Try the model
2014 · Week 3 · Sep 13, 2014 · S.B. Ballard Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · ODU
modelODU aheadEMU aheadconfidence bandkey playODU scoreEMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 9:08 · Austin Barnes punt for 52 yds, downed at the ODU 1
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+34.5+17.30−17.3−34.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 110Pregame prior+14.2Home team on offense+5.7Score differential+1.7Garbage-time factor−0.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+1.2
This game in five plays
  1. KEY PLAY · Q3 2:55: Gerard Johnson run for 8 yds to the EMich 29 — ODU win probability +3.4 pts (now 85%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q3 0:11: Ricky Segers 26 yd FG GOOD — ODU win probability +3.0 pts (now 87%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q4 9:13: Gerard Johnson run for 2 yds to the ODU 27 — ODU win probability +3.9 pts (now 88%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
  4. PUNT · Q4 7:28: Austin Barnes punt for 42 yds , Antonio Vaughan returns for 46 yds for a TD, (Ricky Segers KICK) — ODU win probability +8.8 pts (now 94%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 7:28: Timeout EASTRN MICHIGAN, clock 07:28 — ODU win probability +5.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ODU made the numbers' call on 9 of 10EMU made the numbers' call on 7 of 11
  1. Q1 10:47ODU 4th & 2 at ODU 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 77.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    77.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    77.4%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:16EMU 4th & 2 at EMU 42, down 7
    Close callPunted · 21.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.5%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:27ODU 4th & 2 at ODU 37, up 7
    Close callPunted · 78.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.4%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:59EMU 4th & 1 at ODU 49, down 7
    Close callPunted · 21.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.6%−0.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00ODU 4th & 22 at ODU 21, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.7%−1.5
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:44EMU 4th & 14 at ODU 37, down 7
    Close callPunted · 21.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.2%−0.4
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    21.6%
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    21.5%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 11:02ODU 4th & 22 at EMU 47, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.7%−1.4
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.1%
    average punt
  8. Q2 8:18EMU 4th & 17 at EMU 8, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.8%−1.6
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.4%
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:19ODU 4th & 1 at EMU 1, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 79.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    79.1%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    77.3%−1.8
    94% to make
    Punt
    72.9%−6.2
    average punt
  10. Q3 15:00EMU 4th & 18 at ODU 46, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.0%−2.0
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    20.4%−1.6
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    22.0%
    average punt
  11. Q3 10:45ODU 4th & 9 at ODU 13, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.9%−1.5
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.5%
    average punt
  12. Q3 9:08EMU 4th & 3 at EMU 47, down 7
    Close callPunted · 21.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.7%−0.7
    average punt
  13. Q3 7:11ODU 4th & 8 at ODU 47, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.3%−0.7
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.9%
    average punt
  14. Q3 5:21EMU 4th & 16 at EMU 16, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.4%−3.1
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.5%
    average punt
  15. Q3 0:11ODU 4th & 9 at EMU 9, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 85.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.7%−1.5
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    85.2%
    89% to make
    Punt
    76.5%−8.7
    average punt
  16. Q4 15:00EMU 4th & 1 at ODU 44, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 14.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    10.2%−4.4
    27% to make
    Punt
    11.6%−3.0
    average punt
  17. Q4 9:13EMU 4th & 9 at ODU 26, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 10.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.8%−0.4
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    11.2%
