2026 · Week 12 · Nov 21, 2026 · M. M. Roberts Stadium
Pregame projection
Points model v7Projected score
USM35
USA30
USM by 5
Win chance
USM51%
USA 49%USM 51%
Projected total
65pts
Combined points
Explore the range of outcomes
44%
chance Southern Miss wins by 3 or more
56% Southern Miss wins by 2 or fewer, or loses
← USA winsUSM wins →
-35-21-7+7+21+35
- 50% of outcomes
- USA by 11 to USM by 10
- 80% of outcomes
- USA by 22 to USM by 20
- 90% of outcomes
- USA by 30 to USM by 25
- Median
- Even
Not betting advice. This is just a model. These numbers are statistical estimates for entertainment and information only - not a prediction of what will happen and not a recommendation to bet on this or any game. The model is built without betting lines, and no model is reliably more accurate than the betting market. Scores and ranges cover regulation only (no overtime), and even the widest range here misses about 1 game in 10. If you choose to gamble, do so legally and responsibly. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.