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HAW

Hawai'i 12 at Colorado 21

COLO
2014 · Week 4 · Sep 20, 2014 · Folsom Field
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Win probability · COLO
modelCOLO aheadHAW aheadconfidence bandkey playCOLO scoreHAW score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGTDTDFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 11:43 · Scott Harding punt for 46 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Colo 5
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+27.0+13.50−13.5−27.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 175Pregame prior+4.6Home team on offense+13.4Garbage-time factor+3.0Score differential+5.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.1Time remaining+2.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 2:46: Sefo Liufau pass complete to Nelson Spruce for 71 yds for a TD, (Will Oliver KICK) — COLO win probability +2.6 pts (now 72%) (top driver: COLO has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 8:57: Shay Fields run for 13 yds for a TD, (Will Oliver KICK) — COLO win probability +6.6 pts (now 77%) (top driver: COLO has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 4:04: Sefo Liufau pass complete to George Frazier for 9 yds for a TD, (Will Oliver KICK) — COLO win probability +7.2 pts (now 85%) (top driver: COLO has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q3 8:26: Steven Lakalaka run for 2 yds to the Colo 5 — HAW win probability +4.8 pts (now 19%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
  5. FG · Q3 7:48: Tyler Hadden 24 yd FG GOOD — HAW win probability +2.2 pts (now 20%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
COLO made the numbers' call on 8 of 11HAW made the numbers' call on 10 of 13
  1. Q1 12:18COLO 4th & 4 at COLO 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.9%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:59HAW 4th & 8 at HAW 14, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.2%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.4%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:18COLO 4th & 2 at HAW 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 68.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    68.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    68.0%−0.3
    34% to make
    Punt
    68.1%−0.3
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:03HAW 4th & 11 at COLO 17, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 32.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.4%−0.4
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    32.8%
    80% to make
    Punt
    31.0%−1.8
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:19HAW 4th & 7 at COLO 7, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 32.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.6%−0.2
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    31.8%
    91% to make
    Punt
    28.6%−3.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:57HAW 4th & 9 at HAW 26, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.9%−1.0
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:13COLO 4th & 3 at HAW 37, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 74.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    74.5%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    73.6%−0.9
    40% to make
    Punt
    73.4%−1.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:04HAW 4th & 5 at HAW 30, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.2%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.4%
    average punt
  9. Q2 3:12COLO 4th & 9 at COLO 19, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.0%−0.6
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.6%
    average punt
  10. Q2 2:20HAW 4th & 8 at HAW 44, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.4%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.5%
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:17COLO 4th & 5 at COLO 18, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.1%−0.8
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.8%
    average punt
  12. Q3 12:38HAW 4th & 3 at COLO 23, down 15
    Close callKicked a field goal · 16.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    16.2%−0.4
    70% to make
    Punt
    12.2%−4.4
    average punt
  13. Q3 12:28COLO 4th & 19 at COLO 42, up 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.8%−3.1
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.9%
    average punt
  14. Q3 10:51HAW 4th & 2 at HAW 28, down 12
    Close callPunted · 17.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.4%−0.6
    average punt
  15. Q3 7:48HAW 4th & 5 at COLO 5, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 17.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.8%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    16.8%
    92% to make
    Punt
    11.9%−4.9
    average punt
  16. Q3 7:48COLO 4th & 3 at COLO 32, up 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.5%−0.5
