Try the model
ODU

Old Dominion 28 at Vanderbilt 42

VAN
2014 · Week 10 · Nov 1, 2014 · FirstBank Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · VAN
modelVAN aheadODU aheadconfidence bandkey playVAN scoreODU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFUMBLETDTDTDEnd of GameTD+1.3VAN 76.4%Johnny McCrary pass complete to NathanMarcus for 7 yds for a TD, (TommyOpenshaw KICK)AWAY 0 - HOME 7 · Q1 9:12
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 9:12 · Johnny McCrary pass complete to Nathan Marcus for 7 yds for a TD, (Tommy Openshaw KICK)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+33.5+16.80−16.8−33.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 14Pregame prior+23.5Home team on offense+1.4Score differential+0.3Garbage-time factor+0.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 2:00: Johnny McCrary pass complete to Steven Scheu for 5 yds for a TD, (Tommy Openshaw KICK) — VAN win probability +6.6 pts (now 87%) (top driver: VAN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 1:14: Taylor Heinicke pass complete to Antonio Vaughan for 8 yds for a TD, (Jarrett Cervi KICK) — ODU win probability +6.8 pts (now 26%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:02: Johnny McCrary pass complete to Latevius Rayford for 20 yds for a TD, (Tommy Openshaw KICK) — VAN win probability +9.3 pts (now 89%) (top driver: VAN has the ball).
  4. FUMBLE · Q3 11:55: Johnny McCrary run for a loss of 3 yards Johnny McCrary fumbled, recovered by ODU Poncho Barnwell for a TD, (Jarrett Cervi KICK) — ODU win probability +9.6 pts (now 22%) (top driver: VAN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 14:06: Johnny McCrary pass complete to Davis Dudchock for 50 yds for a TD, (Tommy Openshaw KICK) — VAN win probability +6.7 pts (now 95%) (top driver: VAN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
VAN made the numbers' call on 4 of 5ODU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 9:12VAN 4th & 3 at ODU 7, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 74.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    74.7%
    46% to convert
    Field goal
    74.6%−0.1
    91% to make
    Punt
    73.9%−0.8
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:02ODU 4th & 5 at ODU 33, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.8%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:37VAN 4th & 6 at ODU 42, up 7
    Close callPunted · 76.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.6%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    76.2%−0.3
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    76.4%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:34VAN 4th & 18 at VAN 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.4%−1.1
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.5%
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:35ODU 4th & 2 at ODU 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.0%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.0%
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:19ODU 4th & 1 at VAN 33, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 24.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    24.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    22.0%−2.0
    49% to make
    Punt
    21.2%−2.8
    average punt
  7. Q3 8:17VAN 4th & 1 at VAN 41, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 79.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    80.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    79.0%−1.3
    average punt
  8. Q3 5:35VAN 4th & 1 at ODU 48, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 81.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    81.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    79.4%−2.2
    average punt
  9. Q3 1:10ODU 4th & 6 at ODU 38, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.5%−0.4
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.9%
    average punt
  10. Q4 11:16ODU 4th & 3 at VAN 25, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 8.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    8.1%−0.4
    66% to make
    Punt
    3.3%−5.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
VAN made the numbers' call on 5 of 6ODU made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 9:12VAN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:57ODU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    26.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    26.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 7:10VAN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 2:00VAN Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 1:14ODU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    21.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    21.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:02VAN Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 14:06VAN Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 4:49VAN Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 2:26ODU Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.5%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.6%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
VANDrive 1TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 5:1076% → 76%
