2026 · Week 9 · Oct 31, 2026 · Malone Stadium
Pregame projection
Points model v7Projected score
USM32
ULM25
USM by 7
Win chance
USM62%
USM 62%ULM 38%
Projected total
58pts
Combined points
Explore the range of outcomes
56%
chance Southern Miss wins by 3 or more
44% Southern Miss wins by 2 or fewer, or loses
← ULM winsUSM wins →
-28-140+14+28
- 50% of outcomes
- ULM by 6 to USM by 15
- 80% of outcomes
- ULM by 17 to USM by 24
- 90% of outcomes
- ULM by 25 to USM by 32
- Median
- USM by 5
Not betting advice. This is just a model. These numbers are statistical estimates for entertainment and information only - not a prediction of what will happen and not a recommendation to bet on this or any game. The model is built without betting lines, and no model is reliably more accurate than the betting market. Scores and ranges cover regulation only (no overtime), and even the widest range here misses about 1 game in 10. If you choose to gamble, do so legally and responsibly. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.