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HAW

Hawai'i 14 at Rice 28

RICE
2014 · Week 6 · Oct 4, 2014 · Rice Stadium
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Win probability · RICE
modelRICE aheadHAW aheadconfidence bandkey playRICE scoreHAW score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 12:27 · James Farrimond punt for 42 yds, downed at the Hawa 32
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+31.5+15.80−15.8−31.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 146Pregame prior+3.5Home team on offense−0.1Garbage-time factor−1.3Score differential−1.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 4:41: Driphus Jackson pass complete to James Mayden for 81 yds for a TD, (James Farrimond KICK) — RICE win probability +10.9 pts (now 62%) (top driver: Not a blowout margin).
  2. TD · Q3 9:24: Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Scott Harding for 24 yds for a TD, (Tyler Hadden KICK) — HAW win probability +16.2 pts (now 60%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 0:19: Darik Dillard run for 2 yds for a TD, (James Farrimond KICK) — RICE win probability +20.9 pts (now 66%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 4:18: Darik Dillard run for 4 yds for a TD, (James Farrimond KICK) — RICE win probability +30.1 pts (now 93%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 2:55: Darik Dillard run for 4 yds to the Rice 47 — RICE win probability +10.7 pts (now 94%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
RICE made the numbers' call on 5 of 9HAW made the numbers' call on 8 of 10
  1. Q1 15:00RICE 4th & 8 at RICE 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.9%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:58HAW 4th & 10 at HAW 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.1%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:16HAW 4th & 13 at RICE 15, tied
    Close callWent for it · 33.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    33.3%−0.2
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    33.5%
    83% to make
    Punt
    32.9%−0.6
    average punt
  4. Q1 9:34RICE 4th & 15 at RICE 10, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.8%−0.2
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.0%
    average punt
  5. Q1 4:35RICE 4th & 4 at HAW 47, down 7
    Close callPunted · 62.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.3%−0.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:31RICE 4th & 9 at HAW 41, down 7
    Close callPunted · 58.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.3%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    57.8%−0.4
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    58.1%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 12:04HAW 4th & 2 at HAW 28, up 7
    Close callPunted · 42.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.3%−0.6
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:43HAW 4th & 9 at RICE 20, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 49.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.9%−1.0
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    48.8%
    75% to make
    Punt
    43.5%−5.3
    average punt
  9. Q2 4:41HAW 4th & 8 at HAW 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.1%−0.6
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.7%
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:03RICE 4th & 19 at HAW 40, tied
    Numbers favored punt by 2.0 ptsWent for it · 61.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    59.4%−2.0
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    60.6%−0.8
    34% to make
    Punt
    61.4%
    average punt
  11. Q3 15:00HAW 4th & 14 at HAW 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.4%−2.9
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.3%
    average punt
  12. Q3 9:24RICE 4th & 6 at RICE 45, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.7%−0.7
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.4%
    average punt
  13. Q3 4:51RICE 4th & 1 at HAW 22, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 43.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    43.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    39.1%−4.1
    72% to make
    Punt
    27.3%−15.8
    average punt
  14. Q3 4:45HAW 4th & 6 at HAW 26, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.9%−1.3
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.2%
    average punt
  15. Q4 15:00HAW 4th & 14 at HAW 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.4%−4.2
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.6%
    average punt
  16. Q4 12:27RICE 4th & 19 at RICE 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.6%−8.1
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.7%
    average punt
