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FIU

Florida International 35 at Old Dominion 38

ODU
2014 · Week 11 · Nov 8, 2014 · S.B. Ballard Stadium
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Win probability · ODU
modelODU aheadFIU aheadconfidence bandkey playODU scoreFIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDTDFGTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 15:00 · Jose Laphitzondo punt for 42 yds, downed at the ODU 23
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+25.5+12.80−12.8−25.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 50Home team on offense−0.7Pregame prior+6.9Garbage-time factor+0.1Score differential−1.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 5:35: Alex McGough pass complete to Jonnu Smith for 7 yds for a TD, (Austin Taylor KICK) — FIU win probability +17.1 pts (now 56%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 0:58: Taylor Heinicke pass complete to Zach Pascal for 1 yd for a TD FLORIDA INTL Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined, (Satchel Ziffer KICK) — ODU win probability +19.7 pts (now 67%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 13:17: Anthon Samuel run for 26 yds for a TD, (C. Taylor Run For Two-point Conversion) — FIU win probability +33.6 pts (now 77%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 1:05: Ray Lawry run for 2 yds for a TD, (Satchel Ziffer KICK) — ODU win probability +40.9 pts (now 65%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 0:00: Satchel Ziffer 28 yd FG GOOD — ODU win probability +28.7 pts (now 96%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ODU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6FIU made the numbers' call on 3 of 6
  1. Q1 12:29ODU 4th & 7 at FIU 17, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 58.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.4%−<0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    58.5%
    80% to make
    Punt
    58.1%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 0:24ODU 4th & 1 at FIU 1, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 53.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    52.7%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    51.0%−1.7
    94% to make
    Punt
    46.3%−6.4
    average punt
  3. Q2 15:00FIU 4th & 3 at FIU 35, tied
    Close callPunted · 41.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.2%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:19FIU 4th & 9 at ODU 37, down 7
    Close callPunted · 35.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.1%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    34.9%−0.2
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    34.8%−0.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 0:07FIU 4th & 15 at ODU 21, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 20.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.0%−1.6
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    20.5%
    74% to make
    Punt
    17.9%−2.6
    average punt
  6. Q3 12:43ODU 4th & 13 at ODU 40, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.0%−1.8
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.8%
    average punt
  7. Q3 3:00FIU 4th & 6 at ODU 24, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 55.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.3%−0.3
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    54.6%
    68% to make
    Punt
    43.1%−11.5
    average punt
  8. Q4 13:11ODU 4th & 15 at ODU 13, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.4%−5.0
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.4%
    average punt
  9. Q4 11:16FIU 4th & 11 at FIU 39, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.5%−2.4
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.8%
    average punt
  10. Q4 7:47ODU 4th & 8 at FIU 35, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 28.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    27.2%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    26.8%−0.4
    45% to make
    Punt
    23.9%−3.3
    average punt
  11. Q4 5:43FIU 4th & 2 at FIU 37, up 7
    Close callPunted · 82.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.8%−0.8
    average punt
  12. Q4 4:19ODU 4th & 3 at FIU 32, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 25.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    23.8%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    20.2%−3.6
    51% to make
    Punt
    16.2%−7.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ODU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5FIU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 4:10FIU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:24ODU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 11:23ODU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:44ODU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 12:47FIU Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    34.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    34.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 5:35FIU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    51.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    51.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 0:58ODU Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.1%−0.3
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 13:17FIU Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · converted
    Kick
    64.7%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    64.8%
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 1:05ODU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.3%−4.8
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ODUDrive 1MISSED FG
