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GAST

Georgia State 14 at Washington 45

WASH
2014 · Week 4 · Sep 20, 2014 · Husky Stadium
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Win probability · WASH
modelWASH aheadGAST aheadconfidence bandkey playWASH scoreGAST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 4:36 · Wil Lutz punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Jaydon Mickens at the Wash 31
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+48.5+24.30−24.3−48.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 178Pregame prior+7.0Home team on offense+35.6Score differential+31.3Garbage-time factor+10.9Blowout margin+16.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+6.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:47: Nick Arbuckle pass complete to Robert Davis for 9 yds for a TD, (Wil Lutz KICK) — GAST win probability +16.2 pts (now 27%) (top driver: GAST has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 11:35: Jeff Lindquist run for 9 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK) — WASH win probability +10.5 pts (now 81%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 3:52: Cyler Miles pass complete to Kendyl Taylor for 10 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK) — WASH win probability +7.9 pts (now 84%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 2:25: Cyler Miles pass complete to Kasen Williams for 3 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK) — WASH win probability +8.3 pts (now 93%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 12:10: Cyler Miles pass complete to Jaydon Mickens for 9 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK) — WASH win probability +3.7 pts (now 97%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WASH made the numbers' call on 5 of 8GAST made the numbers' call on 7 of 10
  1. Q1 11:33WASH 4th & 1 at GAST 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    97.6%−0.2
    45% to make
    Punt
    97.5%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:33WASH 4th & 2 at GAST 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    97.7%−0.1
    68% to make
    Punt
    97.3%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:25GAST 4th & 1 at GAST 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.5%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 9:25GAST 4th & 25 at WASH 37, tied
    Close callPunted · 2.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.5%−0.1
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    2.6%
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    2.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:30WASH 4th & 9 at WASH 12, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.0%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.1%
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:10GAST 4th & 1 at WASH 44, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    7.0%−0.7
    27% to make
    Punt
    7.3%−0.5
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:29WASH 4th & 2 at GAST 42, down 7
    Close callPunted · 90.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    89.7%−0.9
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    89.9%−0.7
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:10WASH 4th & 14 at WASH 31, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.0%−1.3
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.4%
    average punt
  9. Q3 15:00WASH 4th & 4 at WASH 44, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.6%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.6%
    average punt
  10. Q3 13:05GAST 4th & 9 at GAST 11, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.1%−2.0
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.1%
    average punt
  11. Q3 11:28GAST 4th & 3 at GAST 30, up 7
    Close callPunted · 22.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.9%−0.6
    average punt
  12. Q3 10:04WASH 4th & 6 at GAST 36, down 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.4 ptsPunted · 76.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.2%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    76.2%−0.9
    42% to make
    PuntTheir call
    75.8%−1.4
    average punt
  13. Q3 9:10GAST 4th & 10 at GAST 1, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.2%−3.4
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.6%
    average punt
  14. Q3 2:17GAST 4th & 17 at GAST 22, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.4%−2.3
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.7%
    average punt
  15. Q4 12:04GAST 4th & 3 at GAST 26, down 14
    Close callPunted · 4.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.3%−0.3
    average punt
  16. Q4 8:03GAST 4th & 7 at GAST 23, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  17. Q4 4:45WASH 4th & 2 at GAST 8, up 28
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    54% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.8%−0.1
