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HAW

Hawai'i 21 at Fresno State 28

FRES
2014 · Week 14 · Nov 29, 2014 · Valley Children's Stadium
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Win probability · FRES
modelFRES aheadHAW aheadconfidence bandkey playFRES scoreHAW score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 7:47 · Scott Harding punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FrsSt 4
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+33.5+16.80−16.8−33.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 76Home team on offense+13.9Pregame prior+19.1Score differential+9.4Garbage-time factor+2.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.3Blowout margin+0.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 2:35: Josh Quezada run for 4 yds for a TD, (Kody Kroening KICK) — FRES win probability +4.4 pts (now 87%) (top driver: FRES has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:47: Marteze Waller run for 4 yds for a TD, (Kody Kroening KICK) — FRES win probability +5.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: FRES has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 8:11: Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Donnie King Jr. for 5 yds for a TD, (Tyler Hadden KICK) — HAW win probability +6.1 pts (now 8%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 0:45: Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Quinton Pedroza for 2 yds for a TD, (Tyler Hadden KICK) — HAW win probability +8.6 pts (now 12%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 0:44: TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the FrsSt 46 — FRES win probability +4.9 pts (now 97%) (top driver: FRES has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FRES made the numbers' call on 6 of 6HAW made the numbers' call on 7 of 12
  1. Q1 15:00FRES 4th & 9 at FRES 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.3%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:20HAW 4th & 13 at HAW 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.5%−0.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:36HAW 4th & 18 at HAW 24, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.2%−0.9
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.1%
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:02HAW 4th & 4 at FRES 43, down 21
    Close callPunted · 11.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    10.4%−0.8
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    10.8%−0.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:53FRES 4th & 8 at FRES 22, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.5%−0.7
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:03HAW 4th & 7 at FRES 46, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.0%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    9.3%−0.7
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    10.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:16FRES 4th & 24 at FRES 20, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.3%−1.7
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.0%
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:47HAW 4th & 16 at FRES 42, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.5%−0.5
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    8.8%−0.3
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    9.0%
    average punt
  9. Q2 5:56FRES 4th & 1 at HAW 32, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 92.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    92.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    91.1%−1.3
    51% to make
    Punt
    90.4%−2.0
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:28FRES 4th & 8 at HAW 45, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.2%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    99.0%−0.2
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.3%
    average punt
  11. Q3 2:15HAW 4th & 8 at FRES 11, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.3%
    87% to make
    Punt
    -0.4%−0.7
    average punt
  12. Q4 12:50HAW 4th & 4 at FRES 4, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.3%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    -0.2%−0.5
    average punt
  13. Q4 12:14HAW 4th & 10 at FRES 33, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.2%−0.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    1.3%
    49% to make
    Punt
    1.0%−0.3
    average punt
  14. Q4 8:11HAW 4th & 4 at FRES 5, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.2%−0.4
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    1.5%
    92% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−1.5
    average punt
  15. Q4 3:43FRES 4th & 16 at FRES 48, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.5%−0.6
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.1%
    average punt
  16. Q4 3:33HAW 4th & 2 at HAW 28, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.9%−0.9
    average punt
  17. Q4 1:46HAW 4th & 9 at FRES 18, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 4.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.1%−0.4
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    3.5%
    79% to make
    Punt
    1.9%−1.6
    average punt
  18. Q4 0:45HAW 4th & 2 at FRES 2, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 4.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.4%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    3.5%
