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LIN

Lindenwood 14 at Missouri State 48

MOST
2026 · Week 2 · Sep 12, 2026 · Plaster Sports Complex
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Win probability · MOST
modelMOST aheadLIN aheadconfidence bandkey playMOST scoreLIN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 2:42 · (02:53) #43 C.Lander punt 59 yards to the MSU20 #42 D.Staley return 26 yards to the MSU46 (#67 C.Cook)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+38.0+19.00−19.0−38.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 163Pregame prior+2.1Home team on offense+36.2Score differential+31.0Blowout margin+17.3Garbage-time factor+11.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+9.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 10:39: (10:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 I.Myers rush right for 24 yards gain to the LIN00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:39, 1ST DOWN #25 S.McDonald kick attempt good (H: #37 J.Deal, LS: #47 A.Kallas) — MOST win probability +0.8 pts (now 88%) (top driver: MOST has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 0:07: (00:06) #40 C.Lair rush middle for 1 yard gain to the LIN00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:07 #25 S.McDonald kick attempt good (H: #37 J.Deal, LS: #47 A.Kallas) — MOST win probability +0.1 pts (now 90%) (top driver: MOST has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 11:21: (11:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 R.Green Jr. rush middle for 1 yard gain to the LIN00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 11:21 #25 S.McDonald kick attempt good (H: #37 J.Deal, LS: #47 A.Kallas) — MOST win probability +3.7 pts (now 94%) (top driver: MOST has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 10:01: (10:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 S.Locklear pass complete deep right to #3 I.Myers caught at LIN32, for 72 yards to the LIN00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:01, 1ST DOWN #25 S.McDonald kick attempt failed (H: #37 J.Deal, LS: #47 A.Kallas) — MOST win probability +2.8 pts (now 97%) (top driver: MOST has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 5:20: (05:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Dubar rush middle for 10 yards gain to the LIN00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 05:20 #25 S.McDonald kick attempt good (H: #37 J.Deal, LS: #47 A.Kallas) — MOST win probability +0.1 pts (now 98%) (top driver: MOST has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MOST made the numbers' call on 4 of 5LIN made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 11:01MOST 4th & 1 at LIN 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 85.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    85.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    85.2%−0.2
    58% to make
    Punt
    84.9%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:32LIN 4th & 10 at MOST 22, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 12.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.5%−0.3
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    12.8%
    72% to make
    Punt
    11.1%−1.7
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:25MOST 4th & 5 at MOST 41, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.7%−0.3
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.9%
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:42LIN 4th & 12 at LIN 16, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.1%−0.7
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.8%
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:42LIN 4th & 17 at LIN 18, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.6%−1.1
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.7%
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:11LIN 4th & 13 at LIN 27, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.2%−0.7
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.9%
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:44LIN 4th & 1 at LIN 34, down 27
    Close callPunted · 3.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.2%−0.4
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:01MOST 4th & 8 at LIN 25, up 34
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.8%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.8%
    66% to make
    Punt
    98.4%−0.4
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:34LIN 4th & 5 at LIN 42, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%
    average punt
  10. Q3 4:07LIN 4th & 6 at MOST 15, down 41
    Close callWent for it · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.3%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    0.3%
    83% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.4
    average punt
  11. Q3 1:59MOST 4th & 2 at MOST 42, up 34
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    99.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 4:29MOST 4th & 6 at LIN 16, up 34