    90% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.5
    average punt
  18. Q4 4:36GAST 4th & 4 at GAST 39, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WASH made the numbers' call on 5 of 6GAST made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 13:47GAST Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    6.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    6.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:47GAST Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    22.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    22.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 11:35WASH Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 3:52WASH Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 2:25WASH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 12:10WASH Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.8%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.8%
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 9:03WASH Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 8:12WASH Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
GASTDrive 1INT
9 plays · 30 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+3
98.1%
Kyler Neal run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 11Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 11
+8
98.1%
Kyler Neal run for 8 yds to the GeoSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+6
98.1%
Kyler Neal run for 6 yds to the GeoSt 25Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 25
+3
98.1%
Kyler Neal run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 28Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 28
+3
98.1%
Nick Arbuckle run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+8
98.1%
Nick Arbuckle pass complete to Donovan Harden for 8 yds to the GeoSt 39Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 39
-1
98.1%
Duvall Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSt 38Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 38
0
98.1%
Nick Arbuckle pass intercepted Marcus Peters return for no gain to the GeoSt 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 2DOWNS
8 plays · 20 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q1 11:33
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+8
97.8%
Cyler Miles pass complete to DiAndre Campbell for 8 yds to the GeoSt 36Similar
Q1 11:33
2ND & 2
OPP 36
+1
97.8%
Lavon Coleman run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 35Similar
Q1 11:33
3RD & 1
OPP 35
0
97.8%
Lavon Coleman run for no gain to the GeoSt 35Similar
Q1 11:33
4TH & 1
OPP 35
+3
97.8%
Cyler Miles run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:33
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
97.8%
Cyler Miles pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 11:33
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+8
97.8%
Cyler Miles pass complete to Jaydon Mickens for 8 yds to the GeoSt 24Similar
Q1 11:33
3RD & 2
OPP 24
0
97.8%
Lavon Coleman run for no gain to the GeoSt 24Similar
Q1 11:33
4TH & 2
OPP 24
0
97.8%
Cyler Miles pass incomplete to Jaydon MickensSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 3PUNT
16 plays · 38 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q1 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
97.4%
Nick Arbuckle pass complete to Donovan Harden for 5 yds to the GeoSt 30Similar
Q1 9:25
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+5
97.4%
WASHINGTON Penalty, offside defense (N/A) to the GeoSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
97.4%
Nick Arbuckle pass complete to Donovan Harden for 5 yds to the GeoSt 40Similar
Q1 9:25
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+4
97.4%
Kyler Neal run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 44Similar
Q1 9:25
3RD & 1
OWN 44
0
97.4%
Kyler Neal run for no gain to the GeoSt 44Similar
Q1 9:25
4TH & 1
OWN 44
+2
97.4%
Nick Arbuckle run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+20
97.4%
Nick Arbuckle pass complete to Lynquez Blair for 20 yds to the Wash 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:25
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
97.4%
Kyler Neal run for 3 yds to the Wash 31Similar
Q1 9:25
2ND & 7
OPP 31
-5
97.4%
GEORGIA ST Penalty, false start (N/A) to the Wash 36Similar
Q1 9:25
2ND & 12
OPP 36
+9
97.4%
Nick Arbuckle pass complete to Robert Davis for 9 yds to the Wash 27Similar
Q1 9:25
3RD & 3
OPP 27
+5
97.4%
Nick Arbuckle pass complete to Robert Davis for 5 yds to the Wash 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:25
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-4
97.4%
Duvall Smith run for a loss of 4 yards to the Wash 26Similar
Q1 9:25
2ND & 14
OPP 26
-4
97.4%
Nick Arbuckle pass complete to Lynquez Blair for 6 yds to the Wash 20 GEORGIA ST Penalty, Offensive holding (Donovan Harden) to the Wash 30Similar
Q1 9:25
