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USU

Utah State 35 at Hawai'i 14

HAW
2014 · Week 10 · Nov 1, 2014 · Aloha Stadium
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Win probability · HAW
modelHAW aheadUSU aheadconfidence bandkey playHAW scoreUSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 10:05 · Jaron Bentrude punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Scott Harding at the Hawa 10
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+55.0+27.50−27.5−55.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 161Home team on offense−48.4Score differential−26.8Garbage-time factor−8.5Pregame prior−1.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−9.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−7.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 2:54: Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Justin Vele for 1 yd for a TD, (Tyler Hadden KICK) — HAW win probability +4.6 pts (now 46%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
  2. SACK · Q2 12:11: Ikaika Woolsey sacked by Zach Vigil for a loss of 16 yards Ikaika Woolsey fumbled, recovered by UthSt Devin Centers , return for 10 yds for a TD, (Nick Diaz KICK) — USU win probability +7.2 pts (now 61%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 6:37: Kent Myers pass complete to Ronald Butler for 39 yds for a TD, (Nick Diaz KICK) — USU win probability +9.9 pts (now 72%) (top driver: USU has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q3 9:52: LaJuan Hunt run for a loss of 1 yard to the UthSt 1 — USU win probability +4.0 pts (now 81%) (top driver: USU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 5:11: Ronald Butler pass complete to LaJuan Hunt for 44 yds for a TD, (Nick Diaz KICK) — USU win probability +13.1 pts (now 96%) (top driver: USU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
HAW made the numbers' call on 3 of 8USU made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q2 14:15USU 4th & 29 at USU 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.8%−1.9
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.7%
    average punt
  2. Q2 12:05HAW 4th & 8 at HAW 12, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.2%−1.0
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.2%
    average punt
  3. Q2 6:37HAW 4th & 1 at HAW 34, down 14
    Close callPunted · 30.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.8%−0.8
    average punt
  4. Q2 1:36USU 4th & 2 at HAW 44, up 14
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.4 ptsPunted · 74.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    72.6%−1.9
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    73.1%−1.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 0:07HAW 4th & 2 at HAW 44, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 26.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    26.5%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    26.5%
    average punt
  6. Q3 15:00HAW 4th & 1 at HAW 34, down 14
    Close callPunted · 26.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.1%−0.8
    average punt
  7. Q3 14:11USU 4th & 11 at USU 34, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.7%−2.2
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.9%
    average punt
  8. Q3 11:54HAW 4th & 9 at USU 49, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.3%−0.7
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.0%
    average punt
  9. Q3 2:49HAW 4th & 11 at USU 25, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 6.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.8%−0.8
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    6.6%
    66% to make
    Punt
    1.3%−5.3
    average punt
  10. Q4 13:10USU 4th & 28 at USU 36, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.3%−0.9
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.2%
    average punt
  11. Q4 10:05USU 4th & 3 at HAW 46, up 21
    Close callPunted · 97.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    97.4%−0.7
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    97.8%−0.3
    average punt
  12. Q4 8:36HAW 4th & 1 at HAW 19, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.9%−0.5
    average punt
  13. Q4 8:36HAW 4th & 15 at USU 34, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 2.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.2%−0.5
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    2.7%
    47% to make
    Punt
    2.2%−0.5
    average punt
  14. Q4 5:22USU 4th & 1 at HAW 27, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    98.5%−0.3
    62% to make
    Punt
    97.7%−1.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:28USU 4th & 4 at HAW 18, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.3%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    99.3%−<0.1
    79% to make
    Punt
    98.9%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
