2026 · Week 8 · Oct 21, 2026 · Elliott T. Bowers Stadium
Pregame projection
Points model v7Projected score
NMSU25
SHSU24
NMSU by 1
Win chance
NMSU47%
NMSU 47%SHSU 53%
Projected total
49pts
Combined points
Explore the range of outcomes
47%
chance New Mexico State wins
53% Sam Houston wins
← SHSU winsNMSU wins →
-35-21-7+7+21
- 50% of outcomes
- SHSU by 10 to NMSU by 8
- 80% of outcomes
- SHSU by 21 to NMSU by 20
- 90% of outcomes
- SHSU by 29 to NMSU by 23
- Median
- SHSU by 1
Not betting advice. This is just a model. These numbers are statistical estimates for entertainment and information only - not a prediction of what will happen and not a recommendation to bet on this or any game. The model is built without betting lines, and no model is reliably more accurate than the betting market. Scores and ranges cover regulation only (no overtime), and even the widest range here misses about 1 game in 10. If you choose to gamble, do so legally and responsibly. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.