Q1 14:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
75.7%
Ralph Webb run for 6 yds to the Vandy 31Similar
Q1 14:07
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+10
75.7%
Ralph Webb run for 10 yds to the Vandy 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:34
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
75.6%
Johnny McCrary pass incomplete to Nathan MarcusSimilar
Q1 13:10
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+5
75.5%
Dallas Rivers run for 5 yds to the Vandy 46Similar
Q1 12:47
3RD & 5
OWN 46
+3
75.5%
McCrary, Johnny pass incomplete, PENALTY OLDDOMNION pass interference (Misher, Fellonte) 3 yards to the VANDERBILT49, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:40
3RD & 2
OWN 49
+15
75.5%
OLDDOMINION Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the ODU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:27
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+12
75.6%
Johnny McCrary pass complete to Latevius Rayford for 12 yds to the ODU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:02
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+5
75.6%
Ralph Webb run for 5 yds to the ODU 19Similar
Q1 11:24
2ND & 5
OPP 19
+5
75.5%
Ralph Webb run for 5 yds to the ODU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:38
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+7
75.4%
Ralph Webb run for 7 yds to the ODU 7Similar
Q1 10:02
2ND & 3
OPP 7
0
75.3%
Johnny McCrary pass incomplete to Kellen WilliamsSimilar
Q1 9:52
3RD & 3
OPP 7
0
75.2%
Ralph Webb run for no gain to the ODU 7Similar
Q1 9:12
4TH & 3
OPP 7
+7
76.4%
Johnny McCrary pass complete to Nathan Marcus for 7 yds for a TD, (Tommy Openshaw KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 0:4824% → 24%
Q1 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
76.1%
David Washington run for no gain to the ODU 28Similar
Q1 8:23
2ND & 10
OWN 28
0
76.2%
Taylor Heinicke pass incomplete to Antonio VaughanSimilar
Q1 8:16
3RD & 10
OWN 28
+5
76.4%
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to Ray Lawry for 5 yds to the ODU 33Similar
Q1 8:02
4TH & 5
OWN 33
0
76.5%
Jarrett Cervi punt for 39 yds, downed at the Vandy 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 30 yds · 3:1777% → 77%
Q1 7:54
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+12
76.6%
Trent Sherfield run for 12 yds to the Vandy 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:22
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
76.9%
Ralph Webb run for no gain to the Vandy 40Similar
Q1 6:23
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+14
76.9%
Johnny McCrary pass complete to Latevius Rayford for 14 yds to the ODU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:53
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
77.3%
Jerron Seymour run for 3 yds to the ODU 43Similar
Q1 5:07
2ND & 7
OPP 43
+1
77.4%
Johnny McCrary pass complete to Jerron Seymour for 1 yd to the ODU 42Similar
Q1 4:45
3RD & 6
OPP 42
0
77.3%
Johnny McCrary pass incomplete to Caleb ScottSimilar
Q1 4:37
4TH & 6
OPP 42
0
76.9%
Taylor Hudson punt for 42 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 4TD
5 plays · 80 yds · 1:2624% → 28%
Q1 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
76.4%
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to Zach Pascal for 5 yds to the ODU 25Similar
Q1 4:03
2ND & 5
OWN 25
0
76.2%
Taylor Heinicke pass incomplete to Antonio VaughanSimilar
Q1 3:53
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+42
76.6%
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to Antonio Vaughan for 42 yds to the Vandy 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:14
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
75.1%
Ray Lawry run for 3 yds to the Vandy 30Similar
Q1 2:57
2ND & 7
OPP 30
+30
71.6%
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to Marques Little for 30 yds for a TD, (Jarrett Cervi KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 5FUMBLE
9 plays · 3 yds · 3:0273% → 72%
Q1 2:36
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+7
73.4%
Ralph Webb run for 7 yds to the Vandy 30Similar
Q1 1:52
2ND & 3
OWN 30
+2
73.8%
Johnny McCrary pass complete to Nathan Marcus for 2 yds to the Vandy 32Similar
Q1 1:14
3RD & 1
OWN 32
+7
73.3%
Dallas Rivers run for 7 yds to the Vandy 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
73.6%
Johnny McCrary pass complete to Nathan Marcus for 2 yds to the Vandy 41Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 8
OWN 41
-15
73.7%
Rayford, Latevius rush for 5 yards to the VANDERBILT46, PENALTY VANDERBILT illegal block (Woods, Jay) 15 yards to the VANDERBILT31, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 18
OWN 31
0
72.8%
Johnny McCrary pass incomplete to Caleb ScottSimilar
Q2 14:46
3RD & 18
OWN 31
0
72.3%
Johnny McCrary pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:34
4TH & 18
OWN 31
+43
72.0%
Colby Cooke punt for 43 yds , Antonio Vaughan returns for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 25 Antonio Vaughan fumbled, recovered by ODU Brandon SimmonsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:3229% → 28%
Q2 14:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
71.5%