    94% to make
    Punt
    1.8%−1.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FRES made the numbers' call on 4 of 4HAW made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 13:27FRES Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:44FRES Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 2:35FRES Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:47FRES Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 12:50HAW Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 8:11HAW Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    4.2%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    4.3%
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 0:45HAW Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    4.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    4.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FRESDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0079% → 79%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
79.2%
Brian Burrell pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+1
79.2%
Marteze Waller run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 23Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 23
0
79.2%
Brian Burrell pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 9
OWN 23
0
79.2%
Garrett Swanson punt for 39 yds, downed at the Hawa 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 2INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0021% → 21%
Q1 13:56
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
78.9%
Ikaika Woolsey pass intercepted Karl Mickelsen return for no gain to the Hawa 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 3TD
2 plays · 43 yds · 0:2579% → 79%
Q1 13:52
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+32
79.0%
Marteze Waller run for 21 yds to the Hawa 22 for a 1ST down HAWAII Penalty, personal foul (Taz Stevenson) to the Hawa 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:27
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
79.3%
Marteze Waller run for 11 yds for a TD, (Kody Kroening KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · -3 yds · 0:0021% → 21%
Q1 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-5
79.2%
HAWAII Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Hawa 23Similar
Q1 13:20
1ST & 15
OWN 23
+7
79.2%
Joey Iosefa run for 7 yds to the Hawa 30Similar
Q1 13:20
2ND & 8
OWN 30
-5
79.2%
HAWAII Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Hawa 25Similar
Q1 13:20
2ND & 13
OWN 25
0
79.2%
Ikaika Woolsey run for no gain to the Hawa 25Similar
Q1 13:20
3RD & 13
OWN 25
0
79.2%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:20
4TH & 13
OWN 25
+39
79.3%
Scott Harding punt for 39 yds , Derron Smith returns for a loss of 1 yard to the FrsSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 5TD
12 plays · 65 yds · 3:5379% → 82%
Q1 11:37
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
79.2%
Marteze Waller run for 4 yds to the FrsSt 39Similar
Q1 11:37
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+4
79.4%
Brian Burrell pass complete to Marteze Waller for 4 yds to the FrsSt 43Similar
Q1 11:37
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+3
79.3%
Marteze Waller run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:37
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
79.4%
Marteze Waller run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 47Similar
Q1 11:37
2ND & 9
OWN 47
+10
79.4%
Brian Burrell pass complete to Justin Johnson for 10 yds to the Hawa 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:37
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
79.5%
Marteze Waller run for 4 yds to the Hawa 39Similar
Q1 11:37
2ND & 6
OPP 39
+2
79.5%
Brian Burrell pass complete to Josh Harper for 2 yds to the Hawa 37Similar
Q1 11:37
3RD & 4
OPP 37
+19
79.4%
Marteze Waller run for 19 yds to the Hawa 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:37
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+10
79.5%
Brian Burrell pass complete to Aaron Peck for 10 yds to the Hawa 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
79.5%
Marteze Waller run for no gain to the Hawa 8Similar
Q1 11:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
79.5%
Marteze Waller run for 2 yds to the Hawa 6Similar
Q1 7:44
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
81.6%
Brian Burrell pass complete to Justin Johnson for 6 yds for a TD, (Kody Kroening KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · -8 yds · 0:0019% → 19%
Q1 7:36
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-1
81.0%
Ikaika Woolsey run for a loss of 1 yard to the Hawa 31Similar
Q1 7:36
2ND & 11
OWN 31
+2
81.1%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 2 yds to the Hawa 33Similar
Q1 7:36
3RD & 9
OWN 33
-9
81.1%
Ikaika Woolsey sacked by Todd Hunt for a loss of 9 yards to the Hawa 24Similar
Q1 7:36
4TH & 18
OWN 24
0
81.2%
Scott Harding punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Derron Smith at the FrsSt 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 7TD
9 plays · 66 yds · 3:0782% → 87%
Q1 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+23
82.1%
Brian Burrell run for 23 yds to the Hawa 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:42
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
82.5%
Josh Quezada run for 4 yds to the Hawa 39Similar
Q1 5:42
2ND & 6
OPP 39
+1
82.5%
Josh Quezada run for 1 yd to the Hawa 38Similar
Q1 5:42
3RD & 5