    64% to make
    Punt
    7.3%−4.0
    average punt
  18. Q4 9:13ODU 4th & 8 at ODU 27, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.8%−2.0
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.8%
    average punt
  19. Q4 7:28EMU 4th & 13 at EMU 4, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.3%−2.5
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.8%
    average punt
  20. Q4 7:22EMU 4th & 6 at EMU 36, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.0%
    average punt
  21. Q4 2:45ODU 4th & 5 at EMU 30, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.3%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    99.3%−<0.1
    56% to make
    Punt
    99.2%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ODU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 7:23ODU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ODUDrive 1INT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0083% → 83%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
82.5%
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to Vincent Lowe for 5 yds to the ODU 30Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+2
82.5%
Gerard Johnson run for 2 yds to the ODU 32Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
82.5%
Taylor Heinicke pass intercepted Kevin Johnson return for no gain to the EMich 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 2PUNT
10 plays · 19 yds · 0:0018% → 18%
Q1 13:58
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-15
82.1%
EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, personal foul (N/A) to the EMich 24Similar
Q1 13:58
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
82.2%
Bronson Hill run for no gain to the EMich 24Similar
Q1 13:58
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+6
82.2%
Bronson Hill run for 6 yds to the EMich 30Similar
Q1 13:58
3RD & 4
OWN 30
+14
82.2%
Bronson Hill run for 14 yds to the EMich 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:58
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-2
82.1%
Bronson Hill run for a loss of 2 yards to the EMich 42Similar
Q1 13:58
2ND & 12
OWN 42
0
82.2%
Bronson Hill run for no gain to the EMich 42Similar
Q1 13:58
3RD & 12
OWN 42
+14
82.2%
Bronson Hill run for 14 yds to the ODU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:58
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
82.1%
Bronson Hill run for 2 yds to the ODU 42Similar
Q1 13:58
2ND & 8
OPP 42
0
82.1%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Bronson HillSimilar
Q1 13:58
3RD & 8
OPP 42
0
82.1%
Owen Dubiel punt for 42 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 3TD
7 plays · 80 yds · 3:2481% → 82%
Q1 10:47
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
81.3%
Gerard Johnson run for 5 yds to the ODU 25Similar
Q1 10:47
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+7
81.3%
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to Antonio Vaughan for 7 yds to the ODU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:47
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-1
81.3%
Gerard Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 31Similar
Q1 10:47
2ND & 11
OWN 31
-3
81.3%
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to Gerard Johnson for a loss of 3 yards to the ODU 28Similar
Q1 10:47
3RD & 14
OWN 28
+12
81.1%
Taylor Heinicke run for 12 yds to the ODU 40Similar
Q1 10:47
4TH & 2
OWN 40
+5
81.3%
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to David Washington for 5 yds to the ODU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:23
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+55
82.4%
Ray Lawry run for 55 yds for a TD, (Ricky Segers KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0018% → 18%
Q1 7:16
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
81.9%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 7:16
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+8
81.9%
Darius Jackson run for 8 yds to the EMich 42Similar
Q1 7:16
3RD & 2
OWN 42
0
81.7%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 7:16
4TH & 2
OWN 42
0
82.0%
Owen Dubiel punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Antonio Vaughan at the ODU 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 26 yds · 0:0082% → 82%
Q1 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+3
82.0%
Cam Boyd run for 3 yds to the ODU 14Similar
Q1 6:27
2ND & 7
OWN 14
+4
82.0%
Cam Boyd run for 4 yds to the ODU 18Similar
Q1 6:27
3RD & 3
OWN 18
+11
81.8%
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to David Washington for 11 yds to the ODU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+7
82.1%
Cam Boyd run for 7 yds to the ODU 36Similar
Q1 6:27
2ND & 3
OWN 36
+1
82.3%
Cam Boyd run for 1 yd to the ODU 37Similar
Q1 6:27
3RD & 2
OWN 37
0
82.2%
Taylor Heinicke pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:27