HAW made the numbers' call on 2 of 2USU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 10:55USU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:21HAW Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 5:34USU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 2:54HAW Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 6:37USU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 5:11USU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
USUDrive 1TD
10 plays · 62 yds · 4:0559% → 60%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+15
40.6%
Joe Hill run for 15 yds to the Hawa 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+9
40.6%
Kent Myers run for 9 yds to the Hawa 38Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 38
+1
40.6%
LaJuan Hunt run for 1 yd to the Hawa 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+1
40.6%
Kent Myers pass complete to Hunter Sharp for 1 yd to the Hawa 36Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 36
+3
40.6%
Kent Myers pass complete to Wyatt Houston for 3 yds to the Hawa 33Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 33
+26
40.6%
Joe Hill run for 26 yds to the Hawa 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
40.6%
Joe Hill run for 4 yds to the Hawa 3Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-3
40.6%
Joe Hill run for a loss of 3 yards to the Hawa 6Similar
Q1 10:55
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
40.0%
Kent Myers pass complete to Hunter Sharp for 6 yds for a TD, (Nick Diaz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 2TD
12 plays · 64 yds · 4:3041% → 44%
Q1 10:51
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
40.6%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:51
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+6
40.5%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Quinton Pedroza for 6 yds to the Hawa 42Similar
Q1 10:51
3RD & 4
OWN 42
+14
40.7%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Quinton Pedroza for 14 yds to the UthSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:51
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
41.0%
Steven Lakalaka run for 2 yds to the UthSt 42Similar
Q1 10:51
2ND & 8
OPP 42
+2
40.9%
Steven Lakalaka run for 2 yds to the UthSt 40Similar
Q1 10:51
3RD & 6
OPP 40
+6
40.9%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Quinton Pedroza for 6 yds to the UthSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:51
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
41.1%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Marcus Kemp for 4 yds to the UthSt 30Similar
Q1 10:51
2ND & 6
OPP 30
+13
41.1%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 13 yds to the UthSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:51
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+7
41.1%
Steven Lakalaka run for 7 yds to the UthSt 10Similar
Q1 10:51
2ND & 3
OPP 10
+2
41.1%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 2 yds to the UthSt 8Similar
Q1 6:21
3RD & 1
OPP 8
+8
44.1%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 8 yds for a TD, (Tyler Hadden KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 3TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:4757% → 61%
Q1 6:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
43.1%
Joe Hill run for 5 yds to the UthSt 30Similar
Q1 5:34
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+70
39.4%
Kent Myers pass complete to Hunter Sharp for 70 yds for a TD, (Nick Diaz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 4TD
8 plays · 82 yds · 2:3540% → 46%
Q1 5:29
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+4
39.9%
Steven Lakalaka run for 4 yds to the Hawa 22Similar
Q1 5:29
2ND & 6
OWN 22
-5
40.0%
HAWAII Penalty, false start (Leo Koloamatangi) to the Hawa 17Similar
Q1 5:29
2ND & 11
OWN 17
+8
39.8%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Quinton Pedroza for 8 yds to the Hawa 25Similar
Q1 5:29
3RD & 3
OWN 25
+20
39.7%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Steven Lakalaka for 20 yds to the Hawa 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:29
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+54
40.6%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Keelan Ewaliko for 54 yds to the UthSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
41.5%
Ikaika Woolsey run for no gain to the UthSt 1Similar
Q1 2:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
46.0%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Justin Vele for 1 yd for a TD, (Tyler Hadden KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 5PUNT
12 plays · 7 yds · 3:3956% → 54%
Q1 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
44.0%
Ronald Butler run for 5 yds to the UthSt 30Similar
Q1 2:54
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+10
43.7%
LaJuan Hunt run for 10 yds to the UthSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+9
43.2%
