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NCSU

NC State 0 at Clemson 41

CLEM
2014 · Week 6 · Oct 4, 2014 · Memorial Stadium (Clemson, SC)
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Win probability · CLEM
modelCLEM aheadNCSU aheadconfidence bandkey playCLEM scoreNCSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 15:00 · Wil Baumann punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Adam Humphries at the CLEMSON 16 CLEMSON Penalty, illegal block (8 Yards) to the Clem 8
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 107Home team on offense+24.9Pregame prior+18.4Score differential+22.9Blowout margin+10.9Garbage-time factor+5.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 4:32: Deshaun Watson run for 5 yds for a TD, (Ammon Lakip KICK) — CLEM win probability +3.2 pts (now 89%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q1 2:03: Wayne Gallman run for 12 yds to the Clem 40 for a 1ST down — CLEM win probability +1.3 pts (now 89%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
  3. MISSED FG · Q2 12:39: Ammon Lakip 48 yd FG MISSED — CLEM win probability +2.1 pts (now 92%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 10:56: Deshaun Watson run for 3 yds for a TD, (Ammon Lakip KICK) — CLEM win probability +3.2 pts (now 96%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
  5. FG · Q2 5:32: Ammon Lakip 31 yd FG GOOD — CLEM win probability +1.5 pts (now 97%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CLEM made the numbers' call on 5 of 6NCSU made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 12:38NCSU 4th & 10 at NCSU 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.4%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:42NCSU 4th & 8 at NCSU 27, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.5%−0.3
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:32NCSU 4th & 8 at NCSU 27, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.4%−0.3
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.7%
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:39CLEM 4th & 11 at NCSU 31, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 90.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.3%−0.4
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    90.6%
    54% to make
    Punt
    90.1%−0.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:56NCSU 4th & 7 at NCSU 28, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.4%−0.3
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.7%
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:32CLEM 4th & 7 at NCSU 14, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 97.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.8%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.9%
    84% to make
    Punt
    95.1%−1.8
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:32NCSU 4th & 15 at CLEM 46, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.5%−0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    2.5%−0.1
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    2.5%
    average punt
  8. Q2 3:00CLEM 4th & 15 at CLEM 6, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.8%−0.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.0%
    average punt
  9. Q3 15:00NCSU 4th & 4 at NCSU 49, down 31
    Close callPunted · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:31CLEM 4th & 11 at NCSU 25, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.3%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.4%
    66% to make
    Punt
    99.0%−0.4
    average punt
  11. Q3 9:23NCSU 4th & 8 at NCSU 39, down 41
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:44CLEM 4th & 4 at NCSU 4, up 41
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.8%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−<0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    99.3%−0.5
    average punt
  13. Q4 12:41NCSU 4th & 1 at NCSU 23, down 41
    Close callPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 9:41CLEM 4th & 5 at NCSU 45, up 41
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−0.1
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 0:42NCSU 4th & 4 at CLEM 45, down 41
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−<0.1
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CLEM made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 12:38CLEM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 9:42CLEM Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 4:32CLEM Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 10:56CLEM Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CLEMDrive 1TD
