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WYO

Wyoming 28 at Hawai'i 38

HAW
2014 · Week 7 · Oct 12, 2014 · Aloha Stadium
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Win probability · HAW
modelHAW aheadWYO aheadconfidence bandkey playHAW scoreWYO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 7:28 · Colby Kirkegaard run for 1 yd to the Hawa 33 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+27.0+13.50−13.5−27.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 116Pregame prior+5.5Home team on offense−7.5Garbage-time factor−0.7Score differential−3.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−2.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 10:30: Keelan Ewaliko run for 11 yds for a TD, (Tyler Hadden KICK) — HAW win probability +15.7 pts (now 58%) (top driver: Not a blowout margin).
  2. TD · Q3 2:02: Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to D.J. May for 17 yds for a TD, (Stuart Williams KICK) — WYO win probability +13.2 pts (now 76%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 0:00: Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Quinton Pedroza for 53 yds for a TD, (Tyler Hadden KICK) — HAW win probability +19.2 pts (now 46%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  4. TD · Q4 11:36: Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Marcus Kemp for 40 yds for a TD, (Tyler Hadden KICK) — HAW win probability +26.7 pts (now 75%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 3:32: Diocemy Saint Juste run for 16 yds for a TD, (Tyler Hadden KICK) — HAW win probability +16.6 pts (now 94%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
HAW made the numbers' call on 5 of 6WYO made the numbers' call on 7 of 10
  1. Q1 15:00HAW 4th & 5 at HAW 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.5%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:45HAW 4th & 8 at WYO 17, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 57.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.4%−0.5
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    56.9%
    80% to make
    Punt
    53.0%−3.9
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:45WYO 4th & 9 at WYO 41, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.2%−0.6
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.8%
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:29WYO 4th & 7 at WYO 21, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.8%−0.9
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.6%
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:36HAW 4th & 9 at HAW 31, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.5%−1.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.6%
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:25WYO 4th & 4 at HAW 47, up 4
    Close callPunted · 42.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.8%−0.4
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:57HAW 4th & 11 at HAW 32, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.8%−2.2
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.0%
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:41HAW 4th & 3 at HAW 32, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.9%−0.2
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.0%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:55WYO 4th & 6 at WYO 18, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.6%−1.9
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.6%
    average punt
  10. Q3 15:00WYO 4th & 6 at WYO 44, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.5%−0.6
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.1%
    average punt
  11. Q3 10:24WYO 4th & 1 at WYO 30, up 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.5 ptsPunted · 47.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.6%−3.5
    average punt
  12. Q3 7:28WYO 4th & 1 at HAW 34, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 52.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    53.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    48.2%−5.0
    47% to make
    Punt
    46.9%−6.3
    average punt
  13. Q3 7:28WYO 4th & 17 at HAW 40, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.1%−2.4
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    50.8%−0.6
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    51.5%
    average punt
  14. Q4 7:41WYO 4th & 3 at HAW 34, down 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.7 ptsKicked a field goal · 34.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.1%
    53% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    32.4%−1.7
    47% to make
    Punt
    28.5%−5.6
    average punt
  15. Q4 3:32WYO 4th & 15 at WYO 20, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.6%−0.4
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.0%
    average punt
  16. Q4 2:37HAW 4th & 2 at HAW 49, up 10