4TH & 2
OWN 37
+1
81.9%
Taylor Heinicke punt for 39 yds , Jason Beck returns for 1 yd to the EMich 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 26 yds · 0:0018% → 19%
Q1 3:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
81.7%
Kris Strange run for 17 yds to the EMich 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:59
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
81.4%
Darius Jackson run for 3 yds to the EMich 45Similar
Q1 3:59
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+3
81.2%
Bronson Hill run for 3 yds to the EMich 48Similar
Q1 3:59
3RD & 4
OWN 48
+3
81.2%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Bronson Hill for 3 yds to the ODU 49Similar
Q1 3:59
4TH & 1
OPP 49
0
81.4%
Owen Dubiel punt for 47 yds, downed at the ODU 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 7PUNT
9 plays · 19 yds · 1:3282% → 81%
Q1 1:32
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+6
81.5%
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to David Washington for 6 yds to the ODU 8Similar
Q1 1:32
2ND & 4
OWN 8
+7
81.4%
Taylor Heinicke run for 7 yds to the ODU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:32
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-1
81.5%
Gerard Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 14Similar
Q1 1:32
2ND & 11
OWN 14
+19
81.5%
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to Melvin Vaughn for 19 yds to the ODU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-15
81.6%
HEINICKE, T. pass complete to JOHNSON, Gerard for 2 yards to the ODU35 (COTTON, Pudge), PENALTY ODU personal foul (BOTTOMS, Kyle) 15 yards to the ODU18, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 25
OWN 18
-1
81.4%
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to Marques Little for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 17Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 26
OWN 17
+1
81.4%
Gerard Johnson run for 1 yd to the ODU 18Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 25
OWN 18
+3
81.0%
Gerard Johnson run for 3 yds to the ODU 21Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 22
OWN 21
0
80.7%
Jarrett Cervi punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Tyler Allen at the EMich 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 27 yds · 0:0019% → 19%
Q2 12:44
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+31
80.6%
Brogan Roback pass complete to David Gibson for 31 yds to the ODU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:44
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
79.2%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Cole GardnerSimilar
Q2 12:44
2ND & 10
OPP 33
-3
79.3%
Ryan Brumfield run for a loss of 3 yards to the ODU 36 Ryan Brumfield fumbled, recovered by EMich Ryan BrumfieldSimilar
Q2 12:44
3RD & 13
OPP 36
-1
80.6%
Ryan Brumfield run for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 37Similar
Q2 12:44
4TH & 14
OPP 37
0
81.4%
Owen Dubiel punt for 36 yds, downed at the ODU 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 9PUNT
10 plays · 52 yds · 0:0081% → 81%
Q2 11:02
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
81.1%
Taylor Heinicke pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q2 11:02
2ND & 10
OWN 1
0
81.0%
Ray Lawry run for no gain to the ODU 1Similar
Q2 11:02
3RD & 10
OWN 1
+9
80.5%
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to Ray Lawry for 9 yds to the ODU 10Similar
Q2 11:02
4TH & 1
OWN 10
-5
80.2%
HEINICKE, T. punt 67 yards to the EMU23, downed, PENALTY ODU illegal block 5 yards to the ODU5, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:02
4TH & 6
OWN 5
+15
80.1%
CERVI, Jarrett punt 63 yards to the EMU32, out-of-bounds, PENALTY EMU roughing the kicker (KATHALAY, O.) 15 yards to the ODU20, 1ST DOWN ODU, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:02
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+45
81.2%
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to Jonathan Duhart for 45 yds to the EMich 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:02
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-12
82.3%
Taylor Heinicke sacked by Pat O'Connor for a loss of 12 yards to the EMich 47Similar
Q2 11:02
2ND & 22
OPP 47
0
81.7%
Taylor Heinicke pass incomplete to Vincent LoweSimilar
Q2 11:02
3RD & 22
OPP 47
0
81.1%
Taylor Heinicke pass incomplete to David WashingtonSimilar
Q2 11:02
4TH & 22
OPP 47
0
80.5%
Jarrett Cervi punt for 32 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 0:0019% → 18%
Q2 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-7
80.8%
ALLEN, Tyler rush for no gain to the EMU15 (MISHER, F.), PENALTY EMU illegal block (HILL, Bronson) 7 yards to the EMU8, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:18
1ST & 17
OWN 8
-1
81.0%
Bronson Hill run for a loss of 1 yard to the EMich 7Similar
