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WAKE

Wake Forest 13 at NC State 42

NCSU
2014 · Week 12 · Nov 15, 2014 · Carter-Finley Stadium
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Win probability · NCSU
modelNCSU aheadWAKE aheadconfidence bandkey playNCSU scoreWAKE score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 9:36 · Wil Baumann punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Jared Crump at the WFrst 45
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 65Pregame prior+21.1Home team on offense+6.1Score differential+1.4Blowout margin−0.5Garbage-time factor+3.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.3
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 0:42: Mike Weaver 32 yd FG GOOD — WAKE win probability +1.7 pts (now 22%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 11:06: Matt Dayes run for 1 yd for a TD, (Niklas Sade KICK) — NCSU win probability +4.9 pts (now 84%) (top driver: NCSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 1:21: Jacoby Brissett pass complete to Matt Dayes for 7 yds for a TD, (Niklas Sade KICK) — NCSU win probability +3.7 pts (now 89%) (top driver: NCSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 14:41: Bryan Underwood run for 75 yds for a TD, (Niklas Sade KICK) — NCSU win probability +6.4 pts (now 97%) (top driver: NCSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 7:06: Shadrach Thornton run for 1 yd for a TD, (Niklas Sade KICK) — NCSU win probability +2.5 pts (now 100%) (top driver: NCSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NCSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 6WAKE made the numbers' call on 10 of 12
  1. Q1 15:00WAKE 4th & 6 at WAKE 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.6%−<0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:01WAKE 4th & 7 at WAKE 33, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.5%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:09NCSU 4th & 13 at NCSU 30, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.8%−0.3
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.1%
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:42WAKE 4th & 10 at NCSU 15, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 21.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.9%−0.4
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    21.3%
    83% to make
    Punt
    19.0%−2.3
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00NCSU 4th & 13 at NCSU 22, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.2%−0.9
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.1%
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:05WAKE 4th & 5 at WAKE 46, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.7%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.7%
    average punt
  7. Q2 11:04WAKE 4th & 3 at WAKE 35, down 11
    Close callPunted · 18.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.9%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 9:36NCSU 4th & 11 at NCSU 7, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.0%−1.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.1%
    average punt
  9. Q2 8:02WAKE 4th & 6 at WAKE 49, down 11
    Close callPunted · 18.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  10. Q2 7:06NCSU 4th & 11 at NCSU 12, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.6%−1.2
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.8%
    average punt
  11. Q2 5:28WAKE 4th & 7 at WAKE 42, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.5%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.7%
    average punt
  12. Q2 0:22WAKE 4th & 11 at WAKE 31, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.9%−1.3
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.1%
    average punt
  13. Q3 9:58WAKE 4th & 8 at NCSU 21, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 2.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.2%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    2.5%
    74% to make
    Punt
    0.4%−2.1
    average punt
  14. Q3 9:51NCSU 4th & 3 at NCSU 15, up 22
    Close callPunted · 95.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  15. Q3 6:59WAKE 4th & 6 at WAKE 29, down 29
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
  16. Q4 15:00WAKE 4th & 2 at NCSU 15, down 36
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.3%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%−0.1
    83% to make
    Punt
    -0.2%−0.5
    average punt
  17. Q4 4:24NCSU 4th & 6 at WAKE 49, up 29
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  18. Q4 3:51WAKE 4th & 12 at WAKE 8, down 29
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NCSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6WAKE made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 9:07NCSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 11:06NCSU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 1:21NCSU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 14:41NCSU Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 7:06NCSU Touchdown, up 28 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 1:29NCSU Touchdown, up 35 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 8:36WAKE Touchdown, down 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WAKEDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0019% → 19%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-1
