Try the model
EMU

Eastern Michigan 0 at Florida 65

FLA
2014 · Week 2 · Sep 6, 2014 · Ben Hill Griffin Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · FLA
modelFLA aheadEMU aheadconfidence bandkey playFLA scoreEMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 8:22 · Kyle Christy punt for 60 yds for a touchback
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+49.0+24.50−24.5−49.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 168Pregame prior+13.4Home team on offense+33.9Score differential+30.2Blowout margin+16.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+14.5Garbage-time factor+13.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 6:00: Kelvin Taylor run for 31 yds for a TD, (Francisco Velez KICK) — FLA win probability +0.3 pts (now 98%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 4:48: Matt Jones run for 40 yds for a TD, (Francisco Velez KICK) — FLA win probability +0.4 pts (now 99%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 13:49: Brandon Powell run for 12 yds for a TD, (Francisco Velez KICK) — FLA win probability +0.6 pts (now 99%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
  4. FG · Q2 6:30: Francisco Velez 36 yd FG GOOD — FLA win probability +0.4 pts (now 99%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FLA made the numbers' call on 8 of 10EMU made the numbers' call on 8 of 10
  1. Q1 13:15EMU 4th & 8 at EMU 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.7%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:54FLA 4th & 2 at EMU 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    97.7%−0.2
    30% to make
    Punt
    97.8%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:54FLA 4th & 2 at EMU 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    97.5%−0.1
    68% to make
    Punt
    97.1%−0.5
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:44FLA 4th & 5 at EMU 16, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 97.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.3%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.4%
    81% to make
    Punt
    96.9%−0.4
    average punt
  5. Q1 5:03EMU 4th & 8 at EMU 37, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.5%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.5%
    average punt
  6. Q1 2:30EMU 4th & 5 at EMU 40, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.1%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.1%
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:30FLA 4th & 7 at EMU 19, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.5%−<0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.5%
    77% to make
    Punt
    98.0%−0.6
    average punt
  8. Q2 3:38EMU 4th & 2 at FLA 45, down 27
    Close callPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%−0.3
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%−0.2
    average punt
  9. Q2 2:36FLA 4th & 2 at FLA 17, up 27
    Close callPunted · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  10. Q2 2:02EMU 4th & 15 at EMU 32, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:13FLA 4th & 5 at EMU 12, up 27
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%−0.2
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.6%
    86% to make
    Punt
    99.1%−0.5
    average punt
  12. Q3 7:10EMU 4th & 3 at EMU 36, down 37
    Close callPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  13. Q3 5:25FLA 4th & 1 at EMU 8, up 37
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    99.7%−0.2
    90% to make
    Punt
    99.2%−0.6
    average punt
  14. Q3 4:31EMU 4th & 5 at EMU 15, down 37
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  15. Q3 0:45EMU 4th & 14 at EMU 39, down 51
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.1
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  16. Q4 13:26EMU 4th & 2 at EMU 33, down 58
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  17. Q4 8:22FLA 4th & 8 at FLA 40, up 65
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  18. Q4 5:50EMU 4th & 9 at EMU 32, down 65
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  19. Q4 2:58FLA 4th & 7 at FLA 39, up 65
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  20. Q4 0:08FLA 4th & 12 at EMU 25, up 65
    Close callWent for it · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%−0.1
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    100.0%
    66% to make
    Punt
    99.8%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FLA made the numbers' call on 8 of 8
  1. Q1 6:00FLA Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:48FLA Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 13:49FLA Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 9:18FLA Touchdown, up 36 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 3:33FLA Touchdown, up 43 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 2:51FLA Touchdown, up 50 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 14:47FLA Touchdown, up 57 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 12:08FLA Touchdown, up 64 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
EMUDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 1:351% → 1%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
98.8%
Reginald Bell Jr. run for 9 yds to the EMich 34Similar
Q1 14:36
2ND & 1
OWN 34
-5
98.7%
EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, False Start (Lincoln Hansen) to the EMich 29Similar
Q1 14:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-2
98.7%
Bronson Hill run for a loss of 2 yards to the EMich 27Similar
Q1 13:27
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
98.6%
Reginald Bell Jr. pass incomplete to Tyler AllenSimilar
Q1 13:15
4TH & 8
OWN 27
-3
98.6%
Austin Barnes punt for 49 yds , Andre Debose returns for a loss of 3 yards to the Fla 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 2FG
17 plays · 63 yds · 6:1199% → 98%
Q1 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
98.6%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Quinton Dunbar for 3 yds to the Fla 24Similar
Q1 12:38
2ND & 7
OWN 24
+6
98.6%
Matt Jones run for 6 yds to the Fla 30Similar
Q1 12:09
3RD & 1
OWN 30
+3
98.5%
Matt Jones run for 3 yds to the Fla 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:46
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+17
98.5%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Quinton Dunbar for 17 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:32
1ST & 10
50
-5
98.5%
FLORIDA Penalty, False Start (Trip Thurman) to the Fla 45Similar
Q1 11:17
1ST & 15
OWN 45
+7
98.4%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Latroy Pittman for 7 yds to the EMich 48Similar
Q1 10:59
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+5
98.4%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Latroy Pittman for 5 yds to the EMich 43Similar
Q1 10:18
3RD & 3
OPP 43
+1
98.4%
Treon Harris run for 1 yd to the EMich 42Similar
Q1 9:54
4TH & 2
OPP 42
+10
98.3%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Quinton Dunbar for 10 yds to the EMich 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:25
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
98.3%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Ahmad Fulwood for 2 yds to the EMich 30Similar
Q1 8:52
2ND & 8
OPP 30
+3
98.2%
Kelvin Taylor run for 3 yds to the EMich 27Similar
Q1 8:14
3RD & 5
OPP 27
+3
98.1%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Valdez Showers for 3 yds to the EMich 24Similar
Q1 7:54
4TH & 2
OPP 24
+3
98.1%
Kelvin Taylor run for 3 yds to the EMich 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:33
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
98.1%
Jeff Driskel pass incomplete to Ahmad FulwoodSimilar
Q1 7:21
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+5
98.0%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Matt Jones for 5 yds to the EMich 16Similar
Q1 6:49
3RD & 5
OPP 16
0
98.0%
Jeff Driskel pass incomplete to Jake McGee, broken up by Kevin JohnsonSimilar
Q1 6:44
4TH & 5
OPP 16
+33
98.0%
Francisco Velez 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 3FUMBLE
3 plays · 6 yds · 0:242% → 2%
Q1 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
97.9%
Ryan Brumfield run for 6 yds to the EMich 31Similar
Q1 6:06
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
97.9%
Reginald Bell Jr. run for no gain to the EMich 31 Reginald Bell Jr. fumbled, recovered by Fla Caleb BrantleySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 4TD
1 play · 31 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q1 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+31
98.1%
Kelvin Taylor run for 31 yds for a TD, (Francisco Velez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:442% → 2%
Q1 5:47
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
98.0%
Bronson Hill run for 2 yds to the EMich 37Similar
Q1 5:42
2ND & 8
OWN 37
0
98.0%
Reginald Bell Jr. pass incomplete to Kris Strange, broken up by Vernon HargreavesSimilar
Q1 5:18
3RD & 8
OWN 37
0
98.0%
Reginald Bell Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:03
4TH & 8
OWN 37
+29
98.0%
Austin Barnes punt for 47 yds , Andre Debose returns for 29 yds to the Fla 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 6TD
2 plays · 55 yds · 0:0898% → 99%
Q1 4:56
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+15
98.1%
Driskel, Jeff pass incomplete to Dunbar, Quinton, PENALTY EASTMICH pass interference (Tillman, Ray) 15 yards to the EASTMICH40, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN FLORIDA. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:48
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+40
98.5%
Matt Jones run for 40 yds for a TD, (Francisco Velez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 7PUNT
8 plays · 5 yds · 2:082% → 2%
Q1 4:38
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