Q2 8:18
2ND & 18
OWN 7
+1
81.1%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Tyler Allen for 1 yd to the EMich 8Similar
Q2 8:18
3RD & 17
OWN 8
0
81.6%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Tyler AllenSimilar
Q2 8:18
4TH & 17
OWN 8
+41
81.9%
Austin Barnes punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the EMich 49 OLDDOMINION Penalty, kick catching interference off-setting ( Yards) to the EMich 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 11FUMBLE
4 plays · 35 yds · 0:0083% → 83%
Q2 6:40
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+11
82.7%
Ray Lawry run for 11 yds to the EMich 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:40
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
82.8%
Ray Lawry run for 3 yds to the EMich 35Similar
Q2 6:40
2ND & 7
OPP 35
+13
82.9%
Antonio Vaughan run for 13 yds to the EMich 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:40
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+8
82.9%
Antonio Vaughan run for 8 yds to the EMich 14 Antonio Vaughan fumbled, forced by Amos Houston, recovered by EMich Anthony ZapponeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 12FUMBLE
9 plays · 9 yds · 0:0019% → 19%
Q2 5:31
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+6
80.6%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Darius Jackson for 6 yds to the EMich 20Similar
Q2 5:31
2ND & 4
OWN 20
+7
80.3%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Tyreese Russell for 7 yds to the EMich 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:31
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+7
80.3%
Ryan Brumfield run for 7 yds to the EMich 34Similar
Q2 5:31
2ND & 3
OWN 34
+4
79.4%
Ryan Brumfield run for 4 yds to the EMich 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:31
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
79.7%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Kris Strange, broken up by Sandy ChapmanSimilar
Q2 5:31
2ND & 10
OWN 38
-5
79.8%
EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, false start (Kris Strange) to the EMich 33Similar
Q2 5:31
2ND & 15
OWN 33
+4
80.7%
Brogan Roback run for 4 yds to the EMich 37Similar
Q2 5:31
3RD & 11
OWN 37
-10
81.0%
Brogan Roback sacked by Terrell Reid for a loss of 10 yards to the EMich 23 Brogan Roback fumbled, recovered by ODU Gary Scruggs , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 13DOWNS
9 plays · 22 yds · 1:3883% → 81%
Q2 2:57
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-15
82.7%
OLDDOMINION Penalty, personal foul (TJ Ricks) to the EMich 38Similar
Q2 2:57
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+17
82.9%
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to Zach Pascal for 17 yds to the EMich 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:57
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+13
83.0%
Gerard Johnson run for 13 yds to the EMich 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
83.0%
Gerard Johnson run for no gain to the EMich 8Similar
Q2 2:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
83.0%
Taylor Heinicke pass incomplete to Zach PascalSimilar
Q2 2:57
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+7
82.5%
Taylor Heinicke run for 7 yds to the EMich 1Similar
Q2 1:19
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
0
81.3%
Taylor Heinicke pass incomplete to Zach PascalSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 14END OF HALF
2 plays · 4 yds · 0:0019% → 19%
Q2 1:09
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+3
81.1%
Darius Jackson run for 3 yds to the EMich 4Similar
Q2 1:09
2ND & 7
OWN 4
+1
81.3%
Darius Jackson run for 1 yd to the EMich 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 15PUNT
11 plays · 29 yds · 0:0020% → 19%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
80.4%
Bronson Hill run for 3 yds to the EMich 28Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+23
80.1%
Bronson Hill run for 23 yds to the ODU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
78.3%
Bronson Hill run for 2 yds to the ODU 47Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 47
+4
78.3%
Bronson Hill run for 4 yds to the ODU 43Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 43
+5
78.6%
Bronson Hill run for 5 yds to the ODU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+1
78.3%
Ryan Brumfield run for 1 yd to the ODU 37Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 37
-5
78.3%
Brogan Roback run for a loss of 5 yards to the ODU 42 Brogan Roback fumbled, recovered by EMich Ryan BrumfieldSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 14
OPP 42
-5
80.2%
EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, false start (Lincoln Hansen) to the ODU 47Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 19
OPP 47
+1
80.3%
