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HAW

Hawai'i 22 at Colorado State 49

CSU
2014 · Week 11 · Nov 8, 2014 · Sonny Lubick Field at Hughes Stadium
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Win probability · CSU
modelCSU aheadHAW aheadconfidence bandkey playCSU scoreHAW score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDSAFETYFGTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 7:24 · Scott Harding punt for 58 yds, downed at the ColSt 17
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+38.5+19.30−19.3−38.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 174Pregame prior+5.8Home team on offense+36.1Score differential+31.9Garbage-time factor+10.0Blowout margin+16.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+6.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 14:55: Garrett Grayson pass complete to Steven Walker for 30 yds for a TD, (Jared Roberts KICK) — CSU win probability +3.3 pts (now 90%) (top driver: CSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 4:28: Treyous Jarrells run for 9 yds for a TD, (Jared Roberts KICK) — CSU win probability +5.9 pts (now 95%) (top driver: CSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 14:01: Garrett Grayson pass complete to Xavier Williams for 16 yds for a TD, (Jared Roberts KICK) — CSU win probability +2.0 pts (now 99%) (top driver: CSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 8:56: Joey Iosefa run for 2 yds for a TD, (Tyler Hadden KICK) — HAW win probability +3.0 pts (now 4%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 4:01: Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Scott Harding for 17 yds for a TD, (Tyler Hadden KICK) — HAW win probability +2.5 pts (now 3%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 5HAW made the numbers' call on 6 of 9
  1. Q1 8:23HAW 4th & 10 at CSU 34, down 7
    Close callPunted · 13.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.9%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    13.9%
    47% to make
    PuntTheir call
    13.8%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:30HAW 4th & 7 at CSU 43, down 5
    Close callPunted · 15.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.3%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    15.1%−0.2
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    15.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:24CSU 4th & 8 at CSU 3, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.7%−0.4
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.1%
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:58HAW 4th & 3 at CSU 23, down 5
    Close callKicked a field goal · 16.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    15.9%−0.1
    70% to make
    Punt
    14.6%−1.5
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:13HAW 4th & 10 at HAW 28, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.8%−0.3
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.1%
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:09HAW 4th & 6 at HAW 24, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.4%−0.3
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.7%
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:11HAW 4th & 5 at CSU 18, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 12.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.8%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    11.8%
    79% to make
    Punt
    9.8%−2.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 8:48CSU 4th & 9 at CSU 24, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.9%−1.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.0%
    average punt
  9. Q2 7:51HAW 4th & 10 at HAW 28, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.3%−0.5
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.7%
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:55CSU 4th & 10 at CSU 47, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.4%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.6%
    average punt
  11. Q3 5:10HAW 4th & 4 at HAW 46, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.5%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 8:25CSU 4th & 1 at HAW 10, up 27
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.7%−0.2
    88% to make
    Punt
    99.1%−0.8
    average punt
  13. Q4 7:24HAW 4th & 5 at HAW 25, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  14. Q4 1:36CSU 4th & 6 at HAW 28, up 27
    Close callWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%
    60% to make
    Punt
