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GASO

Georgia Southern 31 at Coastal Carolina 24

CCU
2026 · Week 5 · Oct 3, 2026 · Brooks Stadium (SC)
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Win probability · CCU
modelCCU aheadGASO aheadconfidence bandkey playCCU scoreGASO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 14:52 · (14:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 M.Johnson rush right for 10 yards gain to the CCU16 (#4 M.Pulliam; #19 S.McDowell), 1ST DOWN
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsPregame priorScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+55.0+27.50−27.5−55.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 125Home team on offense−4.4Score differential−3.7Garbage-time factor+0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.0Pregame prior−1.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+1.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 2:37: (02:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 M.Johnson pass complete short left to #21 Z.Hilliard caught at CCU00, for 18 yards to the CCU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:37, 1ST DOWN #95 T.Bryant kick attempt good (H: #25 A.Smith, LS: #41 C.Glenn) — GASO win probability +4.6 pts (now 60%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 7:14: (07:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 W.Bryan rush right for 67 yards gain to the CCU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:14, 1ST DOWN #95 T.Bryant kick attempt good (H: #25 A.Smith, LS: #41 C.Glenn) — GASO win probability +17.2 pts (now 76%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 3:16: Goldie Lawrence 9 Yd pass from Deuce Bailey (Nico Cavanillas Alti Kick) — CCU win probability +20.8 pts (now 62%) (top driver: CCU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 14:14: M. Johnson pass to R. Helms for 16 yds, for a TD (T. Bryant KICK) — GASO win probability +26.0 pts (now 79%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 9:54: Alex Taylor 14 Yd pass from Max Johnson (Tripp Bryant Kick) — GASO win probability +16.5 pts (now 97%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CCU made the numbers' call on 6 of 9GASO made the numbers' call on 4 of 7
  1. Q1 12:57CCU 4th & 7 at CCU 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.0%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:09GASO 4th & 8 at CCU 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 53.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.3%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    53.4%
    68% to make
    Punt
    52.8%−0.6
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:40CCU 4th & 8 at CCU 27, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.2%−0.4
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.6%
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:37CCU 4th & 1 at CCU 49, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 39.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    39.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    38.8%−1.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:03CCU 4th & 1 at GASO 41, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 39.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    39.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    37.0%−2.1
    32% to make
    Punt
    37.4%−1.7
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:38CCU 4th & 7 at GASO 34, down 10
    Close callKicked a field goal · 37.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.9%
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    37.7%−0.2
    47% to make
    Punt
    37.3%−0.6
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:23GASO 4th & 5 at GASO 25, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.0%−1.7
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.6%
    average punt
  8. Q3 11:56GASO 4th & 4 at CCU 45, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.0 ptsPunted · 66.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    64.4%−2.8
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    66.2%−1.0
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:01CCU 4th & 9 at CCU 21, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.7%−2.8
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.5%
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:47GASO 4th & 1 at GASO 39, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.5 ptsPunted · 67.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.7%−2.5
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:52GASO 4th & 1 at CCU 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 51.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    51.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    46.8%−4.4
    64% to make
    Punt
    35.1%−16.2
