2026 · Week 2 · Sep 12, 2026 · Joan C. Edwards Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Win probability · MRSH
modelMRSH aheadMTSU aheadconfidence bandkey playMRSH scoreMTSU score
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 0:31 · (00:34) #91 D.Bourgeois field goal attempt from 50 yards NO GOOD (H: #92 A.Logan, LS: #59 H.Hamlin), clock 00:31
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
This game in five plays
- TD · Q2 8:31: (08:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 C.Del Rio-Wilson rush left for 4 yards gain to the MT 00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:31 #41 J.Diaz Nicolas kick attempt good (H: #91 C.Heimbach, LS: #43 C.Ortiz) — MRSH win probability +4.7 pts (now 81%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
- TD · Q3 5:36: (05:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 R.Gagliano pass complete short left to #3 C.Lacy caught at MAR07, for 11 yards to the MAR00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 05:36, 1ST DOWN #91 D.Bourgeois kick attempt good (H: #92 A.Logan, LS: #59 H.Hamlin) — MTSU win probability +20.2 pts (now 55%) (top driver: MTSU has the ball).
- TD · Q4 12:06: Xayvion Turner-Bradshaw 0 Yd Run (Jorge Diaz Nicolas Kick) — MRSH win probability +21.2 pts (now 77%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
- TD · Q4 4:18: (04:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 T.Lester rush middle for 2 yards gain to the MT 00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:18 #41 J.Diaz Nicolas kick attempt good (H: #91 C.Heimbach, LS: #43 C.Ortiz) — MRSH win probability +25.4 pts (now 96%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
- TD · Q4 0:50: (00:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 R.Gagliano pass complete short middle to #6 A.Jones caught at MAR00, for 15 yards to the MAR00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:50, 1ST DOWN #16 R.Gagliano pass attempt failed — MTSU win probability +19.7 pts (now 37%) (top driver: MTSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?
Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works
Fourth downs
MRSH made the numbers' call on 5 of 6MTSU made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
- Q1 13:36MRSH 4th & 5 at MRSH 25, tiedAgrees with the numbersPunted · 78.9% before the snapGo for it78.9%−<0.140% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call79.0%average punt
- Q1 12:06MTSU 4th & 7 at MTSU 38, tiedAgrees with the numbersPunted · 21.3% before the snapGo for it21.3%−<0.137% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call21.3%average punt
- Q1 9:18MTSU 4th & 3 at MTSU 32, down 7Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.5% before the snapGo for it20.6%−<0.152% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call20.6%average punt
- Q1 6:41MRSH 4th & 6 at MRSH 39, tiedAgrees with the numbersPunted · 76.9% before the snapGo for it76.9%−<0.140% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call76.9%average punt
- Q2 14:54MTSU 4th & 4 at MRSH 34, tiedClose callKicked a field goal · 25.9% before the snapGo for it25.9%48% to convertField goalTheir call25.6%−0.447% to makePunt25.3%−0.6average punt
- Q2 3:50MTSU 4th & 2 at MRSH 17, down 4Close callKicked a field goal · 26.9% before the snapGo for it26.9%56% to convertField goalTheir call26.2%−0.780% to makePunt22.5%−4.3average punt
- Q2 2:00MRSH 4th & 7 at MRSH 28, up 1Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.8% before the snapGo for it71.1%−0.536% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call71.6%average punt
- Q2 1:31MTSU 4th & 10 at MTSU 45, down 1Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.8% before the snapGo for it25.9%−0.629% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call26.4%average punt
- Q3 11:32MTSU 4th & 8 at MTSU 49, down 1Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.6% before the snapGo for it28.6%−0.534% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call29.1%average punt
- Q3 9:14MRSH 4th & 1 at MRSH 22, up 1Numbers favored go for it by 1.5 ptsPunted · 69.4% before the snapGo for it70.4%71% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call68.9%−1.5average punt
- Q3 4:03MRSH 4th & 5 at MRSH 33, down 6Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.4% before the snapGo for it47.4%−1.941% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call49.2%average punt
- Q3 0:31MTSU 4th & 8 at MRSH 32, up 6Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 60.9% before the snapGo for it59.8%−0.334% to convertField goalTheir call60.1%51% to makePunt57.7%−2.4average punt
- Q4 11:06MTSU 4th & 8 at MTSU 27, down 1Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.1% before the snapGo for it29.5%−2.633% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call32.0%average punt
- Q4 7:18MRSH 4th & 21 at midfield, up 1Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.0% before the snapGo for it59.5%−6.99% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call66.4%average punt