80.7%
Dezmond Wortham run for a loss of 1 yard to the WFrst 20Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 20
+5
80.7%
John Wolford pass complete to Cam Serigne for 5 yds to the WFrst 25Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 25
0
80.7%
John Wolford pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 6
OWN 25
0
80.7%
Alexander Kinal punt for 45 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 2TD
10 plays · 69 yds · 4:1580% → 81%
Q1 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
80.3%
Jaylen Samuels run for 5 yds to the NCSt 36Similar
Q1 13:22
2ND & 5
OWN 36
+21
80.4%
Tony Creecy run for 21 yds to the WFrst 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:22
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+9
80.4%
Jacoby Brissett pass complete to Bra'Lon Cherry for 9 yds to the WFrst 34Similar
Q1 13:22
2ND & 1
OPP 34
+2
80.4%
Jacoby Brissett pass complete to Matt Dayes for 2 yds to the WFrst 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:22
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+9
80.5%
Shadrach Thornton run for 9 yds to the WFrst 23Similar
Q1 13:22
2ND & 1
OPP 23
0
80.5%
Jacoby Brissett pass incomplete to Matt DayesSimilar
Q1 13:22
3RD & 1
OWN 0
-10
80.3%
Shadrach Thornton run for 1 yd to the WFrst 22 for a 1ST down WAKE FOREST Penalty, face mask (11 yards) (-11 Yards) to the WFrst 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:22
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+1
80.5%
Tony Creecy run for 1 yd to the WFrst 10Similar
Q1 13:22
2ND & 9
OPP 10
+8
80.5%
Jacoby Brissett pass complete to Tyler Purvis for 8 yds to the WFrst 2Similar
Q1 9:07
3RD & 1
OPP 2
+2
80.9%
Tony Creecy run for 2 yds for a TD, (Niklas Sade KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 0:0020% → 19%
Q1 9:01
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
80.5%
Dezmond Wortham run for 3 yds to the WFrst 33Similar
Q1 9:01
2ND & 7
OWN 33
0
80.5%
John Wolford pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:01
3RD & 7
OWN 33
0
80.6%
John Wolford pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:01
4TH & 7
OWN 33
0
80.8%
Alexander Kinal punt for 35 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 0:0081% → 80%
Q1 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
80.8%
Jacoby Brissett pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:09
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+2
80.8%
Tony Creecy run for 2 yds to the NCSt 35Similar
Q1 8:09
3RD & 8
OWN 35
-5
80.7%
Jacoby Brissett sacked by Thomas Brown for a loss of 5 yards to the NCSt 30Similar
Q1 8:09
4TH & 13
OWN 30
+4
80.4%
Wil Baumann punt for 51 yds , Jared Crump returns for 4 yds to the WFrst 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 5FG
15 plays · 62 yds · 5:5020% → 22%
Q1 6:32
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
80.5%
Isaiah Robinson run for 2 yds to the WFrst 25Similar
Q1 6:32
2ND & 8
OWN 25
+9
80.5%
John Wolford pass complete to E.J. Scott for 9 yds to the WFrst 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:32
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+8
80.4%
John Wolford pass complete to Cam Serigne for 8 yds to the WFrst 42Similar
Q1 6:32
2ND & 2
OWN 42
+1
80.0%
Isaiah Robinson run for 1 yd to the WFrst 43Similar
Q1 6:32
3RD & 1
OWN 43
+1
80.1%
John Wolford run for 1 yd to the WFrst 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:32
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-2
80.1%
Isaiah Robinson run for a loss of 2 yards to the WFrst 42Similar
Q1 6:32
2ND & 12
OWN 42
0
80.3%
John Wolford pass complete to E.J. Scott for no gain to the WFrst 42Similar
Q1 6:32
3RD & 12
OWN 42
+28
80.5%
John Wolford pass complete to Jared Crump for 28 yds to the NCSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:32
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-2
79.7%
John Wolford run for a loss of 2 yards to the NCSt 32Similar
Q1 6:32
2ND & 12
OPP 32
0
79.7%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Cam SerigneSimilar
Q1 6:32
3RD & 12
OPP 32
+17
80.2%
John Wolford pass complete to Matt James for 17 yds to the NCSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:32
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
79.6%
John Wolford run for no gain to the NCSt 15Similar
Q1 6:32
2ND & 10
OPP 15
0
79.6%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Matt James, broken up by Hakim JonesSimilar
Q1 6:32
3RD & 10
OPP 15
0
80.0%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Matt James, broken up by Jack TochoSimilar
Q1 0:42
4TH & 10
OPP 15
+32
78.3%
Mike Weaver 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · -3 yds · 0:3678% → 77%
Q1 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
78.2%
NC STATE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the NCSt 20Similar
