98%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 4:40: Jeff Driskel run for 1 yd for a TD, (Austin Hardin KICK) — FLA win probability +0.9 pts (now 99%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FLA made the numbers' call on 7 of 7EKU made the numbers' call on 11 of 15
  1. Q1 15:00EKU 4th & 9 at EKU 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.6%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:08FLA 4th & 14 at EKU 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 95.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.7%−0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.8%
    54% to make
    Punt
    95.7%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 12:08EKU 4th & 6 at EKU 18, down 3
    Close callWent for it · 4.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.0%−<0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    4.1%
    average punt
  4. Q1 11:02FLA 4th & 1 at EKU 14, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 95.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    95.6%−0.1
    84% to make
    Punt
    95.1%−0.6
    average punt
  5. Q1 8:35EKU 4th & 3 at EKU 36, down 10
    Close callPunted · 4.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  6. Q1 7:33FLA 4th & 5 at FLA 25, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.3%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.4%
    average punt
  7. Q1 0:55EKU 4th & 9 at FLA 33, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 5.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.5%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    5.5%
    49% to make
    Punt
    5.4%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 15:00EKU 4th & 7 at EKU 37, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.7%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.8%
    average punt
  9. Q2 12:51EKU 4th & 11 at FLA 11, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 4.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.6%−0.2
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    4.9%
    87% to make
    Punt
    3.6%−1.2
    average punt
  10. Q2 12:51FLA 4th & 3 at FLA 32, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.4%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.4%
    average punt
  11. Q2 8:29EKU 4th & 11 at EKU 24, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.5%−0.3
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.8%
    average punt
  12. Q2 4:40EKU 4th & 2 at FLA 37, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    0.4%−0.6
    40% to make
    Punt
    0.2%−0.7
    average punt
  13. Q2 0:34EKU 4th & 18 at FLA 43, down 28
    Close callPunted · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.3
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    0.8%
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%−0.2
    average punt
  14. Q3 15:00FLA 4th & 9 at FLA 22, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.3%−0.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.5%
    average punt
  15. Q3 13:50EKU 4th & 17 at EKU 13, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.5
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
  16. Q3 12:16FLA 4th & 2 at EKU 25, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    99.4%−0.1
    66% to make
    Punt
    99.0%−0.5
    average punt
  17. Q3 9:39EKU 4th & 15 at EKU 20, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.3
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
  18. Q3 2:19EKU 4th & 4 at FLA 35, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−0.1
    45% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−0.1
    average punt
  19. Q4 14:53EKU 4th & 4 at EKU 41, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  20. Q4 12:57FLA 4th & 6 at FLA 20, up 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−<0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  21. Q4 11:30EKU 4th & 15 at EKU 35, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  22. Q4 6:18EKU 4th & 14 at EKU 12, down 49
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FLA made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 8:35FLA Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:33FLA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 8:29FLA Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 4:40FLA Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 6:10FLA Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 14:53FLA Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 6:18FLA Touchdown, up 48 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
EKUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
97.9%
Bennie Coney run for 2 yds to the EKent 27Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-1
97.9%
Bennie Coney pass complete to Scott Daniel for a loss of 1 yard to the EKent 26Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
97.9%
Bennie Coney pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 9
OWN 26
+39
97.9%
Keith Wrzuszczak punt for 40 yds , Andre Debose returns for 39 yds to the EKent 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 2FG
4 plays · -4 yds · 1:2198% → 98%
Q1 13:29
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+4
97.8%
Matt Jones run for 4 yds to the EKent 23Similar
Q1 13:29
2ND & 6
OPP 23
0
97.8%
Treon Harris pass incomplete to Matt JonesSimilar
Q1 13:29
3RD & 6
OPP 23
-8
97.8%
Treon Harris sacked by Chris Kelly for a loss of 8 yards to the EKent 31Similar
Q1 12:08
4TH & 14
OPP 31
+48
97.6%
Austin Hardin 48 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 3DOWNS
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q1 12:08
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
97.6%
Bennie Coney pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:08
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+4
97.6%
Dy'Shawn Mobley run for 4 yds to the EKent 18Similar
Q1 12:08
3RD & 6
OWN 18
0
97.6%
Bennie Coney pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:08
4TH & 6
OWN 18
+5
97.6%
Keith Wrzuszczak run for 5 yds to the EKent 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 4TD
6 plays · 23 yds · 2:2798% → 97%
Q1 11:02
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+7
97.5%
Kelvin Taylor run for 7 yds to the EKent 16Similar
Q1 11:02
2ND & 3
OPP 16
+2
97.5%
Kelvin Taylor run for 2 yds to the EKent 14Similar
Q1 11:02
3RD & 1
OPP 14
0
97.5%
Kelvin Taylor run for no gain to the EKent 14Similar
Q1 11:02
4TH & 1
OPP 14
+1
97.5%
Jeff Driskel run for 1 yd to the EKent 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:02
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
97.5%
Treon Harris pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:35
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+13
97.3%
Kelvin Taylor run for 13 yds for a TD, (Austin Hardin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q1 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+7
97.3%
Dy'Shawn Mobley run for 7 yds to the EKent 36Similar
Q1 8:35
2ND & 3
OWN 36
0
97.3%
Bennie Coney pass incomplete to Dy'Shawn Mobley, broken up by Michael TaylorSimilar
Q1 8:35
3RD & 3
OWN 36
0
97.3%
Bennie Coney pass incomplete to Scott DanielSimilar
Q1 8:35
4TH & 3
OWN 36
0
97.3%
Keith Wrzuszczak punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Fla 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q1 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
97.2%
Matt Jones run for 1 yd to the Fla 21Similar
Q1 7:33
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+4
97.2%
Matt Jones run for 4 yds to the Fla 25Similar
Q1 7:33
3RD & 5
OWN 25
0
97.2%
Treon Harris pass incomplete to Matt JonesSimilar
Q1 7:33
4TH & 5
OWN 25
+10
97.1%
Kyle Christy punt for 55 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the EKent 30 , Stanley Absanon returns for 10 yds to the EKent 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 7FG
14 plays · 37 yds · 5:163% → 4%
Q1 6:11
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
97.0%
Bennie Coney pass complete to JJ Jude for 1 yd JJ Jude fumbled, forced by Marcus Maye, recovered by EKent JJ JudeSimilar
Q1 6:11
2ND & 9
OWN 31
+2
97.0%
Bennie Coney pass complete to Taylor Miller for 2 yds to the EKent 33Similar
Q1 6:11
3RD & 7
OWN 33
+12
97.0%
Bennie Coney pass complete to Jeff Glover for 12 yds to the EKent 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:11
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-14
97.0%
JJ Jude run for a loss of 14 yards to the EKent 31 JJ Jude fumbled, recovered by EKent JJ JudeSimilar
Q1 6:11
2ND & 24
OWN 31
+7
97.0%
Dy'Shawn Mobley run for 7 yds to the EKent 38Similar
Q1 6:11
3RD & 17
OWN 38
+18
97.0%
Bennie Coney pass complete to Jeff Glover for 18 yds to the Fla 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:11
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-1
96.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Fla 45 TEAM fumbled, recovered by EKent Taylor MillerSimilar