    average punt
  12. Q4 12:57CCU 4th & 14 at CCU 21, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.3%−5.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.5%
    average punt
  13. Q4 7:09CCU 4th & 7 at CCU 47, down 14
    Close callPunted · 7.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.8%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.7%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 4:54GASO 4th & 2 at GASO 21, up 14
    Close callPunted · 95.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.9%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.8%−0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 3:41CCU 4th & 8 at CCU 27, down 20
    Close callWent for it · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.1%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.3%
    average punt
  16. Q4 1:45GASO 4th & 9 at CCU 26, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.0%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.1%
    64% to make
    Punt
    98.4%−0.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CCU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1GASO made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q2 7:14GASO Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 3:16CCU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.3%−0.3
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 14:14GASO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.6%−0.3
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 9:54GASO Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.0%−0.6
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CCUDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 3 yds · 1:5945% → 45%
Q1 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
44.5%
(14:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Bailey pass incomplete short middle to #8 C.Coppock thrown to CCU30 broken up by #12 T.Hill Jr.Similar
Q1 14:48
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
44.6%
(14:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 D.Lee-Knicely rush middle for 6 yards gain to the CCU31 (#6 J.Jones; #31 C.Gamble)Similar
Q1 13:52
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+2
44.8%
(13:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Bailey pass complete short middle to #23 D.Lee-Knicely caught at CCU32, for 2 yards to the CCU33 (#18 M.Stroud; #99 J.Ticket)Similar
Q1 13:19
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+5
44.9%
PENALTY CCU Delay Of Game 5 yards from CCU33 to CCU28. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 12:57
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+9
44.9%
(13:01) #42 R.Podesta punt 46 yards to the GSU26 #19 J.Dallas return 9 yards to the GSU35 (#44 K.Sapp; #2 J.Wayne), out of boundsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 2FG
7 plays · 41 yds · 2:4255% → 55%
Q1 12:51
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+17
45.0%
(12:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 D.Mbadinga rush middle for 17 yards gain to the CCU48 (#4 M.Pulliam), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 12:23
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
44.9%
(12:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 M.Johnson rush left for 3 yards gain to the CCU45, out of bounds at CCU45Similar
Q1 11:36
2ND & 7
OPP 45
+19
45.0%
(11:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 M.Johnson pass complete short left to #4 A.Greene Jr. caught at CCU26, for 19 yards to the CCU26, out of bounds at CCU26, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 11:36
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
44.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #7 M.Johnson pass incomplete short left to #6 D.Mbadinga thrown to CCU20 QB hurried by #1 I.DiawaraSimilar
Q1 10:54
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+2
44.9%
(11:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 D.Mbadinga rush middle for 2 yards gain to the CCU24 (#19 S.McDowell; #6 J.Lee)Similar
Q1 10:14
3RD & 8
OPP 24
0
45.2%
(10:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 M.Johnson pass incomplete short right to #5 A.Taylor thrown to CCU10Similar
Q1 10:09
4TH & 8
OPP 24
+41
45.2%
(10:09) #95 T.Bryant field goal attempt from 41 yards GOOD (H: #25 A.Smith, LS: #41 C.Glenn), clock 10:09Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 3FUMBLE
14 plays · 74 yds · 5:3545% → 47%
Q1 10:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
45.1%
(10:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Bailey pass incomplete short middle to #3 T.Gardner thrown to CCU31Similar
Q1 9:57
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
45.1%
(10:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 D.Lee-Knicely rush middle for 6 yards gain to the CCU31 (#6 J.Jones)Similar
