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2026 · Week 10 · Nov 7, 2026 · Aggie Memorial Stadium
Pregame projection
Points model v7
Projected score
LIB31
NMSU16
LIB by 15
Win chance
LIB79%
LIB 79%NMSU 21%
Projected total
48pts
Combined points
Explore the range of outcomes
47%
chance Liberty wins by 14 or more
53% Liberty wins by 13 or fewer, or loses
← NMSU winsLIB wins →
-21-7+7+21+35
50% of outcomes
LIB by 2 to 23
80% of outcomes
NMSU by 6 to LIB by 33
90% of outcomes
NMSU by 15 to LIB by 38
Median
LIB by 12
Not betting advice. This is just a model. These numbers are statistical estimates for entertainment and information only - not a prediction of what will happen and not a recommendation to bet on this or any game. The model is built without betting lines, and no model is reliably more accurate than the betting market. Scores and ranges cover regulation only (no overtime), and even the widest range here misses about 1 game in 10. If you choose to gamble, do so legally and responsibly. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com