Q1 6:11
2ND & 11
OPP 45
+3
96.9%
Dy'Shawn Mobley run for 3 yds to the Fla 42Similar
Q1 6:11
3RD & 8
OPP 42
+8
96.9%
Bennie Coney pass complete to Dy'Shawn Mobley for 8 yds to the Fla 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:11
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
96.9%
Bennie Coney run for 1 yd to the Fla 33Similar
Q1 6:11
2ND & 9
OPP 33
0
96.9%
Bennie Coney pass incomplete to Taylor Miller, broken up by Vernon HargreavesSimilar
Q1 6:11
3RD & 9
OPP 33
0
96.9%
Bennie Coney pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:55
4TH & 9
OPP 33
+51
96.2%
Andrew Lloyd 51 yd FG GOODSimilar
Q1 0:55
1ST & GOAL
OWN 35
-5
96.2%
LLOYD, Andrew kickoff 11 yards to the EKU46, on-side kick, recovered by EKU on EKU46, PENALTY EKU illegal block 5 yards to the EKU30, NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 8TD
2 plays · 70 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q1 0:33
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+70
97.1%
Treon Harris pass complete to Quinton Dunbar for 70 yds for a TD, (Austin Hardin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 9PUNT
9 plays · 13 yds · 0:333% → 3%
Q1 0:33
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
96.9%
Dy'Shawn Mobley run for 5 yds to the EKent 29Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 29
-1
96.8%
Bennie Coney pass complete to Dy'Shawn Mobley for a loss of 1 yard to the EKent 28Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 28
+5
96.9%
FLORIDA Penalty, Defensive offside (Dante Fowler) to the EKent 33Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 33
+1
96.8%
Dy'Shawn Mobley run for 1 yd to the EKent 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
96.8%
Jeff Glover pass incomplete to Scott DanielSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+3
96.8%
Dy'Shawn Mobley run for 3 yds to the EKent 37Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 37
0
96.8%
Bennie Coney pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 7
OWN 37
0
96.9%
Keith Wrzuszczak punt for 24 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Fla 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 10FUMBLE
1 play · -13 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q2 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+18
97.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 13 yards to the Fla 8 TEAM fumbled, recovered by EKent LaJuan Smith , return for 18 yds to the Fla 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 11DOWNS
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:004% → 3%
Q2 12:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
96.4%
Bennie Coney run for 1 yd to the Fla 7Similar
Q2 12:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
-4
96.4%
Taylor Miller run for a loss of 4 yards to the Fla 11Similar
Q2 12:51
3RD & GOAL
OPP 11
0
96.5%
Bennie Coney pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:51
4TH & GOAL
OPP 11
+3
96.7%
Keith Wrzuszczak run for 3 yds to the Fla 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 24 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q2 12:51
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+17
96.9%
Matt Jones run for 17 yds to the Fla 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
96.9%
Matt Jones run for a loss of 2 yards to the Fla 23Similar
Q2 12:51
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+6
96.9%
Treon Harris run for 6 yds to the Fla 29Similar
Q2 12:51
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+3
96.8%
Treon Harris run for 3 yds to the Fla 32Similar
Q2 12:51
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+9
96.8%
Kyle Christy punt for 51 yds , Stanley Absanon returns for 9 yds to the EKent 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 13FUMBLE
1 play · -7 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q2 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-2
96.3%
Dy'Shawn Mobley run for a loss of 2 yards to the EKent 19 Dy'Shawn Mobley fumbled, forced by Caleb Brantley, recovered by Fla Gerald WillisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 14TD
2 plays · 19 yds · 0:1697% → 98%
Q2 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
96.8%
Treon Harris pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:29
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+19
98.4%