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.1%
    average punt
  17. Q3 6:26HAW 4th & 7 at COLO 49, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.3%−0.5
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.8%
    average punt
  18. Q3 3:34COLO 4th & 10 at COLO 46, up 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.0%−1.6
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.7%
    average punt
  19. Q3 1:47HAW 4th & 10 at COLO 48, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.2%−1.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.5%
    average punt
  20. Q4 15:00COLO 4th & 2 at HAW 44, up 9
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.6 ptsPunted · 84.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    81.7%−2.9
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    83.0%−1.6
    average punt
  21. Q4 11:43HAW 4th & 6 at HAW 49, down 9
    Close callPunted · 14.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.7%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.6%−0.1
    average punt
  22. Q4 9:43COLO 4th & 4 at HAW 48, up 9
    Close callPunted · 86.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.5%−0.4
    average punt
  23. Q4 5:30HAW 4th & 19 at HAW 17, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.3%−1.6
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.9%
    average punt
  24. Q4 3:04COLO 4th & 5 at COLO 40, up 9
    Close callPunted · 93.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.9%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.8%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
COLO made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 2:46COLO Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 8:57COLO Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 4:04COLO Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
COLODrive 1INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0073% → 73%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+28
73.2%
Sefo Liufau pass intercepted Ne'Quan Phillips return for 28 yds to the Colo 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 2FUMBLE
6 plays · 14 yds · 0:0027% → 27%
Q1 14:43
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
73.1%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Quinton Pedroza for 4 yds to the Colo 36Similar
Q1 14:43
2ND & 6
OPP 36
0
73.1%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 14:43
3RD & 6
OPP 36
+12
73.1%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Marcus Kemp for 12 yds to the Colo 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:43
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
73.1%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Quinton Pedroza for no gain to the Colo 24Similar
Q1 14:43
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+3
73.1%
Ikaika Woolsey run for 3 yds to the Colo 21Similar
Q1 14:43
3RD & 7
OPP 21
-5
73.1%
Ikaika Woolsey sacked by Greg Henderson for a loss of 5 yards to the Colo 26 Ikaika Woolsey fumbled, recovered by Colo Greg Henderson , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 16 yds · 0:0073% → 73%
Q1 12:18
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
72.7%
Phillip Lindsay run for 4 yds to the Colo 30Similar
Q1 12:18
2ND & 6
OWN 30
+4
72.7%
Christian Powell run for 4 yds to the Colo 34Similar
Q1 12:18
3RD & 2
OWN 34
+2
72.7%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Shay Fields for 2 yds to the Colo 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:18
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
72.8%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Shay Fields for 5 yds to the Colo 41Similar
Q1 12:18
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+4
72.9%
Christian Powell run for 4 yds to the Colo 45Similar
Q1 12:18
3RD & 1
OWN 45
-4
72.9%
COLORADO Penalty, false start (Stephane Nembot) to the Colo 41Similar
Q1 12:18
3RD & 5
OWN 41
+1
72.8%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to D.D. Goodson for 1 yd to the Colo 42Similar
Q1 12:18
4TH & 4
OWN 42
0
72.7%
Darragh O'Neill punt for 46 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Hawa 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0028% → 28%
Q1 8:59
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+1
71.9%
Steven Lakalaka run for 1 yd to the Hawa 13Similar
Q1 8:59
2ND & 9
OWN 13
+1
71.9%
Steven Lakalaka run for 1 yd to the Hawa 14Similar
Q1 8:59
3RD & 8
OWN 14
0
72.1%
Steven Lakalaka run for no gain to the Hawa 14Similar
Q1 8:59
4TH & 8
OWN 14
0
72.3%
Scott Harding punt for 46 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Colo 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 5DOWNS
6 plays · 21 yds · 0:0072% → 72%
Q1 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
71.9%
Tony Jones run for 4 yds to the Colo 44Similar
Q1 7:18
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+8
72.2%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Shay Fields for 8 yds to the Hawa 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:18