11 plays · 63 yds · 2:3159% → 60%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+17
59.3%
Ray Lawry run for 17 yds to the ODU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-4
59.3%
Ray Lawry run for a loss of 4 yards to the ODU 33Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 14
OWN 33
0
59.3%
Taylor Heinicke pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 14
OWN 33
+19
59.3%
Taylor Heinicke run for 19 yds to the FlaIn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+12
59.3%
Ray Lawry run for 12 yds to the FlaIn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+16
59.3%
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to Jonathan Duhart for 16 yds to the FlaIn 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+3
59.3%
Gerard Johnson run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 17Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 17
0
59.3%
Taylor Heinicke pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 17
0
59.3%
Taylor Heinicke pass incomplete to Antonio Vaughan, broken up by Shermarke SpenceSimilar
Q1 12:29
4TH & 7
OPP 17
+34
59.5%
Jarrett Cervi 34 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 2TD
18 plays · 80 yds · 8:1941% → 46%
Q1 12:29
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
59.3%
Anthon Samuel run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 26Similar
Q1 12:29
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+7
59.2%
Anthon Samuel run for 7 yds to the FlaIn 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:29
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
59.2%
Anthon Samuel run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 36Similar
Q1 12:29
2ND & 7
OWN 36
0
59.2%
Alex McGough pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:29
3RD & 7
OWN 36
+8
59.3%
Alex McGough run for 8 yds to the FlaIn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:29
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-5
59.1%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the FlaIn 39Similar
Q1 12:29
1ST & 15
OWN 39
+10
59.3%
Anthon Samuel run for 10 yds to the FlaIn 49Similar
Q1 12:29
2ND & 5
OWN 49
+2
59.0%
Anthon Samuel run for 2 yds to the ODU 49Similar
Q1 12:29
3RD & 3
OPP 49
+9
59.1%
Alex McGough run for 9 yds to the ODU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:29
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
59.0%
Anthon Samuel run for 4 yds to the ODU 36Similar
Q1 12:29
2ND & 6
OPP 36
+9
59.0%
Alex McGough pass complete to Akil Dan-Fodio for 9 yds to the ODU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:15
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+3
58.2%
Alex McGough run for 3 yds to the ODU 24Similar
Q1 7:15
2ND & 7
OPP 24
+2
58.2%
Anthon Samuel run for 2 yds to the ODU 22Similar
Q1 7:15
3RD & 5
OPP 22
+6
58.5%
Alex McGough run for 6 yds to the ODU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:15
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+4
58.2%
Anthon Samuel run for 4 yds to the ODU 12Similar
Q1 7:15
2ND & 6
OPP 12
+10
58.2%
Alex McGough run for 10 yds to the ODU 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
54.0%
Alex McGough run for 2 yds for a TD, (Austin Taylor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 3TD
16 plays · 78 yds · 3:4055% → 60%
Q1 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
55.4%
Ray Lawry run for 4 yds to the ODU 26Similar
Q1 4:04
2ND & 6
OWN 26
0
55.6%
Taylor Heinicke pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:04
3RD & 6
OWN 26
+14
55.0%
HEINICKE, T. pass incomplete to PASCAL, Zach, PENALTY FIU pass interference (MYRTIL, W.) 14 yards to the ODU40, 1ST DOWN ODU, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
56.2%
Ray Lawry run for 2 yds to the ODU 42Similar
Q1 4:04
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+8
56.2%
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to Melvin Vaughn for 8 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:04
1ST & 10
50
+15
56.6%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the FlaIn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:04
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+6
57.3%
Ray Lawry run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 29Similar
Q1 4:04
2ND & 4
OPP 29
+5
57.3%
HEINICKE, T. pass incomplete, QB hurry by WAKEFIELD, Mike, PENALTY FIU offside defense (WAKEFIELD, Mike) 5 yards to the FIU24, 1ST DOWN ODU, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:04
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+6
57.3%
Taylor Heinicke run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 18Similar
Q1 4:04
2ND & 4
OPP 18
+11
57.3%
Ray Lawry run for 11 yds to the FlaIn 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
57.3%
Taylor Heinicke pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:04
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
57.3%
Taylor Heinicke pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:57
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
54.7%
Ray Lawry run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 1Similar
Q1 0:24
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
60.1%
Taylor Heinicke run for 1 yd for a TD FLORIDA INTL Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined, (Satchel Ziffer KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:1842% → 41%
Q1 0:18
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
58.1%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 29Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 29
+8
58.2%
Alex McGough pass complete to Clinton Taylor for 8 yds to the FlaIn 37Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 37
-2
57.5%
Napoleon Maxwell run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaIn 35Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 3
