Try the model
ODU

Old Dominion 31 at Florida Atlantic 28

FAU
2014 · Week 14 · Nov 29, 2014 · FAU Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · FAU
modelFAU aheadODU aheadconfidence bandkey playFAU scoreODU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 15:00 · Satchel Ziffer punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FlAtl 35
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+35.5+17.80−17.8−35.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 132Pregame prior+3.1Home team on offense−1.2Score differential−3.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.1Garbage-time factor+0.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+1.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 6:50: Jay Warren run for 3 yds for a TD (Greg Joseph KICK) — FAU win probability +7.8 pts (now 72%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 2:24: Taylor Heinicke pass complete to Zach Pascal for 2 yds for a TD (Satchel Ziffer KICK) — ODU win probability +14.5 pts (now 47%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 11:58: Ray Lawry run for 68 yds for a TD (Satchel Ziffer KICK) — ODU win probability +28.1 pts (now 74%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 5:14: Jaquez Johnson run for 11 yds for a TD (Greg Joseph KICK) — FAU win probability +27.1 pts (now 60%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 0:00: Satchel Ziffer 27 yd FG GOOD — ODU win probability +32.1 pts (now 95%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FAU made the numbers' call on 5 of 7ODU made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 2:25ODU 4th & 2 at ODU 28, tied
    Close callPunted · 35.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.7%−0.3
    average punt
  2. Q2 14:57ODU 4th & 9 at FAU 12, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 31.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.1%−0.5
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    31.6%
    86% to make
    Punt
    28.4%−3.2
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:57FAU 4th & 5 at FAU 25, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.3%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.6%
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:36ODU 4th & 3 at FAU 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 31.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    31.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    31.4%−0.4
    66% to make
    Punt
    28.2%−3.6
    average punt
  5. Q2 6:50ODU 4th & 3 at ODU 43, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 28.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    29.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    28.7%−0.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 2:24FAU 4th & 7 at FAU 49, tied
    Close callPunted · 62.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.7%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.4%−0.3
    average punt
  7. Q3 15:00FAU 4th & 8 at FAU 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.3%−1.6
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.9%
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:40ODU 4th & 27 at ODU 1, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.2%−6.2
    5% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.4%
    average punt
  9. Q3 10:49FAU 4th & 3 at FAU 47, tied
    Close callPunted · 62.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.4%−0.9
    average punt
  10. Q3 3:49FAU 4th & 3 at FAU 13, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.4%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.5%
    average punt
  11. Q4 15:00ODU 4th & 24 at ODU 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.7%−8.4
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.1%
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:16FAU 4th & 13 at FAU 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.6%−6.5
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.1%
    average punt
  13. Q4 10:25ODU 4th & 3 at ODU 17, up 7
    Close callPunted · 72.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.6%−0.8
    average punt
  14. Q4 5:14FAU 4th & 1 at ODU 11, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 26.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    26.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    23.6%−3.1
    87% to make
    Punt
    9.8%−16.8
    average punt
  15. Q4 5:14ODU 4th & 1 at FAU 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 50.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    50.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    39.1%−11.1
    42% to make
    Punt