Kent Myers pass complete to Ronald Butler for 9 yds to the UthSt 49Similar
Q1 2:54
2ND & 1
OWN 49
+2
42.7%
LaJuan Hunt run for 2 yds to the Hawa 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:54
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-15
42.7%
UTAH ST Penalty, Offensive pass interference (Hunter Sharp) to the UthSt 36Similar
Q1 2:54
1ST & 25
OWN 36
+3
43.9%
Joe Hill run for 3 yds to the UthSt 39Similar
Q1 2:54
2ND & 22
OWN 39
-5
43.8%
UTAH ST Penalty, illegal shift (-5 Yards) to the UthSt 34Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 27
OWN 34
-10
44.4%
Kent Myers sacked by Ne'Quan Phillips for a loss of 10 yards to the UthSt 24Similar
Q2 14:15
3RD & 37
OWN 24
+8
45.6%
Kent Myers run for 8 yds to the UthSt 32Similar
Q2 14:15
4TH & 29
OWN 32
0
46.0%
Jaron Bentrude punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Scott Harding at the Hawa 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 6FUMBLE TD
6 plays · -14 yds · 1:2247% → 39%
Q2 13:33
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+7
46.7%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Marcus Kemp for 7 yds to the Hawa 31Similar
Q2 13:33
2ND & 3
OWN 31
0
47.6%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to Scott HardingSimilar
Q2 13:33
3RD & 3
OWN 31
+10
46.5%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Marcus Kemp for 10 yds to the Hawa 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:33
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-10
47.8%
HAWAII Penalty, Offensive holding (Kody Afusia) to the Hawa 31Similar
Q2 13:33
1ST & 20
OWN 31
-5
46.6%
HAWAII Penalty, false start (Leo Koloamatangi) to the Hawa 26Similar
Q2 12:11
1ST & 25
OWN 26
+10
39.4%
Ikaika Woolsey sacked by Zach Vigil for a loss of 16 yards Ikaika Woolsey fumbled, recovered by UthSt Devin Centers , return for 10 yds for a TD, (Nick Diaz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0039% → 38%
Q2 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+1
39.3%
Steven Lakalaka run for 1 yd to the Hawa 11Similar
Q2 12:05
2ND & 9
OWN 11
0
39.3%
Steven Lakalaka run for no gain to the Hawa 11Similar
Q2 12:05
3RD & 9
OWN 11
+1
38.7%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Steven Lakalaka for 1 yd to the Hawa 12Similar
Q2 12:05
4TH & 8
OWN 12
+3
38.4%
Scott Harding punt for 45 yds , Hayden Weichers returns for 3 yds to the UthSt 15 UTAH ST Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the UthSt 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 8TD
9 plays · 64 yds · 3:3962% → 72%
Q2 10:16
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
38.2%
Kent Myers pass complete to Ronald Butler for 9 yds to the UthSt 45Similar
Q2 10:16
2ND & 1
OWN 45
+8
37.4%
LaJuan Hunt run for 8 yds to the Hawa 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:16
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+9
37.2%
LaJuan Hunt run for 9 yds to the Hawa 38Similar
Q2 10:16
2ND & 1
OPP 38
+10
37.1%
LaJuan Hunt run for 10 yds to the Hawa 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:16
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-5
36.9%
UTAH ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Hawa 33Similar
Q2 10:16
1ST & 15
OPP 33
-15
36.9%
UTAH ST Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the Hawa 48Similar
Q2 10:16
1ST & 30
OPP 48
+12
37.6%
Hunter Sharp run for 12 yds to the Hawa 36Similar
Q2 10:16
2ND & 18
OPP 36
-3
37.5%
Kent Myers run for 2 yds to the Hawa 34 UTAH ST Penalty, illegal forward pass (Kent Myers) to the Hawa 39Similar
Q2 6:37
3RD & 21
OPP 39
+39
27.6%
Kent Myers pass complete to Ronald Butler for 39 yds for a TD, (Nick Diaz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0029% → 29%
Q2 6:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
28.7%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 6 yds to the Hawa 31Similar
Q2 6:37
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+3
29.4%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 3 yds to the Hawa 34Similar
Q2 6:37
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
29.4%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to Scott HardingSimilar
Q2 6:37
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+41
29.1%
Scott Harding punt for 41 yds , Ronald Butler returns for a loss of 1 yard to the UthSt 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 10PUNT
10 plays · 32 yds · 3:2873% → 76%
Q2 5:04
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
27.5%
LaJuan Hunt run for 2 yds to the UthSt 26Similar
Q2 5:04
2ND & 8
OWN 26
+7
27.5%
Kent Myers pass complete to Ronald Butler for 7 yds to the UthSt 33Similar
Q2 5:04
3RD & 1
OWN 33
+4
27.6%
LaJuan Hunt run for 4 yds to the UthSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:04
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-3
27.1%
Kent Myers pass complete to Hayden Weichers for a loss of 3 yards to the UthSt 34Similar
Q2 5:04
2ND & 13
OWN 34
+14
27.5%