  17. Q4 9:46HAW 4th & 5 at HAW 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.1%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.1%
    average punt
  18. Q4 4:18HAW 4th & 2 at RICE 43, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 15.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    9.8%−4.0
    28% to make
    Punt
    9.2%−4.6
    average punt
  19. Q4 0:12RICE 4th & 13 at HAW 31, up 7
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.3 ptsWent for it · 92.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    92.1%−1.3
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    93.3%
    54% to make
    Punt
    91.6%−1.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
RICE made the numbers' call on 3 of 4HAW made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 4:35HAW Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    37.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    37.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 4:41RICE Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 9:24HAW Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    54.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    54.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 0:19RICE Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.4%−0.3
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 4:18RICE Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.2%−1.7
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 0:12RICE Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.0%−0.6
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.5%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
RICEDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0067% → 67%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
67.0%
Driphus Jackson pass incomplete to Connor CellaSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
67.0%
Jowan Davis run for 2 yds to the Rice 27Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
67.0%
Driphus Jackson pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 8
OWN 27
+1
67.0%
James Farrimond punt for 39 yds , Scott Harding returns for 1 yd to the Hawa 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0033% → 33%
Q1 13:58
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
66.9%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to Quinton PedrozaSimilar
Q1 13:58
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+6
66.9%
Steven Lakalaka run for 6 yds to the Hawa 41Similar
Q1 13:58
3RD & 4
OWN 41
-6
66.8%
Ikaika Woolsey sacked by Alex Lyons for a loss of 6 yards to the Hawa 35Similar
Q1 13:58
4TH & 10
OWN 35
+30
67.0%
Scott Harding punt for 30 yds , Bryce Callahan returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Rice 34 Bryce Callahan fumbled, forced by Benetton Fonua, recovered by Hawa Michael MartinSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 3DOWNS
10 plays · 19 yds · 2:1734% → 34%
Q1 12:33
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
66.4%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to Steven LakalakaSimilar
Q1 12:33
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+10
66.5%
Ikaika Woolsey run for 10 yds to the Rice 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:33
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-3
66.4%
Ikaika Woolsey run for a loss of 3 yards to the Rice 27Similar
Q1 12:33
2ND & 13
OPP 27
+12
66.5%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Quinton Pedroza for 12 yds to the Rice 15Similar
Q1 12:33
3RD & 1
OPP 15
+3
66.5%
Steven Lakalaka run for 3 yds to the Rice 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:33
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-2
66.4%
Steven Lakalaka run for a loss of 2 yards to the Rice 14Similar
Q1 12:33
2ND & 12
OPP 14
0
66.5%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to Quinton Pedroza, broken up by Ryan PollardSimilar
Q1 10:16
3RD & 12
OPP 14
-1
65.9%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Diocemy Saint Juste for a loss of 1 yard to the Rice 15Similar
Q1 10:16
4TH & 13
OPP 15
0
66.4%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to TJ Taimatuia for no gain to the Rice 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:0066% → 66%
Q1 9:34
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
66.4%
Jowan Davis run for no gain to the Rice 15Similar
Q1 9:34
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+5
66.3%
HAWAII Penalty, Defensive offside (Kennedy Tulimasealii) to the Rice 20Similar
Q1 9:34
2ND & 5
OWN 20
-6
66.3%
Driphus Jackson run for a loss of 6 yards to the Rice 14Similar
Q1 9:34
3RD & 11
OWN 14
-4
66.1%
Driphus Jackson sacked by Gaetano DeMattei for a loss of 4 yards to the Rice 10Similar
Q1 9:34
4TH & 15
OWN 10
0
66.0%
James Farrimond punt for 58 yds, downed at the Hawa 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 5TD
8 plays · 68 yds · 2:4835% → 40%
Q1 7:23
