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MRSH

Marshall 56 at Old Dominion 14

ODU
2014 · Week 6 · Oct 4, 2014 · S.B. Ballard Stadium
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Win probability · ODU
modelODU aheadMRSH aheadconfidence bandkey playODU scoreMRSH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 5:27 · Jarrett Cervi punt for 33 yds , Hyleck Foster returns for 9 yds to the ODU 44
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+57.0+28.50−28.5−57.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 138Home team on offense−48.5Pregame prior−16.7Score differential−33.8Garbage-time factor−13.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−5.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−7.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 7:53: Remi Watson run for 10 yds for a TD, (Justin Haig KICK) — MRSH win probability +1.0 pts (now 88%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 7:31: Devon Johnson run for 8 yds for a TD, (Justin Haig KICK) — MRSH win probability +1.6 pts (now 89%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
  3. TD · Q1 0:36: Taylor Heinicke pass complete to Zach Pascal for 21 yds for a TD, (Ricky Segers KICK) — ODU win probability +1.3 pts (now 11%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 6:25: Rakeem Cato pass complete to Tommy Shuler for 42 yds for a TD, (Justin Haig KICK) — MRSH win probability +1.7 pts (now 93%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 0:28: Rakeem Cato pass complete to Deon-Tay McManus for 6 yds for a TD, (Justin Haig KICK) — MRSH win probability +2.0 pts (now 98%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ODU made the numbers' call on 10 of 10MRSH made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 15:00ODU 4th & 10 at ODU 38, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.0%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:31ODU 4th & 6 at MRSH 31, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 15.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    15.7%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    15.7%−<0.1
    54% to make
    Punt
    15.6%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:21ODU 4th & 4 at ODU 16, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.0%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.0%
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:21ODU 4th & 7 at ODU 28, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.8%−0.2
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.9%
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:09ODU 4th & 7 at ODU 23, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.1%−0.3
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.4%
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:09ODU 4th & 5 at MRSH 35, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 10.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.5%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    10.3%−0.2
    45% to make
    Punt
    10.1%−0.4
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:25ODU 4th & 16 at MRSH 43, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.1%−0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    6.2%−<0.1
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    6.2%
    average punt
  8. Q3 11:50MRSH 4th & 3 at ODU 7, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.0%
    46% to convert
    Field goal
    97.9%−0.1
    91% to make
    Punt
    97.5%−0.5
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:50ODU 4th & 11 at ODU 24, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.2%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.3%
    average punt
  10. Q3 5:27ODU 4th & 9 at ODU 20, down 49
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  11. Q3 3:45MRSH 4th & 1 at ODU 35, up 49
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    98.8%−0.2
    45% to make
    Punt
    98.7%−0.2
    average punt
  12. Q4 10:59ODU 4th & 2 at MRSH 2, down 49
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−0.1
    94% to make
    Punt
    -0.2%−0.5
    average punt
  13. Q4 10:09MRSH 4th & 1 at MRSH 11, up 49
    Close callPunted · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.6%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ODU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2MRSH made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 11:50MRSH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:53MRSH Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 7:31MRSH Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 0:36ODU Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    10.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    10.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 6:25MRSH Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:28MRSH Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 11:50MRSH Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 5:32MRSH Touchdown, up 48 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 7:06ODU Touchdown, down 43 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ODUDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
12.1%
Gerard Johnson run for 8 yds to the ODU 33Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+5
12.1%