Gerard Johnson run for 8 yds to the ODU 33Similar
Q2 13:54
2ND & 2
OWN 33
0
70.7%
Taylor Heinicke pass incomplete to Zach PascalSimilar
Q2 13:50
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
71.1%
Taylor Heinicke pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:35
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
71.7%
Taylor Heinicke punt for 53 yds, downed at the Vandy 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 7TD
13 plays · 86 yds · 6:1272% → 80%
Q2 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+2
72.4%
Ralph Webb run for 2 yds to the Vandy 16Similar
Q2 12:25
2ND & 8
OWN 16
+5
72.3%
Johnny McCrary pass complete to Davis Dudchock for 5 yds to the Vandy 21Similar
Q2 12:25
3RD & 3
OWN 21
+15
71.7%
Johnny McCrary pass incomplete to Latevius Rayford for a 1ST down OLDDOMINION Penalty, Personal Foul (Justice Davila) to the Vandy 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:39
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
72.7%
Dallas Rivers run for 6 yds to the Vandy 42Similar
Q2 11:09
2ND & 4
OWN 42
0
73.4%
Dallas Rivers run for no gain to the Vandy 42Similar
Q2 10:07
3RD & 4
OWN 42
+16
72.7%
Johnny McCrary pass complete to C.J. Duncan for 16 yds to the ODU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:44
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+1
73.7%
Dallas Rivers run for 1 yd to the ODU 41Similar
Q2 9:08
2ND & 9
OPP 41
0
73.6%
Johnny McCrary pass incomplete to C.J. DuncanSimilar
Q2 9:00
3RD & 9
OPP 41
+15
73.0%
McCrary, Johnny pass incomplete to Kentera, Kris, PENALTY OLDDOMNION pass interference (Owens, Reggie) 15 yards to the OLDDOMNION26, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN VANDERBILT. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:25
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-2
74.1%
Ralph Webb run for 8 yds to the ODU 18 VANDERBILT Penalty, Offensive Holding (Trey Wilkins) to the ODU 28Similar
Q2 8:14
1ST & 12
OPP 28
+9
73.9%
Johnny McCrary pass complete to Latevius Rayford for 9 yds to the ODU 19Similar
Q2 7:47
2ND & 3
OPP 19
+12
73.9%
Ralph Webb run for 12 yds to the ODU 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
79.9%
Ralph Webb run for 7 yds for a TD, (Tommy Openshaw KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 8DOWNS
6 plays · 20 yds · 1:1923% → 23%
Q2 6:38
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+13
76.6%
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to Ray Lawry for 13 yds to the Vandy 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:24
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+7
76.0%
Ray Lawry run for 7 yds to the Vandy 35Similar
Q2 5:55
2ND & 3
OPP 35
0
75.0%
Taylor Heinicke pass incomplete to Zach PascalSimilar
Q2 5:24
3RD & 3
OPP 35
+2
76.0%
Ray Lawry run for 2 yds to the Vandy 33Similar
Q2 5:19
4TH & 1
OPP 33
-2
77.0%
Ray Lawry run for a loss of 2 yards to the Vandy 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 9TD
8 plays · 65 yds · 3:1079% → 87%
Q2 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
78.6%
Ralph Webb run for 6 yds to the Vandy 41Similar
Q2 4:25
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+3
79.8%
Ralph Webb run for 3 yds to the Vandy 44Similar
Q2 3:45
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+1
79.4%
Dallas Rivers run for 1 yd to the Vandy 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+39
79.9%
Johnny McCrary pass complete to Caleb Scott for 39 yds to the ODU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:38
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+12
80.4%
Dallas Rivers run for 12 yds to the ODU 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-1
80.7%
Dallas Rivers run for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 5Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
87.3%
Johnny McCrary pass complete to Steven Scheu for 5 yds for a TD, (Tommy Openshaw KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 10TD
6 plays · 70 yds · 0:3115% → 26%
Q2 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+8
85.2%
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to David Washington for 8 yds to the ODU 38Similar
Q2 1:28
2ND & 2
OWN 38
+28
84.2%
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to David Washington for 28 yds to the Vandy 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:19
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+26
83.0%
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to David Washington for 26 yds to the Vandy 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
74.5%
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to Antonio Vaughan for 8 yds for a TD, (Jarrett Cervi KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 11TD
6 plays · 73 yds · 0:5079% → 89%
Q2 0:52
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
78.8%
Ralph Webb run for 2 yds to the Vandy 29Similar
Q2 0:19
2ND & 8
OWN 29
+27
78.7%
Ralph Webb run for 27 yds to the ODU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:10
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+24
79.6%
Johnny McCrary pass complete to Latevius Rayford for 24 yds to the ODU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:02
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
88.9%