    Close callPunted · 94.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.2%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.6%−0.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
HAW made the numbers' call on 5 of 5WYO made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 11:53WYO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    36.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    36.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 9:42WYO Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    38.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    38.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:33HAW Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:41WYO Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    58.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 10:30HAW Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    47.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 2:02WYO Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 0:00HAW Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 11:36HAW Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.3%−0.6
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 3:32HAW Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
HAWDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0065% → 65%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
64.8%
Steven Lakalaka run for 4 yds to the Hawa 30Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 30
+1
64.8%
Taylor Graham run for 1 yd to the Hawa 31Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 31
0
64.8%
Taylor Graham pass incomplete to Marcus Kemp, broken up by Robert PriesterSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 5
OWN 31
0
64.8%
Scott Harding punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 2TD
5 plays · 71 yds · 1:5735% → 37%
Q1 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+20
64.7%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Jalen Claiborne for 20 yds to the Wyom 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
64.6%
Shaun Wick run for 2 yds to the Hawa 49Similar
Q1 13:50
2ND & 8
OPP 49
+29
64.6%
Shaun Wick run for 29 yds to the Hawa 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:50
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
64.5%
Colby Kirkegaard pass incomplete to Dominic RufranSimilar
Q1 11:53
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+20
63.1%
Shaun Wick run for 20 yds for a TD, (Stuart Williams KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 3FUMBLE RETURN TD
7 plays · 51 yds · 2:0564% → 61%
Q1 11:47
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
63.5%
Steven Lakalaka run for 2 yds to the Hawa 29Similar
Q1 11:47
2ND & 8
OWN 29
+22
63.5%
Steven Lakalaka run for 22 yds to the Wyom 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:47
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+30
63.8%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 30 yds to the Wyom 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:47
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+2
63.9%
Steven Lakalaka run for 2 yds to the Wyom 17Similar
Q1 11:47
2ND & 8
OPP 17
+1
63.9%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 1 yd to the Wyom 16Similar
Q1 9:42
3RD & 7
OPP 16
-78
61.3%
Devyn Harris 78 Yd Fumble Return (Stuart Williams Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 4FG
12 plays · 68 yds · 4:4761% → 60%
Q1 9:32
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+11
60.6%
Steven Lakalaka run for 11 yds to the Hawa 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:32
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
60.7%
Steven Lakalaka run for 4 yds to the Hawa 30Similar
Q1 9:32
2ND & 6
OWN 30
+8
60.8%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 8 yds to the Hawa 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:32
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+15
61.0%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 15 yds to the Wyom 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:32
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
61.2%
Steven Lakalaka run for 2 yds to the Wyom 45Similar
Q1 9:32
2ND & 8
OPP 45
+9
61.2%
Taylor Graham pass complete to Scott Harding for 9 yds to the Wyom 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:32
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+17
61.2%
Taylor Graham pass complete to Scott Harding for 17 yds to the Wyom 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:32
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+1
61.3%
Steven Lakalaka run for 1 yd to the Wyom 18Similar
Q1 9:32
2ND & 9
OPP 18
+2
61.3%
Steven Lakalaka run for 2 yds to the Wyom 16Similar
Q1 9:32
3RD & 7
OPP 16
-1
61.2%
Steven Lakalaka run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wyom 17Similar
Q1 4:45
4TH & 8
OPP 17
+35
59.6%