Q1 9:16
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+13
45.1%
(09:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Bailey rush left for 13 yards gain to the CCU44 (#5 D.Aviles), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 8:29
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+12
45.8%
(08:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Bailey pass complete short right to #0 K.English caught at GSU38, for 12 yards to the GSU44 (#7 N.Mangham), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 7:59
1ST & 10
OPP 0
+4
46.5%
(07:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Bailey rush left for 4 yards gain (5) to the GSU40 (#1 B.Tyson), out of bounds PENALTY CCU Holding offsetting GSU UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct offsettingSimilar
Q1 7:14
1ST & 5
OPP 39
+6
46.3%
(07:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 D.Lee-Knicely rush left for 6 yards gain to the GSU33 (#6 J.Jones), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 7:04
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+15
46.6%
(07:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Bailey rush right for 15 yards gain to the GSU18, out of bounds at GSU18, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 6:35
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+6
46.8%
(06:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 D.Lee-Knicely rush middle for 6 yards gain to the GSU12 (#2 A.Sears)Similar
Q1 5:58
2ND & 4
OPP 12
+5
46.6%
(06:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 D.Lee-Knicely rush middle for 5 yards gain to the GSU07 (#5 D.Aviles; #1 B.Tyson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 5:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
46.7%
(05:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Bailey rush left for 5 yards gain to the GSU02 (#9 F.Davies), out of bounds PENALTY GSU Holding (#12 T.Hill Jr.) 1 yard from GSU02 to GSU01, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 5:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
46.8%
(05:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #25 J.Allen-Hendrix rush left for 0 yards to the GSU01 (#6 J.Jones; #4 A.Bynum)Similar
Q1 4:29
2ND & 1
OPP 0
+1
47.0%
(04:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #25 J.Allen-Hendrix rush middle for 1 yard gain to the GSU00 fumbled by #25 J.Allen-Hendrix at GSU01 forced by #1 B.Tyson recovered by GSU #6 J.Jones at GSU00, TouchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 4TD
5 plays · 80 yds · 1:3754% → 60%
Q1 4:14
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+25
45.7%
(04:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 M.Johnson pass complete short left to #87 R.Helms caught at GSU31, for 25 yards to the GSU45 (#23 A.Juste; #4 M.Pulliam), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 3:38
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+7
44.8%
(03:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 M.Johnson pass complete short right to #5 A.Taylor caught at GSU48, for 7 yards to the CCU48 (#10 T.Roman)Similar
Q1 3:18
2ND & 3
OPP 48
+9
44.5%
(03:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 M.Johnson pass complete short left to #19 J.Dallas caught at CCU41, for 9 yards to the CCU39 (#25 B.Rose; #1 I.Diawara), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 2:42
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+21
44.5%
(02:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 M.Johnson pass complete short left to #6 D.Mbadinga caught at CCU33, for 6 yards to the CCU33 (#1 I.Diawara), out of bounds PENALTY CCU Personal Foul (#35 X.Booker) 15 yards from CCU33 to CCU18, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 2:37
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+18
40.0%
(02:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 M.Johnson pass complete short left to #21 Z.Hilliard caught at CCU00, for 18 yards to the CCU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:37, 1ST DOWN #95 T.Bryant kick attempt good (H: #25 A.Smith, LS: #41 C.Glenn)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:4940% → 39%
Q1 2:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
39.7%
(02:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Bailey pass incomplete short left to #1 R.Washington thrown to CCU40 broken up by #1 B.TysonSimilar
Q1 2:17
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
39.5%
(02:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 D.Lee-Knicely rush left for 2 yards gain to the CCU27 (#98 U.Iloh)Similar
Q1 1:47
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
39.0%
(01:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Bailey pass incomplete short right to #8 C.Coppock thrown to CCU37 QB hurried by #98 U.IlohSimilar
Q1 1:40
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