    Close callWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%
    81% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.4
    average punt
  13. Q4 2:42LIN 4th & 5 at LIN 21, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MOST made the numbers' call on 4 of 4LIN made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 10:39MOST Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 11:21MOST Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 7:13MOST Touchdown, up 40 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 4:07LIN Touchdown, down 35 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 0:04MOST Touchdown, up 40 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 12:21LIN Touchdown, down 35 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MOSTDrive 1TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 4:1388% → 88%
Q1 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
87.9%
(14:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 S.Locklear pass complete short to #1 J.Dubar caught at MSU25, for 3 yards to the MSU28 (#2 D.Owens)Similar
Q1 14:32
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+1
87.8%
(14:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Dubar rush right for 1 yard gain to the MSU29 (#5 J.Waller; #40 D.Amaliri)Similar
Q1 14:06
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+7
87.7%
(14:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 S.Locklear pass complete short right to #0 J.Robinson caught at MSU34, for 7 yards to the MSU36 (#14 C.Johnson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
87.6%
(13:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Dubar rush middle for 5 yards gain to the MSU41 (#30 C.Jacobmeier)Similar
Q1 13:18
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+8
87.6%
(13:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Dubar rush right for 8 yards gain to the MSU49 (#30 C.Jacobmeier), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+13
87.5%
(13:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 S.Locklear pass complete short left to #6 M.Miller for 13 yards to the LIN38 (#14 C.Johnson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 12:31
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
87.4%
(12:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 S.Locklear pass incomplete deep right to #0 J.Robinson thrown to LIN10Similar
Q1 12:19
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+4
87.4%
(12:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Dubar rush left for 4 yards gain to the LIN34 (#30 C.Jacobmeier)Similar
Q1 11:42
3RD & 6
OPP 34
+5
87.2%
(11:51) Shotgun #9 S.Locklear pass complete short right to #0 J.Robinson caught at LIN35, for 5 yards to the LIN29 (#2 D.Owens)Similar
Q1 11:01
4TH & 1
OPP 29
+5
86.9%
(11:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Dubar rush middle for 5 yards gain to the LIN24 (#92 R.Satterwhite), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 10:39
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+24
87.7%
(10:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 I.Myers rush right for 24 yards gain to the LIN00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:39, 1ST DOWN #25 S.McDonald kick attempt good (H: #37 J.Deal, LS: #47 A.Kallas)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LINDrive 2MISSED FG
16 plays · 61 yds · 5:5713% → 12%
Q1 10:29
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
87.4%
(10:33) No Huddle #9 P.Battle pass incomplete short left to #18 E.Roy thrown to LIN25Similar
Q1 10:20
2ND & 10
OWN 17
0
87.4%
(10:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Rhodes rush left for 0 yards to the LIN17 (#21 J.Cooper)Similar
Q1 9:35
3RD & 10
OWN 17
+9
87.4%
(09:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 P.Battle rush middle for 9 yards gain to the LIN26 (#92 J.Lukusa)Similar
Q1 8:52
4TH & 1
OWN 26
+5
87.3%
PENALTY LIN Delay Of Game 5 yards from LIN26 to LIN21. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 8:49
4TH & 6
OWN 21
+5
87.4%
(08:49) #43 C.Lander punt 41 yards to the MSU38 #0 J.Robinson return for loss of 1 yard to the MSU37 (#17 E.Beard; #34 O.Thomas) PENALTY MSU Running Into The Kicker (#83 A.Whetsell) 5 yards from LIN21 to LIN26. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 8:43
4TH & 1
OWN 26
+5
88.2%
(08:43) #43 C.Lander punt 55 yards to the MSU19, out of bounds at MSU19 PENALTY MSU Illegal Substitution 5 yards from LIN26 to LIN31. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 8:22
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
88.1%
(08:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Rhodes rush middle for 1 yard gain to the LIN32 (#0 J.Lloyd; #33 A.Mattison)Similar
Q1 7:52
2ND & 9
OWN 32
+15
88.3%
(07:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 P.Battle pass incomplete deep right to #8 D.Krobath thrown to MSU29 PENALTY MSU Pass Interference (#8 J.Kpassou) 15 yards from LIN32 to LIN47, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 7:37
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
