2026 · Week 9 · Oct 29, 2026 · Bridgeforth Stadium
Pregame projection
Points model v7Projected score
JMU36
TROY19
JMU by 17
Win chance
JMU85%
TROY 15%JMU 85%
Projected total
54pts
Combined points
Explore the range of outcomes
49%
chance James Madison wins by 14 or more
51% James Madison wins by 13 or fewer, or loses
← TROY winsJMU wins →
-21-7+7+21+35+49
- 50% of outcomes
- JMU by 5 to 28
- 80% of outcomes
- TROY by 3 to JMU by 37
- 90% of outcomes
- TROY by 11 to JMU by 39
- Median
- JMU by 13
Not betting advice. This is just a model. These numbers are statistical estimates for entertainment and information only - not a prediction of what will happen and not a recommendation to bet on this or any game. The model is built without betting lines, and no model is reliably more accurate than the betting market. Scores and ranges cover regulation only (no overtime), and even the widest range here misses about 1 game in 10. If you choose to gamble, do so legally and responsibly. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.