    99.7%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CSU made the numbers' call on 7 of 7HAW made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 12:00CSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:31CSU Touchdown, up 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 14:55CSU Touchdown, up 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 4:28CSU Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 14:01CSU Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 8:56HAW Touchdown, down 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    3.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    3.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 6:39CSU Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 4:01HAW Touchdown, down 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    3.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    3.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 14:56CSU Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CSUDrive 1TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:5088% → 88%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
88.3%
Garrett Grayson pass complete to Charles Lovett for 11 yds to the ColSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+43
88.2%
Dee Hart run for 43 yds to the Hawa 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:20
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+1
88.0%
Garrett Grayson run for 1 yd to the Hawa 20 Garrett Grayson fumbled, recovered by ColSt Garrett GraysonSimilar
Q1 13:05
2ND & 9
OPP 20
+10
88.0%
Treyous Jarrells run for 10 yds to the Hawa 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
87.8%
Treyous Jarrells run for 2 yds to the Hawa 8Similar
Q1 12:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
87.7%
Garrett Grayson pass incomplete to Treyous JarrellsSimilar
Q1 12:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
88.1%
Garrett Grayson pass complete to Elroy Masters Jr. for 8 yds for a TD, (Jared Roberts KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 2PUNT
11 plays · 46 yds · 3:2612% → 13%
Q1 11:49
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
87.9%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to Marcus KempSimilar
Q1 11:30
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+2
87.9%
Joey Iosefa run for 2 yds to the Hawa 22Similar
Q1 10:50
3RD & 8
OWN 22
+17
87.9%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Marcus Kemp for 17 yds to the Hawa 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+8
87.7%
COLORADO ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (8 Yards) to the Hawa 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+19
87.6%
Joey Iosefa pass complete to Quinton Pedroza for 19 yds to the ColSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
87.4%
Joey Iosefa run for 4 yds to the ColSt 30Similar
Q1 9:20
2ND & 6
OPP 30
+1
87.3%
Joey Iosefa run for 1 yd to the ColSt 29Similar
Q1 8:35
3RD & 5
OPP 29
-5
87.2%
Ikaika Woolsey sacked by Cory James for a loss of 6 yards to the ColSt 35Similar
Q1 8:23
4TH & 10
OPP 34
0
87.5%
Scott Harding punt for 33 yds, downed at the ColSt 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 3SF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0087% → 87%
Q1 8:19
1ST & 10
OWN 2
0
86.8%
Garrett Grayson run for a loss of 2 yards for a SAFETY Garrett Grayson fumbled, recovered by ColSt Garrett Grayson for a SAFETYSimilar
Q1 8:19
2ND & 12
OWN 20
-5
86.8%
COLORADO ST Penalty, Offensive Offside (-5 Yards) to the ColSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 1:3014% → 14%
Q1 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+9
86.4%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Scott Harding for 9 yds to the ColSt 48Similar
Q1 7:45
2ND & 1
OPP 48
+2
86.2%
Joey Iosefa run for 2 yds to the ColSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:20
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
86.1%
Joey Iosefa run for 3 yds to the ColSt 43Similar
Q1 7:00
2ND & 7
OPP 43
0
86.0%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to Marcus KempSimilar
Q1 6:45
3RD & 7
OPP 43
0
86.0%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to Scott HardingSimilar
Q1 6:30
4TH & 7
OPP 43
0
86.1%
Scott Harding punt for 42 yds, downed at the ColSt 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:5986% → 86%
Q1 6:23
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
86.2%
COLORADO ST Penalty, Offensive Holding ( Yards) to the ColSt 1Similar
Q1 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+2
86.1%
Treyous Jarrells run for 2 yds to the ColSt 3Similar
Q1 5:45
2ND & 8
OWN 3
0
86.0%
Garrett Grayson pass incomplete to Jordon VadenSimilar
Q1 5:35
3RD & 8
OWN 3
0
85.8%
Garrett Grayson pass incomplete to Joe HansleySimilar
Q1 5:24
4TH & 8
OWN 3
+15
85.6%
Hayden Hunt punt for 42 yds , Scott Harding returns for 15 yds to the ColSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 6FG
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:0215% → 15%
Q1 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+4
85.2%
Joey Iosefa run for 4 yds to the ColSt 26Similar
Q1 4:30
2ND & 6
OPP 26
+3
85.0%
Steven Lakalaka run for 3 yds to the ColSt 23Similar
Q1 4:04
3RD & 3
OPP 23
0
85.0%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to Scott HardingSimilar
Q1 3:58
4TH & 3
OPP 23
+40
84.9%
Tyler Hadden 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 7TD
5 plays · 65 yds · 1:1985% → 87%
Q1 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
85.4%