    37.0%−13.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FAU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3ODU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 9:50ODU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    35.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    35.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:10FAU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 10:13ODU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    35.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    35.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 6:50FAU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 2:24ODU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    35.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    35.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 11:58ODU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.8%−0.4
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 5:14FAU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.9%−1.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ODUDrive 1TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 5:1037% → 40%
Q1 15:00
2ND & 14
OWN 29
+4
62.6%
HEINICKE, T. pass incomplete to VAUGHN,Melvin, PENALTY FAU pass interference (LEBLANC, C.) 4 yards to the ODU33, 1ST DOWN ODU, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+8
62.6%
Taylor Heinicke run for 8 yds to the ODU 41Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 41
+9
62.6%
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to David Washington for 9 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
50
+7
62.6%
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to Melvin Vaughn for 7 yds to the FlAtl 43Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 43
+15
62.6%
HEINICKE, T. sacked for loss of 2 yards to the FAU45, PENALTY FAU illegal use of hands (HENDRICKSON, Tr) 15 yards to the FAU28, 1ST DOWN ODU, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
62.6%
Ray Lawry run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 25Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 25
+19
62.6%
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to Antonio Vaughan for 19 yds to the FlAtl 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
62.6%
Ray Lawry run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 3Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
62.6%
Taylor Heinicke pass incomplete to Melvin Vaughn, broken up by Damian ParmsSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+1
62.6%
Ray Lawry run for 1 yd to the ODU 34Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 34
-5
62.6%
OLDDOMINION Penalty, false start (Jonathan Duhart) to the ODU 29Similar
Q1 9:50
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
60.1%
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to Antonio Vaughan for 3 yds for a TD (Satchel Ziffer KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 2TD
14 plays · 78 yds · 5:4061% → 63%
Q1 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
60.6%
Jaquez Johnson pass incomplete to Alex DeleonSimilar
Q1 9:50
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+8
60.6%
Jaquez Johnson run for 8 yds to the FlAtl 30Similar
Q1 9:50
3RD & 2
OWN 30
+12
60.6%
Tony Moore run for 12 yds to the FlAtl 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+19
61.0%
Lucky Whitehead run for 19 yds to the ODU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:50
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
61.2%
Tony Moore run for 5 yds to the ODU 34Similar
Q1 9:50
2ND & 5
OPP 34
+5
61.4%
Tony Moore run for 5 yds to the ODU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:50
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+4
61.4%
Jaquez Johnson pass complete to Lucky Whitehead for 4 yds to the ODU 25Similar
Q1 9:50
2ND & 6
OPP 25
+5
61.4%
Tony Moore run for 5 yds to the ODU 20Similar
Q1 9:50
3RD & 1
OPP 20
+14
61.2%
Tony Moore run for 14 yds to the ODU 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
61.4%
Tony Moore run for 2 yds to the ODU 4Similar
Q1 4:58
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
60.0%
Tony Moore run for 3 yds to the ODU 1Similar
Q1 4:10
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
62.9%
Tony Moore run for 1 yd for a TD (Greg Joseph KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 3PUNT RETURN TD
7 plays · 3 yds · 1:4538% → 33%
Q1 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
61.6%
Taylor Heinicke pass incomplete to Jonathan Duhart, broken up by D'Joun SmithSimilar
Q1 4:10
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+9
61.7%
Ray Lawry run for 9 yds to the ODU 29Similar
Q1 4:10
3RD & 1
OWN 29
-10
61.5%
HEINICKE, T. rush for 8 yards to the ODU37 (SMITH, D'Joun;NAGEL, Haiden), PENALTY ODU holding (MANN, Josh) 10 yards to the ODU19, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:10
3RD & 11
OWN 19
+9
62.2%
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to Antonio Vaughan for 9 yds to the ODU 28Similar
Q1 2:25
4TH & 2
OWN 28
+73
66.9%