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
65.5%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to Scott Harding, broken up by Malcolm HillSimilar
Q1 7:23
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+15
65.7%
RICE Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Bryce Callahan) to the Hawa 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:23
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
65.1%
Steven Lakalaka run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 7:23
2ND & 7
50
+3
65.0%
Ikaika Woolsey run for 3 yds to the Rice 47Similar
Q1 7:23
3RD & 4
OPP 47
+14
65.1%
Ikaika Woolsey run for 14 yds to the Rice 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:23
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+13
64.8%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 13 yds to the Rice 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:23
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
64.7%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for no gain to the Rice 20Similar
Q1 4:35
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+20
60.3%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Scott Harding for 20 yds for a TD, (Tyler Hadden KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 6PUNT
8 plays · 26 yds · 0:0062% → 62%
Q1 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-5
61.6%
Driphus Jackson run for a loss of 5 yards to the Rice 22Similar
Q1 4:35
2ND & 15
OWN 22
+4
61.4%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Zach Wright for 4 yds to the Rice 26Similar
Q1 4:35
3RD & 11
OWN 26
+21
61.0%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Jordan Taylor for 21 yds to the Rice 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
62.6%
Darik Dillard run for 5 yds to the Hawa 48Similar
Q1 4:35
2ND & 5
OPP 48
+1
62.8%
Driphus Jackson run for 1 yd to the Hawa 47Similar
Q1 4:35
3RD & 4
OPP 47
0
62.6%
Driphus Jackson pass incomplete to Jordan TaylorSimilar
Q1 4:35
4TH & 4
OPP 47
0
61.9%
James Farrimond punt for 47 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 7INT
9 plays · 43 yds · 0:5741% → 43%
Q1 0:57
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
59.1%
Steven Lakalaka run for 2 yds to the Hawa 22Similar
Q1 0:57
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+15
59.1%
RICE Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Ryan Pollard) to the Hawa 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:57
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+16
58.2%
Ikaika Woolsey run for 16 yds to the Rice 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:57
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-1
57.5%
Ikaika Woolsey sacked by Graysen Schantz for a loss of 1 yard to the Rice 48Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 48
+10
56.9%
Ikaika Woolsey run for 10 yds to the Rice 38Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 38
+1
56.8%
Steven Lakalaka run for 1 yd to the Rice 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
56.8%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to Marcus KempSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 37
0
56.9%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to Scott HardingSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 37
+28
57.1%
Ikaika Woolsey pass intercepted V.J. Banks return for 28 yds to the Hawa 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0060% → 58%
Q2 13:31
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
59.7%
Driphus Jackson run for no gain to the Hawa 42Similar
Q2 13:31
2ND & 10
OPP 42
0
59.5%
Driphus Jackson pass incomplete to Jordan TaylorSimilar
Q2 13:31
3RD & 10
OPP 42
+1
58.9%
Driphus Jackson run for 1 yd to the Hawa 41Similar
Q2 13:31
4TH & 9
OPP 41
0
57.6%
James Farrimond punt for 41 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0043% → 43%
Q2 12:04
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
56.7%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Marcus Kemp for 5 yds to the Hawa 25Similar
Q2 12:04
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+3
55.9%
Steven Lakalaka run for 3 yds to the Hawa 28Similar
Q2 12:04
3RD & 2
OWN 28
0
56.2%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to Quinton Pedroza, broken up by Grant PetersonSimilar
Q2 12:04
4TH & 2
OWN 28
0
57.1%
Scott Harding punt for 43 yds, downed at the Rice 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 10INT
4 plays · 18 yds · 0:0056% → 57%
Q2 10:46
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
56.3%
Jowan Davis run for 4 yds to the Rice 33Similar
Q2 10:46
2ND & 6
OWN 33
+17
56.4%
Jowan Davis run for 17 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:46
1ST & 10
50
-3
58.2%
Jowan Davis run for a loss of 3 yards to the Rice 47Similar
Q2 10:46
2ND & 13
OWN 47
+19
56.9%
Driphus Jackson pass intercepted Benetton Fonua return for 19 yds to the Rice 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 11MISSED FG