2ND & 18
OPP 30
0
97.4%
Nick Arbuckle pass incomplete to Donovan HardenSimilar
Q1 9:25
3RD & 18
OPP 30
-7
97.4%
Nick Arbuckle sacked by Hau'oli Kikaha for a loss of 7 yards to the Wash 37Similar
Q1 9:25
4TH & 25
OPP 37
0
97.5%
Matt Hubbard punt for 26 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q1 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 11
-5
96.2%
Cyler Miles sacked by Jarrell Robinson for a loss of 5 yards to the Wash 6Similar
Q1 2:30
2ND & 15
OWN 6
0
96.1%
Cyler Miles pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 2:30
3RD & 15
OWN 6
+6
96.1%
Cyler Miles pass complete to Lavon Coleman for 6 yds to the Wash 12Similar
Q1 2:30
4TH & 9
OWN 12
0
96.0%
Korey Durkee punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Donovan Harden at the GeoSt 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 5TD
7 plays · 52 yds · 2:295% → 7%
Q1 1:16
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
95.5%
Kyler Neal run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 1:16
2ND & 8
50
+21
95.5%
Nick Arbuckle pass complete to Donovan Harden for 21 yds to the Wash 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:16
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+24
95.4%
Nick Arbuckle pass complete to Avery Sweeting for 24 yds to the Wash 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
95.4%
Kyler Neal run for no gain to the Wash 5Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 0
OPP 5
+3
95.0%
Arbuckle, Nick pass intercepted by Peters, Marcus at the WASH0, Peters, Marcus return to the WASH0, Peters, Marcus for 46 yards to the WASH46 (Harden, Donovan), PENALTY WASH pass interference (Peters, Marcus) 3 yards to the WASH2, 1ST DOWN GSU, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
95.0%
Duvall Smith run for no gain to the Wash 2Similar
Q2 13:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
93.3%
Nick Arbuckle pass complete to Keith Rucker for 2 yds for a TD, (Wil Lutz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 6PUNT
8 plays · -4 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q2 13:42
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+6
93.9%
Marvin Hall run for 6 yds to the Wash 35Similar
Q2 13:42
2ND & 4
OWN 35
+2
94.0%
Dwayne Washington run for 2 yds to the Wash 37Similar
Q2 13:42
3RD & 2
OWN 37
+9
94.0%
Cyler Miles pass complete to Jaydon Mickens for 9 yds to the Wash 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:42
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
94.1%
Dwayne Washington run for 1 yd to the Wash 47Similar
Q2 13:42
2ND & 9
OWN 47
-11
94.1%
Cyler Miles sacked by Joseph Peterson for a loss of 11 yards to the Wash 36Similar
Q2 13:42
3RD & 20
OWN 36
-11
93.7%
Cyler Miles pass complete to DiAndre Campbell for 4 yds to the Wash 40 WASHINGTON Penalty, personal foul (N/A) to the Wash 25Similar
Q2 13:42
4TH & 31
OWN 25
0
93.5%
Korey Durkee punt for 28 yds, downed at the GeoSt 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 7INT
7 plays · 10 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q2 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
92.0%
Nick Arbuckle pass incomplete to Donovan HardenSimilar
Q2 11:10
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+9
92.0%
Nick Arbuckle pass complete to Avery Sweeting for 9 yds to the Wash 44Similar
Q2 11:10
3RD & 1
OPP 44
0
92.0%
Kyler Neal run for no gain to the Wash 44Similar
Q2 11:10
4TH & 1
OPP 44
+1
92.3%
Nick Arbuckle run for 1 yd to the Wash 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:10
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
91.9%
Nick Arbuckle pass incomplete to Lynquez BlairSimilar
Q2 11:10
2ND & 10
OPP 43
0
92.0%
Nick Arbuckle pass incomplete to Donovan HardenSimilar
Q2 11:10
3RD & 10
OPP 43
0
92.0%
Nick Arbuckle pass intercepted Marcus Peters return for no gain to the Wash 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 8PUNT
9 plays · 30 yds · 2:0292% → 91%
Q2 9:31
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
91.6%
Cyler Miles pass incomplete to Cyler MilesSimilar
Q2 9:31
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+11
91.5%
Dwayne Washington run for 11 yds to the Wash 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:31
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
91.8%
Dwayne Washington run for 4 yds to the Wash 43Similar
Q2 9:31
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+7
92.1%
Cyler Miles pass complete to Jaydon Mickens for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:31
1ST & 10
50
-1
92.2%
Cyler Miles pass complete to Jaydon Mickens for a loss of 1 yard to the Wash 49Similar
Q2 9:31
2ND & 11
OWN 49
+1
91.9%
Dwayne Washington run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 9:31
3RD & 10
50
+8
91.7%
Cyler Miles pass complete to Jaydon Mickens for 8 yds to the GeoSt 42Similar
Q2 7:29
4TH & 2
OPP 42
0
90.7%
Korey Durkee punt for 33 yds, downed at the GeoSt 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 9TD