98.4%
Reginald Bell Jr. run for 5 yds to the EMich 40Similar
Q1 4:17
2ND & 5
OWN 40
-5
98.3%
EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, False Start (Robert McFadden) to the EMich 35Similar
Q1 3:49
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+9
98.4%
Reginald Bell Jr. pass complete to Dustin Creel for 9 yds to the EMich 44Similar
Q1 3:27
3RD & 1
OWN 44
-4
98.3%
Bronson Hill run for a loss of 4 yards to the EMich 40Similar
Q1 3:00
4TH & 5
OWN 40
0
98.3%
Barnes, Austin punt 49 yards to the FLORIDA11, Debose, Andre return 33 yards to the FLORIDA44, PENALTY EASTMICH illegal formation off-setting, PENALTY FLORIDA Holding off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:30
4TH & 5
OWN 40
0
98.3%
Austin Barnes punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Andre Debose at the Fla 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 8TD
11 plays · 77 yds · 3:2598% → 99%
Q1 2:14
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
98.4%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Mack Brown for 2 yds to the Fla 25Similar
Q1 1:49
2ND & 8
OWN 25
+6
98.4%
Mack Brown run for 6 yds to the Fla 31Similar
Q1 1:11
3RD & 2
OWN 31
+3
98.3%
Mack Brown run for 3 yds to the Fla 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:46
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
98.4%
Mack Brown run for 3 yds to the Fla 37Similar
Q1 0:15
2ND & 7
OWN 37
0
98.4%
Jeff Driskel pass incomplete to Quinton DunbarSimilar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 7
OWN 37
+9
98.3%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Quinton Dunbar for 9 yds to the Fla 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
98.4%
Jeff Driskel pass incomplete to Latroy PittmanSimilar
Q2 14:43
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+42
98.4%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Quinton Dunbar for 42 yds to the EMich 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:15
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
98.4%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Brandon Powell for no gain to the EMich 12Similar
Q2 13:49
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+12
99.0%
Brandon Powell run for 12 yds for a TD, (Francisco Velez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 9FUMBLE
10 plays · 26 yds · 3:011% → 1%
Q2 13:34
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+2
98.7%
Reginald Bell Jr. run for 2 yds to the EMich 20Similar
Q2 13:14
2ND & 8
OWN 20
+16
98.7%
Tyler Allen run for 16 yds to the EMich 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:47
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
98.7%
Reginald Bell Jr. run for 6 yds to the EMich 42Similar
Q2 11:57
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+3
98.7%
Reginald Bell Jr. pass complete to Dustin Creel for 3 yds to the EMich 45Similar
Q2 11:25
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+1
98.7%
Ryan Brumfield run for 1 yd to the EMich 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
98.7%
Reginald Bell Jr. run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 10:42
2ND & 6
50
0
98.7%
Reginald Bell Jr. pass incomplete to Ryan BrumfieldSimilar
Q2 10:33
3RD & 6
50
-6
98.7%
Reginald Bell Jr. sacked by Neiron Ball for a loss of 6 yards to the EMich 44 Reginald Bell Jr. fumbled, forced by Neiron Ball, recovered by Fla Antonio Morrison , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 10FG
12 plays · 25 yds · 4:0399% → 99%
Q2 10:33
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-5
99.1%
FLORIDA Penalty, Delay of Game (Jeff Driskel) to the EMich 49Similar
Q2 10:23
1ST & 15
OPP 49
+4
99.1%
Kelvin Taylor run for 4 yds to the EMich 45Similar
Q2 9:48
2ND & 11
OPP 45
+3
99.1%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Clay Burton for 3 yds to the EMich 42Similar
Q2 9:15
3RD & 8
OPP 42
+9
99.1%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Clay Burton for 9 yds to the EMich 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:54
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+8
99.2%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Demarcus Robinson for 8 yds to the EMich 25Similar
Q2 8:30
2ND & 2
OPP 25
+1
99.2%
Matt Jones run for 1 yd to the EMich 24Similar
Q2 8:23
3RD & 1
OPP 24
+2
99.1%
Matt Jones run for 2 yds to the EMich 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:06
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-10
99.1%
Driskel, Jeff rush for 1 yard to the EASTMICH21, PENALTY FLORIDA holding (Brown, Trenton) 10 yards to the EASTMICH32, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:49
1ST & 20
OPP 32
0
99.1%
Jeff Driskel pass incomplete to Andre DeboseSimilar
Q2 7:35
2ND & 20
OPP 32
+3
99.1%
Matt Jones run for 3 yds to the EMich 29Similar
Q2 7:00
3RD & 17
OPP 29
+10
99.1%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Demarcus Robinson for 10 yds to the EMich 19Similar
Q2 6:30