- Q4 1:47MTSU 4th & 10 at MRSH 33, down 8Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 8.6% before the snapGo for itTheir call7.0%30% to convertField goal6.1%−0.949% to makePunt4.4%−2.6average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MRSH made the numbers' call on 4 of 4MTSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
- Q1 10:36MRSH Touchdown, up 6 before the tryAgrees with the numbersKicked · madeKickTheir call79.1%97% to makeGo for two79.1%−<0.145% to convert
- Q1 9:08MTSU Touchdown, down 1 before the tryAgrees with the numbersKicked · madeKickTheir call22.3%97% to makeGo for two22.3%−<0.145% to convert
- Q2 8:31MRSH Touchdown, up 3 before the tryAgrees with the numbersKicked · madeKickTheir call75.3%97% to makeGo for two75.3%−0.145% to convert
- Q3 5:36MTSU Touchdown, up 5 before the tryAgrees with the numbersKicked · madeKickTheir call51.1%97% to makeGo for two50.9%−0.245% to convert
- Q4 12:06MRSH Touchdown, tied before the tryAgrees with the numbersKicked · madeKickTheir call63.3%97% to makeGo for two62.4%−0.845% to convert
- Q4 4:18MRSH Touchdown, up 7 before the tryAgrees with the numbersKicked · madeKickTheir call90.4%97% to makeGo for two89.6%−0.745% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chartMRSHDrive 1PUNT5 plays · 5 yds · 1:1183% → 82%
Q1 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
82.8%
(14:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Barbie rush middle for 4 yards gain to the MAR24 (#91 F.Hixon; #44 K.Call)Similar
Q1 14:09
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+1
82.6%
(14:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 C.Del Rio-Wilson pass complete short right to #2 A.Norton caught at MAR23, for 1 yard to the MAR25 (#13 A.Taylor; #95 Z.Simpson-Smith)Similar
Q1 13:46
3RD & 5
OWN 25
0
82.5%
(13:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 C.Del Rio-Wilson pass incomplete short left to #5 X.Turner-Bradshaw thrown to MAR31Similar
Q1 13:36
4TH & 5
OWN 25
+1
82.4%
(13:46) #91 C.Heimbach punt 41 yards to the MT 34 #7 H.Wasson return 1 yard to the MT 35 (#10 C.Clark; #11 J.Pierre-Louis)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 2PUNT5 plays · 3 yds · 1:2418% → 18%
Q1 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
82.4%
(13:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 R.Gagliano pass incomplete deep right to #3 C.Lacy thrown to MAR20Similar
Q1 13:21
2ND & 10
OWN 35
-1
82.4%
(13:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 A.Martin Jr. rush middle for 1 yard loss to the MT 34 (#27 C.Lewis; #44 K.Hardge II)Similar
Q1 12:43
3RD & 11
OWN 34
+4
82.3%
(12:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 R.Gagliano rush right for 4 yards gain to the MT 38 (#27 C.Lewis)Similar
Q1 12:06
4TH & 7
OWN 38
0
82.1%
(12:09) #92 A.Logan punt 46 yards to the MAR16 fair catch by #2 A.Norton at MAR16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 3TD4 plays · 84 yds · 1:2482% → 83%
Q1 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+2
82.1%
(12:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 C.Del Rio-Wilson rush middle for 2 yards gain to the MAR18 (#26 K.Smith; #91 F.Hixon)Similar
Q1 11:34
2ND & 8
OWN 18
+10
82.0%
(11:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 C.Del Rio-Wilson rush middle for 10 yards gain to the MAR28 (#0 K.Woods), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 11:11
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
81.9%
(11:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Barbie rush left for 3 yards gain to the MAR31 (#44 K.Call)Similar
Q1 10:36
2ND & 7
OWN 31
+69
82.8%
(10:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 C.Del Rio-Wilson pass complete short middle to #5 X.Turner-Bradshaw caught at MAR41, for 69 yards to the MT 00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:36, 1ST DOWN #41 J.Diaz Nicolas kick attempt good (H: #91 C.Heimbach, LS: #43 C.Ortiz)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 4PUNT5 plays · 7 yds · 1:1418% → 17%
Q1 10:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
82.4%
(10:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 R.Gagliano pass complete short left to #6 A.Jones caught at MT 29, for 6 yards to the MT 31 (#8 E.Pleasant III)Similar
Q1 9:56
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+1
82.3%
(10:06) No Huddle #9 T.Brown Jr. rush middle for 1 yard gain to the MT 32 (#58 B.Ward)Similar
Q1 9:27
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
82.5%
(09:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 R.Gagliano pass incomplete short left to #3 C.Lacy thrown to MT 35 broken up by #0 C.Clark-GloverSimilar
Q1 9:18
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
82.6%
(09:27) #92 A.Logan punt 48 yards to the MAR20, out of bounds at MAR20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 5FUMBLE RETURN TD1 play · -19 yds · 0:0081% → 81%
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 6PUNT10 plays · 14 yds · 2:2181% → 81%
Q1 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
81.3%
(09:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Barbie rush middle for 9 yards gain to the MAR34 (#26 K.Smith)Similar
Q1 8:45
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+10
81.8%
