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ODU

Old Dominion 51 at Western Kentucky 66

WKU
2014 · Week 9 · Oct 25, 2014 · Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium
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Win probability · WKU
modelWKU aheadODU aheadconfidence bandkey playWKU scoreODU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 10:27 · Joseph Occhipinti punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Antonio Vaughan at the ODU 15
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+29.5+14.80−14.8−29.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 24Pregame prior+25.7Home team on offense+0.4Score differential+0.0Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.0Blowout margin−0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 11:22: Ray Lawry run for 17 yds for a TD, (Jarrett Cervi KICK) — ODU win probability +12.5 pts (now 31%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  2. TD · Q3 11:09: Satchel Ziffer kickoff for 59 yds , Kylen Towner return for 94 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK) — WKU win probability +15.7 pts (now 85%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 8:41: Ray Lawry run for 4 yds for a TD, (Jarrett Cervi KICK) — ODU win probability +13.8 pts (now 32%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  4. TD · Q3 2:05: Taylor Heinicke pass complete to Antonio Vaughan for 39 yds for a TD, (Jarrett Cervi KICK) — ODU win probability +16.8 pts (now 32%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 8:54: Taylor Heinicke pass intercepted for a TD Juwan Gardner return for 96 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK) — WKU win probability +23.4 pts (now 90%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WKU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2ODU made the numbers' call on 3 of 5
  1. Q1 10:33ODU 4th & 9 at WKU 24, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 21.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.6%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    21.6%
    68% to make
    Punt
    21.2%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:27WKU 4th & 6 at WKU 48, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.6%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:18ODU 4th & 21 at ODU 11, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.3%−0.7
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.1%
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:16ODU 4th & 5 at WKU 49, down 18
    Close callWent for it · 16.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    16.6%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    16.7%
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:17ODU 4th & 9 at WKU 32, down 11
    Close callWent for it · 20.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    20.1%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    20.2%
    51% to make
    Punt
    19.9%−0.3
    average punt
  6. Q4 8:49ODU 4th & 14 at ODU 31, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.9%−1.2
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.1%
    average punt
  7. Q4 2:04WKU 4th & 6 at ODU 10, up 12
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 96.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.0%−<0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.1%
    88% to make
    Punt
    93.8%−2.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WKU made the numbers' call on 9 of 9ODU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 12:23WKU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:24WKU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 3:22WKU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 14:36ODU Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    18.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    18.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 10:19WKU Touchdown, up 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 8:52ODU Touchdown, down 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    22.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    22.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 8:19WKU Touchdown, up 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q2 2:41ODU Touchdown, down 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    22.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    22.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q2 0:12WKU Touchdown, up 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q3 11:22ODU Touchdown, down 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    23.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    23.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q3 11:09WKU Touchdown, up 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  12. Q3 8:41ODU Touchdown, down 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    23.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    23.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  13. Q3 5:11WKU Touchdown, up 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  14. Q3 2:05ODU Touchdown, down 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    21.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    21.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  15. Q4 8:54WKU Touchdown, up 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WKUDrive 1TD
10 plays · 73 yds · 2:3778% → 78%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+12
77.7%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Jared Dangerfield for 12 yds to the WKent 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
77.7%
Leon Allen run for 3 yds to the WKent 42Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 42