8 plays · 82 yds · 2:2284% → 84%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+8
83.8%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Adam Humphries for 8 yds to the Clem 26Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 26
-1
83.8%
Adam Humphries run for a loss of 1 yard to the Clem 25Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 25
+5
83.8%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to C.J. Davidson for 5 yds to the Clem 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
83.8%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+3
83.8%
Wayne Gallman run for 3 yds to the Clem 33Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 33
+11
83.8%
Deshaun Watson run for 11 yds to the Clem 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:38
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+56
83.8%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Mike Williams for 56 yds for a TD, (Ammon Lakip KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0016% → 16%
Q1 12:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
83.7%
Jacoby Brissett pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 12:38
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
83.7%
Tony Creecy run for no gain to the NCSt 25Similar
Q1 12:38
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
83.7%
Jacoby Brissett pass incomplete to Tony CreecySimilar
Q1 12:38
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+3
83.7%
Wil Baumann punt for 43 yds , Adam Humphries returns for 3 yds to the Clem 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 3TD
6 plays · 65 yds · 1:5684% → 85%
Q1 11:38
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
83.6%
Wayne Gallman run for 8 yds to the Clem 43Similar
Q1 11:38
2ND & 2
OWN 43
0
83.8%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 11:38
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+6
83.7%
Deshaun Watson run for 6 yds to the Clem 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:38
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+9
83.8%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Mike Williams for 9 yds to the NCSt 42Similar
Q1 11:38
2ND & 1
OPP 42
+11
83.8%
Deshaun Watson run for 11 yds to the NCSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:42
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+31
84.9%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Mike Williams for 31 yds for a TD, (Ammon Lakip KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0016% → 16%
Q1 9:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
84.4%
Bryan Underwood run for no gain to the NCSt 25Similar
Q1 9:42
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
84.5%
Jacoby Brissett run for 2 yds to the NCSt 27Similar
Q1 9:42
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
84.5%
Jacoby Brissett pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 9:42
4TH & 8
OWN 27
+11
84.5%
Wil Baumann punt for 48 yds , Adam Humphries returns for 11 yds to the Clem 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 5TD
11 plays · 64 yds · 3:3385% → 89%
Q1 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
85.2%
Wayne Gallman run for 6 yds to the Clem 42Similar
Q1 8:05
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+17
85.4%
Deshaun Watson run for 17 yds to the NCSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:05
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
85.4%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 8:05
2ND & 10
OPP 41
0
85.4%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Wayne Gallman for no gain to the NCSt 41Similar
Q1 8:05
3RD & 10
OPP 41
+11
85.3%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Wayne Gallman for 11 yds to the NCSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:05
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
85.5%
Wayne Gallman run for 5 yds to the NCSt 25Similar
Q1 8:05
2ND & 5
OPP 25
0
85.5%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 5:31
3RD & 5
OPP 25
+12
85.7%
Deshaun Watson run for 12 yds to the NCSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:31
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+8
85.9%
C.J. Davidson run for 8 yds to the NCSt 5Similar
Q1 4:32
2ND & 2
OPP 5
+5
89.0%
Deshaun Watson run for 5 yds for a TD, (Ammon Lakip KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q1 4:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
87.9%
Jacoby Brissett run for no gain to the NCSt 25Similar
Q1 4:32
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