(08:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 C.Del Rio-Wilson pass incomplete deep left to #3 C.Culliver thrown to MT 44 QB hurried by #94 J.Williams PENALTY MAR Pass Interference (#3 C.Culliver) 10 yards from MAR34 to MAR24. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 8:32
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+6
81.5%
(08:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 C.Del Rio-Wilson pass complete short left to #81 T.Payne caught at MAR28, for 6 yards to the MAR30 (#21 J.Hardy)Similar
Q1 8:18
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+5
81.2%
(08:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 C.Del Rio-Wilson pass incomplete deep left to #3 C.Culliver thrown to MT 34 PENALTY MT Offside (#94 J.Williams) 5 yards from MAR30 to MAR35, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
81.3%
(08:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 T.Lester rush left for 1 yard gain to the MAR36 (#46 R.Johnson; #26 K.Smith)Similar
Q1 7:26
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+1
81.3%
(07:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 C.Del Rio-Wilson pass complete short right to #2 A.Norton caught at MAR36, for 1 yard to the MAR37 (#21 J.Hardy)Similar
Q1 6:56
3RD & 8
OWN 37
+2
81.5%
(06:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 C.Del Rio-Wilson pass complete short left to #2 A.Norton caught at MAR39, for 2 yards to the MAR39 (#2 J.Lowe)Similar
Q1 6:41
4TH & 6
OWN 39
+5
81.3%
(06:52) #91 C.Heimbach punt 52 yards to the MT 09 #3 C.Lacy return 5 yards to the MT 14 (#11 J.Pierre-Louis; #32 P.Schuh)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 7FG13 plays · 52 yds · 6:3919% → 24%
Q1 6:33
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+6
80.7%
(06:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 R.Gagliano rush middle for 6 yards gain to the MT 20 (#27 C.Lewis; #11 J.Pierre-Louis)Similar
Q1 5:56
2ND & 4
OWN 20
+9
80.4%
(05:59) No Huddle #3 C.Lacy rush left for 9 yards gain to the MT 29 (#27 C.Lewis), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+8
80.1%
(05:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 A.Martin Jr. rush right for 8 yards gain to the MT 37 (#3 R.Hinton)Similar
Q1 4:33
2ND & 2
OWN 37
+8
79.5%
(04:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 R.Gagliano pass complete short left to #3 C.Lacy caught at MT 30, for 8 yards to the MT 45 (#0 C.Clark-Glover; #58 B.Ward), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 3:59
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
79.1%
(04:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 T.Brown Jr. rush right for 1 yard gain to the MT 46 (#27 C.Lewis; #9 B.Hall)Similar
Q1 3:05
2ND & 9
OWN 46
+14
78.9%
(03:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 R.Gagliano pass complete short middle to #83 K.Perdue caught at MAR49, for 14 yards to the MAR40 (#55 C.Funderburk; #92 C.Chmura), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 2:32
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
77.9%
(02:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 R.Gagliano pass incomplete short left to #7 H.Wasson thrown to MAR21Similar
Q1 2:22
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+5
77.8%
(02:30) No Huddle #16 R.Gagliano rush right for 5 yards gain to the MAR35 (#27 C.Lewis; #58 B.Ward)Similar
Q1 1:42
3RD & 5
OPP 35
+5
77.6%
(01:42) PENALTY MT Delay Of Game 5 yards from MAR35 to MAR40. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 1:18
3RD & 10
OPP 40
+5
77.8%
(01:18) PENALTY MT False Start (#77 D.Blattler) 5 yards from MAR40 to MAR45. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 0:17
3RD & 15
OPP 45
+11
78.0%
(00:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 R.Gagliano pass complete short middle to #9 T.Brown Jr. caught at MAR43, for 11 yards to the MAR34 (#9 B.Hall; #44 K.Hardge II)Similar
Q2 14:54
4TH & 4
OPP 34
+52
76.2%
(15:00) #91 D.Bourgeois field goal attempt from 52 yards GOOD (H: #92 A.Logan, LS: #59 H.Hamlin), clock 14:54Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 8TD14 plays · 75 yds · 6:1377% → 81%
Q2 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
76.8%
(14:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 C.Del Rio-Wilson rush middle for 12 yards gain to the MAR37 (#15 D.Carlisle), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 14:14
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+17
77.0%
(14:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 C.Del Rio-Wilson rush right for 17 yards gain to the MT 46 (#0 K.Woods; #95 Z.Simpson-Smith), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 13:35
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
77.7%
(13:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 C.Del Rio-Wilson pass complete short right to #3 C.Culliver caught at MT 42, for 5 yards to the MT 41 (#0 K.Woods)Similar
Q2 13:00
2ND & 5
OPP 41
+5
77.5%
(13:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 C.Del Rio-Wilson rush middle for 5 yards gain to the MT 36 (#16 J.Thompson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 12:23
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+3
77.3%
