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Georgia Tech 56 at NC State 23

NCSU
2014 · Week 11 · Nov 8, 2014 · Carter-Finley Stadium
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Win probability · NCSU
modelNCSU aheadGT aheadconfidence bandkey playNCSU scoreGT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 13:01 · Jacoby Brissett run for 1 yd to the GTech 17 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+57.0+28.50−28.5−57.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 58Home team on offense+0.3Score differential−0.5Garbage-time factor−0.5Pregame prior−5.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 1:45: Matt Dayes run for 17 yds for a TD, (Niklas Sade KICK) — NCSU win probability +4.4 pts (now 52%) (top driver: NCSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 0:02: Synjyn Days run for 53 yds for a TD, (Harrison Butker KICK) — GT win probability +5.4 pts (now 57%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 9:26: D.J. White 38 Yd Interception Return (Harrison Butker Kick) — GT win probability +8.0 pts (now 61%) (top driver: NCSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:28: Tim Byerly run for 2 yds for a TD, (Harrison Butker KICK) — GT win probability +5.6 pts (now 86%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 10:49: Tim Byerly run for 1 yd for a TD, (Harrison Butker KICK) — GT win probability +7.1 pts (now 96%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NCSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 14:04NCSU 4th & 11 at NCSU 19, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.7%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.8%
    average punt
  2. Q2 13:01NCSU 4th & 1 at GT 18, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 47.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    47.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    46.7%−1.0
    79% to make
    Punt
    43.7%−4.0
    average punt
  3. Q2 4:02NCSU 4th & 12 at NCSU 24, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.2%−1.8
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.1%
    average punt
  4. Q3 9:35NCSU 4th & 8 at NCSU 30, down 26
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.5%−0.4
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.9%
    average punt
  5. Q3 2:24NCSU 4th & 6 at NCSU 26, down 33
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.5%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.6%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NCSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3GT made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 10:34GT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:39NCSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    45.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 1:45NCSU Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    49.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 0:02GT Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 9:26GT Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:28GT Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 10:49GT Touchdown, up 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 3:23GT Touchdown, up 32 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 10:11GT Touchdown, up 39 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 7:05NCSU Touchdown, down 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NCSUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:5142% → 43%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
42.3%
Matt Dayes run for a loss of 1 yard to the NCSt 19Similar
Q1 14:15
2ND & 11
OWN 19
0
42.5%
Jacoby Brissett pass incomplete to Bryan UnderwoodSimilar
Q1 14:12
3RD & 11
OWN 19
0
42.5%
Jacoby Brissett pass incomplete to Bo HinesSimilar
Q1 14:04
4TH & 11
OWN 19
0
42.5%
Wil Baumann punt for 37 yds , Jamal Golden returns for no gain to the GTech 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 2TD
7 plays · 56 yds · 3:1558% → 59%
Q1 13:49
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
42.5%
Justin Thomas pass complete to DeAndre Smelter for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 13:14
2ND & 4
50
+3
42.6%
Synjyn Days run for 3 yds to the NCSt 47Similar
Q1 12:47
3RD & 1
OPP 47
+13
42.7%
Tony Zenon run for 13 yds to the NCSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:12
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
42.7%
Tony Zenon run for 3 yds to the NCSt 31Similar
Q1 11:44
2ND & 7
OPP 31
-3
42.8%
Justin Thomas run for a loss of 3 yards to the NCSt 34Similar
Q1 10:56
3RD & 10
OPP 34
+18
43.1%
Synjyn Days run for 18 yds to the NCSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:34
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+16
41.4%