88.0%
Jacoby Brissett pass complete to Matt Dayes for no gain to the NCSt 25Similar
Q1 4:32
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+2
88.0%
Jacoby Brissett run for 2 yds to the NCSt 27Similar
Q1 4:32
4TH & 8
OWN 27
+8
88.1%
Wil Baumann punt for 53 yds , Adam Humphries returns for 8 yds to the Clem 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 7MISSED FG
11 plays · 41 yds · 4:2489% → 92%
Q1 2:03
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+12
89.3%
Wayne Gallman run for 12 yds to the Clem 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:03
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
89.8%
Wayne Gallman run for no gain to the Clem 40Similar
Q1 2:03
3RD & 10
OWN 40
+24
89.4%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Mike Williams for 24 yds to the NCSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:03
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+4
90.0%
C.J. Davidson run for 4 yds to the NCSt 32Similar
Q1 2:03
2ND & 6
OPP 32
+1
89.9%
Deshaun Watson run for 1 yd to the NCSt 31Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 31
+16
90.5%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Adam Choice for 16 yds to the NCSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
90.7%
Deshaun Watson run for 2 yds to the NCSt 28Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 28
-14
90.7%
Deshaun Watson sacked by Josh Jones for a loss of 14 yards to the NCSt 42Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 22
OPP 42
+11
89.5%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Mike Williams for 11 yds to the NCSt 31Similar
Q2 12:39
4TH & 11
OPP 31
+48
91.6%
Ammon Lakip 48 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 8FUMBLE
3 plays · -15 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q2 12:39
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
90.7%
Shadrach Thornton run for 3 yds to the NCSt 34Similar
Q2 12:39
2ND & 7
OWN 34
0
90.8%
Jacoby Brissett pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q2 12:39
3RD & 7
OWN 34
+2
90.8%
Jacoby Brissett sacked by Robert Smith for a loss of 18 yards to the NCSt 14 Jacoby Brissett fumbled, recovered by Clem Corey Crawford , return for 0 yards , return for 2 yds to the NCSt 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 9TD
4 plays · 16 yds · 1:0792% → 96%
Q2 12:03
3RD & 3
OPP 7
+4
91.7%
Wayne Gallman run for 4 yds to the NCSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:03
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
92.3%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to N/A, broken up by Josh JonesSimilar
Q2 12:03
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+7
92.3%
Wayne Gallman run for 7 yds to the NCSt 7Similar
Q2 10:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
95.5%
Deshaun Watson run for 3 yds for a TD, (Ammon Lakip KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q2 10:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
95.1%
Matt Dayes run for 1 yd to the NCSt 26Similar
Q2 10:56
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
95.0%
Matt Dayes run for no gain to the NCSt 26Similar
Q2 10:56
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+2
95.1%
Jacoby Brissett run for 2 yds to the NCSt 28Similar
Q2 10:56
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+18
95.1%
Wil Baumann punt for 50 yds , Adam Humphries returns for 18 yds to the Clem 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 11FG
10 plays · 46 yds · 3:1396% → 97%
Q2 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+15
95.5%
D. WATSON pass incomplete to M. WILLIAMS, PENALTY ST pass interference 15 yards to the ST45, 1ST DOWN CU, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
95.5%
Adam Choice run for 5 yds to the NCSt 40Similar
Q2 8:45
2ND & 5
OPP 40
+6
95.5%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Demarre Kitt for 6 yds to the NCSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
95.5%
Adam Choice run for 3 yds to the NCSt 31Similar
Q2 8:45
2ND & 7
OPP 31
+5
95.5%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Adam Choice for 5 yds to the NCSt 26Similar
Q2 8:45
3RD & 2
OPP 26
+9
95.4%
Deshaun Watson run for 9 yds to the NCSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+3
95.5%
C.J. Davidson run for 3 yds to the NCSt 14Similar
Q2 8:45
2ND & 7
OPP 14
0
95.7%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to N/A, broken up by Josh JonesSimilar
Q2 8:45
3RD & 7
OPP 14
0
95.6%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q2 5:32
4TH & 7
OPP 14
+31
97.1%