Jarrett Cervi punt for 45 yds , Lucky Whitehead returns for 73 yds for a TD OLDDOMINION Penalty, illegal formation ( Yards) declined (Greg Joseph KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 4MISSED FG
8 plays · 68 yds · 2:2834% → 34%
Q1 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
66.3%
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to Ray Lawry for 6 yds to the ODU 26Similar
Q1 2:25
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+61
66.0%
Ray Lawry run for 61 yds to the FlAtl 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:25
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-10
64.3%
HEINICKE, T. pass incomplete to JOHNSON, Gerard, QB hurry by COLEY, Trevon, PENALTY ODU holding (MEWBOURNE, C.) 10 yards to the FAU23, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:25
1ST & 20
OPP 23
0
64.5%
Taylor Heinicke pass incomplete to Melvin Vaughn, broken up by Christian MilsteadSimilar
Q1 2:25
2ND & 20
OPP 23
+3
64.9%
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to Jonathan Duhart for 3 yds to the FlAtl 20Similar
Q1 2:25
3RD & 17
OPP 20
+8
65.8%
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to David Washington for 8 yds to the FlAtl 12Similar
Q2 14:57
4TH & 9
OPP 12
+29
66.5%
Satchel Ziffer 29 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0067% → 66%
Q2 14:57
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
67.0%
Jay Warren run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 21Similar
Q2 14:57
2ND & 9
OWN 21
0
66.9%
Jaquez Johnson pass incomplete to Kalib WoodsSimilar
Q2 14:57
3RD & 9
OWN 21
+4
66.4%
Jaquez Johnson run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 25Similar
Q2 14:57
4TH & 5
OWN 25
+14
65.9%
Dalton Schomp punt for 40 yds , Antonio Vaughan returns for 14 yds to the ODU 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 6TD
9 plays · 51 yds · 3:2334% → 43%
Q2 13:36
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-10
65.9%
HEINICKE, T. pass complete to VAUGHN,Melvin for 6 yards to the FAU45, PENALTY ODU holding (MEWBOURNE, C.) 10 yards to the ODU39, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:36
1ST & 20
OWN 39
+15
67.2%
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to Zach Pascal for 15 yds to the FlAtl 46Similar
Q2 13:36
2ND & 5
OPP 46
+14
65.7%
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to Zach Pascal for 14 yds to the FlAtl 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:36
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
65.0%
Taylor Heinicke pass incomplete to David WashingtonSimilar
Q2 13:36
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+3
65.0%
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to Zach Pascal for 3 yds to the FlAtl 29Similar
Q2 13:36
3RD & 7
OPP 29
+4
66.0%
Ray Lawry run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 25Similar
Q2 13:36
4TH & 3
OPP 25
+13
66.7%
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to Melvin Vaughn for 13 yds to the FlAtl 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:36
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
64.8%
Taylor Heinicke pass incomplete to Antonio VaughanSimilar
Q2 10:13
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+12
57.2%
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to Melvin Vaughn for 12 yds for a TD (Satchel Ziffer KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 7TD
9 plays · 79 yds · 3:2362% → 72%
Q2 10:13
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-2
61.6%
Jay Warren run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlAtl 19Similar
Q2 10:13
2ND & 12
OWN 19
+7
61.4%
Jaquez Johnson run for 7 yds to the FlAtl 26Similar
Q2 10:13
3RD & 5
OWN 26
+16
61.0%
Jaquez Johnson pass complete to Henry Bussey for 16 yds to the FlAtl 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:13
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+9
63.1%
Jaquez Johnson pass complete to Jenson Stoshak for 9 yds to the ODU 49Similar
Q2 10:13
2ND & 1
OPP 49
0
63.8%
Jaquez Johnson pass incomplete to Jenson Stoshak, broken up by Justice DavilaSimilar
Q2 10:13
3RD & 1
OPP 49
+32
63.3%
Jaquez Johnson run for 32 yds to the ODU 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:13
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+14
64.3%
Jaquez Johnson run for 14 yds to the ODU 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
72.1%
Jay Warren run for 3 yds for a TD (Greg Joseph KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 8TD
14 plays · 64 yds · 4:2631% → 47%
Q2 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
69.2%
Taylor Heinicke pass incomplete to Zach PascalSimilar
Q2 6:50
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+7
69.6%
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to Melvin Vaughn for 7 yds to the ODU 43Similar
Q2 6:50
3RD & 3
OWN 43
0
68.5%
Taylor Heinicke pass incomplete to Melvin VaughnSimilar
Q2 6:50
4TH & 3
OWN 43
+11
69.9%