OWN 35
0
58.7%
Jose Laphitzondo punt for 42 yds, downed at the ODU 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 5TD
8 plays · 77 yds · 1:5959% → 68%
Q2 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+12
59.4%
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to David Washington for 12 yds to the ODU 35 for a 1ST down FLORIDA INTL Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 0
0
59.2%
HEINICKE, T. pass incomplete to PASCAL, Zach (HARVEY, Randy), PENALTY ODU holding off-setting, PENALTY FIU pass interference off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+19
59.6%
Ray Lawry run for 19 yds to the FlaIn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 0
0
59.2%
HEINICKE, T. pass incomplete to WASHINGTON, D. (MYRTIL, W.), PENALTY ODU holding off-setting, PENALTY FIU pass interference off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:22
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+6
61.2%
Ray Lawry run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 40Similar
Q2 13:22
2ND & 4
OPP 40
0
61.2%
Taylor Heinicke pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:22
3RD & 4
OPP 40
+6
60.9%
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to Zach Pascal for 6 yds to the FlaIn 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:23
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+34
67.6%
Ray Lawry run for 34 yds for a TD, (Satchel Ziffer KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 6PUNT
13 plays · 33 yds · 0:0035% → 34%
Q2 11:19
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
65.5%
Anthon Samuel run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 36Similar
Q2 11:19
2ND & 4
OWN 36
+4
64.6%
Anthon Samuel run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:19
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
64.8%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Napoleon MaxwellSimilar
Q2 11:19
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+8
65.1%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 8 yds to the FlaIn 48Similar
Q2 11:19
3RD & 2
OWN 48
+3
64.4%
Alex McGough run for 3 yds to the ODU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:19
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
63.9%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 5 yds to the ODU 44Similar
Q2 11:19
2ND & 5
OPP 44
+3
63.7%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 3 yds to the ODU 41Similar
Q2 11:19
3RD & 2
OPP 41
+3
63.9%
Alex McGough run for 3 yds to the ODU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:19
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-8
63.9%
Alex McGough sacked by Jude Brenya for a loss of 8 yards to the ODU 46Similar
Q2 11:19
2ND & 18
OPP 46
+5
65.1%
Anthon Samuel run for 5 yds to the ODU 41Similar
Q2 11:19
3RD & 13
OPP 41
+4
65.5%
Alex McGough run for 4 yds to the ODU 37Similar
Q2 11:19
4TH & 9
OPP 37
0
65.8%
Chris Ayers punt for 36 yds, downed at the ODU 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 7TD
6 plays · 99 yds · 2:4569% → 80%
Q2 4:29
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+4
68.8%
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to Antonio Vaughan for 4 yds to the ODU 5Similar
Q2 4:29
2ND & 6
OWN 5
+3
68.7%
Taylor Heinicke run for 3 yds to the ODU 8Similar
Q2 4:29
3RD & 3
OWN 0
0
68.2%
HEINICKE, T. pass complete to WASHINGTON, D. for 6 yards to the ODU14, out-of-bounds (GUEST, Jordan), PENALTY ODU holding off-setting, PENALTY FIU offside defense off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:29
3RD & 3
OWN 8
+14
67.8%
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to Antonio Vaughan for 14 yds to the ODU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:29
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
69.1%
Taylor Heinicke run for 4 yds to the ODU 26Similar
Q2 1:44
2ND & 6
OWN 26
+74
79.7%
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to Antonio Vaughan for 74 yds for a TD, (Satchel Ziffer KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 8FG
12 plays · 53 yds · 1:3021% → 21%
Q2 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+11
78.9%
Anthon Samuel run for 11 yds to the FlaIn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
78.5%
Anthon Samuel run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 39Similar
Q2 1:37
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+17
78.5%
Alex McGough pass complete to Glenn Coleman for 17 yds to the ODU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:37
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+28
76.6%
Alex McGough pass complete to Jonnu Smith for 28 yds to the ODU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:37
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-8
75.1%
Alex McGough sacked by TJ Ricks for a loss of 8 yards to the ODU 24Similar
Q2 0:38
2ND & 18
OPP 24
+3
78.5%
Alex McGough run for 3 yds to the ODU 21Similar
Q2 0:17
3RD & 15
OPP 21
0
80.7%
Alex McGough pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:07
4TH & 15
OPP 21
+38
79.3%
Austin Taylor 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 9END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0079% → 79%
Q2 0:07
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-2
78.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the ODU 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 10TD
5 plays · 69 yds · 2:0725% → 38%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
75.5%
Anthon Samuel run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 33Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 8
OWN 33
+7
75.5%
Anthon Samuel run for 7 yds to the FlaIn 40Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 1
OWN 40
