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UNLV

UNLV 35 at Hawai'i 37

HAW
2014 · Week 13 · Nov 22, 2014 · Aloha Stadium
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Win probability · HAW
modelHAW aheadUNLV aheadconfidence bandkey playHAW scoreUNLV score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of GameTD-17HAW 64.1%Blake Decker pass complete to MarcusSullivan for 14 yds for a TD,(Jonathan Leiva KICK)AWAY 21 - HOME 24 · Q4 11:39
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 11:39 · Blake Decker pass complete to Marcus Sullivan for 14 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Leiva KICK)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+32.0+16.00−16.0−32.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 150Pregame prior+3.7Home team on offense+0.9Garbage-time factor+0.5Score differential+0.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+1.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q4 11:39: Blake Decker pass complete to Marcus Sullivan for 14 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Leiva KICK) — UNLV win probability +17.0 pts (now 36%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  2. TD · Q4 4:51: Blake Decker pass complete to Maika Mataele for 13 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Leiva KICK) — UNLV win probability +41.7 pts (now 79%) (top driver: UNLV has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 2:00: Joey Iosefa run for 1 yd for a TD, (Tyler Hadden KICK) — HAW win probability +44.9 pts (now 91%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 0:15: Blake Decker pass complete to Taylor Barnhill for 7 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Leiva KICK) — UNLV win probability +63.2 pts (now 92%) (top driver: UNLV has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:00: Marcus Kemp 20 Yd pass from Ikaika Woolsey (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed) — HAW win probability +71.1 pts (now 96%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
HAW made the numbers' call on 7 of 10UNLV made the numbers' call on 11 of 11
  1. Q1 12:23HAW 4th & 18 at UNLV 37, down 7
    Close callPunted · 70.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.1%−0.1
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    70.2%
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    70.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:13HAW 4th & 6 at HAW 36, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.1%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.4%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:55UNLV 4th & 10 at HAW 37, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 38.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    38.0%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    38.0%−<0.1
    40% to make
    Punt
    37.8%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00UNLV 4th & 8 at UNLV 27, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.5%−0.6
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.1%
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:04UNLV 4th & 11 at HAW 42, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.1%−0.2
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    37.9%−0.4
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    38.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:09HAW 4th & 17 at UNLV 45, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.0%−1.4
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    59.3%−1.1
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    60.4%
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:32UNLV 4th & 12 at UNLV 11, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.8%−2.2
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.0%
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:31UNLV 4th & 11 at UNLV 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.3%−0.6
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.0%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:35UNLV 4th & 4 at HAW 8, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 39.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.2%−0.4
    42% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    39.6%
    90% to make
    Punt
    33.3%−6.3
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:12HAW 4th & 5 at HAW 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.1%−1.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.4%
    average punt
  11. Q3 15:00UNLV 4th & 8 at UNLV 38, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.1%−1.0
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.1%
    average punt