Johnny McCrary pass complete to Latevius Rayford for 20 yds for a TD, (Tommy Openshaw KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 13INT
7 plays · 36 yds · 1:5714% → 15%
Q3 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
85.6%
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to Antonio Vaughan for 2 yds to the ODU 29Similar
Q3 14:08
2ND & 8
OWN 29
+11
85.6%
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to Zach Pascal for 11 yds to the ODU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:12
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+23
85.3%
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to Antonio Vaughan for 23 yds to the Vandy 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:12
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
85.2%
Ray Lawry run for 1 yd to the ODU 41Similar
Q3 12:43
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-1
84.6%
Ray Lawry run for a loss of 1 yard to the Vandy 37Similar
Q3 12:43
2ND & 11
OPP 37
0
84.9%
Taylor Heinicke pass intercepted Taurean Ferguson return for no gain to the Vandy 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 14FUMBLE TD
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0087% → 78%
Q3 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+3
87.2%
Dallas Rivers run for 3 yds to the Vandy 4Similar
Q3 11:55
2ND & 7
OWN 4
0
77.6%
Johnny McCrary run for a loss of 3 yards Johnny McCrary fumbled, recovered by ODU Poncho Barnwell for a TD, (Jarrett Cervi KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 15FUMBLE
19 plays · 45 yds · 9:2778% → 84%
Q3 11:22
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
78.1%
Ralph Webb run for 3 yds to the Vandy 24Similar
Q3 11:01
2ND & 7
OWN 24
+8
78.2%
Ralph Webb run for 8 yds to the Vandy 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:01
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+7
78.4%
Johnny McCrary pass complete to C.J. Duncan for 7 yds to the Vandy 39Similar
Q3 9:32
2ND & 3
OWN 39
+1
81.4%
Ralph Webb run for 1 yd to the Vandy 40Similar
Q3 8:39
3RD & 2
OWN 40
+1
80.6%
Dallas Rivers run for 1 yd to the Vandy 41Similar
Q3 8:17
4TH & 1
OWN 41
+2
79.6%
Dallas Rivers run for 2 yds to the Vandy 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:38
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+5
82.4%
Dallas Rivers run for 5 yds to the Vandy 48Similar
Q3 6:57
2ND & 5
OWN 48
+3
82.8%
Johnny McCrary pass complete to Steven Scheu for 3 yds to the ODU 49Similar
Q3 6:14
3RD & 2
OPP 49
+1
82.2%
Ralph Webb run for 1 yd to the ODU 48Similar
Q3 5:35
4TH & 1
OPP 48
+2
81.3%
Ralph Webb run for 2 yds to the ODU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:16
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
83.3%
Johnny McCrary pass incomplete to C.J. DuncanSimilar
Q3 5:16
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+13
83.2%
Johnny McCrary pass complete to Chandler Dorrell for 13 yds to the ODU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:15
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
83.5%
Dallas Rivers run for no gain to the ODU 33Similar
Q3 3:50
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+3
83.5%
Trent Sherfield run for 3 yds to the ODU 30Similar
Q3 3:07
3RD & 7
OPP 30
+10
82.7%
Johnny McCrary pass complete to Steven Scheu for 10 yds to the ODU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:47
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
83.8%
Johnny McCrary pass incomplete to C.J. DuncanSimilar
Q3 2:15
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+6
84.8%
Johnny McCrary run for 6 yds to the ODU 14Similar
Q3 1:55
3RD & 4
OPP 14
-11
83.9%
Kris Kentera sacked by Reggie Owens for a loss of 11 yards to the ODU 34 Kris Kentera fumbled, recovered by ODU Jude Brenya , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:3523% → 18%
Q3 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
77.2%
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to David Washington for 4 yds to the ODU 38Similar
Q3 1:25
2ND & 6
OWN 38
0
77.5%
Taylor Heinicke pass incomplete to Ray LawrySimilar
Q3 1:17
3RD & 6
OWN 38
0
80.3%
Taylor Heinicke pass incomplete to Zach PascalSimilar
Q3 1:10
4TH & 6
OWN 38
0
81.8%
Jarrett Cervi punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Trey Ellis at the Vandy 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 17TD
4 plays · 69 yds · 1:3886% → 95%
Q3 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
85.8%
Ralph Webb run for 4 yds to the Vandy 35Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 6
OWN 35
+12
87.1%
Johnny McCrary pass complete to C.J. Duncan for 12 yds to the Vandy 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
88.3%
Ralph Webb run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 14:06
2ND & 7
50
+50
95.0%
Johnny McCrary pass complete to Davis Dudchock for 50 yds for a TD, (Tommy Openshaw KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 18DOWNS
13 plays · 56 yds · 2:337% → 6%
Q4 13:49
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
93.4%
Taylor Heinicke pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:43
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+12
93.4%
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to Zach Pascal for 12 yds to the ODU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