Q1 0:36
1ST & 15
OWN 20
-1
78.2%
Jacoby Brissett sacked by Zeek Rodney and Wendell Dunn for a loss of 1 yard to the NCSt 19Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 16
OWN 19
+3
77.9%
Shadrach Thornton run for 3 yds to the NCSt 22Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 13
OWN 22
0
77.6%
Jacoby Brissett pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 13
OWN 22
+5
77.3%
Wil Baumann punt for 42 yds , Jared Crump returns for 5 yds to the WFrst 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0023% → 22%
Q2 14:05
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
77.5%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Jared CrumpSimilar
Q2 14:05
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+3
77.7%
John Wolford pass complete to E.J. Scott for 3 yds to the WFrst 44Similar
Q2 14:05
3RD & 7
OWN 44
+2
77.6%
John Wolford pass complete to Dezmond Wortham for 2 yds to the WFrst 46Similar
Q2 14:05
4TH & 5
OWN 46
0
78.4%
Alexander Kinal punt for 29 yds, downed at the NCSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 8TD
5 plays · 74 yds · 1:2778% → 84%
Q2 12:33
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+7
77.8%
Jacoby Brissett pass complete to Bra'Lon Cherry for 7 yds to the NCSt 33Similar
Q2 12:33
2ND & 3
OWN 33
0
78.2%
Jacoby Brissett pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:33
3RD & 3
OWN 33
+36
77.5%
Jacoby Brissett pass complete to Matt Dayes for 36 yds to the WFrst 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:33
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+30
79.2%
Matt Dayes run for 30 yds to the WFrst 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
84.1%
Matt Dayes run for 1 yd for a TD, (Niklas Sade KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0017% → 17%
Q2 11:04
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
82.6%
Isaiah Robinson run for no gain to the WFrst 28Similar
Q2 11:04
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+7
82.7%
John Wolford pass complete to Matt James for 7 yds to the WFrst 35Similar
Q2 11:04
3RD & 3
OWN 35
0
82.4%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Cam SerigneSimilar
Q2 11:04
4TH & 3
OWN 35
0
82.8%
Alexander Kinal punt for 57 yds, downed at the NCSt 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:0084% → 83%
Q2 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 8
-2
83.5%
Shadrach Thornton run for a loss of 2 yards to the NCSt 6Similar
Q2 9:36
2ND & 12
OWN 6
+6
83.4%
Shadrach Thornton run for 6 yds to the NCSt 12Similar
Q2 9:36
3RD & 6
OWN 12
0
83.1%
Jacoby Brissett pass incomplete to Matt DayesSimilar
Q2 9:36
4TH & 6
OWN 12
-5
82.7%
NC STATE Penalty, false start (Mike Stevens) to the NCSt 7Similar
Q2 9:36
4TH & 11
OWN 7
0
82.7%
Wil Baumann punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Jared Crump at the WFrst 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0017% → 17%
Q2 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
82.6%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Cam SerigneSimilar
Q2 8:02
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+4
82.7%
Dezmond Wortham run for 4 yds to the WFrst 49Similar
Q2 8:02
3RD & 6
OWN 49
0
82.3%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Jared Crump, broken up by Kentavius StreetSimilar
Q2 8:02
4TH & 6
OWN 49
0
83.2%
Alexander Kinal punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:0084% → 83%
Q2 7:06
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
83.9%
Jacoby Brissett pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:06
2ND & 10
OWN 13
-5
83.9%
Matt Dayes run for a loss of 5 yards to the NCSt 8Similar
Q2 7:06
3RD & 15
OWN 8
+4
83.4%
Matt Dayes run for 4 yds to the NCSt 12Similar
Q2 7:06
4TH & 11
OWN 12
0
83.0%
Wil Baumann punt for 50 yds , Jared Crump returns for no gain to the WFrst 39 Jared Crump fumbled, forced by Dexter Wright, recovered by WFrst Jared CrumpSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0017% → 16%
Q2 5:28
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
82.9%
John Wolford run for 5 yds to the WFrst 44Similar
Q2 5:28
2ND & 5
OWN 44
-2
82.5%
Isaiah Robinson run for a loss of 2 yards to the WFrst 42Similar
Q2 5:28
3RD & 7
OWN 42
0
83.2%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Matt JamesSimilar
Q2 5:28
4TH & 7
OWN 42
0
83.9%
Alexander Kinal punt for 30 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 14TD
13 plays · 72 yds · 2:3985% → 89%
Q2 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
84.8%
Jacoby Brissett run for 2 yds to the NCSt 30Similar
Q2 4:00
2ND & 8
OWN 30
+7
84.8%
Matt Dayes run for 7 yds to the NCSt 37Similar
Q2 4:00
3RD & 1
OWN 37
+1
84.8%
Shadrach Thornton run for 1 yd to the NCSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
85.3%
Jacoby Brissett pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:00
2ND & 10
OWN 38
0
85.1%
Jacoby Brissett pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:00
3RD & 10
OWN 38
+10
84.6%
WAKE FOREST Penalty, Defensive holding (Merrill Noel) to the NCSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+8
85.4%