Gerard Johnson run for 5 yds to the ODU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
12.1%
Taylor Heinicke pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 38
0
12.1%
Taylor Heinicke pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 38
0
12.1%
Taylor Heinicke pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 10
OWN 38
0
12.1%
Jarrett Cervi punt for 20 yds, downed at the Marsh 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 2TD
6 plays · 58 yds · 2:0687% → 87%
Q1 13:56
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
12.6%
Devon Johnson run for 3 yds to the Marsh 45Similar
Q1 13:56
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+10
12.6%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Craig Wilkins for 10 yds to the ODU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:56
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
12.6%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Tommy Shuler for no gain to the ODU 45Similar
Q1 13:56
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+35
12.6%
Devon Johnson run for 35 yds to the ODU 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+8
12.5%
Devon Johnson run for 8 yds to the ODU 2Similar
Q1 11:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
12.8%
Devon Johnson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Justin Haig KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 3DOWNS
12 plays · 46 yds · 2:1913% → 14%
Q1 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
13.0%
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to David Washington for 9 yds to the ODU 34Similar
Q1 11:50
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+2
13.1%
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to Antonio Vaughan for 2 yds to the ODU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+14
13.1%
Gerard Johnson run for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:50
1ST & 10
50
+2
13.2%
Gerard Johnson run for 2 yds to the Marsh 48Similar
Q1 11:50
2ND & 8
OPP 48
0
13.2%
Taylor Heinicke pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 11:50
3RD & 8
OPP 48
+13
13.1%
Gerard Johnson run for 13 yds to the Marsh 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:50
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
13.2%
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to Antonio Vaughan for 4 yds to the Marsh 31Similar
Q1 11:50
2ND & 6
OPP 31
0
13.2%
Taylor Heinicke pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 11:50
3RD & 6
OPP 31
0
13.2%
Taylor Heinicke pass incomplete to Antonio VaughanSimilar
Q1 9:31
4TH & 6
OPP 31
+2
13.9%
Taylor Heinicke run for 2 yds to the Marsh 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 4TD
5 plays · 71 yds · 1:2986% → 88%
Q1 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+21
13.7%
Remi Watson run for 21 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:22
1ST & 10
50
0
13.5%
Remi Watson run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 9:22
2ND & 10
50
+25
13.5%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Eric Frohnapfel for 25 yds to the ODU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:22
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+15
13.5%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Tommy Shuler for 15 yds to the ODU 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
12.5%
Remi Watson run for 10 yds for a TD, (Justin Haig KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 5INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0013% → 13%
Q1 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+22
13.1%
Taylor Heinicke pass intercepted Darryl Roberts return for 22 yds to the ODU 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 6TD
1 play · 8 yds · 0:0089% → 89%
Q1 7:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
11.5%
Devon Johnson run for 8 yds for a TD, (Justin Haig KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 7PUNT TD
6 plays · 6 yds · 2:0511% → 9%
Q1 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+3
11.0%
Gerard Johnson run for 3 yds to the ODU 13Similar
Q1 7:26
2ND & 7
OWN 13
+1
11.0%
Gerard Johnson run for 1 yd to the ODU 14Similar
Q1 7:26
3RD & 6
OWN 14
-7
11.0%
Gerard Johnson run for 2 yds to the ODU 16 OLDDOMINION Penalty, Offensive holding (N/A) to the ODU 7Similar
Q1 7:26
3RD & 13
OWN 7
+9
11.0%
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to Gerard Johnson for 9 yds to the ODU 16Similar
Q1 5:21
4TH & 4
OWN 16
0
8.9%
TEAM punt blocked by Raheim Huskey blocked by Raheim Huskey Brandon Byrd return for no gain for a TD, (Justin Haig KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q1 5:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
9.1%
Gerard Johnson run for 3 yds to the ODU 28Similar
Q1 5:21
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
9.1%
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to Gerard Johnson for no gain to the ODU 28Similar
Q1 5:21
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
9.0%
Taylor Heinicke pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 5:21
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+13
9.0%
Jarrett Cervi punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Marsh 43 , Tommy Shuler returns for 13 yds to the Marsh 41 MARSHALL Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the Marsh 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 9INT