Tyler Hadden 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 16 yds · 0:0041% → 41%
Q1 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
58.6%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Dominic Rufran for 2 yds to the Wyom 27Similar
Q1 4:45
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+13
58.5%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Jalen Claiborne for 13 yds to the Wyom 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
58.0%
Shaun Wick run for 2 yds to the Wyom 42Similar
Q1 4:45
2ND & 8
OWN 42
-7
58.0%
Colby Kirkegaard sacked by Trayvon Henderson for a loss of 7 yards to the Wyom 35Similar
Q1 4:45
3RD & 15
OWN 35
-5
58.9%
WYOMING Penalty, false start (N/A) to the Wyom 30Similar
Q1 4:45
3RD & 20
OWN 30
+11
58.9%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Shaun Wick for 11 yds to the Wyom 41Similar
Q1 4:45
4TH & 9
OWN 41
+4
58.8%
Ethan Wood punt for 38 yds , Scott Harding returns for 4 yds to the Hawa 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 6TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:4556% → 63%
Q1 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
55.7%
Steven Lakalaka run for 2 yds to the Hawa 27Similar
Q1 1:18
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+11
55.8%
Taylor Graham pass complete to Quinton Pedroza for 11 yds to the Hawa 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+14
56.2%
Pereese Joas run for 14 yds to the Wyom 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:18
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+1
56.9%
Steven Lakalaka run for 1 yd to the Wyom 47Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 47
+3
56.1%
Steven Lakalaka run for 3 yds to the Wyom 44Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 44
+14
56.0%
Taylor Graham pass complete to Steven Lakalaka for 14 yds to the Wyom 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
56.9%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 2 yds to the Wyom 28Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 28
+3
56.9%
Taylor Graham pass complete to Marcus Kemp for 3 yds to the Wyom 25Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 25
+9
56.1%
Taylor Graham pass complete to Jordan Pu'u-Robinson for 9 yds to the Wyom 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:33
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+16
62.6%
Taylor Graham pass complete to Quinton Pedroza for 16 yds for a TD, (Tyler Hadden KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0041% → 39%
Q2 12:29
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+1
59.5%
Dominic Rufran run for 1 yd to the Wyom 19Similar
Q2 12:29
2ND & 9
OWN 19
0
59.6%
Shaun Wick run for no gain to the Wyom 19Similar
Q2 12:29
3RD & 9
OWN 19
+2
60.4%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Shaun Wick for 2 yds to the Wyom 21Similar
Q2 12:29
4TH & 7
OWN 21
0
60.9%
Ethan Wood punt for 49 yds, downed at the Hawa 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0060% → 58%
Q2 10:36
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
59.5%
Steven Lakalaka run for 3 yds to the Hawa 33Similar
Q2 10:36
2ND & 7
OWN 33
-2
59.7%
Steven Lakalaka run for a loss of 2 yards to the Hawa 31Similar
Q2 10:36
3RD & 9
OWN 31
0
58.6%
Taylor Graham pass incomplete to Quinton PedrozaSimilar
Q2 10:36
4TH & 9
OWN 31
0
58.1%
Scott Harding punt for 48 yds, downed at the Wyom 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 9PUNT
8 plays · 32 yds · 0:0042% → 42%
Q2 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+1
58.3%
Shaun Wick run for 1 yd to the Wyom 22Similar
Q2 9:25
2ND & 9
OWN 22
+7
58.4%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Jalen Claiborne for 7 yds Jalen Claiborne fumbled, recovered by Wyom N/ASimilar
Q2 9:25
3RD & 2
OWN 29
+5
58.3%
Shaun Wick run for 5 yds to the Wyom 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+13
57.8%
Shaun Wick run for 13 yds to the Wyom 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
56.9%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Drew Van Maanen for 2 yds to the Wyom 49Similar
Q2 9:25
2ND & 8
OWN 49
+4
56.8%
Brian Hill run for 4 yds to the Hawa 47Similar
Q2 9:25
3RD & 4
OPP 47
0
56.9%
Colby Kirkegaard pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q2 9:25
4TH & 4
OPP 47
0
58.0%
Ethan Wood punt for 47 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 0:0056% → 55%
Q2 5:57
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-9
56.4%
Steven Lakalaka run for 1 yd to the Hawa 21 HAWAII Penalty, illegal block (Sean Shigematsu) to the Hawa 11Similar
Q2 5:57
1ST & 19
OWN 11
0
56.3%
Taylor Graham pass incomplete to Quinton PedrozaSimilar
Q2 5:57
2ND & 19
OWN 11
+22
56.1%
Taylor Graham pass complete to Scott Harding for 22 yds to the Hawa 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:57
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-1
56.8%
Steven Lakalaka run for a loss of 1 yard to the Hawa 32Similar