8 plays · 11 yds · 2:5848% → 50%
Q2 8:41
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-12
51.7%
Ikaika Woolsey sacked by Bryce Callahan for a loss of 12 yards to the Rice 43Similar
Q2 8:41
2ND & 22
OPP 43
0
52.7%
HAWAII Penalty, intentional grounding (Ikaika Woolsey) to the Rice 43Similar
Q2 8:41
2ND & 22
OPP 43
+7
52.7%
Ikaika Woolsey run for 7 yds to the Rice 36Similar
Q2 8:41
3RD & 15
OPP 36
+15
53.4%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Scott Harding for 15 yds to the Rice 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:41
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+1
51.5%
Ikaika Woolsey run for 1 yd to the Rice 20Similar
Q2 8:41
2ND & 9
OPP 20
-2
51.5%
Ikaika Woolsey sacked by Brian Nordstrom for a loss of 2 yards to the Rice 22Similar
Q2 8:41
3RD & 11
OPP 22
+2
52.3%
Ikaika Woolsey run for 2 yds to the Rice 20Similar
Q2 5:43
4TH & 9
OPP 20
+38
49.8%
Tyler Hadden 38 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 12TD
3 plays · 80 yds · 1:0251% → 62%
Q2 5:43
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
51.3%
Driphus Jackson pass incomplete to Jordan TaylorSimilar
Q2 5:43
2ND & 10
OWN 20
-1
51.2%
Jowan Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rice 19Similar
Q2 4:41
3RD & 11
OWN 19
+81
62.1%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to James Mayden for 81 yds for a TD, (James Farrimond KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 0:0040% → 39%
Q2 4:41
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+9
60.0%
Steven Lakalaka run for 9 yds to the Hawa 36Similar
Q2 4:41
2ND & 1
OWN 36
+2
58.6%
Steven Lakalaka run for 2 yds to the Hawa 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:41
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-4
58.9%
Steven Lakalaka run for a loss of 4 yards to the Hawa 34Similar
Q2 4:41
2ND & 14
OWN 34
+6
60.7%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Quinton Pedroza for 6 yds to the Hawa 40Similar
Q2 4:41
3RD & 8
OWN 40
0
59.6%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to Marcus KempSimilar
Q2 4:41
4TH & 8
OWN 40
0
61.4%
Scott Harding punt for 44 yds, downed at the Rice 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 14DOWNS
15 plays · 44 yds · 2:2363% → 61%
Q2 2:26
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+6
62.9%
Jowan Davis run for 6 yds to the Rice 22Similar
Q2 2:26
2ND & 4
OWN 22
+4
63.1%
Jowan Davis run for 4 yds to the Rice 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:26
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+20
63.2%
Darik Dillard run for 5 yds to the Rice 31 for a 1ST down HAWAII Penalty, personal foul (Marcus Malepeai) to the Rice 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:34
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+9
65.5%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Jordan Taylor for 9 yds to the Hawa 45Similar
Q2 1:34
2ND & 1
OPP 45
+1
66.2%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Darik Dillard for 1 yd to the Hawa 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:34
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
66.2%
Driphus Jackson pass incomplete to Zach WrightSimilar
Q2 1:34
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+9
66.0%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Mario Hull for 9 yds to the Hawa 35Similar
Q2 1:34
3RD & 1
OPP 35
+4
65.8%
Darik Dillard run for 4 yds to the Hawa 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:34
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
66.8%
Driphus Jackson pass incomplete to Connor CellaSimilar
Q2 0:34
2ND & 10
OPP 31
0
66.7%
Driphus Jackson pass incomplete to Mario Hull, broken up by Luke ShawleySimilar
Q2 0:34
3RD & 10
OPP 31
-9
65.0%
Driphus Jackson sacked by Benetton Fonua for a loss of 9 yards to the Hawa 40Similar
Q2 0:03
4TH & 19
OPP 40
0
60.9%
Driphus Jackson pass incomplete to Zach WrightSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 0:0041% → 39%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+21
59.5%
Ikaika Woolsey run for 21 yds to the Hawa 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-15
56.9%
HAWAII Penalty, personal foul (Brenden Urban) to the Hawa 31Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 25
OWN 31
+4
59.5%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Marcus Kemp for 4 yds to the Hawa 35Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 21
OWN 35
+8
59.8%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Scott Harding for 8 yds to the Hawa 43Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 13
OWN 43
-1
59.6%
Ikaika Woolsey sacked by Graysen Schantz for a loss of 1 yard to the Hawa 42Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 14
OWN 42
0
61.1%
Scott Harding punt for 31 yds, downed at the Rice 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 16FUMBLE