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to David Washington for 11 yds to the FlAtl 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:50
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+10
67.8%
HEINICKE, T. pass incomplete to VAUGHAN, A., PENALTY FAU holding (NEASMAN, Sharro) 10 yards to the FAU36, 1ST DOWN ODU, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:50
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+8
67.8%
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to Marques Little for 8 yds to the FlAtl 28Similar
Q2 6:50
2ND & 2
OPP 28
+2
66.3%
Cam Boyd run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:50
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+3
66.3%
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to Marques Little for 3 yds to the FlAtl 23Similar
Q2 6:50
2ND & 7
OPP 23
+9
66.3%
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to Marques Little for 9 yds to the FlAtl 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:50
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+7
66.3%
Ray Lawry run for 7 yds to the FlAtl 7Similar
Q2 6:50
2ND & 3
OPP 7
0
66.3%
Taylor Heinicke pass incomplete to Antonio Vaughan, broken up by D'Joun SmithSimilar
Q2 6:50
3RD & 3
OPP 7
+5
67.6%
HEINICKE, T. pass incomplete to PASCAL, Zach, PENALTY FAU pass interference (PARMS, Damian) 5 yards to the FAU2, 1ST DOWN ODU, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
53.1%
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to Zach Pascal for 2 yds for a TD (Satchel Ziffer KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 9PUNT
9 plays · 23 yds · 0:0061% → 60%
Q2 2:24
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+7
61.1%
Jaquez Johnson pass complete to Lucky Whitehead for 7 yds to the FlAtl 33Similar
Q2 2:24
2ND & 3
OWN 33
0
62.4%
Jaquez Johnson pass incomplete to Kalib WoodsSimilar
Q2 2:24
3RD & 3
OWN 33
+13
60.5%
Jay Warren run for 13 yds to the FlAtl 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:24
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+6
63.4%
Jaquez Johnson pass complete to Jenson Stoshak for 6 yds to the ODU 48Similar
Q2 2:24
2ND & 4
OPP 48
-10
63.9%
JOHNSON, Jaquez rush for 1 yard to the ODU47, PENALTY FAU holding (WARREN, Jay) 10 yards to the FAU42, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:24
2ND & 14
OWN 42
0
61.5%
Jaquez Johnson pass incomplete to Nate TerrySimilar
Q2 2:24
3RD & 14
OWN 42
+7
60.3%
Jay Warren run for 7 yds to the FlAtl 49Similar
Q2 2:24
4TH & 7
OWN 49
0
60.4%
Ryan Rickel punt for 36 yds, downed at the ODU 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 10END OF HALF
4 plays · 18 yds · 0:0043% → 43%
Q2 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
57.3%
Taylor Heinicke pass incomplete to Ray LawrySimilar
Q2 0:55
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+13
57.7%
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to Ray Lawry for 13 yds to the ODU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
56.8%
Taylor Heinicke pass incomplete to Taylor HeinickeSimilar
Q2 0:55
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+5
57.4%
Ray Lawry run for 5 yds to the ODU 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 0:0061% → 59%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-6
60.8%
Jaquez Johnson sacked by D.J. Simon for a loss of 6 yards to the FlAtl 15Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 16
OWN 15
+16
60.5%
Tony Moore run for 16 yds to the FlAtl 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
61.3%
Jaquez Johnson pass incomplete to William DukesSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+2
61.1%
Tony Moore run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 33Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 33
0
60.0%
Jaquez Johnson pass incomplete to Lucky Whitehead, broken up by Justice DavilaSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 8
OWN 33
0
58.8%
Dalton Schomp punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Antonio Vaughan at the ODU 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · -17 yds · 0:0043% → 40%
Q3 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-9
56.9%
HEINICKE, T. pass incomplete to PASCAL, Zach, PENALTY ODU pass interference (PASCAL, Zach) 9 yards to the ODU9, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:40
1ST & 19
OWN 9
+8
57.5%
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to David Washington for 8 yds to the ODU 17Similar
Q3 12:40
2ND & 11
OWN 17
0
57.4%
Taylor Heinicke pass incomplete to Antonio VaughanSimilar
Q3 12:40
3RD & 11
OWN 17
-16
58.6%
Taylor Heinicke sacked by Trevon Coley for a loss of 16 yards to the ODU 1Similar
Q3 12:40
4TH & 27
OWN 1
0
60.0%
Satchel Ziffer punt for 59 yds, downed at the FlAtl 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0062% → 61%
Q3 10:49
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
62.2%