4TH & 7
OPP 19
+36
99.4%
Francisco Velez 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 11PUNT
8 plays · 36 yds · 2:221% → 0%
Q2 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+15
99.4%
Bronson Hill run for no gain to the EMich 19 for a 1ST down FLORIDA Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the EMich 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:53
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
99.4%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Bronson HillSimilar
Q2 5:32
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+13
99.4%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Tyreese Russell for 13 yds to the EMich 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
99.6%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Darius Jackson for 4 yds to the Fla 49Similar
Q2 4:30
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+1
99.5%
Bronson Hill run for 1 yd to the Fla 48Similar
Q2 4:00
3RD & 5
OPP 48
+3
99.7%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Tyreese Russell for 3 yds to the Fla 45Similar
Q2 3:38
4TH & 2
OPP 45
0
99.8%
Owen Dubiel punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Vernon Hargreaves at the Fla 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:54100% → 100%
Q2 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 9
0
99.5%
Jeff Driskel pass incomplete to Andre DeboseSimilar
Q2 2:59
2ND & 10
OWN 9
+8
99.5%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to C.J. Worton for 8 yds to the Fla 17Similar
Q2 2:48
3RD & 2
OWN 17
0
99.5%
Jeff Driskel pass incomplete to Andre DeboseSimilar
Q2 2:36
4TH & 2
OWN 17
0
99.5%
Kyle Christy punt for 46 yds, downed at the EMich 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 0:280% → 0%
Q2 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
99.8%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Tyler AllenSimilar
Q2 2:22
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
99.8%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Dustin CreelSimilar
Q2 2:13
3RD & 10
OWN 37
-5
99.8%
Brogan Roback sacked by Neiron Ball for a loss of 5 yards to the EMich 32Similar
Q2 2:02
4TH & 15
OWN 32
0
99.8%
Austin Barnes punt for 39 yds, downed at the Fla 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 14FG
14 plays · 59 yds · 1:44100% → 100%
Q2 1:57
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
99.6%
Jeff Driskel pass incomplete to Quinton DunbarSimilar
Q2 1:51
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+9
99.6%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Clay Burton for 9 yds to the Fla 38Similar
Q2 1:46
3RD & 1
OWN 38
+6
99.6%
Matt Jones run for 6 yds to the Fla 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+8
99.6%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Clay Burton for 8 yds to the EMich 48Similar
Q2 1:07
2ND & 2
OPP 48
+5
99.6%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Clay Burton for 5 yds to the EMich 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:52
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+15
99.6%
Driskel, Jeff pass incomplete to Powell, Brandon, PENALTY EASTMICH pass interference (Adams, Nathan) 15 yards to the EASTMICH28, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN FLORIDA. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:46
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
99.6%
Jeff Driskel pass incomplete to Tevin WestbrookSimilar
Q2 0:41
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+8
99.6%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Ahmad Fulwood for 8 yds to the EMich 20Similar
Q2 0:35
3RD & 2
OPP 20
+3
99.7%
Brandon Powell run for 3 yds to the EMich 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:25
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+5
99.7%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Clay Burton for 5 yds to the EMich 12Similar
Q2 0:22
2ND & 5
OPP 12
0
99.7%
Jeff Driskel pass incomplete to Matt Jones, broken up by Mike StealsSimilar
Q2 0:18
3RD & 5
OPP 12
0
99.7%
Jeff Driskel pass incomplete to Ahmad FulwoodSimilar
Q2 0:13
4TH & 5
OPP 12
+29
99.7%
Francisco Velez 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 15END OF HALF
2 plays · 6 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
99.8%
Darius Jackson run for 6 yds to the EMich 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 16TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 5:35100% → 100%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
99.7%
Kelvin Taylor run for 15 yds to the Fla 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:33
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
99.7%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Ahmad Fulwood for 7 yds to the Fla 47Similar
Q3 13:55
2ND & 3
OWN 47
+3
99.7%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Clay Burton for 3 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:26
1ST & 10