38.9%
(01:42) #42 R.Podesta punt 34 yards to the GSU39, out of bounds at GSU39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 6MISSED FG
9 plays · 22 yds · 1:2961% → 62%
Q1 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
39.1%
(01:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 M.Johnson pass complete short right to #18 J.Ware caught at GSU40, for 3 yards to the GSU42 (#19 S.McDowell; #46 G.Carrick)Similar
Q1 1:13
2ND & 7
OWN 42
0
39.1%
(01:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 M.Johnson pass incomplete short right to #18 J.Ware thrown to CCU42Similar
Q1 1:05
3RD & 7
OWN 42
0
39.2%
(01:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 M.Johnson pass incomplete short middle to #5 A.Taylor thrown to CCU48 broken up by #10 T.RomanSimilar
Q1 0:55
4TH & 7
OWN 42
+15
39.7%
(00:55) #25 A.Smith punt 40 yards to the CCU18 PENALTY CCU Roughing The Kicker (#15 M.Moore) 15 yards from GSU42 to CCU43, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 0:40
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
38.6%
(00:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #35 T.Todd rush middle for 0 yards to the CCU43 (#92 A.Poole)Similar
Q1 0:08
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+4
38.4%
(00:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #35 T.Todd rush middle for 4 yards gain to the CCU39 (#92 A.Poole; #98 D.Barnes)Similar
Q2 14:53
3RD & 6
OPP 39
0
38.4%
(15:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 M.Johnson pass incomplete short right to #35 T.Todd thrown to CCU32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 7FG
15 plays · 26 yds · 5:5539% → 43%
Q2 14:33
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
39.4%
(14:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Bailey rush middle for 4 yards gain to the CCU44 (#1 B.Tyson; #97 E.Anders)Similar
Q2 13:54
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+3
38.9%
(14:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Bailey pass complete short right to #3 T.Gardner caught at CCU41, for 3 yards to the CCU47 (#6 J.Jones)Similar
Q2 13:20
3RD & 3
OWN 47
+2
38.6%
(13:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 D.Lee-Knicely rush middle for 2 yards gain to the CCU49 (#4 A.Bynum; #21 C.Thompson)Similar
Q2 12:37
4TH & 1
OWN 49
+1
38.2%
(12:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 D.Lee-Knicely rush middle for 1 yard gain to the CCU50 (#4 A.Bynum; #97 E.Anders), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 11:59
1ST & 10
50
+7
38.1%
(12:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Bailey pass complete short left to #1 R.Washington caught at GSU45, for 7 yards to the GSU43 (#5 D.Aviles; #22 C.Calicut)Similar
Q2 11:30
2ND & 3
OPP 43
+1
38.1%
(11:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 J.Edwards rush middle for 1 yard gain to the GSU42 (#5 D.Aviles; #11 K.Secka)Similar
Q2 10:46
3RD & 2
OPP 42
+1
38.4%
(10:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 T.Jackson rush middle for 1 yard gain to the GSU41 (#5 D.Aviles; #6 J.Jones)Similar
Q2 10:03
4TH & 1
OPP 41
+4
39.4%
(10:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #25 J.Allen-Hendrix rush middle for 4 yards gain to the GSU37 (#18 M.Stroud; #31 C.Gamble), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 9:21
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
39.5%
(09:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 J.Edwards rush middle for 3 yards gain to the GSU34 (#90 O.Brown; #21 C.Thompson)Similar
Q2 8:49
2ND & 7
OPP 34
0
40.4%
(08:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Bailey pass incomplete short left to #3 T.Gardner thrown to GSU23Similar
Q2 8:43
3RD & 7
OPP 34
0
39.3%
(08:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Bailey pass incomplete deep left to #8 C.Coppock thrown to GSU10Similar
Q2 8:38
4TH & 7
OPP 34
+51
42.5%
(08:38) #30 N.Cavanillas Alti field goal attempt from 51 yards GOOD (H: #42 R.Podesta, LS: #41 M.Weisenborn), clock 08:38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 8TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 1:1858% → 76%
Q2 8:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
42.3%
(08:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 D.Mbadinga rush right for 0 yards to the GSU25 (#92 A.Poole; #90 R.Jean)Similar
Q2 7:49
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+8
41.0%
(07:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 M.Johnson pass complete short right to #5 A.Taylor caught at GSU32, for 8 yards to the GSU33 (#5 D.Bostic)Similar
Q2 7:14
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+67
23.8%
(07:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 W.Bryan rush right for 67 yards gain to the CCU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:14, 1ST DOWN #95 T.Bryant kick attempt good (H: #25 A.Smith, LS: #41 C.Glenn)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 9FUMBLE