Garrett Grayson pass incomplete to Steven WalkerSimilar
Q1 3:30
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+9
85.2%
Treyous Jarrells run for 9 yds to the ColSt 44Similar
Q1 3:00
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+4
85.4%
Treyous Jarrells run for 4 yds to the ColSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:31
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+52
86.9%
Garrett Grayson pass complete to Charles Lovett for 52 yds for a TD, (Jared Roberts KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 8PUNT
8 plays · 10 yds · 1:0713% → 13%
Q1 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
86.9%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to Quinton PedrozaSimilar
Q1 2:20
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+5
86.9%
COLORADO ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Hawa 23Similar
Q1 1:55
2ND & 5
OWN 23
+5
86.7%
Steven Lakalaka run for 5 yds to the Hawa 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
86.6%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to Quinton PedrozaSimilar
Q1 1:33
2ND & 10
OWN 28
0
86.8%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to Steven LakalakaSimilar
Q1 1:24
3RD & 10
OWN 28
0
87.0%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to Quinton PedrozaSimilar
Q1 1:13
4TH & 10
OWN 28
0
87.1%
Scott Harding punt for 46 yds, downed at the ColSt 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 9TD
4 plays · 74 yds · 1:0586% → 90%
Q1 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+12
86.2%
Dee Hart run for 12 yds to the ColSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+17
86.4%
Garrett Grayson pass complete to Joe Hansley for 17 yds to the Hawa 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+15
86.7%
Garrett Grayson pass complete to Jordon Vaden for 15 yds to the Hawa 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+30
90.0%
Garrett Grayson pass complete to Steven Walker for 30 yds for a TD, (Jared Roberts KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 10FUMBLE
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:2112% → 12%
Q2 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
88.0%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to Scott HardingSimilar
Q2 14:20
2ND & 10
OWN 20
-2
88.1%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Steven Lakalaka for a loss of 2 yards to the Hawa 18Similar
Q2 13:45
3RD & 12
OWN 18
+6
88.4%
Ikaika Woolsey run for 6 yds to the Hawa 24Similar
Q2 13:09
4TH & 6
OWN 24
0
88.4%
Scott Harding punt for 31 yds , Dee Hart returns for no gain to the ColSt 45 Dee Hart fumbled, recovered by HawaSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 11FG
9 plays · 27 yds · 2:4413% → 12%
Q2 12:55
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+6
87.4%
Ikaika Woolsey run for 6 yds to the ColSt 39Similar
Q2 12:25
2ND & 4
OPP 39
+3
87.8%
Joey Iosefa run for 3 yds to the ColSt 36Similar
Q2 12:00
3RD & 1
OPP 36
+2
87.9%
Joey Iosefa run for 2 yds to the ColSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:35
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
87.7%
Ikaika Woolsey run for 1 yd to the ColSt 33Similar
Q2 11:15
2ND & 9
OPP 33
+10
87.7%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Scott Harding for 10 yds to the ColSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:45
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
87.5%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to Scott HardingSimilar
Q2 10:30
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+5
87.7%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 5 yds to the ColSt 18Similar
Q2 10:15
3RD & 5
OPP 18
0
87.9%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to Marcus KempSimilar
Q2 10:11
4TH & 5
OPP 18
+36
87.6%
Tyler Hadden 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:5289% → 89%
Q2 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+1
89.2%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Steven Walker for 1 yd to the ColSt 24Similar
Q2 9:15
2ND & 9
OWN 24
0
89.1%
Treyous Jarrells run for no gain to the ColSt 24Similar
Q2 8:59
3RD & 9
OWN 24
0
88.8%
Garrett Grayson pass incomplete to Dee HartSimilar
Q2 8:48
4TH & 9
OWN 24
0
88.5%
Hayden Hunt punt for 38 yds , Scott Harding returns for no gain to the Hawa 24 HAWAII Penalty, Illegal Block (10 Yards) to the Hawa 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:1912% → 11%
Q2 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
88.3%
Joey Iosefa run for no gain to the Hawa 28Similar
Q2 8:05
2ND & 10
OWN 28
0
88.6%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to Marcus KempSimilar
Q2 7:58
3RD & 10
OWN 28
0
88.7%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to Scott HardingSimilar
Q2 7:51
4TH & 10
OWN 28
0
88.8%
Scott Harding punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Dee Hart at the ColSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 14TD
8 plays · 68 yds · 2:5789% → 95%
Q2 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+19
88.9%