50
0
99.7%
Jeff Driskel pass incomplete to Quinton DunbarSimilar
Q3 13:13
2ND & 10
50
+7
99.7%
Jeff Driskel run for 7 yds to the EMich 43Similar
Q3 12:53
3RD & 3
OPP 43
-5
99.7%
FLORIDA Penalty, False Start (Trip Thurman) to the EMich 48Similar
Q3 12:18
3RD & 8
OPP 48
+11
99.8%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Demarcus Robinson for 11 yds to the EMich 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+5
99.8%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Ahmad Fulwood for 5 yds to the EMich 32Similar
Q3 11:26
2ND & 5
OPP 32
0
99.8%
Kelvin Taylor run for no gain to the EMich 32Similar
Q3 10:44
3RD & 5
OPP 32
+10
99.8%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Demarcus Robinson for 10 yds to the EMich 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:20
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+14
99.8%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Demarcus Robinson for 14 yds to the EMich 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
99.8%
Jeff Driskel pass incomplete to Chris ThompsonSimilar
Q3 9:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
99.8%
Matt Jones run for 4 yds to the EMich 4Similar
Q3 9:18
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.8%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Matt Jones for 4 yds for a TD, (Francisco Velez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 21 yds · 2:030% → 0%
Q3 9:13
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+14
99.8%
Kenny Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the EMich 14 for a 1ST down FLORIDA Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the EMich 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
99.8%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Kenny Jones for 4 yds to the EMich 33Similar
Q3 8:22
2ND & 6
OWN 33
+4
99.8%
Bronson Hill run for 4 yds to the EMich 37Similar
Q3 7:50
3RD & 2
OWN 37
-1
99.8%
Bronson Hill run for a loss of 1 yard to the EMich 36Similar
Q3 7:10
4TH & 3
OWN 36
+16
99.8%
Austin Barnes punt for 44 yds , Andre Debose returns for 16 yds to the Fla 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 18DOWNS
5 plays · 54 yds · 1:32100% → 100%
Q3 6:57
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+47
99.9%
Mack Brown run for 47 yds to the EMich 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:43
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
99.9%
Jeff Driskel pass incomplete to Mack BrownSimilar
Q3 6:37
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+1
99.9%
Mack Brown run for 1 yd to the EMich 16Similar
Q3 5:44
3RD & 9
OPP 16
+8
99.9%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Mack Brown for 8 yds to the EMich 8Similar
Q3 5:25
4TH & 1
OPP 8
-2
99.9%
Mack Brown run for a loss of 2 yards to the EMich 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:430% → 0%
Q3 5:14
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+5
99.9%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Ryan Brumfield for 5 yds to the EMich 15Similar
Q3 5:03
2ND & 5
OWN 15
0
99.9%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Cole GardnerSimilar
Q3 4:55
3RD & 5
OWN 15
0
99.9%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Tyreese RussellSimilar
Q3 4:31
4TH & 5
OWN 15
+55
99.9%
Austin Barnes punt for 45 yds , Andre Debose returns for 55 yds to the FLORIDA 30 FLORIDA Penalty, Sideline Interference (15 Yards) to the EMich 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 20TD
3 plays · 20 yds · 0:50100% → 100%
Q3 4:23
1ST & 0
OPP 20
+8
99.9%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Latroy Pittman for 8 yds to the EMich 12Similar
Q3 4:06
2ND & 2
OPP 12
+6
99.9%
Kelvin Taylor run for 6 yds to the EMich 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
99.9%
Kelvin Taylor run for 6 yds for a TD, (Francisco Velez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 21INT TD
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:180% → 0%
Q3 3:09
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
99.9%
Rob Bolden run for 5 yds to the EMich 31Similar
Q3 2:51
2ND & 5
OWN 31
+36
99.9%
Rob Bolden pass intercepted for a TD Duke Dawson return for 36 yds for a TD, (Francisco Velez KICK)Similar
Q3 2:51
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-15
99.9%
FLORIDA Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the Fla 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 1:400% → 0%
Q3 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-1
99.9%
Darius Jackson run for a loss of 1 yard to the EMich 42Similar
Q3 2:00
2ND & 11
OWN 42
+2
99.9%
Rob Bolden run for 2 yds to the EMich 44Similar
Q3 1:10
3RD & 9
OWN 44
-5
99.9%
Rob Bolden sacked by Alex McCalister for a loss of 5 yards to the EMich 39Similar
Q3 0:45
4TH & 14
OWN 39
+1
100.0%
Owen Dubiel punt for 41 yds , Demarcus Robinson returns for 1 yd to the Fla 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 23TD