88.2%
(07:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Rhodes rush right for 3 yards gain to the LIN50 (#21 J.Cooper; #0 J.Lloyd)Similar
Q1 7:12
2ND & 7
50
+7
88.1%
(07:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Rhodes rush right for 7 yards gain to the MSU43 (#15 M.Blackmon), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 6:31
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+21
88.1%
(06:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 P.Battle rush left for 21 yards gain to the MSU22 (#12 J.Boamah), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 5:55
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-1
87.8%
(06:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Rhodes rush left for 1 yard loss to the MSU23 (#0 J.Lloyd)Similar
Q1 5:19
2ND & 11
OPP 23
+1
87.9%
(05:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Rhodes rush middle for 1 yard gain to the MSU22 (#33 A.Mattison)Similar
Q1 4:37
3RD & 10
OPP 22
0
88.1%
(04:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 P.Battle pass incomplete short left to #18 E.Roy thrown to MSU20 QB hurried by #49 D.BrooksSimilar
Q1 4:32
4TH & 10
OPP 22
+41
88.4%
(04:35) #37 W.Graham field goal attempt from 41 yards NO GOOD (H: #43 C.Lander, LS: #48 Z.Ely), clock 04:32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MOSTDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 1:5889% → 89%
Q1 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
88.9%
(04:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 R.Green Jr. rush right for 4 yards gain to the MSU26 (#24 N.O'Hara)Similar
Q1 3:46
2ND & 6
OWN 26
+10
89.0%
(04:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 S.Locklear pass complete short left to #3 I.Myers caught at MSU36, for 10 yards to the MSU36 (#16 B.Crawford), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
89.1%
(03:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 S.Locklear pass complete short right to #0 J.Robinson caught at MSU34, for 6 yards to the MSU42 (#11 C.Jones; #34 O.Thomas)Similar
Q1 2:43
2ND & 4
OWN 42
-1
89.4%
(03:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 S.Locklear pass complete short left to #54 M.Greene caught at MSU41, for 1 yard loss to the MSU41 (#53 K.Smith)Similar
Q1 2:34
3RD & 5
OWN 41
0
89.1%
(02:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 S.Locklear pass incomplete short right to #87 W.Edwards thrown to MSU44Similar
Q1 2:25
4TH & 5
OWN 41
0
88.8%
(02:31) #25 S.McDonald punt 41 yards to the LIN18 fair catch by #28 N.Triplett at LIN18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LINDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:3512% → 11%
Q1 2:17
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-2
88.3%
(02:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 P.Battle sacked for loss of 2 yards to the LIN16 (#57 G.Tchio)Similar
Q1 1:54
2ND & 12
OWN 16
0
88.4%
(01:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 P.Battle pass incomplete short middle to #0 R.Boyd thrown to LIN30 broken up by #29 C.FordSimilar
Q1 1:49
3RD & 12
OWN 16
0
88.5%
(01:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 P.Battle pass incomplete short middle thrown to LIN16 broken up by #49 D.BrooksSimilar
Q1 1:42
4TH & 12
OWN 16
0
88.6%
(01:47) #43 C.Lander punt 32 yards to the LIN48, out of bounds at LIN48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MOSTDrive 5TD
4 plays · 48 yds · 1:2889% → 90%
Q1 1:35
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
89.4%
(01:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Dubar rush left for 4 yards gain to the LIN44 (#1 S.Owens)Similar
Q1 1:14
2ND & 6
OPP 44
+42
89.5%
(01:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 S.Locklear pass complete deep left to #6 M.Miller caught at LIN02, for 42 yards to the LIN02, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 0:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
89.5%
(00:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Dubar rush middle for 1 yard gain to the LIN01 (#30 C.Jacobmeier)Similar
Q1 0:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
89.6%
(00:06) #40 C.Lair rush middle for 1 yard gain to the LIN00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:07 #25 S.McDonald kick attempt good (H: #37 J.Deal, LS: #47 A.Kallas)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LINDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · -7 yds · 1:2512% → 11%
Q1 0:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
88.4%
(00:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #28 N.Triplett rush left for 8 yards gain to the LIN33 (#12 J.Boamah), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+4
88.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun #28 N.Triplett rush middle for 4 yards gain (4) to the LIN37 (#29 C.Ford) PENALTY LIN Holding (#74 T.VanBoening) 10 yards from LIN37 to LIN27Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-9
88.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun #9 P.Battle sacked for loss of 9 yards to the LIN18 (#0 J.Lloyd)Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 17