Garrett Grayson pass complete to Joe Hansley for 19 yds to the Hawa 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:05
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
89.6%
Dee Hart run for 2 yds to the Hawa 47Similar
Q2 6:37
2ND & 8
OPP 47
0
89.7%
Garrett Grayson pass incomplete to Deionte GainesSimilar
Q2 6:20
3RD & 8
OPP 47
+9
89.3%
Garrett Grayson pass complete to Dee Hart for 9 yds to the Hawa 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:56
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
89.8%
Garrett Grayson pass incomplete to Joe HansleySimilar
Q2 5:15
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+7
89.7%
Treyous Jarrells run for 7 yds to the Hawa 31Similar
Q2 4:45
3RD & 3
OPP 31
+22
89.5%
Garrett Grayson pass complete to Xavier Williams for 22 yds to the Hawa 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
95.4%
Treyous Jarrells run for 9 yds for a TD, (Jared Roberts KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 15FUMBLE
10 plays · 23 yds · 2:305% → 5%
Q2 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
94.7%
Steven Lakalaka run for 2 yds to the Hawa 27Similar
Q2 3:50
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
94.7%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to Quinton PedrozaSimilar
Q2 3:30
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+10
94.9%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Scott Harding for 10 yds Scott Harding fumbled, recovered by Hawa Scott Harding for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:29
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
94.5%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:00
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+5
94.6%
Joey Iosefa run for 5 yds to the Hawa 42Similar
Q2 2:30
3RD & 5
OWN 42
+12
94.7%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Marcus Kemp for 12 yds to the ColSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:18
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
94.3%
Quinton Pedroza pass incomplete to Ikaika WoolseySimilar
Q2 1:55
2ND & 10
OPP 46
-6
94.5%
Ikaika Woolsey sacked by Kevin Pierre-Louis for a loss of 6 yards to the Hawa 48Similar
Q2 1:30
3RD & 16
OWN 48
+8
95.1%
Ikaika Woolsey pass intercepted Tyree Simmons return for 8 yds to the ColSt 47 Tyree Simmons fumbled, recovered by ColStSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:2696% → 97%
Q2 1:21
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
96.3%
Garrett Grayson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:07
2ND & 10
OWN 47
0
96.4%
Garrett Grayson pass complete to Charles Lovett for no gain to the ColSt 47Similar
Q2 1:05
3RD & 10
OWN 47
0
97.0%
Garrett Grayson pass incomplete to Joe HansleySimilar
Q2 0:55
4TH & 10
OWN 47
0
96.7%
Hayden Hunt punt for 50 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Hawa 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 17END OF HALF
3 plays · 26 yds · 0:354% → 4%
Q2 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+2
95.6%
Joey Iosefa run for 2 yds to the Hawa 5Similar
Q2 0:05
2ND & 8
OWN 5
+3
95.7%
Joey Iosefa run for 3 yds to the Hawa 8Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 5
OWN 8
+21
95.8%
Joey Iosefa run for 21 yds to the Hawa 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 18FUMBLE
2 plays · 3 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q3 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+3
96.0%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Harold Moleni for 3 yds Harold Moleni fumbled, recovered by ColStSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 19TD
3 plays · 22 yds · 0:1997% → 99%
Q3 14:20
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+6
97.2%
Dee Hart run for 6 yds to the Hawa 16Similar
Q3 14:01
2ND & 4
OPP 16
+16
99.2%
Garrett Grayson pass complete to Xavier Williams for 16 yds for a TD, (Jared Roberts KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 20TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 4:342% → 4%
Q3 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
98.2%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for a loss of 1 yard to the Hawa 24Similar
Q3 13:23
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
98.2%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to Marcus KempSimilar
Q3 13:00
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+41
98.7%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Ammon Barker for 41 yds to the ColSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:30
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
99.2%
Steven Lakalaka run for 5 yds to the ColSt 30Similar
Q3 12:00
2ND & 5
OPP 30
+6
99.2%
Steven Lakalaka run for 6 yds to the ColSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:30
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+3
99.2%
Joey Iosefa run for 3 yds to the ColSt 21Similar
Q3 11:00
2ND & 7
OPP 21
+2
99.3%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 2 yds to the ColSt 19Similar
Q3 10:25
3RD & 5
OPP 19
+6
99.3%
