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HAW

Hawai'i 10 at San Diego State 20

SDSU
2014 · Week 8 · Oct 18, 2014 · Qualcomm Stadium
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Win probability · SDSU
modelSDSU aheadHAW aheadconfidence bandkey playSDSU scoreHAW score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 3:08 · Scott Harding punt for 39 yds, downed at the SDSt 19
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialBlowout margin
+30.0+15.00−15.0−30.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 36Pregame prior+24.2Home team on offense+2.2Garbage-time factor−0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.3Score differential+0.8Blowout margin+0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:05: Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Marcus Kemp for 39 yds for a TD, (Tyler Hadden KICK) — HAW win probability +7.0 pts (now 24%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 5:32: Quinn Kaehler pass complete to Lloyd Mills for 26 yds for a TD HAWAII Penalty, 0S (NA) declined, (Donny Hageman KICK) — SDSU win probability +9.4 pts (now 86%) (top driver: SDSU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 0:14: Tyler Hadden 25 yd FG GOOD — HAW win probability +2.9 pts (now 21%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q3 0:14: Donnel Pumphrey run for 3 yds to the SDSt 28 — SDSU win probability +5.4 pts (now 86%) (top driver: SDSU has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 9:44: Donnel Pumphrey run for 5 yds to the SDSt 38 — SDSU win probability +4.1 pts (now 87%) (top driver: SDSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SDSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 9HAW made the numbers' call on 5 of 9
  1. Q1 9:44HAW 4th & 1 at HAW 13, down 7
    Close callPunted · 23.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.0%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:06SDSU 4th & 2 at HAW 29, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 77.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    77.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    77.0%−0.3
    58% to make
    Punt
    75.8%−1.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:08SDSU 4th & 4 at HAW 19, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 77.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.4%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    77.3%−0.1
    77% to make
    Punt
    75.5%−1.9
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:08HAW 4th & 5 at HAW 42, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.6%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.8%
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00SDSU 4th & 10 at SDSU 19, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.5%−0.7
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:05HAW 4th & 19 at HAW 47, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.1%−1.0
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.1%
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:29HAW 4th & 3 at SDSU 21, down 10
    Close callKicked a field goal · 22.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.0%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    21.6%−0.4
    74% to make
    Punt
    18.0%−4.0
    average punt
  8. Q2 9:29SDSU 4th & 6 at HAW 42, up 10
    Close callPunted · 78.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.3%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    77.3%−0.9
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    77.9%−0.3
    average punt
  9. Q2 5:10HAW 4th & 9 at HAW 26, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.9%−0.7
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.6%
    average punt
  10. Q2 1:12SDSU 4th & 1 at SDSU 40, up 10
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsPunted · 80.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.9%−1.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 15:00HAW 4th & 1 at HAW 26, down 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.8 ptsPunted · 27.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.0%−1.8
    average punt
  12. Q3 12:50SDSU 4th & 8 at SDSU 39, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.5%−0.9
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.3%
    average punt
  13. Q3 11:19HAW 4th & 6 at HAW 39, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.4%−0.4
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.7%
    average punt
  14. Q3 5:32HAW 4th & 10 at SDSU 37, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 16.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    16.1%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    16.1%−<0.1
    40% to make
    Punt
    15.9%−0.2
    average punt
  15. Q3 0:14HAW 4th & 6 at SDSU 8, down 10
    Close callKicked a field goal · 14.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.0%
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    14.0%−<0.1
    90% to make
    Punt
    5.9%−8.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 11:47SDSU 4th & 14 at HAW 14, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 85.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.0%−3.4
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    85.4%
    84% to make
    Punt
    75.0%−10.4
    average punt
  17. Q4 6:33SDSU 4th & 1 at HAW 6, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.5 ptsKicked a field goal · 89.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.5%