OWN 18
0
88.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun #9 P.Battle pass incomplete short middle thrown to LIN18 broken up by #30 C.WiestSimilar
Q2 13:42
4TH & 17
OWN 18
0
88.8%
(13:49) #43 C.Lander punt 44 yards to the MSU38 #0 J.Robinson return 0 yards to the MSU38 (#24 N.O'Hara)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MOSTDrive 7TD
7 plays · 62 yds · 2:1190% → 94%
Q2 13:32
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+14
89.6%
(13:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 S.Locklear pass complete short left to #0 J.Robinson caught at MSU36, for 14 yards to the LIN48 (#7 E.Thomas), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 13:04
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
89.8%
(13:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 S.Locklear pass complete short right to #22 R.Green Jr. caught at LIN45, for 3 yards to the LIN45 (#7 E.Thomas) PENALTY LIN Face Mask 15 yards from LIN45 to LIN30, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 12:43
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
89.8%
(12:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 S.Locklear pass incomplete deep right to #3 I.Myers thrown to LIN10Similar
Q2 12:35
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+5
89.8%
(12:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 R.Green Jr. rush middle for 5 yards gain to the LIN25 (#16 B.Crawford; #53 K.Smith)Similar
Q2 12:07
3RD & 5
OPP 25
+19
89.7%
(12:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 R.Green Jr. rush left for 19 yards gain to the LIN06 (#10 I.Edwards), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 11:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
90.0%
(11:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 S.Locklear pass complete short right to #85 D.Hipp caught at LIN03, for 5 yards to the LIN01 (#16 B.Crawford)Similar
Q2 11:21
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
93.6%
(11:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 R.Green Jr. rush middle for 1 yard gain to the LIN00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 11:21 #25 S.McDonald kick attempt good (H: #37 J.Deal, LS: #47 A.Kallas)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LINDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 1:017% → 6%
Q2 11:12
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-1
93.3%
(11:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Rhodes rush left for 1 yard loss to the LIN29, End Of PlaySimilar
Q2 10:40
2ND & 11
OWN 29
-2
93.6%
(10:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Rhodes rush right for 2 yards loss to the LIN27 (#33 A.Mattison; #21 J.Cooper) PENALTY LIN Illegal Shift declinedSimilar
Q2 10:24
3RD & 13
OWN 27
0
93.7%
(10:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 P.Battle pass incomplete deep right to #8 D.Krobath thrown to MSU42Similar
Q2 10:11
4TH & 13
OWN 27
0
93.8%
(10:22) #43 C.Lander punt 45 yards to the MSU28 #0 J.Robinson return 0 yards to the MSU28 (#31 M.Van Der Brink; #24 N.O'Hara)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MOSTDrive 9TD
1 play · 72 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q2 10:01
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+72
96.6%
(10:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 S.Locklear pass complete deep right to #3 I.Myers caught at LIN32, for 72 yards to the LIN00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:01, 1ST DOWN #25 S.McDonald kick attempt failed (H: #37 J.Deal, LS: #47 A.Kallas)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LINDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:093% → 3%
Q2 9:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
96.8%
(10:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 P.Battle pass complete short right to #7 J.Rhodes caught at LIN25, for 8 yards to the LIN33 (#7 M.Ganaway)Similar
Q2 9:27
2ND & 2
OWN 33
0
96.7%
(09:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 P.Battle pass incomplete short right to #80 M.Busteed thrown to LIN35 broken up by #49 D.Brooks QB hurried by #49 D.BrooksSimilar
Q2 9:15
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+1
96.8%
(09:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 P.Battle rush left for 1 yard gain to the LIN34 (#49 D.Brooks)Similar
Q2 8:44
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+7
97.4%
(08:44) #43 C.Lander punt 45 yards to the MSU21 #0 J.Robinson return 7 yards to the MSU28 (#49 T.Ginn) PENALTY LIN Face Mask (#20 J.Jones) 15 yards from MSU28 to MSU43, 1ST DOWNSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MOSTDrive 11TD
11 plays · 72 yds · 3:0689% → 98%
Q2 8:26
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+25
89.3%
(08:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Dubar rush left for 25 yards gain to the LIN47 (#30 C.Jacobmeier), 1ST DOWN, PENALTY LIN Personal Foul (#9 K.McClendon) 15 yards from LIN47 to LIN32, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 8:44