Tony Moore run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 42Similar
Q3 10:49
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+7
62.4%
Tony Moore run for 7 yds to the FlAtl 49Similar
Q3 10:49
3RD & 1
OWN 49
-2
62.4%
Jaquez Johnson run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlAtl 47Similar
Q3 10:49
4TH & 3
OWN 47
0
60.8%
Ryan Rickel punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Antonio Vaughan at the ODU 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 14INT
12 plays · 63 yds · 0:0043% → 47%
Q3 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+9
56.8%
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to Melvin Vaughn for 9 yds to the ODU 26Similar
Q3 8:49
2ND & 1
OWN 26
+3
55.3%
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to Antonio Vaughan for 3 yds to the ODU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
56.4%
Taylor Heinicke run for 4 yds to the ODU 33Similar
Q3 8:49
2ND & 6
OWN 33
+3
55.5%
Ray Lawry run for 3 yds to the ODU 36Similar
Q3 8:49
3RD & 3
OWN 36
+20
55.7%
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to David Washington for 20 yds to the FlAtl 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:49
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
53.0%
Ray Lawry run for 5 yds to the FlAtl 39Similar
Q3 8:49
2ND & 5
OPP 39
+7
52.5%
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to Melvin Vaughn for 7 yds to the FlAtl 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:49
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+1
51.8%
Taylor Heinicke run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 31 Taylor Heinicke fumbled,Similar
Q3 8:49
2ND & 9
OPP 31
+9
51.9%
Ray Lawry run for 9 yds to the FlAtl 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:49
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
51.4%
Ray Lawry run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 20Similar
Q3 8:49
2ND & 8
OPP 20
0
51.4%
Taylor Heinicke pass incomplete to Zach Pascal, broken up by Christian MilsteadSimilar
Q3 8:49
3RD & 8
OPP 20
0
53.4%
Taylor Heinicke pass intercepted Sharrod Neasman return for no gain to the FlAtl 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0058% → 56%
Q3 3:49
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+5
58.4%
Jay Warren run for 5 yds to the FlAtl 11Similar
Q3 3:49
2ND & 5
OWN 11
+2
58.7%
Jay Warren run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 13Similar
Q3 3:49
3RD & 3
OWN 13
0
57.1%
Jaquez Johnson pass incomplete to Kalib WoodsSimilar
Q3 3:49
4TH & 3
OWN 13
-5
56.0%
Dalton Schomp punt for 56 yds , Antonio Vaughan returns for a loss of 5 yards to the ODU 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 16PUNT
9 plays · -4 yds · 2:0645% → 42%
Q3 2:06
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
55.0%
Taylor Heinicke pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:06
2ND & 10
OWN 26
-8
55.4%
HEINICKE, T. pass incomplete to BOYD, Cam, PENALTY ODU holding (MEWBOURNE, C.) 8 yards to the ODU18, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:06
2ND & 18
OWN 18
0
55.9%
Taylor Heinicke pass incomplete to Melvin VaughnSimilar
Q3 2:06
3RD & 18
OWN 18
+18
57.3%
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to Jonathan Duhart for 18 yds to the ODU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:06
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
53.7%
Ray Lawry run for 6 yds to the ODU 42Similar
Q3 2:06
2ND & 4
OWN 42
-10
51.4%
LAWRY, Ray rush for no gain to the ODU42 (ELLIS, Ray;PARMS, Damian), PENALTY ODU holding (BURNS, Tyler) 10 yards to the ODU32, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:06
2ND & 14
OWN 32
-13
55.5%
Taylor Heinicke sacked by Derek Butcher for a loss of 13 yards to the ODU 19Similar
Q3 2:06
3RD & 27
OWN 19
+3
57.3%
Ray Lawry run for 3 yds to the ODU 22Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 24
OWN 22
0
58.4%
Satchel Ziffer punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FlAtl 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 0:0060% → 56%
Q4 14:16
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-3
59.6%
Jaquez Johnson sacked by Bunmi Rotimi for a loss of 3 yards to the FlAtl 32Similar
Q4 14:16
2ND & 13
OWN 32
0
58.7%
Tony Moore run for no gain to the FlAtl 32Similar
Q4 14:16
3RD & 13
OWN 32
0
57.0%
Jaquez Johnson pass incomplete to Nate TerrySimilar
Q4 14:16
4TH & 13
OWN 32
+4
55.8%
Dalton Schomp punt for 47 yds , Antonio Vaughan returns for 4 yds to the ODU 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 18TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:4146% → 74%
Q4 12:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
54.3%
Ray Lawry run for 7 yds to the ODU 32Similar
Q4 11:58
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+68
26.2%
Ray Lawry run for 68 yds for a TD (Satchel Ziffer KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 19FUMBLE