14 plays · 79 yds · 5:5726% → 22%
Q2 6:59
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+8
26.4%
(07:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 D.Lee-Knicely rush left for 8 yards gain to the CCU29 (#6 J.Jones)Similar
Q2 6:27
2ND & 2
OWN 29
+6
26.1%
(06:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Bailey rush right for 8 yards gain (6) to the CCU37 (#9 F.Davies) PENALTY CCU Holding (#33 Z.Courtney) 10 yards from CCU35 to CCU25Similar
Q2 6:01
2ND & 6
OWN 25
+5
25.2%
(06:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Bailey pass complete short left to #23 D.Lee-Knicely caught at CCU24, for 5 yards to the CCU30 (#12 T.Hill Jr.)Similar
Q2 4:58
3RD & 1
OWN 30
+2
24.8%
(05:04) #2 D.Bailey rush middle for 2 yards gain to the CCU32 (#4 A.Bynum; #5 D.Aviles), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 4:07
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
24.0%
(04:18) #2 D.Bailey pass complete short right to #33 Z.Marshal caught at CCU31, for 2 yards to the CCU34 (#97 E.Anders; #12 T.Hill Jr.)Similar
Q2 3:31
2ND & 8
OWN 34
+1
24.4%
(03:35) #23 D.Lee-Knicely rush middle for 1 yard gain to the CCU35 (#1 B.Tyson)Similar
Q2 2:40
3RD & 7
OWN 35
+27
23.4%
(02:53) #2 D.Bailey pass complete deep right to #3 T.Gardner caught at GSU40, for 27 yards to the GSU38, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 2:15
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+10
24.8%
(02:15) #2 D.Bailey pass complete short right to #1 R.Washington caught at GSU20, for 23 yards to the GSU15, out of bounds at GSU15 PENALTY CCU Holding (#70 D.Jones) 10 yards from GSU38 to GSU48. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 1:53
1ST & 20
OPP 48
+4
21.9%
(01:56) #2 D.Bailey rush middle for 4 yards gain to the GSU44 (#90 O.Brown)Similar
Q2 1:20
2ND & 16
OPP 44
+9
21.4%
(01:31) #2 D.Bailey pass complete short right to #0 K.English caught at GSU40, for 9 yards to the GSU35 (#11 K.Secka; #90 O.Brown)Similar
Q2 1:02
3RD & 7
OPP 35
+35
21.5%
(01:02) #2 D.Bailey pass complete deep right to #8 C.Coppock caught at GSU03, for 35 yards to the GSU00 fumbled by #8 C.Coppock at GSU01 forced by #31 C.Gamble, TouchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 10PUNT TD
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:3377% → 53%
Q2 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
22.9%
(00:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 M.Johnson pass incomplete short right to #5 A.Taylor thrown to GSU30Similar
Q2 0:51
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+5
23.1%
(00:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 D.Mbadinga rush right for 5 yards gain to the GSU25 (#10 T.Roman)Similar
Q2 0:40
3RD & 5
OWN 25
0
23.0%
(00:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 M.Johnson pass incomplete deep left to #6 D.Mbadinga thrown to CCU40 broken up by #10 T.RomanSimilar
Q2 0:23
4TH & 5
OWN 25
+73
46.9%
(00:32) #25 A.Smith punt 48 yards to the CCU27 #1 R.Washington return 73 yards to the GSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:23 #30 N.Cavanillas Alti kick attempt good (H: #42 R.Podesta, LS: #41 M.Weisenborn)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 11END OF HALF
3 plays · 16 yds · 0:0054% → 54%
Q2 0:17
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+16
46.4%
(00:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 D.Mbadinga rush right for 16 yards gain to the GSU25 (#4 M.Pulliam; #10 T.Roman), 1ST DOWNSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 12PUNT
11 plays · 32 yds · 3:0465% → 66%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
35.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun #7 M.Johnson pass incomplete short middle to #6 D.Mbadinga thrown to GSU25 QB hurried by #4 M.PulliamSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+16
35.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun #7 M.Johnson pass complete short middle to #87 R.Helms caught at GSU27, for 16 yards to the GSU39 (#5 D.Bostic; #6 J.Lee), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 14:36
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
33.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #5 A.Taylor rush right for 0 yards to the GSU39 (#4 M.Pulliam; #16 J.Powell II)Similar
Q3 14:36
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+7
34.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #6 D.Mbadinga rush right for 7 yards gain to the GSU46 (#4 M.Pulliam; #10 T.Roman)Similar
Q3 14:36
3RD & 3
OWN 46
+3
34.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun #7 M.Johnson pass complete short right to #6 D.Mbadinga caught at GSU44, for 3 yards to the GSU49 (#10 T.Roman), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 14:36
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+6