Ammon Lakip 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 12PUNT
10 plays · 29 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q2 5:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.5%
Jacoby Brissett pass incomplete to Bryan UnderwoodSimilar
Q2 5:32
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+18
97.5%
Jacoby Brissett pass complete to Shadrach Thornton for 18 yds to the NCSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:32
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
97.3%
Shadrach Thornton run for 6 yds to the NCSt 49Similar
Q2 5:32
2ND & 4
OWN 49
+10
97.0%
Jacoby Brissett run for 10 yds to the Clem 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:32
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
97.2%
Jacoby Brissett pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:32
2ND & 10
OPP 41
-5
97.2%
NC STATE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Clem 46Similar
Q2 5:32
2ND & 15
OPP 46
0
97.3%
Jacoby Brissett pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q2 5:32
3RD & 15
OPP 46
0
97.4%
Jacoby Brissett pass incomplete to Tony Creecy, broken up by Corey CrawfordSimilar
Q2 5:32
4TH & 15
OPP 46
0
97.4%
Wil Baumann punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Adam Humphries at the Clem 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q2 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 11
-5
98.1%
CHOICE rush for no gain to the CU11 (Pratt, G.), PENALTY CU holding 5 yards to the CU6, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:00
1ST & 15
OWN 6
0
98.1%
Adam Choice run for no gain to the Clem 6Similar
Q2 3:00
2ND & 15
OWN 6
0
98.1%
Adam Choice run for no gain to the Clem 6Similar
Q2 3:00
3RD & 15
OWN 6
0
98.1%
Cole Stoudt pass incomplete to Mike WilliamsSimilar
Q2 3:00
4TH & 15
OWN 6
+7
98.0%
Bradley Pinion punt for 40 yds , Bo Hines returns for 7 yds to the Clem 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 14END OF HALF
13 plays · 32 yds · 0:432% → 1%
Q2 1:26
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-1
98.3%
Jacoby Brissett sacked by DeShawn Williams for a loss of 1 yard to the Clem 40Similar
Q2 1:26
2ND & 11
OPP 40
+15
98.4%
CLEMSON Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the Clem 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:26
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+10
98.2%
Brissett, J. pass incomplete to Hines, B., QB hurry by STEWARD, PENALTY CU holding 10 yards to the CU15, 1ST DOWN ST, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:26
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
98.2%
Jacoby Brissett run for no gain to the Clem 15Similar
Q2 0:59
2ND & 10
OPP 15
-10
98.4%
Brissett, J. pass incomplete to Alston, J., QB hurry by D. WILLIAMS, PENALTY ST holding 10 yards to the CU25, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:59
2ND & 20
OPP 25
+4
98.6%
Jacoby Brissett run for 4 yds to the Clem 21Similar
Q2 0:43
3RD & 16
OPP 21
+10
99.0%
Brissett, J. sacked for loss of 11 yards to the CU32 (V. BEASLEY), PENALTY CU personal foul (V. BEASLEY) 10 yards to the CU11, 1ST DOWN ST, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:43
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+9
98.9%
Jacoby Brissett pass complete to Johnathan Alston for 9 yds to the Clem 2Similar
Q2 0:43
2ND & 1
OPP 2
0
98.4%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:43
3RD & 1
OPP 2
-5
98.5%
NC STATE Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Clem 7Similar
Q2 0:43
3RD & 6
OPP 7
0
98.9%
Jacoby Brissett pass incomplete to Bryan UnderwoodSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 24 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+18
98.7%
Tony Creecy run for 18 yds to the NCSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+5
98.6%
Tony Creecy run for 5 yds to the NCSt 48Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 48
+1
98.5%
Tony Creecy run for 1 yd to the NCSt 49Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 49
0
98.5%
Jacoby Brissett pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 4
OWN 49
+43
98.6%
Wil Baumann punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Adam Humphries at the CLEMSON 16 CLEMSON Penalty, illegal block (8 Yards) to the Clem 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 16FG
12 plays · 67 yds · 4:0499% → 99%
Q3 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+4
99.0%
Wayne Gallman run for 4 yds to the Clem 12Similar
Q3 13:35
2ND & 6
OWN 0
0
99.0%
D. WATSON pass incomplete to HOPPER, PENALTY CU personal foul off-setting, PENALTY ST pass interference off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 13:35