+8
77.7%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Jared Dangerfield for 8 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
50
+2
77.7%
Darmontre Warr run for 2 yds to the ODU 48Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+21
77.7%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Leon Allen for 21 yds to the ODU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+13
77.7%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Jared Dangerfield for 13 yds to the ODU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+10
77.7%
DOUGHTY, B. pass complete to GRANT, Antwane for 4 yards to the ODU10 (ROTIMI, Bumni), PENALTY ODU offside defense 10 yards to the ODU4, 1ST DOWN WKU, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 4
OWN 0
+3
77.7%
Leon Allen run for 3 yds to the ODU 1 OLDDOMINION Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting (NA) to the ODU 1Similar
Q1 12:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
78.0%
Leon Allen run for 1 yd for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 2FG
7 plays · 47 yds · 1:4322% → 23%
Q1 12:16
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
77.7%
Ray Lawry run for 2 yds to the ODU 31Similar
Q1 12:16
2ND & 8
OWN 31
+44
77.7%
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to Antonio Vaughan for 44 yds to the WKent 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:16
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
77.4%
Ray Lawry run for 1 yd to the WKent 24Similar
Q1 12:16
2ND & 9
OPP 24
0
77.4%
Taylor Heinicke pass incomplete to Vincent LoweSimilar
Q1 12:16
3RD & 9
OPP 24
0
77.5%
Taylor Heinicke pass incomplete to Zach PascalSimilar
Q1 10:33
4TH & 9
OPP 24
+41
76.9%
Jarrett Cervi 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 22 yds · 0:0077% → 77%
Q1 10:27
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+8
76.9%
Anthony Wales run for 8 yds to the WKent 34Similar
Q1 10:27
2ND & 2
OWN 34
+10
77.1%
Anthony Wales run for 10 yds to the WKent 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:27
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-3
77.2%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Taywan Taylor for a loss of 3 yards to the WKent 41Similar
Q1 10:27
2ND & 13
OWN 41
+7
77.0%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Anthony Wales for 7 yds to the WKent 48Similar
Q1 10:27
3RD & 6
OWN 48
0
77.0%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Mitchell HenrySimilar
Q1 10:27
4TH & 6
OWN 48
0
76.8%
Joseph Occhipinti punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Antonio Vaughan at the ODU 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 4INT
2 plays · 5 yds · 0:0023% → 23%
Q1 8:38
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+5
76.8%
Taylor Heinicke run for 5 yds to the ODU 20Similar
Q1 8:38
2ND & 5
OWN 20
0
76.8%
Taylor Heinicke pass intercepted Cam Thomas return for no gain to the ODU 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 5TD
7 plays · 41 yds · 2:4177% → 79%
Q1 8:05
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+4
77.0%
Leon Allen run for 4 yds to the ODU 37Similar
Q1 8:05
2ND & 6
OPP 37
+9
77.0%
Leon Allen run for 9 yds to the ODU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:05
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
77.1%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Jared Dangerfield for 3 yds to the ODU 25Similar
Q1 8:05
2ND & 7
OPP 25
+10
77.1%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Jared Dangerfield for 10 yds to the ODU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:05
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
77.1%
Leon Allen run for no gain to the ODU 15Similar
Q1 8:05
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+9
77.1%
Leon Allen run for 9 yds to the ODU 6Similar
Q1 5:24
3RD & 1
OPP 6
+6
78.9%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Antwane Grant for 6 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · -11 yds · 0:0022% → 21%
Q1 5:18
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
78.2%
Ray Lawry run for no gain to the ODU 22Similar
Q1 5:18
2ND & 10
OWN 22
0
78.2%
Taylor Heinicke pass incomplete to Antonio Vaughan, broken up by Rico BrownSimilar
Q1 5:18
3RD & 10
OWN 22
-11
78.5%
OLDDOMINION Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Zach Pascal) to the ODU 11Similar
Q1 5:18
3RD & 21
OWN 11
0
78.5%
Ray Lawry run for no gain to the ODU 11Similar
Q1 5:18
4TH & 21
OWN 11
0
78.7%
Jarrett Cervi punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Kylen Towner at the ODU 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 7TD
2 plays · 45 yds · 0:3380% → 83%
Q1 3:55
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
79.5%
Anthony Wales run for no gain to the ODU 45Similar
Q1 3:22
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+45
83.3%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Joel German for 45 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 8TD
12 plays · 83 yds · 3:4017% → 23%
Q1 3:16
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+2
83.1%
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to David Washington for 2 yds to the ODU 19Similar
Q1 3:16
2ND & 8
OWN 19
+12
83.2%
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to Marques Little for 12 yds to the ODU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:16
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
82.9%
Taylor Heinicke run for no gain to the ODU 31Similar
Q1 3:16
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+8
83.1%
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to Melvin Vaughn for 8 yds to the ODU 39Similar
Q1 3:16
3RD & 2
OWN 39
+7
82.7%
Gerard Johnson run for 7 yds to the ODU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:16