(12:31) Shotgun #6 J.Barbie rush middle for 3 yards gain to the MT 33 (#95 Z.Simpson-Smith; #26 K.Smith)Similar
Q2 11:48
2ND & 7
OPP 33
+5
77.8%
(11:54) Shotgun #7 C.Del Rio-Wilson rush left for 5 yards gain to the MT 28 (#30 B.Williams)Similar
Q2 11:00
3RD & 2
OPP 28
+3
76.8%
(11:07) Shotgun #7 C.Del Rio-Wilson rush left for 3 yards gain to the MT 25 (#26 K.Smith), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 10:27
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
77.4%
(10:32) Shotgun #21 T.Lester rush middle for 0 yards to the MT 25 (#16 J.Thompson; #44 K.Call)Similar
Q2 9:52
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+10
76.8%
(09:52) Shotgun #7 C.Del Rio-Wilson pass incomplete deep right to #15 J.McLaurin thrown to MT 00 PENALTY MT Holding (#11 J.Johnson) 10 yards from MT 25 to MT 15, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 9:39
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+8
76.8%
(09:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 C.Del Rio-Wilson pass complete short left to #2 A.Norton caught at MT 10, for 8 yards to the MT 07 (#2 J.Lowe)Similar
Q2 9:04
2ND & 2
OPP 7
+3
76.6%
(09:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 T.Lester rush middle for 3 yards gain to the MT 04 (#30 B.Williams; #0 K.Woods), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 8:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
81.3%
(08:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 C.Del Rio-Wilson rush left for 4 yards gain to the MT 00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:31 #41 J.Diaz Nicolas kick attempt good (H: #91 C.Heimbach, LS: #43 C.Ortiz)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 9FG12 plays · 58 yds · 4:2720% → 25%
Q2 8:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
80.5%
(08:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #29 D.Taylor rush middle for 6 yards gain to the MT 31 (#0 C.Clark-Glover)Similar
Q2 7:52
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
80.2%
(07:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 R.Gagliano pass incomplete short left to #6 A.Jones thrown to MT 45 QB hurried by #27 C.LewisSimilar
Q2 7:41
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+6
80.7%
(07:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 R.Gagliano pass complete short middle to #3 C.Lacy caught at MT 37, for 6 yards to the MT 37 (#17 D.Smith), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
80.2%
(07:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 R.Gagliano rush right for 2 yards gain to the MT 39 (#24 J.Clayton)Similar
Q2 6:33
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+10
79.7%
(06:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 R.Gagliano pass complete short middle to #3 C.Lacy caught at MT 46, for 10 yards to the MT 49 (#0 C.Clark-Glover), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 6:03
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+26
79.1%
(06:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 R.Gagliano rush left for 26 yards gain to the MAR25 (#9 B.Hall; #0 C.Clark-Glover), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 5:32
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
77.4%
(05:32) No Huddle #16 R.Gagliano pass incomplete short right to #9 T.Brown Jr. thrown to MAR25. The previous play is under automatic review - "Backwards pass". CALL OVERTURNED. (Original Play: (05:32) No Huddle #16 R.Gagliano pass incomplete short right to #9 T.Brown Jr. thrown to MAR25)Similar
Q2 5:16
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+3
77.7%
(05:18) No Huddle #8 A.Martin Jr. rush middle for 3 yards gain to the MAR22 (#3 R.Hinton; #44 K.Hardge II)Similar
Q2 4:27
3RD & 7
OPP 22
+5
78.0%
(04:36) No Huddle #16 R.Gagliano pass complete short middle to #3 C.Lacy caught at MAR18, for 5 yards to the MAR17 (#11 J.Pierre-Louis; #27 C.Lewis)Similar
Q2 3:50
4TH & 2
OPP 17
+35
74.8%
(03:52) #91 D.Bourgeois field goal attempt from 35 yards GOOD (H: #92 A.Logan, LS: #59 H.Hamlin), clock 03:50Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 10PUNT6 plays · 3 yds · 1:4177% → 75%
Q2 3:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
77.1%
(03:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 C.Del Rio-Wilson rush right for 4 yards gain to the MAR29 (#13 A.Taylor; #23 K.Minifield)Similar
Q2 2:48
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+4
76.8%
(03:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 K.Wilkins rush right for 4 yards gain to the MAR33 (#44 K.Call)Similar
Q2 2:16
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
75.8%
(02:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 K.Wilkins pass incomplete deep left to #5 X.Turner-Bradshaw thrown to MT 35 broken up by #23 K.MinifieldSimilar
Q2 2:00
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+25
74.7%
(02:16) #91 C.Heimbach punt 52 yards to the MT 20 #3 C.Lacy return 25 yards to the MT 45 (#32 P.Schuh; #81 T.Payne)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 11PUNT4 plays · 0 yds · 0:2625% → 22%
Q2 1:57
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
75.5%
(02:00) No Huddle #16 R.Gagliano pass incomplete short right to #7 H.Wasson thrown to MAR45Similar