  12. Q3 13:34HAW 4th & 2 at HAW 24, tied
    Close callPunted · 63.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.6%−0.5
    average punt
  13. Q3 11:46UNLV 4th & 8 at UNLV 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.1%−1.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.2%
    average punt
  14. Q3 10:45HAW 4th & 21 at HAW 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.0%−4.5
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.5%
    average punt
  15. Q3 7:46UNLV 4th & 24 at HAW 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.0%−4.5
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.5%
    average punt
  16. Q3 3:23UNLV 4th & 13 at HAW 48, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.1%−2.1
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.3%
    average punt
  17. Q4 12:10HAW 4th & 4 at UNLV 22, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 86.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.5%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    85.0%−0.5
    72% to make
    Punt
    76.6%−8.9
    average punt
  18. Q4 11:33HAW 4th & 9 at HAW 21, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.9%−4.5
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.5%
    average punt
  19. Q4 10:21UNLV 4th & 11 at UNLV 39, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.7%−2.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.7%
    average punt
  20. Q4 9:03HAW 4th & 7 at HAW 19, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.8%−1.8
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.6%
    average punt
  21. Q4 4:45HAW 4th & 1 at HAW 45, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 35.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    34.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    27.1%−7.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
HAW made the numbers' call on 4 of 5UNLV made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 12:23UNLV Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    29.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    29.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:18UNLV Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    34.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    33.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 0:13HAW Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 3:33HAW Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 3:30HAW Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 11:39UNLV Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    29.3%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    29.4%
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 4:51UNLV Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.2%−0.5
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 2:00HAW Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.7%−2.2
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 0:15UNLV Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.3%−1.7
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 0:00HAW Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Numbers favored kick by 2.3 ptsWent for two · failed
    Kick
    82.2%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    79.8%−2.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
HAWDrive 1INT
7 plays · 23 yds · 0:0069% → 69%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
68.9%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
68.9%
Joey Iosefa run for 2 yds to the Hawa 27Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+22
68.9%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Ammon Barker for 22 yds to the Hawa 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+9
68.9%
Joey Iosefa run for 9 yds to the UNLV 42Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 42
-10
68.9%
HAWAII Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the Hawa 48Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 48
+12
68.9%
Ikaika Woolsey pass intercepted Peni Vea return for 12 yds to the Hawa 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 2TD
2 plays · 45 yds · 0:2232% → 33%
Q1 12:45
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+27
68.3%
Jared Lebowitz pass complete to Marcus Sullivan for 27 yds to the Hawa 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:23
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
67.4%
Jared Lebowitz run for 18 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Leiva KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 3PUNT
9 plays · 38 yds · 0:0068% → 68%
Q1 12:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
67.6%
Joey Iosefa run for 4 yds to the Hawa 29Similar
Q1 12:23