Joey Iosefa run for 6 yds to the ColSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-1
99.3%
Joey Iosefa run for a loss of 1 yard to the ColSt 14Similar
Q3 9:30
2ND & 11
OPP 14
+11
99.4%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Scott Harding for 11 yds to the ColSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
99.2%
Joey Iosefa run for 1 yd to the ColSt 2Similar
Q3 8:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
96.2%
Joey Iosefa run for 2 yds for a TD, (Tyler Hadden KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 21TD
7 plays · 94 yds · 1:5198% → 100%
Q3 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+9
97.6%
Treyous Jarrells run for 9 yds to the ColSt 15Similar
Q3 8:18
2ND & 1
OWN 15
0
97.6%
Garrett Grayson pass incomplete to Elroy Masters Jr.Similar
Q3 8:00
3RD & 1
OWN 15
+3
97.7%
Dee Hart run for 3 yds to the ColSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+4
97.7%
Dee Hart run for 4 yds to the ColSt 22Similar
Q3 6:50
2ND & 6
OWN 22
+71
97.9%
Garrett Grayson pass complete to Charles Lovett for 71 yds to the Hawa 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
99.7%
Dee Hart run for 7 yds for a TD, (Jared Roberts KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 22TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 2:320% → 3%
Q3 6:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.6%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to Quinton PedrozaSimilar
Q3 6:20
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
99.7%
Steven Lakalaka run for 7 yds to the Hawa 32Similar
Q3 6:09
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+8
99.6%
COLORADO ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (8 Yards) to the Hawa 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:02
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
99.6%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to Scott HardingSimilar
Q3 5:50
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+6
99.6%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Scott Harding for 6 yds to the Hawa 46Similar
Q3 5:30
3RD & 4
OWN 46
0
99.6%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to Quinton PedrozaSimilar
Q3 5:10
4TH & 4
OWN 46
+19
99.7%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Quinton Pedroza for 19 yds to the ColSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:01
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+15
99.6%
COLORADO ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the ColSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:35
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+1
99.6%
Joey Iosefa run for 1 yd to the ColSt 19Similar
Q3 4:20
2ND & 9
OPP 19
+2
99.7%
Steven Lakalaka run for 2 yds to the ColSt 17Similar
Q3 4:01
3RD & 7
OPP 17
+17
97.2%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Scott Harding for 17 yds for a TD, (Tyler Hadden KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 23TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 3:5998% → 100%
Q3 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.9%
Garrett Grayson pass incomplete to Xavier WilliamsSimilar
Q3 3:30
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+8
98.0%
Dee Hart run for 8 yds to the ColSt 33Similar
Q3 2:55
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+7
98.0%
Dee Hart run for 7 yds to the ColSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+8
98.2%
Garrett Grayson pass complete to Joe Hansley for 8 yds to the ColSt 48Similar
Q3 1:45
2ND & 2
OWN 48
+15
98.0%
Treyous Jarrells run for 15 yds to the Hawa 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:20
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
98.4%
Joe Hansley run for 2 yds to the Hawa 35Similar
Q3 0:50
2ND & 8
OPP 35
+9
98.6%
Dee Hart run for 9 yds to the Hawa 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:35
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+10
98.7%
HAWAII Penalty, Defensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Hawa 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:15
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+14
98.7%
Dee Hart run for 14 yds to the Hawa 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
98.8%
Treyous Jarrells run for 1 yd to the Hawa 1Similar
Q4 14:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.8%
Treyous Jarrells run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jared Roberts KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 24INT
7 plays · 38 yds · 0:520% → 0%
Q4 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to Ammon BarkerSimilar
Q4 14:47
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to Quinton PedrozaSimilar
Q4 14:30
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+38
99.9%
Ikaika Woolsey run for 38 yds to the ColSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:14
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
99.9%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to Ammon BarkerSimilar
Q4 14:06
2ND & 10
OPP 37
0
99.9%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to Ammon BarkerSimilar