Justin Thomas run for 16 yds for a TD, (Harrison Butker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 3TD
12 plays · 77 yds · 2:5142% → 45%
Q1 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
42.0%
Jacoby Brissett pass complete to Johnathan Alston for 11 yds to the NCSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
42.1%
Jacoby Brissett run for 8 yds to the NCSt 44Similar
Q1 9:39
2ND & 2
OWN 44
+1
42.5%
Matt Dayes run for 1 yd to the NCSt 45Similar
Q1 9:04
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+2
42.3%
Matt Dayes run for 2 yds to the NCSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
42.2%
Jacoby Brissett pass incomplete to Bo HinesSimilar
Q1 8:34
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+10
42.2%
Jacoby Brissett pass complete to Bo Hines for 10 yds to the GTech 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:24
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+33
42.5%
Jacoby Brissett run for 22 yds to the GTech 21 for a 1ST down GEORGIA TECH Penalty, Personal Foul (Jamal Golden) to the GTech 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+6
42.8%
GEORGIA TECH Penalty, Defensive Offside (6 Yards) to the GTech 5Similar
Q1 7:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-9
42.8%
NC STATE Penalty, Offensive Holding (Quinton Schooley) to the GTech 15Similar
Q1 7:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 15
0
42.7%
Jacoby Brissett pass incomplete to Bo HinesSimilar
Q1 7:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 15
+15
44.7%
Jacoby Brissett run for 15 yds for a TD, (Niklas Sade PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 4FUMBLE
7 plays · 45 yds · 2:5156% → 57%
Q1 7:28
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+12
44.0%
Synjyn Days run for 12 yds to the GTech 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:51
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
43.8%
Synjyn Days run for 6 yds to the GTech 44Similar
Q1 6:27
2ND & 4
OWN 44
+6
43.6%
Broderick Snoddy run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:51
1ST & 10
50
+5
43.5%
Synjyn Days run for 5 yds to the NCSt 45Similar
Q1 5:12
2ND & 5
OPP 45
+11
43.6%
Synjyn Days run for 11 yds to the NCSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:37
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
43.4%
Synjyn Days run for 5 yds to the NCSt 29 Synjyn Days fumbled, forced by Airius Moore, recovered by NCSt Mike RoseSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 5TD
12 plays · 71 yds · 2:4544% → 52%
Q1 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
44.3%
Jacoby Brissett pass incomplete to Bra'Lon CherrySimilar
Q1 4:20
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+6
44.2%
Matt Dayes run for 6 yds to the NCSt 35Similar
Q1 3:49
3RD & 4
OWN 35
+8
44.2%
Jacoby Brissett pass complete to David Grinnage for 8 yds to the NCSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:21
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+7
45.5%
Jacoby Brissett run for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 3:16
2ND & 3
50
+7
45.9%
Jacoby Brissett pass complete to Bra'Lon Cherry for 7 yds to the GTech 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:05
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
46.0%
Jacoby Brissett pass incomplete to David GrinnageSimilar
Q1 2:46
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+7
46.1%
Jacoby Brissett pass complete to Tyler Purvis for 7 yds to the GTech 36Similar
Q1 2:27
3RD & 3
OPP 36
+8
46.1%
Jacoby Brissett pass complete to Johnathan Alston for 8 yds to the GTech 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:13
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
46.9%
Jacoby Brissett pass incomplete to Johnathan AlstonSimilar
Q1 2:05
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+11
46.9%
Jacoby Brissett run for 11 yds to the GTech 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:49
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
47.1%
Jacoby Brissett pass incomplete to Bra'Lon CherrySimilar
Q1 1:45
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+17
51.5%
Matt Dayes run for 17 yds for a TD, (Niklas Sade KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 6TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:2951% → 57%
Q1 1:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
49.4%
Justin Thomas pass complete to DeAndre Smelter for 4 yds to the GTech 29Similar
Q1 1:01
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+15
49.3%
Justin Thomas pass complete to DeAndre Smelter for 15 yds to the GTech 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:34
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
48.8%
Synjyn Days run for 3 yds to the GTech 47Similar
Q1 0:02
