2026 · Week 11 · Nov 14, 2026 · Williams Stadium (VA)
Pregame projection
Points model v7Projected score
LIB35
MTSU16
LIB by 19
Win chance
LIB88%
MTSU 12%LIB 88%
Projected total
51pts
Combined points
Explore the range of outcomes
59%
chance Liberty wins by 14 or more
41% Liberty wins by 13 or fewer, or loses
← MTSU winsLIB wins →
-140+14+28+42
- 50% of outcomes
- LIB by 6 to 29
- 80% of outcomes
- MTSU by 1 to LIB by 39
- 90% of outcomes
- MTSU by 6 to LIB by 41
- Median
- LIB by 18
Not betting advice. This is just a model. These numbers are statistical estimates for entertainment and information only - not a prediction of what will happen and not a recommendation to bet on this or any game. The model is built without betting lines, and no model is reliably more accurate than the betting market. Scores and ranges cover regulation only (no overtime), and even the widest range here misses about 1 game in 10. If you choose to gamble, do so legally and responsibly. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.