2 plays · 2 yds · 0:0091% → 91%
Q1 3:51
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
9.4%
Devon Johnson run for 2 yds to the Marsh 45Similar
Q1 3:51
2ND & 8
OWN 45
0
9.4%
Rakeem Cato pass intercepted Christian Byrum return for no gain to the ODU 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 10TD
8 plays · 58 yds · 2:479% → 11%
Q1 3:23
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+18
8.9%
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to Antonio Vaughan for 18 yds to the Marsh 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:23
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
9.2%
Taylor Heinicke pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 3:23
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+3
9.1%
Gerard Johnson run for 3 yds to the Marsh 37Similar
Q1 3:23
3RD & 7
OPP 37
+4
9.1%
HEINICKE, T. pass incomplete to VAUGHN,Melvin, PENALTY MARSHALL pass interference (ROBERTS, Darryl) 4 yards to the MARSHALL33, 1ST DOWN ODU, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:23
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+11
9.3%
Taylor Heinicke run for 11 yds to the Marsh 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:23
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-7
9.3%
Taylor Heinicke sacked by Ra'Shawde Myers and Neville Hewitt for a loss of 7 yards to the Marsh 29Similar
Q1 3:23
2ND & 17
OPP 29
+8
9.2%
Gerard Johnson run for 8 yds to the Marsh 21Similar
Q1 0:36
3RD & 9
OPP 21
+21
10.5%
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to Zach Pascal for 21 yds for a TD, (Ricky Segers KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 11INT
11 plays · 60 yds · 0:2890% → 90%
Q1 0:28
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-5
10.1%
MARSHALL Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Marsh 28Similar
Q1 0:28
1ST & 15
OWN 28
+16
10.1%
Devon Johnson run for 16 yds to the Marsh 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:28
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+9
9.9%
Devon Johnson run for 9 yds to the ODU 47Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 47
0
9.8%
Rakeem Cato pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 47
+8
9.9%
Devon Johnson run for 8 yds to the ODU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
9.8%
Devon Johnson run for 5 yds to the ODU 34Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 34
-6
9.7%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Tommy Shuler for 4 yds to the ODU 30 MARSHALL Penalty, Offensive holding (N/A) to the ODU 40Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 40
+32
9.8%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Angelo Jean-Louis for 32 yds to the ODU 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
9.7%
Devon Johnson run for 1 yd to the ODU 7Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
9.7%
Rakeem Cato pass intercepted Christian Byrum return for no gain to the ODU 0Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q2 12:09
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
9.4%
Gerard Johnson run for 1 yd to the ODU 21Similar
Q2 12:09
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+4
9.4%
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to Marques Little for 4 yds to the ODU 25Similar
Q2 12:09
3RD & 5
OWN 25
-2
9.4%
Taylor Heinicke sacked by Tomell One for a loss of 2 yards to the ODU 23Similar
Q2 12:09
4TH & 7
OWN 23
0
9.3%
Jarrett Cervi punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Tommy Shuler at the Marsh 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 13FUMBLE
1 play · 8 yds · 0:0091% → 91%
Q2 10:28
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+10
9.2%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Craig Wilkins for 10 yds Craig Wilkins fumbled, forced by Reggie Owens, recovered by ODU Reggie OwensSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 14DOWNS
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q2 10:09
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
9.8%
Taylor Heinicke pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q2 10:09
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+2
9.7%
Gerard Johnson run for 2 yds to the Marsh 38Similar
Q2 10:09
3RD & 8
OPP 38
+3
9.6%
Gerard Johnson run for 3 yds to the Marsh 35Similar
Q2 10:09
4TH & 5
OPP 35
-4
9.6%
Taylor Heinicke sacked by Neville Hewitt for a loss of 4 yards to the Marsh 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 15TD
6 plays · 61 yds · 2:2791% → 93%
Q2 8:52
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
8.6%
Remi Watson run for 3 yds to the Marsh 42Similar
Q2 8:52
2ND & 7
OWN 42
+3
8.7%
Remi Watson run for 3 yds to the Marsh 45Similar
Q2 8:52
3RD & 4
OWN 45
+5
8.8%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Tommy Shuler for 5 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:52
1ST & 10
50
+6
8.6%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Craig Wilkins for 6 yds to the ODU 44Similar
Q2 8:52
2ND & 4
OPP 44
+2
8.4%
Rakeem Cato run for 2 yds to the ODU 42Similar
Q2 6:25
3RD & 2
OPP 42
+42
6.7%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Tommy Shuler for 42 yds for a TD, (Justin Haig KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 16PUNT
10 plays · 32 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q2 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