33.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun #7 M.Johnson pass complete short right to #5 A.Taylor caught at CCU46, for 6 yards to the CCU45 (#10 T.Roman)Similar
Q3 14:36
2ND & 4
OPP 45
0
33.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun #7 M.Johnson pass incomplete deep left to #4 A.Greene Jr. thrown to CCU10 broken up by #2 J.WayneSimilar
Q3 14:36
3RD & 4
OPP 45
0
33.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun #7 M.Johnson pass incomplete short left to #19 J.Dallas thrown to CCU37 QB hurried by #93 O.OnwukaSimilar
Q3 11:56
4TH & 4
OPP 45
0
33.7%
#25 A.Smith punt 45 yards to the CCU00, TouchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:5537% → 35%
Q3 11:56
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
36.6%
#23 D.Lee-Knicely rush middle for 1 yard gain to the CCU21 (#97 E.Anders; #1 B.Tyson)Similar
Q3 11:56
2ND & 9
OWN 21
0
36.6%
#2 D.Bailey pass incomplete short left to #33 Z.Courtney thrown to CCU30Similar
Q3 11:56
3RD & 9
OWN 21
0
35.5%
#2 D.Bailey pass incomplete short left to #6 K.Johnson thrown to CCU24 broken up by #98 U.IlohSimilar
Q3 11:01
4TH & 9
OWN 21
0
34.6%
(11:10) #42 R.Podesta punt 49 yards to the GSU30 fair catch by #19 J.Dallas at GSU30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 2:0566% → 67%
Q3 10:52
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
34.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun #35 T.Todd rush middle for 5 yards gain to the GSU35 (#25 B.Rose; #35 X.Booker)Similar
Q3 10:20
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+4
33.1%
(10:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 M.Johnson pass complete short left to #35 T.Todd caught at GSU27, for 4 yards to the GSU39 (#16 J.Powell II; #6 J.Lee)Similar
Q3 9:13
3RD & 1
OWN 39
0
32.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #9 W.Bryan rush left for 0 yards to the GSU39 (#2 J.Wayne), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 8:47
4TH & 1
OWN 39
0
33.3%
#25 A.Smith punt 43 yards to the CCU18 fair catch by #0 K.English at CCU18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 15TD
10 plays · 82 yds · 5:3136% → 62%
Q3 8:47
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+7
35.9%
#2 D.Bailey pass complete short right to #3 T.Gardner caught at CCU20, for 7 yards to the CCU25 (#2 A.Sears; #1 B.Tyson)Similar
Q3 8:47
2ND & 3
OWN 25
+4
36.8%
#23 D.Lee-Knicely rush middle for 4 yards gain to the CCU29 (#90 O.Brown; #5 D.Aviles), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 8:47
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+6
36.6%
#2 D.Bailey rush right for 6 yards gain to the CCU35, out of bounds at CCU35Similar
Q3 8:47
2ND & 4
OWN 35
+32
38.0%
#2 D.Bailey pass complete short left to #0 K.English caught at CCU33, for 32 yards to the GSU33 (#1 B.Tyson), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 5:58
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+14
42.0%
(06:07) #23 D.Lee-Knicely rush left for 14 yards gain to the GSU19 (#7 N.Mangham), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 5:10
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+8
42.0%
#2 D.Bailey rush right for 8 yards gain to the GSU11, End Of PlaySimilar
Q3 5:10
2ND & 2
OPP 11
+4
42.0%
#23 D.Lee-Knicely rush middle for 4 yards gain to the GSU07 (#2 A.Sears), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 3:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+15
41.6%
(03:53) #2 D.Bailey pass incomplete short right to #5 G.Lawrence thrown to GSU00 PENALTY CCU Face Mask (#5 G.Lawrence) 15 yards from GSU07 to GSU22. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 3:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 22
+13
40.8%
(03:55) #2 D.Bailey pass complete short right to #5 G.Lawrence caught at GSU09, for 13 yards to the GSU09, out of bounds at GSU09Similar
Q3 3:16
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
61.6%
Goldie Lawrence 9 Yd pass from Deuce Bailey (Nico Cavanillas Alti Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 16TD
10 plays · 73 yds · 4:0251% → 79%
Q3 3:16
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+7
49.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun #27 T.Woodgett rush middle for 7 yards gain to the GSU34 (#92 A.Poole; #26 C.Jackson)Similar
Q3 2:28
2ND & 3
OWN 34
-1
47.3%
(02:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #27 T.Woodgett rush middle for 1 yard loss to the GSU33 (#25 B.Rose)Similar
Q3 1:39
3RD & 4
OWN 33
+32
49.7%
(01:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 M.Johnson pass complete deep middle to #87 R.Helms caught at CCU38, for 32 yards to the CCU35 (#26 C.Jackson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 1:39
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+8