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+6
82.8%
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to Gerard Johnson for 6 yds to the WKent 48Similar
Q1 3:16
2ND & 4
OPP 48
-1
82.4%
Gerard Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 49Similar
Q1 3:16
3RD & 5
OPP 49
0
82.6%
Taylor Heinicke pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:16
4TH & 5
OPP 49
+17
83.0%
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to Melvin Vaughn for 17 yds to the WKent 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+20
83.4%
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to Antonio Vaughan for 20 yds to the WKent 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:36
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
77.5%
Ray Lawry run for 12 yds for a TD, (Jarrett Cervi KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 9FUMBLE
2 plays · 8 yds · 0:0080% → 80%
Q2 14:25
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
79.5%
Anthony Wales run for 7 yds to the WKent 44 Anthony Wales fumbled, forced by D.J. Simon, recovered by ODU Aaron YoungSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 10TD
7 plays · 44 yds · 1:5422% → 27%
Q2 14:17
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+11
78.1%
Ray Lawry run for 11 yds to the WKent 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:17
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+1
77.7%
Ray Lawry run for 1 yd to the WKent 32Similar
Q2 14:17
2ND & 9
OPP 32
0
77.7%
Taylor Heinicke pass incomplete to Antonio VaughanSimilar
Q2 14:17
3RD & 9
OPP 32
0
78.2%
Taylor Heinicke pass incomplete to David WashingtonSimilar
Q2 14:17
4TH & 9
OPP 32
+31
79.0%
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to Ray Lawry for 31 yds to the WKent 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
77.5%
Ray Lawry run for no gain to the WKent 1Similar
Q2 12:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
72.6%
Ray Lawry run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jarrett Cervi MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 11TD
7 plays · 76 yds · 1:5975% → 84%
Q2 12:18
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+6
74.6%
Leon Allen run for 6 yds to the WKent 30Similar
Q2 12:18
2ND & 4
OWN 30
+31
75.1%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Antwane Grant for 31 yds to the ODU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:18
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
75.9%
Leon Allen run for 3 yds to the ODU 36Similar
Q2 12:18
2ND & 7
OPP 36
+19
75.9%
Leon Allen run for 19 yds to the ODU 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:18
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+1
76.2%
Leon Allen run for 1 yd to the ODU 16Similar
Q2 10:19
2ND & 9
OPP 16
+16
84.1%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Antwane Grant for 16 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 12TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:2719% → 28%
Q2 10:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+45
81.4%
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to Antonio Vaughan for 45 yds to the WKent 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:19
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+3
79.9%
Gerard Johnson run for 3 yds to the WKent 27Similar
Q2 10:19
2ND & 7
OPP 27
+8
79.8%
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to Zach Pascal for 8 yds to the WKent 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:52
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
71.8%
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to Antonio Vaughan for 19 yds for a TD, (Jarrett Cervi KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 13TD
3 plays · 61 yds · 0:2577% → 85%
Q2 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+27
76.5%
Leon Allen run for 12 yds to the WESTERNKY 49 for a 1ST down OLDDOMINION Penalty, personal foul (TJ Ricks) to the ODU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:19
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+34
84.7%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 34 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 14TD
14 plays · 89 yds · 5:3218% → 27%
Q2 8:13
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+8
82.2%
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to Jonathan Duhart for 8 yds to the ODU 19Similar
Q2 8:13
2ND & 2
OWN 19
+2
82.0%
Ray Lawry run for 2 yds to the ODU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:13
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+24
82.1%
Ray Lawry run for 24 yds to the ODU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:13
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-10
81.6%
HEINICKE, T. pass complete to DUHART, J. for 7 yards to the WKU48 (HOLT, Nick), PENALTY ODU holding (MANN, Josh) 10 yards to the ODU35, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:13
1ST & 20
OWN 35
0
82.1%
Taylor Heinicke pass incomplete to Cam Boyd, broken up by Branden LestonSimilar
Q2 8:13
2ND & 20
OWN 35
+9
82.2%
Cam Boyd run for 9 yds to the ODU 44Similar
Q2 8:13
3RD & 11
OWN 44
+13
82.0%
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to Zach Pascal for 13 yds to the WKent 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:13
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
81.2%
Ray Lawry run for no gain to the WKent 43Similar
Q2 8:13
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+8
81.4%
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to Ray Lawry for 8 yds to the WKent 35Similar
Q2 8:13
3RD & 2
OPP 35
+2
81.0%
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to Taylor Heinicke for 2 yds to the WKent 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:24