Bra'Lon Cherry run for 8 yds to the WFrst 44Similar
Q2 1:52
2ND & 2
OPP 44
+28
85.8%
Jacoby Brissett run for 28 yds to the WFrst 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:52
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
86.0%
Jacoby Brissett pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:52
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+9
86.0%
Jaylen Samuels run for 9 yds to the WFrst 7Similar
Q2 1:21
3RD & 1
OPP 7
+7
89.0%
Jacoby Brissett pass complete to Matt Dayes for 7 yds for a TD, (Niklas Sade KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · -1 yds · 0:5211% → 10%
Q2 1:14
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
88.8%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Matt JamesSimilar
Q2 1:14
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+1
89.4%
Dezmond Wortham run for 1 yd to the WFrst 33Similar
Q2 1:14
3RD & 9
OWN 33
-2
89.6%
Dezmond Wortham run for a loss of 2 yards to the WFrst 31Similar
Q2 0:22
4TH & 11
OWN 31
0
89.7%
Alexander Kinal punt for 48 yds, downed at the NCSt 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 16END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0090% → 90%
Q2 0:11
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-1
90.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the NCSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 17TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q3 14:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
96.8%
Bryan Underwood run for 75 yds for a TD, (Niklas Sade KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 18FG
12 plays · 54 yds · 4:434% → 4%
Q3 14:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
95.7%
Dezmond Wortham run for 9 yds to the WFrst 34Similar
Q3 14:41
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+2
95.4%
Dezmond Wortham run for 2 yds to the WFrst 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:41
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-10
95.5%
John Wolford sacked by Art Norman for a loss of 10 yards to the WFrst 26Similar
Q3 14:41
2ND & 20
OWN 26
+10
94.8%
John Wolford pass complete to Matt James for 10 yds to the WFrst 36Similar
Q3 14:41
3RD & 10
OWN 36
+29
95.8%
John Wolford pass complete to E.J. Scott for 29 yds to the NCSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:41
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+8
95.1%
Dezmond Wortham run for 8 yds to the NCSt 27Similar
Q3 14:41
2ND & 2
OPP 27
+4
94.9%
Dezmond Wortham run for 4 yds to the NCSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:41
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+2
94.9%
Dezmond Wortham run for 2 yds to the NCSt 21Similar
Q3 14:41
2ND & 8
OPP 21
0
94.9%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Matt James, broken up by Germaine PrattSimilar
Q3 14:41
3RD & 8
OPP 21
0
95.4%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Jared CrumpSimilar
Q3 9:58
4TH & 8
OPP 21
+39
95.7%
Mike Weaver 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q3 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+2
96.4%
Shadrach Thornton run for 2 yds to the NCSt 10Similar
Q3 9:51
2ND & 8
OWN 10
+5
96.4%
Shadrach Thornton run for 5 yds to the NCSt 15Similar
Q3 9:51
3RD & 3
OWN 15
0
96.4%
Jacoby Brissett pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:51
4TH & 3
OWN 15
-6
96.1%
Wil Baumann punt for 32 yds , Jared Crump returns for a loss of 6 yards to the WFrst 46 Jared Crump fumbled, recovered by NCSt Nicholas LacySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 20TD
4 plays · 46 yds · 1:1897% → 100%
Q3 8:24
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
97.0%
Jacoby Brissett pass incomplete to Matt DayesSimilar
Q3 8:24
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+43
97.0%
Shadrach Thornton run for 43 yds to the WFrst 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
97.0%
Shadrach Thornton run for 2 yds to the WFrst 1Similar
Q3 7:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.5%
Shadrach Thornton run for 1 yd for a TD, (Niklas Sade KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 6:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.4%
Dezmond Wortham run for 3 yds to the WFrst 28Similar
Q3 6:59
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+1
99.4%
Dezmond Wortham run for 1 yd to the WFrst 29Similar
Q3 6:59
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
99.4%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Matt James, broken up by Jerod FernandezSimilar
Q3 6:59
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
99.4%
Alexander Kinal punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 22TD
9 plays · 66 yds · 4:14100% → 100%
Q3 5:43
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
99.6%
Matt Dayes run for 5 yds to the NCSt 39Similar
Q3 5:43
2ND & 5
OWN 39
+17
99.6%
Jaylen Samuels run for 17 yds to the NCSTATE 44 for a 1ST down WAKE FOREST Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:43
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+12
99.6%
Matt Dayes run for 12 yds to the WFrst 32 Matt Dayes fumbled, forced by Steve Donatell, for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:43