14 plays · 91 yds · 6:3110% → 27%
Q2 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+4
90.2%
Kyler Neal run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 13Similar
Q2 7:18
2ND & 6
OWN 13
+7
89.9%
Nick Arbuckle pass complete to Avery Sweeting for 7 yds to the GeoSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
89.9%
Kyler Neal run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 23Similar
Q2 7:18
2ND & 7
OWN 23
-5
89.8%
GEORGIA ST Penalty, false start (N/A) to the GeoSt 18Similar
Q2 7:18
2ND & 12
OWN 18
+8
90.0%
Nick Arbuckle pass complete to Donovan Harden for 8 yds to the GeoSt 26Similar
Q2 7:18
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+13
89.8%
Nick Arbuckle pass complete to Donovan Harden for 13 yds to the GeoSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+17
89.2%
Nick Arbuckle pass complete to Robert Davis for 17 yds to the Wash 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:18
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+9
89.0%
Kyler Neal run for 9 yds to the Wash 35Similar
Q2 7:18
2ND & 1
OPP 35
+8
88.8%
Kyler Neal run for 8 yds to the Wash 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:18
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-1
88.8%
Nick Arbuckle run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wash 28 Nick Arbuckle fumbled, recovered by GeoSt Nick ArbuckleSimilar
Q2 7:18
2ND & 11
OPP 28
+4
88.9%
Nick Arbuckle pass complete to Donovan Harden for 4 yds to the Wash 24Similar
Q2 7:18
3RD & 7
OPP 24
+12
89.1%
Nick Arbuckle pass complete to Lynquez Blair for 12 yds to the Wash 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:18
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+3
88.8%
Kyler Neal run for 3 yds to the Wash 9Similar
Q2 0:47
2ND & 7
OPP 9
+9
72.7%
Nick Arbuckle pass complete to Robert Davis for 9 yds for a TD, (Wil Lutz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 10PUNT
8 plays · -4 yds · 0:3776% → 74%
Q2 0:47
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
76.4%
Cyler Miles pass complete to DiAndre Campbell for 9 yds to the Wash 44Similar
Q2 0:27
2ND & 1
OWN 44
-15
75.6%
Miles, Cyler pass incomplete to Williams, Kasen, PENALTY WASH pass interference (Williams, Kasen) 15 yards to the WASH29, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:27
2ND & 16
OWN 29
0
73.8%
Cyler Miles pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q2 0:27
3RD & 16
OWN 29
+2
73.6%
Cyler Miles run for 2 yds to the Wash 31 Cyler Miles fumbled, recovered by Wash Cyler MilesSimilar
Q2 0:10
4TH & 14
OWN 31
0
74.0%
Korey Durkee punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Donovan Harden at the GeoSt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 11END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0028% → 28%
Q2 0:03
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-2
72.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 0:0074% → 75%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
73.7%
Dwayne Washington run for 9 yds to the Wash 34Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+4
74.6%
Dwayne Washington run for 4 yds to the Wash 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
75.0%
Dwayne Washington run for 3 yds to the Wash 41Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+3
75.5%
Cyler Miles pass complete to DiAndre Campbell for 3 yds to the Wash 44Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 44
0
75.2%
Cyler Miles pass incomplete to DiAndre CampbellSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 4
OWN 44
0
75.0%
Korey Durkee punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Donovan Harden at the GeoSt 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0031% → 30%
Q3 13:05
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+1
68.6%
Kyler Neal run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 11Similar
Q3 13:05
2ND & 9
OWN 11
0
68.7%
Nick Arbuckle pass incomplete to Donovan HardenSimilar
Q3 13:05
3RD & 9
OWN 11
0
69.4%
Nick Arbuckle pass incomplete to Duvall SmithSimilar
Q3 13:05
4TH & 9
OWN 11
+35
69.9%
Matt Hubbard punt for 42 yds , Dante Pettis returns for 35 yds to the GeoSt 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 14TD
2 plays · 18 yds · 0:4271% → 81%
Q3 12:17
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+10
71.0%
Cyler Miles run for 10 yds to the GeoSt 9 Cyler Miles fumbled, forced by Trey Payne, recovered by WashSimilar
Q3 11:35
2ND & 1
OPP 9
+9
81.4%
Jeff Lindquist run for 9 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0023% → 23%
Q3 11:28
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
76.8%
Nick Arbuckle run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 26Similar
Q3 11:28
2ND & 7
OWN 26
+4
76.3%
Duvall Smith run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 30Similar
Q3 11:28
3RD & 3
OWN 30
0
76.3%
Nick Arbuckle pass incomplete to Robert DavisSimilar
Q3 11:28
4TH & 3