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+5
87.7%
PENALTY MSU False Start (#55 R.Mitchell) 5 yards from LIN32 to LIN37. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 8:44
1ST & 15
OPP 37
+2
87.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Dubar rush middle for 6 yards gain (2) to the LIN31 (#99 E.Becu) PENALTY MSU Holding (#78 B.Thompson) 10 yards from LIN35 to LIN45Similar
Q2 8:44
1ST & 23
OPP 45
+3
87.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Dubar rush middle for 3 yards gain to the LIN42 (#99 E.Becu; #9 K.McClendon)Similar
Q2 8:44
2ND & 20
OPP 42
-2
87.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun #9 S.Locklear pass complete short right to #1 J.Dubar caught at LIN44, for 2 yards loss to the LIN44, End Of PlaySimilar
Q2 8:44
3RD & 22
OPP 44
+11
87.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun #9 S.Locklear pass complete short right to #3 I.Myers caught at LIN38, for 11 yards to the LIN33 (#40 D.Amaliri) PENALTY LIN Face Mask (#16 B.Crawford) 15 yards from LIN33 to LIN18, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 6:13
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+9
98.1%
(06:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 S.Locklear pass incomplete short left to #0 J.Robinson thrown to LIN10 PENALTY LIN Roughing The Passer (#34 O.Thomas) 9 yards from LIN18 to LIN09, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 6:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+10
98.1%
(06:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 S.Locklear pass complete short middle to #0 J.Robinson caught at LIN10, for 4 yards to the LIN05 (#4 M.Burke) PENALTY MSU Holding (#88 J.Askren) 10 yards from LIN09 to LIN19. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 5:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 19
+9
98.2%
(05:47) Shotgun #1 J.Dubar rush middle for 9 yards gain to the LIN10 (#30 C.Jacobmeier)Similar
Q2 5:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
98.3%
(05:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Dubar rush middle for 10 yards gain to the LIN00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 05:20 #25 S.McDonald kick attempt good (H: #37 J.Deal, LS: #47 A.Kallas)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LINDrive 12INT
6 plays · 2 yds · 2:261% → 1%
Q2 5:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
98.7%
(05:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 R.Giaimo rush right for 2 yards gain to the LIN27 (#30 C.Wiest; #5 K.Lindstrom)Similar
Q2 4:27
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+13
98.8%
(04:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 P.Battle rush right for 13 yards gain to the LIN40 (#11 T.Brantley; #21 J.Cooper), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 3:57
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-3
98.8%
(04:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 R.Giaimo rush middle for 3 yards loss to the LIN37 (#5 K.Lindstrom)Similar
Q2 3:22
2ND & 13
OWN 37
-10
98.9%
(03:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 P.Battle sacked for loss of 10 yards to the LIN27 (#7 M.Ganaway)Similar
Q2 2:43
3RD & 23
OWN 27
0
99.0%
(02:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 P.Battle pass intercepted by #21 J.Cooper at LIN39, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MOSTDrive 13MISSED FG
11 plays · 10 yds · 2:3299% → 99%
Q2 2:33
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+7
98.7%
(02:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 R.Green Jr. rush left for 7 yards gain to the LIN32 (#16 B.Crawford)Similar
Q2 2:14
2ND & 3
OPP 32
+5
98.8%
(02:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 S.Locklear rush right for 5 yards gain to the LIN27 (#15 Z.Lewis), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:51
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-4
98.7%
(01:56) Shotgun #9 S.Locklear sacked for loss of 4 yards to the LIN31 (#6 J.Smith)Similar
Q2 1:22
2ND & 14
OPP 31
+6
98.8%
(01:24) Shotgun #22 R.Green Jr. rush right for 10 yards gain (6) to the LIN21 (#0 Z.Pratt) PENALTY MSU Holding (#77 S.Espinoza) 10 yards from LIN25 to LIN35Similar
Q2 1:12
2ND & 18
OPP 35
+6
98.7%
(01:22) Shotgun #22 R.Green Jr. rush middle for 6 yards gain to the LIN29 (#15 Z.Lewis)Similar
Q2 0:34
3RD & 12
OPP 29
+4
98.7%
(00:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 J.Lloyd rush right for 4 yards gain to the LIN25 (#40 D.Amaliri; #11 C.Jones)Similar
Q2 0:01
4TH & 8
OPP 25
+42
98.8%
(00:01) #25 S.McDonald field goal attempt from 42 yards NO GOOD (H: #37 J.Deal, LS: #47 A.Kallas), clock 00:00Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LINDrive 14PUNT
8 plays · 17 yds · 3:141% → 1%
Q3 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.0%
(14:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #28 N.Triplett rush middle for 1 yard gain to the LIN26 (#21 J.Cooper; #92 J.Lukusa)Similar
Q3 14:11
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
99.1%