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
72.3%
Tony Jones run for 4 yds to the Hawa 44Similar
Q1 7:18
2ND & 6
OPP 44
+3
72.3%
Phillip Lindsay run for 3 yds to the Hawa 41Similar
Q1 7:18
3RD & 3
OPP 41
+1
72.1%
Phillip Lindsay run for 1 yd to the Hawa 40Similar
Q1 7:18
4TH & 2
OPP 40
+1
71.8%
Phillip Lindsay run for 1 yd to the Hawa 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 6FG
7 plays · 44 yds · 2:2330% → 31%
Q1 5:26
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+30
70.5%
Steven Lakalaka run for 30 yds to the Colo 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:26
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+2
70.0%
Steven Lakalaka run for 2 yds to the Colo 29Similar
Q1 5:26
2ND & 8
OPP 29
+13
69.9%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Quinton Pedroza for 13 yds to the Colo 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:26
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
69.9%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to Quinton PedrozaSimilar
Q1 5:26
2ND & 10
OPP 16
-1
69.9%
Ikaika Woolsey run for a loss of 1 yard to the Colo 17Similar
Q1 5:26
3RD & 11
OPP 17
0
70.3%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to Scott Harding, broken up by John WalkerSimilar
Q1 3:03
4TH & 11
OPP 17
+35
69.5%
Tyler Hadden 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 7TD
2 plays · 71 yds · 0:0072% → 72%
Q1 2:46
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+71
72.1%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Nelson Spruce for 71 yds for a TD, (Will Oliver KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 8FG
16 plays · 68 yds · 6:2728% → 30%
Q1 2:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
72.1%
WOOLSEY, Ikaika pass incomplete to LAKALAKA, Steve (Walker, John), PENALTY COLO pass interference (Walker, John) 13 yards to the UH38, 1ST DOWN UH, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:46
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
71.5%
Steven Lakalaka run for 1 yd to the Hawa 39Similar
Q1 2:46
2ND & 9
OWN 39
+10
71.6%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Marcus Kemp for 10 yds to the Hawa 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:46
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
71.0%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 2 yds to the Colo 49Similar
Q1 2:46
2ND & 8
OPP 49
+2
71.0%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 2 yds to the Colo 47Similar
Q1 2:46
3RD & 6
OPP 47
+15
71.1%
Ikaika Woolsey run for 15 yds to the Colo 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
69.7%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to Marcus KempSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+17
69.8%
Steven Lakalaka run for 17 yds to the Colo 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+1
69.6%
Ikaika Woolsey run for 1 yd to the Colo 14Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 14
+3
69.6%
Steven Lakalaka run for 3 yds to the Colo 11Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 11
+8
70.1%
Keelan Ewaliko run for 8 yds to the Colo 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
69.6%
Steven Lakalaka run for 2 yds to the Colo 1Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-4
69.6%
Ikaika Woolsey sacked by Addison Gillam for a loss of 4 yards to the Colo 5Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
-2
70.1%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Justin Vele for a loss of 2 yards to the Colo 7Similar
Q2 11:19
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+25
69.7%
Tyler Hadden 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 9TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 2:2271% → 77%
Q2 11:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
70.5%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Nelson Spruce for 7 yds to the Colo 32Similar
Q2 11:19
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+9
71.3%
Christian Powell run for 9 yds to the Colo 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:19
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+8
71.4%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Nelson Spruce for 8 yds to the Colo 49Similar
Q2 11:19
2ND & 2
OWN 49
+18
71.9%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to George Frazier for 18 yds to the Hawa 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:19
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
72.4%
Sefo Liufau pass incomplete to Bryce BoboSimilar
Q2 11:19
2ND & 10
OPP 33
0
72.4%
Sefo Liufau pass incomplete to Shay FieldsSimilar
Q2 11:19
3RD & 10
OPP 33
-6
71.6%
COLORADO Penalty, false start (Stephane Nembot) to the Hawa 39Similar
Q2 11:19
3RD & 16
OPP 39
+26
70.6%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to D.D. Goodson for 26 yds to the Hawa 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:57
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
77.2%
Shay Fields run for 13 yds for a TD, (Will Oliver KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0023% → 22%