Kent Myers pass complete to Hayden Weichers for 14 yds to the UthSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:04
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
26.4%
LaJuan Hunt run for 1 yd to the UthSt 49Similar
Q2 5:04
2ND & 9
OWN 49
+7
26.4%
Kent Myers pass complete to Ronald Butler for 7 yds to the Hawa 44Similar
Q2 5:04
3RD & 2
OPP 44
0
26.6%
LaJuan Hunt run for no gain to the Hawa 44Similar
Q2 1:36
4TH & 2
OPP 44
0
23.7%
Jaron Bentrude punt for 38 yds, downed at the Hawa 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 11INT
11 plays · 38 yds · 1:1824% → 24%
Q2 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 6
0
23.9%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to Steven LakalakaSimilar
Q2 1:14
2ND & 10
OWN 6
+5
25.1%
Steven Lakalaka run for 5 yds to the Hawa 11Similar
Q2 1:14
3RD & 5
OWN 11
+6
25.0%
Steven Lakalaka run for 6 yds to the Hawa 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:26
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+19
24.8%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Scott Harding for 19 yds to the Hawa 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:26
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
25.7%
Team pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:26
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
25.1%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to Steven LakalakaSimilar
Q2 0:26
3RD & 10
OWN 36
+8
24.9%
Ikaika Woolsey run for 8 yds to the Hawa 44Similar
Q2 0:07
4TH & 2
OWN 44
+28
23.9%
Ikaika Woolsey pass intercepted Frankie Sutera return for 28 yds to the UthSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0024% → 25%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
24.1%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to Marcus KempSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
24.0%
Steven Lakalaka run for 9 yds to the Hawa 34Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
25.0%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to Justin VeleSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
24.7%
Scott Harding punt for 31 yds, fair catch by LaJuan Hunt at the UthSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:0077% → 76%
Q3 14:11
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
22.7%
LaJuan Hunt run for 3 yds to the UthSt 38Similar
Q3 14:11
2ND & 7
OWN 38
-15
21.8%
UTAH ST Penalty, Offensive pass interference (Kent Myers) to the UthSt 23Similar
Q3 14:11
2ND & 22
OWN 23
+11
23.2%
LaJuan Hunt run for 11 yds to the UthSt 34Similar
Q3 14:11
3RD & 11
OWN 34
0
23.4%
Kent Myers pass complete to LaJuan Hunt for no gain to the UthSt 34Similar
Q3 14:11
4TH & 11
OWN 34
0
23.9%
Jaron Bentrude punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Scott Harding at the Hawa 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 22 yds · 0:0022% → 23%
Q3 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+10
22.4%
Steven Lakalaka run for 10 yds to the Hawa 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+11
23.5%
Steven Lakalaka run for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:54
1ST & 10
50
-5
24.2%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for a loss of 5 yards to the Hawa 45Similar
Q3 11:54
2ND & 15
OWN 45
+6
23.0%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Harold Moleni for 6 yds to the UthSt 49Similar
Q3 11:54
3RD & 9
OPP 49
0
23.8%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to Quinton PedrozaSimilar
Q3 11:54
4TH & 9
OPP 49
0
22.9%
Scott Harding punt for 47 yds, downed at the UthSt 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 15TD
11 plays · 98 yds · 4:4181% → 96%
Q3 9:52
1ST & 10
OWN 2
-1
18.9%
LaJuan Hunt run for a loss of 1 yard to the UthSt 1Similar
Q3 9:52
2ND & 11
OWN 1
+2
19.0%
LaJuan Hunt run for 2 yds to the UthSt 3Similar
Q3 9:52
3RD & 9
OWN 3
-1
19.5%
UTAH ST Penalty, false start (Wyatt Houston) to the UthSt 2Similar
Q3 9:52
3RD & 10
OWN 2
0
19.5%
Kent Myers pass incomplete to Devonte RobinsonSimilar
Q3 9:52
4TH & 10
OWN 2
+15
19.9%
HAWAII Penalty, roughing the kicker (Gaetano DeMattei) to the UthSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:52
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+5
18.5%
LaJuan Hunt run for 5 yds to the UthSt 22Similar
Q3 9:52
2ND & 5
OWN 22
+8
18.3%
Kent Myers pass complete to Ronald Butler for 8 yds to the UthSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:52
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
18.2%
LaJuan Hunt run for 6 yds to the UthSt 36Similar
Q3 9:52
2ND & 4
OWN 36
+4
17.7%
Kent Myers run for 4 yds to the UthSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:52
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+16
17.3%
LaJuan Hunt run for 16 yds to the Hawa 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:11
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+44
4.2%
Ronald Butler pass complete to LaJuan Hunt for 44 yds for a TD, (Nick Diaz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 16DOWNS