(14:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #28 N.Triplett rush left for 0 yards to the LIN26 (#21 J.Cooper)Similar
Q3 13:29
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+11
99.2%
(13:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 P.Battle rush left for 11 yards gain to the LIN37 (#0 J.Lloyd), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 12:52
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
99.2%
(13:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 P.Battle pass complete short left to #4 J.Smith caught at LIN40, for 3 yards to the LIN40 (#12 J.Boamah)Similar
Q3 12:10
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+2
99.2%
(12:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #28 N.Triplett rush right for 2 yards gain to the LIN42 (#0 J.Lloyd)Similar
Q3 11:46
3RD & 5
OWN 42
0
99.3%
(11:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 P.Battle pass incomplete short right to #4 J.Smith thrown to MSU47Similar
Q3 11:34
4TH & 5
OWN 42
+15
99.3%
(11:43) #43 C.Lander punt 42 yards to the MSU16 #0 J.Robinson return 15 yards to the MSU31 (#31 M.Van Der Brink; #17 E.Beard)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MOSTDrive 15TD
10 plays · 69 yds · 4:1599% → 100%
Q3 11:28
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
99.4%
(11:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Dubar rush middle for 2 yards gain to the MSU33 (#15 Z.Lewis)Similar
Q3 11:06
2ND & 8
OWN 33
+3
99.4%
(11:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Dubar rush right for 4 yards gain (3) to the MSU37 (#3 K.Lyons) PENALTY MSU Personal Foul (#87 W.Edwards) 15 yards from MSU36 to MSU21Similar
Q3 10:16
2ND & 20
OWN 21
+13
99.4%
(10:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 S.Locklear pass complete short right to #3 I.Myers caught at MSU28, for 13 yards to the MSU34 (#3 K.Lyons; #40 D.Amaliri)Similar
Q3 9:51
3RD & 7
OWN 34
+8
99.5%
(09:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 S.Locklear pass complete short middle to #0 J.Robinson caught at MSU40, for 8 yards to the MSU42 (#15 Z.Lewis), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 9:29
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-5
99.5%
(09:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Dubar rush middle for 5 yards loss to the MSU37 (#16 B.Crawford)Similar
Q3 8:58
2ND & 15
OWN 37
+3
99.5%
(09:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 S.Locklear rush left for 3 yards gain to the MSU40 (#30 C.Jacobmeier), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 8:07
3RD & 12
OWN 40
+49
99.5%
(08:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 S.Locklear pass complete deep middle to #3 I.Myers caught at LIN19, for 49 yards to the LIN11 (#1 S.Owens; #16 B.Crawford), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 7:45
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+8
99.6%
(07:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 R.Green Jr. rush right for 8 yards gain to the LIN03 (#3 K.Lyons)Similar
Q3 7:31
2ND & 2
OPP 3
+2
99.6%
(07:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 S.Locklear rush right for 2 yards gain to the LIN01 (#23 A.Baumgart; #16 B.Crawford), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 7:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.6%
(07:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 R.Green Jr. rush middle for 1 yard gain to the LIN00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:13 #25 S.McDonald kick attempt good (H: #37 J.Deal, LS: #47 A.Kallas)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LINDrive 16TD
10 plays · 65 yds · 2:580% → 0%
Q3 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
99.7%
(07:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Rhodes rush middle for 6 yards gain to the LIN41 (#30 C.Wiest)Similar
Q3 6:24
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+29
99.7%
(06:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 P.Battle pass complete short middle to #18 E.Roy caught at MSU49, for 29 yards to the MSU30 (#16 J.O'Neal), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 5:56
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
99.7%
(06:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 P.Battle pass complete short left to #18 E.Roy caught at MSU25, for 5 yards to the MSU25 (#33 A.Mattison)Similar
Q3 5:29
2ND & 5
OPP 25
+6
99.6%
(05:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 P.Battle rush left for 6 yards gain to the MSU19 (#29 C.Ford), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 4:55
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
99.7%
(05:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 P.Battle pass incomplete short right to #8 D.Krobath thrown to MSU00Similar
Q3 4:47
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+4
99.8%
(04:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 P.Battle rush middle for 4 yards gain to the MSU15 (#29 C.Ford)Similar
Q3 4:14
3RD & 6
OPP 15
0
99.8%
(04:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 P.Battle pass incomplete short right to #7 J.Rhodes thrown to MSU22 broken up by #15 M.BlackmonSimilar