93.1%
Taylor Heinicke pass incomplete to Melvin VaughnSimilar
Q4 13:15
2ND & 10
OWN 31
0
93.5%
Taylor Heinicke pass incomplete to Melvin VaughnSimilar
Q4 13:03
3RD & 10
OWN 31
+15
93.7%
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to Antonio Vaughan for 15 yds to the ODU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
93.2%
Ray Lawry run for no gain to the ODU 46Similar
Q4 12:35
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+22
93.1%
Taylor Heinicke run for 7 yds to the VANDERBILT 47 for a 1ST down VANDERBILT Penalty, Personal Foul (Jahmel McIntosh) to the Vandy 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:35
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+7
92.3%
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to Zach Pascal for 7 yds to the Vandy 25Similar
Q4 11:28
2ND & 3
OPP 25
0
93.1%
Taylor Heinicke pass incomplete to Gerard JohnsonSimilar
Q4 11:23
3RD & 3
OPP 25
0
93.3%
Taylor Heinicke pass incomplete to David WashingtonSimilar
Q4 11:16
4TH & 3
OPP 25
0
93.7%
Taylor Heinicke pass incomplete to Zach PascalSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 19TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 6:2796% → 100%
Q4 11:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
95.5%
Ralph Webb run for 4 yds to the Vandy 29Similar
Q4 11:16
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+12
95.6%
Dallas Rivers run for 12 yds to the Vandy 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:58
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+11
96.3%
Dallas Rivers run for 11 yds to the ODU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:08
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
96.4%
Dallas Rivers run for 6 yds to the ODU 42Similar
Q4 8:38
2ND & 4
OPP 42
+2
96.5%
Dallas Rivers run for 2 yds to the ODU 40Similar
Q4 8:38
3RD & 2
OPP 40
+3
96.4%
Ralph Webb run for 3 yds to the ODU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:38
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
96.5%
Ralph Webb run for 2 yds to the ODU 35Similar
Q4 6:30
2ND & 8
OPP 35
+8
97.1%
Latevius Rayford run for 8 yds to the ODU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:55
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-4
97.3%
Johnny McCrary run for a loss of 4 yards to the ODU 31Similar
Q4 5:15
2ND & 14
OPP 31
+1
97.3%
Ralph Webb run for 1 yd to the ODU 30Similar
Q4 4:49
3RD & 13
OPP 30
+30
99.6%
Johnny McCrary pass complete to C.J. Duncan for 30 yds for a TD, (Tommy Openshaw KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 20TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 2:171% → 3%
Q4 4:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
99.4%
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to Zach Pascal for 11 yds to the ODU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
99.4%
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to Ray Lawry for 5 yds to the ODU 41Similar
Q4 3:54
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+18
99.4%
Taylor Heinicke run for 18 yds to the Vandy 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:35
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+13
99.4%
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to Nick England for 13 yds to the Vandy 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:04
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+13
99.3%
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to Marques Little for 13 yds to the Vandy 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
99.3%
Taylor Heinicke pass incomplete to Jonathan DuhartSimilar
Q4 2:52
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+10
99.3%
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to David Washington for 10 yds to the Vandy 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
99.3%
Heinicke, Taylor pass incomplete to Pascal, Zach, PENALTY VANDERBILT pass interference (Herndon, Tre) 3 yards to the VANDERBILT2, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
96.6%
Ray Lawry run for 2 yds for a TD, (Jarrett Cervi KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 21END OF GAME
5 plays · 27 yds · 2:2098% → 99%
Q4 2:20
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+13
98.2%
Ralph Webb run for 13 yds to the ODU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:13
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+11
98.6%
Ralph Webb run for 11 yds to the ODU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:39
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
98.6%
Ralph Webb run for 3 yds to the ODU 20Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 7
OPP 20
0
98.7%
Ralph Webb run for no gain to the ODU 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FUMBLE · Q3 11:55
Johnny McCrary run for a loss of 3 yards Johnny McCrary fumbled, recovered by ODU Poncho Barnwell for a TD, (Jarrett Cervi KICK)
-9.6
TD · Q2 0:02
Johnny McCrary pass complete to Latevius Rayford for 20 yds for a TD, (Tommy Openshaw KICK)
+9.3
TD · Q2 1:14
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to Antonio Vaughan for 8 yds for a TD, (Jarrett Cervi KICK)
-6.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com