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+5
82.7%
Ray Lawry run for 5 yds to the WKent 28Similar
Q2 2:41
2ND & 5
OPP 28
+28
73.3%
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to Melvin Vaughn for 28 yds for a TD, (Jarrett Cervi KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 15TD
14 plays · 77 yds · 2:2277% → 88%
Q2 2:34
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+8
76.7%
Leon Allen run for 8 yds to the WKent 31Similar
Q2 2:34
2ND & 2
OWN 31
+2
77.6%
Leon Allen run for 2 yds to the WKent 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:34
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
76.9%
Brandon Doughty run for 5 yds to the WKent 38Similar
Q2 2:34
2ND & 5
OWN 38
+4
78.0%
Leon Allen run for 4 yds to the WKent 42Similar
Q2 2:34
3RD & 1
OWN 42
+7
77.6%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Jared Dangerfield for 7 yds to the WKent 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:34
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
78.1%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Antwane Grant, broken up by Reggie OwensSimilar
Q2 2:34
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+9
77.8%
Leon Allen run for 9 yds to the ODU 42Similar
Q2 0:43
3RD & 1
OPP 42
+2
79.0%
Brandon Doughty run for 2 yds to the ODU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:43
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+21
79.4%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Mitchell Henry for 21 yds to the ODU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:43
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
80.0%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Mitchell HenrySimilar
Q2 0:12
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+19
87.7%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Jared Dangerfield for 19 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 16END OF HALF
2 plays · 16 yds · 0:0015% → 15%
Q2 0:07
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+16
85.5%
Ray Lawry run for 16 yds to the ODU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 17TD
8 plays · 70 yds · 3:3016% → 31%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+23
83.7%
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to David Washington for 23 yds to the WKent 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
82.7%
Ray Lawry run for 3 yds to the WKent 44Similar
Q3 14:52
2ND & 7
OPP 44
+1
82.8%
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to Melvin Vaughn for 1 yd to the WKent 43Similar
Q3 14:52
3RD & 6
OPP 43
+11
82.8%
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to Melvin Vaughn for 11 yds to the WKent 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+15
81.9%
Ray Lawry run for 15 yds to the WKent 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
81.6%
Taylor Heinicke pass incomplete to Melvin VaughnSimilar
Q3 11:22
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+17
69.2%
Ray Lawry run for 17 yds for a TD, (Jarrett Cervi KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 19TD
6 plays · 76 yds · 2:1915% → 32%
Q3 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+14
84.8%
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to Melvin Vaughn for 14 yds to the ODU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
84.2%
Ray Lawry run for 4 yds to the ODU 42Similar
Q3 11:00
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+53
83.7%
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to Antonio Vaughan for 53 yds to the WKent 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
82.2%
Ray Lawry run for 1 yd to the WKent 4Similar
Q3 8:41
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
68.4%
Ray Lawry run for 4 yds for a TD, (Jarrett Cervi KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 20TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:3076% → 89%
Q3 8:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
75.5%
Leon Allen run for 11 yds to the WKent 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:41
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
76.3%
Leon Allen run for no gain to the WKent 36Similar
Q3 8:41
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+29
75.8%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 29 yds to the ODU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:41
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
78.7%
Leon Allen run for 2 yds to the ODU 33Similar
Q3 8:41
2ND & 8
OPP 33
+10
78.7%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Leon Allen for 10 yds to the ODU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:41
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-1
78.7%
Leon Allen run for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 24Similar
Q3 8:41
2ND & 11
OPP 24
+12
78.6%
Leon Allen run for 12 yds to the ODU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:11
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
89.1%
Leon Allen run for 12 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 21TD
8 plays · 71 yds · 2:5913% → 32%
Q3 5:04
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+14
86.9%
Ray Lawry run for 14 yds to the ODU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:04
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+5
86.3%
Taylor Heinicke run for 5 yds to the ODU 48Similar
Q3 5:04
2ND & 5
OWN 48
+2
85.6%
Gerard Johnson run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 5:04
3RD & 3
50
+7
85.7%
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to David Washington for 7 yds to the WKent 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:04
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
85.5%
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to David Washington for 4 yds to the WKent 39Similar