+3
74.7%
Anthon Samuel run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:47
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+57
61.6%
Alex McGough pass complete to Napoleon Maxwell for 57 yds for a TD, (Austin Taylor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 11PUNT
8 plays · 34 yds · 0:0064% → 62%
Q3 12:43
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+12
63.9%
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to Melvin Vaughn for 12 yds to the ODU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:43
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+4
64.3%
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to Antonio Vaughan for 4 yds to the ODU 22Similar
Q3 12:43
2ND & 6
OWN 22
+21
64.4%
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to David Washington for 21 yds to the ODU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:43
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-3
66.4%
Ray Lawry run for a loss of 3 yards to the ODU 40Similar
Q3 12:43
2ND & 13
OWN 40
0
64.8%
Taylor Heinicke pass incomplete to Antonio Vaughan, broken up by Jordan DavisSimilar
Q3 12:43
3RD & 13
OWN 40
0
63.4%
Taylor Heinicke pass incomplete to Antonio VaughanSimilar
Q3 12:43
4TH & 13
OWN 40
+27
62.4%
Jarrett Cervi punt for 43 yds , Richard Leonard returns for 27 yds to the FlaIn 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 12TD
10 plays · 56 yds · 4:4037% → 56%
Q3 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
63.2%
Anthon Samuel run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 46Similar
Q3 10:15
2ND & 8
OWN 46
+9
62.8%
Anthon Samuel run for 9 yds to the ODU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
62.0%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 3 yds to the ODU 42Similar
Q3 10:15
2ND & 7
OPP 42
0
62.1%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Glenn Coleman, broken up by Justice DavilaSimilar
Q3 10:15
3RD & 7
OPP 42
+18
62.5%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 18 yds to the ODU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+2
60.5%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 2 yds to the ODU 22Similar
Q3 10:15
2ND & 8
OPP 22
+12
60.5%
Anthon Samuel run for 12 yds to the ODU 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-1
60.5%
Anthon Samuel run for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 11Similar
Q3 10:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
+4
60.8%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 4 yds to the ODU 7Similar
Q3 5:35
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
43.7%
Alex McGough pass complete to Jonnu Smith for 7 yds for a TD, (Austin Taylor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 13FUMBLE
3 plays · 22 yds · 0:0049% → 51%
Q3 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+17
49.3%
Ray Lawry run for 17 yds to the ODU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
51.2%
Ray Lawry run for 5 yds to the ODU 28 Ray Lawry fumbled, forced by Jordan Guest, recovered by FlaIn Richard Leonard , return for 15 yds to the ODU 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 14FG
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:5359% → 64%
Q3 4:53
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+5
40.9%
Alex McGough pass complete to Fred Porter for 5 yds to the ODU 23Similar
Q3 4:53
2ND & 5
OPP 23
-1
40.9%
Napoleon Maxwell run for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 24Similar
Q3 4:53
3RD & 6
OPP 24
0
42.5%
Alex McGough run for no gain to the ODU 24Similar
Q3 3:00
4TH & 6
OPP 24
+41
35.7%
Austin Taylor 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 15TD
7 plays · 68 yds · 1:5641% → 67%
Q3 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+35
41.0%
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to Antonio Vaughan for 35 yds to the FlaIn 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:54
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+6
47.2%
Gerard Johnson run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 27Similar
Q3 2:54
2ND & 4
OPP 27
+17
47.2%
Taylor Heinicke run for 17 yds to the FlaIn 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
47.2%
Taylor Heinicke pass incomplete to Zach PascalSimilar
Q3 2:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+9
47.2%
Gerard Johnson run for 9 yds to the FlaIn 1Similar
Q3 0:58
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
66.9%
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to Zach Pascal for 1 yd for a TD FLORIDA INTL Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined, (Satchel Ziffer KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 16TD
7 plays · 68 yds · 2:3739% → 77%
Q3 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+9
60.6%
Anthon Samuel run for 9 yds to the FlaIn 41Similar
Q3 0:54
2ND & 1
OWN 41
+5
57.9%
Anthon Samuel run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+7
57.7%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 7 yds to the ODU 47Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 47
+6
56.5%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 6 yds to the ODU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+15
57.0%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 15 yds to the ODU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:17
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+26
23.4%
Anthon Samuel run for 26 yds for a TD, (C. Taylor Run For Two-point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:0031% → 29%
Q4 13:11
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-6
31.2%
Taylor Heinicke sacked by Michael Wakefield for a loss of 6 yards to the ODU 12 Taylor Heinicke fumbled, recovered by ODU Connor Mewbourne , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 13:11