OPP 38
+12
82.3%
Brian Burrell pass complete to Josh Harper for 12 yds to the Hawa 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:42
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
82.5%
Brian Burrell pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:42
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+8
82.5%
Brian Burrell pass complete to Josh Harper for 8 yds to the Hawa 18Similar
Q1 5:42
3RD & 2
OPP 18
+5
82.3%
Josh Quezada run for 5 yds to the Hawa 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:42
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+9
82.5%
Josh Quezada run for 9 yds to the Hawa 4Similar
Q1 2:35
2ND & 1
OPP 4
+4
86.9%
Josh Quezada run for 4 yds for a TD, (Kody Kroening KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 8PUNT
12 plays · 32 yds · 4:3313% → 11%
Q1 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
86.6%
Joey Iosefa run for 3 yds to the Hawa 28Similar
Q1 2:35
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+1
86.6%
Joey Iosefa run for 1 yd to the Hawa 29Similar
Q1 2:35
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+8
86.6%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Joey Iosefa for 8 yds to the Hawa 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-2
86.5%
Keelan Ewaliko run for a loss of 2 yards to the Hawa 35Similar
Q1 2:35
2ND & 12
OWN 35
+16
86.7%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Donnie King Jr. for 16 yds to the FrsSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-7
87.5%
Ikaika Woolsey sacked by Tyeler Davison for a loss of 7 yards to the Hawa 44Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 17
OWN 44
-5
88.1%
HAWAII Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Hawa 39Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 22
OWN 39
+4
88.1%
Ikaika Woolsey run for 4 yds to the Hawa 43Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 18
OWN 43
+14
88.2%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Ammon Barker for 14 yds to the FrsSt 43Similar
Q2 13:02
4TH & 4
OPP 43
0
89.2%
Scott Harding punt for 43 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0090% → 90%
Q2 12:53
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
90.1%
Josh Quezada run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 22Similar
Q2 12:53
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+4
90.1%
Marteze Waller run for 4 yds to the FrsSt 26Similar
Q2 12:53
3RD & 4
OWN 26
-5
90.0%
FRESNO ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the FrsSt 21Similar
Q2 12:53
3RD & 9
OWN 21
+1
90.0%
Brian Burrell pass complete to Marteze Waller for 1 yd to the FrsSt 22Similar
Q2 12:53
4TH & 8
OWN 22
0
89.6%
Garrett Swanson punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Scott Harding at the Hawa 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q2 11:03
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-5
90.1%
HAWAII Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Hawa 33Similar
Q2 11:03
1ST & 15
OWN 33
+5
90.4%
FRESNO ST Penalty, delay of game (5 Yards) to the Hawa 38Similar
Q2 11:03
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+13
90.1%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Justin Vele for a loss of 2 yards to the FrsSt 36 for a 1ST down FRESNO ST Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the FrsSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:03
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
89.8%
Joey Iosefa run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 48Similar
Q2 11:03
2ND & 9
OPP 48
+2
90.0%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 46Similar
Q2 11:03
3RD & 7
OPP 46
0
90.1%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to Diocemy Saint Juste, broken up by Nathan MadsenSimilar
Q2 11:03
4TH & 7
OPP 46
0
90.2%
Scott Harding punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Derron Smith at the FrsSt 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0092% → 92%
Q2 9:16
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+21
92.3%
Brian Burrell pass complete to Josh Harper for 21 yds to the FrsSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:16
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-14
92.4%
Brian Burrell sacked by Julian Gener for a loss of 14 yards to the FrsSt 20Similar
Q2 9:16
2ND & 24
OWN 20
0
92.3%
Brian Burrell pass incomplete to Aaron Peck, broken up by Ne'Quan PhillipsSimilar
Q2 9:16
3RD & 24
OWN 20
0
92.2%
Brian Burrell pass incomplete to Josh HarperSimilar
Q2 9:16
4TH & 24
OWN 20
0
91.8%
Garrett Swanson punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Scott Harding at the Hawa 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q2 7:47
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-5
90.8%
HAWAII Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Hawa 37Similar
Q2 7:47
1ST & 15
OWN 37
+27
91.3%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Marcus Kemp for 27 yds to the FrsSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:47
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-4
90.6%
Joey Iosefa run for a loss of 4 yards to the FrsSt 47 Joey Iosefa fumbled,Similar
Q2 7:47
2ND & 21
OPP 47
+5
91.2%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Quinton Pedroza for 5 yds to the FrsSt 42Similar
Q2 7:47
3RD & 16
OPP 42
0
91.4%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to Donnie King Jr., broken up by Dalen JonesSimilar
Q2 7:47
4TH & 16
OPP 42
0
91.4%