2 plays · 79 yds · 0:13100% → 100%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+9
99.9%
Brandon Powell run for 9 yds to the Fla 30Similar
Q4 14:47
2ND & 1
OWN 30
+70
99.9%
Treon Harris pass complete to Demarcus Robinson for 70 yds for a TD, (Francisco Velez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:130% → 0%
Q4 14:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
100.0%
Rob Bolden run for no gain to the EMich 25Similar
Q4 14:13
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+8
100.0%
Rob Bolden run for 8 yds to the EMich 33Similar
Q4 13:43
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
100.0%
Rob Bolden pass incomplete to Darius JacksonSimilar
Q4 13:26
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
100.0%
Austin Barnes punt for 49 yds, downed at the Fla 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 25TD
3 plays · 82 yds · 1:07100% → 100%
Q4 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+9
99.9%
Mark Herndon run for 9 yds to the Fla 27Similar
Q4 12:35
2ND & 1
OWN 27
-5
99.9%
FLORIDA Penalty, False Start (Roderick Johnson) to the Fla 22Similar
Q4 12:08
2ND & 6
OWN 22
+78
99.9%
Treon Harris pass complete to Mark Herndon for 78 yds for a TD, (Francisco Velez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 26FUMBLE
5 plays · 16 yds · 1:400% → 0%
Q4 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+7
100.0%
Darius Jackson run for 7 yds to the Fla 47Similar
Q4 11:21
2ND & 3
OPP 47
+2
100.0%
Ryan Brumfield run for 2 yds to the Fla 45Similar
Q4 10:55
3RD & 1
OPP 45
+3
100.0%
Rob Bolden run for 3 yds to the Fla 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+4
100.0%
Ryan Brumfield run for 4 yds to the Fla 38 Ryan Brumfield fumbled, forced by Caleb Brantley, recovered by Fla Daniel McMillianSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 27PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:46100% → 100%
Q4 10:08
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
99.9%
Mark Herndon run for 2 yds to the Fla 40Similar
Q4 9:55
2ND & 8
OWN 40
0
99.9%
Mark Herndon run for no gain to the Fla 40Similar
Q4 9:10
3RD & 8
OWN 40
0
100.0%
Treon Harris run for no gain to the Fla 40Similar
Q4 8:22
4TH & 8
OWN 40
0
100.0%
Kyle Christy punt for 60 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 28PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 2:250% → 0%
Q4 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
100.0%
Tyler Allen run for 4 yds to the EMich 24Similar
Q4 7:51
2ND & 6
OWN 24
0
100.0%
Rob Bolden pass incomplete to Tyler AllenSimilar
Q4 7:42
3RD & 6
OWN 24
+7
100.0%
Rob Bolden pass complete to Tyler Allen for 7 yds to the EMich 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
100.0%
Darius Jackson run for 4 yds to the EMich 35Similar
Q4 7:02
2ND & 6
OWN 35
0
100.0%
Darius Jackson run for no gain to the EMich 35Similar
Q4 6:39
3RD & 6
OWN 35
-3
100.0%
Rob Bolden pass complete to Darius Jackson for a loss of 3 yards to the EMich 32Similar
Q4 5:50
4TH & 9
OWN 32
0
100.0%
Owen Dubiel punt for 45 yds, downed at the Fla 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 29FUMBLE
5 plays · 16 yds · 2:13100% → 100%
Q4 5:11
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+13
100.0%
Darius Masline run for 13 yds to the Fla 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:53
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-1
100.0%
Darius Masline run for a loss of 1 yard to the Fla 35Similar
Q4 4:30
2ND & 11
OWN 35
+4
100.0%
Darius Masline run for 4 yds to the Fla 39Similar
Q4 3:32
3RD & 7
OWN 39
0
100.0%
Treon Harris run for no gain to the Fla 39Similar
Q4 2:58
4TH & 7
OWN 39
+1
100.0%
Kyle Christy punt for 39 yds , Tyler Allen returns for 1 yd to the EMich 23 Tyler Allen fumbled, recovered by Fla Michael McNeelySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 30DOWNS
5 plays · -1 yds · 2:42100% → 100%
Q4 2:50
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+1
100.0%
Darius Masline run for 1 yd to the EMich 22Similar
Q4 2:20
2ND & 9
OPP 22
-10
100.0%
Masline, Darius rush for 8 yards to the EASTMICH14, PENALTY FLORIDA holding (Ajagbe, Gideon) 10 yards to the EASTMICH32, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:58
2ND & 19
OPP 32
+10
100.0%
Darius Masline run for 10 yds to the EMich 22Similar
Q4 1:00
3RD & 9
OPP 22
-3
100.0%
Darius Masline run for a loss of 3 yards to the EMich 25Similar
Q4 0:08
4TH & 12
OPP 25
+1
100.0%
Darius Masline run for 1 yd to the EMich 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 31END OF GAME
1 play · 4 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
100.0%
Juwan Lewis run for 4 yds to the EMich 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 13:49
Brandon Powell run for 12 yds for a TD, (Francisco Velez KICK)
+0.6
TD · Q1 4:48
Matt Jones run for 40 yds for a TD, (Francisco Velez KICK)
+0.4
FG · Q2 6:30
Francisco Velez 36 yd FG GOOD
+0.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com