    69% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    86.0%−3.5
    91% to make
    Punt
    77.8%−11.7
    average punt
  18. Q4 0:32SDSU 4th & 1 at HAW 11, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 95.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    95.3%−0.2
    87% to make
    Punt
    93.8%−1.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SDSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2HAW made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 9:44SDSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:05HAW Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    28.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    27.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 5:32SDSU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SDSUDrive 1TD
11 plays · 86 yds · 5:1680% → 80%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+2
79.6%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 2 yds to the SDSt 16Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 16
0
79.6%
Quinn Kaehler pass incomplete to Lloyd MillsSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 16
+13
79.6%
Quinn Kaehler run for 13 yds to the SDSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
79.6%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 4 yds to the SDSt 33Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 33
+3
79.6%
Quinn Kaehler pass complete to Lloyd Mills for 3 yds to the SDSt 36Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 36
+34
79.6%
Marcus Stamps run for 34 yds to the Hawa 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+8
79.6%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 8 yds to the Hawa 22Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 22
+8
79.6%
Dakota Gordon run for 8 yds to the Hawa 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+4
79.6%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 4 yds to the Hawa 10Similar
Q1 9:44
2ND & 6
OPP 10
+10
80.0%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 10 yds for a TD, (Donny Hageman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 0:0021% → 20%
Q1 9:44
1ST & 10
OWN 4
0
79.5%
Steven Lakalaka run for no gain to the Hawa 4Similar
Q1 9:44
2ND & 10
OWN 4
-2
79.5%
HAWAII Penalty, false start (NA) to the Hawa 2Similar
Q1 9:44
2ND & 12
OWN 2
+2
79.5%
Steven Lakalaka run for 2 yds to the Hawa 4Similar
Q1 9:44
3RD & 10
OWN 4
+9
79.6%
Steven Lakalaka run for 9 yds to the Hawa 13Similar
Q1 9:44
4TH & 1
OWN 13
0
79.7%
Scott Harding punt for 34 yds, downed at the Hawa 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 3FG
12 plays · 28 yds · 4:1280% → 80%
Q1 7:20
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+6
80.0%
Quinn Kaehler pass complete to Adam Roberts for 6 yds to the Hawa 41Similar
Q1 7:20
2ND & 4
OPP 41
+4
80.0%
Chase Price run for 4 yds to the Hawa 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:20
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
80.0%
Quinn Kaehler pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:20
2ND & 10
OPP 37
0
80.0%
Quinn Kaehler pass incomplete to Lloyd MillsSimilar
Q1 7:20
3RD & 10
OPP 37
+8
79.8%
Quinn Kaehler pass complete to Dakota Gordon for 8 yds to the Hawa 29Similar
Q1 5:06
4TH & 2
OPP 29
+4
79.5%
Marcus Stamps run for 4 yds to the Hawa 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:06
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-10
80.0%
PUMPHREY, Donne rush for 3 yards to the UH22 (TAIMATUIA, TJ;LEWIS, Daniel), PENALTY SDSU holding 10 yards to the UH35, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:06
1ST & 20
OPP 35
0
79.8%
Quinn Kaehler pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:06
2ND & 20
OPP 35
+16
79.7%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 16 yds to the Hawa 19Similar
Q1 5:06
3RD & 4
OPP 19
0
79.8%
Quinn Kaehler pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:08
4TH & 4
OPP 19
+36
79.9%
Donny Hageman 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 0:0020% → 20%
Q1 3:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
79.6%
Steven Lakalaka run for 4 yds to the Hawa 29Similar
Q1 3:08
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+8
79.4%
Steven Lakalaka run for 8 yds to the Hawa 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:08
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
79.3%
Steven Lakalaka run for 5 yds to the Hawa 42Similar
Q1 3:08
2ND & 5
OWN 42
0
79.0%
Steven Lakalaka run for no gain to the Hawa 42Similar
Q1 3:08
3RD & 5
OWN 42
0
79.2%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:08
4TH & 5
OWN 42
0
79.6%
Scott Harding punt for 39 yds, downed at the SDSt 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:1679% → 79%
Q1 0:16
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+4
79.4%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 4 yds to the SDSt 23Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 23
0
79.4%
Quinn Kaehler pass incomplete to Dakota GordonSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 23
-4
79.0%
Quinn Kaehler pass complete to Donnel Pumphrey for a loss of 4 yards to the SDSt 19Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 10
OWN 19
+4
78.6%
Joel Alesi punt for 46 yds , Scott Harding returns for 4 yds to the Hawa 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 0:0021% → 20%
Q2 14:05
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+17
79.0%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Jordan Pu'u-Robinson for 17 yds to the SDSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:05