2ND & 16
OWN 12
+11
31.0%
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to Melvin Vaughn for 11 yds to the ODU 23Similar
Q4 13:11
3RD & 5
OWN 23
-10
29.9%
Taylor Heinicke sacked by Michael Wakefield for a loss of 10 yards to the ODU 13Similar
Q4 13:11
4TH & 15
OWN 13
0
28.6%
Jarrett Cervi punt for 47 yds, downed at the FlaIn 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:0076% → 72%
Q4 11:16
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
24.0%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 41Similar
Q4 11:16
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+2
24.3%
Alex McGough run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 43 Alex McGough fumbled, forced by TJ Ricks, recovered by FlaIn Clinton TaylorSimilar
Q4 11:16
3RD & 7
OWN 43
+1
24.4%
Alex McGough pass complete to Napoleon Maxwell for 1 yd to the FlaIn 44Similar
Q4 11:16
4TH & 6
OWN 44
-5
26.5%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the FlaIn 39Similar
Q4 11:16
4TH & 11
OWN 39
+4
28.0%
Jose Laphitzondo punt for 37 yds , Antonio Vaughan returns for 4 yds to the ODU 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 19DOWNS
12 plays · 43 yds · 1:2728% → 26%
Q4 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
28.1%
Taylor Heinicke run for 2 yds to the ODU 30Similar
Q4 9:14
2ND & 8
OWN 30
0
28.1%
Taylor Heinicke pass incomplete to Antonio VaughanSimilar
Q4 9:14
3RD & 8
OWN 30
+15
26.2%
HEINICKE, T. pass incomplete to WASHINGTON, D., PENALTY FIU pass interference (MCKINNON, J.) 15 yards to the ODU45, 1ST DOWN ODU, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+7
30.9%
Ray Lawry run for 7 yds to the FlaIn 48Similar
Q4 9:14
2ND & 3
OPP 48
-10
33.3%
HEINICKE, T. pass incomplete to VAUGHAN, A., QB hurry by WAKEFIELD, Mike, PENALTY ODU holding (GARCIA, Darius) 10 yards to the ODU42, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:14
2ND & 13
OWN 42
0
28.6%
Taylor Heinicke pass incomplete to Antonio Vaughan, broken up by Richard LeonardSimilar
Q4 7:47
3RD & 13
OWN 42
+21
24.3%
Taylor Heinicke run for 21 yds to the FlaIn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:47
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
30.6%
Ray Lawry run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 35Similar
Q4 7:47
2ND & 8
OPP 35
0
32.3%
Taylor Heinicke pass incomplete to Zach PascalSimilar
Q4 7:47
3RD & 8
OPP 35
0
30.0%
Taylor Heinicke pass incomplete to David WashingtonSimilar
Q4 7:47
4TH & 8
OPP 35
+6
26.0%
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to Ray Lawry for 6 yds to the FlaIn 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0084% → 84%
Q4 5:43
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-4
15.6%
Anthon Samuel run for a loss of 4 yards to the FlaIn 25Similar
Q4 5:43
2ND & 14
OWN 25
+9
17.0%
Alex McGough run for 9 yds to the FlaIn 34Similar
Q4 5:43
3RD & 5
OWN 34
+3
16.0%
Alex McGough run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 37Similar
Q4 5:43
4TH & 2
OWN 37
0
16.2%
Jose Laphitzondo punt for 28 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ODU 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 21TD
9 plays · 65 yds · 3:1422% → 65%
Q4 4:19
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
21.7%
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to Antonio Vaughan for 9 yds to the ODU 44Similar
Q4 4:19
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+3
26.0%
Taylor Heinicke run for 3 yds to the ODU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:19
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-1
24.9%
Ray Lawry run for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 46Similar
Q4 4:19
2ND & 11
OWN 46
+15
22.7%
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to Melvin Vaughn for 15 yds to the FlaIn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:19
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-4
27.1%
Taylor Heinicke sacked by Giovani Francois for a loss of 4 yards to the FlaIn 43Similar
Q4 4:19
2ND & 14
OPP 43
0
23.5%
Taylor Heinicke pass incomplete to Gerard JohnsonSimilar
Q4 4:19
3RD & 14
OPP 43
+11
21.7%
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to Nick England for 11 yds to the FlaIn 32Similar
Q4 4:19
4TH & 3
OPP 32
+30
24.0%
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to Gerard Johnson for 30 yds to the FlaIn 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
64.9%
Ray Lawry run for 2 yds for a TD, (Satchel Ziffer KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 22INT
3 plays · 1 yds · 0:0052% → 52%
Q4 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
48.2%
Anthon Samuel run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 26Similar
Q4 0:58
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
48.5%
Alex McGough pass intercepted Fellonte Misher return for no gain to the FlaIn 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 23FG
6 plays · 22 yds · 0:2365% → 96%
Q4 0:23
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+2
65.1%
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to Zach Pascal for 2 yds to the FlaIn 31Similar
Q4 0:23
2ND & 8
OPP 31
+24
65.1%
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to Zach Pascal for 24 yds to the FlaIn 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-4
65.1%
Taylor Heinicke run for a loss of 4 yards to the FlaIn 11Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
+28
96.1%
Satchel Ziffer 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 1:05
Ray Lawry run for 2 yds for a TD, (Satchel Ziffer KICK)
+40.9
TD · Q4 13:17
Anthon Samuel run for 26 yds for a TD, (C. Taylor Run For Two-point Conversion)
-33.6
FG · Q4 0:00
Satchel Ziffer 28 yd FG GOOD
+28.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com