2026 · Week 10 · Nov 7, 2026 · Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium
Pregame projection
Points model v7Projected score
WKU28
MTSU25
WKU by 3
Win chance
WKU54%
WKU 54%MTSU 46%
Projected total
53pts
Combined points
Explore the range of outcomes
47%
chance Western Kentucky wins by 3 or more
53% Western Kentucky wins by 2 or fewer, or loses
← MTSU winsWKU wins →
-35-21-7+7+21+35
- 50% of outcomes
- MTSU by 6 to WKU by 12
- 80% of outcomes
- MTSU by 19 to WKU by 25
- 90% of outcomes
- MTSU by 25 to WKU by 28
- Median
- WKU by 1
Not betting advice. This is just a model. These numbers are statistical estimates for entertainment and information only - not a prediction of what will happen and not a recommendation to bet on this or any game. The model is built without betting lines, and no model is reliably more accurate than the betting market. Scores and ranges cover regulation only (no overtime), and even the widest range here misses about 1 game in 10. If you choose to gamble, do so legally and responsibly. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.