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2026 · Week 8 · Oct 24, 2026 · M. M. Roberts Stadium
Pregame projection
Points model v7
Projected score
UL30
USM26
UL by 4
Win chance
UL61%
UL 61%USM 39%
Projected total
55pts
Combined points
Explore the range of outcomes
55%
chance Louisiana wins by 3 or more
45% Louisiana wins by 2 or fewer, or loses
← USM winsUL wins →
-28-140+14+28
50% of outcomes
USM by 6 to UL by 17
80% of outcomes
USM by 16 to UL by 25
90% of outcomes
USM by 24 to UL by 31
Median
UL by 5
Not betting advice. This is just a model. These numbers are statistical estimates for entertainment and information only - not a prediction of what will happen and not a recommendation to bet on this or any game. The model is built without betting lines, and no model is reliably more accurate than the betting market. Scores and ranges cover regulation only (no overtime), and even the widest range here misses about 1 game in 10. If you choose to gamble, do so legally and responsibly. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com