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
78.6%
Steven Lakalaka run for 3 yds to the SDSt 41Similar
Q2 14:05
2ND & 7
OPP 41
-10
78.6%
WOOLSEY, Ikaika pass complete to PEDROZA, Quinto for 6 yards to the SDSU35 (VAUGHN, Billy), PENALTY UH holding 10 yards to the UH49, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:05
2ND & 17
OWN 49
+3
79.4%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Justin Vele for 3 yds to the SDSt 48Similar
Q2 14:05
3RD & 14
OPP 48
-5
79.7%
Ikaika Woolsey sacked by Alex Barrett for a loss of 5 yards to the Hawa 47Similar
Q2 14:05
4TH & 19
OWN 47
0
80.2%
Scott Harding punt for 25 yds , Billy Vaughn Jr. returns for no gain to the SDSt 28 Billy Vaughn Jr. fumbled, recovered by Hawa Quinton PedrozaSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 7MISSED FG
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:2322% → 21%
Q2 10:52
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+5
77.6%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Marcus Kemp for 5 yds to the SDSt 23Similar
Q2 10:52
2ND & 5
OPP 23
+2
77.6%
Steven Lakalaka run for 2 yds to the SDSt 21Similar
Q2 10:52
3RD & 3
OPP 21
0
78.3%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:29
4TH & 3
OPP 21
+39
79.3%
Tyler Hadden 39 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 8PUNT
9 plays · 37 yds · 0:0080% → 80%
Q2 9:29
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
79.5%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 2 yds to the SDSt 23Similar
Q2 9:29
2ND & 8
OWN 23
-3
79.3%
Chase Price run for a loss of 3 yards to the SDSt 20Similar
Q2 9:29
3RD & 11
OWN 20
+19
78.8%
Quinn Kaehler pass complete to Eric Judge for 19 yds to the SDSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:29
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+7
80.3%
Quinn Kaehler pass complete to Robert Craighead for 7 yds to the SDSt 46Similar
Q2 9:29
2ND & 3
OWN 46
+8
80.5%
Chase Price run for 8 yds to the Hawa 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:29
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
80.7%
Chase Price run for 4 yds to the Hawa 42Similar
Q2 9:29
2ND & 6
OPP 42
0
80.7%
Quinn Kaehler pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:29
3RD & 6
OPP 42
0
80.2%
Quinn Kaehler pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:29
4TH & 6
OPP 42
0
79.6%
Joel Alesi punt for 28 yds, fair catch by Scott Harding at the Hawa 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 0:0019% → 19%
Q2 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-5
80.6%
HAWAII Penalty, false start (NA) to the Hawa 9Similar
Q2 5:10
1ST & 15
OWN 9
+13
80.8%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 13 yds to the Hawa 22Similar
Q2 5:10
2ND & 2
OWN 22
+3
80.0%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 3 yds to the Hawa 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
80.5%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:10
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
80.6%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 1 yd to the Hawa 26Similar
Q2 5:10
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
81.1%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to Diocemy Saint Juste, broken up by Alex BarrettSimilar
Q2 5:10
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
81.5%
Scott Harding punt for 43 yds, downed at the SDSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 2:0581% → 81%
Q2 3:17
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+7
81.0%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 7 yds to the SDSt 38Similar
Q2 3:17
2ND & 3
OWN 38
-8
81.9%
Quinn Kaehler sacked by Marcus Malepeai for a loss of 8 yards to the SDSt 30Similar
Q2 3:17
3RD & 11
OWN 30
+10
80.1%
Quinn Kaehler pass complete to Jemond Hazely for 10 yds to the SDSt 40Similar
Q2 1:12
4TH & 1
OWN 40
0
81.1%
Joel Alesi punt for 26 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Hawa 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 11TD
12 plays · 66 yds · 1:0019% → 24%
Q2 1:05
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+8
80.7%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Marcus Kemp for 8 yds to the Hawa 42Similar
Q2 0:57
2ND & 2
OWN 42
+9
80.6%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Jordan Pu'u-Robinson for 9 yds to the SDSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:57
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
80.3%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Marcus Kemp for 6 yds to the SDSt 43Similar
Q2 0:38
2ND & 4
OPP 43
-1
80.6%
Ikaika Woolsey run for a loss of 1 yard to the SDSt 44Similar
Q2 0:30
3RD & 5
OPP 44
+10
81.7%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Marcus Kemp for 10 yds to the SDSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
80.5%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to Quinton Pedroza, broken up by J.J. WhittakerSimilar
Q2 0:30
2ND & 10
OPP 34
-5
80.6%
HAWAII Penalty, false start (NA) to the SDSt 39Similar
Q2 0:30
2ND & 15
OPP 39
0
82.7%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to Quinton PedrozaSimilar
Q2 0:05
3RD & 15
OPP 39
+39
75.8%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Marcus Kemp for 39 yds for a TD, (Tyler Hadden KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 12END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0075% → 75%
Q2 0:05
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-1