OWN 30
+35
77.5%
Matt Hubbard punt for 45 yds , Dante Pettis returns for 35 yds to the GeoSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0079% → 77%
Q3 10:04
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
78.7%
Cyler Miles pass complete to Jaydon Mickens for 5 yds to the GeoSt 35Similar
Q3 10:04
2ND & 5
OPP 35
-1
79.7%
Lavon Coleman run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSt 36Similar
Q3 10:04
3RD & 6
OPP 36
0
78.4%
Cyler Miles pass incomplete to Lavon ColemanSimilar
Q3 10:04
4TH & 6
OPP 36
0
76.9%
Cyler Miles punt for 35 yds, downed at the GeoSt 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0026% → 25%
Q3 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+2
73.7%
Nick Arbuckle run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 3Similar
Q3 9:10
2ND & 8
OWN 3
+1
74.0%
Duvall Smith run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 4Similar
Q3 9:10
3RD & 7
OWN 4
-3
74.7%
Nick Arbuckle sacked by Danny Shelton for a loss of 3 yards to the GeoSt 1Similar
Q3 9:10
4TH & 10
OWN 1
0
75.4%
Wil Lutz punt for 43 yds , Dante Pettis returns for no gain to the Wash 1 WASHINGTON Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the Wash 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 18TD
10 plays · 54 yds · 3:0973% → 84%
Q3 7:01
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
73.4%
Dwayne Washington run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 49Similar
Q3 7:01
2ND & 5
OPP 49
-2
74.4%
Cyler Miles sacked by Joseph Peterson for a loss of 2 yards to the Wash 49Similar
Q3 7:01
3RD & 7
OWN 49
+21
72.6%
Cyler Miles pass complete to DiAndre Campbell for 21 yds to the GeoSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:01
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+8
75.8%
Dwayne Washington run for 8 yds to the GeoSt 22Similar
Q3 7:01
2ND & 2
OPP 22
+1
75.8%
Dwayne Washington run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 21Similar
Q3 7:01
3RD & 1
OPP 21
-5
74.4%
WASHINGTON Penalty, encroachment (Darrell Daniels) to the GeoSt 26Similar
Q3 7:01
3RD & 6
OPP 26
+12
74.3%
Jeff Lindquist run for 12 yds to the GeoSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:01
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+2
75.8%
Lavon Coleman run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 12Similar
Q3 7:01
2ND & 8
OPP 12
+2
75.8%
Lavon Coleman run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 10Similar
Q3 3:52
3RD & 6
OPP 10
+10
83.6%
Cyler Miles pass complete to Kendyl Taylor for 10 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 19FUMBLE
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0022% → 22%
Q3 3:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
78.5%
Nick Arbuckle pass complete to Avery Sweeting for no gain Avery Sweeting fumbled, forced by Andrew Hudson, recovered by Wash Sidney JonesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 20TD
4 plays · 25 yds · 1:0984% → 93%
Q3 3:34
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
84.3%
Lavon Coleman run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 20Similar
Q3 3:34
2ND & 5
OPP 20
+12
84.3%
Lavon Coleman run for 12 yds to the GeoSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
84.3%
Lavon Coleman run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 3Similar
Q3 2:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
92.7%
Cyler Miles pass complete to Kasen Williams for 3 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · -7 yds · 0:0011% → 10%
Q3 2:17
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-1
88.7%
Nick Arbuckle sacked by Evan Hudson for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSt 28Similar
Q3 2:17
2ND & 11
OWN 28
-7
89.0%
Nick Arbuckle sacked by Andrew Hudson for a loss of 7 yards to the GeoSt 21Similar
Q3 2:17
3RD & 18
OWN 21
+6
89.8%
Nick Arbuckle pass complete to Glenn Smith for 6 yds to the GeoSt 27Similar
Q3 2:17
4TH & 12
OWN 27
-5
90.1%
Hubbard, Matt punt 33 yards to the WASH40, out-of-bounds, PENALTY GSU illegal formation 5 yards to the GSU22, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:17
4TH & 17
OWN 22
+28
90.2%
Matt Hubbard punt for 45 yds , Dante Pettis returns for 28 yds to the GeoSt 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 22TD
7 plays · 39 yds · 2:5893% → 97%
Q3 0:08
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
93.3%
Lavon Coleman run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 35Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 35
0
93.4%
Lavon Coleman run for no gain to the GeoSt 35Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 35
+7
92.9%
Cyler Miles pass complete to Brayden Lenius for 7 yds to the GeoSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+4
93.4%
Lavon Coleman run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 24Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 24
+10
93.4%
Lavon Coleman run for 10 yds to the GeoSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+5