Treon Harris pass complete to Demarcus Robinson for 19 yds for a TD, (Austin Hardin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · -1 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q2 8:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
98.1%
EASTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, false start (Dy'Shawn Mobley) to the EKent 20Similar
Q2 8:29
1ST & 15
OWN 20
0
98.1%
Bennie Coney pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:29
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+4
98.1%
Bennie Coney pass complete to Dy'Shawn Mobley for 4 yds to the EKent 24Similar
Q2 8:29
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
98.1%
Bennie Coney pass incomplete, broken up by Antonio MorrisonSimilar
Q2 8:29
4TH & 11
OWN 24
-4
98.1%
Keith Wrzuszczak punt for 42 yds , Andre Debose returns for a loss of 4 yards to the Fla 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 16TD
7 plays · 70 yds · 2:4198% → 99%
Q2 7:21
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+54
98.3%
Treon Harris pass complete to Demarcus Robinson for 54 yds to the EKent 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:21
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
98.4%
Kelvin Taylor run for no gain to the EKent 16Similar
Q2 7:21
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+3
98.4%
Treon Harris run for 3 yds to the EKent 13Similar
Q2 5:53
3RD & 7
OPP 13
+8
98.4%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Quinton Dunbar for 8 yds to the EKent 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
98.4%
Jeff Driskel run for 4 yds to the EKent 1Similar
Q2 4:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.3%
Jeff Driskel run for 1 yd for a TD, (Austin Hardin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 17PUNT
16 plays · 32 yds · 4:061% → 0%
Q2 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
99.3%
Jared McClain run for 10 yds to the EKent 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
99.2%
Jared McClain pass complete to Scott Daniel for 1 yd to the EKent 36Similar
Q2 4:40
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+1
99.2%
Jared McClain run for 1 yd to the EKent 37Similar
Q2 4:40
3RD & 8
OWN 37
+9
99.2%
Jared McClain pass complete to Scott Daniel for 9 yds to the EKent 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:40
1ST & 10
OPP 0
+19
99.2%
Jared McClain run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down FLORIDA Penalty, Offensive holding (15 Yards) to the Fla 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:40
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
99.2%
Jared McClain pass complete to Scott Daniel for 5 yds to the Fla 40Similar
Q2 4:40
4TH & 2
OPP 37
+2
99.1%
Barton Mann run for 2 yds to the Fla 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:40
2ND & 5
OPP 40
+3
99.1%
JJ Jude run for 3 yds to the Fla 37Similar
Q2 4:40
3RD & 2
OPP 37
0
99.1%
Jared McClain run for no gain to the Fla 37Similar
Q2 0:45
2ND & 7
OPP 32
+3
99.4%
Barton Mann run for 3 yds to the Fla 29Similar
Q2 0:34
3RD & 4
OPP 29
0
99.5%
Barton Mann pass incomplete to Jeff Glover, broken up by Jalen TaborSimilar
Q2 0:34
4TH & 4
OPP 29
-14
99.4%
EASTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, personal foul (Jeff Glover) to the Fla 43Similar
Q2 0:34
4TH & 18
OPP 43
+4
99.6%
Keith Wrzuszczak punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Fla 15 , Andre Debose returns for 4 yds to the Fla 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 18END OF HALF
1 play · 1 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q2 0:16
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+1
99.6%
Matt Jones run for 1 yd to the Fla 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
99.6%
Treon Harris pass incomplete to Quinton DunbarSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+1
99.6%
Matt Jones run for 1 yd to the Fla 22Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 22
0
99.6%
Treon Harris pass incomplete to Ahmad Fulwood, broken up by Trey ThomasSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 9
OWN 22
+57
99.6%
Kyle Christy punt for 47 yds , Stanley Absanon returns for a loss of 1 yard to the EKent 21 EASTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · -7 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
99.6%
JJ Jude run for no gain to the EKent 20Similar
Q3 13:50
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
99.6%
Barton Mann pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:50
3RD & 10
OWN 20
-7