6.0%
Ray Lawry run for 3 yds to the ODU 28Similar
Q2 6:25
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+5
5.9%
Ray Lawry run for 5 yds to the ODU 33Similar
Q2 6:25
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+15
5.9%
Ray Lawry run for 15 yds to the ODU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
6.5%
Ray Lawry run for 1 yd to the ODU 49Similar
Q2 6:25
2ND & 9
OWN 49
+14
6.4%
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to Jonathan Duhart for 14 yds to the Marsh 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:25
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+1
6.7%
Ray Lawry run for 1 yd to the Marsh 36Similar
Q2 6:25
2ND & 9
OPP 36
-7
6.6%
Taylor Heinicke sacked by Raheem Waiters for a loss of 7 yards to the Marsh 43Similar
Q2 6:25
3RD & 16
OPP 43
0
6.3%
Taylor Heinicke pass incomplete to Zach PascalSimilar
Q2 6:25
4TH & 16
OPP 43
0
6.3%
Jarrett Cervi punt for 43 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 17TD
12 plays · 80 yds · 2:0794% → 98%
Q2 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+15
6.5%
Devon Johnson run for 15 yds to the Marsh 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
6.6%
Devon Johnson run for 9 yds to the Marsh 44Similar
Q2 2:35
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+5
6.2%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Eric Frohnapfel for 5 yds to the Marsh 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
6.3%
Rakeem Cato pass incomplete to Angelo Jean-LouisSimilar
Q2 2:35
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+16
6.3%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Deon-Tay McManus for 16 yds to the ODU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:35
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
6.1%
Rakeem Cato pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q2 0:54
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+20
4.1%
Remi Watson run for 20 yds to the ODU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:54
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+3
3.9%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Tommy Shuler for 3 yds to the ODU 12Similar
Q2 0:54
2ND & 7
OPP 12
+6
3.9%
Remi Watson run for 6 yds to the ODU 6Similar
Q2 0:28
3RD & 1
OPP 6
+6
2.0%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Deon-Tay McManus for 6 yds for a TD, (Justin Haig KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 18END OF HALF
6 plays · 13 yds · 0:062% → 2%
Q2 0:22
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+16
2.3%
Cam Boyd run for 16 yds to the ODU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:16
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
1.8%
Taylor Heinicke pass incomplete to Antonio VaughanSimilar
Q2 0:16
2ND & 10
OWN 46
0
1.7%
Taylor Heinicke pass incomplete to Cam BoydSimilar
Q2 0:16
3RD & 10
OWN 46
-3
1.7%
Cam Boyd run for a loss of 3 yards to the ODU 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 19TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:1098% → 98%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
2.3%
Devon Johnson run for 7 yds to the Marsh 32Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
-2
2.3%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Tommy Shuler for a loss of 2 yards to the Marsh 30Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+43
2.3%
Devon Johnson run for 43 yds to the ODU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+13
2.1%
Devon Johnson run for 13 yds to the ODU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+7
2.1%
Devon Johnson run for 7 yds to the ODU 7Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 7
+2
2.0%
Devon Johnson run for 2 yds to the ODU 5Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 5
-2
2.1%
Devon Johnson run for a loss of 2 yards to the ODU 7Similar
Q3 11:50
4TH & 3
OPP 7
+7
2.0%
Devon Johnson run for 7 yds for a TD, (Justin Haig KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
1.3%
Gerard Johnson run for no gain to the ODU 25Similar
Q3 11:50
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-9
1.2%
Taylor Heinicke sacked by D.J. Hunter and James Rouse for a loss of 9 yards to the ODU 16Similar
Q3 11:50
3RD & 19
OWN 16
+8
1.2%
Gerard Johnson run for 8 yds to the ODU 24Similar
Q3 11:50
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
1.2%
Jarrett Cervi punt for 49 yds, downed at the Marsh 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 21TD
11 plays · 73 yds · 4:1599% → 99%
Q3 9:47
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+8
1.3%
Remi Watson run for 8 yds to the Marsh 35Similar
Q3 9:47
2ND & 2
OWN 35
+6
1.3%
Remi Watson run for 6 yds to the Marsh 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:47
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
1.3%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Tommy Shuler for 6 yds to the Marsh 47Similar
Q3 9:47
2ND & 4
OWN 47
+5
1.3%
Remi Watson run for 5 yds to the ODU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:47
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+1
1.3%
Remi Watson run for 1 yd to the ODU 47Similar
Q3 9:47
2ND & 9
OPP 47
+9
1.3%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Deon-Tay McManus for 9 yds to the ODU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:47