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+4
67.7%
Joey Iosefa run for 4 yds to the Hawa 33Similar
Q1 12:23
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+38
67.7%
Ikaika Woolsey run for 38 yds to the UNLV 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:23
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-3
68.0%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for a loss of 3 yards to the UNLV 32Similar
Q1 12:23
2ND & 13
OPP 32
0
67.9%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:23
3RD & 13
OPP 32
-5
67.7%
HAWAII Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UNLV 37Similar
Q1 12:23
3RD & 18
OPP 37
0
67.7%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to Ammon Barker, broken up by Kenneth PennySimilar
Q1 12:23
4TH & 18
OPP 37
0
67.5%
Scott Harding punt for 35 yds, downed at the UNLV 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 4TD
7 plays · 97 yds · 2:2534% → 39%
Q1 9:43
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+1
66.4%
Shaquille Murray-Lawrence run for 1 yd to the UNLV 4Similar
Q1 9:43
2ND & 9
OWN 4
0
66.5%
Jared Lebowitz pass incomplete to Devante DavisSimilar
Q1 9:43
3RD & 9
OWN 4
+81
66.6%
Jared Lebowitz pass complete to Devante Davis for 81 yds to the Hawa 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:43
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
65.9%
Jared Lebowitz pass incomplete to Anthony WilliamsSimilar
Q1 9:43
2ND & 10
OPP 15
0
65.9%
Shaquille Murray-Lawrence run for no gain to the Hawa 15Similar
Q1 9:43
3RD & 10
OPP 15
+13
66.0%
Jared Lebowitz pass complete to Maika Mataele for 13 yds to the Hawa 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
61.4%
Shaquille Murray-Lawrence run for 2 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Leiva KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 24 yds · 5:1067% → 63%
Q1 12:23
2ND & 11
OWN 11
+15
66.9%
UNLV Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the Hawa 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:13
1ST & 10
OWN 12
-1
62.5%
Ikaika Woolsey run for a loss of 1 yard to the Hawa 11Similar
Q1 7:13
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
62.7%
Joey Iosefa run for 3 yds to the Hawa 35Similar
Q1 7:13
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+1
62.9%
Joey Iosefa run for 1 yd to the Hawa 36Similar
Q1 7:13
3RD & 6
OWN 36
0
62.8%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to Joey IosefaSimilar
Q1 7:13
4TH & 6
OWN 36
0
62.6%
Scott Harding punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Keith Whitely at the UNLV 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 6INT
8 plays · 58 yds · 0:0041% → 41%
Q1 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
59.3%
Jared Lebowitz pass incomplete to Maika MataeleSimilar
Q1 4:55
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+10
59.4%
Shaquille Murray-Lawrence run for 10 yds to the UNLV 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+24
58.9%
Jared Lebowitz pass complete to Taylor Barnhill for 24 yds to the Hawa 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:55
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
58.9%
Jared Lebowitz pass incomplete to Devante Davis, broken up by Nick NelsonSimilar
Q1 4:55
2ND & 10
OPP 37
0
58.9%
Jared Lebowitz pass complete to Anthony Williams for no gain to the Hawa 37Similar
Q1 4:55
3RD & 10
OPP 37
0
59.0%
Jared Lebowitz pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:55
4TH & 10
OPP 37
+24
59.4%
Logan Yunker pass complete to Kendal Keys for 24 yds to the Hawa 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:55
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+24
58.8%
Jared Lebowitz pass intercepted Marrell Jackson return for 24 yds to the Hawa 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 7TD
5 plays · 76 yds · 2:0357% → 62%
Q1 2:16
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+51
57.4%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Keelan Ewaliko for 51 yds to the UNLV 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:16
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+10
58.9%
Pereese Joas run for 10 yds to the UNLV 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:16
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+3
58.9%
Joey Iosefa run for 3 yds to the UNLV 12Similar
Q1 2:16
2ND & 7
OPP 12
+3
58.9%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Donnie King Jr. for 3 yds to the UNLV 9Similar
Q1 0:13
3RD & 4
OPP 9
+9
62.4%
Joey Iosefa run for 9 yds for a TD, (Tyler Hadden KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:1340% → 39%
Q1 0:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
60.4%