Q2 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
76.6%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Quinton Pedroza for 1 yd to the Hawa 26Similar
Q2 8:57
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
76.6%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to Harold MoleniSimilar
Q2 8:57
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
77.1%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to Scott Harding HAWAII Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 8:57
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
77.6%
Scott Harding punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Nelson Spruce at the Colo 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 11TD
12 plays · 56 yds · 4:0978% → 85%
Q2 8:13
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+7
77.6%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Nelson Spruce for 7 yds to the Hawa 49Similar
Q2 8:13
2ND & 3
OPP 49
+5
77.7%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Nelson Spruce for 5 yds to the Hawa 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:13
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
77.8%
Christian Powell run for 1 yd to the Hawa 43Similar
Q2 8:13
2ND & 9
OPP 43
0
77.7%
Sefo Liufau pass incomplete to Nelson SpruceSimilar
Q2 8:13
3RD & 9
OPP 43
+6
77.1%
Christian Powell run for 6 yds to the Hawa 37Similar
Q2 8:13
4TH & 3
OPP 37
+13
76.5%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Kyle Slavin for 13 yds to the Hawa 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:13
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
77.9%
Sefo Liufau pass incomplete to D.D. GoodsonSimilar
Q2 8:13
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+7
77.8%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Shay Fields for 7 yds to the Hawa 17Similar
Q2 8:13
3RD & 3
OPP 17
+6
77.3%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Shay Fields for 6 yds to the Hawa 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:13
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
77.9%
Christian Powell run for 2 yds to the Hawa 9Similar
Q2 8:13
2ND & 8
OPP 9
0
77.9%
Sefo Liufau pass incomplete to D.D. GoodsonSimilar
Q2 4:04
3RD & 8
OPP 9
+9
85.1%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to George Frazier for 9 yds for a TD, (Will Oliver KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0016% → 16%
Q2 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
83.6%
Steven Lakalaka run for 5 yds to the Hawa 30Similar
Q2 4:04
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
83.1%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to Harold MoleniSimilar
Q2 4:04
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
83.4%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to Keelan Ewaliko, broken up by Greg HendersonSimilar
Q2 4:04
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
84.0%
Scott Harding punt for 53 yds, downed at the Colo 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0085% → 84%
Q2 3:12
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+1
85.2%
Christian Powell run for 1 yd to the Colo 19Similar
Q2 3:12
2ND & 9
OWN 19
0
85.1%
Sefo Liufau pass incomplete to Nelson Spruce, broken up by Beau YapSimilar
Q2 3:12
3RD & 9
OWN 19
0
84.5%
Sefo Liufau pass incomplete to Nelson SpruceSimilar
Q2 3:12
4TH & 9
OWN 19
+15
83.9%
Darragh O'Neill punt for 54 yds , Scott Harding returns for 15 yds to the Hawa 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0016% → 16%
Q2 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
83.8%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Marcus Kemp for 2 yds to the Hawa 44Similar
Q2 2:20
2ND & 8
OWN 44
0
83.7%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to Marcus Kemp, broken up by Greg HendersonSimilar
Q2 2:20
3RD & 8
OWN 44
0
83.9%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q2 2:20
4TH & 8
OWN 44
0
84.5%
Scott Harding punt for 55 yds, downed at the Colo 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 15PUNT
10 plays · 17 yds · 1:2086% → 86%
Q2 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+1
86.2%
George Frazier run for 1 yd to the Colo 2Similar
Q2 1:32
2ND & 9
OWN 2
+11
87.1%
Christian Powell run for 11 yds to the Colo 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:32
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+4
87.3%
Christian Powell run for 4 yds to the Colo 17Similar
Q2 1:09
2ND & 6
OWN 17
-1
87.5%
Christian Powell run for a loss of 1 yard to the Colo 16Similar
Q2 1:02
3RD & 7
OWN 16
+2
87.3%
Phillip Lindsay run for 2 yds to the Colo 18Similar
Q2 0:17
4TH & 5
OWN 18
0
86.0%
Darragh O'Neill punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Scott Harding at the Hawa 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 16END OF HALF
3 plays · 16 yds · 0:1112% → 14%
Q2 0:11
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+16
88.5%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Scott Harding for 16 yds to the Colo 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:11