Scott Harding punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FrsSt 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 13TD
15 plays · 96 yds · 5:0993% → 99%
Q2 5:56
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+10
93.3%
Marteze Waller run for 10 yds to the FrsSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:56
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+3
93.4%
Marteze Waller run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 17Similar
Q2 5:56
2ND & 7
OWN 17
+2
93.4%
Marteze Waller run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 19Similar
Q2 5:56
3RD & 5
OWN 19
+9
93.3%
Brian Burrell pass complete to Chad Olsen for 9 yds to the FrsSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:56
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+17
93.5%
Marteze Waller run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 30 for a 1ST down HAWAII Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the FrsSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:56
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+6
93.6%
Brian Burrell pass complete to Josh Harper for 6 yds to the Hawa 49Similar
Q2 5:56
2ND & 4
OPP 49
+8
93.7%
Marteze Waller run for 8 yds to the Hawa 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:56
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-3
93.6%
Brian Burrell sacked by Beau Yap for a loss of 3 yards to the Hawa 44Similar
Q2 5:56
2ND & 13
OPP 44
+12
93.5%
Brian Burrell pass complete to Greg Watson for 12 yds to the Hawa 32Similar
Q2 5:56
3RD & 1
OPP 32
0
93.6%
Brian Burrell pass incomplete to Greg WatsonSimilar
Q2 5:56
4TH & 1
OPP 32
+3
93.2%
Marteze Waller run for 3 yds to the Hawa 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:56
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+4
93.7%
Marteze Waller run for 4 yds to the Hawa 25Similar
Q2 5:56
2ND & 6
OPP 25
0
93.7%
Brian Burrell pass incomplete to Greg WatsonSimilar
Q2 5:56
3RD & 6
OPP 25
+21
93.6%
Brian Burrell pass complete to Josh Harper for 21 yds to the Hawa 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
98.7%
Marteze Waller run for 4 yds for a TD, (Kody Kroening KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 14END OF HALF
8 plays · 12 yds · 0:402% → 2%
Q2 0:42
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+9
98.3%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Marcus Kemp for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 0:42
2ND & 1
50
+7
98.0%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Quinton Pedroza for 7 yds to the FrsSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:42
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-1
98.2%
Ikaika Woolsey sacked by Tyeler Davison for a loss of 1 yard to the FrsSt 39 Ikaika Woolsey fumbled, recovered by Hawa Diocemy Saint Juste , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 0:11
2ND & 6
OPP 39
+1
98.2%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Leo Koloamatangi for 1 yd to the FrsSt 38Similar
Q2 0:02
3RD & 5
OPP 38
-9
98.2%
Ikaika Woolsey sacked by Shannon Edwards for a loss of 9 yards to the FrsSt 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 15INT
13 plays · 69 yds · 0:002% → 3%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
97.9%
Ikaika Woolsey sacked by Tyeler Davison for a loss of 4 yards to the Hawa 21Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+14
97.9%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Quinton Pedroza for 14 yds to the Hawa 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
97.8%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Marcus Kemp for 8 yds to the Hawa 43Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+14
97.5%
Joey Iosefa run for 14 yds to the FrsSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
97.5%
Joey Iosefa run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 40Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 40
+2
97.5%
Joey Iosefa run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 38Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 38
+1
97.3%
Ikaika Woolsey run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 37Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 4
OPP 37
+10
97.4%
WOOLSEY, Ikaika pass incomplete to PU'U-ROBINSON (JONES, Dalen), PENALTY FS holding 10 yards to the FS27, 1ST DOWN UH, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+15
97.2%
Joey Iosefa run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 24 for a 1ST down FRESNO ST Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Derron Smith) to the FrsSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+6
97.2%
Joey Iosefa run for 6 yds to the FrsSt 6Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 6
0
97.1%
Joey Iosefa run for no gain to the FrsSt 6Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 6
+21
97.2%
Ikaika Woolsey pass intercepted Derron Smith return for 21 yds to the FrsSt 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 16PUNT
9 plays · 33 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q3 9:28
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
99.3%
Marteze Waller run for no gain to the FrsSt 22Similar
Q3 9:28
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+19
99.3%
Brian Burrell pass complete to Aaron Peck for 19 yds to the FrsSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:28
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
99.3%
Marteze Waller run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 42Similar