Q2 1:49
2ND & 10
OWN 45
0
76.0%
(01:57) No Huddle #16 R.Gagliano pass incomplete short left to #6 A.Jones thrown to MAR47Similar
Q2 1:43
3RD & 10
OWN 45
0
76.6%
(01:49) No Huddle #16 R.Gagliano pass incomplete short middle to #3 C.Lacy thrown to MAR43 QB hurried by #58 B.WardSimilar
Q2 1:31
4TH & 10
OWN 45
+4
78.0%
(01:43) #92 A.Logan punt 47 yards to the MAR08 #2 A.Norton return 4 yards to the MAR12 (#19 A.Singleton)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 12END OF HALF9 plays · 36 yds · 1:0376% → 77%
Q2 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+10
75.9%
(01:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Barbie rush left for 10 yards gain to the MAR22 (#30 B.Williams), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+6
76.0%
(01:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 K.Wilkins pass complete short right to #6 J.Barbie caught at MAR19, for 6 yards to the MAR28 (#26 K.Smith)Similar
Q2 1:00
2ND & 4
OWN 28
+2
76.3%
(01:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 K.Wilkins rush middle for 2 yards gain to the MAR30 (#46 R.Johnson; #95 Z.Simpson-Smith)Similar
Q2 0:27
3RD & 2
OWN 30
+10
75.4%
(00:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 K.Wilkins pass complete short left to #5 X.Turner-Bradshaw caught at MAR40, for 10 yards to the MAR40, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:23
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
78.8%
(00:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 K.Wilkins pass incomplete deep left thrown to MT 20Similar
Q2 0:20
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
78.1%
(00:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 K.Wilkins rush left for 0 yards to the MAR40 (#95 Z.Simpson-Smith)Similar
Q2 0:20
3RD & 10
OWN 40
+8
77.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 K.Wilkins rush middle for 8 yards gain to the MAR48 (#95 Z.Simpson-Smith; #46 R.Johnson)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 13PUNT10 plays · 24 yds · 3:1126% → 27%
Q3 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
74.5%
(15:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 R.Gagliano pass complete short middle to #1 M.Allen caught at MT 34, for 9 yards to the MT 34 (#0 C.Clark-Glover; #27 C.Lewis)Similar
Q3 14:17
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+1
73.0%
(14:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 A.Martin Jr. rush middle for 1 yard gain to the MT 35 (#58 B.Ward; #17 D.Smith), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 13:31
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
73.5%
(13:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 R.Gagliano pass complete short right to #6 A.Jones caught at MT 42, for 7 yards to the MT 42 (#8 E.Pleasant III)Similar
Q3 12:50
2ND & 3
OWN 42
+5
71.6%
(13:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 R.Gagliano pass complete short left to #6 A.Jones caught at MT 47, for 5 yards to the MT 47 (#9 B.Hall), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 12:23
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
71.2%
(12:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 R.Gagliano pass complete short right to #3 C.Lacy caught at MT 48, for 2 yards to the MT 49 (#0 C.Clark-Glover)Similar
Q3 11:47
2ND & 8
OWN 49
0
70.8%
(11:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 R.Gagliano pass incomplete short middle to #83 K.Perdue thrown to MAR44Similar
Q3 11:40
3RD & 8
OWN 49
0
71.6%
(11:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 R.Gagliano pass incomplete short right to #3 C.Lacy thrown to MAR38 broken up by #0 C.Clark-GloverSimilar
Q3 11:32
4TH & 8
OWN 49
0
73.4%
(11:40) #92 A.Logan punt 38 yards to the MAR13, out of bounds at MAR13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 14PUNT6 plays · 9 yds · 2:1375% → 73%
Q3 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+4
74.5%
(11:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 X.Turner-Bradshaw rush right for 4 yards gain to the MAR17 (#26 K.Smith)Similar
Q3 10:59
2ND & 6
OWN 17
+3
74.4%
(11:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Barbie rush left for 3 yards gain to the MAR20 (#95 Z.Simpson-Smith; #26 K.Smith)Similar
Q3 10:32
3RD & 3
OWN 20
+5
73.4%
PENALTY MAR False Start (#76 T.Montgomery) 5 yards from MAR20 to MAR15. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 10:03
3RD & 8
OWN 15
+7
73.1%
(10:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 K.Wilkins pass complete short middle to #2 A.Norton caught at MAR14, for 7 yards to the MAR22 (#30 B.Williams; #46 R.Johnson)Similar
Q3 9:14
4TH & 1
OWN 22
0
72.5%
(09:23) #91 C.Heimbach punt 44 yards to the MT 34, out of bounds at MT 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 15TD11 plays · 66 yds · 3:3429% → 55%
Q3 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+6
71.5%
(09:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 A.Martin Jr. rush middle for 6 yards gain to the MT 40 (#17 D.Smith; #52 M.Warren)Similar
Q3 8:21
2ND & 4
OWN 40
+10
69.5%
(08:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 R.Gagliano pass complete short left to #85 N.Clifton caught at MT 48, for 10 yards to the MT 50 (#9 B.Hall; #27 C.Lewis), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 8:10
