2026 · Week 10 · Nov 5, 2026 · M. M. Roberts Stadium
Pregame projection
Points model v7Projected score
JMU38
USM21
JMU by 17
Win chance
JMU81%
JMU 81%USM 19%
Projected total
59pts
Combined points
Explore the range of outcomes
49%
chance James Madison wins by 14 or more
51% James Madison wins by 13 or fewer, or loses
← USM winsJMU wins →
-21-7+7+21+35+49
- 50% of outcomes
- JMU by 3 to 27
- 80% of outcomes
- USM by 5 to JMU by 33
- 90% of outcomes
- USM by 12 to JMU by 42
- Median
- JMU by 13
Not betting advice. This is just a model. These numbers are statistical estimates for entertainment and information only - not a prediction of what will happen and not a recommendation to bet on this or any game. The model is built without betting lines, and no model is reliably more accurate than the betting market. Scores and ranges cover regulation only (no overtime), and even the widest range here misses about 1 game in 10. If you choose to gamble, do so legally and responsibly. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.