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+6
1.3%
Remi Watson run for 6 yds to the ODU 32Similar
Q3 9:47
2ND & 4
OPP 32
+8
1.2%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Tommy Shuler for 8 yds to the ODU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:47
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+11
1.2%
Rakeem Cato run for 11 yds to the ODU 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:32
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
0.7%
Remi Watson run for 13 yds for a TD, (Justin Haig KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 5:27
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-3
0.4%
Vincent Lowe run for a loss of 3 yards to the ODU 16Similar
Q3 5:27
2ND & 13
OWN 16
+4
0.4%
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to David Washington for 4 yds to the ODU 20Similar
Q3 5:27
3RD & 9
OWN 20
0
0.4%
Taylor Heinicke pass incomplete to Antonio VaughanSimilar
Q3 5:27
4TH & 9
OWN 20
+9
0.4%
Jarrett Cervi punt for 33 yds , Hyleck Foster returns for 9 yds to the ODU 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 23DOWNS
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q3 3:45
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
0.6%
Brandon Byrd run for 2 yds to the ODU 42Similar
Q3 3:45
2ND & 8
OPP 42
+7
0.6%
Rakeem Cato run for 7 yds to the ODU 35Similar
Q3 3:45
3RD & 1
OPP 35
0
0.6%
Brandon Byrd run for no gain to the ODU 35Similar
Q3 3:45
4TH & 1
OPP 35
0
0.9%
Brandon Byrd run for no gain to the ODU 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 24DOWNS
11 plays · 63 yds · 5:460% → 0%
Q3 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
0.3%
Ray Lawry run for 4 yds to the ODU 39Similar
Q3 1:45
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+1
0.3%
Ray Lawry run for 1 yd to the ODU 40Similar
Q3 1:45
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+37
0.3%
Ray Lawry run for 37 yds to the Marsh 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
0.3%
Ray Lawry run for 3 yds to the Marsh 20Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 20
+3
0.2%
Ray Lawry run for 3 yds to the Marsh 17Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 17
+8
0.2%
Ray Lawry run for 8 yds to the Marsh 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+5
0.3%
Ray Lawry run for 5 yds to the Marsh 4Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
0.3%
Ray Lawry run for 3 yds to the Marsh 1Similar
Q4 10:59
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
0.2%
Ray Lawry run for a loss of 1 yard to the Marsh 2Similar
Q4 10:59
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
0
0.2%
Taylor Heinicke pass incomplete to Zach Pascal, broken up by Darryl RobertsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 25PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 10:09
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+8
0.4%
Gunnar Holcombe pass complete to Deon-Tay McManus for 8 yds to the Marsh 10Similar
Q4 10:09
2ND & 2
OWN 10
0
0.3%
Steward Butler run for no gain to the Marsh 10Similar
Q4 10:09
3RD & 2
OWN 10
+1
0.3%
Steward Butler run for 1 yd to the Marsh 11Similar
Q4 10:09
4TH & 1
OWN 11
0
0.3%
Tyler Williams punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Marsh 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 26TD
2 plays · 43 yds · 0:470% → 0%
Q4 7:53
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+16
0.1%
Ray Lawry run for 16 yds to the Marsh 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:06
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+27
0.1%
Ray Lawry run for 27 yds for a TD, (Ricky Segers KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 27END OF GAME
13 plays · 52 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
0.2%
Brandon Byrd run for 4 yds to the Marsh 34Similar
Q4 7:00
2ND & 6
OWN 34
-1
0.2%
Brandon Byrd run for a loss of 1 yard to the Marsh 33Similar
Q4 7:00
3RD & 7
OWN 33
+15
0.2%
Gunnar Holcombe pass complete to Ryan Yurachek for 15 yds to the Marsh 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+11
0.2%
Gunnar Holcombe run for 11 yds to the ODU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-6
0.2%
D'Andre Wilson run for 4 yds to the ODU 37 MARSHALL Penalty, illegal block (Hyleck Foster) to the ODU 47Similar
Q4 7:00
1ST & 16
OPP 47
+1
0.2%
Brandon Byrd run for 1 yd to the ODU 46Similar
Q4 7:00
2ND & 15
OPP 46
0
0.2%
Gunnar Holcombe pass incomplete to Ryan YurachekSimilar
Q4 7:00
3RD & 15
OPP 46
+16
0.2%
Gunnar Holcombe pass complete to Deon-Tay McManus for 16 yds to the ODU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+1
0.2%
Brandon Byrd run for 1 yd to the ODU 29Similar
Q4 7:00
2ND & 9
OPP 29
+8
0.2%
Brandon Byrd run for 8 yds to the ODU 21Similar
Q4 7:00
3RD & 1
OPP 21
+5
0.2%
Brandon Byrd run for 5 yds to the ODU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-2
0.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the ODU 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:28
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Deon-Tay McManus for 6 yds for a TD, (Justin Haig KICK)
-2
TD · Q2 6:25
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Tommy Shuler for 42 yds for a TD, (Justin Haig KICK)
-1.7
TD · Q1 7:31
Devon Johnson run for 8 yds for a TD, (Justin Haig KICK)
-1.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com