75.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the SDSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0027% → 26%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+5
72.9%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Scott Harding for 5 yds to the Hawa 22Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 22
+4
72.6%
Steven Lakalaka run for 4 yds to the Hawa 26Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 26
0
72.9%
Steven Lakalaka run for no gain to the Hawa 26Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 26
0
74.2%
Scott Harding punt for 37 yds, downed at the SDSt 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0075% → 72%
Q3 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
74.5%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 3 yds to the SDSt 40Similar
Q3 12:50
2ND & 7
OWN 40
-1
75.2%
Donnel Pumphrey run for a loss of 1 yard to the SDSt 39Similar
Q3 12:50
3RD & 8
OWN 39
0
73.5%
Quinn Kaehler pass incomplete to Chase FavreauSimilar
Q3 12:50
4TH & 8
OWN 39
+26
72.3%
Joel Alesi punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Scott Harding at the SANDIEGOST 30 SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, (NA) to the Hawa 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0029% → 27%
Q3 11:19
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
71.3%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to Scott HardingSimilar
Q3 11:19
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+4
71.7%
Steven Lakalaka run for 4 yds to the Hawa 39Similar
Q3 11:19
3RD & 6
OWN 39
0
71.1%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to Marcus Kemp, broken up by Damontae KazeeSimilar
Q3 11:19
4TH & 6
OWN 39
0
72.8%
Scott Harding punt for 53 yds, downed at the SDSt 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 16TD
9 plays · 92 yds · 4:5673% → 86%
Q3 10:28
2ND & 2
OWN 16
+5
72.7%
Chase Price run for 5 yds to the SDSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:28
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+8
72.5%
Quinn Kaehler pass complete to Lloyd Mills for 8 yds to the SDSt 16Similar
Q3 10:28
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
72.8%
Quinn Kaehler pass complete to Lloyd Mills for 5 yds to the SDSt 26Similar
Q3 10:28
2ND & 5
OWN 26
+9
73.1%
Chase Price run for 9 yds to the SDSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:28
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
73.2%
Chase Price run for 2 yds to the SDSt 37Similar
Q3 10:28
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+32
73.6%
Quinn Kaehler pass complete to Larry Clark for 32 yds to the Hawa 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:28
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+3
76.3%
Chase Price run for 3 yds to the Hawa 28Similar
Q3 10:28
2ND & 7
OPP 28
+2
76.3%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 2 yds to the Hawa 26Similar
Q3 5:32
3RD & 5
OPP 26
+26
85.7%
Quinn Kaehler pass complete to Lloyd Mills for 26 yds for a TD HAWAII Penalty, 0S (NA) declined, (Donny Hageman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 17FG
17 plays · 70 yds · 5:1816% → 21%
Q3 5:32
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
84.1%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 2 yds to the Hawa 24Similar
Q3 5:32
2ND & 8
OWN 24
+13
84.1%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Quinton Pedroza for 13 yds to the Hawa 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:32
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
83.5%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Scott Harding for 3 yds to the Hawa 40Similar
Q3 5:32
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+13
83.0%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 13 yds to the SDSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:32
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+10
82.0%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Scott Harding for 10 yds to the SDSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:32
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
82.0%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for no gain to the SDSt 37Similar
Q3 5:32
2ND & 10
OPP 37
0
82.0%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to Quinton PedrozaSimilar
Q3 5:32
3RD & 10
OPP 37
0
82.7%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to Quinton Pedroza HAWAII Penalty, Offensive holding (NA) declinedSimilar
Q3 5:32
4TH & 10
OPP 37
+12
84.1%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Scott Harding for 12 yds to the SDSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:32
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+7
80.6%
Steven Lakalaka run for 7 yds to the SDSt 18Similar
Q3 5:32
2ND & 3
OPP 18
0
80.6%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to Quinton Pedroza, broken up by J.J. WhittakerSimilar
Q3 5:32
3RD & 3
OPP 18
+6
81.7%
Ikaika Woolsey run for 6 yds to the SDSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:32
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+4
80.6%
Steven Lakalaka run for 4 yds to the SDSt 8Similar
Q3 5:32
2ND & 6
OPP 8
0
80.6%
Steven Lakalaka run for no gain to the SDSt 8Similar
Q3 5:32
3RD & 6
OPP 8
0
81.7%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:14
4TH & 6
OPP 8
+25
78.8%
Tyler Hadden 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 18MISSED FG
10 plays · 61 yds · 3:2786% → 86%
Q3 0:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
86.0%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 3 yds to the SDSt 28Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+14