Q2 5:57
2ND & 11
OWN 32
0
56.4%
Taylor Graham pass incomplete to Quinton PedrozaSimilar
Q2 5:57
3RD & 11
OWN 32
0
55.4%
Taylor Graham pass incomplete to Scott HardingSimilar
Q2 5:57
4TH & 11
OWN 32
0
55.0%
Scott Harding punt for 66 yds, downed at the Wyom 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 11TD
9 plays · 98 yds · 2:3544% → 61%
Q2 4:16
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+2
55.9%
Shaun Wick run for 2 yds to the Wyom 4Similar
Q2 4:16
2ND & 8
OWN 4
+1
56.1%
Shaun Wick run for 1 yd to the Wyom 5Similar
Q2 3:36
3RD & 7
OWN 5
+23
56.0%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Jalen Claiborne for 23 yds to the Wyom 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:36
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
53.6%
Shaun Wick run for 2 yds to the Wyom 30Similar
Q2 3:36
2ND & 8
OWN 30
0
53.7%
Colby Kirkegaard pass incomplete to Dominic RufranSimilar
Q2 3:36
3RD & 8
OWN 30
+16
55.0%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Jalen Claiborne for 16 yds to the Wyom 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:36
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+12
52.0%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Jake Maulhardt for 12 yds to the Hawa 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:41
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+42
39.4%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Jalen Claiborne for 42 yds for a TD, (Stuart Williams KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0041% → 40%
Q2 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
40.7%
Taylor Graham pass incomplete to Marcus KempSimilar
Q2 1:41
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
40.5%
Taylor Graham pass complete to Quinton Pedroza for 7 yds to the Hawa 32Similar
Q2 1:41
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
40.9%
Taylor Graham pass incomplete to Marcus KempSimilar
Q2 1:41
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
40.4%
Scott Harding punt for 54 yds, downed at the Wyom 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 0:1260% → 59%
Q2 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-1
39.9%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Shaun Wick for a loss of 1 yard to the Wyom 13Similar
Q2 1:00
2ND & 11
OWN 13
+3
40.1%
Shaun Wick run for 3 yds to the Wyom 16Similar
Q2 0:55
3RD & 8
OWN 16
+2
40.5%
Shaun Wick run for 2 yds to the Wyom 18Similar
Q2 0:55
4TH & 6
OWN 18
0
41.1%
Ethan Wood punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Scott Harding at the Hawa 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 14END OF HALF
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0039% → 39%
Q2 0:02
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
39.4%
Taylor Graham pass incomplete to Quinton PedrozaSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 0:0060% → 60%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
40.2%
HAWAII Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Ne'Quan Phillips) to the Wyom 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
38.8%
Shaun Wick run for 2 yds to the Wyom 42Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+6
38.8%
Shaun Wick run for 6 yds to the Wyom 48Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 48
-4
39.4%
Shaun Wick run for a loss of 4 yards to the Wyom 44Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 6
OWN 44
0
40.3%
Ethan Wood punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Scott Harding at the Hawa 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 16TD
7 plays · 81 yds · 2:1238% → 58%
Q3 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+15
37.8%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Justin Vele for 15 yds to the Hawa 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+7
38.4%
Steven Lakalaka run for 7 yds to the Hawa 41Similar
Q3 12:42
2ND & 3
OWN 41
+2
40.0%
Steven Lakalaka run for 2 yds to the Hawa 43Similar
Q3 12:42
3RD & 1
OWN 43
+15
39.4%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Justin Vele for 15 yds to the Wyom 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:42
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+16
40.8%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Quinton Pedroza for 16 yds to the Wyom 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:42
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+15
42.2%
WYOMING Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Xavier Lewis) to the Wyom 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:30
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
57.9%
Keelan Ewaliko run for 11 yds for a TD, (Tyler Hadden KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0049% → 48%
Q3 10:24
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
50.6%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Tanner Gentry for 5 yds to the Wyom 26Similar