Brogan Roback run for 1 yd to the ODU 46Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 18
OPP 46
0
81.1%
Owen Dubiel punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Antonio Vaughan at the ODU 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0081% → 79%
Q3 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
80.8%
Taylor Heinicke pass incomplete to Zach Pascal, broken up by DaQuan PaceSimilar
Q3 10:45
2ND & 10
OWN 12
+4
80.6%
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to Zach Pascal for 4 yds to the ODU 16Similar
Q3 10:45
3RD & 6
OWN 16
-3
80.1%
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to Gerard Johnson for a loss of 3 yards to the ODU 13Similar
Q3 10:45
4TH & 9
OWN 13
0
79.2%
Jarrett Cervi punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Tyler Allen at the EMich 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0021% → 20%
Q3 9:08
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-2
78.8%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Jaleel Canty for a loss of 2 yards to the EMich 38Similar
Q3 9:08
2ND & 12
OWN 38
+9
79.8%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Darius Jackson for 9 yds to the EMich 47Similar
Q3 9:08
3RD & 3
OWN 47
0
78.1%
Brogan Roback run for no gain to the EMich 47Similar
Q3 9:08
4TH & 3
OWN 47
0
80.0%
Austin Barnes punt for 52 yds, downed at the ODU 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 46 yds · 0:0083% → 83%
Q3 7:11
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
82.8%
Taylor Heinicke pass incomplete to Antonio Vaughan, broken up by DaQuan PaceSimilar
Q3 7:11
2ND & 10
OWN 1
+44
82.6%
Gerard Johnson run for 44 yds to the ODU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:11
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
84.6%
Gerard Johnson run for 1 yd to the ODU 46Similar
Q3 7:11
2ND & 9
OWN 46
0
84.5%
Taylor Heinicke pass incomplete to Antonio Vaughan, broken up by DaQuan PaceSimilar
Q3 7:11
3RD & 9
OWN 46
+1
83.2%
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to David Washington for 1 yd to the ODU 47Similar
Q3 7:11
4TH & 8
OWN 47
0
82.5%
Taylor Heinicke punt for 45 yds, downed at the EMich 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 8 yds · 0:0020% → 18%
Q3 5:21
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+5
80.2%
Ryan Brumfield run for 5 yds to the EMich 13Similar
Q3 5:21
2ND & 5
OWN 13
0
79.9%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Cole Gardner, broken up by Eriq LewisSimilar
Q3 5:21
3RD & 5
OWN 13
+9
81.1%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Tyler Allen for 9 yds to the EMich 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:21
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-8
79.7%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Ryan Brumfield for a loss of 8 yards to the EMich 14Similar
Q3 5:21
2ND & 18
OWN 14
+2
80.1%
Ryan Brumfield run for 2 yds to the EMich 16Similar
Q3 5:21
3RD & 16
OWN 16
0
81.1%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Kris StrangeSimilar
Q3 5:21
4TH & 16
OWN 16
+24
81.7%
Austin Barnes punt for 35 yds , Antonio Vaughan returns for 24 yds to the EMich 40 OLDDOMINION Penalty, Offensive holding (N/A) to the EMich 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 20FG
7 plays · 28 yds · 2:4485% → 87%
Q3 2:55
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+8
85.1%
Gerard Johnson run for 8 yds to the EMich 29Similar
Q3 2:55
2ND & 2
OPP 29
+12
85.3%
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to Vincent Lowe for 12 yds to the EMich 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:55
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+11
85.3%
Gerard Johnson run for 11 yds to the EMich 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
85.3%
Gerard Johnson run for 1 yd to the EMich 5Similar
Q3 2:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
-4
85.3%
Gerard Johnson run for a loss of 4 yards to the EMich 9Similar
Q3 2:55
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
0
84.4%
Taylor Heinicke pass incomplete to Melvin VaughnSimilar
Q3 0:11
4TH & GOAL
OPP 9
+26
87.4%
Ricky Segers 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 21FG
16 plays · 49 yds · 5:5813% → 17%
Q3 0:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
87.4%
Rob Bolden run for 2 yds to the EMich 27Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+4
87.1%
Bronson Hill run for 4 yds to the EMich 31Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+5
87.2%
Rob Bolden pass complete to Kris Strange for 5 yds to the EMich 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
86.4%
Rob Bolden pass complete to Kris Strange for 7 yds to the EMich 43Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 43
+4
85.5%
Rob Bolden run for 4 yds to the EMich 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+9
85.4%
Rob Bolden run for 9 yds to the ODU 44Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 44