1ST & 10
50
+5
68.4%
(08:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 R.Gagliano pass complete short left to #3 C.Lacy caught at MT 48, for 4 yards to the MAR46 (#97 N.Blanc; #5 J.Gilmore) PENALTY MAR Illegal Substitution 5 yards from MT 50 to MAR45. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 7:37
1ST & 5
OPP 45
+11
67.7%
(07:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 R.Gagliano pass complete short left to #1 M.Allen caught at MAR39, for 11 yards to the MAR34 (#11 J.Pierre-Louis), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 7:10
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+10
66.7%
(07:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 R.Gagliano pass complete short left to #85 N.Clifton caught at MAR28, for 10 yards to the MAR24 (#5 J.Gilmore; #2 C.McCartherens), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 6:50
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
66.0%
(06:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 R.Gagliano pass incomplete short left to #7 H.Wasson thrown to MAR19 QB hurried by #24 J.ClaytonSimilar
Q3 6:28
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+13
66.5%
(06:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 R.Gagliano rush middle for 13 yards gain to the MAR11 (#3 R.Hinton), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 5:48
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
65.5%
(05:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 R.Gagliano pass incomplete short middle to #8 A.Martin Jr. thrown to MAR15 QB hurried by #44 K.Hardge IISimilar
Q3 5:42
2ND & 10
OPP 11
0
65.4%
(05:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 R.Gagliano pass incomplete short middle to #85 N.Clifton thrown to MAR00Similar
Q3 5:36
3RD & 10
OPP 11
+11
45.2%
(05:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 R.Gagliano pass complete short left to #3 C.Lacy caught at MAR07, for 11 yards to the MAR00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 05:36, 1ST DOWN #91 D.Bourgeois kick attempt good (H: #92 A.Logan, LS: #59 H.Hamlin)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 16PUNT5 plays · 5 yds · 1:2354% → 50%
Q3 5:26
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+6
53.6%
(05:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 K.Wilkins rush middle for 6 yards gain to the MAR34 (#99 A.Roseman V)Similar
Q3 4:51
2ND & 4
OWN 34
-1
54.3%
(04:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Barbie rush left for 1 yard loss to the MAR33 (#22 G.Gaskins; #11 J.Johnson)Similar
Q3 4:16
3RD & 5
OWN 33
0
51.1%
(04:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 K.Wilkins pass incomplete short right to #5 X.Turner-Bradshaw thrown to MAR42Similar
Q3 4:03
4TH & 5
OWN 33
+10
50.3%
(04:16) #91 C.Heimbach punt 54 yards to the MT 13 #3 C.Lacy return 10 yards to the MT 23 (#16 K.Anderson; #43 C.Ortiz)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 17MISSED FG9 plays · 45 yds · 3:2356% → 62%
Q3 3:54
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+13
43.6%
(04:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 R.Gagliano pass complete short right to #7 H.Wasson caught at MT 29, for 13 yards to the MT 36 (#0 C.Clark-Glover; #3 R.Hinton), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
40.8%
(03:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 R.Gagliano rush middle for 9 yards gain to the MT 45 fumbled by #16 R.Gagliano at MT 40 forced by #55 C.Funderburk recovered by MT #7 H.Wasson at MT 45 (#55 C.Funderburk; #92 C.Chmura)Similar
Q3 2:45
2ND & 1
OWN 45
+7
38.2%
(02:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 A.Martin Jr. rush middle for 7 yards gain to the MAR48 (#0 C.Clark-Glover), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 2:08
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+14
37.0%
(02:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 R.Gagliano pass complete short right to #3 C.Lacy caught at MAR48, for 14 yards to the MAR34 (#8 E.Pleasant III), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 1:27
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+2
33.8%
(01:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #29 D.Taylor rush left for 2 yards gain to the MAR32 (#97 N.Blanc; #52 M.Warren)Similar
Q3 0:45
2ND & 8
OPP 32
0
33.0%
(01:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 R.Gagliano pass incomplete short left to #83 K.Perdue thrown to MAR13 QB hurried by #7 K.McBride and #97 N.BlancSimilar
Q3 0:36
3RD & 8
OPP 32
0
35.4%
(00:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 R.Gagliano pass incomplete deep right to #7 H.Wasson thrown to MAR00 QB hurried by #58 B.WardSimilar
Q3 0:31
4TH & 8
OPP 32
+50
38.3%
(00:34) #91 D.Bourgeois field goal attempt from 50 yards NO GOOD (H: #92 A.Logan, LS: #59 H.Hamlin), clock 00:31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 18FUMBLE12 plays · 68 yds · 3:1150% → 77%
Q3 0:17
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+9
50.1%
(00:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 Z.Turner pass complete short right to #2 A.Norton caught at MAR37, for 9 yards to the MAR41 (#21 J.Hardy)Similar