15 plays · 55 yds · 2:227% → 6%
Q3 5:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
6.7%
HAWAII Penalty, false start (Kody Afusia) to the Hawa 20Similar
Q3 5:11
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+9
6.7%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Marcus Kemp for 9 yds to the Hawa 29Similar
Q3 5:11
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+13
6.9%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Marcus Kemp for 13 yds to the Hawa 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:11
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-5
7.3%
HAWAII Penalty, false start (Kody Afusia) to the Hawa 37Similar
Q3 5:11
1ST & 15
OWN 37
+14
6.7%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Quinton Pedroza for 14 yds to the UthSt 49Similar
Q3 5:11
2ND & 1
OPP 49
+13
7.8%
Ikaika Woolsey run for 13 yds to the UthSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:11
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+9
7.6%
Ikaika Woolsey run for 9 yds to the UthSt 27Similar
Q3 5:11
2ND & 1
OPP 27
+3
8.4%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 3 yds to the UthSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:11
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
8.4%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to Justin VeleSimilar
Q3 5:11
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+4
8.1%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Ammon Barker for 4 yds to the UthSt 20Similar
Q3 2:49
3RD & 6
OPP 20
-5
6.7%
HAWAII Penalty, false start (Dave Lefotu) to the UthSt 25Similar
Q3 2:49
3RD & 11
OPP 25
0
6.3%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to Quinton PedrozaSimilar
Q3 2:49
4TH & 11
OPP 25
+5
6.2%
Ikaika Woolsey run for 5 yds to the UthSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 17PUNT
13 plays · 16 yds · 4:2697% → 98%
Q3 2:36
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
2.8%
LaJuan Hunt run for 2 yds to the UthSt 22Similar
Q3 2:36
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+16
2.8%
Kent Myers pass complete to Hayden Weichers for 16 yds to the UthSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:36
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
2.6%
LaJuan Hunt run for 5 yds to the UthSt 43Similar
Q3 2:36
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+4
2.6%
LaJuan Hunt run for 4 yds to the UthSt 47Similar
Q3 2:36
3RD & 1
OWN 47
+7
2.6%
LaJuan Hunt run for 7 yds to the Hawa 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-5
2.1%
UTAH ST Penalty, illegal shift (-5 Yards) to the UthSt 49Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 49
+4
2.1%
LaJuan Hunt run for 4 yds to the Hawa 47Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 47
+3
2.0%
LaJuan Hunt run for 3 yds to the Hawa 44Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 44
-5
2.1%
UTAH ST Penalty, illegal shift (-5 Yards) to the Hawa 49Similar
Q4 13:10
3RD & 13
OPP 49
-10
1.6%
UTAH ST Penalty, Offensive holding (Kevin Whimpey) to the UthSt 41Similar
Q4 13:10
3RD & 23
OWN 41
-5
1.7%
Kent Myers run for a loss of 5 yards to the UthSt 36Similar
Q4 13:10
4TH & 28
OWN 36
0
1.9%
Jaron Bentrude punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Scott Harding at the Hawa 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 18INT
10 plays · 39 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q4 12:01
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-11
3.0%
Ikaika Woolsey sacked by LT Filiaga for a loss of 11 yards to the Hawa 12 HAWAII Penalty, intentional grounding (Ikaika Woolsey) to the Hawa 12Similar
Q4 12:01
2ND & 21
OWN 12
+27
2.9%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Quinton Pedroza for 27 yds to the Hawa 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:01
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
3.2%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to Donnie King Jr., broken up by Devin CentersSimilar
Q4 12:01
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+10
3.1%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Donnie King Jr. for 10 yds to the Hawa 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:01
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+13
3.3%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Marcus Kemp for 13 yds to the UthSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:01
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+15
3.4%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Harold Moleni for 15 yds to the UthSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:01
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
3.8%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to Donnie King Jr.Similar
Q4 12:01
2ND & 10
OPP 23
0
3.7%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to Quinton PedrozaSimilar
Q4 12:01
3RD & 10
OPP 23
-15
3.4%