2ND & 7
OWN 47
+53
43.4%
Synjyn Days run for 53 yds for a TD, (Harrison Butker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 7INT
15 plays · 70 yds · 5:1145% → 50%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
45.3%
Shadrach Thornton run for 8 yds to the NCSt 33Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+11
46.4%
Shadrach Thornton run for 11 yds to the NCSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:31
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
46.8%
Shadrach Thornton run for 3 yds to the NCSt 47Similar
Q2 14:09
2ND & 7
OWN 47
+7
47.1%
Jacoby Brissett pass complete to Shadrach Thornton for 7 yds to the GTech 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:55
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+19
47.5%
Jacoby Brissett pass complete to Bo Hines for 19 yds to the GTech 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:41
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+4
48.2%
Shadrach Thornton run for 4 yds to the GTech 23Similar
Q2 13:18
2ND & 6
OPP 23
0
48.3%
Jacoby Brissett pass incomplete to Marquez Valdes-ScantlingSimilar
Q2 13:09
3RD & 6
OPP 23
+5
47.5%
Jacoby Brissett pass complete to Bo Hines for 5 yds to the GTech 18Similar
Q2 13:01
4TH & 1
OPP 18
+1
46.7%
Jacoby Brissett run for 1 yd to the GTech 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:31
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+5
48.6%
Shadrach Thornton run for 5 yds to the GTech 12Similar
Q2 12:01
2ND & 5
OPP 12
+4
48.8%
Shadrach Thornton run for 4 yds to the GTech 8Similar
Q2 11:25
3RD & 1
OPP 8
+5
48.0%
Shadrach Thornton run for 5 yds to the GTech 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-2
49.3%
Shadrach Thornton run for a loss of 2 yards to the GTech 5Similar
Q2 9:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+71
49.7%
Jacoby Brissett pass intercepted Quayshawn Nealy return for 71 yds to the NCSt 28 Quayshawn Nealy fumbled, forced by Jaylen Samuels, recovered by NCSt Jaylen SamuelsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 8INT TD
2 plays · 14 yds · 0:0847% → 39%
Q2 9:34
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+14
46.7%
Jacoby Brissett pass complete to Bo Hines for 14 yds to the NCSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:26
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+38
38.6%
D.J. White 38 Yd Interception Return (Harrison Butker Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 9FUMBLE TD
7 plays · 5 yds · 2:0338% → 31%
Q2 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
37.5%
Jacoby Brissett pass incomplete to Matt DayesSimilar
Q2 9:07
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+2
37.4%
Matt Dayes run for 2 yds to the NCSt 40Similar
Q2 8:31
3RD & 8
OWN 40
+9
36.7%
Jacoby Brissett pass complete to Johnathan Alston for 9 yds to the NCSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
37.6%
Jacoby Brissett pass incomplete to Bo HinesSimilar
Q2 7:45
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+5
37.1%
Jacoby Brissett pass complete to Bo Hines for 5 yds to the GTech 46Similar
Q2 7:12
3RD & 5
OPP 46
+43
30.8%
Quayshawn Nealy 43 Yd Fumble Return (Harrison Butker Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · -2 yds · 2:5929% → 27%
Q2 7:01
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+1
29.1%
Bryan Underwood run for 1 yd to the NCSt 27Similar
Q2 6:24
2ND & 9
OWN 27
+3
28.6%
Jacoby Brissett pass complete to Tyler Purvis for 3 yds to the NCSt 30Similar
Q2 5:42
3RD & 6
OWN 30
-5
28.2%
NC STATE Penalty, False Start (Johnathan Alston) to the NCSt 25Similar
Q2 5:15
3RD & 11
OWN 25
-10
27.6%
NC STATE Penalty, Offensive Holding (Tony Creecy) to the NCSt 15Similar
Q2 4:42
3RD & 21
OWN 15
+9
27.4%
Jacoby Brissett pass complete to Shadrach Thornton for 9 yds to the NCSt 24Similar
Q2 4:02
4TH & 12
OWN 24
+17
27.0%
Wil Baumann punt for 41 yds , Jamal Golden returns for 17 yds to the NCSt 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 11TD
11 plays · 48 yds · 3:1876% → 86%
Q2 3:46
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+9
23.8%
Broderick Snoddy run for 9 yds to the NCSt 39Similar
Q2 3:20
2ND & 1
OPP 39
+6
23.4%
Synjyn Days run for 6 yds to the NCSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:01
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
22.6%
Synjyn Days run for 3 yds to the NCSt 30Similar
Q2 2:21
2ND & 7
OPP 30
+8
22.7%
Justin Thomas run for 8 yds to the NCSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:39
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+9
20.3%
Synjyn Days run for 9 yds to the NCSt 13Similar
Q2 1:11
2ND & 1
OPP 13
+5
20.0%
Synjyn Days run for 5 yds to the NCSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
19.6%
Tony Zenon run for 3 yds to the NCSt 5Similar