43.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun #9 W.Bryan pass complete short right to #5 A.Taylor caught at CCU29, for 8 yards to the CCU27 (#10 T.Roman)Similar
Q3 0:32
2ND & 2
OPP 27
0
42.8%
(00:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 W.Bryan pass incomplete short right to #18 J.Ware thrown to CCU25Similar
Q3 0:32
3RD & 2
OPP 27
+1
44.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #9 W.Bryan rush right for 1 yard gain to the CCU26 (#50 M.Toney; #10 T.Roman)Similar
Q4 14:52
4TH & 1
OPP 26
+10
47.4%
(14:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 M.Johnson rush right for 10 yards gain to the CCU16 (#4 M.Pulliam; #19 S.McDowell), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 14:14
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+16
21.4%
M. Johnson pass to R. Helms for 16 yds, for a TD (T. Bryant KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 1:1731% → 28%
Q4 14:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
31.2%
#2 D.Bailey pass incomplete short left to #3 T.Gardner thrown to CCU40Similar
Q4 13:59
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
30.3%
(14:06) #23 D.Lee-Knicely rush right for 5 yards gain to the CCU30 (#97 E.Anders; #1 B.Tyson)Similar
Q4 13:17
3RD & 5
OWN 30
-9
30.0%
#2 D.Bailey sacked for loss of 9 yards to the CCU21 (#4 A.Bynum) PENALTY CCU Holding declinedSimilar
Q4 12:57
4TH & 14
OWN 21
0
27.9%
(13:03) #42 R.Podesta punt 41 yards to the GSU38 fair catch by #19 J.Dallas at GSU38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 18TD
5 plays · 62 yds · 3:0077% → 97%
Q4 12:54
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
22.8%
(12:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 D.Mbadinga rush middle for 3 yards gain to the GSU41 (#50 M.Toney; #90 R.Jean)Similar
Q4 12:21
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+6
22.6%
(12:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 M.Johnson pass complete short left to #4 A.Greene Jr. caught at GSU45, for 6 yards to the GSU47 (#16 J.Powell II)Similar
Q4 11:31
3RD & 1
OWN 47
+5
22.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun #6 D.Mbadinga rush middle for 5 yards gain to the CCU48 (#4 M.Pulliam), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 10:40
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+34
20.0%
(10:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 M.Johnson pass complete short right to #5 A.Taylor caught at CCU38, for 34 yards to the CCU14, out of bounds at CCU14, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 9:54
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
3.5%
Alex Taylor 14 Yd pass from Max Johnson (Tripp Bryant Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 19PUNT
11 plays · 22 yds · 1:288% → 6%
Q4 8:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
7.5%
(09:05) #2 D.Bailey pass complete short right to #23 D.Lee-Knicely caught at CCU23, for 3 yards to the CCU28 (#5 D.Aviles)Similar
Q4 8:17
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+7
7.0%
(08:31) #2 D.Bailey pass complete short right to #8 C.Coppock caught at CCU32, for 7 yards to the CCU35 (#6 J.Jones), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
7.0%
(08:18) #2 D.Bailey pass complete short middle to #0 K.English caught at CCU32, for 1 yard loss to the CCU34 (#6 J.Jones; #44 N.Eldridge Jr.)Similar
Q4 8:18
2ND & 11
OWN 34
0
7.0%
(08:18) #2 D.Bailey pass incomplete short middle to #8 C.Coppock thrown to CCU45Similar
Q4 8:18
3RD & 11
OWN 34
+5
6.7%
PENALTY CCU False Start (#76 C.Loaiza) 5 yards from CCU34 to CCU29. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 8:04
3RD & 16
OWN 29
+15
6.6%
(08:04) #2 D.Bailey pass incomplete deep left to #0 K.English thrown to GSU35 PENALTY GSU Pass Interference (#7 N.Mangham) 15 yards from CCU29 to CCU44, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 7:51
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
7.3%
(08:01) #23 D.Lee-Knicely rush middle for 3 yards gain to the CCU47 (#22 C.Calicut)Similar
Q4 7:23
2ND & 7
OWN 47
0
7.3%
(07:26) #2 D.Bailey pass incomplete deep right to #5 G.Lawrence thrown to GSU15Similar
Q4 7:17
3RD & 7
OWN 47
0
6.5%
(07:23) #2 D.Bailey pass incomplete short middle to #5 G.Lawrence thrown to GSU48 broken up by #21 C.ThompsonSimilar
Q4 7:09
4TH & 7
OWN 47
0
6.2%
(07:11) #42 R.Podesta punt 40 yards to the GSU13 fair catch by #19 J.Dallas at GSU13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 2:0496% → 97%
Q4 6:58
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-4
3.6%
(07:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #35 T.Todd rush left for 4 yards loss to the GSU09 (#90 R.Jean; #6 J.Lee)Similar
Q4 6:10
2ND & 14
OWN 9
+7
3.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun #7 M.Johnson pass complete short left to #4 A.Greene Jr. caught at GSU13, for 7 yards to the GSU16 (#2 J.Wayne; #4 M.Pulliam), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 5:42