1 play · 9 yds · 0:0063% → 63%
Q3 12:23
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+9
62.8%
Jowan Davis run for 9 yds to the Rice 36 Jowan Davis fumbled, forced by Taz Stevenson, recovered by Hawa Moses SamiaSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 17TD
7 plays · 36 yds · 2:5144% → 60%
Q3 12:15
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-5
55.9%
Steven Lakalaka run for a loss of 5 yards to the Rice 41Similar
Q3 12:15
2ND & 15
OPP 41
+9
57.5%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Marcus Kemp for 9 yds to the Rice 32Similar
Q3 12:15
3RD & 6
OPP 32
+8
56.3%
Ikaika Woolsey run for 8 yds to the Rice 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:15
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+4
54.6%
Steven Lakalaka run for 4 yds to the Rice 20Similar
Q3 12:15
2ND & 6
OPP 20
+1
54.6%
Ikaika Woolsey run for 1 yd to the Rice 19Similar
Q3 12:15
3RD & 5
OPP 19
-5
55.9%
HAWAII Penalty, false start (Dejon Allen) to the Rice 24Similar
Q3 9:24
3RD & 10
OPP 24
+24
39.7%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Scott Harding for 24 yds for a TD, (Tyler Hadden KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0047% → 43%
Q3 9:24
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
46.5%
Darik Dillard run for 4 yds to the Rice 45Similar
Q3 9:24
2ND & 6
OWN 45
0
47.2%
Driphus Jackson pass incomplete to Zach WrightSimilar
Q3 9:24
3RD & 6
OWN 45
0
45.6%
Driphus Jackson pass incomplete to Jordan Taylor, broken up by Ne'Quan PhillipsSimilar
Q3 9:24
4TH & 6
OWN 45
+20
43.4%
James Farrimond punt for 36 yds , Scott Harding returns for 20 yds to the Hawa 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 19FUMBLE
3 plays · -8 yds · 0:0061% → 61%
Q3 8:13
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
39.2%
Steven Lakalaka run for no gain to the Hawa 39Similar
Q3 8:13
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+7
39.6%
Steven Lakalaka run for 7 yds to the Hawa 46Similar
Q3 8:13
3RD & 3
OWN 46
-15
39.3%
Ikaika Woolsey sacked by Connor Johnson for a loss of 15 yards to the Hawa 31 Ikaika Woolsey fumbled, recovered by Rice Brad Luvender , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 20DOWNS
5 plays · 9 yds · 2:0849% → 42%
Q3 6:59
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+1
48.6%
Darik Dillard run for 1 yd to the Hawa 30Similar
Q3 6:59
2ND & 9
OPP 30
+6
48.5%
Darik Dillard run for 6 yds to the Hawa 24Similar
Q3 6:59
3RD & 3
OPP 24
+2
46.8%
Jowan Davis run for 2 yds to the Hawa 22Similar
Q3 4:51
4TH & 1
OPP 22
0
41.6%
Driphus Jackson pass incomplete to Jordan Taylor, broken up by Dee MaggittSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0064% → 62%
Q3 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
36.4%
Steven Lakalaka run for 4 yds to the Hawa 26Similar
Q3 4:45
2ND & 6
OWN 26
0
35.1%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to Damien PackerSimilar
Q3 4:45
3RD & 6
OWN 26
0
36.6%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to Keelan EwalikoSimilar
Q3 4:45
4TH & 6
OWN 26
0
38.4%
Scott Harding punt for 35 yds, downed at the Rice 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 22TD
7 plays · 61 yds · 3:1740% → 66%
Q3 3:36
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
39.8%
Darik Dillard run for 4 yds to the Rice 43Similar
Q3 3:36
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+9
41.7%
Darik Dillard run for 9 yds to the Hawa 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:36
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
43.0%
Driphus Jackson run for 6 yds to the Hawa 42Similar
Q3 3:36
2ND & 4
OPP 42
+4
43.1%
Darik Dillard run for 4 yds to the Hawa 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:36
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+28
43.1%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Jordan Taylor for 28 yds to the Hawa 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+8
44.8%
Darik Dillard run for 8 yds to the Hawa 2Similar
Q3 0:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
65.7%
Darik Dillard run for 2 yds for a TD, (James Farrimond KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 23PUNT
7 plays · 21 yds · 0:1945% → 43%
Q3 0:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
55.1%
Steven Lakalaka run for 7 yds to the Hawa 32Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+18
52.1%
Steven Lakalaka run for 18 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
50
+4
49.8%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 4 yds to the Rice 46Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 46
0
50.0%
Steven Lakalaka run for no gain to the Rice 46Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 46
-8
50.5%
Ikaika Woolsey sacked by Christian Covington for a loss of 8 yards to the Hawa 46Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 14
