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2026 · Week 11 · Nov 14, 2026 · Plaster Sports Complex
Pregame projection
Points model v7
Projected score
NMSU28
MOST25
NMSU by 3
Win chance
NMSU46%
NMSU 46%MOST 54%
Projected total
53pts
Combined points
Explore the range of outcomes
39%
chance New Mexico State wins by 3 or more
61% New Mexico State wins by 2 or fewer, or loses
← MOST winsNMSU wins →
-35-21-7+7+21+35
50% of outcomes
MOST by 10 to NMSU by 8
80% of outcomes
MOST by 20 to NMSU by 22
90% of outcomes
MOST by 29 to NMSU by 25
Median
MOST by 2
Not betting advice. This is just a model. These numbers are statistical estimates for entertainment and information only - not a prediction of what will happen and not a recommendation to bet on this or any game. The model is built without betting lines, and no model is reliably more accurate than the betting market. Scores and ranges cover regulation only (no overtime), and even the widest range here misses about 1 game in 10. If you choose to gamble, do so legally and responsibly. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com