93.4%
Cyler Miles run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 9Similar
Q4 12:10
2ND & 5
OPP 9
+9
97.1%
Cyler Miles pass complete to Jaydon Mickens for 9 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q4 12:04
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+7
95.3%
Jonathan Jean-Bart run for 7 yds to the GeoSt 26Similar
Q4 12:04
2ND & 3
OWN 26
0
94.8%
Jonathan Jean-Bart run for no gain to the GeoSt 26Similar
Q4 12:04
3RD & 3
OWN 26
0
95.1%
Nick Arbuckle pass incomplete to Avery SweetingSimilar
Q4 12:04
4TH & 3
OWN 26
0
95.5%
Wil Lutz punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Dante Pettis at the Wash 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 24TD
6 plays · 59 yds · 1:3897% → 99%
Q4 10:41
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
97.0%
Cyler Miles pass incomplete to Brayden Lenius, broken up by Marcus CaffeySimilar
Q4 10:41
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+7
97.0%
Dwayne Washington run for 7 yds to the Wash 48Similar
Q4 10:41
3RD & 3
OWN 48
+11
97.0%
Cyler Miles pass complete to Jaydon Mickens for 11 yds to the GeoSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:41
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+26
97.1%
Cyler Miles pass complete to DiAndre Campbell for 26 yds to the GeoSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:41
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+1
97.1%
Cyler Miles pass complete to Kendyl Taylor for 1 yd to the GeoSt 14Similar
Q4 9:03
2ND & 9
OPP 14
+14
99.3%
Jeff Lindquist run for 14 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 25INT TD
3 plays · 4 yds · 0:511% → 0%
Q4 9:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.3%
Nick Arbuckle pass complete to Lynquez Blair for 4 yds to the GeoSt 29Similar
Q4 8:12
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
99.9%
Nick Arbuckle pass intercepted for a TD John Timu return for 35 yards for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 26PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 8:03
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
99.9%
Duvall Smith run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 22Similar
Q4 8:03
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+1
99.9%
Duvall Smith run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 23Similar
Q4 8:03
3RD & 7
OWN 23
0
99.9%
Nick Arbuckle pass incomplete to Glenn SmithSimilar
Q4 8:03
4TH & 7
OWN 23
+15
99.9%
Wil Lutz punt for 41 yds , Jaydon Mickens returns for 15 yds to the GeoSt 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 27FG
5 plays · 41 yds · 1:59100% → 100%
Q4 6:44
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+33
99.9%
Deontae Cooper run for 33 yds to the GeoSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:44
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+2
99.9%
Deontae Cooper run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 14Similar
Q4 6:44
2ND & 8
OPP 14
+1
99.9%
Deontae Cooper run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 13Similar
Q4 6:44
3RD & 7
OPP 13
+5
99.9%
Troy Williams run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 8Similar
Q4 4:45
4TH & 2
OPP 8
+25
99.9%
Cameron Van Winkle 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 28PUNT
8 plays · 22 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 4:36
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+2
100.0%
Duvall Smith run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 19Similar
Q4 4:36
2ND & 8
OWN 19
+3
100.0%
Duvall Smith run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 22Similar
Q4 4:36
3RD & 5
OWN 22
+11
100.0%
Ronnie Bell pass complete to Glenn Smith for 11 yds to the GeoSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:36
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
100.0%
Dontavis Crocker run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 36Similar
Q4 4:36
2ND & 7
OWN 36
-1
100.0%
Dontavis Crocker run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSt 35Similar
Q4 4:36
3RD & 8
OWN 35
+4
100.0%
Dontavis Crocker run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 39Similar
Q4 4:36
4TH & 4
OWN 39
0
100.0%
Wil Lutz punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Jaydon Mickens at the Wash 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 29END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:22
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-1
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wash 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:47
Nick Arbuckle pass complete to Robert Davis for 9 yds for a TD, (Wil Lutz KICK)
-16.2
TD · Q3 11:35
Jeff Lindquist run for 9 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK)
+10.5
TD · Q3 2:25
Cyler Miles pass complete to Kasen Williams for 3 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK)
+8.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com