Pregame projection
Points model v7 · market line as of Oct 13, 9:17 AM ET, shown for referenceProjected score
UL27
TROY22
UL by 5 · market UL by 4.25
Win chance
UL63%
TROY 37%UL 63%
Projected total
49pts
Market total 49.5
Explore the range of outcomes
55%
chance Louisiana wins by 3 or more
45% Louisiana wins by 2 or fewer, or loses
← TROY winsUL wins →
-28-140+14+28
- 50% of outcomes
- TROY by 4 to UL by 11
- 80% of outcomes
- TROY by 15 to UL by 25
- 90% of outcomes
- TROY by 23 to UL by 31
- Median
- UL by 4
Not betting advice. This is just a model. These numbers are statistical estimates for entertainment and information only - not a prediction of what will happen and not a recommendation to bet on this or any game. The model is built without betting lines, and no model is reliably more accurate than the betting market. Scores and ranges cover regulation only (no overtime), and even the widest range here misses about 1 game in 10. If you choose to gamble, do so legally and responsibly. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.