Shaquille Murray-Lawrence run for a loss of 2 yards to the UNLV 23Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 23
0
60.5%
Jared Lebowitz pass incomplete to Devante DavisSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+4
61.0%
Jared Lebowitz pass complete to Shaquille Murray-Lawrence for 4 yds to the UNLV 27Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 8
OWN 27
+22
61.3%
Logan Yunker punt for 47 yds , Scott Harding returns for 22 yds to the Hawa 48 Scott Harding fumbled, recovered by UNLV Taylor BarnhillSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 9PUNT
10 plays · 6 yds · 0:0042% → 40%
Q2 14:04
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+7
58.4%
Keith Whitely run for 7 yds to the Hawa 41Similar
Q2 14:04
2ND & 3
OPP 41
+3
58.3%
Keith Whitely run for 3 yds to the Hawa 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:04
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
58.4%
Keith Whitely run for 2 yds to the Hawa 36Similar
Q2 14:04
2ND & 8
OPP 36
-5
58.4%
UNLV Penalty, false start (Kendal Keys) to the Hawa 41Similar
Q2 14:04
2ND & 13
OPP 41
+15
58.6%
Jared Lebowitz pass complete to Devante Davis for 15 yds to the Hawa 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:04
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-15
58.1%
UNLV Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Ron Scoggins) to the Hawa 41Similar
Q2 14:04
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-1
58.4%
Keith Whitely run for a loss of 1 yard to the Hawa 42Similar
Q2 14:04
2ND & 11
OPP 42
0
58.4%
Jared Lebowitz pass incomplete to Kendal Keys, broken up by Jerrell JacksonSimilar
Q2 14:04
3RD & 11
OPP 42
0
58.8%
Jared Lebowitz pass incomplete to Devante DavisSimilar
Q2 14:04
4TH & 11
OPP 42
0
59.8%
Logan Yunker punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Scott Harding at the Hawa 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 46 yds · 0:0058% → 58%
Q2 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+4
58.3%
Joey Iosefa run for 4 yds to the Hawa 13Similar
Q2 11:09
2ND & 6
OWN 13
+4
58.4%
Joey Iosefa run for 4 yds to the Hawa 17Similar
Q2 11:09
3RD & 2
OWN 17
+45
57.8%
Joey Iosefa run for 45 yds to the UNLV 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:09
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+1
60.7%
Ikaika Woolsey run for 1 yd to the UNLV 37Similar
Q2 11:09
2ND & 9
OPP 37
-1
60.6%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNLV 38Similar
Q2 11:09
3RD & 10
OPP 38
-7
59.9%
Ikaika Woolsey sacked by Siuea Vaesau for a loss of 7 yards to the UNLV 45Similar
Q2 11:09
4TH & 17
OPP 45
0
57.8%
Scott Harding punt for 43 yds, downed at the UNLV 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0045% → 44%
Q2 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+10
54.8%
Jared Lebowitz pass complete to Kendal Keys for 10 yds to the UNLV 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+1
54.5%
Shaquille Murray-Lawrence run for 1 yd to the UNLV 14Similar
Q2 7:32
2ND & 9
OWN 14
-3
54.7%
Jared Lebowitz pass complete to Anthony Williams for a loss of 3 yards to the UNLV 11Similar
Q2 7:32
3RD & 12
OWN 11
0
55.3%
Jared Lebowitz pass incomplete to Devante DavisSimilar
Q2 7:32
4TH & 12
OWN 11
+7
56.0%
Logan Yunker punt for 40 yds , Scott Harding returns for 7 yds to the UNLV 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 12TD
5 plays · 44 yds · 1:5657% → 67%
Q2 5:29
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+14
56.5%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Justin Vele for 14 yds to the UNLV 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:29
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+26
57.6%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Marcus Kemp for 26 yds to the UNLV 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
57.6%
Joey Iosefa run for 1 yd to the UNLV 3Similar
Q2 5:29
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
57.6%
Joey Iosefa run for 2 yds to the UNLV 1Similar
Q2 3:33
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
67.2%
Joey Iosefa pass complete to Harold Moleni for 1 yd for a TD, (Tyler Hadden KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 13PUNT
7 plays · -1 yds · 0:5540% → 38%
Q2 3:26
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
60.0%
Jared Lebowitz pass complete to Devante Davis for 5 yds to the UNLV 45Similar
Q2 3:26
2ND & 5
OWN 45
-5
59.4%
UNLV Penalty, false start (Ron Scoggins) to the UNLV 40Similar
Q2 3:26
2ND & 10
OWN 40
-1
60.6%
Jared Lebowitz sacked by Ne'Quan Phillips for a loss of 1 yard to the UNLV 39Similar
Q2 2:31
3RD & 11
OWN 39
0
60.8%
Jared Lebowitz pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:31
4TH & 11
OWN 39
-6
62.1%