3RD & 7
OWN 16
+5
3.3%
(05:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 M.Johnson pass incomplete deep left to #4 A.Greene Jr. thrown to CCU45 PENALTY CCU Offside (#11 B.Starnes) 5 yards from GSU16 to GSU21. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 5:22
3RD & 2
OWN 21
0
2.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #7 M.Johnson pass incomplete short left thrown to GSU22 broken up by #50 M.ToneySimilar
Q4 4:54
4TH & 2
OWN 21
0
2.7%
(05:00) #25 A.Smith punt 39 yards to the CCU40 fair catch by #1 R.Washington at CCU40 PENALTY CCU Personal Foul (#15 M.Moore) 15 yards from CCU40 to CCU25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 21DOWNS
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:031% → 1%
Q4 4:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-9
1.1%
(04:47) #2 D.Bailey sacked for loss of 9 yards to the CCU16 (#94 E.Fears)Similar
Q4 4:11
2ND & 19
OWN 16
0
1.0%
#2 D.Bailey pass incomplete short right to #3 T.Gardner thrown to CCU28Similar
Q4 4:11
3RD & 19
OWN 16
+11
1.0%
#2 D.Bailey rush right for 11 yards gain to the CCU27, out of bounds at CCU27Similar
Q4 3:41
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
1.0%
#2 D.Bailey pass incomplete short right to #3 T.Gardner thrown to CCU34 QB hurried by #18 M.Stroud, TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 22MISSED FG
6 plays · 1 yds · 1:42100% → 99%
Q4 3:27
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+3
0.5%
(03:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 W.Bryan rush left for 3 yards gain to the CCU24 (#35 X.Booker)Similar
Q4 2:46
2ND & 7
OPP 24
+1
0.4%
(02:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 W.Bryan rush left for 1 yard gain to the CCU23 (#2 J.Wayne; #4 M.Pulliam)Similar
Q4 1:50
3RD & 6
OPP 23
-3
0.7%
(01:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 W.Bryan rush left for 3 yards loss to the CCU26 (#94 D.Grayson; #35 X.Booker)Similar
Q4 1:45
4TH & 9
OPP 26
+44
1.2%
(01:45) #95 T.Bryant field goal attempt from 44 yards NO GOOD (H: #25 A.Smith, LS: #41 C.Glenn), clock 01:45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 23TD
8 plays · 74 yds · 0:381% → 1%
Q4 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+15
0.8%
#2 D.Bailey pass complete short left to #1 R.Washington caught at CCU35, for 15 yards to the CCU41 (#1 B.Tyson; #12 T.Hill Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:27
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+15
0.8%
(01:27) #2 D.Bailey pass intercepted by #1 B.Tyson at GSU50 #1 B.Tyson return 4 yards to the CCU46, End Of Play PENALTY GSU Roughing The Passer (#9 F.Davies) 15 yards from CCU41 to GSU44, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 1:27
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+15
0.9%
PENALTY CCU UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (#3 T.Gardner) 15 yards from GSU44 to CCU41. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 1:17
1ST & 25
OWN 41
+12
0.9%
(01:19) #2 D.Bailey pass complete short right to #1 R.Washington caught at CCU47, for 12 yards to the GSU47 (#22 C.Calicut) PENALTY GSU Face Mask (#22 C.Calicut) 15 yards from GSU47 to GSU32, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:09
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-2
1.0%
#2 D.Bailey sacked for loss of 2 yards to the GSU34 (#43 E.Johnson)Similar
Q4 1:11
2ND & 12
OPP 34
+5
0.8%
(01:11) #2 D.Bailey pass incomplete deep right to #3 T.Gardner thrown to GSU00 PENALTY GSU Offside 5 yards from GSU34 to GSU29. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 0:57
2ND & 7
OPP 29
+29
0.9%
Karmello English 29 Yd pass from Deuce Bailey (Nico Cavanillas Alti Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 24END OF GAME
5 plays · 18 yds · 0:4499% → 99%
Q4 0:49
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
0.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #9 W.Bryan rush middle for 3 yards gain to the CCU44 (#50 M.Toney; #1 I.Diawara)Similar
Q4 0:40
2ND & 7
OPP 44
+16
0.9%
(00:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 W.Bryan rush left for 16 yards gain to the CCU28 (#4 M.Pulliam), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 0:05
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-1
0.8%
(00:05) Kneel down by #7 M.Johnson at CCU29 for loss of 1 yardSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 14:14
M. Johnson pass to R. Helms for 16 yds, for a TD (T. Bryant KICK)
-26
TD · Q3 3:16
Goldie Lawrence 9 Yd pass from Deuce Bailey (Nico Cavanillas Alti Kick)
+20.8
TD · Q2 7:14
(07:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 W.Bryan rush right for 67 yards gain to the CCU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:14, 1ST DOWN #95 T.Bryant kick attempt good (H: #25 A.Smith, LS: #41 C.Glenn)
-17.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com