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+7
99.6%
Matt Dayes run for 7 yds to the WFrst 25Similar
Q3 5:43
2ND & 3
OPP 25
0
99.6%
Matt Dayes run for no gain to the WFrst 25Similar
Q3 5:43
3RD & 3
OPP 25
+12
99.6%
Jacoby Brissett pass complete to Stephen Louis for 12 yds to the WFrst 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:43
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+8
99.6%
Jacoby Brissett run for 8 yds to the WFrst 5Similar
Q3 5:43
2ND & 2
OPP 5
+3
99.6%
Matt Dayes run for 3 yds to the WFrst 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.8%
Matt Dayes run for 2 yds for a TD, (Niklas Sade KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 23TD
17 plays · 76 yds · 7:470% → 0%
Q3 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
99.8%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Matt James, broken up by Jack TochoSimilar
Q3 1:23
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+9
99.8%
John Wolford pass complete to E.J. Scott for 9 yds to the WFrst 33Similar
Q3 1:23
3RD & 1
OWN 33
+2
99.8%
John Wolford run for 2 yds to the WFrst 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
99.8%
Isaiah Robinson run for 6 yds to the WFrst 41Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 41
0
99.8%
Orville Reynolds run for no gain to the WFrst 41Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+4
99.8%
John Wolford run for 4 yds to the WFrst 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+7
99.8%
John Wolford pass complete to Jared Crump for 7 yds to the NCSt 48Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 48
+1
99.8%
Isaiah Robinson run for 1 yd to the NCSt 47Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 47
+3
99.8%
Isaiah Robinson run for 3 yds to the NCSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+21
99.8%
John Wolford pass complete to Cam Serigne for 21 yds to the NCSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-1
99.8%
John Wolford run for a loss of 1 yard to the NCSt 24Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 24
0
99.8%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Matt James, broken up by Shawn BooneSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 11
OPP 24
+9
99.8%
John Wolford run for 9 yds to the NCSt 15Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 2
OPP 15
+6
99.7%
John Wolford pass complete to Matt James for 6 yds to the NCSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+5
99.8%
Orville Reynolds run for 5 yds to the NCSt 4Similar
Q4 8:36
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.9%
Isaiah Robinson run for 4 yds for a TD, (Mike Weaver KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 24PUNT
10 plays · 32 yds · 4:08100% → 100%
Q4 8:32
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+1
99.9%
Bryan Underwood run for 1 yd to the NCSt 20Similar
Q4 8:32
2ND & 9
OWN 20
-2
99.9%
Jaylen Samuels run for a loss of 2 yards to the NCSt 18Similar
Q4 8:32
3RD & 11
OWN 18
+18
99.9%
Jacoby Brissett run for 18 yds to the NCSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:32
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+11
99.9%
Shadrach Thornton run for 11 yds to the NCSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:32
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
99.9%
Shadrach Thornton run for 5 yds to the WFrst 48Similar
Q4 8:32
2ND & 5
OPP 48
-3
99.9%
Shadrach Thornton run for a loss of 3 yards to the NCSt 49Similar
Q4 4:24
3RD & 8
OWN 49
+2
99.9%
Jacoby Brissett pass complete to Matt Dayes for 2 yds to the WFrst 49Similar
Q4 4:24
4TH & 6
OPP 49
0
99.9%
Wil Baumann punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Jared Crump at the WFrst 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 25PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 3:51
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-4
99.9%
Kevin Sousa run for a loss of 4 yards to the WFrst 6Similar
Q4 3:51
2ND & 14
OWN 6
+2
99.9%
Orville Reynolds run for 2 yds to the WFrst 8Similar
Q4 3:51
3RD & 12
OWN 8
0
99.9%
Isaiah Robinson run for no gain to the WFrst 8Similar
Q4 3:51
4TH & 12
OWN 8
0
99.9%
Alexander Kinal punt for 45 yds, downed at the NCSt 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 26END OF GAME
3 plays · 24 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 1:34
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+26
99.9%
Shadrach Thornton run for 26 yds to the WFrst 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:34
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
99.9%
Shadrach Thornton run for no gain to the WFrst 27Similar
Q4 1:34
2ND & 10
OPP 27
-2
99.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the WFrst 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 14:41
Bryan Underwood run for 75 yds for a TD, (Niklas Sade KICK)
+6.4
TD · Q2 11:06
Matt Dayes run for 1 yd for a TD, (Niklas Sade KICK)
+4.9
TD · Q2 1:21
Jacoby Brissett pass complete to Matt Dayes for 7 yds for a TD, (Niklas Sade KICK)
+3.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com