Q3 0:08
2ND & 1
OWN 41
+8
53.4%
(00:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Barbie rush middle for 8 yards gain to the MAR49 (#0 K.Woods; #22 G.Gaskins), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
53.2%
(14:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 Z.Turner pass incomplete short right to #81 T.Payne thrown to MT 44 broken up by #0 K.Woods QB hurried by #93 A.ButtsSimilar
Q4 14:35
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+18
52.3%
(14:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 Z.Turner pass complete short middle to #20 O.Sweeney caught at MT 41, for 18 yards to the MT 33 (#0 K.Woods), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 14:05
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+15
56.7%
(14:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 Z.Turner pass complete short right to #2 A.Norton caught at MT 22, for 15 yards to the MT 18 (#2 J.Lowe; #26 K.Smith), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 13:51
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
56.5%
(13:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 Z.Turner pass incomplete short right to #2 A.Norton thrown to MT 02 broken up by #2 J.LoweSimilar
Q4 13:38
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+15
56.4%
(13:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 Z.Turner rush middle for 15 yards gain to the MT 03 (#22 G.Gaskins; #26 K.Smith), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 13:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
56.7%
(13:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 Z.Turner pass incomplete short right to #2 A.Norton thrown to MT 00 PENALTY MT Holding (#46 R.Johnson) 2 yards from MT 03 to MT 01, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 13:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
56.6%
(13:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 Z.Turner rush left for 1 yard loss to the MT 02 (#46 R.Johnson; #26 K.Smith)Similar
Q4 12:31
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
55.6%
(12:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 X.Turner-Bradshaw rush left for 1 yard gain to the MT 01 (#44 K.Call; #21 J.Hardy)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 19PUNT6 plays · 2 yds · 0:4731% → 28%
Q4 11:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
69.4%
(12:01) No Huddle #8 A.Martin Jr. rush middle for 2 yards gain to the MT 27 (#24 J.Clayton; #17 D.Smith)Similar
Q4 11:25
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
69.0%
(11:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 R.Gagliano pass incomplete short left to #1 M.Allen thrown to MT 31 broken up by #8 E.Pleasant III QB hurried by #24 J.ClaytonSimilar
Q4 11:20
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
70.7%
(11:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 R.Gagliano pass incomplete deep middle to #3 C.Lacy thrown to MAR40Similar
Q4 11:06
4TH & 8
OWN 27
+16
72.2%
(11:17) #92 A.Logan punt 57 yards to the MAR16 #2 A.Norton return 16 yards to the MAR32 (#26 K.Smith; #19 A.Singleton)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 20PUNT9 plays · 18 yds · 3:3476% → 73%
Q4 10:52
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+8
76.4%
(11:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 Z.Turner pass complete short left to #3 C.Culliver caught at MAR40, for 8 yards to the MAR40, out of bounds at MAR40Similar
Q4 10:31
2ND & 2
OWN 40
+1
78.5%
(10:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Barbie rush middle for 1 yard gain to the MAR41 (#91 F.Hixon; #26 K.Smith)Similar
Q4 10:03
3RD & 1
OWN 41
+4
77.5%
(10:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Barbie rush middle for 4 yards gain to the MAR45 (#91 F.Hixon; #95 Z.Simpson-Smith), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 9:19
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+16
77.0%
(09:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 Z.Turner pass complete short right to #20 O.Sweeney caught at MT 39, for 16 yards to the MT 39, out of bounds at MT 39, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 8:24
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-1
77.9%
(08:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Barbie rush middle for 1 yard loss to the MT 40 fumbled by #6 J.Barbie at MT 40 forced by #90 J.Bodford recovered by MAR #56 A.Dudley at MT 40 (#90 J.Bodford)Similar
Q4 8:12
2ND & 11
OPP 40
+10
78.2%
(08:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 Z.Turner rush right for 8 yards gain to the MT 32 (#13 A.Taylor) PENALTY MAR Holding (#76 T.Montgomery) 10 yards from MT 40 to MT 50. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 7:35
2ND & 21
50
0
75.8%
(07:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 Z.Turner pass incomplete deep right to #3 C.Culliver thrown to MT 30 QB hurried by #95 Z.Simpson-SmithSimilar
Q4 7:28
3RD & 21
50
0
74.6%
(07:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 Z.Turner pass incomplete deep right to #3 C.Culliver thrown to MT 30 QB hurried by #46 R.JohnsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 21INT6 plays · 15 yds · 2:4932% → 29%