Logan Yunker punt for 41 yds , Scott Harding returns for a loss of 6 yards to the Hawa 14 Scott Harding fumbled, recovered by UNLV Kenny KeysSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 14MISSED FG
6 plays · 6 yds · 1:4044% → 43%
Q2 2:15
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+2
56.2%
Keith Whitely run for 2 yds to the Hawa 12Similar
Q2 2:15
2ND & 8
OPP 12
+5
56.2%
HAWAII Penalty, Defensive offside (Beau Yap) to the Hawa 7Similar
Q2 2:15
2ND & 3
OPP 7
+1
56.2%
Keith Whitely run for 1 yd to the Hawa 6Similar
Q2 2:15
3RD & 2
OPP 6
-2
57.3%
Keith Whitely run for a loss of 2 yards to the Hawa 8Similar
Q2 0:35
4TH & 4
OPP 8
+7
57.5%
Jonathan Leiva 25 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Julian Gener return for 7 yds to the Hawa 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 24 yds · 0:2363% → 61%
Q2 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+12
63.4%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 12 yds to the Hawa 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
63.5%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Marcus Kemp for 5 yds to the Hawa 28Similar
Q2 0:35
2ND & 5
OWN 28
0
63.7%
Team pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:12
3RD & 5
OWN 28
0
62.5%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to Marcus KempSimilar
Q2 0:12
4TH & 5
OWN 28
0
61.3%
Scott Harding punt for 52 yds, downed at the UNLV 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 0:0039% → 38%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
60.6%
Shaquille Murray-Lawrence run for 1 yd to the UNLV 26Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+10
60.6%
HAWAII Penalty, Defensive holding (Ne'Quan Phillips) to the UNLV 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
59.6%
Jared Lebowitz pass incomplete to Kendal KeysSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+2
60.1%
Jared Lebowitz run for 2 yds to the UNLV 38Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 38
0
59.9%
Jared Lebowitz pass incomplete to Marcus SullivanSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 8
OWN 38
+5
62.0%
Logan Yunker punt for 51 yds , Scott Harding returns for 5 yds to the Hawa 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0064% → 62%
Q3 13:34
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+3
63.9%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 3 yds to the Hawa 19Similar
Q3 13:34
2ND & 7
OWN 19
+5
63.8%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 5 yds to the Hawa 24Similar
Q3 13:34
3RD & 2
OWN 24
0
63.0%
Ikaika Woolsey run for no gain to the Hawa 24Similar
Q3 13:34
4TH & 2
OWN 24
0
61.8%
Scott Harding punt for 34 yds , Marcus Sullivan returns for no gain to the UNLV 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0042% → 39%
Q3 11:46
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
57.6%
Jared Lebowitz pass complete to Maika Mataele for 4 yds to the UNLV 47Similar
Q3 11:46
2ND & 6
OWN 47
-2
57.1%
Shaquille Murray-Lawrence run for a loss of 2 yards to the UNLV 45Similar
Q3 11:46
3RD & 8
OWN 45
0
58.9%
Jared Lebowitz pass incomplete to Devante DavisSimilar
Q3 11:46
4TH & 8
OWN 45
0
61.1%
Logan Yunker punt for 30 yds, downed at the Hawa 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 3 yds · 0:0063% → 60%
Q3 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
62.8%
Joey Iosefa run for 6 yds to the Hawa 31Similar
Q3 10:45
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+3
64.4%
Joey Iosefa run for 3 yds to the Hawa 34Similar
Q3 10:45
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+5
63.5%
Joey Iosefa run for 5 yds to the Hawa 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-10
64.3%
Ikaika Woolsey sacked by Peni Vea for a loss of 10 yards to the Hawa 29Similar
Q3 10:45
2ND & 20
OWN 29
+4
62.4%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Joey Iosefa for 4 yds to the Hawa 33Similar
Q3 10:45
3RD & 16
OWN 33
-5
61.2%
Ikaika Woolsey sacked by Tau Lotulelei for a loss of 5 yards to the Hawa 28Similar
Q3 10:45
4TH & 21
OWN 28
0
60.4%
Scott Harding punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Keith Whitely at the UNLV 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 12 yds · 0:0043% → 40%
Q3 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+26
57.1%
Jared Lebowitz pass complete to Devonte Boyd for 26 yds to the Hawa 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:46
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-20
54.1%
Jared Lebowitz sacked by Ne'Quan Phillips for a loss of 20 yards to the UNLV 45Similar
Q3 7:46
2ND & 30
OWN 45
+6
58.3%
Jared Lebowitz pass complete to Devonte Boyd for 6 yds to the Hawa 49Similar
Q3 7:46
3RD & 24