Q3 9:28
2ND & 9
OWN 42
0
99.3%
Brian Burrell pass incomplete to Greg WatsonSimilar
Q3 9:28
3RD & 9
OWN 42
+11
99.4%
Brian Burrell pass complete to Josh Harper for 11 yds to the Hawa 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:28
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
99.4%
Brian Burrell pass incomplete to Aaron PeckSimilar
Q3 9:28
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+2
99.3%
Brian Burrell pass complete to Josh Harper for 2 yds to the Hawa 45Similar
Q3 9:28
3RD & 8
OPP 45
0
99.4%
Brian Burrell pass incomplete to Greg WatsonSimilar
Q3 9:28
4TH & 8
OPP 45
0
99.3%
Brian Burrell punt for 26 yds, downed at the Hawa 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 17MISSED FG
11 plays · 70 yds · 4:361% → 0%
Q3 6:51
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+1
99.4%
Joey Iosefa run for 1 yd to the Hawa 20Similar
Q3 6:51
2ND & 9
OWN 20
+5
99.4%
FRESNO ST Penalty, delay of game (Tyeler Davison) to the Hawa 25Similar
Q3 6:51
2ND & 4
OWN 25
+3
99.4%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 3 yds to the Hawa 28Similar
Q3 6:51
3RD & 1
OWN 28
+6
99.4%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Justin Vele for 6 yds to the Hawa 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:51
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+40
99.4%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Marcus Kemp for 40 yds to the FrsSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:51
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+4
99.3%
Keelan Ewaliko run for 4 yds to the FrsSt 22Similar
Q3 6:51
2ND & 6
OPP 22
+9
99.2%
Joey Iosefa run for 9 yds to the FrsSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:51
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-4
99.3%
Joey Iosefa run for a loss of 4 yards to the FrsSt 17Similar
Q3 6:51
2ND & 14
OPP 17
0
99.3%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to Marcus Kemp, broken up by Charles WashingtonSimilar
Q3 6:51
3RD & 14
OPP 17
+6
99.4%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Jordan Pu'u-Robinson for 6 yds to the FrsSt 11Similar
Q3 2:15
4TH & 8
OPP 11
+29
99.7%
Tyler Hadden 29 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 18INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-4
99.7%
Brian Burrell pass intercepted Jalen Rogers return for a loss of 4 yards to the FrsSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 19TD
11 plays · 30 yds · 4:150% → 2%
Q3 2:05
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+9
99.7%
Pereese Joas run for 9 yds to the FrsSt 21Similar
Q3 2:05
2ND & 1
OPP 21
+4
99.7%
Joey Iosefa run for 4 yds to the FrsSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:05
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+3
99.7%
Joey Iosefa run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 14Similar
Q3 2:05
2ND & 7
OPP 14
+6
99.7%
Joey Iosefa run for 6 yds to the FrsSt 8Similar
Q3 2:05
3RD & 1
OPP 8
+2
99.7%
Joey Iosefa run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-5
99.7%
HAWAII Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the FrsSt 11Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 11
+1
99.8%
Joey Iosefa run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 10Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
99.8%
Joey Iosefa run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 8Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
0
99.8%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to Marcus Kemp, broken up by Josh QuezadaSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
99.8%
WOOLSEY, Ikaika pass complete to KING, Donnie for 4 yards to the FS4 (CAMILLI, Jeff), PENALTY FS false start 4 yards to the FS4, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:50
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
98.5%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Harold Moleni for 4 yds for a TD, (Tyler Hadden KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 20INT
3 plays · 28 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 12:41
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+28
98.8%
Marteze Waller run for 28 yds to the Hawa 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:41
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+7
98.8%
Brian Burrell pass intercepted Simon Poti return for 7 yds to the Hawa 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 21TD
10 plays · 58 yds · 4:031% → 8%
Q4 12:14
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
98.6%
Ikaika Woolsey run for 3 yds to the Hawa 45Similar
Q4 12:14
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+22
98.6%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Donnie King Jr. for 22 yds to the FrsSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:14
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
98.5%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:14
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+4
98.5%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 4 yds to the FrsSt 29Similar
Q4 12:14
3RD & 6
OPP 29
-4
98.6%
Ikaika Woolsey sacked by Donavon Lewis for a loss of 4 yards to the FrsSt 33Similar
Q4 12:14
4TH & 10
OPP 33
+22
98.6%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Quinton Pedroza for 22 yds to the FrsSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:14
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+1
98.4%