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
87.3%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to Marcus KempSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 35
-5
86.3%
Oliver, Will kickoff 57 yards to the UH8, PEDROZA, Quinto return to the UH19 (Murphy, Jordan), PENALTY COLO offside 5 yards to the COLO30, NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 17FG
7 plays · 51 yds · 2:0915% → 18%
Q3 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+32
85.2%
Jeremy Higgins pass complete to Marcus Kemp for 32 yds to the Colo 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:47
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+12
83.8%
Steven Lakalaka run for 12 yds to the Colo 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:47
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
83.1%
Steven Lakalaka run for no gain to the Colo 30Similar
Q3 14:47
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+9
83.1%
Jeremy Higgins pass complete to Marcus Kemp for 9 yds to the Colo 21Similar
Q3 14:47
3RD & 1
OPP 21
-2
83.5%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for a loss of 2 yards to the Colo 23Similar
Q3 12:38
4TH & 3
OPP 23
+41
81.7%
Tyler Hadden 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 18PUNT
6 plays · -9 yds · 0:0086% → 83%
Q3 12:28
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-2
85.5%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Shay Fields for a loss of 2 yards to the Colo 49Similar
Q3 12:28
2ND & 12
OWN 49
-2
85.1%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Michael Adkins II for a loss of 2 yards to the Colo 47Similar
Q3 12:28
3RD & 14
OWN 47
0
84.3%
Sefo Liufau pass incomplete to Shay FieldsSimilar
Q3 12:28
4TH & 14
OWN 47
-5
83.5%
O'Neill,Darragh punt 38 yards to the UH15, HARDING, Scott return to the UH21 (Severson, Ryan), PENALTY COLO illegal formation 5 yards to the COLO42, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:28
4TH & 19
OWN 42
+6
83.4%
Darragh O'Neill punt for 44 yds , Scott Harding returns for 6 yds to the Hawa 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0017% → 16%
Q3 10:51
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
83.4%
Steven Lakalaka run for 1 yd to the Hawa 21Similar
Q3 10:51
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+7
83.5%
Steven Lakalaka run for 7 yds to the Hawa 28Similar
Q3 10:51
3RD & 2
OWN 28
0
83.2%
Jeremy Higgins pass incomplete to Harold MoleniSimilar
Q3 10:51
4TH & 2
OWN 28
+7
83.8%
Scott Harding punt for 56 yds , Nelson Spruce returns for 7 yds to the Colo 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 20INT
3 plays · 12 yds · 0:0086% → 86%
Q3 9:24
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
86.3%
Michael Adkins II run for 2 yds to the Colo 25Similar
Q3 9:24
2ND & 8
OWN 25
+10
86.2%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Nelson Spruce for 10 yds to the Colo 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:24
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+34
86.3%
Sefo Liufau pass intercepted TJ Taimatuia return for 34 yds to the Colo 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 21FG
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:3819% → 20%
Q3 8:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
81.5%
Steven Lakalaka run for 2 yds to the Colo 5Similar
Q3 8:26
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
81.5%
Jeremy Higgins pass incomplete to Harold MoleniSimilar
Q3 8:26
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
82.7%
Jeremy Higgins pass incomplete to Marcus Kemp, broken up by Chidobe AwuzieSimilar
Q3 7:48
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+24
80.5%
Tyler Hadden 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0082% → 81%
Q3 7:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
81.9%
Tony Jones run for 6 yds to the Colo 31Similar
Q3 7:48
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+1
82.3%
Tony Jones run for 1 yd to the Colo 32Similar
Q3 7:48
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
81.5%
Sefo Liufau pass incomplete to Tyler McCulloch COLORADO Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 7:48
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+4
80.7%
Darragh O'Neill punt for 45 yds , Scott Harding returns for 4 yds to the Hawa 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 23PUNT
8 plays · 24 yds · 0:0019% → 18%
Q3 6:26
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+10
81.4%
HIGGINS, Jeremy pass incomplete to PEDROZA, Quinto, PENALTY COLO holding (Crawley, Ken) 10 yards to the UH37, 1ST DOWN UH, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:26
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-5
81.0%
HAWAII Penalty, false start (Sean Shigematsu) to the Hawa 32Similar
Q3 6:26
1ST & 15
OWN 32
0
81.7%
Jeremy Higgins pass incomplete to Quinton Pedroza, broken up by Chidobe AwuzieSimilar
Q3 6:26
2ND & 15
OWN 32
+16
81.9%