Q4 13:59
3RD & 10
OPP 37
0
99.9%
Ikaika Woolsey pass intercepted Martavius Foster return for no gain to the ColSt 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 25MISSED FG
11 plays · 56 yds · 5:05100% → 100%
Q4 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+23
99.9%
Deron Thompson run for 23 yds to the Hawa 43 Deron Thompson fumbled, recovered by ColStSimilar
Q4 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+9
99.9%
Craig Leonard run for 9 yds to the Hawa 34Similar
Q4 12:30
2ND & 1
OPP 34
+5
99.9%
Deron Thompson run for 5 yds to the Hawa 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:05
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
99.9%
Deron Thompson run for no gain to the Hawa 29Similar
Q4 11:20
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+2
99.9%
Deron Thompson run for 2 yds to the Hawa 27Similar
Q4 11:00
3RD & 8
OPP 27
-5
99.9%
COLORADO ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Hawa 32Similar
Q4 10:30
3RD & 13
OPP 32
+13
99.9%
Deron Thompson run for 13 yds to the Hawa 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:50
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+3
99.9%
Deron Thompson run for 3 yds to the Hawa 16Similar
Q4 9:15
2ND & 7
OPP 16
+4
99.9%
Deron Thompson run for 4 yds to the Hawa 12Similar
Q4 8:41
3RD & 3
OPP 12
+2
99.9%
Jasen Oden Jr. run for 2 yds to the Hawa 10Similar
Q4 8:25
4TH & 1
OPP 10
+17
99.9%
Jared Roberts 17 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 26PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:570% → 0%
Q4 8:21
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
99.9%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to Quinton PedrozaSimilar
Q4 8:18
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
99.9%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to Ammon BarkerSimilar
Q4 7:51
3RD & 10
OWN 20
+5
99.9%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Joey Iosefa for 5 yds to the Hawa 25Similar
Q4 7:24
4TH & 5
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Scott Harding punt for 58 yds, downed at the ColSt 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 27DOWNS
11 plays · 55 yds · 5:24100% → 100%
Q4 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+4
99.9%
Jasen Oden Jr. run for 4 yds to the ColSt 21Similar
Q4 6:30
2ND & 6
OWN 21
+1
99.9%
Deron Thompson run for 1 yd to the ColSt 22Similar
Q4 5:50
3RD & 5
OWN 22
+10
99.9%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Xavier Williams for 10 yds to the ColSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
99.9%
Jasen Oden Jr. run for 5 yds to the ColSt 37Similar
Q4 4:50
2ND & 5
OWN 37
+16
99.9%
Jasen Oden Jr. run for 16 yds to the Hawa 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:15
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+6
100.0%
Deron Thompson run for 6 yds to the Hawa 41Similar
Q4 3:30
2ND & 4
OPP 41
+9
100.0%
Deron Thompson run for 9 yds to the Hawa 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:14
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
100.0%
Deron Thompson run for 2 yds to the Hawa 30Similar
Q4 2:25
2ND & 8
OPP 30
+4
100.0%
Jasen Oden Jr. run for 4 yds to the Hawa 26Similar
Q4 1:48
3RD & 4
OPP 26
-2
100.0%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Jack Spady for a loss of 2 yards to the Hawa 28Similar
Q4 1:36
4TH & 6
OPP 28
0
100.0%
Nick Stevens pass incomplete to Jack SpadySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 28END OF GAME
8 plays · 36 yds · 1:280% → 0%
Q4 1:28
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
100.0%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:23
2ND & 10
OWN 28
0
100.0%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to Ammon BarkerSimilar
Q4 1:14
3RD & 10
OWN 28
+13
100.0%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Quinton Pedroza for 13 yds to the Hawa 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:01
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
100.0%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to Ammon BarkerSimilar
Q4 0:45
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+10
100.0%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Ammon Barker for 10 yds to the ColSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:20
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
100.0%
Ikaika Woolsey run for 2 yds to the ColSt 47Similar
Q4 0:05
2ND & 8
OPP 47
+11
100.0%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Quinton Pedroza for 11 yds to the ColSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
100.0%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to Quinton PedrozaSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 4:28
Treyous Jarrells run for 9 yds for a TD, (Jared Roberts KICK)
+5.9
TD · Q2 14:55
Garrett Grayson pass complete to Steven Walker for 30 yds for a TD, (Jared Roberts KICK)
+3.3
TD · Q3 8:56
Joey Iosefa run for 2 yds for a TD, (Tyler Hadden KICK)
-3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com