2026 · Week 13 · Nov 28, 2026 · Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium
Pregame projection
Points model v7Projected score
NMSU25
MTSU24
NMSU by 1
Win chance
NMSU51%
NMSU 51%MTSU 49%
Projected total
50pts
Combined points
Explore the range of outcomes
51%
chance New Mexico State wins
49% Middle Tennessee wins
← MTSU winsNMSU wins →
-35-21-7+7+21
- 50% of outcomes
- MTSU by 10 to NMSU by 9
- 80% of outcomes
- MTSU by 22 to NMSU by 21
- 90% of outcomes
- MTSU by 28 to NMSU by 23
- Median
- Even
Not betting advice. This is just a model. These numbers are statistical estimates for entertainment and information only - not a prediction of what will happen and not a recommendation to bet on this or any game. The model is built without betting lines, and no model is reliably more accurate than the betting market. Scores and ranges cover regulation only (no overtime), and even the widest range here misses about 1 game in 10. If you choose to gamble, do so legally and responsibly. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.