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A leaguewide Elo rating, tracked like a stock price - built purely from game results and margins across the whole archive, not the model's own win-probability predictions. A win moves the rating up and a loss moves it down, more for a bigger surprise than an expected result, so beating a team you were supposed to beat barely moves it while a real upset (in either direction) does.

$133.04
+4.54 (+3.5%) 1 year
$126.00$128.00$130.00$132.00$134.00$136.00OctNovDecJanSepOct
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YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com