Q3 4:07
4TH & 6
OPP 15
+15
99.7%
(04:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 P.Battle pass complete short right to #8 D.Krobath caught at MSU02, for 15 yards to the MSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:07, 1ST DOWN #37 W.Graham kick attempt good (H: #43 C.Lander, LS: #48 Z.Ely)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MOSTDrive 17DOWNS
7 plays · 29 yds · 1:53100% → 100%
Q3 3:52
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+4
99.7%
(04:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 R.Green Jr. rush left for 4 yards gain to the MSU18 (#98 A.Zook; #6 J.Smith)Similar
Q3 3:28
2ND & 6
OWN 18
+16
99.7%
(03:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 R.Green Jr. rush left for 16 yards gain to the MSU34 (#24 N.O'Hara), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 3:07
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
99.7%
(03:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 R.Green Jr. rush left for 3 yards gain to the MSU37 (#6 J.Smith)Similar
Q3 2:31
2ND & 7
OWN 37
+3
99.8%
(02:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 H.Belin IV pass complete short middle to #8 I.McMorris caught at MSU35, for 3 yards to the MSU40 (#10 I.Edwards)Similar
Q3 2:14
3RD & 4
OWN 40
+2
99.8%
(02:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #40 C.Lair rush middle for 2 yards gain to the MSU42 (#7 E.Thomas)Similar
Q3 1:59
4TH & 2
OWN 42
+1
99.8%
(01:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #40 C.Lair rush middle for 1 yard gain to the MSU43 (#40 D.Amaliri; #24 N.O'Hara), TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LINDrive 18FUMBLE
3 plays · 11 yds · 1:090% → 0%
Q3 1:46
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+2
99.8%
(01:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 P.Battle rush middle for 2 yards gain to the MSU41 (#11 T.Brantley)Similar
Q3 1:00
2ND & 8
OPP 41
+6
99.8%
(01:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 P.Battle pass complete short right to #18 E.Roy caught at MSU35, for 6 yards to the MSU35, End Of PlaySimilar
Q3 0:37
3RD & 2
OPP 35
+3
99.8%
(00:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 P.Battle rush left for 3 yards gain to the MSU32 fumbled by #9 P.Battle at MSU31 forced by #8 J.Kpassou recovered by MSU #38 S.Shufelt at MSU32, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MOSTDrive 19TD
3 plays · 68 yds · 0:23100% → 100%
Q3 0:27
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+47
99.8%
(00:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 H.Belin IV pass complete deep left to #85 D.Hipp caught at LIN45, for 47 yards to the LIN21 (#1 S.Owens; #0 Z.Pratt), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 0:16
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+5
99.8%
(00:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #40 C.Lair rush middle for 5 yards gain to the LIN16 (#23 A.Baumgart; #53 K.Smith)Similar
Q3 0:04
2ND & 5
OPP 16
+16
99.9%
(00:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 H.Belin IV rush left for 16 yards gain to the LIN00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:00, 1ST DOWN #25 S.McDonald kick attempt good (H: #37 J.Deal, LS: #47 A.Kallas)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LINDrive 20TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:400% → 0%
Q3 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.9%
(00:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #28 N.Triplett rush middle for 6 yards gain to the LIN31 (#15 M.Blackmon; #90 B.Hightower)Similar
Q4 14:43
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+18
99.9%
(14:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #28 N.Triplett rush middle for 18 yards gain to the LIN49 (#7 M.Ganaway), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 14:14
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-2
99.9%
(14:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #28 N.Triplett rush left for 2 yards loss to the LIN47 (#24 C.Olabode)Similar
Q4 13:36
2ND & 12
OWN 47
+7
99.9%
(13:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 P.Battle pass complete short left to #4 J.Smith caught at MSU49, for 7 yards to the MSU46 (#23 G.McBride)Similar
Q4 12:57
3RD & 5
OPP 46
+14
99.9%
(13:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 P.Battle rush left for 14 yards gain to the MSU32 (#2 A.Smith), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 12:21
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+32
99.9%
(12:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 P.Battle pass complete short left to #18 E.Roy caught at MSU13, for 32 yards to the MSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:21, 1ST DOWN #37 W.Graham kick attempt good (H: #43 C.Lander, LS: #48 Z.Ely)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MOSTDrive 21DOWNS
14 plays · 53 yds · 7:38100% → 100%
Q4 12:07
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
99.9%