OPP 49
0
58.6%
Jared Lebowitz pass incomplete to Devante DavisSimilar
Q3 7:46
4TH & 24
OPP 49
0
60.4%
Logan Yunker punt for 43 yds, downed at the Hawa 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 21TD
5 plays · 94 yds · 2:3362% → 81%
Q3 6:03
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+8
61.6%
Joey Iosefa run for 8 yds to the Hawa 14Similar
Q3 6:03
2ND & 2
OWN 14
+1
61.8%
Joey Iosefa run for 1 yd to the Hawa 15Similar
Q3 6:03
3RD & 1
OWN 15
+32
60.2%
Joey Iosefa run for 32 yds to the Hawa 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:03
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
65.5%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 1 yd to the Hawa 48Similar
Q3 3:30
2ND & 9
OWN 48
+52
81.3%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 52 yds for a TD, (Tyler Hadden KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 22PUNT
6 plays · 24 yds · 0:0024% → 23%
Q3 3:23
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+27
75.7%
Shaquille Murray-Lawrence run for 27 yds to the Hawa 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:23
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
72.7%
Jared Lebowitz pass incomplete to Maika MataeleSimilar
Q3 3:23
2ND & 10
OPP 45
-3
72.9%
Jared Lebowitz run for a loss of 3 yards to the Hawa 48Similar
Q3 3:23
3RD & 13
OPP 48
0
75.8%
Jared Lebowitz pass incomplete to Taylor BarnhillSimilar
Q3 3:23
4TH & 13
OPP 48
0
77.2%
Logan Yunker punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Scott Harding at the Hawa 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 23FG
10 plays · 63 yds · 4:4681% → 86%
Q3 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+3
80.7%
Joey Iosefa run for 3 yds to the Hawa 18Similar
Q3 1:56
2ND & 7
OWN 18
+9
80.7%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 9 yds to the Hawa 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+14
81.0%
Joey Iosefa run for 14 yds to the Hawa 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-2
82.7%
Joey Iosefa run for a loss of 2 yards to the Hawa 39Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 39
+23
85.0%
Pereese Joas run for 23 yds to the UNLV 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+10
86.2%
Joey Iosefa run for 10 yds to the UNLV 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+4
86.4%
Joey Iosefa run for 4 yds to the UNLV 24Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 24
+3
86.4%
Joey Iosefa run for 3 yds to the UNLV 21Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 21
-1
85.5%
Ikaika Woolsey run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNLV 22Similar
Q4 12:10
4TH & 4
OPP 22
+40
86.4%
Tyler Hadden 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 24TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 0:3114% → 36%
Q4 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
85.9%
HAWAII Penalty, (5 Yards) to the UNLV 30Similar
Q4 12:10
1ST & 5
OWN 30
+56
84.1%
Blake Decker pass complete to Devonte Boyd for 56 yds to the Hawa 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:10
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
81.1%
Blake Decker pass incomplete to Devonte BoydSimilar
Q4 12:10
2ND & 10
OPP 14
0
81.1%
Blake Decker pass incomplete to Maika MataeleSimilar
Q4 11:39
3RD & 10
OPP 14
+14
64.1%
Blake Decker pass complete to Marcus Sullivan for 14 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Leiva KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 25PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0072% → 69%
Q4 11:33
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-3
71.7%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for a loss of 3 yards to the Hawa 17Similar
Q4 11:33
2ND & 13
OWN 17
+4
71.1%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 4 yds to the Hawa 21Similar
Q4 11:33
3RD & 9
OWN 21
0
69.9%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to Marcus Kemp, broken up by Torry McTyerSimilar
Q4 11:33
4TH & 9
OWN 21
0
68.6%
Scott Harding punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Matt Vinal at the UNLV 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 26PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:0034% → 29%
Q4 10:21
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
66.1%
Blake Decker run for 3 yds to the UNLV 43Similar
Q4 10:21
2ND & 7
OWN 43
0
64.6%
Blake Decker pass incomplete to Devante DavisSimilar
Q4 10:21
3RD & 7
OWN 43
-4
66.8%
Blake Decker sacked by TJ Taimatuia for a loss of 4 yards to the UNLV 39Similar
Q4 10:21
4TH & 11
OWN 39
0
70.8%
Logan Yunker punt for 59 yds, downed at the Hawa 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 27PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 0:0072% → 69%