Joey Iosefa run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 10Similar
Q4 12:14
2ND & 9
OPP 10
0
98.4%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:14
3RD & 9
OPP 10
+5
98.6%
Ikaika Woolsey run for 5 yds to the FrsSt 5Similar
Q4 8:11
4TH & 4
OPP 5
+5
92.5%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Donnie King Jr. for 5 yds for a TD, (Tyler Hadden KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 22PUNT
13 plays · 23 yds · 4:2896% → 98%
Q4 8:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
95.6%
Marteze Waller run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 26Similar
Q4 8:11
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
95.5%
Marteze Waller run for no gain to the FrsSt 26Similar
Q4 8:11
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+15
95.5%
Brian Burrell pass incomplete to Josh Harper for a 1ST down HAWAII Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (15 Yards) to the FrsSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:11
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
95.9%
Marteze Waller run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 42Similar
Q4 8:11
2ND & 9
OWN 42
+8
95.9%
Brian Burrell pass complete to Chad Olsen for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 8:11
3RD & 1
50
+4
95.9%
Josh Quezada run for 4 yds to the Hawa 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:11
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
96.0%
Josh Quezada run for 4 yds to the Hawa 42Similar
Q4 8:11
2ND & 6
OPP 42
-1
96.0%
Brian Burrell pass complete to Greg Watson for a loss of 1 yard to the Hawa 43Similar
Q4 8:11
3RD & 7
OPP 43
-10
95.9%
BURRELL, Brian pass complete to PECK, Aaron for 9 yards to the UH34, out-of-bounds (ROGERS, Jalen), PENALTY FS holding (NORTHERN, Justi) 10 yards to the FS47, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:11
3RD & 17
OWN 47
+1
95.6%
Brian Burrell pass complete to Aaron Peck for 1 yd to the FrsSt 48Similar
Q4 3:43
4TH & 16
OWN 48
0
97.6%
Garrett Swanson punt for 52 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 23TD
21 plays · 80 yds · 2:483% → 12%
Q4 3:33
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
97.3%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Marcus Kemp for 8 yds to the Hawa 28Similar
Q4 3:33
2ND & 2
OWN 28
0
97.2%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to Donnie King Jr.Similar
Q4 3:33
3RD & 2
OWN 28
0
97.2%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to Quinton PedrozaSimilar
Q4 3:33
4TH & 2
OWN 28
+16
97.3%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Marcus Kemp for 16 yds to the Hawa 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:33
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
97.2%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to Donnie King Jr.Similar
Q4 3:33
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+13
97.2%
Ikaika Woolsey run for 13 yds to the FrsSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:33
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+9
97.1%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Marcus Kemp for 9 yds to the FrsSt 34Similar
Q4 3:33
2ND & 1
OPP 34
0
96.7%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:33
3RD & 1
OPP 34
+15
96.9%
Joey Iosefa run for 15 yds to the FrsSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:33
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
96.6%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:33
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+1
96.7%
Ikaika Woolsey run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 18Similar
Q4 1:46
3RD & 9
OPP 18
0
97.1%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:46
4TH & 9
OPP 18
+13
97.3%
Ikaika Woolsey run for 13 yds to the FrsSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
96.7%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:46
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
96.7%
WOOLSEY, Ikaika pass incomplete, PENALTY FS pass interference (MICKELSEN, Karl) 3 yards to the FS2, 1ST DOWN UH, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-5
96.7%
HAWAII Penalty, false start (Sean Shigematsu) to the FrsSt 7Similar
Q4 1:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
96.7%
Ikaika Woolsey run for 6 yds to the FrsSt 1Similar
Q4 1:46
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
96.7%
Ikaika Woolsey run for a loss of 1 yard to the FrsSt 2Similar
Q4 1:01
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
97.1%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to Donnie King Jr., broken up by Dalen JonesSimilar
Q4 0:45
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
88.5%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Quinton Pedroza for 2 yds for a TD, (Tyler Hadden KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 24END OF GAME
2 plays · -5 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q4 0:44
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-5
96.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the FrsSt 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:45
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Quinton Pedroza for 2 yds for a TD, (Tyler Hadden KICK)
-8.6
TD · Q4 8:11
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Donnie King Jr. for 5 yds for a TD, (Tyler Hadden KICK)
-6.1
TD · Q2 0:47
Marteze Waller run for 4 yds for a TD, (Kody Kroening KICK)
+5.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com