Q4 7:12
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
68.3%
(07:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 A.Martin Jr. rush middle for 4 yards gain to the MT 24 (#8 E.Pleasant III; #27 C.Lewis)Similar
Q4 6:45
2ND & 6
OWN 24
0
67.3%
(06:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 R.Gagliano pass incomplete short left to #3 C.Lacy thrown to MT 36 broken up by #8 E.Pleasant III QB hurried by #7 K.McBrideSimilar
Q4 6:33
3RD & 6
OWN 24
+11
69.5%
(06:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 R.Gagliano pass complete short right to #29 D.Taylor caught at MT 23, for 11 yards to the MT 35 (#27 C.Lewis), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-7
67.1%
(06:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 R.Gagliano sacked for loss of 7 yards to the MT 28 (#97 N.Blanc)Similar
Q4 5:07
2ND & 17
OWN 28
+7
69.2%
(05:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 R.Gagliano pass complete short middle to #88 T.Galloway caught at MT 35, for 7 yards to the MT 35 (#27 C.Lewis; #0 C.Clark-Glover)Similar
Q4 4:23
3RD & 10
OWN 35
-54
71.0%
(04:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 R.Gagliano pass intercepted by #19 Z.Jackon at MAR42 QB hurried by #7 K.McBride #19 Z.Jackon return 54 yards to the MT 04 (#6 A.Jones) PENALTY MT Personal Foul (#8 A.Martin Jr.) 2 yards from MT 04 to MT 02, 1ST DOWNSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 22TD1 play · 2 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q4 4:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
96.4%
(04:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 T.Lester rush middle for 2 yards gain to the MT 00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:18 #41 J.Diaz Nicolas kick attempt good (H: #91 C.Heimbach, LS: #43 C.Ortiz)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 23TD13 plays · 75 yds · 3:148% → 37%
Q4 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
91.8%
(04:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 R.Gagliano pass complete short right to #1 M.Allen caught at MT 30, for 14 yards to the MT 39 (#3 R.Hinton), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 3:29
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+13
90.0%
(03:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 R.Gagliano pass complete short right to #6 A.Jones caught at MAR50, for 13 yards to the MAR48 (#3 R.Hinton), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 3:10
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
89.8%
(03:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 A.Martin Jr. rush middle for 2 yards gain to the MAR46 (#92 C.Chmura; #27 C.Lewis)Similar
Q4 2:29
2ND & 8
OPP 46
+13
93.4%
(02:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 R.Gagliano pass complete short right to #3 C.Lacy caught at MAR39, for 13 yards to the MAR33 (#5 J.Gilmore; #27 C.Lewis), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 2:08
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
92.1%
(02:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 R.Gagliano pass incomplete short middle to #3 C.Lacy thrown to MAR33 broken up by #97 N.BlancSimilar
Q4 2:02
2ND & 10
OPP 33
0
92.5%
(02:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 R.Gagliano pass incomplete short right to #8 A.Martin Jr. thrown to MAR33Similar
Q4 1:52
3RD & 10
OPP 33
0
91.9%
(02:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 R.Gagliano pass incomplete short left to #29 D.Taylor thrown to MAR29 QB hurried by #52 M.WarrenSimilar
Q4 1:47
4TH & 10
OPP 33
+15
90.1%
(01:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 R.Gagliano pass complete short middle to #6 A.Jones caught at MAR18, for 15 yards to the MAR18 (#8 E.Pleasant III), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:16
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+3
82.8%
(01:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 R.Gagliano pass complete short right to #3 C.Lacy caught at MAR15, for 3 yards to the MAR15 (#5 J.Gilmore)Similar
Q4 0:50
2ND & 7
OPP 15
+15
63.1%
(00:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 R.Gagliano pass complete short middle to #6 A.Jones caught at MAR00, for 15 yards to the MAR00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:50, 1ST DOWN #16 R.Gagliano pass attempt failedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 24END OF GAME6 plays · -3 yds · 0:2594% → 94%
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 4:18
(04:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 T.Lester rush middle for 2 yards gain to the MT 00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:18 #41 J.Diaz Nicolas kick attempt good (H: #91 C.Heimbach, LS: #43 C.Ortiz)
+25.4
TD · Q4 12:06
Xayvion Turner-Bradshaw 0 Yd Run (Jorge Diaz Nicolas Kick)
+21.2
TD · Q3 5:36
(05:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 R.Gagliano pass complete short left to #3 C.Lacy caught at MAR07, for 11 yards to the MAR00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 05:36, 1ST DOWN #91 D.Bourgeois kick attempt good (H: #92 A.Logan, LS: #59 H.Hamlin)
-20.2