Q4 9:03
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+2
71.7%
Joey Iosefa run for 2 yds to the Hawa 4Similar
Q4 9:03
2ND & 8
OWN 4
+12
71.5%
Joey Iosefa run for 12 yds to the Hawa 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:03
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+2
72.5%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 2 yds to the Hawa 18Similar
Q4 9:03
2ND & 8
OWN 18
+2
72.2%
Joey Iosefa run for 2 yds to the Hawa 20Similar
Q4 9:03
3RD & 6
OWN 20
-1
70.6%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Joey Iosefa for a loss of 1 yard to the Hawa 19Similar
Q4 9:03
4TH & 7
OWN 19
0
69.3%
Scott Harding punt for 34 yds, downed at the UNLV 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 28TD
4 plays · 53 yds · 1:1936% → 79%
Q4 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
63.7%
Shaquille Murray-Lawrence run for no gain to the UNLV 47Similar
Q4 6:10
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+14
65.1%
Blake Decker pass complete to Maika Mataele for 14 yds to the Hawa 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:10
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+26
62.3%
Blake Decker pass complete to Devante Davis for 26 yds to the Hawa 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:51
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
20.7%
Blake Decker pass complete to Maika Mataele for 13 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Leiva KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 29TD
11 plays · 82 yds · 2:4533% → 91%
Q4 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+4
33.1%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Marcus Kemp for 4 yds to the Hawa 22Similar
Q4 4:45
2ND & 6
OWN 22
+14
33.6%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Marcus Kemp for 14 yds to the Hawa 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
34.5%
Joey Iosefa run for 5 yds to the Hawa 41Similar
Q4 4:45
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+4
37.7%
Joey Iosefa run for 4 yds to the Hawa 45Similar
Q4 4:45
3RD & 1
OWN 45
0
36.8%
Joey Iosefa run for no gain to the Hawa 45Similar
Q4 4:45
4TH & 1
OWN 45
+3
34.6%
Joey Iosefa run for 3 yds to the Hawa 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+45
38.2%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Marcus Kemp for 45 yds to the UNLV 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
42.1%
Joey Iosefa run for 6 yds to the UNLV 1Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
91.2%
Joey Iosefa run for 1 yd for a TD, (Tyler Hadden KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 30TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 1:4524% → 92%
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
76.2%
Shaquille Murray-Lawrence run for 5 yds to the UNLV 30Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+10
74.9%
Blake Decker pass complete to Maika Mataele for 10 yds to the UNLV 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
73.1%
Blake Decker pass complete to Devonte Boyd for 3 yds to the UNLV 43Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+1
71.5%
Blake Decker run for 1 yd to the UNLV 44Similar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 6
OWN 44
+8
72.9%
Blake Decker pass complete to Anthony Williams for 8 yds to the Hawa 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+36
68.9%
Blake Decker pass complete to Devante Davis for 36 yds to the Hawa 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+5
65.1%
HAWAII Penalty, (5 Yards) to the Hawa 7Similar
Q4 0:15
1ST & 5
OPP 7
+7
8.3%
Blake Decker pass complete to Taylor Barnhill for 7 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Leiva KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 31TD
7 plays · 42 yds · 0:1323% → 96%
Q4 0:13
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+22
22.6%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Donnie King Jr. for 22 yds to the UNLV 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:05
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
33.4%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to Metuisela 'UngaSimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+20
95.7%
Marcus Kemp 20 Yd pass from Ikaika Woolsey (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:00
Marcus Kemp 20 Yd pass from Ikaika Woolsey (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)
+71.1
TD · Q4 0:15
Blake Decker pass complete to Taylor Barnhill for 7 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Leiva KICK)
-63.2
TD · Q4 2:00
Joey Iosefa run for 1 yd for a TD, (Tyler Hadden KICK)
+44.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com