Q3 10:24
2ND & 5
OWN 26
-7
49.8%
Colby Kirkegaard sacked by Jeremy Castro for a loss of 7 yards to the Wyom 19Similar
Q3 10:24
3RD & 12
OWN 19
+11
52.4%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Dominic Rufran for 11 yds to the Wyom 30Similar
Q3 10:24
4TH & 1
OWN 30
0
52.0%
Ethan Wood punt for 41 yds, downed at the Hawa 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 18FUMBLE
2 plays · 14 yds · 0:0052% → 52%
Q3 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
51.5%
Steven Lakalaka run for 2 yds to the Hawa 31Similar
Q3 8:15
2ND & 8
OWN 31
+12
51.6%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Quinton Pedroza for 12 yds Quinton Pedroza fumbled, forced by Robert Priester, recovered by Wyom Mark NzeochaSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 19PUNT
9 plays · 3 yds · 0:0056% → 51%
Q3 7:28
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
44.4%
Colby Kirkegaard pass incomplete to Dominic Rufran, broken up by Nick NelsonSimilar
Q3 7:28
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+6
44.5%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Tanner Gentry for 6 yds to the Hawa 37Similar
Q3 7:28
3RD & 4
OPP 37
+3
44.5%
Shaun Wick run for 3 yds to the Hawa 34Similar
Q3 7:28
4TH & 1
OPP 34
+1
46.9%
Colby Kirkegaard run for 1 yd to the Hawa 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:28
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
43.2%
Shaun Wick run for 3 yds to the Hawa 30Similar
Q3 7:28
2ND & 7
OPP 30
-10
42.9%
WYOMING Penalty, Offensive holding (Rafe Kiely) to the Hawa 40Similar
Q3 7:28
2ND & 17
OPP 40
0
45.7%
Colby Kirkegaard pass incomplete to Tanner GentrySimilar
Q3 7:28
3RD & 17
OPP 40
0
47.2%
Colby Kirkegaard pass incomplete to Shaun WickSimilar
Q3 7:28
4TH & 17
OPP 40
0
49.2%
Ethan Wood punt for 40 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 20FUMBLE
4 plays · 11 yds · 0:0047% → 46%
Q3 4:34
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
46.8%
Ikaika Woolsey run for no gain to the Hawa 20Similar
Q3 4:34
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+5
46.6%
WYOMING Penalty, Defensive offside (Eddie Yarbrough) to the Hawa 25Similar
Q3 4:34
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+4
47.5%
Steven Lakalaka run for 4 yds to the Hawa 29Similar
Q3 4:34
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+2
46.4%
Justin Vele run for 2 yds to the Hawa 31 Justin Vele fumbled, recovered by Wyom Sonny PuletasiSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 21TD
3 plays · 31 yds · 1:1662% → 76%
Q3 3:18
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+15
37.7%
Shaun Wick run for 15 yds to the Hawa 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:18
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-1
37.3%
Shaun Wick run for a loss of 1 yard to the Hawa 17Similar
Q3 2:02
2ND & 11
OPP 17
+17
24.1%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to D.J. May for 17 yds for a TD, (Stuart Williams KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 22TD
6 plays · 76 yds · 1:5426% → 46%
Q3 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-1
26.2%
Ikaika Woolsey run for a loss of 1 yard to the Hawa 23Similar
Q3 1:54
2ND & 11
OWN 23
+19
25.9%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Steven Lakalaka for 19 yds to the Hawa 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
27.9%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to Quinton PedrozaSimilar
Q3 1:54
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+5
27.3%
Steven Lakalaka run for 5 yds to the Hawa 47Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 5
OWN 47
+53
46.4%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Quinton Pedroza for 53 yds for a TD, (Tyler Hadden KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 23INT
5 plays · 20 yds · 0:0061% → 63%
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
39.5%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Dominic Rufran for 15 yds to the Wyom 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
36.6%
Shaun Wick run for 2 yds to the Wyom 42Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+3
36.7%
Colby Kirkegaard run for 3 yds to the Wyom 45Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 45
0
36.9%
Colby Kirkegaard pass intercepted Trayvon Henderson return for no gain to the Hawa 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 24TD
5 plays · 51 yds · 1:5147% → 75%
Q4 13:27
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+6
47.0%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 6 yds to the Wyom 45Similar
Q4 13:27
2ND & 4
OPP 45
+2
48.0%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 2 yds to the Wyom 43Similar
Q4 13:27
3RD & 2
OPP 43
+3
47.3%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Quinton Pedroza for 3 yds to the Wyom 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:27