Jeremy Higgins pass complete to Quinton Pedroza for 16 yds to the Hawa 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:26
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
80.0%
Jeremy Higgins pass incomplete to Marcus Kemp, broken up by Greg HendersonSimilar
Q3 6:26
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+3
80.4%
Daniel Lewis Jr. run for 3 yds to the Colo 49Similar
Q3 6:26
3RD & 7
OPP 49
0
80.1%
Jeremy Higgins pass incomplete to Ammon Barker, broken up by Ken CrawleySimilar
Q3 6:26
4TH & 7
OPP 49
0
81.8%
Scott Harding punt for 43 yds, downed at the Colo 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 24PUNT
10 plays · 39 yds · 1:2783% → 84%
Q3 5:01
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+4
82.9%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Bryce Bobo for 4 yds to the Colo 11Similar
Q3 5:01
2ND & 6
OWN 11
+8
82.8%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Nelson Spruce for 8 yds to the Colo 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:01
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
83.2%
Christian Powell run for no gain to the Colo 19Similar
Q3 5:01
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+7
83.0%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Nelson Spruce for 7 yds to the Colo 26Similar
Q3 3:34
3RD & 3
OWN 26
+20
84.2%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Nelson Spruce for 20 yds to the Colo 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:34
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
86.0%
Sefo Liufau pass incomplete to George FrazierSimilar
Q3 3:34
2ND & 10
OWN 46
-2
85.7%
Sefo Liufau sacked by N/A and Beau Yap for a loss of 2 yards to the Colo 44Similar
Q3 3:34
3RD & 12
OWN 44
+2
84.5%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Nelson Spruce for 2 yds to the Colo 46Similar
Q3 3:34
4TH & 10
OWN 46
+39
83.9%
Darragh O'Neill punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Scott Harding at the COLORADO 15 HAWAII Penalty, roughing the kicker ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 25PUNT
8 plays · 36 yds · 0:0016% → 16%
Q3 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
84.4%
Jeremy Higgins pass incomplete to Quinton Pedroza, broken up by Kenneth OlugbodeSimilar
Q3 1:47
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+1
84.7%
Steven Lakalaka run for 1 yd to the Hawa 17Similar
Q3 1:47
3RD & 9
OWN 17
+15
85.3%
HIGGINS, Jeremy pass incomplete to KING, Donnie, PENALTY COLO DPI (Awuzie, Chidobe) 15 yards to the UH32, 1ST DOWN UH, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+20
83.8%
Steven Lakalaka run for 20 yds to the Colo 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:47
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
81.9%
Jeremy Higgins pass incomplete to Donnie King Jr.Similar
Q3 1:47
2ND & 10
OPP 48
0
82.3%
Jeremy Higgins pass incomplete to Marcus KempSimilar
Q3 1:47
3RD & 10
OPP 48
0
83.0%
Jeremy Higgins pass incomplete to Marcus KempSimilar
Q3 1:47
4TH & 10
OPP 48
0
84.4%
Scott Harding punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Nelson Spruce at the Colo 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 26PUNT
9 plays · 46 yds · 0:2486% → 86%
Q3 0:24
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+6
85.8%
Phillip Lindsay run for 6 yds to the Colo 16Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 16
+7
85.9%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Tyler McCulloch for 7 yds to the Colo 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
86.2%
Sefo Liufau pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 23
0
85.9%
Sefo Liufau pass incomplete to Shay FieldsSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 23
+6
85.3%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Bryce Bobo for 6 yds to the Colo 29Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
87.4%
Shay Fields run for 1 yd to the Colo 49Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 49
+7
87.3%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Nelson Spruce for 7 yds to the Hawa 44Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 44
0
87.1%
Sefo Liufau pass incomplete to D.D. GoodsonSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 2
OPP 44
0
86.2%
Darragh O'Neill punt for 44 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 27PUNT
7 plays · 29 yds · 0:0013% → 14%
Q4 11:43
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
87.3%
Jeremy Higgins pass incomplete to Keelan EwalikoSimilar
Q4 11:43
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
87.4%
Jeremy Higgins pass incomplete to Marcus KempSimilar
Q4 11:43
3RD & 10
OWN 20
+10
88.1%
HIGGINS, Jeremy pass intercepted by Walker, John at the UH32, Walker, John return to the UH4 (HIGGINS, Jeremy), PENALTY COLO holding (Henderson, Greg) 10 yards to the UH30, 1ST DOWN UH, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:43
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+15
86.4%