HAWAII Penalty, personal foul (Steven Lakalaka) to the UthSt 38Similar
Q4 12:01
3RD & 25
OPP 38
+19
3.2%
Ikaika Woolsey pass intercepted Frankie Sutera return for 19 yds to the UthSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 22 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+15
1.3%
HAWAII Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the UthSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
1.1%
LaJuan Hunt run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 10:05
2ND & 7
50
+1
1.1%
LaJuan Hunt run for 1 yd to the Hawa 49Similar
Q4 10:05
3RD & 6
OPP 49
+3
1.1%
LaJuan Hunt run for 3 yds to the Hawa 46Similar
Q4 10:05
4TH & 3
OPP 46
0
1.2%
Jaron Bentrude punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Scott Harding at the Hawa 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 20DOWNS
14 plays · 45 yds · 0:002% → 3%
Q4 8:36
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-4
2.4%
Ikaika Woolsey sacked by Zach Vigil for a loss of 4 yards to the Hawa 6Similar
Q4 8:36
2ND & 14
OWN 6
+13
2.3%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Harold Moleni for 13 yds to the Hawa 19Similar
Q4 8:36
3RD & 1
OWN 19
0
2.4%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to Quinton Pedroza, broken up by Tyler FloydSimilar
Q4 8:36
4TH & 1
OWN 19
+6
2.4%
Justin Vele run for 6 yds to the Hawa 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
2.4%
HAWAII Penalty, false start (Kody Afusia) to the Hawa 20Similar
Q4 8:36
1ST & 15
OWN 20
0
2.4%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to Marcus KempSimilar
Q4 8:36
2ND & 15
OWN 20
-2
2.3%
Ikaika Woolsey sacked by Bryant Hayes for a loss of 2 yards to the Hawa 18Similar
Q4 8:36
3RD & 17
OWN 18
+19
2.3%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Quinton Pedroza for 19 yds to the Hawa 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:36
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+34
2.5%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Donnie King Jr. for 34 yds to the UthSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:36
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
3.1%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to Scott HardingSimilar
Q4 8:36
2ND & 10
OPP 29
0
3.0%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Harold Moleni for no gain to the UthSt 29Similar
Q4 8:36
3RD & 10
OPP 29
-5
2.8%
HAWAII Penalty, false start (Ben Clarke) to the UthSt 34Similar
Q4 8:36
3RD & 15
OPP 34
0
2.7%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to Marcus KempSimilar
Q4 8:36
4TH & 15
OPP 34
-11
2.5%
Ikaika Woolsey sacked by Zach Vigil for a loss of 11 yards to the UthSt 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 21DOWNS
12 plays · 39 yds · 3:5499% → 100%
Q4 5:22
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+8
0.6%
LaJuan Hunt run for 8 yds to the Hawa 47Similar
Q4 5:22
2ND & 2
OPP 47
+11
0.5%
LaJuan Hunt run for 11 yds to the Hawa 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:22
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
0.5%
LaJuan Hunt run for no gain to the Hawa 36Similar
Q4 5:22
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+3
0.5%
LaJuan Hunt run for 3 yds to the Hawa 33Similar
Q4 5:22
3RD & 7
OPP 33
+6
0.6%
LaJuan Hunt run for 6 yds to the Hawa 27Similar
Q4 5:22
4TH & 1
OPP 27
+3
0.6%
LaJuan Hunt run for 3 yds to the Hawa 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:22
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-2
0.5%
LaJuan Hunt run for a loss of 2 yards to the Hawa 26Similar
Q4 1:33
2ND & 12
OPP 26
+4
0.3%
Rashad Hall run for 4 yds to the Hawa 22Similar
Q4 1:28
3RD & 8
OPP 22
+4
0.3%
Rashad Hall run for 4 yds to the Hawa 18Similar
Q4 1:28
4TH & 4
OPP 18
+2
0.3%
Rashad Hall run for 2 yds to the Hawa 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 22END OF GAME
5 plays · 43 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+24
0.6%
Ikaika Woolsey run for 24 yds to the Hawa 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+29
0.6%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Quinton Pedroza for 29 yds to the UthSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:40
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
0.8%
Team pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:40
2ND & 10
OPP 30
0
0.8%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to Marcus KempSimilar
Q4 0:40
3RD & 10
OPP 30
-10
0.7%
Ikaika Woolsey sacked by Jentz Painter for a loss of 10 yards to the UthSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 5:11
Ronald Butler pass complete to LaJuan Hunt for 44 yds for a TD, (Nick Diaz KICK)
-13.1
TD · Q2 6:37
Kent Myers pass complete to Ronald Butler for 39 yds for a TD, (Nick Diaz KICK)
-9.9
SACK · Q2 12:11
Ikaika Woolsey sacked by Zach Vigil for a loss of 16 yards Ikaika Woolsey fumbled, recovered by UthSt Devin Centers , return for 10 yds for a TD, (Nick Diaz KICK)
-7.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com