Q3 5:04
2ND & 6
OPP 39
0
85.2%
Taylor Heinicke pass incomplete to Melvin VaughnSimilar
Q3 2:05
3RD & 6
OPP 39
+39
68.4%
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to Antonio Vaughan for 39 yds for a TD, (Jarrett Cervi KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 22FUMBLE
9 plays · 82 yds · 1:5775% → 79%
Q3 1:57
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+8
74.7%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Antwane Grant for 8 yds to the WKent 25Similar
Q3 1:57
2ND & 2
OWN 25
+3
75.3%
Leon Allen run for 3 yds to the WKent 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:57
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+23
75.0%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Jared Dangerfield for 23 yds to the ODU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:57
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
77.6%
Darmontre Warr run for 3 yds to the ODU 46Similar
Q3 1:57
2ND & 7
OPP 46
-9
77.7%
Brandon Doughty sacked by TJ Ricks for a loss of 9 yards to the WKent 45Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 16
OWN 45
+17
73.7%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 17 yds to the ODU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+4
77.9%
Anthony Wales run for 4 yds to the ODU 34Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 34
+32
78.7%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Mitchell Henry for 32 yds Mitchell Henry fumbled, forced by Richie Staton, recovered by ODU Fellonte Misher , return for 25 yds to the ODU 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 23INT TD
10 plays · 71 yds · 4:3629% → 10%
Q4 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+1
71.5%
Ray Lawry run for 1 yd to the ODU 27Similar
Q4 13:30
2ND & 9
OWN 27
+15
71.8%
HEINICKE, T. pass incomplete to WASHINGTON, D., PENALTY WKU roughing passer (OVERSTREET, D.) 15 yards to the ODU42, 1ST DOWN ODU, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+9
69.1%
Ray Lawry run for 9 yds to the WKent 49Similar
Q4 13:30
2ND & 1
OPP 49
-1
66.2%
Ray Lawry run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 13:30
3RD & 2
50
-5
67.5%
OLDDOMINION Penalty, false start (Zach Pascal) to the ODU 45Similar
Q4 13:30
3RD & 7
OWN 45
+13
69.6%
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to Melvin Vaughn for 13 yds to the WKent 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:30
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+6
66.9%
Ray Lawry run for 6 yds to the WKent 36Similar
Q4 13:30
2ND & 4
OPP 36
0
66.2%
Taylor Heinicke pass incomplete to Zach PascalSimilar
Q4 13:30
3RD & 4
OPP 36
+33
66.7%
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to Zach Pascal for 33 yds to the WKent 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+96
90.1%
Taylor Heinicke pass intercepted for a TD Juwan Gardner return for 96 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 0:008% → 7%
Q4 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
91.7%
Taylor Heinicke pass incomplete to Antonio VaughanSimilar
Q4 8:49
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+2
91.9%
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to Melvin Vaughn for 2 yds to the ODU 37Similar
Q4 8:49
3RD & 8
OWN 37
-6
91.8%
Taylor Heinicke sacked by Bryan Shorter and Gavin Rocker for a loss of 6 yards to the ODU 31Similar
Q4 8:49
4TH & 14
OWN 31
0
92.8%
Jarrett Cervi punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Kylen Towner at the WKent 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 25FG
13 plays · 60 yds · 5:2094% → 98%
Q4 7:24
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
94.0%
Leon Allen run for 6 yds to the WKent 36Similar
Q4 7:24
2ND & 4
OWN 36
+6
94.2%
Leon Allen run for 6 yds to the WKent 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:24
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+7
94.4%
Leon Allen run for 7 yds to the WKent 49Similar
Q4 7:24
2ND & 3
OWN 49
+17
94.4%
Leon Allen run for 17 yds to the ODU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:24
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+2
94.5%
Leon Allen run for 2 yds to the ODU 32Similar
Q4 7:24
2ND & 8
OPP 32
+3
94.5%
Leon Allen run for 3 yds to the ODU 29Similar
Q4 7:24
3RD & 5
OPP 29
+15
94.3%
Anthony Wales run for 15 yds to the ODU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:24
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
94.5%
Anthony Wales run for no gain to the ODU 14Similar
Q4 7:24
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+1
94.5%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Nicholas Norris for 1 yd to the ODU 13Similar
Q4 2:15
3RD & 9
OPP 13
+3
97.5%
Leon Allen run for 3 yds to the ODU 10Similar
Q4 2:04
4TH & 6
OPP 10
+27
98.2%
Garrett Schwettman 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 27END OF GAME
3 plays · 6 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q4 2:01
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+3
98.4%
Leon Allen run for 3 yds to the ODU 48Similar
Q4 2:01
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
98.4%
Leon Allen run for 3 yds to the WKent 49Similar
Q4 2:01
3RD & 4
OPP 48
0
98.4%
TEAM run for no gain to the ODU 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 8:54
Taylor Heinicke pass intercepted for a TD Juwan Gardner return for 96 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK)
+23.4
TD · Q3 2:05
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to Antonio Vaughan for 39 yds for a TD, (Jarrett Cervi KICK)
-16.8
TD · Q3 11:09
Satchel Ziffer kickoff for 59 yds , Kylen Towner return for 94 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK)
+15.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com