0
84.4%
Rob Bolden run for no gain to the ODU 44Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 44
0
84.7%
Darius Jackson run for no gain to the ODU 44Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 44
+2
86.1%
Rob Bolden run for 2 yds to the ODU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+8
84.7%
Rob Bolden run for 8 yds to the ODU 34Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 34
+7
83.5%
Rob Bolden run for 7 yds to the ODU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+4
83.5%
Brogan Roback run for 4 yds to the ODU 23Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 23
+1
83.5%
Bronson Hill run for 1 yd to the ODU 22Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 22
-4
84.7%
Rob Bolden run for a loss of 4 yards to the ODU 26 Rob Bolden fumbled, recovered by EMich Rob BoldenSimilar
Q4 9:13
4TH & 9
OPP 26
+43
82.8%
Dylan Mulder 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0088% → 86%
Q4 9:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
87.5%
Gerard Johnson run for 2 yds to the ODU 27Similar
Q4 9:13
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
87.5%
Taylor Heinicke pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:13
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
86.6%
Taylor Heinicke pass incomplete OLDDOMINION Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 9:13
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
86.1%
Taylor Heinicke punt for 66 yds, downed at the EMich 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 23PUNT RETURN TD
4 plays · -3 yds · 0:5416% → 6%
Q4 8:22
1ST & 10
OWN 7
-3
84.2%
Tyler Allen run for a loss of 3 yards to the EMich 4Similar
Q4 8:22
2ND & 13
OWN 4
0
84.4%
Rob Bolden pass incomplete to Cole GardnerSimilar
Q4 8:22
3RD & 13
OWN 4
0
85.4%
Rob Bolden pass incomplete to David GibsonSimilar
Q4 7:28
4TH & 13
OWN 4
+46
94.3%
Austin Barnes punt for 42 yds , Antonio Vaughan returns for 46 yds for a TD, (Ricky Segers KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 25PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 7:22
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
99.1%
Rob Bolden pass incomplete to David GibsonSimilar
Q4 7:22
2ND & 10
OWN 32
0
99.1%
Rob Bolden run for no gain to the EMich 32Similar
Q4 7:22
3RD & 10
OWN 32
+4
99.2%
Rob Bolden pass complete to Bronson Hill for 4 yds to the EMich 36Similar
Q4 7:22
4TH & 6
OWN 36
0
99.1%
Austin Barnes punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Antonio Vaughan at the ODU 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 26DOWNS
10 plays · 43 yds · 3:0899% → 100%
Q4 5:53
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+1
99.4%
Gerard Johnson run for 1 yd to the ODU 18Similar
Q4 5:47
2ND & 9
OWN 18
0
99.4%
Gerard Johnson run for no gain to the ODU 18Similar
Q4 5:41
3RD & 9
OWN 18
+47
99.4%
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to Antonio Vaughan for 47 yds to the EMich 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:41
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
99.5%
Gerard Johnson run for 4 yds to the EMich 31Similar
Q4 5:41
2ND & 6
OPP 31
-5
99.5%
Gerard Johnson run for a loss of 5 yards to the EMich 36Similar
Q4 5:41
3RD & 11
OPP 36
+6
99.5%
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to Vincent Lowe for 6 yds to the EMich 30Similar
Q4 2:45
4TH & 5
OPP 30
-10
99.7%
Taylor Heinicke sacked by Pat O'Connor for a loss of 10 yards to the EMich 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 27FUMBLE
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+10
99.8%
Rob Bolden run for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:40
1ST & 10
50
-3
99.8%
Rob Bolden sacked by Chris Smith for a loss of 3 yards to the EMich 47Similar
Q4 2:40
2ND & 13
OWN 47
0
99.8%
Rob Bolden pass incomplete to Tyler Allen, broken up by Reggie OwensSimilar
Q4 2:40
3RD & 13
OWN 47
-4
99.8%
Rob Bolden sacked by Poncho Barnwell for a loss of 4 yards to the EMich 43 Rob Bolden fumbled, recovered by ODU Andrew Everett , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 28END OF GAME
3 plays · -14 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 1:37
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-5
99.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the EMich 48Similar
Q4 1:37
2ND & 15
OPP 48
-5
99.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the ODU 47Similar
Q4 1:37
3RD & 20
OWN 47
-4
99.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the ODU 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
PUNT · Q4 7:28
Austin Barnes punt for 42 yds , Antonio Vaughan returns for 46 yds for a TD, (Ricky Segers KICK)
+8.8
TD · Q4 7:28
Timeout EASTRN MICHIGAN, clock 07:28
+5.1
KEY PLAY · Q4 9:13
Gerard Johnson run for 2 yds to the ODU 27
+3.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com