Q2 0:31
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
20.0%
Synjyn Days run for 3 yds to the NCSt 2Similar
Q2 0:28
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
13.8%
Tim Byerly run for 2 yds for a TD, (Harrison Butker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 12END OF HALF
6 plays · 40 yds · 0:1019% → 22%
Q2 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+20
19.4%
Jacoby Brissett run for 20 yds to the GTech 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:02
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+20
20.6%
Jacoby Brissett pass complete to Marquez Valdes-Scantling for 20 yds to the GTech 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+46
21.8%
Niklas Sade 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 13TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 4:0085% → 96%
Q3 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
14.9%
Tony Zenon run for 5 yds to the GTech 30Similar
Q3 14:11
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+30
14.4%
Justin Thomas run for 30 yds to the NCSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:38
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
13.6%
Synjyn Days run for 2 yds to the NCSt 38Similar
Q3 12:54
2ND & 8
OPP 38
+1
12.7%
Synjyn Days run for 1 yd to the NCSt 37Similar
Q3 12:26
3RD & 7
OPP 37
+16
12.2%
Justin Thomas pass complete to Darren Waller for 16 yds to the NCSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:51
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+19
11.1%
Tony Zenon run for 19 yds to the NCSt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
10.7%
Tim Byerly run for 1 yd to the NCSt 1Similar
Q3 10:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
3.6%
Tim Byerly run for 1 yd for a TD, (Harrison Butker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:564% → 3%
Q3 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
4.2%
Matt Dayes run for 2 yds to the NCSt 30Similar
Q3 9:50
2ND & 8
OWN 30
0
3.6%
Jacoby Brissett pass incomplete to Matt DayesSimilar
Q3 9:46
3RD & 8
OWN 30
0
3.5%
Jacoby Brissett pass incomplete to Bra'Lon CherrySimilar
Q3 9:35
4TH & 8
OWN 30
0
3.4%
Wil Baumann punt for 49 yds , Jamal Golden returns for no gain to the GTech 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 15TD
13 plays · 79 yds · 5:5896% → 99%
Q3 9:21
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+13
3.9%
Justin Thomas run for 13 yds to the GTech 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:51
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
3.7%
Synjyn Days run for 5 yds to the GTech 39Similar
Q3 8:14
2ND & 5
OWN 39
+3
3.2%
Synjyn Days run for 3 yds to the GTech 42Similar
Q3 7:50
3RD & 2
OWN 42
+4
3.0%
Synjyn Days run for 4 yds to the GTech 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:14
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+11
3.0%
Tony Zenon run for 11 yds to the NCSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:35
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+8
2.9%
Broderick Snoddy run for 8 yds to the NCSt 35Similar
Q3 6:02
2ND & 2
OPP 35
+11
2.1%
Broderick Snoddy run for 11 yds to the NCSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:34
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-4
2.1%
Justin Thomas run for a loss of 4 yards to the NCSt 28Similar
Q3 5:01
2ND & 14
OPP 28
+6
2.0%
Justin Thomas pass complete to Synjyn Days for 6 yds to the NCSt 22Similar
Q3 4:45
3RD & 8
OPP 22
0
2.0%
Justin Thomas pass incomplete to Darren WallerSimilar
Q3 4:00
4TH & 8
OPP 22
+11
2.2%
NC STATE Penalty, Personal Foul (11 Yards) to the NCSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:48
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+8
1.7%
Matt Connors run for 8 yds to the NCSt 3Similar
Q3 3:23
2ND & 2
OPP 3
+3
1.1%
Matt Connors run for 3 yds for a TD, (Harrison Butker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:422% → 2%
Q3 3:06
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
2.4%
Jacoby Brissett run for 4 yds to the NCSt 26Similar
Q3 2:36
2ND & 6
OWN 26
0
2.3%
Jacoby Brissett pass incomplete to Johnathan AlstonSimilar
Q3 2:31
3RD & 6
OWN 26
0
2.2%
Jacoby Brissett pass incomplete to David GrinnageSimilar
Q3 2:24
4TH & 6
OWN 26
0
2.2%
Wil Baumann punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Jamal Golden at the GTech 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 17TD
16 plays · 65 yds · 7:0099% → 100%
Q3 2:11
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
1.0%
Matt Connors run for 2 yds to the GTech 37Similar
Q3 1:41
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+4
0.9%
Tim Byerly run for 4 yds to the GTech 41Similar
Q3 1:11
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+7
0.9%