2ND & 6
OWN 12
-2
99.0%
Deshaun Watson sacked by B.J. Hill for a loss of 2 yards to the Clem 10Similar
Q3 13:35
3RD & 8
OWN 10
+21
99.0%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Jordan Leggett for 21 yds to the Clem 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
99.0%
C.J. Davidson run for 3 yds to the Clem 34Similar
Q3 13:35
2ND & 7
OWN 34
+24
99.0%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Mike Williams for 24 yds to the NCSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:35
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+8
99.1%
Wayne Gallman run for 8 yds to the NCSt 34Similar
Q3 13:35
2ND & 2
OPP 34
+10
98.9%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Wayne Gallman for 10 yds to the NCSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:35
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-1
99.1%
Deshaun Watson run for a loss of 1 yard to the NCSt 25Similar
Q3 13:35
2ND & 11
OPP 25
0
99.1%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Wayne GallmanSimilar
Q3 13:35
3RD & 11
OPP 25
0
99.1%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Jay Jay McCulloughSimilar
Q3 9:31
4TH & 11
OPP 25
+43
99.4%
Ammon Lakip 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 17FUMBLE TD
2 plays · -9 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 9:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
99.5%
Jacoby Brissett sacked by Vic Beasley for a loss of 9 yards Jacoby Brissett fumbled, recovered by Clem Vic Beasley , return for 0 yards , return for 16 yds, (Ammon Lakip KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 14 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 9:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
99.5%
Shadrach Thornton run for 12 yds to the NCSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:23
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
99.5%
Shadrach Thornton run for 2 yds to the NCSt 39Similar
Q3 9:23
2ND & 8
OWN 39
0
99.5%
Jacoby Brissett run for no gain to the NCSt 39Similar
Q3 9:23
3RD & 8
OWN 39
0
99.5%
Jacoby Brissett pass incomplete to Marquez Valdes-Scantling, broken up by Stephone AnthonySimilar
Q3 9:23
4TH & 8
OWN 39
0
99.5%
Wil Baumann punt for 56 yds, downed at the Clem 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 19PUNT
15 plays · 47 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 7:16
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+8
99.6%
D.J. Howard run for 8 yds to the Clem 13Similar
Q3 7:16
2ND & 2
OWN 13
+5
99.6%
D.J. Howard run for 5 yds to the Clem 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:16
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+6
99.6%
D.J. Howard run for 6 yds to the Clem 24Similar
Q3 7:16
2ND & 4
OWN 24
+11
99.6%
D.J. Howard run for 11 yds to the Clem 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:16
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+28
99.6%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Germone Hopper for 28 yds to the NCSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:16
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
99.6%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Demarre KittSimilar
Q3 7:16
2ND & 10
OPP 37
-4
99.6%
Deshaun Watson run for a loss of 4 yards to the NCSt 41Similar
Q3 7:16
3RD & 14
OPP 41
+10
99.6%
D. WATSON pass incomplete to M. WILLIAMS (Pittman, B.), PENALTY ST holding 10 yards to the ST31, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:16
3RD & 4
OPP 31
+6
99.6%
Deshaun Watson run for 6 yds to the NCSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:16
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-10
99.6%
CLEMSON Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the NCSt 35Similar
Q3 7:16
1ST & 20
OPP 35
0
99.6%
D.J. Howard run for no gain to the NCSt 35Similar
Q3 7:16
2ND & 20
OPP 35
-15
99.6%
D. WATSON pass complete to McCULLOUGH for 11 yards to the ST24 (Jones, J.), PENALTY CU personal foul 15 yards to the 50 yardline, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:16
2ND & 35
50
+2
99.5%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Demarre Kitt for 2 yds to the NCSt 48Similar
Q3 7:16
3RD & 33
OPP 48
0
99.5%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to N/A, broken up by Josh JonesSimilar
Q3 7:16
4TH & 33
OPP 48
0
99.5%
Bradley Pinion punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Bo Hines at the NCSt 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 20FUMBLE
4 plays · 25 yds · 1:310% → 0%
Q3 1:31