99.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 7 yards to the EKent 13 TEAM fumbled, recovered by EKent Barton MannSimilar
Q3 13:50
4TH & 17
OWN 13
+10
99.6%
Keith Wrzuszczak punt for 52 yds , Andre Debose returns for 10 yds to the Fla 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 21DOWNS
7 plays · 30 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 12:16
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
99.7%
Kelvin Taylor run for 3 yds to the Fla 48Similar
Q3 12:16
2ND & 7
OWN 48
0
99.7%
Treon Harris pass incomplete to Demarcus RobinsonSimilar
Q3 12:16
3RD & 7
OWN 48
+19
99.7%
Treon Harris pass complete to Clay Burton for 19 yds to the EKent 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:16
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+4
99.7%
Kelvin Taylor run for 4 yds to the EKent 29Similar
Q3 12:16
2ND & 6
OPP 29
0
99.7%
Treon Harris pass incomplete to Ahmad FulwoodSimilar
Q3 12:16
3RD & 6
OPP 29
+4
99.7%
Treon Harris run for 4 yds to the EKent 25Similar
Q3 12:16
4TH & 2
OPP 25
0
99.6%
Kelvin Taylor run for no gain to the EKent 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 9:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.7%
Barton Mann pass complete to Scott Daniel for 4 yds to the EKent 29Similar
Q3 9:39
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-5
99.7%
EASTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, false start (Dustin Crane) to the EKent 24Similar
Q3 9:39
2ND & 11
OWN 24
-8
99.7%
Barton Mann sacked by Alex McCalister for a loss of 8 yards to the EKent 16Similar
Q3 9:39
3RD & 19
OWN 16
+4
99.7%
JJ Jude run for 4 yds to the EKent 20 EASTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 9:39
4TH & 15
OWN 20
0
99.7%
Keith Wrzuszczak punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Fla 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 23TD
4 plays · 55 yds · 1:23100% → 100%
Q3 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
99.8%
Matt Jones run for 1 yd to the Fla 46Similar
Q3 7:33
2ND & 9
OWN 46
0
99.8%
Matt Jones run for no gain to the Fla 46Similar
Q3 7:33
3RD & 9
OWN 46
+16
99.8%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Latroy Pittman for 16 yds to the EKent 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:10
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+38
99.8%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Demarcus Robinson for 38 yds for a TD, (Austin Hardin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 24DOWNS
11 plays · 57 yds · 3:510% → 0%
Q3 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+15
99.8%
MANN, Barton sideline pass incomplete to BROWN, Joel, PENALTY UF pass interference (Tabor,J.) 15 yards to the EKU23, 1ST DOWN EKU, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
99.8%
JJ Jude run for 4 yds to the EKent 27Similar
Q3 6:10
2ND & 6
OWN 27
+4
99.8%
Jared Sanders run for 4 yds to the EKent 31Similar
Q3 6:10
3RD & 2
OWN 31
+7
99.8%
JJ Jude run for 7 yds to the EKent 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+21
99.8%
Jared Sanders run for 21 yds to the Fla 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:10
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+1
99.8%
JJ Jude run for 1 yd to the Fla 40Similar
Q3 6:10
2ND & 9
OPP 40
+3
99.8%
Barton Mann run for 3 yds to the Fla 37Similar
Q3 6:10
3RD & 6
OPP 37
+2
99.8%
Kentayvus Hopkins run for 2 yds to the Fla 35Similar
Q3 2:19
4TH & 4
OPP 35
0
99.9%
Barton Mann pass incomplete to Devin Borders, broken up by Quincy WilsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 25TD
6 plays · 65 yds · 2:18100% → 100%
Q3 2:11
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
99.9%
Jeff Driskel pass incomplete to Demarcus RobinsonSimilar
Q3 2:11
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+2
99.9%
Jeff Driskel run for 2 yds to the Fla 37Similar
Q3 2:11
3RD & 8
OWN 37
+26
99.9%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Demarcus Robinson for 26 yds to the EKent 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:11
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+7
99.9%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Latroy Pittman for 7 yds to the EKent 30Similar
Q3 2:11
2ND & 3
OPP 30
+1
99.9%
Mack Brown run for 1 yd to the EKent 29Similar
Q4 14:53
3RD & 2
OPP 29
+29
99.9%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Quinton Dunbar for 29 yds for a TD, (Francisco Velez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 26PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