Tim Byerly pass complete to Corey Dennis for 7 yds Corey Dennis fumbled, recovered by GTech Corey Dennis for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:31
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-5
0.8%
GEORGIA TECH Penalty, Illegal Motion (-5 Yards) to the GTech 43Similar
Q3 0:04
1ST & 15
OWN 43
+3
0.8%
Matt Connors run for 3 yds to the GTech 46Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 12
OWN 46
+12
0.7%
Tim Byerly run for 12 yds to the NCSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:11
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+9
0.7%
Isiah Willis run for 9 yds to the NCSt 33Similar
Q4 13:41
2ND & 1
OPP 33
+8
0.6%
Matt Connors run for 8 yds to the NCSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:06
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
0.6%
Matt Connors run for 3 yds to the NCSt 22Similar
Q4 12:45
2ND & 7
OPP 22
-6
0.6%
Isiah Willis run for 9 yds to the NCSt 13 GEORGIA TECH Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the NCSt 28Similar
Q4 12:11
2ND & 13
OPP 28
+15
0.5%
Tim Byerly run for 15 yds to the NCSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:46
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+5
0.5%
Matt Connors run for 5 yds to the NCSt 8Similar
Q4 11:15
2ND & 5
OPP 8
+4
0.4%
Matt Connors run for 4 yds to the NCSt 4Similar
Q4 10:38
3RD & 1
OPP 4
-5
0.4%
GEORGIA TECH Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the NCSt 9Similar
Q4 10:17
3RD & 6
OPP 9
-7
0.4%
Broderick Snoddy run for 3 yds to the NCSt 6 GEORGIA TECH Penalty, Offensive Holding (Thomas O'Reilly) to the NCSt 16Similar
Q4 10:11
3RD & 13
OPP 16
+16
0.3%
Tim Byerly pass complete to Antonio Messick for 16 yds for a TD, (Harrison Butker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 18TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:560% → 0%
Q4 10:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
0.3%
Shadrach Thornton run for 4 yds to the NCSt 29Similar
Q4 9:41
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
0.2%
Shadrach Thornton run for no gain to the NCSt 29Similar
Q4 9:04
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+17
0.2%
Jacoby Brissett pass complete to Bo Hines for 17 yds to the NCSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:31
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+35
0.2%
Jacoby Brissett pass complete to Bra'Lon Cherry for 35 yds to the GTech 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:59
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+6
0.3%
Jaylen Samuels run for 6 yds to the GTech 13Similar
Q4 7:29
2ND & 4
OPP 13
-6
0.2%
NC STATE Penalty, False Start (-6 Yards) to the GTech 19Similar
Q4 7:05
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+19
0.2%
Jacoby Brissett pass complete to David Grinnage for 19 yds for a TD, (Niklas Sade KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 19END OF GAME
13 plays · 72 yds · 6:24100% → 100%
Q4 6:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
0.3%
Tim Byerly run for 5 yds to the GTech 30Similar
Q4 6:22
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
0.2%
Matt Connors run for 4 yds to the GTech 34Similar
Q4 5:49
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+4
0.2%
Tim Byerly run for 4 yds to the GTech 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:11
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
0.2%
Tim Byerly run for 5 yds to the GTech 43Similar
Q4 4:41
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+10
0.2%
B.J. Bostic run for 10 yds to the NCSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:04
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-1
0.2%
Tim Byerly run for a loss of 1 yard to the NCSt 48Similar
Q4 3:35
2ND & 11
OPP 48
+27
0.2%
Tim Byerly run for 37 yds to the NCSt 11 for a 1ST down GEORGIA TECH Penalty, Illegal Block (-10 Yards) to the NCSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:36
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+1
0.1%
Matt Connors run for 1 yd to the NCSt 20Similar
Q4 1:58
2ND & 9
OPP 20
+10
0.1%
B.J. Bostic run for 10 yds to the NCSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
0.1%
Matt Connors run for 5 yds to the NCSt 5Similar
Q4 1:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
0.1%
Tim Byerly run for 4 yds to the NCSt 1Similar
Q4 0:34
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
-2
0.1%
Tim Byerly run for a loss of 2 yards to the NCSt 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 9:26
D.J. White 38 Yd Interception Return (Harrison Butker Kick)
-8
TD · Q3 10:49
Tim Byerly run for 1 yd for a TD, (Harrison Butker KICK)
-7.1
TD · Q2 0:28
Tim Byerly run for 2 yds for a TD, (Harrison Butker KICK)
-5.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com