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+1
99.8%
Matt Dayes run for 1 yd to the NCSt 10Similar
Q3 1:31
2ND & 9
OWN 10
+8
99.8%
Jacoby Brissett pass complete to Bryan Underwood for 8 yds to the NCSt 18Similar
Q3 1:31
3RD & 1
OWN 18
+3
99.8%
Shadrach Thornton run for 3 yds to the NCSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+24
99.8%
Shadrach Thornton run for 13 yds to the NCSt 10 Shadrach Thornton fumbled, forced by Kellen Jones, recovered by Clem B.J. Goodson , return for 24 yds to the NCSt 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 21DOWNS
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 14:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
99.8%
Wayne Gallman run for no gain to the NCSt 10Similar
Q4 14:44
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+6
99.8%
Cole Stoudt run for 6 yds to the NCSt 4Similar
Q4 14:44
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
99.8%
Wayne Gallman run for no gain to the NCSt 4Similar
Q4 14:44
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
99.8%
Wayne Gallman run for 1 yd to the NCSt 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 22PUNT
6 plays · 20 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 12:41
1ST & 10
OWN 3
0
99.9%
Jacoby Brissett pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q4 12:41
2ND & 10
OWN 3
+11
99.9%
Tony Creecy run for 11 yds to the NCSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:41
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+2
99.9%
Tony Creecy run for 2 yds to the NCSt 16Similar
Q4 12:41
2ND & 8
OWN 16
+6
99.9%
Tony Creecy run for 6 yds to the NCSt 22Similar
Q4 12:41
3RD & 2
OWN 22
+1
99.9%
Jacoby Brissett run for 1 yd to the NCSt 23Similar
Q4 12:41
4TH & 1
OWN 23
+68
99.9%
Wil Baumann punt for 53 yds, fair catch by Germone Hopper at the CLEMSON 24 CLEMSON Penalty, illegal block (15 Yards) to the Clem 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 23PUNT
7 plays · 46 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 9:41
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+1
99.9%
Adam Choice run for 1 yd to the Clem 10Similar
Q4 9:41
2ND & 9
OWN 10
+6
99.9%
Adam Choice run for 6 yds to the Clem 16Similar
Q4 9:41
3RD & 3
OWN 16
+34
99.9%
Adam Choice run for 34 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:41
1ST & 10
50
-2
99.9%
Nick Schuessler run for a loss of 2 yards to the Clem 48Similar
Q4 9:41
2ND & 12
OWN 48
+8
99.9%
Adam Choice run for 8 yds to the NCSt 44Similar
Q4 9:41
3RD & 4
OPP 44
-1
99.9%
Adam Choice run for a loss of 1 yard to the NCSt 45Similar
Q4 9:41
4TH & 5
OPP 45
0
99.9%
Bradley Pinion punt for 34 yds, downed at the NCSt 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 24PUNT
16 plays · 44 yds · 4:490% → 0%
Q4 5:31
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
99.9%
Jacoby Brissett pass incomplete to Marquez Valdes-ScantlingSimilar
Q4 5:31
2ND & 10
OWN 11
+4
99.9%
Matt Dayes run for 4 yds to the NCSt 15Similar
Q4 5:31
3RD & 6
OWN 15
+7
99.9%
Jacoby Brissett run for 7 yds to the NCSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:31
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+5
99.9%
Matt Dayes run for 5 yds to the NCSt 27Similar
Q4 5:31
2ND & 5
OWN 27
+10
99.9%
Jacoby Brissett run for 10 yds to the NCSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:31
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
99.9%
Bra'Lon Cherry run for 6 yds to the NCSt 43Similar
Q4 2:22
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+3
100.0%
Matt Dayes run for 3 yds to the NCSt 46Similar
Q4 2:22
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+3
99.9%
Matt Dayes run for 3 yds to the NCSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:22
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
100.0%
Jacoby Brissett run for 5 yds to the Clem 46Similar
Q4 1:00
2ND & 5
OPP 46
+1
100.0%
Jacoby Brissett run for 1 yd to the Clem 45Similar
Q4 0:49
3RD & 4
OPP 45
0
100.0%
Jacoby Brissett pass incomplete to Bryan UnderwoodSimilar
Q4 0:42
4TH & 4
OPP 45
0
100.0%
Wil Baumann punt for 37 yds, downed at the Clem 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 25END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:29
1ST & 10
OWN 8
-1
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Clem 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q1 4:32
Deshaun Watson run for 5 yds for a TD, (Ammon Lakip KICK)
+3.2
TD · Q2 10:56
Deshaun Watson run for 3 yds for a TD, (Ammon Lakip KICK)
+3.2
MISSED FG · Q2 12:39
Ammon Lakip 48 yd FG MISSED
+2.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com