2026 · Week 12 · Nov 21, 2026 · Elliott T. Bowers Stadium
Pregame projection
Points model v7Projected score
SHSU27
MTSU24
SHSU by 3
Win chance
SHSU64%
MTSU 36%SHSU 64%
Projected total
51pts
Combined points
Explore the range of outcomes
64%
chance Sam Houston wins
36% Middle Tennessee wins
← MTSU winsSHSU wins →
-28-140+14+28
- 50% of outcomes
- MTSU by 3 to SHSU by 13
- 80% of outcomes
- MTSU by 15 to SHSU by 23
- 90% of outcomes
- MTSU by 20 to SHSU by 30
- Median
- SHSU by 5
Not betting advice. This is just a model. These numbers are statistical estimates for entertainment and information only - not a prediction of what will happen and not a recommendation to bet on this or any game. The model is built without betting lines, and no model is reliably more accurate than the betting market. Scores and ranges cover regulation only (no overtime), and even the widest range here misses about 1 game in 10. If you choose to gamble, do so legally and responsibly. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.