HIGGINS, Jeremy sacked for loss of 4 yards to the UH26 (Henderson, Greg), fumble by HIGGINS, Jeremy recovered by UH HIGGINS, Jeremy at UH26, LAKALAKA, Steve for no gain to the UH26, PENALTY COLO face mask (Henderson, Greg) 15 yards to the UH45, 1ST DOWN UH, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:43
2ND & 15
OWN 40
+9
87.1%
Jeremy Higgins pass complete to Marcus Kemp for 9 yds to the Hawa 49Similar
Q4 11:43
3RD & 6
OWN 49
0
85.0%
Jeremy Higgins pass incomplete to Quinton PedrozaSimilar
Q4 11:43
4TH & 6
OWN 49
0
86.4%
Scott Harding punt for 46 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Colo 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 28PUNT
10 plays · 47 yds · 0:0088% → 88%
Q4 9:43
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+4
88.3%
Phillip Lindsay run for 4 yds to the Colo 9Similar
Q4 9:43
2ND & 6
OWN 9
+7
88.2%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Bryce Bobo for 7 yds to the Colo 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:43
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-1
88.5%
Christian Powell run for a loss of 1 yard to the Colo 15Similar
Q4 9:43
2ND & 11
OWN 15
+5
88.2%
Sefo Liufau run for 5 yds to the Colo 20Similar
Q4 9:43
3RD & 6
OWN 20
+16
87.8%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Nelson Spruce for 16 yds to the Colo 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:43
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+10
89.0%
Liufau, Sefo pass incomplete to Fields, Shay, PENALTY UH holding (MAGGITT, Dee) 10 yards to the COLO46, 1ST DOWN COLO, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:43
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
89.5%
Donovan Lee run for 2 yds to the Colo 48Similar
Q4 9:43
2ND & 8
OWN 48
+4
89.4%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Nelson Spruce for 4 yds to the Hawa 48Similar
Q4 9:43
3RD & 4
OPP 48
0
89.1%
Sefo Liufau pass incomplete to Nelson Spruce, broken up by Dee MaggittSimilar
Q4 9:43
4TH & 4
OPP 48
0
88.4%
Darragh O'Neill punt for 43 yds, downed at the Hawa 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 29PUNT
7 plays · 11 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q4 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+8
92.9%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Marcus Kemp for 8 yds to the Hawa 14Similar
Q4 5:30
2ND & 2
OWN 14
0
92.5%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to Quinton PedrozaSimilar
Q4 5:30
3RD & 2
OWN 14
+12
92.9%
Steven Lakalaka run for 12 yds to the Hawa 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
92.4%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to Marcus KempSimilar
Q4 5:30
2ND & 10
OWN 26
0
92.5%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to Marcus Kemp, broken up by Greg HendersonSimilar
Q4 5:30
3RD & 10
OWN 26
-9
92.9%
Ikaika Woolsey sacked by Clay Norgard for a loss of 9 yards to the Hawa 17Similar
Q4 5:30
4TH & 19
OWN 17
+47
93.2%
Scott Harding punt for 47 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Colo 35 , Nelson Spruce returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Colo 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 30PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:5293% → 94%
Q4 3:56
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
93.2%
Christian Powell run for a loss of 1 yard to the Colo 34Similar
Q4 3:56
2ND & 11
OWN 34
+4
93.2%
Christian Powell run for 4 yds to the Colo 38Similar
Q4 3:04
3RD & 7
OWN 38
+2
94.8%
Phillip Lindsay run for 2 yds to the Colo 40Similar
Q4 3:04
4TH & 5
OWN 40
0
94.3%
Darragh O'Neill punt for 59 yds, downed at the Hawa 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 31INT
6 plays · 31 yds · 0:003% → 4%
Q4 2:27
1ST & 10
OWN 2
0
96.8%
Taylor Graham pass incomplete to Ammon BarkerSimilar
Q4 2:27
2ND & 10
OWN 2
+9
96.8%
Taylor Graham pass complete to Marcus Kemp for 9 yds to the Hawa 11Similar
Q4 2:27
3RD & 1
OWN 11
+6
96.7%
Steven Lakalaka run for 6 yds to the Hawa 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:27
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+7
96.5%
Taylor Graham pass complete to Quinton Pedroza for 7 yds to the Hawa 24Similar
Q4 2:27
2ND & 3
OWN 24
+9
96.2%
Taylor Graham pass complete to Ammon Barker for 9 yds to the Hawa 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:27
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+7
96.2%
Taylor Graham pass intercepted Tedric Thompson return for 7 yds to the Hawa 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 32END OF GAME
2 plays · -4 yds · 0:0097% → 96%
Q4 1:08
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-2
96.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Hawa 47Similar
Q4 1:08
2ND & 12
OPP 47
-2
96.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Hawa 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 4:04
Sefo Liufau pass complete to George Frazier for 9 yds for a TD, (Will Oliver KICK)
+7.2
TD · Q2 8:57
Shay Fields run for 13 yds for a TD, (Will Oliver KICK)
+6.6
KEY PLAY · Q3 8:26
Steven Lakalaka run for 2 yds to the Colo 5
-4.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com