86.0%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 14 yds to the SDSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
87.3%
Quinn Kaehler pass incomplete to Lloyd MillsSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+6
86.9%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 6 yds to the SDSt 48Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 48
+42
86.7%
Quinn Kaehler pass complete to Chase Favreau for 42 yds to the Hawa 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-1
88.0%
Quinn Kaehler run for a loss of 1 yard to the Hawa 11 Quinn Kaehler fumbled, recovered by SDSt Quinn KaehlerSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
-15
88.0%
Quinn Kaehler pass incomplete to Donnel Pumphrey SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, personal foul (NA) to the Hawa 26Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 26
+12
86.5%
Quinn Kaehler pass complete to Mikah Holder for 12 yds to the Hawa 14Similar
Q4 11:47
4TH & GOAL
OPP 14
+31
85.8%
Donny Hageman 31 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 19INT
5 plays · 15 yds · 0:0017% → 17%
Q4 11:47
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
83.2%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Quinton Pedroza for 5 yds to the Hawa 25Similar
Q4 11:47
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+6
82.5%
Steven Lakalaka run for 6 yds to the Hawa 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:47
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
82.4%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Jordan Pu'u-Robinson for no gain to the Hawa 31Similar
Q4 11:47
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+4
83.1%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Quinton Pedroza for 4 yds to the Hawa 35Similar
Q4 11:47
3RD & 6
OWN 35
0
83.2%
Ikaika Woolsey pass intercepted Damontae Kazee return for no gain to the SDSt 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 20FG
7 plays · 61 yds · 3:1187% → 93%
Q4 9:44
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
87.4%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 5 yds to the SDSt 38Similar
Q4 9:44
2ND & 5
OWN 38
+47
88.7%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 47 yds to the Hawa 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:36
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+4
91.1%
Dakota Gordon run for 4 yds to the Hawa 11Similar
Q4 8:36
2ND & 6
OPP 11
+4
91.1%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 4 yds to the Hawa 7Similar
Q4 8:36
3RD & 2
OPP 7
+1
90.4%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 1 yd to the Hawa 6Similar
Q4 6:33
4TH & 1
OPP 6
+23
92.6%
Donny Hageman 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 21INT
3 plays · -4 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q4 6:33
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-4
93.0%
WOOLSEY, Ikaika pass complete to PEDROZA, Quinto for 14 yards to the UH35, PENALTY UH illegal forward pass 4 yards to the UH17, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 6:33
2ND & 14
OWN 17
-5
93.0%
Ikaika Woolsey pass intercepted Malik Smith return for a loss of 5 yards to the SDSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 22DOWNS
14 plays · 58 yds · 5:2893% → 97%
Q4 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+7
92.9%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 7 yds to the SDSt 38Similar
Q4 6:00
2ND & 3
OWN 38
+1
93.4%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 1 yd to the SDSt 39Similar
Q4 6:00
3RD & 2
OWN 39
+3
93.0%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 3 yds to the SDSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
93.3%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 4 yds to the SDSt 46Similar
Q4 6:00
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+8
93.4%
Dakota Gordon run for 8 yds to the Hawa 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+11
93.5%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 11 yds to the Hawa 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+15
93.8%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 15 yds to the Hawa 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+1
93.9%
Chase Price run for 1 yd to the Hawa 19Similar
Q4 1:25
2ND & 9
OPP 19
+6
96.7%
Chase Price run for 6 yds to the Hawa 13Similar
Q4 1:17
3RD & 3
OPP 13
+2
96.7%
Chase Price run for 2 yds to the Hawa 11Similar
Q4 0:32
4TH & 1
OPP 11
0
96.8%
Chase Price run for no gain to the Hawa 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 23FUMBLE
1 play · 25 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q4 0:28
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+25
97.0%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Quinton Pedroza for 25 yds Quinton Pedroza fumbled, recovered by SDSt Malik SmithSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 24END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q4 0:15
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-1
97.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Hawa 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 5:32
Quinn Kaehler pass complete to Lloyd Mills for 26 yds for a TD HAWAII Penalty, 0S (NA) declined, (Donny Hageman KICK)
+9.4
TD · Q2 0:05
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Marcus Kemp for 39 yds for a TD, (Tyler Hadden KICK)
-7
KEY PLAY · Q3 0:14
Donnel Pumphrey run for 3 yds to the SDSt 28
+5.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com