6 plays · 64 yds · 0:0032% → 37%
Q4 11:58
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+38
31.5%
Jaquez Johnson pass complete to Kalib Woods for 38 yds to the ODU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:58
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+17
36.7%
Jaquez Johnson pass complete to Lucky Whitehead for 17 yds to the ODU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:58
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
38.7%
Jaquez Johnson pass incomplete to Jenson Stoshak, broken up by TJ RicksSimilar
Q4 11:58
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+7
38.7%
Tony Moore run for 7 yds to the ODU 12Similar
Q4 11:58
3RD & 3
OPP 12
+2
36.5%
Tony Moore run for 2 yds to the ODU 10 Tony Moore fumbled, forced by TJ Ricks, recovered by ODU TJ RicksSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0075% → 73%
Q4 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+1
24.6%
Ray Lawry run for 1 yd to the ODU 11Similar
Q4 10:25
2ND & 9
OWN 11
+5
25.0%
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to Antonio Vaughan for 5 yds to the ODU 16Similar
Q4 10:25
3RD & 4
OWN 16
+1
25.8%
Ray Lawry run for 1 yd to the ODU 17Similar
Q4 10:25
4TH & 3
OWN 17
0
26.8%
Taylor Heinicke punt for 41 yds, downed at the FlAtl 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 21TD
7 plays · 58 yds · 3:2531% → 60%
Q4 8:39
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
30.9%
Jay Warren run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 44Similar
Q4 8:39
2ND & 8
OWN 44
+20
31.0%
Jaquez Johnson pass complete to Nate Terry for 20 yds to the ODU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:39
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+16
33.4%
Jaquez Johnson pass complete to Kalib Woods for 16 yds to the ODU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:39
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+4
35.4%
Jay Warren run for 4 yds to the ODU 16Similar
Q4 8:39
2ND & 6
OPP 16
+5
35.4%
Jaquez Johnson run for 5 yds to the ODU 11Similar
Q4 8:39
3RD & 1
OPP 11
0
33.2%
Jay Warren run for no gain to the ODU 11Similar
Q4 5:14
4TH & 1
OPP 11
+11
60.3%
Jaquez Johnson run for 11 yds for a TD (Greg Joseph KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 22FG
24 plays · 57 yds · 5:1450% → 95%
Q4 5:14
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+12
49.9%
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to Melvin Vaughn for 12 yds to the ODU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:14
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
46.8%
Ray Lawry run for 4 yds to the ODU 48Similar
Q4 5:14
2ND & 6
OWN 48
+7
46.1%
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to Ray Lawry for 7 yds to the FlAtl 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:14
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
45.4%
Ray Lawry run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 44Similar
Q4 5:14
2ND & 9
OPP 44
+7
45.5%
Taylor Heinicke run for 7 yds to the FlAtl 37Similar
Q4 5:14
3RD & 2
OPP 37
+1
45.1%
Ray Lawry run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 36Similar
Q4 5:14
4TH & 1
OPP 36
+2
48.3%
Ray Lawry run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:43
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
38.9%
Taylor Heinicke pass incomplete to Melvin VaughnSimilar
Q4 1:43
2ND & 10
OPP 34
0
39.2%
Taylor Heinicke pass incomplete to David Washington, broken up by Haiden NagelSimilar
Q4 1:43
3RD & 10
OPP 34
0
42.3%
Taylor Heinicke pass incomplete to Melvin Vaughn, broken up by DJ JusteSimilar
Q4 1:06
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+3
38.8%
Ray Lawry run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 16Similar
Q4 0:56
2ND & 7
OPP 16
+9
37.7%
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to David Washington for 9 yds to the FlAtl 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-15
37.7%
OLDDOMINION Penalty, personal foul (Connor Mewbourne) to the FlAtl 22Similar
Q4 0:56
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+5
37.7%
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to Antonio Vaughan for 5 yds to the FlAtl 17Similar
Q4 0:56
2ND & 5
OPP 17
+5
37.7%
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to David Washington for 5 yds to the FlAtl 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:56
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+1
37.7%
Ray Lawry run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 11Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 9
OPP 11
+27
4.6%
Satchel Ziffer 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q4 0:00
Satchel Ziffer 27 yd FG GOOD
-32.1
TD · Q4 11:58
Ray Lawry run for 68 yds for a TD (Satchel Ziffer KICK)
-28.1
TD · Q4 5:14
Jaquez Johnson run for 11 yds for a TD (Greg Joseph KICK)
+27.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com