(12:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 K.Davis rush left for 4 yards gain to the MSU35 (#31 M.Van Der Brink; #22 A.Knapke)Similar
Q4 11:21
2ND & 6
OWN 35
+5
99.9%
(11:28) Shotgun #10 K.Davis rush middle for 5 yards gain to the MSU40 (#31 M.Van Der Brink; #96 C.McIntosh)Similar
Q4 10:36
3RD & 1
OWN 40
+11
99.9%
(10:44) Shotgun #10 K.Davis rush right for 11 yards gain to the LIN49 (#34 O.Thomas), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 9:52
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
99.9%
(10:00) Shotgun #10 K.Davis rush right for 0 yards to the LIN49 (#30 C.Jacobmeier)Similar
Q4 9:04
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+12
99.9%
(09:11) Shotgun #43 A.Johnson rush right for 12 yards gain to the LIN37 (#31 M.Van Der Brink; #22 A.Knapke), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 8:15
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+4
99.9%
(08:25) Shotgun #43 A.Johnson rush right for 4 yards gain to the LIN33 (#99 E.Becu)Similar
Q4 7:31
2ND & 6
OPP 33
+5
99.9%
(07:37) Shotgun #2 H.Belin IV pass complete short left to #86 J.Rexroat caught at LIN32, for 5 yards to the LIN28 (#25 L.Zook)Similar
Q4 6:58
3RD & 1
OPP 28
+8
99.9%
(07:06) Shotgun #43 A.Johnson rush middle for 8 yards gain to the LIN20 (#22 A.Knapke), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 6:38
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+7
99.9%
(06:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #43 A.Johnson rush left for 7 yards gain to the LIN13 (#22 A.Knapke)Similar
Q4 5:56
2ND & 3
OPP 13
-2
99.9%
(06:05) Shotgun #43 A.Johnson rush right for 2 yards loss to the LIN15 (#4 M.Burke; #53 K.Smith)Similar
Q4 5:11
3RD & 5
OPP 15
-1
99.9%
(05:19) Shotgun #10 K.Davis rush right for 1 yard loss to the LIN16 (#7 E.Thomas)Similar
Q4 4:29
4TH & 6
OPP 16
0
99.9%
(04:32) Shotgun #2 H.Belin IV pass incomplete short middle to #8 I.McMorris thrown to LIN05 broken up by #22 A.Knapke QB hurried by #7 E.Thomas, TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LINDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:130% → 0%
Q4 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+5
100.0%
(04:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #32 C.Dowell rush right for 5 yards gain to the LIN21 fumbled by #32 C.Dowell at LIN21 forced by #2 A.Smith recovered by LIN #18 E.Roy at LIN21, End Of PlaySimilar
Q4 3:32
2ND & 5
OWN 21
0
100.0%
(03:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 P.Battle rush left for 0 yards to the LIN21 (#38 S.Shufelt)Similar
Q4 2:55
3RD & 5
OWN 21
0
100.0%
(03:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 P.Battle pass incomplete short right thrown to LIN35 QB hurried by #80 M.Osei-BonsuSimilar
Q4 2:42
4TH & 5
OWN 21
+26
100.0%
(02:53) #43 C.Lander punt 59 yards to the MSU20 #42 D.Staley return 26 yards to the MSU46 (#67 C.Cook)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MOSTDrive 23Uncategorized
9 plays · -3 yds · 1:59100% → 100%
Q4 2:32
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+6
100.0%
(02:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #43 A.Johnson rush middle for 6 yards gain to the LIN48 (#22 A.Knapke; #95 K.Paschall)Similar
Q4 2:06
2ND & 4
OPP 48
+2
100.0%
(02:13) Shotgun #43 A.Johnson rush left for 2 yards gain to the LIN46 (#9 K.McClendon)Similar
Q4 1:58
3RD & 2
OPP 46
+5
99.9%
PENALTY MSU False Start (#76 S.Castillo) 5 yards from LIN46 to MSU49. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 1:53
3RD & 7
OWN 49
+7
99.9%
(01:59) Shotgun #7 E.Leonard pass complete short right to #80 M.Osei-Bonsu caught at LIN48, for 7 yards to the LIN44 (#22 A.Knapke; #34 O.Thomas), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:53
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
100.0%
PENALTY MSU Delay Of Game 5 yards from LIN44 to LIN49. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 1:47
1ST & 15
OPP 49
-2
99.9%
(01:52) Kneel down by #7 E.Leonard at MSU49 for loss of 2 yardsSimilar
Q4 1:05
2ND & 17
OWN 49
-4
100.0%
(01:09) Kneel down by #7 E.Leonard at MSU45 for loss of 4 yardsSimilar
Q4 0:33
3RD & 21
OWN 45
-2
100.0%
(00:33) Kneel down by #7 E.Leonard at MSU43 for loss of 2 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 11:21
(11:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 R.Green Jr. rush middle for 1 yard gain to the LIN00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 11:21 #25 S.McDonald kick attempt good (H: #37 J.Deal, LS: #47 A.Kallas)
+3.7
TD · Q2 10:01
(10:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 S.Locklear pass complete deep right to #3 I.Myers caught at LIN32, for 72 yards to the LIN00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:01, 1ST DOWN #25 S.McDonald kick attempt failed (H: #37 J.Deal, LS: #47 A.Kallas)
+2.8
TD · Q1 10:39
(10:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 I.Myers rush right for 24 yards gain to the LIN00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:39, 1ST DOWN #25 S.McDonald kick attempt good (H: #37 J.Deal, LS: #47 A.Kallas)
+0.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com