OWN 46
0
57.4%
Scott Harding punt for 44 yds, downed at the Rice 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 24PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 0:0058% → 55%
Q4 12:27
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+25
58.4%
Darik Dillard run for 25 yds to the Rice 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:27
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
59.5%
Darik Dillard run for 1 yd to the Rice 36Similar
Q4 12:27
2ND & 9
OWN 36
-10
59.9%
RICE Penalty, Offensive holding (Andrew Reue) to the Rice 26Similar
Q4 12:27
2ND & 19
OWN 26
-6
58.0%
Driphus Jackson sacked by Simon Poti for a loss of 6 yards to the Rice 20Similar
Q4 12:27
3RD & 25
OWN 20
+6
56.1%
Darik Dillard run for 6 yds to the Rice 26Similar
Q4 12:27
4TH & 19
OWN 26
0
55.0%
James Farrimond punt for 42 yds, downed at the Hawa 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 25PUNT
5 plays · 16 yds · 0:0049% → 48%
Q4 9:46
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+11
51.5%
Steven Lakalaka run for 11 yds to the Hawa 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:46
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
48.7%
Steven Lakalaka run for 1 yd to the Hawa 44Similar
Q4 9:46
2ND & 9
OWN 44
+4
49.2%
Steven Lakalaka run for 4 yds to the Hawa 48Similar
Q4 9:46
3RD & 5
OWN 48
0
48.6%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to Marcus Kemp, broken up by Bryce CallahanSimilar
Q4 9:46
4TH & 5
OWN 48
0
51.7%
Scott Harding punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Bryce Callahan at the Rice 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 26TD
7 plays · 79 yds · 3:5158% → 93%
Q4 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
57.6%
Darik Dillard run for 3 yds to the Rice 24Similar
Q4 8:09
2ND & 7
OWN 24
+6
57.8%
Darik Dillard run for 6 yds to the Rice 30Similar
Q4 8:09
3RD & 1
OWN 30
+6
57.8%
Darik Dillard run for 6 yds to the Rice 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-4
59.6%
Driphus Jackson sacked by Marcus Malepeai for a loss of 4 yards to the Rice 32Similar
Q4 8:09
2ND & 14
OWN 32
+14
57.2%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Jordan Taylor for 14 yds to the Rice 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+50
62.6%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Mario Hull for 50 yds to the Hawa 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
92.8%
Darik Dillard run for 4 yds for a TD, (James Farrimond KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 27DOWNS
6 plays · 23 yds · 0:0016% → 17%
Q4 4:18
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+15
83.9%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Quinton Pedroza for 15 yds to the Hawa 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:18
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
81.4%
Steven Lakalaka run for no gain to the Hawa 49Similar
Q4 4:18
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+8
82.3%
Ikaika Woolsey run for 8 yds to the Rice 43Similar
Q4 4:18
3RD & 2
OPP 43
0
80.0%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to Harold Moleni, broken up by Julius WhiteSimilar
Q4 4:18
4TH & 2
OPP 43
0
82.9%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to Quinton Pedroza, broken up by Julius WhiteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 28TD
11 plays · 57 yds · 2:4394% → 99%
Q4 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
93.6%
Darik Dillard run for 4 yds to the Rice 47Similar
Q4 2:55
2ND & 6
OWN 47
+6
93.7%
Darik Dillard run for 6 yds to the Hawa 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:55
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+19
93.8%
Darik Dillard run for 19 yds to the Hawa 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:27
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+4
96.0%
Darik Dillard run for 4 yds to the Hawa 24Similar
Q4 1:20
2ND & 6
OPP 24
+5
97.0%
Darik Dillard run for 5 yds to the Hawa 19Similar
Q4 1:04
3RD & 1
OPP 19
-12
96.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 12 yards to the Hawa 31Similar
Q4 0:12
4TH & 13
OPP 31
+31
99.2%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Jordan Taylor for 31 yds for a TD, (James Farrimond KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 29END OF GAME
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 0:12
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
98.7%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to Quinton PedrozaSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 4:18
Darik Dillard run for 4 yds for a TD, (James Farrimond KICK)
+30.1
TD · Q3 0:19
Darik Dillard run for 2 yds for a TD, (James Farrimond KICK)
+20.9
TD · Q3 9:24
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Scott Harding for 24 yds for a TD, (Tyler Hadden KICK)
-16.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com