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
47.9%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for no gain to the Wyom 40Similar
Q4 11:36
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+40
74.5%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Marcus Kemp for 40 yds for a TD, (Tyler Hadden KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 25MISSED FG
8 plays · 30 yds · 3:4733% → 35%
Q4 11:28
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
66.6%
Shaun Wick run for 5 yds to the Wyom 41Similar
Q4 11:28
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+7
63.8%
Shaun Wick run for 7 yds to the Wyom 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:28
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+11
63.6%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Dominic Rufran for 11 yds to the Hawa 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:28
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-1
62.8%
D.J. May run for a loss of 1 yard to the Hawa 42Similar
Q4 11:28
2ND & 11
OPP 42
+7
63.8%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Jake Maulhardt for 7 yds to the Hawa 35Similar
Q4 11:28
3RD & 4
OPP 35
+1
62.6%
Shaun Wick run for 1 yd to the Hawa 34Similar
Q4 7:41
4TH & 3
OPP 34
+51
65.1%
Stuart Williams 51 Yard Field Goal MissedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 26TD
7 plays · 66 yds · 4:0973% → 94%
Q4 7:41
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+17
72.7%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 17 yds to the Wyom 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:41
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
75.9%
N/A run for 1 yd to the Wyom 48Similar
Q4 7:41
2ND & 9
OPP 48
+8
75.8%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 8 yds to the Wyom 40Similar
Q4 7:41
3RD & 1
OPP 40
+20
75.5%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 20 yds to the Wyom 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:41
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+3
77.2%
Justin Vele run for 3 yds to the Wyom 17Similar
Q4 7:41
2ND & 7
OPP 17
+1
77.2%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 1 yd to the Wyom 16Similar
Q4 3:32
3RD & 6
OPP 16
+16
93.8%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 16 yds for a TD, (Tyler Hadden KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 27PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:007% → 6%
Q4 3:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
92.9%
Colby Kirkegaard pass incomplete to Shaun Wick, broken up by Moses SamiaSimilar
Q4 3:32
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
92.9%
Colby Kirkegaard pass incomplete to Jalen ClaiborneSimilar
Q4 3:32
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-5
93.4%
Colby Kirkegaard sacked by Beau Yap for a loss of 5 yards to the Wyom 20Similar
Q4 3:32
4TH & 15
OWN 20
0
93.8%
Ethan Wood punt for 39 yds, downed at the Hawa 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 28PUNT
7 plays · 8 yds · 0:0994% → 96%
Q4 2:46
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
94.3%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 1 yd to the Hawa 42Similar
Q4 2:46
2ND & 9
OWN 42
+1
95.3%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 1 yd to the Hawa 43Similar
Q4 2:43
3RD & 8
OWN 43
+6
95.5%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 6 yds to the Hawa 49Similar
Q4 2:37
4TH & 2
OWN 49
0
95.5%
Scott Harding punt for 35 yds, downed at the Wyom 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 29INT
3 plays · -9 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q4 2:23
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-9
97.1%
Colby Kirkegaard sacked by Marcus Malepeai for a loss of 9 yards to the Wyom 7Similar
Q4 2:23
2ND & 19
OWN 7
0
97.3%
Colby Kirkegaard pass incomplete to Jacob HollisterSimilar
Q4 2:23
3RD & 19
OWN 7
0
97.4%
Colby Kirkegaard pass intercepted Trayvon Henderson return for no gain to the Hawa 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 30END OF GAME
3 plays · -3 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q4 1:46
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-1
96.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Hawa 47Similar
Q4 1:46
2ND & 11
OWN 47
-1
96.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Hawa 46Similar
Q4 1:46
3RD & 12
OWN 46
-1
96.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Hawa 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 11:36
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Marcus Kemp for 40 yds for a TD, (Tyler Hadden KICK)
+26.7
TD · Q3 0:00
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Quinton Pedroza for 53 yds for a TD, (Tyler Hadden KICK)
+19.2
TD · Q4 3:32
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 16 yds for a TD, (Tyler Hadden KICK)
+16.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com