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2026 · Week 9 · Oct 27, 2026 · Plaster Sports Complex
Pregame projection
Points model v7
Projected score
MOST28
SHSU27
MOST by 1
Win chance
MOST55%
SHSU 45%MOST 55%
Projected total
56pts
Combined points
Explore the range of outcomes
55%
chance Missouri State wins
45% Sam Houston wins
← SHSU winsMOST wins →
-28-140+14+28
50% of outcomes
SHSU by 9 to MOST by 11
80% of outcomes
SHSU by 18 to MOST by 21
90% of outcomes
SHSU by 24 to MOST by 29
Median
MOST by 3
Not betting advice. This is just a model. These numbers are statistical estimates for entertainment and information only - not a prediction of what will happen and not a recommendation to bet on this or any game. The model is built without betting lines, and no model is reliably more accurate than the betting market. Scores and ranges cover regulation only (no overtime), and even the widest range here misses about 1 game in 10. If you choose to gamble, do so legally and responsibly. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com