99.9%
Kentayvus Hopkins run for 10 yds to the EKent 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
99.9%
Kentayvus Hopkins run for no gain to the EKent 35Similar
Q4 14:53
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+3
99.9%
Barton Mann pass complete to Jaucady Rutledge for 3 yds to the EKent 38Similar
Q4 14:53
3RD & 7
OWN 38
+3
99.9%
Kentayvus Hopkins run for 3 yds to the EKent 41Similar
Q4 14:53
4TH & 4
OWN 41
0
99.9%
Keith Wrzuszczak punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Fla 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 27PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
99.9%
Mack Brown run for no gain to the Fla 16Similar
Q4 12:57
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+4
99.9%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Ahmad Fulwood for 4 yds to the Fla 20Similar
Q4 12:57
3RD & 6
OWN 20
0
99.9%
Jeff Driskel pass incomplete to Ahmad FulwoodSimilar
Q4 12:57
4TH & 6
OWN 20
+3
99.9%
Kyle Christy punt for 43 yds , Stanley Absanon returns for 3 yds to the EKent 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 28PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-2
100.0%
Barton Mann pass complete to Taylor Miller for a loss of 2 yards to the EKent 38Similar
Q4 11:30
2ND & 12
OWN 38
0
100.0%
Kentayvus Hopkins run for no gain to the EKent 38Similar
Q4 11:30
3RD & 12
OWN 38
-3
100.0%
Barton Mann sacked by Joey Ivie for a loss of 3 yards to the EKent 35Similar
Q4 11:30
4TH & 15
OWN 35
0
100.0%
Keith Wrzuszczak punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Fla 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 29TD
7 plays · 67 yds · 3:21100% → 100%
Q4 9:39
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
99.9%
Adam Lane run for 3 yds to the Fla 36Similar
Q4 9:39
2ND & 7
OWN 36
+8
99.9%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Michael McNeely for 8 yds to the Fla 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:39
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+5
99.9%
Adam Lane run for 5 yds to the Fla 49Similar
Q4 9:39
2ND & 5
OWN 49
+10
99.9%
Adam Lane run for 10 yds to the EKent 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:39
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+13
99.9%
Adam Lane run for 13 yds to the EKent 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:18
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+28
100.0%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Michael McNeely for 28 yds for a TD, (Francisco Velez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 30PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 6:18
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+4
100.0%
Kentayvus Hopkins run for 4 yds to the EKent 20Similar
Q4 6:18
2ND & 6
OWN 20
-2
100.0%
Kentayvus Hopkins run for a loss of 2 yards to the EKent 18Similar
Q4 6:18
3RD & 8
OWN 18
-6
100.0%
Barton Mann sacked by Alex McCalister for a loss of 6 yards to the EKent 12 Barton Mann fumbled, recovered by EKent Kentayvus Hopkins , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 6:18
4TH & 14
OWN 12
0
100.0%
Keith Wrzuszczak punt for 36 yds, downed at the EKent 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 31END OF GAME
7 plays · 3 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 3:55
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
100.0%
Christian Provancha run for no gain to the EKent 48Similar
Q4 3:55
2ND & 10
OPP 48
-7
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 7 yards to the Fla 45Similar
Q4 3:55
3RD & 17
OWN 45
+29
100.0%
Adam Lane run for 29 yds to the EKent 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:55
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-5
100.0%
FLORIDA Penalty, substitution infraction (-5 Yards) to the EKent 31Similar
Q4 3:55
1ST & 15
OPP 31
-5
100.0%
FLORIDA Penalty, false start (Matt Jones) to the EKent 36Similar
Q4 3:55
1ST & 20
OPP 36
-4
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the EKent 40Similar
Q4 3:55
2ND & 24
OPP 40
-5
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the EKent 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 8:29
Treon Harris pass complete to Demarcus Robinson for 19 yds for a TD, (Austin Hardin KICK)
+1.6
TD · Q1 0:33
Treon Harris pass complete to Quinton Dunbar for 70 yds for a TD, (Austin Hardin KICK)
+1
TD · Q2 4:40
Jeff Driskel run for 1 yd for a TD, (Austin Hardin KICK)
+0.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com